2017 Virginia gubernatorial election

For related races, see 2017 United States gubernatorial elections.

2017 Virginia gubernatorial election
← 2013 November 7, 2017 2021 →
Turnout47.6% Increase 4.6[1]
 
Nominee Ralph Northam Ed Gillespie
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,409,175 1,175,731
Percentage 53.90% 44.97%
Northam:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      90–100%
Gillespie:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      90–100%
Tie:      40–50%      No votes
Governor before election

Terry McAuliffe
Democratic

Elected Governor

Ralph Northam
Democratic

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The 2017 Virginia gubernatorial election was held on November 7, 2017. Incumbent Democratic governor Terry McAuliffe was unable to run for re-election, as the Constitution of Virginia prohibits the officeholder from serving consecutive terms; he later ran unsuccessfully for a second term in 2021.

Primary elections took place on June 13, 2017. Virginia utilizes an open primary, in which registered voters are allowed to vote in either party's primary election.[2] Democrats nominated incumbent lieutenant governor Ralph Northam and Republicans nominated former RNC Chair Ed Gillespie. Libertarians nominated Clifford Hyra by convention on May 6, 2017.[3]

In the general election on November 7, 2017, Northam defeated Republican Gillespie, winning by the largest margin for a Democrat since 1985. Northam assumed office as the 73rd Governor of Virginia on January 13, 2018.[4] The election had the highest voter turnout percentage in a Virginia gubernatorial election in twenty years, with over 47% of registered voters casting their ballot.[5]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Tom Perriello
Federal elected officials
Local elected officials
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Ralph
Northam 		Tom
Perriello 		Other Undecided
Change Research June 8–10, 2017 919 ± 3.1% 46% 54% — —
Hampton University June 1–6, 2017 750 ± 4.2% 21% 29% — 50%
HaystaqDNA (D-Perriello) June 1–6, 2017 455 — 36% 37% — 29%
Garin-Hart-Yang (D-Northam) May 15–17, 2017 601 ± 4.0% 50% 33% — 17%
Washington Post-Schar School May 9–14, 2017 351 ± 6.0% 38% 40% — 18%
Public Policy Polling (D) May 9–10, 2017 745 ± 3.6% 45% 35% — 21%
Public Policy Polling (D) April 13–14, 2017 586 ± 4.1% 42% 28% — 30%
Quinnipiac University April 6–10, 2017 483 ± 4.5% 20% 25% 1% 51%
Christopher Newport University March 16–26, 2017 391 ± 5.4% 26% 26% 3% 45%
Quinnipiac University Archived February 17, 2017, at the Wayback Machine February 10–15, 2017 462 ± 4.6% 19% 19% 3% 61%
Christopher Newport University January 15–28, 2017 464 ± 4.8% 15% 26% 1% 58%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Mark
Herring 		Ralph
Northam 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 13–15, 2015 409 ± 4.9% 33% 9% — 58%

Results

[edit]
Results by county and independent city:
Northam
  •   Northam—>90%
  •   Northam—80–90%
  •   Northam—70–80%
  •   Northam—60–70%
  •   Northam—50–60%
Tie
  •   Tie
Perriello
  •   Perriello—50–60%
  •   Perriello—60–70%
  •   Perriello—70–80%
  •   Perriello—80–90%
  •   Perriello—>90%
Democratic primary results[35]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ralph Northam 303,846 55.9%
Democratic Tom Perriello 239,505 44.1%
Total votes 543,351 100

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Failed to qualify

[edit]
  • Emmanuel Peter, bishop[39]

Withdrew

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Corey Stewart
National figures
Military figures
  • LTC Louis E Dorfman III, Purple Heart recipient[59]
State figures
Organizations
Frank Wagner
Newspapers
Notable people

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Ed
Gillespie 		Corey
Stewart 		Frank
Wagner 		Rob
Wittman 		Other Undecided
Change Research June 8–10, 2017 919 ± 3.1% 41% 42% 16% — — —
Washington Post-Schar School May 9–14, 2017 264 ± 7.0% 38% 18% 15% — — 24%
Quinnipiac University April 6–10, 2017 435 ± 4.7% 28% 12% 7% — 2% 51%
Christopher Newport University March 16–26, 2017 349 ± 5.7% 38% 11% 10% — 3% 38%
Quinnipiac University Archived February 17, 2017, at the Wayback Machine February 10–15, 2017 419 ± 4.8% 24% 7% 2% — 6% 59%
Christopher Newport University January 15–28, 2017 418 ± 5.0% 33% 7% 9% — 3% 48%
Quinnipiac University Archived December 20, 2016, at the Wayback Machine December 6–11, 2016 451 ± 4.6% 24% 4% 4% 10% — 57%
Public Opinion Strategies September 18–21, 2016 800 ± 3.5% 38% 5% 4% 12% — 40%
Public Policy Polling (D) June 13–15, 2016 1,032 ± 3.1% 29% 13% — 16% — 41%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Bill
Bolling 		Eric
Cantor 		Ken
Cuccinelli 		Ed
Gillespie 		Mark
Obenshain 		Pete
Snyder 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 13–15, 2015 502 4.4% 8% 16% 37% 8% 7% 1% 23%

