2019 Alberta general election
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87 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Alberta 44 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Turnout | 67.5%[1] (10.5pp) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Popular vote by riding. As this is a first-past-the-post election, seat totals are not determined by total popular vote, but instead by results in each riding. Riding names are listed at the bottom. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2019 Alberta general election was held on April 16, 2019, to elect 87 members to the 30th Alberta Legislature.[2] In its first general election contest, the Jason Kenney-led United Conservative Party (UCP) won 54.88% of the popular vote and 63 seats, defeating incumbent Premier Rachel Notley. The governing Alberta New Democratic Party (NDP) were reduced to 24 seats and formed the Official Opposition. The United Conservative Party was formed in 2017 from a merger of the Progressive Conservative Party and the Wildrose Party after the NDP's victory in the 2015 election ended nearly 44 years of Progressive Conservative rule.
The NDP won 24 seats in total: including all but one of the seats in Edmonton (19), three seats in Calgary (Calgary-Buffalo, Calgary-McCall and Calgary-Mountain View), and the seats of Lethbridge-West and St. Albert. The UCP won the remaining 63 seats in the province. Two other parties that won seats in the 2015 election, the Alberta Party and the Alberta Liberals, failed to win any seats, making this election the first Alberta general election since 1993 where only two parties won seats.
The Election Act fixes the election date to a three-month period, between March 1 and May 31 in the fourth calendar year after the preceding election day, which in this case was May 5, 2015. However, this did not affect the powers of the Lieutenant Governor to dissolve the Legislative Assembly before this period.[3]
This election resulted in the highest voter turnout since 1982[4] at 68%, rising from 57% in the last general election held in 2015.[1][5] It marked only the fifth change of government since Alberta became a province in 1905, and also the first time an incumbent government failed to win a second term.
Across the province, 1,896,542 votes were cast in this election.[6]
Background
[edit]The 2015 Alberta general election resulted in a New Democratic majority government headed by Rachel Notley. The New Democrats surprise victory ended the 44-year government led by the Progressive Conservative Association of Alberta, becoming the fourth change in governing party in Alberta's 110 year history. The Wildrose Party formed the Official Opposition under leader Brian Jean, while the incumbent Progressive Conservatives came third place, but were left without a leader after Jim Prentice resigned as leader and disclaimed his seat.[7] The Alberta Liberal Party elected one member with interim leader David Swann capturing his seat, while the Alberta Party elected its first candidate to the Legislature in leader Greg Clark.
Major changes in leadership of opposition parties occurred over the next four years. Former Conservative Party of Canada Member of Parliament and Minister Jason Kenney was elected in the 2017 Progressive Conservatives leadership election on a platform of uniting the right wing parties in Alberta which occurred after Wildrose members voted 95 per cent in favour of merging into the new United Conservative Party and forming the Official Opposition. Later the 2017 United Conservative Party leadership election saw Jason Kenney elected as party leader and leader of the Opposition.
The interim leader of the Alberta Liberal Party and sole Member of the Legislative Assembly declined to contest the 2017 Alberta Liberal Party leadership election, which saw David Khan elected leader of the party. The Alberta Party saw two Members of the Legislative Assembly cross the floor over the four year period. Party leader Greg Clark resigned as leader in 2017, and the 2018 Alberta Party leadership election saw former Progressive Conservative MLA and Edmonton Mayor Stephen Mandel elected as party leader.
Election finance changes
[edit]Following the NDP's election in 2015 the new government's first bill An Act to Renew Democracy in Alberta which amended the Election Finances and Contributions Disclosure Act was passed by the Legislature. The bill banned corporate and union donations to political parties, set rules for political parties accessing loans and reinforced that only Albertans are able to make political contributions.[8] The next year the government introduced further amendments reducing political contributions from $15,000 per year to a total of $4,000 per year (inclusive of parties, constituency associations, candidates, leadership contests, and nominations).[9][10] The election reforms were supported by the Wildrose opposition, but commentators pointed out the changes hurt the Progressive Conservatives which relied on large corporate donations.[9] Reforms also limited party expenses to $2 million between the writ and when polls close, limiting candidates to $50,000 per general election and $23,000 for by-elections.[9][11] Third party advertisers were limited to $150,000 during the official election period, and limited to $3,000 for supporting or opposing a candidate.[9][11]
2017 electoral boundary commission
[edit]The Electoral Boundaries Commission Act requires that a Commission be appointed during the first session of the Legislature following every second general election. The Commission requires a non-partisan chair, two government members recommended by the Premier, and two opposition members. Due to the decision by Premier Jim Prentice to call an early election in 2015, the Commission was required to be formed before the prescribed date in time for the next election in 2019.[12] Previous Commissions had provided for modest redistributions in favour of Alberta's cities which according to Political Scientist Roger Epp brought forward "deep rural anxieties" regarding declining population and influence in Alberta.[12]
The Commission was provided with a mandate which kept the size of the Legislature fixed at 87 seats.[13] The Commission was appointed, led by Justice Myra Bielby, and made only incremental changes, adding one new seat in Calgary and Edmonton, as well as a seat in the Airdrie area.[14] The Commission did, however, make significant statements on the rural-urban divide in Alberta, noting "Alberta is no longer entirely or primarily rural in nature" and a "disproportionate preservation of the rural voice" was no longer acceptable or feasible under law.[14][15] While the Electoral Boundaries Commission Act permits up to four districts to be formed with a population 50 per cent lower than the average population, the Commission only recommended that two of these districts be formed. The districts include Central Peace-Notley which had a population of 28,993 and area of 47,311 km2 (18,267 sq mi), and Lesser Slave Lake which had a population of 27,818, compared to the average population of electoral districts of 46,803 following redistribution.[16]
A minority opinion was presented by Commission members appointed by the opposition, arguing that Alberta's rate of growth was a threat to "a critical part of our history, culture, and primary economic voice" which is at risk of being lost through continued redistribution.[14][17]
The previous redistribution occurred in 2010 when an additional four constituencies were added, increasing the number from 83 to the present 87. Following the 2016 Canadian census the largest constituency Calgary-South East had grown to 79,034, while the smallest constituency Dunvegan-Central Peace-Notley had a population of 25,192.[13]
Results
[edit]The United Conservative Party made a small improvement in its overall share of the popular vote compared to the combined vote of the Progressive Conservative and Wildrose parties which preceded it. The party won 63 seats. The UCP finished no lower than second place in any constituency. UCP leader Jason Kenney won re-election in his constituency.
The Alberta New Democratic Party lost about one-fifth of its vote share, although due to the considerably higher turnout compared to 2015 it actually gained votes. The NDP with 24 seats formed the opposition in the Alberta legislature. The NDP finished first or second in 85 out of 87 ridings. NDP leader and outgoing premier Rachel Notley won re-election in her constituency.
No other party elected any MLAs, with the centrist Alberta Party being the only other party to run a full slate of candidates. The Alberta Party more than quadrupled its overall popular vote, but failed to win any seats. All three Alberta Party incumbents were defeated, with former leader Greg Clark (the only MLA previously elected under the Alberta Party banner) being the only Alberta Party candidate to finish as high as second place. Current Alberta Party leader Stephen Mandel, a former mayor of Edmonton and PC cabinet minister, finished third in his own riding.
The Alberta Liberal Party finished fourth in the overall popular vote, with its vote share falling by more than three quarters. They were shut out of the legislature for the first time since 1982. Liberal Leader David Khan placed fourth in his constituency, which was formerly represented by his retiring predecessor David Swann.
A number of minor parties, including several running to the right of the UCP, contested the election, but none came close to winning any seats. The Alberta Independence Party (which fielded the most candidates after the UCP, NDP and AP) finished fifth in the overall popular vote. The Freedom Conservative Party finished sixth, although they ran fewer candidates compared to the other parties. On average, FCP candidates polled the most votes outside the three largest parties. The FCP's only incumbent (party founder and leader Derek Fildebrandt), who had been originally elected as a representative for the now defunct Wildrose Party, finished a distant third in his own riding.[18] The Green Party of Alberta finished seventh in the overall popular vote and the Alberta Advantage Party finished eighth.
The last time only two parties took all of the seats was in 1993, and the only time before that was in 1913 after the defeat of Socialist Party MLA Charles O'Brien and before the rise of farmer and labour parties. Incumbent Independent MLA Rick Strankman – previously a UCP MLA – finished second place in his riding.
This was the first provincial election in which eligible voters could cast ballots at any advance poll in the province, not just at stations in a person's riding. The program was called "Vote Anywhere" by Elections Alberta.[19]
Notley's 24-member caucus was the largest Official Opposition caucus since the Liberals won 32 seats in 1993. The overall result for the NDP (both in total seats and share of the vote) was the second best in the party's history after its 2015 win.
Due to the non-proportional representation First Past the Post election system that is used in Alberta, in 2019 the NDP swept all but one of the Edmonton seats, while the UCP swept almost all the seats in Calgary and 39 of the 41 seats in rural Alberta. NDP MLAs were elected in 20 of the 21 Edmonton districts, 3 of the 26 Calgary districts and 2 of the 41 districts outside the major cities, the latter including suburban St. Albert.
Summary results
[edit]Party | Votes | Seats | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
United Conservative | 1,040,004 | 2.9pp[a] | 63 / 87 (72%) | 33 | ||
New Democratic | 619,147 | 7.9pp | 24 / 87 (28%) | 30 | ||
Alberta Party | 171,996 | 6.8pp | 0 / 87 (0%) | 1 | ||
Others and independents | 63,838 | 1.8pp | 0 / 87 (0%) | 1 |
Party | Leader | Candidates | Seats | Popular vote | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 | Dissol. | 2019 | +/- | Votes | % | +/- (pp) | ||||
United Conservative | Jason Kenney | 87 | —[b] | 25 | 63 | +33 | 1,040,563 | 54.88% | +2.87[a] | |
New Democratic | Rachel Notley | 87 | 54 | 52 | 24 | −30 | 619,921 | 32.67% | −7.95 | |
Alberta Party | Stephen Mandel | 87 | 1 | 3 | – | −1 | 172,203 | 9.08% | +6.84 | |
Liberal | David Khan | 51 | 1 | 1 | – | −1 | 18,544 | 0.98% | −3.20 | |
Alberta Independence | Dave Bjorkman | 63 | — | – | – | – | 13,531 | 0.71% | New | |
Freedom Conservative | Derek Fildebrandt | 24 | –[c] | 1 | – | – | 9,945 | 0.52% | +0.52 | |
Independent | 25 | – | 3 | – | – | 7,740 | 0.41% | +0.01 | ||
Green | Cheryle Chagnon-Greyeyes | 32 | – | – | – | – | 7,682 | 0.41% | −0.08 | |
Alberta Advantage | Marilyn Burns | 28 | — | – | – | – | 5,618 | 0.30% | New | |
Communist | Naomi Rankin | 4 | – | – | – | – | 302 | 0.02% | 0.00 | |
Progressive Conservative[d] | Jason Kenney[e] | 1 | 9 | 1 | – | −1 | 297 | 0.02% | —[f] | |
Reform | Randy Thorsteinson | 1 | — | – | – | – | 79 | 0.00% | New | |
Pro-Life | Jeremy Fraser | 1 | –[g] | – | – | – | 60 | 0.00% | −0.05 | |
Wildrose[d] | Jason Kenney[e] | 1 | 21 | – | – | – | 57 | 0.00% | —[f] | |
Vacant | 1[h] | 1 | — | |||||||
Blank, rejected and invalid votes | 9,824 | – | – | |||||||
Total | 492 | 87 | 87 | 87 | – | 1,906,366 | 100.00% | – | ||
Registered voters/Turnout | 2,824,309 | 67.50% | – |
- ^ a b c Difference compared to combined results of the Progressive Conservative and Wildrose parties in 2015 (parties merged in 2017).
