2010 United States Senate elections in Illinois

2010 United States Senate election in Illinois

← 2004 November 2, 2010 2016 →
Turnout49.35%
 
Candidate Mark Kirk Alexi Giannoulias
Party Republican Democratic
Regular election 1,778,698
48.01%
1,719,478
46.42%
Special election 1,677,729
47.31%
1,641,486
46.29%

Kirk:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Giannoulias:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. senator before election

Roland Burris[a]
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Mark Kirk
Republican

The 2010 United States Senate elections in Illinois took place on November 2, 2010. There were two ballot items for the same seat: a general election, to fill the Class 3 seat beginning with the 112th United States Congress beginning on January 3, 2011, and a special election, to fill that seat for the final weeks of the 111th Congress. Roland Burris, who was appointed to fill the vacancy created by fellow Democrat Barack Obama's election to the presidency, did not run in either election.[1]

The elections took place alongside 33 other elections to the United States Senate in other states, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections in Illinois and other states. The registered party primaries for the full term took place on February 2, 2010, the earliest state primary elections: Republicans nominated U.S. Representative Mark Kirk, Democrats nominated State Treasurer Alexi Giannoulias, and the Green Party nominated journalist LeAlan Jones. The Constitution Party and Libertarian Party submitted signatures to be on the ballot but were challenged; the result of the ensuing hearings was the Constitution Party's candidate being denied placement on the ballot but the Libertarian Party's candidate Michael Labno given ballot access.[2]

On August 2, the United States District Court for the Northern District of Illinois ruled that the candidates appearing on the ballot for the replacement election would be the ones of the regular election,[1][3] and that the special election would appear after the general election on the ballot.[3] Kirk won both elections and was sworn in on November 29, 2010, resigning his House seat the same day. As of 2024, this was the last time that Republicans won an Illinois U.S. Senate election.

Background

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Barack Obama, the former United States Senator holding this seat, was elected President of the United States on November 4, 2008, and subsequently resigned from the Senate on November 16, 2008.[4] Illinois law provides for the Governor of Illinois, then Rod Blagojevich to appoint replacements for Senate vacancies.[5]

Burris's appointment

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On December 9, 2008, the FBI arrested Governor Rod Blagojevich (D) on various corruption charges, most notably allegations that he attempted to sell the appointment to the vacant U.S. Senate seat. On December 31, 2008, Blagojevich nevertheless appointed former Illinois Attorney General Roland Burris to fill the vacancy.[6] After initially seeking to exclude Burris, Senate Democrats relented,[7] and Burris was seated on January 15, 2009.[8]

Burris later declined to run for election.[9]

For the state-run primary elections (Democratic, Republican, and Green), turnout was 21.74%, with 1,652,202 votes cast.[10][11]

For the general election, the special election saw a turnout of 47.24%, with 3,545,984 votes cast and the regularly-scheduled election saw a turnout of 49.35% with 3,704,473 votes cast.[10][12]

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Campaign

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Incumbent Senator Roland Burris did not run for a full term in 2010.[9] Burris suffered from poor approval ratings[19] and was investigated by the Sangamon County, Illinois State's Attorney for perjury.[20] Although no criminal charges were filed against him, Burris faced an investigation by the Senate Ethics Committee.[21]

Jacob Meister withdrew from campaigning and declared his support for Alexi Giannoulias on January 31,[22] two days before the February 2 election.