Results

[edit]
Results by county and independent city:
Gillespie
  •   Gillespie—60–70%
  •   Gillespie—50–60%
  •   Gillespie—40–50%
  •   Gillespie—<40%
Stewart
  •   Stewart—40–50%
  •   Stewart—50–60%
  •   Stewart—60–70%
  •   Stewart—70–80%
Republican primary results[35]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ed Gillespie 160,100 43.7%
Republican Corey Stewart 155,780 42.5%
Republican Frank Wagner 50,394 13.8%
Total votes 366,274 100%

Libertarian convention

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
Cliff Hyra, the Libertarian nominee
  • Cliff Hyra, attorney[66]

Withdrawn

[edit]
  • Jason Carrier

General election

[edit]

The race had been closely watched by national observers. For Republicans, National Review wrote that Gillespie's campaign was an important example of whether and how mainstream Republican politics can produce victories in a purple state in the "era of Trumpism" and said that the outcome would affect Republican strategies in future races.[67] Many Democrats believed that the election was a test of whether the party could find its way after losing the 2016 presidential election and several subsequent special elections.[68] NBC News reported that Northam was the "hand-picked" choice of outgoing governor Terry McAuliffe, and that McAuliffe's legacy and potential 2020 presidential aspirations depended on Northam winning the election.[citation needed]

Debates

[edit]

After the primaries, Gillespie challenged Northam to ten debates, but only three were held.[69] The first debate was hosted by the Virginia Bar Association on July 22 in Hot Springs, Virginia.[70] The second was held on September 19, hosted by the Northern Virginia Chamber of Commerce in Tysons Corner, Virginia, and televised statewide by NBC-affiliated TV stations.[71] The third and final debate was held on October 9 at University of Virginia's College at Wise in Wise, Virginia.[72]

Dates Location Northam Gillespie Link
September 19, 2017 Tysons, Virginia Participant Participant Full debate - C-SPAN
October 9, 2017 Wise, Virginia Participant Participant Full debate - C-SPAN

Endorsements

[edit]
Ed Gillespie (R)
Federal officials
U.S. cabinet and U.S. cabinet-level officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
U.S. Governors
Statewide politicians
Virginia state senators
Virginia state delegates
Local officeholders
Party officials and individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Cliff Hyra (L)
Organizations
Notable people
Ralph Northam (D)
Federal officials
U.S. cabinet and U.S. cabinet-level officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
U.S. Governors
Statewide officeholders
Virginia state senators
Virginia state delegates
Local officeholders
Party officials and individuals
Organizations
Newspapers

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[197] Lean D October 6, 2017
Rothenberg Political Report[198] Tilt D October 27, 2017
Sabato's Crystal Ball[199] Lean D October 13, 2017

Polling

[edit]

Polls for the general election varied significantly, ranging from a 17-point lead for Ralph Northam on one end to an 8-point lead for Ed Gillespie on the other, with most polls showing the race within or close to the margin of error. Politico reported that the wide variation in polling numbers was likely due to differences in methodology among the polls.[200] Polls tightened significantly in the last two weeks of the campaign with several showing the race tied or within the margin of error.[201][202][203]

