2021 Honduran general election

2021 Honduran general election
← 2017 28 November 2021 (2021-11-28) 2025 →
Registered5,182,425
Presidential election
Turnout69.09% (Increase 11.60pp)
 
Nominee Xiomara Castro Nasry Asfura Yani Rosenthal
Party Libre National Liberal
Running mate Salvador Nasralla Mireya Agüero Yadira Bendaña
Popular vote 1,716,793 1,240,260 335,762
Percentage 51.12% 36.93% 10.00%
Castro:      <40%      40-50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Asfura:      <40%      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
Rosenthal:      <40%
President before election

Juan Orlando Hernández
National

Elected President

Xiomara Castro
Libre

Parliamentary election
All 128 seats in the National Congress
65 seats needed for a majority
Party Leader Vote % Seats +/–
Libre Manuel Zelaya 40.23 50 +20
National David Chávez 30.18 44 −17
PSH Salvador Nasralla 12.73 10 New
Liberal Yani Rosenthal 11.14 22 −4
CD Marco Antonio Reyes 0.96 1 0
PAC Marlene Alvarenga 0.79 1 0
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.
Results of the congressional election
President of the Congress before President of the Congress after
Mauricio Oliva
National		 Luis Redondo
PSH

General elections were held in Honduras on 28 November 2021. Among the positions being contested was the President of Honduras, head of state and head of government of Honduras, to replace Juan Orlando Hernández from the National Party. Also up for election were the 128 deputies of the National Congress, 20 deputies to the Central American Parliament, 298 mayors and 298 vice mayors, as well as 2,092 council members.

Following the election, Nasry Asfura of the National Party and Xiomara Castro of Libre both declared victory as votes were being counted. On 30 November 2021, Asfura and the National Party conceded to Castro. Castro's win made her the first female president-elect of Honduras, the person with the most votes obtained in the history of Honduras, and ended 12 years of conservative National Party rule. She also became the first President elected from a party other than the National Party, Liberal Party, or their predecessors.

Background

[edit]

Incumbent president Juan Orlando Hernández was first elected in 2013 after defeating Xiomara Castro, and re-elected in 2017 after orchestrating an amendment to Constitution of Honduras to allow for his reelection.[1] There were large protests against Hernandez following the 2017 elections,[2] which the OAS stated contained numerous irregularities.

Electoral system

[edit]

The President of Honduras is elected by plurality, with the candidate receiving the most votes in a single round of voting declared the winner.[3]

The 128 members of the National Congress are elected by open list proportional representation from 18 multi-member constituencies based on the departments ranging in size from one to 23 seats.[4] Seats are allocated using the Hare quota.[4] Each voter can cast as many votes as the number of seats to be filled in the district. Votes are cast for individual candidates.

Primary elections

[edit]

Party primaries were held on 14 March 2021 to elect which candidates would represent each party.[5]

Movements Candidates Votes Total Map
National Party (PNH)
Unity and Hope Nasry Asfura 681,701 (70.12%) Valid votes: 972,139
Invalid votes: 86,369
Blank Votes: 108,791
Total: 1,167,299
(46.53%)
     Nasry Asfura 80%-90%      Nasry Asfura 70%-80%      Nasry Asfura 60%-70%      Nasry Asfura 50%-60%      Mauricio Oliva 50%-60%
Together We Can Mauricio Oliva 290,438 (29.88%)
Liberal Party (PLH)
Yanista Movement Yani Rosenthal 339,001 (49.97%) Valid votes: 678,370
Invalid votes: 41,460
Blank Votes: 58,867
Total: 778,697
(31.04%)
     Yani Rosenthal 70%-80%      Yani Rosenthal 60%-70%      Yani Rosenthal 50%-60%      Yani Rosenthal 40%-50%      Luis Zelaya 60%-70%      Luis Zelaya 50%-60%      Luis Zelaya 30%-40%      Dario Banegas 30%-40%
Recover Honduras Luis Zelaya 230,242 (33.94%)
The Hope of Honduras Darío Banegas 109,127 (16.09%)
Liberty and Refoundation (Libre)
Somos+ Xiomara Castro 404,238 (79.08%) Valid votes: 511,201
Invalid votes: 26,123
Blank Votes: 25,106
Total: 562,430 (22.43%)
     Xiomara Castro >90%      Xiomara Castro 80%-90%      Xiomara Castro 70%-80%      Xiomara Castro 60%-70%
M-28 Power for You
Popular Refoundation Force FRP
People Organized in Resistance POR
Free People
AAAMEL
5 July Movement Nelson Ávila 58,995 (11.54%)
Nueva Corriente Carlos Eduardo Reina 25,368 (4.96%)
Free Honduras Wilfredo Méndez 22,600 (4.42%)
Total 2,508,426 (100.00%)
Source: National Electoral Council

