2018 Progressive Conservative Association of Nova Scotia leadership election

Progressive Conservative leadership election
← 2010 October 27, 2018
Turnout77.12%
 
CC
Candidate Tim Houston Cecil Clarke John Lohr
Home riding Pictou East None Kings North
First ballot 2,496.75
48.95% 		1,385.71
27.17% 		692.45
13.58%
Second ballot Winner Withdrew Withdrew
 
ESM
JC
Candidate Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin Julie Chaisson
Home riding Cumberland North None
First ballot 384.96
7.55% 		140.13
2.75%
Second ballot Withdrew Dropped
2018 Progressive Conservative Association of Nova Scotia leadership election
DateOctober 27, 2018
ConventionHalifax Exhibition Centre
Resigning leaderJamie Baillie
Won byTim Houston
Ballots1
Candidates5
Entrance Fee$25,000[1]

The 2018 Progressive Conservative Association of Nova Scotia leadership election took place on October 27, 2018, due to Jamie Baillie's announcement that he was stepping down as leader of the Progressive Conservative Association of Nova Scotia on November 1, 2017.[2] Baillie was to remain in the position until a new leader was elected,[2] however on January 24, 2018, he announced his resignation with immediate effect due to "allegations of inappropriate behaviour".[3]

Unlike the system of delegated conventions previously used, this election was conducted on a One Member One Vote basis, weighted so that each electoral district being allocated 100 points, which were distributed proportionally according to each candidate's level of support.[4]

Timeline

[edit]
  • November 1, 2017 - Jamie Baillie announces his resignation, effective upon the election of a new leader.
  • November 19, 2017 - Tim Houston becomes the first candidate to officially enter the race.
  • January 8, 2018 - John Lohr announced his bid for the leadership.
  • January 24, 2018 - Baillie moves up his resignation, having it take effect immediately; Karla MacFarlane becomes interim leader.
  • February 3, 2018 - Cecil Clarke announced his bid for the leadership.
  • February 6, 2018 - Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin announced her bid for the leadership.
  • February 8, 2018 - Julie Chaisson announced her bid for the leadership.
  • August 13, 2018 - Deadline for candidates to submit nomination.
  • October 27, 2018 - Leadership convention is held in Halifax.

Candidates

[edit]

Julie Chaisson

[edit]
Background

Candidate of Record in Chester-St. Margaret's (2017)

Date campaign launched: February 8, 2018[5][6]
Campaign website: www.juliechaisson.ca
  • MLAs:
  • Former MLAs:
  • Federal politicians:
  • Municipal politicians:
  • Other prominent individuals:

Cecil Clarke

[edit]
Background

Mayor of the Cape Breton Regional Municipality (2012-2020), Attorney General of Nova Scotia (2007-2009), Minister of Justice (2007-2009), Speaker of the House of Assembly (2006-2007), Minister of Energy (2003-2006), Minister of Economic Development (2003), MLA for Cape Breton North (2001-2011)

Date campaign launched: February 3, 2018[7]
Campaign website: www.cecilclarke.ca
Supporters

Tim Houston

[edit]
Tim Houston
Background

MLA for Pictou East (2013–Present)

Date campaign launched: November 19, 2017[8][9]
Campaign website: www.timhouston.ca
Supporters

John Lohr

[edit]
John Lohr
Background

MLA for Kings North (2013–Present)

Date campaign launched: January 8, 2018[10][11]
Campaign website: www.johnlohr.ca
Supporters

Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin

[edit]
Background

MLA for Cumberland North (2017–Present)

Date campaign launched: February 6, 2018[12]
Campaign website: www.elizabethforleader.ca
Supporters

Declined

[edit]

Debates

[edit]
Debates among candidates for the 2018 Progressive Conservative Party of Nova Scotia leadership election
No. Date Time Place Participants
 P  Participant
 N  Non-invitee  A  Absent invitee  O  Out of race (exploring or withdrawn) 		Tim Houston Cecil Clarke John Lohr Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin Julie Chaisson
Progressive Conservative Association of Nova Scotia leadership election debates
1 May 24, 2018 7 p.m. AST NSCC Middleton Campus, Middleton P P P P P
2 June 21, 2018 7 p.m. AST Alderney Landing Theatre, Dartmouth P P P P P
3 July 12, 2018 7 p.m. AST Centre Communautaire de Par-en-bas, Tusket P P P P P
4 August 9, 2018 7 p.m. AST Joan Harriss Cruise Pavilion, Sydney P P P P P
5 September 11, 2018 7 p.m. AST Best Western Plus, Bridgwater P P P P P
6 October 10, 2018 7 p.m. AST Best Western Glengarry, Truro P P P P P