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Ralph
Northam (D) 		Ed
Gillespie (R) 		Other/Undecided
[a] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics October 29 – November 5, 2017 November 5, 2017 47.7% 44.4% 7.9% Northam +3.3%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Ralph
Northam (D) 		Ed
Gillespie (R) 		Cliff
Hyra (L) 		Other Undecided
FOX News November 2–5, 2017 1,239 LV ± 2.5% 48% 43% 3% 1% 7%
1,450 RV 45% 41% 3% 1% 9%
The Polling Company (R) November 2–5, 2017 800 ± 3.5% 45% 44% 3% – 4%
47% 46% – – 4%
Monmouth University November 2–5, 2017 713 ± 3.7% 47% 45% 3% 1% 5%
IMGE Insights (R) November 1–5, 2017 800 ± 3.5% 48% 47% — — —
Change Research November 1–5, 2017 3,648 ± 2.8% 52% 46% 2% – 0%
Quinnipiac University Archived November 6, 2017, at the Wayback Machine October 30 – November 5, 2017 1,056 ± 3.9% 51% 42% 3% – 4%
Emerson College November 2–4, 2017 810 ± 3.4% 49% 46% 1% – 4%
Christopher Newport University Archived November 6, 2017, at the Wayback Machine October 29 – November 4, 2017 839 ± 3.5% 51% 45% 2% – 2%
Rasmussen Reports October 31 – November 3, 2017 875 ± 3.5% 45% 45% 2% 2% 6%
Gravis Marketing October 30 – November 3, 2017 1,143 ± 2.9% 48% 43% 3% – 6%
0ptimus (R) November 1–2, 2017 1,600 ± 2.4% 37% 40% – – 23%
Trafalgar Group (R) October 31 – November 2, 2017 1,200 ± 3.3% 49% 48% 1% – 2%
The Polling Company (R) October 30 – November 2, 2017 800 ± 3.5% 43% 45% 2% – 7%
43% 46% – – 7%
Upshot/Siena College October 29 – November 2, 2017 985 ± 3.0% 43% 40% 2% – 14%
Roanoke College October 29 – November 2, 2017 781 ± 3.5% 47% 47% 3% – 3%
Suffolk University Archived November 15, 2018, at the Wayback Machine October 30 – November 1, 2017 500 ± 4.4% 47% 43% 2% – 6%
Washington Post/Schar School Archived October 31, 2017, at the Wayback Machine October 26–29, 2017 921 LV ± 4.0% 49% 44% 4% – 3%
1,000 RV ± 3.5% 46% 39% 5% – 5%
Quinnipiac University October 25–29, 2017 916 ± 4.2% 53% 36% 3% – 7%
The Polling Company (R) October 24–26, 2017 600 LV ± 4.0% 44% 44% 3% – 7%
October 23–26, 2017 800 LV ± 3.5% 43% 45% – – 9%
Christopher Newport University Archived October 27, 2017, at the Wayback Machine October 20–25, 2017 812 ± 3.8% 50% 43% 3% – 4%
Plural Vote October 15–25, 2017 397 ± 4.9% 49% 46% 5% – –
Hampton University October 18–22, 2017 750 ± 4.2% 33% 41% – – 27%
FOX News October 15–17, 2017 697 LV ± 3.5% 49% 42% 1% 2% 5%
815 RV ± 3.0% 45% 42% 2% 2% 6%
Quinnipiac University Archived October 19, 2017, at the Wayback Machine October 12–17, 2017 1,088 ± 3.7% 53% 39% 2% – 5%
Monmouth University October 12–16, 2017 408 ± 4.9% 47% 48% 3% – 3%
Christopher Newport University Archived October 17, 2017, at the Wayback Machine October 9–13, 2017 642 ± 4.2% 48% 44% 3% – 5%
Roanoke College October 8–13, 2017 607 ± 4.0% 50% 44% 2% – 4%
Emerson College October 5–7, 2017 318 ± 5.5% 49% 44% 2% – 5%
Christopher Newport University Archived October 9, 2017, at the Wayback Machine October 2–6, 2017 928 ± 4.3% 49% 42% 3% – 6%
Washington Post/Schar School Archived November 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine September 28 – October 2, 2017 720 LV ± 4.5% 53% 40% 4% – 2%
1,000 RV ± 3.5% 48% 38% 5% – 5%
Victoria Research (D) September 24–28, 2017 631 ± 4.2% 46% 44% 3% – –
Monmouth University September 21–25, 2017 499 ± 4.4% 49% 44% 2% <1% 4%
Public Policy Polling Archived November 12, 2020, at the Wayback Machine September 21–23, 2017 849 ± 3.8% 43% 40% 4% – 13%
Roanoke College September 16–23, 2017 596 ± 4.0% 47% 43% 5% – 5%
Christopher Newport University Archived September 25, 2017, at the Wayback Machine September 12–22, 2017 776 ± 3.7% 47% 41% 4% – 8%
FOX News September 17–18, 2017 500 LV ± 4.5% 42% 41% 2% 2% 12%
507 RV ± 4.0% 42% 38% 2% 2% 13%
Quinnipiac University Archived September 19, 2017, at the Wayback Machine September 14–18, 2017 850 ± 4.2% 51% 41% 3% – 5%
IMGE Insights (R) September 12–18, 2017 1,000 ± 3.8% 45% 41% 4% – 10%