Candidates

[edit]

Nasry Asfura

[edit]

Nasry Asfura is the current mayor of Honduras's capital, Tegucigalpa, and a member of the ruling right-wing National Party of Honduras.[5] During the campaign, Asfura distanced himself from former President Juan Orlando Hernandez's alleged involvement within drug trafficking schemes engaged by his brother. Asfura is known by his supporters as "Papi a la orden" or "Daddy at your service."[6]

Asfura prioritized upgrades to infrastructure and job creation. In addition, Asfura pledged support towards the business, health, education, and manufacturing sectors.[6]

Xiomara Castro

[edit]

Xiomara Castro, the First Lady of Honduras from 2006 to 2009, was the presidential candidate for the left-wing Liberty and Refoundation (Libre) party in the 2013 general election, finishing in second place. She founded the party with her husband Manuel Zelaya after he was deposed in the 2009 Honduran coup d'état.[5]

Her thirty-point campaign platform includes a referendum on a new constitution, the establishment of diplomatic relations with the People's Republic of China, the creation of a UN-backed anti-corruption commission modeled on the International Commission against Impunity in Guatemala (CICIG) and advancing women's rights. On economic issues, she opposes the ZEDES semi-autonomous free trade zones promoted by Juan Orlando Hernández and supports social programs to fight poverty while maintaining good relations with the private sector. She also proposes the reform of the Security, Defense, Coalition, and Secrecy Laws.[7][8]

Yani Rosenthal

[edit]

Yani Rosenthal is a longtime member of the centrist Liberal Party of Honduras. He is a businessman and was sentenced to three years in a US prison for laundering drug money, being released in 2020 just in time to begin his presidential campaign.[5]

Withdrawn candidates

[edit]
  • Milton Benítez, independent candidate who withdrew to support Xiomara Castro[9]
  • Salvador Nasralla, a candidate in 2013 and 2017, was planning to run as the candidate of the Savior Party of Honduras,[5] but withdrew from the election on 13 October to become Castro's running mate.[10]
  • Santos Rodriguez Orellana, independent candidate who was arrested under drug trafficking and homicide charges.[11]

Opinion polls

[edit]
Pollster Date Sample size Nasry Asfura
 Xiomara Castro
 Salvador Nasralla
 Yani Rosenthal
 Other Undecided/
abstention
2021 election 28 November 2021 — 36.4 50.6 — 10.0 3.0 —
LeVote[12] Exit-Poll — 35.1 50.5 — 12.0 2.4 —
TResearch[13] 22–25 November 2021 1,000 28.2 42.9 — 4.0 2.9 22.1
Paradigma[14] 14–26 October 2021 3,463 27.7 25.7 — 6.6 2 38
CESPAD 14–20 October 2021 1,726 21 38 — 3 5 33
Nasralla withdrew on 13 October 2021
Paradigma[15] 30 September 2021 3,355 22.7 18.7 10.1 5.5 2.7 40.3
CID-Gallup[16] 10 September 2021 1,288 21 18 18 13 2 28
TResearch[17] 8–9 September 2021 1,000 30.9 31.8 15.8 9.3 2.2 9.9
Paradigma[18] 11–26 August 2021 4,446 15.0 13.8 7.5 4.8 0.6 58.5
Paradigma[19] 28 June–13 July 2021 3,003 12.4 12.9 7.1 6.1 1.3 60.2
CESPAD[20] 13 April–7 May 2021 1,888 14.9 11.7 7.9 6.6 7.6 51.1
Primary elections held on 14 March 2021
C&E Research[21] 2 March 2021 600 14.2 13.8 15.5 14.1 — 42.4