Finances

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Candidate Cash on hand[23]
Alexi Giannoulias $2,429,549
Jacob Meister $1,040,242
David Hoffman $836,958
Cheryle Jackson $317,828
Rob Marshall $1,000

Polling

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Poll source Date(s) administered Alexi
Giannoulias
Cheryle
Jackson
David
Hoffman
Other Undecided
The Politico (report) August 9, 2009 51% 21%
Chicago Tribune (report) December 2–8, 2009 31% 17% 9% 4%
Chicago Tribune (report) January 16–20, 2010 34% 19% 16% 4% 26%

Results

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Democratic primary results by county
  Giannoulias
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Hoffman
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Marshall
  •   30-40%
  Tie
  •   30-40%
Democratic primary results[24]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Alexi Giannoulias 351,120 38.9%
Democratic David Hoffman 303,719 33.7%
Democratic Cheryle Jackson 178,941 19.8%
Democratic Robert Marshall 51,606 5.7%
Democratic Jacob Meister 16,232 1.8%
Total votes 901,618 100.0%

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Finances

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Candidate Cash on Hand[25]
Mark Kirk $2,213,890
Patrick Hughes $340,048
Don Lowery $2,077
John Arrington $1,540
Kathleen Thomas $1,271
Andy Martin $0

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Mark
Kirk
Patrick
Hughes
Don
Lowery
Kathleen
Thomas
John
Arrington
Andy
Martin
Undecided
Magellan Data[26] (report) October 8, 2009 61% 3% 2% 1% 1%
Chicago Tribune (report) December 2–8, 2009 41% 3% 1% 3% 2% 1%
Chicago Tribune (report) January 16–20, 2010 47% 8% 2% 3% 2% 3% 35%

Results

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Republican primary results by county
  Kirk
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Hughes
  •   30–40%
  Lowery
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
Republican Primary results[27]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mark Kirk 420,373 56.6
Republican Patrick Hughes 142,928 19.3
Republican Donald Lowery 66,357 8.9
Republican Kathleen Thomas 54,038 7.3
Republican Andy Martin 37,480 5.0
Republican John Arrington 21,090 2.8
Republican Patricia Beard 2 .0003
Total votes 742,268 100.0%

Green primary

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Candidates

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Results

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Green Primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Green LeAlan Jones 5,161 100
Total votes 5,161 100%

General elections

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Candidates

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Campaign

[edit]

A self-described "fiscal conservative and social moderate," Republican nominee Mark Kirk based his campaign on reform and compared the race to Republican Scott Brown's election to the Senate in February 2010.[33] In addition, Kirk immediately criticized his Democratic opponent for his management of Bright Start, an Illinois 529 college savings program and his work at Broadway Bank.[34] Immediately after the primary, the National Republican Senatorial Committee aired a web ad comparing Giannoulias to the fictional character Tony Soprano.[35] Politifact ranked Kirk's references to the mob as "Half True".[36] Republican U.S. Senator Scott Brown campaigned for Kirk in Illinois.[37] Kimberly Vertolli, Kirk's ex-wife, signed on as an advisor to Mark Kirk's campaign, but didn't support his more conservative platform.[38]

On February 4, 2010, Democrat Alexi Giannoulias revealed his campaign strategy, saying "come November, Congressman, your days as a Washington insider are over."[39] On July 19, 2010, Giannoulias announced that he had raised $900,000 in the quarter that ended June 30, compared to $2.3 million raised by Kirk. The Giannoulias campaign also announced that President Obama was scheduled to attend an August 5 fundraiser for his candidate in Chicago.[40]

Kirk and Giannoulias disagreed mostly on fiscal and foreign policy. Kirk voted against Obama's Stimulus package and the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act. As a Congressman, Kirk originally voted for cap and trade but during the primary campaign announced that if elected a Senator he would vote against it.[41] Giannoulias strongly supported the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act[42] and Obama's stimulus.[43] Kirk opposed the building of the Park 51 Islamic center near Ground Zero of New York City, while Giannoulias stated that "Americans must stand up for freedom of religion even when it's difficult."[44]