- ^ The United Conservative Party was founded in 2017 by a merger of the Progressive Conservative and Wildrose parties. Together, these two parties won 30 seats in the 2015 election.
- ^ As the Alberta First Party.
- ^ a b The Progressive Conservative and Wildrose parties merged in 2017 to form the United Conservative Party. Both predecessor parties remain officially registered, sharing a leadership team with the UCP. In order to maintain registration, each fielded a single candidate in the 2019 election.
- ^ a b Kenney's only public presence is as leader of the United Conservative Party.
- ^ a b The Progressive Conservative and Wildrose parties only ran candidates to maintain official registration.
- ^ As the Alberta Social Credit Party.
- ^ Progressive Conservative candidate Jim Prentice disclaimed his victory in Calgary-Foothills. No member was elected from this riding.
Synopsis of results
[edit]2019 Alberta general election - synopsis of riding results[a 1] | ||||||||||||||||||
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Riding[a 2] | 2015 (Redist) | Winning party | Turnout [a 3] | Votes[a 4] | ||||||||||||||
Party | Votes | Share | Margin # | Margin % | UCP | NDP | AP | Lib | AIP | Ind | Other | Total | ||||||
Calgary-Acadia | NDP | UCP | 12,615 | 54.3% | 4,566 | 19.7% | 67.5% | 12,615 | 8,049 | 1,728 | 350 | 245 | – | 243 | 23,230 | |||
Calgary-Beddington | NDP | UCP | 11,625 | 53.4% | 3,807 | 17.5% | 63.0% | 11,625 | 7,818 | 1,799 | 370 | 161 | 117 | – | 21,773 | |||
Calgary-Bow | NDP | UCP | 13,987 | 55.9% | 5,439 | 21.7% | 67.9% | 13,987 | 8,548 | 1,774 | 320 | – | – | 394 | 25,023 | |||
Calgary-Buffalo | NDP | NDP | 11,292 | 48.9% | 2,242 | 9.7% | 60.6% | 9,050 | 11,292 | 1,597 | 590 | 147 | – | 436 | 23,112 | |||
Calgary-Cross | NDP | UCP | 8,907 | 54.3% | 2,772 | 16.9% | 53.5% | 8,907 | 6,135 | 962 | 410 | – | – | – | 16,414 | |||
Calgary-Currie | NDP | UCP | 9,960 | 43.7% | 191 | 0.8% | 66.0% | 9,960 | 9,769 | 2,512 | 491 | – | – | 60 | 22,792 | |||
Calgary-East | NDP | UCP | 7,520 | 49.7% | 2,653 | 17.5% | 47.7% | 7,520 | 4,867 | 1,879 | 439 | – | – | 420 | 15,125 | |||
Calgary-Edgemont | PC | UCP | 13,308 | 52.8% | 4,738 | 18.8% | 69.9% | 13,308 | 8,570 | 2,740 | 305 | 106 | – | 155 | 25,184 | |||
Calgary-Elbow | AP | UCP | 10,951 | 44.3% | 3,409 | 13.8% | 71.7% | 10,951 | 5,796 | 7,542 | 275 | – | – | 132 | 24,696 | |||
Calgary-Falconridge[a 5] | NDP | UCP | 6,753 | 45.6% | 91 | 0.7 % | 51.7% | 6,753 | 6,662 | 849 | 561 | – | – | – | 14,825 | |||
Calgary-Fish Creek | PC | UCP | 15,975 | 61.5% | 8,499 | 32.7% | 72.0% | 15,975 | 7,476 | 1,699 | 359 | 226 | – | 231 | 25,966 | |||
Calgary-Foothills | PC | UCP | 12,277 | 57.0% | 5,292 | 24.6% | 66.1% | 12,277 | 6,985 | 1,680 | 379 | 80 | – | 142 | 21,543 | |||
Calgary-Glenmore | NDP | UCP | 14,565 | 55.6% | 6,186 | 23.6% | 71.6% | 14,565 | 8,379 | 2,217 | 424 | 123 | – | 470 | 26,178 | |||
Calgary-Hays | PC | UCP | 14,186 | 63.2% | 8,480 | 37.8% | 66.0% | 14,186 | 5,706 | 2,052 | 293 | 211 | – | – | 22,448 | |||
Calgary-Klein | NDP | UCP | 10,473 | 47.6% | 1,697 | 7.7% | 64.4% | 10,473 | 8,776 | 1,842 | 396 | 214 | – | 294 | 21,995 | |||
Calgary-Lougheed | PC | UCP | 11,633 | 65.9% | 7,299 | 41.3% | 65.9% | 11,633 | 4,334 | 1,365 | 219 | 101 | 55 | – | 17,652 | |||
Calgary-McCall | NDP | NDP | 6,567 | 51.7% | 1,716 | 13.5% | 55.9% | 4,851 | 6,567 | 636 | 281 | 84 | – | 278 | 12,697 | |||
Calgary-Mountain View | Lib | NDP | 12,526 | 47.3% | 2,818 | 10.6% | 69.6% | 9,708 | 12,526 | 2,345 | 1,474 | 102 | – | 315 | 26,470 | |||
Calgary-North | NDP | UCP | 8,409 | 55.2% | 3,678 | 24.1% | 61.7% | 8,409 | 4,731 | 1,591 | 365 | 128 | – | – | 15,224 | |||
Calgary-North East | NDP | UCP | 8,376 | 49.3% | 2,330 | 13.7% | 62.3% | 8,376 | 6,046 | 1,791 | 761 | – | – | – | 16,374 | |||
Calgary-North West | PC | UCP | 13,565 | 56.8% | 5,954 | 24.9% | 71.8% | 13,565 | 7,611 | 2,171 | 258 | – | 69 | 262 | 23,867 | |||
Calgary-Peigan | NDP | UCP | 13,353 | 59.8% | 6,826 | 30.6% | 66.3% | 13,353 | 6,527 | 1,534 | 425 | 180 | – | 299 | 22,318 | |||
Calgary-Shaw | NDP | UCP | 14,261 | 65.3% | 8,667 | 39.7% | 68.2% | 14,261 | 5,594 | 1,331 | 290 | 146 | – | 212 | 21,834 | |||
Calgary-South East | PC | UCP | 12,860 | 61.2% | 8,877 | 42.2% | 71.2% | 12,860 | 3,983 | 3,810 | 224 | 134 | – | – | 21,011 | |||
Calgary-Varsity | NDP | UCP | 10,853 | 46.2% | 638 | 2.8% | 73.2% | 10,853 | 10,215 | 1,687 | 383 | 101 | – | 274 | 23,513 | |||
Calgary-West | PC | UCP | 14,978 | 66.1% | 9,209 | 40.6% | 69.8% | 14,978 | 5,769 | 1,595 | 300 | – | – | – | 22,651 | |||
Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview | NDP | NDP | 8,834 | 50.9% | 2,526 | 14.6% | 56.1% | 6,308 | 8,834 | 1,283 | 494 | 240 | 84 | 206 | 17,365 | |||
Edmonton-Castle Downs | NDP | NDP | 9,445 | 45.7% | 2,017 | 9.8% | 65.1% | 7,428 | 9,445 | 3,213 | 291 | 294 | – | – | 20,671 | |||
Edmonton-City Centre | NDP | NDP | 13,598 | 66.3% | 9,113 | 44.4% | 59.4% | 4,485 | 13,598 | 1,907 | – | 169 | 95 | 342 | 20,501 | |||
Edmonton-Decore | NDP | NDP | 8,789 | 47.5% | 1,418 | 7.6% | 56.4% | 7,371 | 8,789 | 2,027 | – | 301 | – | – | 18,488 | |||
Edmonton-Ellerslie | NDP | NDP | 9,717 | 50.9% | 2,487 | 13.0% | 65.4% | 7,230 | 9,717 | 1,273 | 390 | 199 | – | 263 | 19,072 | |||
Edmonton-Glenora | NDP | NDP | 11,573 | 58.7% | 5,702 | 28.9% | 61.3% | 5,871 | 11,573 | 1,985 | – | 298 | – | – | 19,727 | |||
Edmonton-Gold Bar | NDP | NDP | 14,562 | 59.5% | 7,388 | 30.2% | 69.0% | 7,174 | 14,562 | 2,008 | 315 | 176 | – | 247 | 24,482 | |||
Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood | NDP | NDP | 9,998 | 63.4% | 5,983 | 37.9% | 51.8% | 4,015 | 9,998 | 1,057 | – | 226 | – | 462 | 15,758 | |||
Edmonton-Manning | NDP | NDP | 9,782 | 50.1% | 2,314 | 11.9% | 59.7% | 7,468 | 9,782 | 1,692 | – | 176 | – | 416 | 19,534 | |||
Edmonton-McClung | NDP | NDP | 8,073 | 43.6% | 1,433 | 7.7% | 64.3% | 6,640 | 8,073 | 3,601 | – | – | – | 188 | 18,502 | |||
Edmonton-Meadows | NDP | NDP | 10,231 | 49.9% | 2,856 | 13.9% | 65.3% | 7,375 | 10,231 | 2,093 | 407 | 178 | – | 211 | 20,495 | |||
Edmonton-Mill Woods | NDP | NDP | 10,461 | 50.0% | 2,453 | 11.7% | 65.0% | 8,008 | 10,461 | 1,560 | 572 | 254 | – | 69 | 20,924 | |||
Edmonton-North West | NDP | NDP | 9,669 | 51.7% | 3,082 | 16.5% | 61.3% | 6,587 | 9,669 | 1,871 | 276 | 149 | – | 136 | 18,688 | |||
Edmonton-Riverview | NDP | NDP | 12,234 | 56.3% | 5,726 | 26.4% | 70.6% | 6,508 | 12,234 | 2,503 | 299 | 190 | 135 | – | 21,734 | |||
Edmonton-Rutherford | NDP | NDP | 12,154 | 54.8% | 4,417 | 19.9% | 69.3% | 7,737 | 12,154 | 1,600 | 375 | 117 | – | 191 | 22,174 | |||
Edmonton-South | NDP | NDP | 10,673 | 46.6% | 792 | 3.4% | 70.7% | 9,881 | 10,673 | 2,156 | – | – | – | 180 | 22,890 | |||
Edmonton-South West | NDP | UCP | 10,254 | 45.0% | 715 | 3.2% | 70.0% | 10,254 | 9,539 | 2,668 | – | – | – | 333 | 22,794 | |||
Edmonton-Strathcona | NDP | NDP | 14,724 | 72.3% | 11,243 | 55.2% | 64.8% | 3,481 | 14,724 | 1,139 | 239 | 86 | 49 | 704 | 20,373 | |||
Edmonton-West Henday | NDP | NDP | 8,820 | 44.1% | 518 | 2.6% | 65.8% | 8,302 | 8,820 | 2,337 | 311 | 239 | – | – | 20,009 | |||
Edmonton-Whitemud | NDP | NDP | 11,373 | 49.2% | 2,253 | 9.8% | 70.7% | 9,120 | 11,373 | 2,335 | – | – | – | 297 | 23,125 | |||
Airdrie-Cochrane | WR | UCP | 18,777 | 66.0% | 11,594 | 40.8% | 74.0% | 18,777 | 7,183 | 1,818 | – | 345 | – | 331 | 28,454 | |||
Airdrie-East | WR | UCP | 16,764 | 67.6% | 11,834 | 47.6% | 70.2% | 16,764 | 4,960 | 2,371 | – | 213 | 112 | 482 | 24,790 | |||
Athabasca-Barrhead-Westlock | WR | UCP | 16,822 | 69.3% | 12,036 | 49.6% | 72.4% | 16,822 | 4,786 | 2,232 | – | 442 | 273 | – | 24,282 | |||
Banff-Kananaskis | NDP | UCP | 10,859 | 51.5% | 1,969 | 9.3% | 68.7% | 10,859 | 8,890 | 941 | 228 | 154 | 80 | – | 21,072 | |||
Bonnyville-Cold Lake-St. Paul | WR | UCP | 15,943 | 73.6% | 12,882 | 59.5% | 65.9% | 15,943 | 3,061 | 2,223 | – | 217 | 162 | 207 | 21,651 | |||
Brooks-Medicine Hat | WR | UCP | 13,606 | 69.2% | 9,594 | 48.8% | 65.6% | 13,606 | 4,012 | 1,554 | 281 | 218 | 2,759 | – | 19,671 | |||
Camrose | PC | UCP | 15,587 | 65.6% | 11,200 | 47.1% | 74.6% | 15,587 | 4,387 | 3,059 | – | 158 | 126 | 560 | 23,751 | |||
Cardston-Siksika | WR | UCP | 11,980 | 77.0% | 9,374 | 60.3% | 65.1% | 11,980 | 2,606 | 589 | 173 | – | 727 | 214 | 15,562 | |||
Central Peace-Notley | WR | UCP | 10,680 | 75.2% | 7,910 | 55.7% | 72.3% | 10,680 | 2,770 | 651 | 106 | – | – | – | 14,207 | |||
Chestermere-Strathmore | WR | UCP | 15,612 | 68.8% | 12,054 | 53.1% | 67.0% | 15,612 | 3,558 | 1,460 | 238 | 136 | 112 | 1,683 | 22,687 | |||
Cypress-Medicine Hat | WR | UCP | 16,483 | 67.1% | 10,087 | 41.1% | 67.4% | 16,483 | 6,396 | 1,122 | 219 | – | – | 359 | 24,579 | |||