Results

[edit]

Both Asfura and Castro declared victory on election night as votes continued to be counted.[22] On 30 November 2021, Asfura's National Party conceded defeat to Castro.[23] Asfura announced in a statement that he met with Castro and her family to congratulate her win.[24]

Castro's victory marked the end of 12 years of National Party control of the presidency, following the constitutional crisis and the subsequent coup d'état that ousted Castro's husband in 2009. Castro is the first female president of Honduras.[24]

President

[edit]
CandidatePartyVotes%
Xiomara CastroLiberty and Refoundation1,716,79351.12
Nasry AsfuraNational Party1,240,26036.93
Yani RosenthalLiberal Party335,76210.00
Milton BenítezHumane Honduras8,8570.26
Carlos Mauricio PortilloChristian Democratic Party7,1030.21
Romeo Vásquez VelásquezHonduran Patriotic Alliance6,5560.20
Kelin Pérez GómezBroad Front6,0530.18
Esdras Amado LópezNew Route5,9110.18
Alexander MiraSavior Party of Honduras5,7110.17
Marlon EscotoWe are all Honduras5,3820.16
Alfonso Díaz NarváezDemocratic Unification Party5,0810.15
Julio Lopéz CasacaAnti-Corruption Party4,1810.12
José Coto GarcíaGo-Solidary Movement3,7680.11
Lempira Cuauhtemoc VianaDemocratic Liberation Party3,3610.10
Santos Orlando Rodriguez OrellanaIndependent Movement Dignity and Hope3,2740.10
Total3,358,053100.00
Valid votes3,358,05393.79
Invalid votes142,4953.98
Blank votes79,9792.23
Total votes3,580,527100.00
Registered voters/turnout5,182,42569.09
Source: CNE

National Congress

[edit]
PartyVotes%Seats+/–
Liberty and Refoundation12,758,09840.2350+20
National Party9,573,02930.1844–17
Savior Party of Honduras4,035,97012.7310New
Liberal Party3,531,88711.1422–5
Innovation and Unity Party335,2271.060–4
Christian Democratic Party305,5380.9610
Anti-Corruption Party251,1960.7910
Honduran Patriotic Alliance227,9400.720–4
Democratic Unification Party160,5100.510–1
Go-Solidary Movement147,9110.470New
New Route114,8980.360New
We Are All Honduras112,1960.3500
Democratic Liberation Party95,7540.300New
Broad Front65,1130.2100
Total31,715,267100.001280
Registered voters/turnout5,167,105–
Source: CNE

Parlacen

[edit]
PartySeats
Liberty and Refoundation10
National Party8
Liberal Party2
Total20
Source: CNE

Reactions

[edit]

International

[edit]
  • Organization of American States: the head of the Electoral Observation Mission of the OAS, Luis Guillermo Solís, remarked the responsibility with which Hondurans voted in an "atmosphere of peace and civility" and that the three majority political forces of the country contributed to celebrate "a peaceful election day". Even so, he regretted that an agreement was not reached to reform the electoral law and that the deficiencies detected must be improved.[25]
  •  Canada: The Government of Canada congratulated Castro for being the first woman President-elect. Canada states that they are looking forward to work with Castro on several priorities, particularly democracy, inclusivity, abortion, and reducing corruption.[26]
  •  Nicaragua: The President of Nicaragua Daniel Ortega and his Vice President Rosario Murillo congratulated among the first the candidate Xiomara Castro through an official statement published on 29 November 2021, stating: "Dear Xiomara, Dear Brothers: We salute with much respect and appreciation the progress towards the electoral triumph in Dear Honduras, where that Brother People lives the hope of better times. ... In our closeness and good neighborhood, we continue determined to advance creating the future.".[27]
  •  Spain: The Government of Spain congratulated Xiomara Castro on her victory, which is "symbolising the achievements in the struggle for the equality of Honduran women". He also praised Castro's message of "reconciliation, peace and justice" in her victory speech and the Honduran people for a "smooth" election.[28]
  •  United States: United States Secretary of State Antony Blinken congratulated Castro on her win following Asfura's concession. In a statement, he expressed congratulations to Castro for becoming the first female president of Honduras.[29][30]
  •  Venezuela: President Nicolás Maduro expressed through Twitter his congratulations to Castro for her "historic victory".[31]