Results

[edit]
Tim Houston Cecil Clarke John Lohr Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin Julie Chaisson Total
Constituency Votes Points Votes Points Votes Points Votes Points Votes Points Votes
Annapolis 48 42.86 13 11.61 43 38.39 6 5.36 2 1.79 112
Antigonish 178 70.36 59 23.32 13 5.14 2 0.79 1 0.40 253
Argyle-Barrington 55 57.89 26 27.37 9 9.47 1 1.05 4 4.21 95
Bedford 86 42.36 68 33.50 25 12.32 19 9.36 5 2.46 203
Cape Breton-Richmond 43 27.74 103 66.45 5 3.23 3 1.94 1 0.65 155
Cape Breton Centre 21 16.03 105 80.15 4 3.05 0 0 1 0.76 131
Chester-St. Margaret's 77 44.51 56 32.37 8 4.62 5 2.89 27 15.61 173
Clare-Digby 60 57.69 10 9.62 28 26.92 6 5.77 0 0 104
Clayton Park West 73 53.68 22 16.18 10 7.35 31 22.79 0 0 136
Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley 94 58.75 33 20.63 19 11.88 10 6.25 4 2.50 160
Colchester North 45 29.61 73 48.03 9 5.92 22 14.47 3 1.97 152
Cole Harbour-Eastern Passage 114 69.94 22 13.50 11 6.75 15 9.20 1 0.61 163
Cole Harbour-Portland Valley 67 59.82 23 20.54 14 12.50 7 6.25 1 0.89 112
Cumberland North 18 8.49 11 5.19 3 1.42 179 84.43 1 0.47 212
Cumberland South 131 54.36 23 9.54 11 4.56 75 31.12 1 0.41 241
Dartmouth East 100 68.03 24 16.33 11 7.48 10 6.80 2 1.36 147
Dartmouth North 47 59.49 10 12.66 12 15.19 5 6.33 5 6.33 79
Dartmouth South 66 64.08 14 13.59 11 10.68 9 8.74 3 2.91 103
Eastern Shore 61 66.30 18 19.57 8 8.70 4 4.35 1 1.09 92
Fairview-Clayton Park 62 62.63 10 10.10 14 14.14 11 11.11 2 2.02 99
Glace Bay 139 53.67 119 45.95 1 0.39 0 0 0 0 259
Guysborough–Eastern Shore–Tracadie 73 58.40 40 32.00 10 8.00 2 1.60 0 0 125
Halifax Armdale 48 53.33 16 17.78 9 10.00 15 16.67 2 2.22 90
Halifax Atlantic 37 47.44 18 23.08 10 12.82 4 5.13 9 11.54 78
Halifax Chebucto 58 37.91 61 39.87 7 4.58 20 13.07 7 4.58 153
Halifax Citadel-Sable Island 66 45.21 40 27.40 8 5.48 26 17.81 6 4.11 146
Halifax Needham 58 50.00 36 31.03 10 8.62 11 9.48 1 0.86 116
Hammonds Plains-Lucasville 47 46.08 22 21.57 20 19.61 5 4.90 8 7.84 102
Hants East 30 46.88 11 17.19 17 26.56 3 4.69 3 4.69 64
Hants West 45 51.72 13 14.94 24 27.59 3 3.45 2 2.30 87
Inverness 53 48.18 47 42.73 9 8.18 1 0.91 0 0 110
Kings North 16 6.04 8 3.02 237 89.43 4 1.51 0 0 265
Kings South 40 21.51 14 7.53 126 67.74 4 2.15 2 1.08 186
Kings West 79 47.31 23 13.77 60 35.93 5 2.99 0 0 167
Lunenburg 37 34.58 45 42.06 17 15.89 4 3.74 4 3.74 107
Lunenburg West 31 31.00 53 53.00 11 11.00 5 5.00 0 0 100
Northside-Westmount 62 15.20 339 83.09 4 0.98 2 0.49 1 0.25 408
Pictou Centre 390 73.72 85 16.07 51 9.64 3 0.57 0 0 529
Pictou East 801 87.93 60 6.59 47 5.16 3 0.33 0 0 911
Pictou West 231 73.57 41 13.06 39 12.42 2 0.64 1 0.32 314
Preston-Dartmouth 27 71.05 3 7.89 6 15.79 1 2.63 1 2.63 38
Queens-Shelburne 118 71.95 25 15.24 5 3.05 12 7.32 4 2.44 164
Sackville-Beaver Bank 83 62.88 13 9.85 22 16.67 5 3.79 9 6.82 132
Sackville-Cobequid 65 53.28 8 6.56 13 10.66 4 3.28 32 26.23 122
Sydney-Whitney Pier 31 18.90 124 75.61 8 4.88 0 0 1 0.61 164
Sydney River-Mira-Louisbourg 49 16.07 245 80.33 7 2.30 3 0.98 1 0.33 305
Timberlea-Prospect 67 65.69 12 11.76 11 10.78 12 11.76 0 0 102
Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River 170 70.25 35 14.46 16 6.61 21 8.68 0 0 242
Victoria-The Lakes 34 18.28 146 78.49 5 2.69 1 0.54 0 0 186
Waverley-Fall River-Beaver Bank 101 57.39 31 17.61 15 8.52 14 7.95 15 8.52 176
Yarmouth 36 46.75 20 25.97 16 20.78 3 3.90 2 2.60 77
Total 4,568 2,496.75 2,476 1,385.71 1,109 692.45 618 384.96 176 140.13 8,947

