2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan
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All 14 Michigan seats to the United States House of Representatives | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Michigan |
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The 2014 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Michigan were held on Tuesday, November 4, 2014, to elect the 14 members of the U.S. House of Representatives from the state of Michigan, one from each of the state's 14 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including the election of Michigan's governor, as well as the Class 2 U.S. Senate Seat.
Primary elections to determine major party nominees for the general election were held Tuesday, August 5, 2014, and the partisan filing deadline was Tuesday, April 22, 2014.[1] The members of Congress elected at this election served in the 114th Congress. According to the Rothenberg Political Report, all of Michigan's congressional seats except for the 1st, 7th, 8th, and 11th districts were considered "safe" for the party of the incumbent.[2]
Michigan was the only state where the party that won the most seats did not win the most votes in the state.
Overview[edit]
| United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan, 2014[3] | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats before | Seats after | +/– | |
| Democratic | 1,519,030 | 49.17% | 5 | 5 | - | |
| Republican | 1,466,749 | 47.48% | 9 | 9 | - | |
| Libertarian | 53,711 | 1.74% | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Green | 23,088 | 0.75% | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Independents | 14,315 | 0.46% | 0 | 0 | - | |
| U.S. Taxpayers | 10,904 | 0.35% | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Natural Law | 1,680 | 0.05% | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Total | 3,089,477 | 100.00% | 14 | 14 | 0 | |
District[edit]
Results of the 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan by district:[4]
| District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| District 1 | 113,263 | 45.28% | 130,414 | 52.14% | 6,454 | 2.58% | 250,131 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 2 | 70,851 | 33.25% | 135,568 | 63.63% | 6,653 | 3.12% | 213,072 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 3 | 84,720 | 39.01% | 125,754 | 57.91% | 6,691 | 3.08% | 217,165 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 4 | 85,777 | 39.09% | 123,962 | 56.50% | 9,684 | 4.41% | 219,423 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 5 | 148,182 | 66.71% | 69,222 | 31.16% | 4,734 | 2.13% | 222,138 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 6 | 84,391 | 40.38% | 116,801 | 55.89% | 7,784 | 3.73% | 208,976 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 7 | 92,083 | 41.17% | 119,564 | 53.45% | 12,038 | 5.38% | 223,685 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 8 | 102,269 | 42.06% | 132,739 | 54.60% | 8,117 | 3.34% | 243,125 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 9 | 136,342 | 60.39% | 81,470 | 36.09% | 7,945 | 3.52% | 225,757 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 10 | 67,143 | 29.36% | 157,069 | 68.68% | 4,480 | 1.96% | 228,692 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 11 | 101,681 | 40.47% | 140,435 | 55.90% | 9,122 | 3.63% | 251,238 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 12 | 134,346 | 65.01% | 64,716 | 31.32% | 7,598 | 3.68% | 206,660 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 13 | 132,710 | 79.49% | 27,234 | 16.31% | 7,003 | 4.20% | 166,947 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 14 | 165,272 | 77.79% | 41,801 | 19.67% | 5,395 | 2.54% | 212,468 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| Total | 1,519,030 | 49.17% | 1,466,749 | 47.47% | 103,698 | 3.36% | 3,089,477 | 100.00% | |
District 1[edit]
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  Benishek 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70–80% Cannon 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district includes the entire Upper Peninsula of Michigan and part of the Lower Peninsula. The district, which makes up about 44% of the land area of the state of Michigan, is the second-largest congressional district east of the Mississippi River by land area. The incumbent was Republican Dan Benishek, who had represented the district since 2011. He was re-elected with 48% of the vote in 2012 and the district has a PVI of R+5.
Benishek was re-elected in 2012 with 48.14% of the total votes cast, defeating Democratic former State Representative Gary McDowell by less than 2,000 votes in a field where two third-party candidates received a combined 4.3 percent of the vote.[5] As of September 30, 2013, Benishek had raised $676,545.98, and had $500,163.86 cash on-hand toward a presumed re-election bid.[6]
Republican primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Dan Benishek, incumbent U.S. Representative[7]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Alan Arcand, businessman, United States Air Force veteran and delegate to the 2012 Republican National Convention[8]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Dan Benishek (incumbent) | 49,540 | 69.7 | |
| Republican | Alan Arcand | 21,497 | 30.3 | |
| Total votes | 71,037 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary[edit]
Former Kalkaska County Sheriff Jerry Cannon was recruited by Michigan Democratic Party Chairman Lon Johnson to challenge Benishek.[10]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Jerry Cannon, retired Michigan Army National Guard Major General and former Kalkaska County Sheriff[10][11][12][13]
Failed to qualify[edit]
- Kevin Glover[14]
Declined[edit]
- Gary McDowell, former state representative and nominee for this seat in 2010 & 2012
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jerry Cannon | 31,104 | 100.0 | |
General election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
- Organizations
- Labor unions
- Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Jumpstart" Program
- Sierra Club[20]
- VoteVets[21]
- Newspapers
Predictions[edit]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[23] | Likely R | November 3, 2014 |
| Rothenberg[24] | Lean R | October 24, 2014 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[25] | Likely R | October 30, 2014 |
| RCP | Likely R | November 2, 2014 |
| Daily Kos Elections[26] | Lean R | November 4, 2014 |
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Dan Benishek (incumbent) | 130,414 | 52.1 | |
| Democratic | Jerry Cannon | 113,263 | 45.3 | |
| Libertarian | Loel Gnadt | 3,823 | 1.5 | |
| Green | Ellis Boal | 2,631 | 1.1 | |
| Total votes | 250,131 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 2[edit]
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  Huizenga: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Vanderstelt: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district is located in West Michigan. The incumbent was Republican Bill Huizenga, who had represented the district since 2011. He was re-elected with 61% of the vote in 2012 and the district has a PVI of R+7.