National

[edit]

Aftermath

[edit]

A few months after the election and the end of Hernández's term, it was revealed that on 1 July 2021, Hernández had his visa revoked by the U.S. Department of State, due to involvements in corruption and in the illegal drug trade.[33][34] On 14 February 2022, he was surrounded by the national police and DEA agents at his home in Tegucigalpa, after the U.S. government had requested his extradition for his involvement with narcotics.[35][36][37] On 15 February 2022, he agreed to surrender to US authorities,[38] and on 21 April, Hernández was extradited to the United States.[39] On 8 March 2024, Hernández was convicted of three counts of drug trafficking and weapons conspiracy, the mandatory minimum sentence for which is 40 years in prison.[40]

References

[edit]
  1. ^ Kahn, Carrie (27 November 2021). "Honduran voters want to protest the president. Their options are a cast of characters". NPR. Retrieved 29 November 2021.
  2. ^ Cuevas, Freddy (15 December 2017). "Opposition blocks highways after Honduras presidential vote". AP News. Retrieved 29 November 2021.
  3. ^ "Elections: Honduras Presidential Nov 09". IFES Election Guide. Retrieved 6 April 2021.
  4. ^ a b "Elections: Honduras National Congress". IFES Election Guide. Retrieved 6 April 2021.
  5. ^ a b c d e "Meet the Candidates: Honduras". Americas Quarterly. Retrieved 6 April 2021.
  6. ^ a b Palencia, Gustavo (26 November 2021). "Honduran ruling party hopeful Asfura faces uphill climb". Reuters. Retrieved 1 December 2021.
  7. ^ O'Boyle, Brendan (14 October 2021). "Could Honduras Shift Left? A Look at Xiomara Castro". Americas Quarterly.
  8. ^ "'No pondré ni un solo impuesto al pueblo hondureño'". La Prensa. 6 September 2021.
  9. ^ "Milton Benítez, 'Perro amarillo', de Honduras Humana, se une a Xiomara Castro". Diario El Heraldo (in Spanish). Retrieved 4 December 2021.
  10. ^ "Last Minute Alliance Shifts Honduras Election Scene". Havana Times. El Faro. 18 October 2021. Retrieved 30 November 2021.
  11. ^ "Honduras: arrestan a Santos Rodríguez Orellana por narcotráfico y homicidio". Deutsche Welle (in European Spanish). 5 November 2021. Retrieved 29 November 2021.
  12. ^ "Encuesta a boca de urna de LeVote le da ventaja a Xiomara Castro". La Tribuna (in Spanish). 28 November 2021. Retrieved 28 November 2021.
  13. ^ Carlos Penna (25 November 2021). "ASÍ VAN HONDURAS: XIOMARA CASTRO A LA CABEZA". TResearch (in Spanish). Retrieved 26 November 2021.
  14. ^ "En su última encuesta del proceso electoral actual, Paradigma declara empate técnico entre Nasry Asfura y Xiomara Castro". HCH.TV (in Spanish). 27 October 2021. Retrieved 28 October 2021.
  15. ^ Coello, Ingris (30 September 2021). "A menos de dos meses de las elecciones generales, Nasry Asfura es el candidato favorito para la presidencia de Honduras, según el estudio #90 de la firma Encuestadora Paradigma". Diario Paradigma (in Spanish). Retrieved 5 October 2021.
  16. ^ "CID Gallup: la mayoría cree que Nasry Asfura será el presidente". www.laprensa.hn (in Spanish). Retrieved 13 October 2021.
  17. ^ Carlos Penna (11 September 2021). "ASÍ VAN HONDURAS: XIOMARA CASTRO A LA CABEZA". TResearch (in Spanish). Retrieved 11 October 2021.
  18. ^ Zelaya, Fanny (30 August 2021). "Nasry Asfura y Xiomara Castro, siguen como favoritos para ganar las elecciones generales, según el estudio #89 de la firma Encuestadora Paradigma".
  19. ^ Coello, Ingris (22 July 2021). "A cuatro meses de las elecciones generales, Xiomara Castro aventaja con estrecho margen la candidatura a la presidencia, según el estudio #88 de la firma Encuestadora Paradigma".