Opinion polls

[edit]
Polling firm/Link Last date
of polling 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Julie
Chaisson 		Cecil
Clarke 		Tim
Houston 		John
Lohr 		Elizabeth
Smith-McCrossin 		None of the above Don't know/no answer
Corporate Research Associates September 1, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 10% 19% 9% 4% 6% 18% 32%
Corporate Research Associates May 23, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 13% 23% 11% 4% 4% 10% 34%
Corporate Research Associates February 1, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 26% 10% 5% 11% 8% 40%

References

[edit]
  1. ^ Laroche, Jean (June 11, 2019). "PC leadership race costly for some candidates who faced campaign debts". CBC Nova Scotia. Retrieved January 19, 2022.
  2. ^ a b "Jamie Baillie quitting role as leader of Progressive Conservatives". CBC News. November 1, 2017. Retrieved November 1, 2017.
  3. ^ "PC Leader Jamie Baillie forced out after allegations of 'inappropriate behaviour'". CBC News. January 24, 2018. Retrieved January 24, 2018.
  4. ^ "N.S. Progressive Conservatives to choose new party leader Saturday". October 25, 2018.
  5. ^ "Farmers market head joins race to lead Progressive Conservatives". CBC News. February 9, 2018. Retrieved February 9, 2018.
  6. ^ "Julie Chaisson joins Nova Scotia Tory leadership race". February 8, 2018. Retrieved February 9, 2018.
  7. ^ "Cecil Clarke announces bid for PC leadership". CBC News. February 3, 2018. Retrieved February 3, 2018.
  8. ^ "'Time to win': Tim Houston running for PC Party leader". CBC News. November 19, 2017. Retrieved November 22, 2017.
  9. ^ "Tim Houston announces bid for PC leadership". The Chronicle Herald. November 20, 2017. Archived from the original on December 1, 2017. Retrieved November 22, 2017.
  10. ^ "John Lohr announces bid for PC Party leadership". CBC News. January 8, 2018. Retrieved January 8, 2018.
  11. ^ "Kings North MLA John Lohr announces he will run for Nova Scotia PC party leadership". Digby County Courier. January 8, 2018. Archived from the original on January 8, 2018. Retrieved May 24, 2024.
  12. ^ "Rookie MLA announces run for PC Party leadership". CBC News. February 6, 2018. Retrieved January 8, 2018.
  13. ^ "Houston welcomes Lohr to PC leadership race". The News. January 15, 2018. Retrieved January 24, 2018.
  14. ^ a b "VIBERT: Baillie's leaving behind a big political prize". The Coast Guard. November 2, 2017. Archived from the original on November 2, 2017. Retrieved May 24, 2024.
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