Suffolk University Archived September 27, 2017, at the Wayback Machine September 13–17, 2017 500 ± 4.4% 42% 42% 3% – 12%
Mason-Dixon September 10–15, 2017 625 ± 4% 44% 43% 2% – 11%
University of Mary Washington September 5–12, 2017 562 LV ± 5.2% 44% 39% 3% 1% 11%
867 RV ± 4.1% 40% 35% 5% – 16%
Roanoke College August 12–19, 2017 599 ± 4.0% 43% 36% 4% – 17%
Quinnipiac University Archived August 9, 2017, at the Wayback Machine August 3–8, 2017 1,082 ± 3.8% 44% 38% 4% 1% 11%
Virginia Commonwealth University Archived August 9, 2017, at the Wayback Machine July 17–25, 2017 538 LV ± 5.1% 42% 37% 6% – 13%
707 RV ± 4.5% 39% 33% 8% – 16%
Monmouth University July 20–23, 2017 502 ± 4.4% 44% 44% 3% <1% 9%
Quinnipiac University Archived June 30, 2017, at the Wayback Machine June 15–20, 2017 1,145 ± 3.8% 47% 39% – 2% 9%
Harper Polling Archived July 21, 2017, at the Wayback Machine June 14–16, 2017 500 ± 4.4% 46% 46% – – 8%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) June 6–8, 2017 600 ± 4.0% 45% 46% – – 9%
Washington Post/Schar School May 9–14, 2017 1,602 ± 3.0% 49% 38% – – 9%
Quinnipiac University April 6–10, 2017 1,115 ± 2.9% 44% 33% – 1% 19%
Christopher Newport University March 16–26, 2017 831 ± 3.7% 39% 40% – 2% 19%
Gravis Marketing Archived March 25, 2017, at the Wayback Machine March 14–19, 2017 3,097 ± 1.6% 40% 42% – – 18%
Quinnipiac University Archived February 17, 2017, at the Wayback Machine February 10–15, 2017 989 ± 3.1% 41% 35% – 3% 22%
Mason-Dixon January 5–10, 2017 625 ± 4.0% 41% 44% – – 15%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) December 11–13, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 43% 38% – – 17%
Quinnipiac University Archived December 20, 2016, at the Wayback Machine December 6–11, 2016 1,098 ± 3.0% 38% 34% – 1% 26%
University of Mary Washington September 6–12, 2016 685 LV ± 4.4% 36% 43% – 1% 16%
852 RV ± 3.9% 36% 41% – 1% 18%
Public Policy Polling September 9–11, 2016 878 ± 3.3% 37% 37% – – 26%
Public Policy Polling June 13–15, 2016 1,032 ± 3.1% 36% 37% – – 28%
Gravis Marketing May 24, 2016 1,728 ± 2.0% 38% 40% – – 22%
University of Mary Washington November 4–9, 2015 656 LV ± 4.3% 32% 44% – 1% 16%
814 RV ± 3.9% 33% 40% – 1% 18%
Public Policy Polling July 13–15, 2015 1,170 ± 2.9% 30% 40% – – 32%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Tom
Perriello (D) 		Ed
Gillespie (R) 		Other Undecided
Washington Post/Schar School May 9–14, 2017 1,602 ± 3.0% 50% 37% – 9%
Quinnipiac University April 6–10, 2017 1,115 ± 2.9% 46% 33% 1% 18%
Christopher Newport University March 16–26, 2017 831 ± 3.7% 39% 39% 2% 20%
Gravis Marketing Archived March 25, 2017, at the Wayback Machine March 14–19, 2017 3,097 ± 1.6% 42% 41% – 18%
Quinnipiac University Archived February 17, 2017, at the Wayback Machine February 10–15, 2017 989 ± 3.1% 43% 36% 1% 20%
Mason-Dixon January 5–10, 2017 625 ± 4.0% 36% 45% – 19%
with Corey Stewart
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Ralph
Northam (D) 		Corey
Stewart (R) 		Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University April 6–10, 2017 1,115 ± 2.9% 43% 30% 1% 23%
Christopher Newport University March 16–26, 2017 831 ± 3.7% 41% 33% 2% 24%
Quinnipiac University Archived February 17, 2017, at the Wayback Machine February 10–15, 2017 989 ± 3.1% 42% 31% 2% 24%
Mason-Dixon January 5–10, 2017 625 ± 4.0% 45% 37% – 18%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) December 11–13, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 42% 35% – 22%
Quinnipiac University Archived December 20, 2016, at the Wayback Machine December 6–11, 2016 1,098 ± 3.0% 38% 29% 1% 30%
University of Mary Washington September 6–12, 2016 685 LV ± 4.4% 39% 39% 1% 18%
852 RV ± 3.9% 39% 37% 1% 19%
Public Policy Polling September 9–11, 2016 878 ± 3.3% 39% 31% – 30%
Public Policy Polling June 13–15, 2016 1,032 ± 3.1% 34% 32% – 34%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Tom
Perriello (D) 		Corey