Drayton Valley-Devon | WR | UCP | 18,092 | 71.4% | 13,859 | 54.7% | 74.0% | 18,092 | 4,233 | 1,634 | 217 | 233 | 106 | 922 | 25,331 | |||
Drumheller-Stettler | WR | UCP | 16,958 | 83.7% | 15,117 | 74.6% | 74.7% | 16,958 | 1,446 | 1,461 | – | 230 | 1,841 | 176 | 20,271 | |||
Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche | WR | UCP | 9,836 | 66.3% | 6,201 | 41.8% | 58.2% | 9,836 | 3,635 | 857 | – | 271 | – | 230 | 14,829 | |||
Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo | WR | UCP | 10,269 | 71.1% | 7,140 | 49.4% | 64.5% | 10,269 | 3,129 | 804 | – | 249 | – | – | 14,451 | |||
Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville | NDP | UCP | 14,233 | 53.6% | 6,443 | 24.2% | 70.2% | 14,233 | 7,790 | 3,386 | – | 261 | – | 869 | 26,539 | |||
Grande Prairie | NDP | UCP | 12,713 | 63.2% | 8,352 | 41.5% | 63.9% | 12,713 | 4,361 | 2,516 | – | 126 | 66 | 392 | 20,108 | |||
Grande Prairie-Wapiti | PC | UCP | 17,772 | 75.6% | 14,249 | 60.6% | 70.7% | 17,772 | 3,523 | 2,277 | – | – | 222 | – | 23,522 | |||
Highwood | WR | UCP | 18,635 | 73.3% | 14,182 | 55.8% | 72.4% | 18,635 | 4,453 | 1,988 | – | 362 | – | – | 25,438 | |||
Innisfail-Sylvan Lake | WR | UCP | 19,030 | 74.9% | 15,577 | 61.3% | 73.3% | 19,030 | 3,453 | 2,337 | – | – | 106 | 602 | 25,422 | |||
Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland | NDP | UCP | 15,860 | 65.7% | 10,214 | 42.3% | 72.3% | 15,860 | 5,646 | 1,870 | – | 413 | – | 337 | 24,126 | |||
Lacombe-Ponoka | WR | UCP | 17,379 | 71.3% | 13,740 | 56.4% | 74.8% | 17,379 | 3,639 | 2,520 | – | 279 | – | 555 | 24,372 | |||
Leduc-Beaumont | NDP | UCP | 14,982 | 58.6% | 7,731 | 30.3% | 72.4% | 14,982 | 7,251 | 2,206 | 212 | 165 | 71 | 765 | 25,581 | |||
Lesser Slave Lake | NDP | UCP | 5,873 | 57.7% | 2,197 | 21.6% | 63.1% | 5,873 | 3,676 | 381 | – | 251 | – | – | 10,181 | |||
Lethbridge-East | NDP | UCP | 11,883 | 52.4% | 3,108 | 13.7% | 66.8% | 11,883 | 8,775 | 1,054 | 512 | 453 | – | – | 22,677 | |||
Lethbridge-West | NDP | NDP | 11,016 | 45.2% | 226 | 0.9% | 68.7% | 10,790 | 11,016 | 1,763 | 460 | 332 | – | – | 24,361 | |||
Livingstone-Macleod | WR | UCP | 17,644 | 70.6% | 12,519 | 50.1% | 69.5% | 17,644 | 5,125 | 1,276 | 258 | 430 | – | 244 | 24,977 | |||
Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin | NDP | UCP | 12,796 | 64.1% | 8,059 | 40.4% | 69.1% | 12,796 | 4,737 | 1,382 | – | – | – | 1,041 | 19,956 | |||
Morinville-St. Albert | NDP | UCP | 13,435 | 50.0% | 4,527 | 16.8% | 72.8% | 13,435 | 8,908 | 3,963 | – | 204 | – | 355 | 26,865 | |||
Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills | WR | UCP | 20,516 | 78.6% | 17,446 | 66.8% | 72.0% | 20,516 | 3,070 | 1,779 | – | – | – | 752 | 26,117 | |||
Peace River | NDP | UCP | 9,770 | 69.4% | 6,631 | 47.1% | 60.4% | 9,770 | 3,139 | 721 | 198 | – | – | 249 | 14,077 | |||
Red Deer-North | NDP | UCP | 12,739 | 60.6% | 7,866 | 37.4% | 66.0% | 12,739 | 4,873 | 2,769 | – | 248 | – | 389 | 21,018 | |||
Red Deer-South | NDP | UCP | 16,159 | 60.3% | 9,315 | 34.8% | 71.9% | 16,159 | 6,844 | 3,244 | – | – | – | 545 | 26,792 | |||
Rimbey-Rocky Mountain House-Sundre | WR | UCP | 20,579 | 81.8% | 18,286 | 72.7% | 75.2% | 20,579 | 2,293 | 1,350 | – | 185 | 50 | 750 | 25,157 | |||
Sherwood Park | NDP | UCP | 12,119 | 45.4% | 1,434 | 5.4% | 76.6% | 12,119 | 10,685 | 3,509 | – | 216 | – | 183 | 26,712 | |||
Spruce Grove-Stony Plain | NDP | UCP | 15,843 | 59.4% | 8,007 | 30.0% | 71.7% | 15,843 | 7,836 | 2,597 | – | 417 | – | – | 26,693 | |||
St. Albert | NDP | NDP | 12,336 | 46.2% | 1,654 | 6.2% | 72.7% | 10,682 | 12,336 | 2,817 | 317 | 172 | – | 368 | 26,692 | |||
Strathcona-Sherwood Park | NDP | UCP | 14,151 | 52.6% | 5,456 | 20.3% | 76.4% | 14,151 | 8,695 | 3,605 | – | 141 | 67 | 289 | 26,881 | |||
Taber-Warner | WR | UCP | 14,321 | 78.1% | 11,958 | 65.2% | 65.1% | 14,321 | 2,363 | 1,443 | 205 | – | – | – | 18,332 | |||
Vermilion-Lloydminster-Wainwright | PC | UCP | 19,768 | 79.3% | 17,278 | 69.3% | 79.8% | 19,768 | 2,490 | 1,615 | – | – | 133 | 1,068 | 24,941 | |||
West Yellowhead | NDP | UCP | 16,381 | 68.7% | 11,469 | 48.1% | 67.8% | 16,381 | 4,912 | 2,073 | – | 229 | 123 | 261 | 23,856 |
- ^ "Provincial Results". elections.ab.ca. Elections Alberta. Retrieved January 8, 2023.
- ^ initially sorted by electoral district number
- ^ including spoilt ballots
- ^ minor political parties receiving less than 1% of the popular vote in 2019 or 2015, or otherwise fielding candidates in less than half the ridings in 2019, are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately
- ^ also an open seat
- = results as certified in a judicial recount
- = open seat
- = incumbents switched allegiance after 2015 election
- = UCP candidate stripped of nomination
Detailed analysis
[edit]Party | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
United Conservative | 63 | 24 | – | – | – | |
New Democratic | 24 | 61 | 1 | 1 | – | |
Alberta Party | – | 1 | 83 | 3 | – | |
Independent | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ||
Freedom Conservative | – | – | 1 | 16 | 5 | |
Liberal | – | – | – | 40 | 8 | |
Alberta Independence | – | – | – | 15 | 22 | |
Alberta Advantage | – | – | – | 7 | 11 | |
Green | – | – | – | 3 | 23 | |
Progressive Conservative | – | – | – | 1 | – | |
Pro-Life | – | – | – | – | 1 |
Party in 1st place | Party in 2nd place | Total | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UC | NDP | AP | Ind | |||
United Conservative | – | 61 | 1 | 1 | 63 | |
New Democratic | 24 | – | – | – | 24 | |
Total | 24 | 61 | 1 | 1 | 87 |
Parties | Seats | |
---|---|---|
█ United Conservative | █ New Democratic | 85 |
█ United Conservative | █ Alberta Party | 1 |
█ United Conservative | █ Independent | 1 |
Total | 87 |
Party | 2015 | Merger | Gain from (loss to) | 2019 | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UCP | NDP | AP | Lib | |||||||||
United Conservative | – | 31 | 31 | 1 | 63 | |||||||
New Democratic | 54 | (31) | 1 | 24 | ||||||||
Wildrose | 21 | (21) | – | |||||||||
Progressive Conservative | 10 | (10) | – | |||||||||
Alberta Party | 1 | (1) | – | |||||||||
Liberal | 1 | (1) | – | |||||||||
Total | 87 | – | – | (32) | 31 | (1) | 1 | – | 1 | – | 87 |
Source | Party | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
UCP | NDP | Total | ||
Seats retained | Incumbents returned | 19 | 21 | 40 |
Open seats held | 10 | 2 | 12 | |
Ouster of incumbents changing affiliation | 2 | 2 | ||
Seats changing hands | Incumbents defeated | 24 | 24 | |
Open seats gained | 8 | 1 | 9 | |
Total | 63 | 24 | 87 |
Significant results among independent and minor party candidates
[edit]Those candidates not belonging to a major party, receiving more than 1,000 votes in the election, are listed below:
Riding | Party | Candidates | Votes | Placed |
---|---|---|---|---|
Brooks-Medicine Hat | █ Independent | Todd Beasley | 2,759 | 3rd |
Chestermere-Strathmore | █ Freedom Cons. | Derek Fildebrandt | 1,683 | 3rd |
Drumheller-Stettler | █ Independent | Rick Strankman | 1,841 | 2nd |
Results by region
[edit]Party | Calgary[a] | Edmonton[b] | North | Central[c] | South[d] | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
United Conservative | Seats: | 23 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 11 | 63 | |
Popular vote, %: | 53.2 | 34.6 | 69.4 | 63.5 | 64.2 | 54.9 | ||
New Democratic | Seats: | 3 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | |
Popular vote, %: | 34.0 | 52.6 | 20.3 | 23.1 | 25.1 | 32.7 | ||
Total seats | 26 | 20 | 9 | 20 | 12 | 87 | ||
Parties that won no seats: | ||||||||
Alberta Party | Popular vote, %: | 9.5 | 9.9 | 8.0 | 9.8 | 6.3 | 9.1 | |
Liberal | Popular vote, %: | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | |
Alberta Independence | Popular vote, %: | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | |
Freedom Conservative | Popular vote, %: | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.5 | |
Independent | Popular vote, %: | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 0.4 | |
Green | Popular vote, %: | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | |
Alberta Advantage | Popular vote, %: | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.3 | |
Communist | Popular vote, %: | 0.0 | 0.1 | — | — | — | 0.0 | |
Progressive Conservative[e] | Popular vote, %: | — | 0.1 | — | — | — | 0.0 | |
Reform | Popular vote, %: | — | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0 | |
Pro-Life | Popular vote, %: | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | 0.0 | |
Wildrose[e] | Popular vote, %: | — | 0.0 | — | — | — | 0.0 | |
Turnout, % | 62.9 | 60.6 | 63.4 | 68.5 | 64.1 | 64.0 |
- ^ The Calgary region includes only ridings inside the city (i.e., ridings starting with "Calgary").