Libertarian nominee Michael Labno was added to the ballot by the Illinois State Board of Elections after gaining ballot access by means of citizen petition.[32] Labno, an electrical project construction manager[45] and recruiter for Private Security Union Local 21[46] ran on a platform of downsizing or cutting some Federal agencies and reducing taxes and government regulations. He also supported allowing citizens to opt out of Social Security.[45] Labno is pro-life and supports 2nd Amendment rights. In August 2010, Democratic candidate Alexi Giannoulias declared Labno a legitimate challenge from the right for Mark Kirk. Labno responded on his Facebook fan page, saying "This is very true Alexi, and you should be afraid too."[47] Labno attended the September 18, 2010 Right Nation rally in Hoffman Estates, Illinois headlined by conservative media figure Glenn Beck. While greeting attendees Labno noted that Republican candidate Kirk did not attend.[48] On August 27 the Illinois Board of Elections approved the Libertarian Party's petition to include its candidates on the ballot.[32]

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[49] Tossup October 26, 2010
Rothenberg[50] Tilt R (flip) October 22, 2010
RealClearPolitics[51] Tossup October 26, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[52] Lean R (flip) October 21, 2010
CQ Politics[53] Tossup October 26, 2010

Debates

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Kirk and Giannoulias debates (other candidates were not invited):

Jones and Labno debate:

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Alexi
Giannoulias (D)
Mark
Kirk (R)
LeAlan
Jones (G)
Mike
Labno (L)
Other Undecided
Research 2000 (report) January 26–28, 2009 600 ± 4.0% 38% 30% 32%
Rasmussen Reports (report) August 11, 2009 500 ± 4.5% 38% 41% 4% 17%
Magellan Data (report) October 9, 2009 ± 3.1% 35% 42% 23%
Rasmussen Reports (report) October 14, 2009 500 ± 4.5% 41% 41% 4% 13%
Rasmussen Reports (report) December 9, 2009 500 ± 4.5% 42% 39% 3% 15%
Public Policy Polling (report) January 22–25, 2010 1,062 ± 3.0% 42% 34% 24%
Rasmussen Reports (report) February 3, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 40% 46% 4% 10%
Research 2000 (report) February 22–24, 2010 600 ± 4.0% 43% 36% 2% 19%
Rasmussen Reports (report) March 8, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 44% 41% 5% 10%
Public Policy Polling (report) April 1–5, 2010 591 ± 4.0% 33% 37% 30%
Rasmussen Reports (report) April 5, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 37% 41% 8% 13%
Rasmussen Reports (report) April 28, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 38% 46% 5% 12%
Research 2000 (report) May 3–5, 2010 600 ± 4.0% 38% 41% 21%
Rasmussen Reports (report) June 7, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 39% 42% 7% 12%
Public Policy Polling (report) June 12–13, 2010 552 ± 4.2% 31% 30% 14% 24%
Rasmussen Reports (report) July 7, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 40% 39% 9% 12%
Rasmussen Reports (report) July 28, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 43% 41% 6% 10%
Rasmussen Reports (report) August 11, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 40% 40% 8% 12%
Public Policy Polling (report) August 14–15, 2010 576 ± 4.1% 37% 35% 9% 19%
Rasmussen Reports (report) August 23, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 42% 40% 6% 12%
Chicago Tribune ([1]) September 2, 2010 600 ± 4.0% 34% 34% 6% 3% 22%
Rasmussen Reports (report) September 7, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 37% 41% 9% 5% 9%
Rasmussen Reports (report) September 21, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 41% 44% 4% 4% 8%
Public Polling Policy (report) September 23–26, 2010 470 ± 4.5% 36% 40% 8% 3% 13%
Chicago Tribune (report) September 24–28, 2010 600 ± 4.0% 38% 36% 5% 3% 17%
Suffolk University (report Archived October 26, 2010, at the Wayback Machine) September 30 – October 3, 2010 500 ± 4.0% 41% 42% 4% 3% 10%
Rasmussen Reports (report) October 4, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 41% 45% 4% 5% 6%
The Simon Poll/SIU (report) September 30 – October 10, 2010 1,000 ± 3.5% 37% 37% 3% 2% 2% 18%
Rasmussen Reports (report) October 11, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 44% 43% 4% 7% 2%
Public Policy Polling (report) October 14–16, 2010 557 ± 4.2% 40% 42% 4% 3% 10%
Rasmussen Reports (report) October 18, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 40% 44% 4% 8% 5%
Mason-Dixon (report) October 18–20, 2010 625 ± 4.0% 41% 43% 16%
Chicago Tribune/WGN (report) October 18–22, 2010 700 ± 4.0% 41% 44% 5% 4% 7%
Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research (report) October 23, 2010 1,000 ± 3.0% 41% 43% 7% 2% 7%
Rasmussen Reports (report) October 26, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 42% 46% 5% 5% 2%
Public Policy Polling (report) October 30–31, 2010 814 ± 3.4% 42% 46% 5% 3% 3% 7%