Stewart (R) 		Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University April 6–10, 2017 1,115 ± 2.9% 45% 31% 1% 20%
Christopher Newport University March 16–26, 2017 831 ± 3.7% 40% 34% 2% 25%
Quinnipiac University Archived February 17, 2017, at the Wayback Machine February 10–15, 2017 989 ± 3.1% 44% 31% 3% 22%
Mason-Dixon January 5–10, 2017 625 ± 4.0% 40% 38% – 22%
with Frank Wagner
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Ralph
Northam (D) 		Frank
Wagner (R) 		Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University April 6–10, 2017 1,115 ± 2.9% 43% 30% 1% 24%
Christopher Newport University March 16–26, 2017 831 ± 3.7% 40% 34% 2% 25%
Quinnipiac University Archived February 17, 2017, at the Wayback Machine February 10–15, 2017 989 ± 3.1% 41% 33% 3% 24%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) December 11–13, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 43% 37% – 19%
Quinnipiac University Archived December 20, 2016, at the Wayback Machine December 6–11, 2016 1,098 ± 3.0% 39% 30% 1% 28%
University of Mary Washington September 6–12, 2016 685 LV ± 4.4% 39% 40% 1% 17%
852 RV ± 3.9% 39% 39% 1% 18%
Public Policy Polling September 9–11, 2016 878 ± 3.3% 37% 32% – 32%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Tom
Perriello (D) 		Frank
Wagner (R) 		Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University April 6–10, 2017 1,115 ± 2.9% 43% 32% 1% 21%
Christopher Newport University March 16–26, 2017 831 ± 3.7% 38% 35% 2% 25%
Quinnipiac University Archived February 17, 2017, at the Wayback Machine February 10–15, 2017 989 ± 3.1% 43% 32% 2% 23%
with Denver Riggleman
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Ralph
Northam (D) 		Denver
Riggleman (R) 		Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University Archived February 17, 2017, at the Wayback Machine February 10–15, 2017 989 ± 3.1% 42% 31% 2% 25%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Tom
Perriello (D) 		Denver
Riggleman (R) 		Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University Archived February 17, 2017, at the Wayback Machine February 10–15, 2017 989 ± 3.1% 43% 30% 2% 24%
with Rob Wittman
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Ralph
Northam (D) 		Rob
Wittman (R) 		Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University Archived December 20, 2016, at the Wayback Machine December 6–11, 2016 1,098 ± 3.0% 39% 30% 1% 29%
University of Mary Washington September 6–12, 2016 685 LV ± 4.4% 38% 38% 1% 18%
852 RV ± 3.9% 39% 37% 1% 19%
Public Policy Polling September 9–11, 2016 878 ± 3.3% 38% 33% – 29%
Public Policy Polling June 13–15, 2016 1,032 ± 3.1% 34% 34% – 32%
with Ken Cuccinelli
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Ralph
Northam (D) 		Ken
Cuccinelli (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 13–15, 2015 1,170 ± 2.9% 35% 37% – 28%
with Eric Cantor
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Ralph
Northam (D) 		Eric
Cantor (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 13–15, 2015 1,170 ± 2.9% 33% 35% – 32%
with Mark Herring
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Mark
Herring (D) 		Eric
Cantor (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 13–15, 2015 1,170 ± 2.9% 36% 33% – 31%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Mark
Herring (D) 		Ken
Cuccinelli (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 13–15, 2015 1,170 ± 2.9% 38% 38% – 24%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Mark
Herring (D) 		Ed
Gillespie (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 13–15, 2015 1,170 ± 2.9% 34% 38% – 28%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Mark
Herring (D) 		Mark
Obenshain (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 13–15, 2015 1,170 ± 2.9% 34% 34% – 31%
with Ralph Northam
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Ralph
Northam (D) 		Mark
Obenshain (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 13–15, 2015 1,170 ± 2.9% 32% 36% – 32%