- ^ The Edmonton region includes only ridings inside the city (i.e., ridings starting with "Edmonton").
- ^ The central region includes the 12 "Central" districts plus 7 Edmonton suburban districts, making a total of 19.
- ^ The south region includes the seven "South" districts plus six Calgary suburban districts, making a total of 13.
- ^ a b The Progressive Conservative and Wildrose parties merged in 2017 to form the United Conservative Party. Both predecessor parties remain officially registered, sharing a leadership team with the UCP. In order to maintain registration, each fielded a single candidate in the 2019 election.
Campaign finance
[edit]For the 2019 Alberta general election all parities cumulatively raised a total of $7.9 million and spent $11.3 million.[21] At the constituency level, Calgary-Mountain View had the highest expenses at a total of $212,354,[22] including four candidates which exceed $40,000.[23] Of the 38 candidates which exceeded $45,000 in expenses, 21 were elected.[22] Third party advertisers raised a total of $2.1 million and spent $1.9 million during the election.[24] Unions contributed 46 per cent of the revenue for third party advertisers, corporations contributed 39 per cent, and individuals contributed 15 per cent.[25]
2019 Alberta general election Campaign Expenses | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Leader | Candidates | Revenue | Expenses | Surplus (Deficit) | |
United Conservative | Jason Kenney | 87 | $3,888,776 | $5,512,035 | $(1,620,166) | |
New Democratic | Rachel Notley | 87 | $3,703,786 | $5,411,903 | $(1,708,117) | |
Alberta Party | Stephen Mandel | 87 | $206,597 | $199,935 | $6,662 | |
Liberal | David Khan | 51 | $101,104 | $129,563 | $(28,459) | |
Freedom Conservative | Derek Fildebrandt | 24 | $17,234 | $46,050 | $(28,816) | |
Green | Cheryle Chagnon-Greyeyes | 32 | $14,895 | $41,702 | $(26,807) | |
Alberta Advantage | Marilyn Burns | 28 | $7,563 | $15,176 | $(7,613) | |
Alberta Independence | Dave Bjorkman | 63 | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
Communist | Naomi Rankin | 4 | $0 | $98 | $(98) | |
Pro-Life | Jeremy Fraser | 1 | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
Progressive Conservative | Jason Kenney | 1 | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
Reform | Randy Thorsteinson | 1 | $0 | $450 | $(450) | |
Wildrose | Jason Kenney | 1 | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
Total | $7,939,955 | $11,356,912 | $(3,413,864) | |||
Source: Elections Alberta[21] |
Timeline
[edit]2015
[edit]- May 5: The Alberta New Democratic Party (NDP) wins a majority government in the 29th Alberta General Election, defeating the long-ruling Progressive Conservative Association of Alberta (PCs) after close to 44 years in office. The Wildrose Party remains the official opposition, with the PCs dropping to third and the Alberta Liberal Party and Alberta Party winning one seat each. Outgoing Premier Jim Prentice announces his resignation as PC leader, and disclaims his victory in Calgary-Foothills, leaving the riding vacant and triggering a by-election.
- May 11: Ric McIver, PC MLA-elect for Calgary-Hays and outgoing cabinet minister, is appointed interim leader of the PCs.[26]
- May 15: Elections Alberta publishes the official election results.[27]
- May 22: Deborah Drever, NDP MLA-elect for Calgary-Bow, is suspended from the NDP caucus for controversial social media posts.[28]
- May 24: Rachel Notley, NDP MLA-elect for Edmonton-Strathcona, is sworn in as Alberta's 17th Premier, along with her 11-member Cabinet.[29]
- June 1: The new MLAs are sworn in.[30]
- June 11: The first session of the 29th Alberta Legislative Assembly begins.[31]
- August 6: Premier Notley calls a by-election for Calgary-Foothills, vacated by Jim Prentice's disclamation of victory, with the vote to be held on September 3.[32]
- September 3: The Calgary-Foothills by-election is held. Wildrose candidate Prasad Panda is elected.[33]
- November 23: Manmeet Bhullar, PC MLA for Calgary-Greenway, dies in a highway crash, triggering a by-election in his riding.[34]
2016
[edit]- January 8: Deborah Drever, Independent MLA for Calgary-Bow, rejoins the NDP.[35]
- February 23: Premier Notley calls a by-election for Calgary-Greenway, vacated by Manmeet Bhullar's death, with the vote to be held on March 22.[36]
- March 22: The Calgary-Greenway by-election is held. PC candidate Prabhdeep Gill is elected.[37]
- May 27: Derek Fildebrandt, Wildrose MLA for Strathmore-Brooks, is suspended from caucus for controversies over a social media post regarding Ontario Premier Kathleen Wynne.[38]
- May 31: Derek Fildebrandt, MLA for Strathmore-Brooks, has suspension lifted by the Wildrose Party after promising to follow set conditions.[39]
- November 17: Sandra Jansen, PC MLA for Calgary-North West, joins the NDP after allegations of harassment during the PC leadership race.[40]
2017
[edit]- March 18: Jason Kenney, former federal cabinet minister, is elected PC leader on a platform of joining with the Wildrose to form a united right-of-centre party.[41]
- May 18: PC leader Jason Kenney and Wildrose leader Brian Jean announce that merger referendums will be held in their parties on July 22, 2017. If they pass, with thresholds of 50%+1 of PC members and 75% of Wildrose members, the parties will begin the process of merging into the United Conservative Party, or UCP.[42]
- May 25: The Alberta Electoral Boundaries Commission presents its interim report, proposing changes to the boundaries and names of the province's ridings for the next election.[43][44]
- June 4: David Khan is elected leader of the Liberal Party, becoming the first openly gay leader of a major Alberta political party.[45] David Swann, MLA for Calgary-Mountain View, had been serving as interim leader since the resignation of Raj Sherman in January 2015.
- July 22: The PC and Wildrose parties hold unity referendums on the question of merging into the United Conservative Party. Both parties approve the merger with 95% support.[46]
- July 24: The UCP legislative caucus meets for the first time and appoints Nathan Cooper, Wildrose MLA for Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills, as interim leader.[47] Richard Starke, PC MLA for Vermilion-Lloydminster, announces that he will not join the UCP caucus, and will continue sitting as a PC until the party is formally deregistered. This did not occur prior to dissolution of the House, thus, Starke never officially became an independent MLA.[48]
- July 25: The UCP caucus is formally established in the legislature, comprising all 22 Wildrose MLAs and 7 of the 8 PC MLAs. Richard Starke continues to sit as a PC MLA.[49][50]
- July 27: The UCP is formally registered with Elections Alberta. The PC and Wildrose parties remain registered, but both share the UCP's leadership team.[51]
- August 15: Derek Fildebrandt, UCP MLA for Strathmore-Brooks, resigns from the UCP caucus following an expense scandal, becoming an Independent.[52]
- September 21: Rick Fraser, UCP MLA for Calgary-South East, resigns from the UCP caucus, becoming an Independent.[53]
- October 4: Karen McPherson, NDP MLA for Calgary-Mackay-Nose Hill, resigns from the NDP caucus, becoming an Independent.[54]
- October 19: The Alberta Electoral Boundaries Commission releases its final report finalizing names and boundary changes that will take effect for the next provincial election.[55]
- October 28: Jason Kenney is elected leader of the United Conservative Party.[56]
- October 30: Karen McPherson, Independent MLA for Calgary-Mackay-Nose Hill, joins the Alberta Party caucus.[57]
- November 1: Dave Rodney, UCP MLA for Calgary-Lougheed, resigns as MLA, triggering a by-election in his riding. Rodney stepped down in order to allow Kenney a chance to enter the legislature.[58]
- November 16: Premier Notley calls a by-election for Calgary-Lougheed, vacated by Dave Rodney's resignation, with the vote to be held on December 14.[59]
- November 18: Greg Clark resigns as leader of the Alberta Party, triggering a leadership election for the party.[60] Clark assumes the role of interim leader until the leadership election.[61]
- December 14: The Calgary-Lougheed by-election is held. UCP candidate and leader Jason Kenney is elected.[62]
2018
[edit]- January 9: Rick Fraser, Independent MLA for Calgary-South East, joins the Alberta Party caucus.[63]
- February 2: Don MacIntyre, UCP MLA for Innisfail-Sylvan Lake, resigns from the UCP caucus, becoming an Independent.[64]
- February 5: Don MacIntyre, Independent MLA for Innisfail-Sylvan Lake, resigns as MLA, triggering a by-election in his riding. MacIntyre stepped down following sexual assault and sexual interference charges.[64]
- February 27: Stephen Mandel is elected leader of the Alberta Party.[65]
- March 5: Brian Jean, UCP MLA for Fort McMurray-Conklin, resigns as MLA, triggering a by-election in his riding.[66]
- June 14: Premier Notley calls by-elections for Innisfail-Sylvan Lake and Fort McMurray-Conklin, vacated by Don MacIntyre and Brian Jean's respective resignations, with the vote to be held on July 12.[67]
- July 12: In by-elections, Laila Goodridge is elected in Fort McMurray-Conklin and Devin Dreeshen is elected in Innisfail-Sylvan Lake. Both seats were retained by the UCP.[68]
- July 14: Prab Gill, UCP MLA for Calgary-Greenway, resigns from the UCP caucus, becoming an Independent.[69]
- July 20: Derek Fildebrandt, Independent MLA for Strathmore-Brooks, joins the Freedom Conservative Party of Alberta and is appointed interim leader until the leadership election.[70]
- October 20: Derek Fildebrandt is acclaimed leader of the Freedom Conservative Party of Alberta.[71]
- November 5: Robyn Luff, NDP MLA for Calgary-East, is withdrawn as the party's nominee for the district and is removed from the NDP caucus, becoming an Independent.[72][73]
2019
[edit]- January 2: Stephanie McLean, NDP MLA for Calgary-Varsity, resigns her seat.[74] As a spring general election is anticipated, no by-election is called in this riding.[75]
- January 15: Rick Strankman, UCP MLA for Drumheller-Stettler, resigns from the UCP caucus, becoming an Independent. Strankman claimed "hyper partisan self-centered politics" and the lack of grassroots voting within the party as his reason for leaving the caucus.[76]
- February 9: Alberta Party leader Stephen Mandel is declared ineligible to run by Elections Alberta because of late paperwork submission.[77]
- March 4: The ruling on Stephen Mandel's eligibility to run is reversed.[78]
- March 19: Premier Notley announced that the election would take place on April 16.[79]
- April 4: Televised Leader's Debate.[80]
- April 13: Advanced Polling ends with Elections Alberta estimation of a record 696,000 votes cast.[81][82]
Opinion polling
[edit]The following is a list of scientific opinion polls of published voter intentions.