Fundraising

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Candidate (Party) Receipts Disbursements Cash On Hand Debt
Mark Kirk (R) $14,349,624 $13,602,888 $826,604 $0
Alexi Giannoulias (D) $10,017,446 $9,829,642 $115,826 $65,800
Source: Federal Election Commission[56]

Results

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United States Senate special election in Illinois, 2010[57][58]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Mark Kirk 1,677,729 47.31% +20.26%
Democratic Alexi Giannoulias 1,641,486 46.29% −23.68%
Green LeAlan Jones 129,571 3.65% N/A
Libertarian Michael Labno 95,762 2.70% +1.35%
Write-in 1,436 0.04% -0.02%
Total votes 3,545,984 100.0%
Republican gain from Democratic
United States Senate election in Illinois, 2010[59][60]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Mark Kirk 1,778,698 48.01% +20.96%
Democratic Alexi Giannoulias 1,719,478 46.42% −23.55%
Green LeAlan Jones 117,914 3.18% N/A
Libertarian Michael Labno 87,247 2.36% +1.01%
Write-in 1,136 0.03% -0.03%
Total votes 3,704,473 100.0%
Republican gain from Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[edit]

References

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  1. ^ a b "Illinois Special Election for U.S. Senate Seat". Triblocal. Chicagoland Publishing Company, Inc. August 11, 2010. Archived from the original on July 26, 2011. Retrieved August 12, 2010.
  2. ^ "Constitution Party forced out of fall election". Columbia Chronicle. September 7, 2010. Archived from the original on September 21, 2010. Retrieved September 15, 2010.
  3. ^ a b "Judge confirms same ballots in Ill. Sen. elections". The Associated Press. August 2, 2010.[dead link]
  4. ^ Bohan, Caren (November 13, 2008). Doina Chiacu (ed.). "UPDATE 1-Obama resigns Senate seat effective Sunday". Reuters. Retrieved November 13, 2008.
  5. ^ McCormick, John; Rick Pearson (November 13, 2008). "Obama friend Jarrett not interested in Senate seat". Chicagotribune.com Clout Street blog. Retrieved November 13, 2008.
  6. ^ (AFP) – January 5, 2009 (January 5, 2009). "Illinois governor's pick for US Senate heads to Washington". Archived from the original on February 1, 2013. Retrieved June 14, 2010.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  7. ^ Hulse, Carl (January 13, 2009). "Burris Will Take His Seat as a Senator From Illinois (Published 2009)". The New York Times.
  8. ^ Sidoti, Liz (January 15, 2009). "Burris takes his place as Obama's Senate successor". Yahoo News. Archived from the original on January 19, 2009. Retrieved January 15, 2009.
  9. ^ a b Pierce, Emily (July 9, 2009). "Burris Won't Run in 2010". Roll Call. Retrieved June 15, 2010.
  10. ^ a b c "Election Results". www.elections.il.gov. Illinois State Board of Elections. Archived from the original on February 22, 2020. Retrieved March 23, 2020.
  11. ^ "Voter Turnout". www.elections.il.gov. Illinois State Board of Elections. Retrieved March 22, 2020.[permanent dead link]
  12. ^ "Voter Turnout". www.elections.il.gov. Illinois State Board of Elections. Retrieved March 22, 2020.[permanent dead link]
  13. ^ "Giannoulias to run for Senate seat". The State-Journal Register. July 26, 2009. Retrieved June 15, 2010.
  14. ^ Spielman, Fran (August 27, 2009). "Chicago inspector general quits to run for Senate". Chicago Sun-Times. Archived from the original on February 8, 2010. Retrieved April 20, 2010.