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of November 30, 2017
Candidate Amount raised
Ralph Northam $36,708,929
Ed Gillespie $29,344,226
Cliff Hyra $77,370
Source: Virginia Public Access Project[204]

Virginia election laws allow for unlimited campaign contributions in state and local elections.

According to the Virginia Public Access Project, Northam's top five donors were the Democratic Governors Association's super PAC DGA Action; Michael Bloomberg's Everytown for Gun Safety group; the Virginia League of Conservation Voters; Michael D. Bills; and the Laborers' International Union of North America.[205]

Gillespie's top five donors were the Republican Governors Association; A Stronger Virginia; Let's Grow Virginia; Marlene Ricketts; and Dwight Schar.[206]

Hyra's top five donors were Michael Chastain; Hyra himself; the Libertarian Party of Virginia; Paradise Indian Restaurant; and nine donors who have given the same amount.[207]

Results

[edit]

Even though polls in the weeks before the election considered Northam to be the narrow favorite, Northam won by a larger margin than expected, about nine percent, and more than 200,000 votes. Gillespie was unable to come back from the large margins in the suburbs of Washington, D.C. and Virginia Beach, and he conceded to Northam at 8:56 pm EST.[208] Northam's wider than expected margin of victory is often attributed to Trump's unpopularity in Virginia and claims that Gillespie was using fear-mongering which repelled more voters than it obtained.