Last Date of Polling | Polling organisation | Sample size | NDP | UCP | Liberal | Alberta | Freedom Conservative | Lead | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
April 16, 2019 | General Election | 1,894,985 | 32.7% | 54.9% | 1.0% | 9.1% | 0.5% | 22.2% | |
April 15, 2019 | Forum Research[p 1] | 1,140 | 34.6% | 50.6% | 2.2% | 10.9% | 16% | ||
April 15, 2019 | Research Co.[p 2] | 602 | 39% | 49% | 2% | 9% | 10% | ||
April 14, 2019 | Mainstreet Research[p 3] | 1,288 | 40.1% | 47.5% | 2.1% | 7.9% | 1.1% | 7.4% | |
14 April 2019 | Pollara Insights[p 4] | 1,005 | 39% | 45% | 3% | 8% | 1% | 6% | |
14 April 2019 | Ipsos[p 5] | 1,202 | 40% | 50% | 1% | 7% | 10% | ||
13 April 2019 | Nanos Research[p 6] | 500 | 36.4% | 44.3% | 3.2% | 12.0% | 2.2% | 7.9% | |
13 April 2019 | Leger[p 7] | 1,505 | 36% | 50% | 3% | 8% | 14% | ||
10 April 2019 | Pollara Insights[p 8] | 1,005 | 38% | 45% | 4% | 8% | 2% | 7% | |
8 April 2019 | Angus Reid[p 9] | 807 | 39% | 52% | 1% | 6% | 13% | ||
8 April 2019 | Ipsos[p 10] | 800 | 39% | 47% | 2% | 10% | 8% | ||
8 April 2019 | Innovative Research[p 11] | 506 | 31% | 44% | 7% | 11% | 13% | ||
6 April 2019 | ThinkHQ[p 12] | 1,139 | 40% | 46% | 2% | 8% | 1% | 6% | |
5 April 2019 | Mainstreet Research[p 13] | 876 | 38% | 50.5% | 2% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 12.5% | |
5 April 2019 | Forum Research[p 14] | 1,132 | 32% | 55% | 1% | 7% | 23% | ||
4 April 2019 | Televised leaders' debate | ||||||||
3 April 2019 | Leger[p 15] | 1,003 | 38% | 47% | 4% | 9% | 9% | ||
1 April 2019 | Research Co.[p 16] | 600 | 40% | 45% | 3% | 6% | 5% | ||
30 March 2019 | Janet Brown Opinion Research[p 17] | 900 | 34% | 53% | 4% | 8% | 19% | ||
26 March 2019 | EKOS[p 18] | 1,015 | 42% | 46% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 4% | |
19 March 2019 | Dissolution of the 29th Alberta Legislative Assembly, campaign begins | ||||||||
19 March 2019 | Mainstreet Research[p 19] | 1,160 | 37.1% | 50.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 13.6% | |
18 March 2019 | Angus Reid[p 20] | 812 | 31% | 56% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 25% | |
17 March 2019 | Ipsos[p 21] | 900 | 35% | 52% | 5% | 6% | 17% | ||
17 March 2019 | ThinkHQ[p 22] | 1,196 | 38% | 49% | 3% | 8% | 11% | ||
12 March 2019 | Leger[p 23] | 1,001 | 35% | 47% | 6% | 9% | 12% | ||
25 February 2019 | EKOS[p 24] | 1,028 | 37% | 50% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 13% | |
5 February 2019 | Lethbridge College[p 25] | 1,055 | 23.2% | 57.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 34.6% | |
16 January 2019 | Mainstreet Research[p 26] | 893 | 27.8% | 52.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 2.4% | 24.5% | |
26 November 2018 | ThinkHQ[p 27] | 1,102 | 35% | 50% | 5% | 9% | 15% | ||
3 November 2018 | Mainstreet Research[p 28] | 896 | 29.1% | 54.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 24.9% | |
27 October 2018 | Abacus Data[p 29] | 800 | 33% | 48% | 8% | 8% | 15% | ||
4 October 2018 | Lethbridge College[p 30] | 1,364 | 24.8% | 48.6% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 24.6% | ||
17 July 2018 | Mainstreet Research[p 31] | 936 | 32.5% | 52.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 19.6% | ||
12 June 2018 | Leger[p 32] | 999 | 33% | 47% | 7% | 9% | 14% | ||
18 April 2018 | Mainstreet Research[p 33] | 1,071 | 35.4% | 48.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 13.2% | ||
5 April 2018 | Trend Research / Janet Brown Opinion Research[p 34] | 1,200 | 29% | 53% | 6% | 11% | 24% | ||
27 February 2018 | Stephen Mandel becomes leader of the Alberta Party | ||||||||
4 February 2018 | ThinkHQ[p 35] | 1,185 | 32% | 51% | 5% | 10% | 19% | ||
6 January 2018 | Mainstreet Research[p 36] | 956 | 27.3% | 55.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 28.6% | ||
24 November 2017 | Insights West[p 37] | 701 | 33% | 47% | 10% | 7% | 14% | ||
18 November 2017 | Greg Clark resigns as leader of the Alberta Party, becoming interim leader | ||||||||
13 November 2017 | ThinkHQ[p 38] | 1,314 | 30% | 54% | 5% | 9% | 24% | ||
28 October 2017 | Jason Kenney becomes leader of the United Conservative Party | ||||||||
5 October 2017 | Lethbridge College[p 39] | 1,481 | 19.3% | 55.8% | 12.8% | 5.8% | 36.5% | ||
20 August 2017 | ThinkHQ[p 40] | 1,136 | 31% | 53% | 7% | 7% | 22% | ||
28 July 2017 | Mainstreet Research[p 41] | 2,100 | 29% | 57% | 4% | 9% | 28% | ||
24 July 2017 | Nathan Cooper is appointed interim leader of the United Conservative Party | ||||||||
22 July 2017 | The PC and Wildrose parties vote to merge in joint referendums, forming the United Conservative Party |
Last Date of Polling | Polling organisation | Sample size | NDP | Wildrose | PC | Liberal | Alberta | Lead | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 June 2017 | David Khan becomes leader of the Liberal Party | ||||||||
12 April 2017 | Mainstreet Research[p 42] | 2,421 | 24% | 37% | 29% | 5% | 5% | 8% | |
18 March 2017 | Jason Kenney becomes leader of the Progressive Conservative Association | ||||||||
10 February 2017 | Mainstreet Research[p 43] | 2,589 | 23% | 38% | 29% | 5% | 5% | 9% | |
5 December 2016 | Insights West[p 44] | 701 | 27% | 34% | 27% | 5% | 2% | 7% | |
20 November 2016 | ThinkHQ[p 45] | 1,106 | 31% | 35% | 24% | 4% | 3% | 4% | |
1 November 2016 | Innovative Research[p 46] | 646 | 14% | 25% | 39% | 14% | 2% | 14% | |
8 October 2016 | Lethbridge College[p 47] | 1,513 | 19.7% | 25.7% | 38.4% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 12.7% | |
12 July 2016 | Insights West[p 48] | 601 | 26% | 35% | 22% | 11% | 1% | 9% | |
9 May 2016 | Insights West[p 49] | 713 | 27% | 35% | 22% | 8% | 5% | 8% | |
16 March 2016 | ThinkHQ[p 50] | 1,331 | 27% | 34% | 25% | 8% | 4% | 7% | |
3 February 2016 | Mainstreet Research[p 51] | 3,092 | 27% | 33% | 31% | 5% | 4% | 2% | |
6 December 2015 | ThinkHQ[p 52] | 1,230 | 29% | 33% | 25% | 8% | 3% | 4% | |
10 November 2015 | Insights West[p 53] | 619 | 33% | 28% | 21% | 13% | 2% | 5% | |
1 November 2015 | Mainstreet Research[p 54] | 3,199 | 36% | 37% | 20% | 3% | 4% | 1% | |
1 October 2015 | Mainstreet Research[p 55] | 3,258 | 33% | 39% | 21% | 3% | 4% | 6% | |
30 June 2015 | Mainstreet Research[p 56] | 3,007 | 31% | 40% | 24% | 3% | 2% | 9% | |
11 May 2015 | Ric McIver is appointed interim leader of the Progressive Conservative Association | ||||||||
5 May 2015 | Jim Prentice resigns as leader of the Progressive Conservative Association | ||||||||
May 5, 2015 | General election results[83] | 1,488,248 | 40.6% | 24.2% | 27.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 12.8% |
Incumbent MLAs not seeking re-election
[edit]The following MLAs have announced that they would not run in the 2019 provincial election:
- ^ McLean resigned her seat in early 2019, ahead of the general election, to resume her law career.
Results by riding
[edit]The final list of candidates was published by Elections Alberta on March 29, 2019.[97] The official results were published on May 14, 2019.[98]
Party leaders are in bold. Candidate names appear as they appeared on the ballot.