  15. ^ Kraushaar, Josh (August 10, 2009). "Giannoulias gets primary opponent". Politico. Retrieved June 15, 2010.
  16. ^ "Illinois U.S. Senate, Robert Marshall (D)". KSDK.
  17. ^ "Chicago Attorney Enters U.S. Senate Race". WBBM-TV. September 8, 2009. Archived from the original on December 29, 2009. Retrieved April 20, 2010.
  18. ^ Christman, Zach (January 31, 2010). "Openly Gay Senate Candidate Drops Out". WMAQ-TV. Retrieved June 15, 2010.
  19. ^ "publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com". publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com. May 21, 2009. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  20. ^ Korecki, Natasha (March 6, 2009). "suntimes.com". Chicago Sun-Times. Archived from the original on April 18, 2009. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  21. ^ "dailyherald.com". dailyherald.com. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  22. ^ Pallasch, Abdon M. (February 1, 2010). "Meister backs Giannoulias as U.S. Senate rivals rally for support". Chicago Sun-Times. Archived from the original on February 4, 2010. Retrieved February 1, 2010.
  23. ^ "IL US Senate – D Primary Race – February 2, 2010". Our Campaigns. Retrieved April 20, 2010.
  24. ^ "Primary election results". Chicago Tribune. Archived from the original on July 2, 2010. Retrieved June 15, 2010.
  25. ^ "IL US Senate – R Primary Race – February 2, 2010". Our Campaigns. Retrieved April 20, 2010.
  26. ^ Magellan Data
  27. ^ "Election Results GENERAL PRIMARY - 2/2/2010". Illinois State Board of Elections. February 2, 2010. Archived from the original on September 20, 2018. Retrieved December 13, 2017.
  28. ^ a b "NPR Inside – Press Releases". Npr.org. April 30, 1997. Retrieved April 20, 2010.
  29. ^ "Michael Labno for U.S. Senate". Archived from the original on March 5, 2010. Retrieved February 9, 2010.
  30. ^ "It's official: Four U.S. Senate candidates, five for governor". Chicago Tribune. August 27, 2010.
  31. ^ "Board of Elections adds Libertarian Party candidates to Illinois ballot". Abclocal.go.com. August 27, 2010. Archived from the original on August 31, 2010. Retrieved October 20, 2010.
  32. ^ a b c Thomas, Charles (August 27, 2010). "Libertarian Party adds candidates to ballot". WLS-TV ABC Channel 7. Archived from the original on August 31, 2010. Retrieved September 15, 2010.
  33. ^ Lee, Robert (February 4, 2010). "Kirk Looks Ahead to November << Liveshots". Liveshots.blogs.foxnews.com. Archived from the original on July 26, 2011. Retrieved April 20, 2010.
  34. ^ Chase, John (February 3, 2010). "Clout St: Giannoulias, Kirk already scrapping in contest for Obama's old Senate seat". Newsblogs.chicagotribune.com. Retrieved April 20, 2010.
  35. ^ Geraghty, Jim (February 3, 2010). "MSNBC's Dylan Ratigan Needs a Map". Campaignspot.nationalreview.com. Archived from the original on July 12, 2012. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
  36. ^ Farley, Robert (July 8, 2010). "Senate candidate Mark Kirk says rival gave mobsters bank loans". St. Petersburg Times PolitiFact.com. Retrieved September 15, 2010.
  37. ^ Pallasch, Abdon M. (August 26, 2010). "Sen. Scott Brown stumps for Mark Kirk". Chicago Sun-Times. Archived from the original on August 29, 2010.
  38. ^ Sabella, Jen (August 17, 2010). "Mark Kirk's Ex-Wife Joins Campaign After Slamming Top Kirk Consultant". Huffington Post. Retrieved October 20, 2010.