2017 Virginia gubernatorial election[209]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Ralph Northam 1,409,175 53.90% +6.15%
Republican Ed Gillespie 1,175,731 44.97% −0.26%
Libertarian Cliff Hyra 27,987 1.07% −5.45%
Write-in 1,389 0.05% -0.44%
Total votes 2,614,282 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

By county and city

[edit]
County[209] Northam Votes Gillespie Votes Hyra Votes Others Votes
Accomack 45.7% 4,876 53.7% 5,736 0.5% 54 0.0% 0
Albemarle 63.8% 26,969 35.1% 14,857 1.1% 458 0.1% 24
Alexandria 78.4% 40,896 20.7% 10,822 0.8% 434 0.1% 37
Alleghany 33.6% 1,478 65.6% 2,888 0.8% 36 0.0% 1
Amelia 30.4% 1,403 68.7% 3,170 0.9% 40 0.0% 1
Amherst 35.7% 3,616 63.5% 6,431 0.8% 83 0.1% 14
Appomattox 23.7% 1,227 75.3% 3,894 1.0% 50 0.0% 1
Arlington 79.9% 68,093 19.1% 16,268 0.9% 801 0.1% 52
Augusta 25.6% 6,030 73.0% 17,217 1.3% 311 0.1% 16
Bath 30.4% 450 68.4% 1,013 1.1% 16 0.2% 3
Bedford 25.1% 6,985 74.0% 20,573 0.9% 243 0.0% 6
Bland 18.6% 388 80.4% 1,676 1.0% 20 0.0% 1
Botetourt 27.3% 3,409 71.7% 8,965 1.0% 122 0.0% 6
Bristol 28.9% 1,242 70.0% 3,006 1.0% 43 0.1% 3
Brunswick 57.3% 2,728 42.3% 2,010 0.4% 19 0.0% 0
Buchanan 23.4% 1,062 75.9% 3,449 0.6% 28 0.1% 3
Buckingham 41.8% 1,924 57.3% 2,638 0.8% 36 0.1% 4
Buena Vista 32.0% 529 65.9% 1,090 2.0% 33 0.2% 3
Campbell 25.4% 4,415 73.6% 12,791 0.9% 156 0.1% 11
Caroline 49.4% 4,126 49.5% 4,135 1.1% 96 0.0% 3
Carroll 22.2% 1,838 76.9% 6,363 0.9% 74 0.0% 2
Charles City 62.6% 1,699 36.8% 1,000 0.6% 17 0.0% 0
Charlotte 35.4% 1,419 63.8% 2,559 0.8% 31 0.1% 5
Charlottesville 84.8% 13,943 14.1% 2,315 1.0% 172 0.1% 18
Chesapeake 53.1% 38,459 45.7% 33,108 1.2% 849 0.0% 31
Chesterfield 49.7% 58,991 49.1% 58,297 1.1% 1,323 0.0% 58
Clarke 43.1% 2,400 55.7% 3,102 1.2% 65 0.1% 5
Colonial Heights 26.9% 1,389 71.8% 3,710 1.2% 63 0.0% 2
Covington 40.6% 545 58.4% 784 0.9% 12 0.1% 1
Craig 22.4% 413 75.9% 1,398 1.5% 28 0.1% 2
Culpeper 36.7% 4,990 62.0% 8,423 1.2% 162 0.1% 12
Cumberland 41.2% 1,292 57.7% 1,810 1.1% 33 0.0% 0
Danville 57.2% 6,304 42.3% 4,664 0.5% 53 0.1% 7
Dickenson 27.8% 959 71.3% 2,458 0.7% 25 0.1% 3
Dinwiddie 44.5% 3,712 54.8% 4,565 0.7% 56 0.0% 2
Emporia 55.7% 909 43.0% 702 1.3% 22 0.0% 0
Essex 46.5% 1,730 52.7% 1,963 0.7% 26 0.1% 4
Fairfax County 67.9% 255,200 31.2% 117,141 0.9% 3,423 0.1% 240
Fairfax 64.8% 5,380 34.0% 2,822 1.1% 92 0.1% 6
Falls Church 79.0% 4,781 19.7% 1,195 1.3% 76 0.0% 2
Fauquier 39.2% 9,430 59.6% 14,332 1.1% 270 0.0% 7
Floyd 35.4% 1,946 63.2% 3,468 1.3% 72 0.1% 5
Fluvanna 46.3% 4,267 52.7% 4,864 1.0% 89 0.1% 5
Franklin County 30.2% 5,315 68.6% 12,062 1.1% 201 0.1% 10
Franklin 60.2% 1,539 39.2% 1,002 0.6% 15 0.0% 0
Frederick 34.4% 8,363 64.4% 15,656 1.1% 278 0.1% 18
Fredericksburg 64.4% 4,649 34.1% 2,463 1.5% 107 0.0% 2
Galax 30.2% 409 68.6% 930 1.0% 13 0.2% 3
Giles 27.5% 1,604 71.3% 4,161 1.1% 66 0.1% 3
Gloucester 34.4% 4,356 64.5% 8,159 1.1% 140 0.0% 4
Goochland 37.1% 3,911 61.9% 6,520 1.0% 104 0.1% 6
Grayson 22.7% 1,029 76.7% 3,478 0.6% 28 0.0% 2
Greene 35.2% 2,219 63.4% 4,000 1.4% 86 0.1% 4
Greensville 56.8% 1,643 42.6% 1,232 0.6% 18 0.0% 0
Halifax 38.8% 4,037 60.4% 6,291 0.8% 79 0.1% 7
Hampton 71.6% 28,906 27.4% 11,050 1.0% 399 0.1% 29
Hanover 34.2% 14,755 64.4% 27,779 1.4% 599 0.1% 24
Harrisonburg 63.6% 6,555 34.9% 3,596 1.5% 154 0.1% 7
Henrico 60.8% 69,969 38.0% 43,747 1.1% 1,268 0.0% 53
Henry 34.8% 4,895 64.4% 9,046 0.8% 113 0.0% 3
Highland 30.7% 317 67.6% 699 1.7% 18 0.0% 0
Hopewell 50.0% 2,728 48.4% 2,641 1.5% 81 0.2% 9
Isle of Wight 42.2% 5,957 56.9% 8,039 0.9% 124 0.0% 3
James City 48.9% 15,561 50.1% 15,937 0.9% 290 0.0% 13
King and Queen 42.0% 1,039 56.8% 1,404 1.1% 28 0.0% 1
King George 37.2% 2,658 61.5% 4,396 1.3% 90 0.1% 5
King William 33.7% 2,017 65.1% 3,889 1.1% 65 0.1% 6
Lancaster 43.6% 2,098 55.7% 2,680 0.6% 27 0.1% 3
Lee 19.5% 1,304 79.2% 5,289 1.2% 82 0.0% 3
Lexington 66.5% 1,161 32.7% 572 0.7% 13 0.1% 1
Loudoun 59.4% 69,778 39.5% 46,396 1.1% 1,258 0.0% 54