† = Not seeking re-election
‡ = Running for re-election in different riding
Northern Alberta
[edit]Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NDP | UCP | Liberal | Alberta Party | Other | ||||||||
Athabasca-Barrhead-Westlock | Therese Taschuk 4,786 – 19.5% | Glenn van Dijken 16,822 – 68.5% | Wayne Rufiange 2,232 – 9.1% | Buster Malcolm (AIP) 442 – 1.8% Brad Giroux (Ind.) 273 – 1.1% | Glenn van Dijken Barrhead-Morinville-Westlock | |||||||
Merged riding | ||||||||||||
Colin Piquette † Athabasca-Sturgeon-Redwater | ||||||||||||
Bonnyville-Cold Lake-St. Paul | Kari Whan 3,061 – 14.0% | David Hanson 15,943 – 73.1% | Glenn Andersen 2,223 – 10.2% | David Garnett-Bennett (AIP) 217 – 1.0% David Inscho (AAP) 207 – 0.9% Kacey L. Daniels (Ind.) 162 – 0.7% | Scott Cyr † Bonnyville-Cold Lake | |||||||
Merged riding | ||||||||||||
David Hanson Lac La Biche-St. Paul-Two Hills | ||||||||||||
Central Peace-Notley | Marg McCuaig-Boyd 2,794 – 19.5% | Todd Loewen 10,770 – 75.2% | Wayne F. Meyer 108 – 0.8% | Travis McKim 654 – 4.6% | Margaret McCuaig-Boyd Dunvegan-Central Peace-Notley | |||||||
Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche | Jane Stroud 3,635 – 24.5% | Laila Goodridge 9,836 – 66.3% | Jeff Fafard 857 – 5.8% | Mark Grinder (AIP) 271 – 1.8% Brian Deheer (Gr.) 230 – 1.6% | Laila Goodridge Fort McMurray-Conklin | |||||||
Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo | Stephen Drover 3,129 – 21.7% | Tany Yao 10,269 – 71.1% | Marcus Erlandson 804 – 5.6% | Michael Keller (AIP) 249 – 1.7% | Tany Yao | |||||||
Grande Prairie | Todd Russell 4,361 – 21.6% | Tracy Allard 12,713 – 63.0% | Grant Berg 2,516 – 12.5% | Bernard Hancock (FCP) 392 – 1.9% Ray Robertson (AIP) 126 – 0.6% Rony Rajput (Ind.) 66 – 0.3% | Todd Loewen ‡ Grande Prairie-Smoky | |||||||
Grande Prairie-Wapiti | Shannon Dunfield 3,523 – 14.8% | Travis Toews 17,772 – 74.8% | Jason Jones 2,227 – 9.4% | Terry Dueck (Ind.) 222 – 0.9% | Wayne Drysdale † | |||||||
Lesser Slave Lake | Danielle Larivee 3,676 – 36.1% | Pat Rehn 5,873 – 57.7% | Vincent Rain 381 – 3.7% | Suzette Powder (AIP) 251 – 2.5% | Danielle Larivee | |||||||
Peace River | Debbie Jabbour 3,139 – 22.3% | Dan Williams 9,770 – 69.4% | Remi J. Tardif 198 – 1.4% | Dakota House 721 – 5.1% | Connie Russell (FCP) 249 – 1.8% | Debbie Jabbour |
Edmonton
[edit]27 Edmonton constituencies Six Central Edmonton constituencies Seven North Edmonton constituencies Seven South Edmonton constituencies Seven Suburban Edmonton constituencies
Central
[edit]Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NDP | UCP | Liberal | Alberta Party | Other | ||||||||
Edmonton-City Centre | David Shepherd 13,598 – 66.0% | Lily Le 4,485 – 21.8% | Bob Philp 1,907 – 9.3% | Chris Alders (Gr.) 342 – 1.7% John R. Morton (AIP) 169 – 0.8% Blake N. Dickson (Ind.) 95 – 0.5% | David Shepherd Edmonton-Centre | |||||||
Edmonton-Glenora | Sarah Hoffman 11,573 – 58.7% | Marjorie Newman 5,871 – 29.8% | Glen Tickner 1,985 – 10.1% | Clint Kelley (AIP) 298 – 1.5% | Sarah Hoffman | |||||||
Edmonton-Gold Bar | Marlin Schmidt 14,562 – 59.5% | David Dorward 7,174 – 29.3% | Steve Kochan 315 – 1.3% | Diana Ly 2,008 – 8.2% | Tanya Herbert (Gr.) 247 – 1.0% Vincent Loyer (AIP) 176 – 0.7% | Marlin Schmidt | ||||||
Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood | Janis Irwin 9,998 – 63.4% | Leila Houle 4,015 – 25.5% | Tish Prouse 1,057 – 6.7% | Taz Bouchier (Gr.) 243 – 1.5% Joe Hankins (AIP) 226 – 1.4% Chris Poplatek (AAP) 116 – 0.7% Alex S. Boykowich (Comm.) 103 – 0.7% | Brian Mason † | |||||||
Edmonton-Riverview | Lori Sigurdson 12,234 – 59.5% | Kara Barker 6,508 – 29.8% | Indy Randhawa 299 – 1.4% | Katherine O'Neill 2,503 – 11.4% | Corey MacFadden (AIP) 190 – 0.9% Rob Bernshaw (Ind.) 135 – 0.6% | Lori Sigurdson | ||||||
Edmonton-Strathcona | Rachel Notley 14,724 – 72.1% | Kulshan Gill 3,481 – 17.0% | Samantha Hees 239 – 1.2% | Prem Pal 1,139 – 5.6% | Gary Horan (PC) 295 – 1.5% Stuart Andrews (Gr.) 227 – 1.1% Ian Smythe (AIP) 86 – 0.4% Don Edward Meister (AAP) 62 – 0.3% Naomi Rankin (Comm.) 61 – 0.3% Dale Doan (WRP) 57 – 0.3% Gord McLean (Ind.) 49 – 0.2% | Rachel Notley |
North
[edit]Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NDP | UCP | Liberal | Alberta Party | Other | ||||||||
Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview | Deron Bilous 8,834 – 50.6% | David Egan 6,308 – 36.2% | Shadea Hussein 494 – 2.8% | Jeff Walters 1,283 – 7.4% | Paul A. Burts (AIP) 240 – 1.4% Michael Hunter (Gr.) 206 – 1.2% Andy Andrzej Gudanowski (Ind.) 84 – 0.5% | Deron Bilous | ||||||
Edmonton-Castle Downs | Nicole Goehring 9,445 – 45.7% | Ed Ammar 7,428 – 35.9% | Thomas Deak 291 – 1.4% | Moe Rahall 3,213 – 15.5% | Todd Wayne (AIP) 294 – 1.4% | Nicole Goehring | ||||||
Edmonton-Decore | Chris Nielsen 8,789 – 47.5% | Karen Principe 7,371 – 39.9% | Ali Haymour 2,027 – 11.0% | Virginia Bruneau (AIP) 301 – 1.6% | Chris Nielsen | |||||||
Edmonton-Manning | Heather Sweet 9,782 – 50.1% | Harry Grewal 7,468 – 38.2% | Manwar Khan 1,692 – 8.7% | Adam Cory (AAP) 212 – 1.1% Chris Vallee (Gr.) 204 – 1.0% Terris Kolybaba (AIP) 176 – 0.9% | Heather Sweet | |||||||
Edmonton-McClung | Lorne Dach 8,073 – 43.6% | Laurie Mozeson 6,640 – 35.9% | Stephen Mandel 3,601 – 19.5% | Gordon Perrott (AAP) 188 – 1.0% | Lorne Dach | |||||||
Edmonton-North West | David Eggen 9,669 – 51.7% | Ali Eltayeb 6,587 – 35.2% | Brandon Teixeira 276 – 1.5% | Judy Kim-Meneen 1,871 – 10.0% | Tim Shanks (AIP) 149 – 0.8% Luke Burns (AAP) 136 – 0.7% | David Eggen Edmonton-Calder | ||||||
Edmonton-West Henday | Jon Carson 8,820 – 44.1% | Nicole Williams 8,302 – 41.5% | Leah McRorie 311 – 1.6% | Winston Leung 2,337 – 11.7% | Dave Bjorkman (AIP) 239 – 1.2% | Jon Carson Edmonton-Meadowlark |
South
[edit]Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NDP | UCP | Liberal | Alberta Party | Other | ||||||||
Edmonton-Ellerslie | Rod Loyola 9,717 – 50.9% | Sanjay Patel 7,230 – 37.9% | Mike McGowan 390 – 2.0% | Hazelyn Williams 1,273 – 6.7% | Yash Sharma (AAP) 263 – 1.4% Brian S. Lockyer (AIP) 199 – 1.0% | Rod Loyola | ||||||
Edmonton-Meadows | Jasvir Deol 10,231 – 49.9% | Len Rhodes 7,375 – 36.0% | Maria Omar 407 – 2.0% | Amrit Matharu 2,093 – 10.2% | Thomas Varghese (AAP) 211 – 1.0% Phil Batt (AIP) 178 – 0.9% | Denise Woollard † Edmonton-Mill Creek | ||||||
Edmonton-Mill Woods | Christina Gray 10,461 – 50.0% | Heather Sworin 8,008 – 38.3% | Abdi Bakal 572 – 2.7% | Anju Sharma 1,560 – 7.5% | Dallas Price (AIP) 254 – 1.2% Andrew J. Janewski (Comm.) 69 – 0.3% | Christina Gray | ||||||
Edmonton-Rutherford | Richard Feehan 12,154 – 54.8% | Hannah Presakarchuk 7,737 – 34.9% | Claire Wilde 375 – 1.7% | Aisha Rauf 1,600 – 7.2% | Valerie Kennedy (Gr.) 191 – 0.9% Lionel Levoir (AIP) 117 – 0.5% | Richard Feehan | ||||||
Edmonton-South | Thomas Dang 10,673 – 46.6% | Tunde Obasan 9,881 – 43.2% | Pramod Kumar 2,156 – 9.4% | Ben Roach (Gr.) 180 – 0.8% | New District | |||||||
Edmonton-South West | John Archer 8,743 – 41.4% | Kaycee Madu 9,602 – 45.5% | Mo Elsalhy 2,457 – 11.6% | Marilyn Burns (AAP) 195 – 0.9% Rigel Vincent (Gr.) 119 – 0.6% | Thomas Dang ‡ | |||||||
Edmonton-Whitemud | Rakhi Pancholi 11,373 – 49.2% | Elisabeth Hughes 9,120 – 39.4% | Jonathan Dai 2,335 – 10.1% | Jason Norris (FCP) 297 – 1.3% | Bob Turner † |
Suburbs
[edit]Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NDP | UCP | Liberal | Alberta Party | Other | ||||||||
Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville | Jessica Littlewood 7,790 – 29.4% | Jackie Armstrong Homeniuk 14,233 – 53.6% | Marvin Olsen 3,386 – 12.8% | Malcolm Stinson (FCP) 350 – 1.3% Rebecca Trotter (Gr.) 278 – 1.0% Shane Ladouceur (AIP) 261 – 1.0% Ronald Malowany (AAP) 241 – 0.9% | Jessica Littlewood | |||||||
Leduc-Beaumont | Shaye Anderson 7,251 – 28.3% | Brad Rutherford 14,982 – 58.4% | Chris Fenske 212 – 0.8% | Robb Connelly 2,206 – 8.6% | Gil Poitras (AAP) 304 – 1.2% Jeff Rout (FCP) 258 – 1.0% Jenn Roach (Gr.) 203 – 0.8% Kevin Dunn (AIP) 165 – 0.6% Sharon Maclise (Ind.) 71 – 0.3% | Shaye Anderson | ||||||
Morinville-St. Albert | Natalie Birnie 8,908 – 33.2% | Dale Nally 13,435 – 50.0% | Neil Korotash 3,963 – 14.8% | Mike van Velzen (AIP) 204 – 0.8% Cass Romyn (Gr.) 198 – 0.7% Tamara Krywiak (AAP) 157 – 0.6% | New District | |||||||
St. Albert | Marie Renaud 12,336 – 46.2% | Jeff Wedman 10,682 – 40.0% | Kevin McLean 317 – 1.2% | Barry Bailey 2,817 – 10.6% | Cameron Jefferies (Gr.) 229 – 0.9% Sheldon Gron (AIP) 172 – 0.6% Don Petruka (AAP) 139 – 0.5% | Marie Renaud | ||||||
Sherwood Park | Annie McKitrick 10,685 – 40.0% | Jordan Walker 12,119 – 45.4% | Sue Timanson 3,509 – 13.1% | Brian Ilkuf (AIP) 216 – 0.8% Chris Glassford (AAP) 183 – 0.7% | Annie McKitrick | |||||||