  20. ^ "Análisis: Fragmentación y necesidad de articulación política: un análisis sobre la fidelidad partidaria y la intención del voto en Honduras". CESPAD (in Spanish). Archived from the original on 28 October 2021. Retrieved 21 May 2021.
  21. ^ "Honduras. Destino 21. Marzo 2021". ceonline (in Spanish). 3 March 2021. Retrieved 1 June 2021.
  22. ^ "Opposition leads after 'massive' turnout in Honduras election". Al Jazeera. 30 November 2021. Retrieved 1 December 2021.
  23. ^ "Leftist candidate Xiomara Castro set to become Honduras's first female president". CBC News. Thomson Reuters. 30 November 2021. Retrieved 1 December 2021.
  24. ^ a b "Xiomara Castro Edges Closer to Honduran Presidency as Opponent Concedes". The New York Times. The Associated Press. 1 December 2021. Retrieved 1 December 2021.
  25. ^ "La misión de la OEA destaca que los hondureños votaron con "responsabilidad" en un "ambiente de paz y civilidad"". Europa Press (in Spanish). 1 December 2021. Retrieved 1 December 2021.
  26. ^ ""Congratulations @XiomaraCastroZ..."". Government of Canada. Retrieved 3 December 2021.
  27. ^ "Gobierno de Nicaragua saluda avance hacia el Triunfo Electoral en Honduras". La Voz del Sandinismo (in Spanish). 29 November 2021. Archived from the original on 3 December 2021. Retrieved 3 December 2021.
  28. ^ "The Government of Spain congratulates the President-elect of Honduras". Government of Spain. 1 December 2021. Retrieved 1 December 2021.
  29. ^ "Honduras to get first female president after ruling party concedes defeat". The Guardian. The Associated Press. 1 December 2021. Retrieved 1 December 2021.
  30. ^ "The Election in Honduras". Federal government of the United States. Retrieved 3 December 2021.
  31. ^ "Maduro felicita a Xiomara Castro por su "histórica victoria" en las elecciones en Honduras". Europa Press (in Spanish). 29 November 2021. Retrieved 1 December 2021.
  32. ^ Alire Garcia, David; Palencia, Gustavo (30 November 2021). "Honduras set for first woman president as ruling party concedes election defeat". Reuters (in Spanish).
  33. ^ Blinken, Antony J. (7 February 2022). "U.S. Actions Against Former Honduran President Juan Orlando Hernandez for Corruption". U.S. Department of State. Archived from the original on 7 February 2022. Retrieved 7 February 2022.
  34. ^ "CNN: EE UU pide en extradición a Juan Orlando Hernández". www.laprensa.hn (in Spanish). Archived from the original on 15 February 2022. Retrieved 15 February 2022.
  35. ^ "Estados Unidos pide la extradición del expresidente hondureño Juan Orlando Hernández, según fuentes". Univision (in Spanish). Archived from the original on 15 February 2022. Retrieved 15 February 2022.
  36. ^ "U.S. requests extradition of ex Honduran president Hernandez - sources". Univision (in Spanish). Archived from the original on 15 February 2022. Retrieved 15 February 2022.
  37. ^ "El expresidente hondureño Hernández es capturado tras la petición de EE.UU. por narcotráfico". EFE (in Spanish). Archived from the original on 15 February 2022. Retrieved 15 February 2022.
  38. ^ "Ex-Honduras president agrees to extradition to the US". CNN. 15 February 2022. p. 1. Archived from the original on 15 February 2022. Retrieved 16 February 2022.
  39. ^ Brigida, Anna Catherine; Sieff, Kevin; Sheridan, Mary Beth; Chaoul, Alejandra Ibarra (21 April 2022). "Honduras ex-president Juan Orlando Hernández extradited to U.S." The Washington Post. Archived from the original on 21 April 2022. Retrieved 21 April 2022.
  40. ^ Ernst, Jeff (8 March 2024). "'He paved a cocaine superhighway': ex-Honduran president convicted in New York trafficking trial". The Guardian. Retrieved 8 March 2024.
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