Louisa 38.0% 4,481 60.6% 7,153 1.4% 163 0.1% 6
Lunenburg 40.2% 1,468 59.1% 2,158 0.6% 23 0.0% 1
Lynchburg 47.2% 10,047 51.4% 10,959 1.3% 284 0.1% 17
Madison 36.3% 1,789 62.5% 3,082 1.2% 59 0.0% 1
Manassas 56.9% 5,295 41.9% 3,899 1.2% 112 0.1% 6
Manassas Park 63.7% 1,958 34.6% 1,064 1.7% 53 0.0% 1
Martinsville 58.6% 2,187 39.9% 1,489 1.5% 57 0.1% 2
Mathews 35.1% 1,386 64.1% 2,531 0.8% 31 0.1% 2
Mecklenburg 39.7% 3,399 59.9% 5,125 0.4% 37 0.0% 0
Middlesex 37.2% 1,606 61.9% 2,673 0.9% 41 0.0% 0
Montgomery 53.7% 15,115 44.4% 12,500 1.8% 499 0.1% 19
Nelson 48.8% 3,015 48.9% 3,020 2.1% 130 0.1% 9
New Kent 31.9% 2,729 66.8% 5,711 1.3% 108 0.0% 4
Newport News 64.7% 30,367 34.0% 15,986 1.2% 576 0.1% 35
Norfolk 73.5% 39,453 25.1% 13,490 1.3% 676 0.1% 51
Northampton 56.9% 2,492 42.4% 1,855 0.6% 28 0.1% 3
Northumberland 37.8% 2,022 61.5% 3,285 0.7% 35 0.1% 3
Norton 33.4% 287 65.2% 561 1.3% 11 0.1% 1
Nottoway 42.6% 1,812 56.7% 2,408 0.7% 30 0.0% 0
Orange 38.1% 4,160 61.0% 6,653 0.9% 97 0.0% 5
Page 26.9% 1,809 72.1% 4,850 0.9% 62 0.1% 5
Patrick 22.4% 1,259 76.7% 4,320 1.0% 54 0.0% 0
Petersburg 87.7% 7,164 11.5% 938 0.7% 56 0.1% 9
Pittsylvania 29.4% 5,759 70.0% 13,701 0.6% 109 0.0% 4
Poquoson 26.9% 1,298 71.9% 3,473 1.2% 56 0.1% 3
Portsmouth 70.2% 20,156 28.4% 8,167 1.3% 369 0.1% 18
Powhatan 27.0% 3,109 71.8% 8,256 1.2% 137 0.0% 4
Prince Edward 51.0% 2,881 47.9% 2,708 1.1% 63 0.0% 2
Prince George 40.3% 4,150 58.6% 6,044 1.0% 108 0.0% 4
Prince William 61.1% 74,932 37.8% 46,454 1.0% 1,247 0.1% 99
Pulaski 30.0% 3,533 68.6% 8,081 1.4% 160 0.0% 5
Radford 54.9% 2,163 43.3% 1,707 1.6% 65 0.1% 5
Rappahannock 45.3% 1,488 53.9% 1,772 0.8% 25 0.1% 2
Richmond County 36.9% 876 62.4% 1,479 0.6% 14 0.1% 2
Richmond 81.5% 58,047 17.2% 12,262 1.3% 905 0.1% 47
Roanoke County 37.5% 12,650 61.2% 20,648 1.2% 408 0.1% 24
Roanoke 62.0% 15,099 36.5% 8,890 1.4% 337 0.1% 18
Rockbridge 37.5% 2,974 61.4% 4,873 1.0% 77 0.1% 9
Rockingham 27.9% 7,061 70.8% 17,880 1.3% 322 0.0% 7
Russell 22.4% 1,506 76.7% 5,144 0.9% 60 0.0% 1
Salem 38.2% 3,134 60.3% 4,946 1.4% 113 0.0% 3
Scott 17.7% 1,089 81.4% 4,997 0.8% 51 0.0% 2
Shenandoah 29.5% 3,932 69.2% 9,220 1.2% 157 0.0% 6
Smyth 22.0% 1,747 76.9% 6,107 1.0% 78 0.1% 7
Southampton 41.1% 2,529 57.9% 3,564 1.0% 60 0.0% 2
Spotsylvania 43.1% 15,869 55.7% 20,481 1.2% 426 0.1% 22
Stafford 46.8% 19,011 52.0% 21,123 1.2% 489 0.1% 21
Staunton 53.3% 4,047 44.9% 3,406 1.7% 132 0.1% 4
Suffolk 58.3% 16,621 40.7% 11,623 1.0% 278 0.0% 10
Surry 56.0% 1,658 42.9% 1,268 1.1% 32 0.0% 1
Sussex 55.7% 1,829 43.5% 1,429 0.8% 25 0.0% 1
Tazewell 16.4% 1,657 82.9% 8,373 0.6% 57 0.1% 9
Virginia Beach 51.9% 66,442 46.9% 60,073 1.2% 1,541 0.1% 82
Warren 34.0% 3,531 64.7% 6,711 1.2% 127 0.0% 4
Washington 24.4% 4,003 74.7% 12,247 0.9% 148 0.0% 6
Waynesboro 45.0% 2,653 53.3% 3,144 1.6% 97 0.0% 1
Westmoreland 45.6% 2,442 53.5% 2,865 1.0% 51 0.0% 2
Williamsburg 70.6% 3,725 28.3% 1,492 1.0% 54 0.0% 2
Winchester 53.7% 3,569 44.7% 2,969 1.6% 107 0.0% 3
Wise 22.1% 1,910 76.8% 6,630 1.0% 84 0.0% 4
Wythe 24.8% 2,114 74.2% 6,321 0.8% 71 0.1% 8
York 43.7% 10,068 55.1% 12,708 1.2% 269 0.1% 15
Counties and independent cities that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Counties and independent cities that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

[edit]

Northam won 6 of the 11 congressional districts, including two that were held by Republicans.

District Northam Gillespie Representative
1st 44.6% 54.2% Rob Wittman
2nd 51.4% 47.4% Scott Taylor
3rd 67.9% 30.9% Bobby Scott
4th 61.6% 37.3% Donald McEachin
5th 45.1% 53.9% Tom Garrett
6th 38.5% 60.2% Bob Goodlatte
7th 47.6% 51.2% Dave Brat
8th 75.9% 23.1% Don Beyer
9th 31.2% 67.7% Morgan Griffith
10th 55.6% 43.3% Barbara Comstock
11th 69.9% 29.0% Gerry Connolly

[210]

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.

References

[edit]
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