Spruce Grove-Stony Plain | Erin Babcock 7,836 – 29.4% | Searle Turton 15,843 – 59.4% | Ivan G. Boles 2,597 – 9.7% | Jody Crocker (AIP) 417 – 1.6% | Erin Babcock Stony Plain | |||||||
Merged riding | ||||||||||||
Trevor Horne † Spruce Grove-St. Albert | ||||||||||||
Strathcona-Sherwood Park | Moira Váne 8,695 – 32.3% | Nate Glubish 14,151 – 52.5% | Dave Quest 3,605 – 13.4% | Don Melanson (AAP) 147 – 0.5% Albert Aris (Gr.) 142 – 0.5% Richard Scinta (AIP) 141 – 0.5% Larry Maclise (Ind.) 67 – 0.2% | Estefania Cortes-Vargas † |
Central Alberta
[edit]West
[edit]Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NDP | UCP | Liberal | Alberta Party | Other | ||||||||
Drayton Valley-Devon | Kieran Quirke 4,233 – 16.6% | Mark Smith 18,092 – 71.1% | Ronald Brochu 217 – 0.9% | Gail Upton 1,634 – 6.4% | Steve Goodman (FCP) 624 – 2.5% Mark Gregor (AAP) 298 – 1.2% Les Marks (AIP) 233 – 0.9% Carol Nordlund Kinsey (Ind.) 106 – 0.4% | Mark Smith | ||||||
Innisfail-Sylvan Lake | Robyn O'Brien 3,453 – 13.5% | Devin Dreeshen 19,030 – 74.5% | Danielle Klooster 2,337 – 9.2% | Chad Miller (FCP) 359 – 1.4% Brian Vanderkley (AAP) 164 – 0.6% Ed Wychopen (Ind.) 106 – 0.4% Lauren Thorsteinson (Ref.) 79 – 0.3% | Devin Dreeshen | |||||||
Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland | Oneil Carlier 5,646 – 23.4% | Shane Getson 15,860 – 65.7% | Donald Walter McCargar 1,870 – 7.8% | Gordon W. McMillan (AIP) 413 – 1.7% Darien Masse (AAP) 337 – 1.4% | Oneil Carlier Whitecourt-Ste. Anne | |||||||
Red Deer-North | Kim Schreiner 4,873 – 23.2% | Adriana LaGrange 12,739 – 60.6% | Paul Hardy 2,769 – 13.2% | Matt Chapin (FCP) 389 – 1.9% Michael Neufeld (AIP) 248 – 1.2% | Kim Schreiner | |||||||
Red Deer-South | Barb Miller 6,844 – 25.5% | Jason Stephan 16,159 – 60.3% | Ryan McDougall 3,244 – 12.1% | Teah-Jay Cartwright (FCP) 299 – 1.1% Lori Curran (Gr.) 246 – 0.9% | Barb Miller | |||||||
Rimbey-Rocky Mountain House-Sundre | Jeff Ible 2,293 – 9.1% | Jason Nixon 20,579 – 81.6% | Joe Anglin 1,350 – 5.4% | Dawn Berard (FCP) 303 – 1.2% Jane Drummond (Gr.) 286 – 1.1% David Rogers (AIP) 185 – 0.7% Paula Lamoureux (AAP) 161 – 0.6% Gordon Francey (Ind.) 50 – 0.2% | Jason Nixon | |||||||
West Yellowhead | Paula Cackett 4,912 – 20.5% | Martin Long 16,381 – 68.3% | Kristie Gomuwka 2,073 – 8.6% | Paul Lupyczuk (AAP) 261 – 1.1% Travis Poirier (AIP) 229 – 1.0% David Pearce (Ind.) 123 – 0.5% | Eric Rosendahl † |
East
[edit]Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NDP | UCP | Liberal | Alberta Party | Other | ||||||||
Camrose | Morgan Bamford 4,387 – 18.4% | Jackie Lovely 15,587 – 65.3% | Kevin Smook 3,059 – 12.8% | Wes Caldwell (FCP) 387 – 1.6% Sandra Kim (AAP) 173 – 0.7% Don Dubitz (AIP) 158 – 0.7% Bonnie Tanton (Ind.) 126 – 0.5% | Wes Taylor † Battle River-Wainwright | |||||||
Drumheller-Stettler | Holly Heffernan 1,446 – 6.5% | Nate Horner 16,958 – 76.7% | Mark Nikota 1,461 – 6.6% | Rick Strankman (Ind.) 1,841 – 8.3% Jason Hushagen (AIP) 230 – 1.0% Greg Herzog (AAP) 176 – 0.8% | Rick Strankman | |||||||
Lacombe-Ponoka | Doug Hart 3,639 – 14.9% | Ron Orr 17,379 – 71.3% | Myles Chykerda 2,520 – 10.3% | Keith Parrill (FCP) 328 – 1.3% Tessa Szwagierczak (AIP) 279 – 1.1% Shawn Tylke (AAP) 227 – 0.9% | Ron Orr | |||||||
Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin | Bruce Hinkley 4,737 – 23.7% | Rick Wilson 12,796 – 64.1% | Sherry Greene 1,382 – 6.9% | David White (FCP) 522 – 2.6% Wesley Rea (AAP) 263 – 1.3% Desmond G. Bull (Gr.) 256 – 1.3% | Bruce Hinkley Wetaskiwin-Camrose | |||||||
Vermilion-Lloydminster-Wainwright | Ryan Clarke 2,490 – 9.9% | Garth Rowswell 19,768 – 78.8% | Craig G. Peterson 1,615 – 6.4% | Jim McKinnon (FCP) 898 – 3.6% Kelly Zeleny (AAP) 170 – 0.7% Robert McFadzean (Ind.) 133 – 0.5% | Richard Starke † Vermilion-Lloydminster |
Calgary
[edit]Central
[edit]Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NDP | UCP | Liberal | Alberta Party | Other | ||||||||
Calgary-Buffalo | Joe Ceci 11,292 – 48.9% | Tom Olsen 9,050 – 39.2% | Jennifer Khan 590 – 2.6% | Omar Masood 1,597 – 6.9% | Heather Morigeau (Gr.) 436 – 1.9% Cody Hetherington (AIP) 147 – 0.6% | Kathleen Ganley ‡ | ||||||
Calgary-Currie | Brian Malkinson 9,769 – 42.9% | Nicholas Milliken 9,960 – 43.7% | Joshua Codd 491 – 2.2% | Lindsay Luhnau 2,512 – 11.0% | Lucas C. Hernandez (Pro-Life) 60 – 0.3% | Brian Malkinson | ||||||
Calgary-Elbow | Janet Eremenko 5,796 – 23.5% | Doug Schweitzer 10,951 – 44.3% | Robin MacKintosh 275 – 1.1% | Greg Clark 7,542 – 30.5% | Quinn Rupert (Gr.) 132 – 0.5% | Greg Clark | ||||||
Calgary-Klein | Craig Coolahan 8,776 – 39.9% | Jeremy Nixon 10,473 – 47.6% | Michael J. Macdonald 396 – 1.8% | Kara Levis 1,842 – 8.4% | Janine St. Jean (Gr.) 294 – 1.3% CW Alexander (AIP) 214 – 1.0% | Craig Coolahan | ||||||
Calgary-Mountain View | Kathleen T. Ganley 12,526 – 47.3% | Jeremy Wong 9,708 – 36.7% | David Khan 1,474 – 5.6% | Angela Kokott 2,345 – 8.9% | Thana Boonlert (Gr.) 315 – 1.2% Monica Friesz (AIP) 102 – 0.4% | David Swann † | ||||||
Calgary-Varsity | Anne McGrath 10,215 – 43.4% | Jason Copping 10,853 – 46.2% | Ryan Campbell 383 – 1.6% | Beth Barberree 1,687 – 7.2% | Cheryle Chagnon-Greyeyes (Gr.) 274 – 1.2% Chris McAndrew (AIP) 101 – 0.4% | Vacant |
East
[edit]Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NDP | UCP | Liberal | Alberta Party | Other | ||||||||
Calgary-Cross | Ricardo Miranda 6,135 – 37.4% | Mickey Amery 8,907 – 54.3% | Naser Kukhun 410 – 2.5% | Braham Luddu 962 – 5.9% | Ricardo Miranda | |||||||
Calgary-East | Cesar Cala 4,867 – 32.2% | Peter Singh 7,520 – 49.7% | Michelle Robinson 439 – 2.9% | Gar Gar 1,879 – 12.4% | William Carnegie (Gr.) 351 – 2.3% Jonathan Trautman (Comm.) 69 – 0.5% | Robyn Luff † | ||||||
Calgary-Falconridge | Parmeet Singh Boparai 6,662 – 44.9% | Devinder Toor 6,753 – 45.6% | Deepak Sharma 561 – 3.8% | Jasbir Singh Dhari 849 – 5.7% | Prab Gill † Calgary-Greenway | |||||||
Calgary-McCall | Irfan Sabir 6,567 – 51.7% | Jasraj Singh Hallan 4,851 – 38.2% | Faiza Ali Abdi 281 – 2.2% | Avinash Singh Khangura 636 – 5.0% | Janice Fraser (Gr.) 218 – 1.7% Don Edmonstone (AIP) 84 – 0.7% Larry Smith (AAP) 60 – 0.5% | Irfan Sabir | ||||||
Calgary-North East | Gurbachan Brar 6,046 – 35.6% | Rajan Sawhney 8,376 – 49.3% | Gul Khan 761 – 4.5% | Nate Pike 1,791 – 10.6% | New District | |||||||
Calgary-Peigan | Joe Pimlott 6,527 – 29.2% | Tanya Fir 13,353 – 59.8% | Jaro Giesbrecht 425 – 1.9% | Ronald Reinhold 1,534 – 6.9% | Sheyne Espey (FCP) 299 – 1.3% Will Hatch (AIP) 180 – 0.8% | Joe Ceci ‡ Calgary-Fort |
Northwest
[edit]Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NDP | UCP | Liberal | Alberta Party | Other | ||||||||
Calgary-Beddington | Amanda Chapman 7,818 – 35.7% | Josephine Pon 11,625 – 53.1% | Chandan Tadavalkar 370 – 1.7% | Carol-Lynn Darch 1,799 – 8.2% | Tom Grbich (AIP) 161 – 0.7% Alexander Dea (Ind.) 117 – 0.5% | Karen McPherson † Calgary-Mackay-Nose Hill | ||||||
Calgary-Bow | Deborah Drever 8,548 – 34.2% | Demetrios Nicolaides 13,987 – 55.9% | Daniel Ejumabone 320 – 1.3% | Paul Godard 1,774 – 7.1% | Marion Westoll (Gr.) 233 – 0.9% Regina Shakirova (FCP) 161 – 0.6% | Deborah Drever | ||||||
Calgary-Edgemont | Julia Hayter 8,570 – 34.0% | Prasad Panda 13,308 – 52.8% | Graeme Maitland 305 – 1.2% | Joanne Gui 2,740 – 10.9% | Carl Svoboda (Gr.) 155 – 0.6% Tomasz Kochanowicz (AIP) 106 – 0.4% | Michael Connolly † Calgary-Hawkwood | ||||||
Calgary-Foothills | Sameena Arif 6,985 – 32.4% | Jason Luan 12,277 – 57.0% | Andrea Joyce 379 – 1.8% | Jennifer Wyness 1,680 – 7.8% | Kari Pomerleau (FCP) 142 – 0.7% Kyle Miller (AIP) 80 – 0.4% | Prasad Panda ‡ | ||||||
Calgary-North | Kelly Mandryk 4,731 – 31.1% | Muhammad Yaseen 8,409 – 55.2% | Saliha Haq 365 – 2.4% | Gary Arora 1,591 – 10.5% | Brad Hopkins (AIP) 128 – 0.8% | Jamie Kleinsteuber † Calgary-Northern Hills | ||||||
Calgary-North West | Hafeez Chishti 7,611 – 31.8% | Sonya Savage 13,565 – 56.7% | Prerna Mahtani 258 – 1.1% | Andrew Bradley 2,171 – 9.1% | Cam Khan (FCP) 262 – 1.1% Roberta McDonald (Ind.) 69 – 0.3% | Sandra Jansen † | ||||||
Calgary-West | Gulshan Akter 5,769 – 25.5% | Mike Ellis 14,978 – 66.1% | Yasna Oluic-Kovacevic 309 – 1.4% | Frank Penkala 1,595 – 7.0% | Mike Ellis |
South
[edit]Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NDP | UCP | Liberal | Alberta Party | Other | ||||||||
Calgary-Acadia | Kate Andrews 8,049 – 34.6% | Tyler Shandro 12,615 – 54.3% | Lorrisa Good 350 – 1.5% | Lana Bentley 1,728 – 7.4% | Patrick Reilly (AIP) 245 – 1.1% Amanda Bishop (Gr.) 243 – 1.0% | Brandy Payne † | ||||||