  39. ^ Davey, Monica (February 4, 2010). "Illinois Senate Race Worries Democrats Anew". The New York Times. Retrieved April 1, 2010.
  40. ^ Pearson, Rick (August 5, 2010). "Obama raises nearly $1 million for Giannoulias". Chicago Breaking News Center. Retrieved September 19, 2010.
  41. ^ Wills, Christopher (August 30, 2010). "Kirk talks trade, Giannoulias talks environment". Bloomington-Normal Pantagraph. Retrieved September 18, 2010.
  42. ^ "Health Care | Alexi Giannoulias | Democrat for U.S. Senate, Illinois". Alexiforillinois.com. Archived from the original on October 19, 2010. Retrieved October 20, 2010.
  43. ^ Lester, Kerry (September 3, 2010). "Kirk, Giannoulias, outline spending cuts". Daily Herald. Retrieved September 18, 2010.
  44. ^ Gilmer, Marcus (August 17, 2010). "Kirk, Alexi Weigh In On Ground Zero Mosque". Chicagoist. Archived from the original on November 17, 2011. Retrieved October 20, 2010.
  45. ^ a b Lester, Kerry (September 17, 2010). "Giannoulias talks up Libertarian in attempt to siphon votes from Kirk". Daily Herald. Retrieved September 18, 2010.
  46. ^ "Mike Labno – Biography". Project Vote Smart. Retrieved September 15, 2010.
  47. ^ "Illinois Senate Democratic campaign declares Libertarian Mike Labno a threat to Republican". Independent Political Report. August 26, 2010. Retrieved September 19, 2010.
  48. ^ Pallasch, Abdon (September 19, 2010). "Tea Party, protesters clash at Glenn Beck event". Chicago Sun-Times. Archived from the original on September 22, 2010. Retrieved September 19, 2010.
  49. ^ "Senate". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  50. ^ "Senate Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  51. ^ "Battle for the Senate". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  52. ^ "2010 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  53. ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Senate". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  54. ^ Guzzardi, Will (August 26, 2010). "Kirk, Giannoulias Agree On Two Debates; Kirk Still Says Alexi Is 'Ducking'". Huffington Post. Retrieved October 20, 2010.
  55. ^ "Kirk and Giannoulias Debate in D.C., Jones and Labno in Chicago". October 11, 2010.
  56. ^ "2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Illinois". fec.gov. Retrieved July 25, 2010.[permanent dead link]
  57. ^ "Election Results SPECIAL GENERAL ELECTION - 11/2/2010". Illinois State Board of Elections. November 2, 2010. Archived from the original on September 20, 2018. Retrieved December 13, 2017.
  58. ^ "2010 SPECIAL GENERAL ELECTION". Illinois State Board of Elections.[permanent dead link]
  59. ^ "Election Results GENERAL ELECTION - 11/2/2010". Illinois State Board of Elections. November 2, 2010. Archived from the original on September 20, 2018. Retrieved December 13, 2017.
  60. ^ "2010 GENERAL ELECTION". Illinois State Board of Elections.[permanent dead link]

Notes

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  1. ^ In December 2008, Burris was appointed by Governor Rod Blagojevich to fill the vacancy caused by the resignation of Senator Barack Obama, who had elected President of the United States.
  2. ^ Meister dropped out two days before the election and endorsed Giannoulias, but his name remained on the ballot.[18]
[edit]

Debates and forums

Official campaign sites (Archived)