Calgary-Fish Creek | Rebecca Bounsall 7,476 – 28.8% | Richard Gotfried 15,975 – 61.5% | John Roggeveen 359 – 1.4% | Robert Tremblay 1,699 – 6.5% | Taylor Stasila (Gr.) 231 – 0.9% Tomas Manasek (AIP) 226 – 0.9% | Richard Gotfried | ||||||
Calgary-Glenmore | Jordan Stein 8,739 – 32.0% | Whitney Issik 14,565 – 55.6% | Shirley Ksienski 424 – 1.6% | Scott Appleby 2,217 – 8.5% | Allie Tulick (Gr.) 311 – 1.2% Dejan Ristic (FCP) 159 – 0.6% Rafael Krukowski (AIP) 123 – 0.5% | Anam Kazim † | ||||||
Calgary-Hays | Tory Tomblin 5,706 – 25.4% | Richard William "Ric" McIver 14,186 – 63.2% | Frances Woytkiw 293 – 1.3% | Chris Nowell 2,052 – 9.1% | Kenneth Morrice (AIP) 211 – 0.9% | Ric McIver | ||||||
Calgary-Lougheed | Julia Bietz 4,334 – 24.5% | Jason Kenney 11,633 – 65.7% | Wilson McCutchan 219 – 1.2% | Rachel Timmermans 1,365 – 7.7% | Peter de Jonk (AIP) 101 – 0.6% Larry R. Heather (Ind.) 55 – 0.3% | Jason Kenney | ||||||
Calgary-Shaw | Graham Dean Sucha 5,594 – 25.6% | Rebecca Schulz 14,261 – 65.3% | Vesna Samardzija 290 – 1.3% | Bronson Ha 1,331 – 6.1% | John Daly (Gr.) 212 – 1.0% Jarek Bucholc (AIP) 146 – 0.7% | Graham Sucha | ||||||
Calgary-South East | Heather Eddy 3,983 – 19.0% | Matt Jones 12,860 – 61.2% | Leila Keith 224 – 1.1% | Rick Fraser 3,810 – 18.1% | Richard Fontaine (AIP) 134 – 0.6% | Rick Fraser |
Suburbs
[edit]Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NDP | UCP | Liberal | Alberta Party | Other | ||||||||
Airdrie-Cochrane | Steve Durrell 7,183 – 25.2% | Peter Guthrie 18,777 – 66.0% | Vern Raincock 1,818 – 6.4% | Danielle Cameron (AIP) 345 – 1.2% Matthew Joseph Morrisey (FCP) 331 – 1.2% | New District | |||||||
Airdrie-East | Roxie Baez Zamora 4,960 – 19.9% | Angela Pitt 16,764 – 67.3% | Alex Luterbach 2,371 – 9.5% | Rick Northey (FCP) 482 – 1.9% Jeff Olson (AIP) 213 – 0.9% Richard Absalom D. Herdman (Ind.) 112 – 0.4% | Angela Pitt Airdrie | |||||||
Banff-Kananaskis | Cameron "Cam" Westhead 8,890 – 42.0% | Miranda Rosin 10,859 – 51.3% | Gwyneth Midgley 228 – 1.1% | Brenda Stanton 941 – 4.4% | Anita Crowshoe (AIP) 154 – 0.7% Dave Phillips (Ind.) 80 – 0.4% | Cam Westhead Banff-Cochrane | ||||||
Chestermere-Strathmore | Melissa Langmaid 3,558 – 15.6% | Leela Sharon Aheer 15,612 – 68.5% | Sharon L. Howe 238 – 1.0% | Jason Avramenko 1,460 – 6.4% | Derek Fildebrandt (FCP) 1,683 – 7.4% Roger Dean Walker (AIP) 136 – 0.6% Terry Nicholls (Ind.) 112 – 0.5% | Leela Aheer Chestermere-Rocky View | ||||||
Highwood | Erik Overland 4,453 – 17.5% | R.J. Sigurdson 18,635 – 73.3% | Ron Kerr 1,988 – 7.8% | Don Irving (AIP) 362 – 1.4% | Wayne Anderson † | |||||||
Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills | Kyle Johnston 3,070 – 11.8% | Nathan Cooper 20,516 – 78.6% | Chase Brown 1,779 – 6.8% | Allen MacLennan (FCP) 557 – 2.1% Dave Hughes (AAP) 195 – 0.7% | Nathan Cooper |
Southern Alberta
[edit]Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NDP | UCP | Liberal | Alberta Party | Other | ||||||||
Brooks-Medicine Hat | Lynn MacWilliam 4,012 – 17.9% | Michaela Glasgo 13,606 – 60.7% | Jamah Bashir Farah 281 – 1.3% | Jim Black 1,554 – 6.9% | Todd Beasley (Ind.) 2,759 – 12.3% Collin Pacholek (AIP) 218 – 1.0% | Derek Fildebrandt ‡ Strathmore-Brooks | ||||||
Merged riding | ||||||||||||
Bob Wanner † Medicine Hat | ||||||||||||
Cardston-Siksika | Kirby Smith 2,606 – 16.0% | Joseph Schow 11,980 – 73.5% | Cathleen McFarland 173 – 1.1% | Casey Douglass 589 – 3.6% | Ian A. Donovan (Ind.) 727 – 4.5% Jerry Gautreau (FCP) 214 – 1.3% | Dave Schneider † Little Bow | ||||||
Cypress-Medicine Hat | Peter Mueller 6,396 – 26.0% | Drew Barnes 16,483 – 67.1% | Anwar Kamaran 219 – 0.9% | Collette Smithers 1,122 – 4.6% | Terry Blacquier (AAP) 359 – 1.5% | Drew Barnes | ||||||
Lethbridge-East | Maria Fitzpatrick 8,775 – 38.7% | Nathan Neudorf 11,883 – 52.4% | Devon Hargreaves 512 – 2.3% | Ally Taylor 1,054 – 4.6% | John W. McCanna (AIP) 453 – 2.0% | Maria Fitzpatrick | ||||||
Lethbridge-West | Shannon Phillips 11,016 – 45.2% | Karri Flatla 10,790 – 44.3% | Pat Chizek 460 – 1.9% | Zac Rhodenizer 1,763 – 7.2% | Ben Maddison (AIP) 332 – 1.4% | Shannon Phillips | ||||||
Livingstone-Macleod | Cam Gardner 5,125 – 20.5% | Roger Reid 17,644 – 70.6% | Dylin Hauser 258 – 1.0% | Tim Meech 1,276 – 5.1% | Vern Sparkes (AIP) 430 – 1.7% Wendy Pergentile (Gr.) 244 – 1.0% | Pat Stier † | ||||||
Taber-Warner | Laura Ross-Giroux 2,363 – 12.9% | Grant R. Hunter 14,321 – 78.1% | Amy Yates 205 – 1.1% | Jason Beekman 1,443 – 7.9% | Grant Hunter Cardston-Taber-Warner |
Footnotes
[edit]- ^ Combined results of the Progressive Conservative (9 seats, 27.79%) and Wildrose (21 seats, 24.22%) parties in 2015 (parties merged in 2017).
References
[edit]References
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{{cite press release}}
: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link) - ^ Henry, Marc (November 2016). "Eye on Alberta: Alberta's Public Affairs Monitor" (PDF) (Press release). ThinkHQ Public Affairs. Archived (PDF) from the original on May 10, 2017. Retrieved May 3, 2021.
- ^ "Alberta Political Scene" (PDF) (Press release). Innovative Research Group. October 2016. Archived (PDF) from the original on May 4, 2021. Retrieved May 3, 2021.
- ^ Ellis, Faron (October 2016). "Alberta Provincial Politics Vote Intention & Unite the Right" (PDF) (Press release). Lethbridge College. Archived from the original (PDF) on October 20, 2016. Retrieved October 20, 2016.
- ^ "Kenney Leadership Bid Splits Views in Alberta" (Press release). Insights West. July 14, 2016. Archived from the original on May 3, 2021. Retrieved May 3, 2021.
{{cite press release}}
: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link) - ^ "Wildrose leads in latest opinion poll". Calgary Sun. May 12, 2016. Archived from the original on May 3, 2021. Retrieved May 3, 2021.
- ^ Henry, Marc (April 2016). "ThinkHQ/Metro News Alberta's Political Landscape" (PDF) (Press release). ThinkHQ Public Affairs. Archived (PDF) from the original on September 11, 2020. Retrieved May 3, 2021.
- ^ "43% Disapprove of Alberta Budget" (Press release). Mainstreet Research. February 6, 2016. Archived from the original on May 3, 2021. Retrieved May 3, 2021.
- ^ Henry, Marc (December 2015). "Eye on Alberta The Provincial Political Horserace" (PDF) (Press release). ThinkHQ Public Affairs. Archived (PDF) from the original on May 6, 2021. Retrieved May 3, 2021.
- ^ "Sizeable Majority of Albertans Concerned About Economic Issues" (Press release). Insights West. November 12, 2015. Archived from the original on May 3, 2021. Retrieved May 3, 2021.
{{cite press release}}
: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link) - ^ "43% Disapprove of Alberta Budget" (Press release). Mainstreet Research. November 2, 2015. Archived from the original on May 3, 2021. Retrieved May 3, 2021.
- ^ "Battleground Edmonton" (Press release). Mainstreet Research. October 5, 2015. Archived from the original on May 3, 2021. Retrieved May 3, 2021.
- ^ "Wildrose Leads Over Notley NDP" (Press release). Mainstreet Research. July 3, 2015. Archived from the original on May 3, 2021. Retrieved May 3, 2021.
Bibliography
[edit]- Epp, Roger (2019). "The End of Exceptionalism: Post-rural Politics in Alberta". In Bratt, Duane; Brownsey, Keith; Sutherland, Richard; Taras, David (eds.). Orange Chinook: Politics in the New Alberta. Calgary: University of Calgary Press. hdl:1880/109864. ISBN 978-1-77385-026-9.
Election related reports
[edit]- Alberta. Chief Electoral Officer (2019). 2019 General Election. A Report of the Chief Electoral Officer. Volume I (PDF) (Report). Vol. 1. Edmonton, Alta.: Elections Alberta. ISBN 978-1-988620-10-7. Archived (PDF) from the original on February 6, 2021. Retrieved April 7, 2021.
- Alberta. Chief Electoral Officer (2019). 2019 General Election. A Report of the Chief Electoral Officer. Volume II (PDF) (Report). Vol. 2. Edmonton, Alta.: Elections Alberta. ISBN 978-1-988620-12-1. Archived (PDF) from the original on July 15, 2021. Retrieved April 7, 2021.
- Alberta. Chief Electoral Officer (2019). 2019 General Election. A Report of the Chief Electoral Officer. Volume III Election Finances (PDF) (Report). Vol. 3. Edmonton, Alta.: Elections Alberta. ISBN 978-1-988620-13-8. Archived (PDF) from the original on July 15, 2021. Retrieved April 7, 2021.
- Alberta. Electoral Boundaries Commission (October 2017). Proposed Electoral Division Areas, Boundaries, and Names for Alberta. Final Report to the Speaker of the Legislative Assembly of Alberta (PDF). Legislative Assembly of Alberta. ISBN 978-1-988620-04-6. Archived (PDF) from the original on May 4, 2021. Retrieved May 4, 2021.