As of September 30, 2013, Huizenga had raised $537,109.30 for the 2014 election cycle, and had $402,388.39 cash on-hand available toward a presumed re-election bid.[28]
Republican primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Bill Huizenga, incumbent U.S. Representative[29]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Bill Huizenga (incumbent) | 54,416 | 100.0 | |
Democratic primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Dean Vanderstelt, retired business executive[30]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Dean Vanderstelt | 19,957 | 100.0 | |
General election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Bill Huizenga (incumbent) | 135,568 | 63.6 | |
| Democratic | Dean Vanderstelt | 70,851 | 33.3 | |
| Libertarian | Ronald Welch II | 3,877 | 1.8 | |
| U.S. Taxpayers | Ronald Graeser | 2,776 | 1.3 | |
| Total votes | 213,072 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 3[edit]
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  Amash: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Goodrich: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Duncan: >90% Tie: 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district is located in West Michigan. The incumbent was Republican Justin Amash, who had represented the district since 2011. He was re-elected with 53% of the vote in 2012 and the district has a PVI of R+4.
As of September 30, 2013, Amash had raised $555,863.56 for the 2014 election cycle, and had $313,844.71 cash on-hand available toward a presumed re-election bid.[31] In September 2013, Amash ended months of speculation regarding whether he would run for the U.S. Senate seat being vacated by Carl Levin, choosing instead to run for re-election to his House seat.[32] Amash faced a primary challenge from investment manager Brian Ellis.[33] Amash defeated Ellis in the Republican primary.[34]
Republican primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Justin Amash, incumbent U.S. Representative[32][35]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
Declined[edit]
- Mark Jansen, state senator[37]
Polling[edit]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Justin Amash | Brian Ellis | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strategic National | July 29, 2014 | 532 | ± 4.2% | 51% | 31% | 18% |
| Strategic National | July 14, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 47% | 24% | 29% |
| EPIC-MRA | June 10–11, 2014 | 814 | ± 3.5% | 55% | 35% | 10% |
| Practical Political Consulting | May 27–29, 2014 | 472 | ± 4.5% | 42% | 23% | 35% |
| The Polling Company | May 2014 | – | – | 53% | 23% | 22% |
| Basswood Research | February 6, 2014 | 300 | ± 5.6% | 60% | 12% | 28% |
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Justin Amash (incumbent) | 39,706 | 57.4 | |
| Republican | Brian Ellis | 29,422 | 42.6 | |
| Total votes | 69,128 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Bob Goodrich, president and CEO of Goodrich Quality Theaters[38]
Failed to qualify[edit]
- Richard A. Abbott[39]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Bob Goodrich | 20,378 | 100.0 | |
General election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Justin Amash (incumbent) | 125,754 | 57.9 | |
| Democratic | Bob Goodrich | 84,720 | 39.0 | |
| Green | Tonya Duncan | 6,691 | 3.1 | |
| Total votes | 217,165 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 4[edit]
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  Moolenaar: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Holmes: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% Tie: 40–50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 4th district is located in Northern and Central Michigan. The incumbent was Republican Dave Camp, who had represented the district since 1993 and previously represented the 10th district from 1991 to 1993. He was re-elected with 63% of the vote in 2012 and the district has a PVI of R+5.
As of September 30, 2013, Camp had raised $1,607,226.02 for the 2014 election cycle, and had $3,198,099.13 cash on-hand available for a presumed re-election bid.[42] In July 2013, Camp announced he was considering running for the U.S. Senate to replace the retiring incumbent Carl Levin,[43] but then the following month announced that he would not do so.[44] In March 2014, he announced that he would not run for re-election.[45] State senator John Moolenaar was the winner of the Republican primary.[46]
Republican primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- John Moolenaar, state senator[47]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Peter Konetchy, software business owner[48]
- Paul Mitchell, businessman and Finance Chairman of the Michigan Republican Party[49]
Declined[edit]
- Darwin L. Booher, state senator[50][51]
- Brian Calley, Lieutenant Governor of Michigan (running for re-election)[52][53]
- Dave Camp, incumbent U.S. Representative[45]
- Gary Glenn, conservative activist and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012[50]
- Roger Kahn, state senator[54]
- Bill Schuette, Michigan Attorney General (running for re-election)[52][55]
- Jim Stamas, Majority Leader of the Michigan House of Representatives (running for the state senate)[56][57]
Polling[edit]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Peter Konetchy | Paul Mitchell | John Moolenaar | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Research | July 29–30, 2014 | 492 | ± 4.42% | 9% | 38% | 38% | 15% |
| Strategic National | July 29, 2014 | 540 | ± 4.2% | 10.63% | 35% | 34% | 20% |
| EPIC-MRA | July 12–13, 2014 | 802 | ± 3.5% | 7% | 50% | 27% | 16% |
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Moolenaar | 34,399 | 52.4 | |
| Republican | Paul Mitchell | 23,844 | 36.3 | |
| Republican | Peter Konetchy | 7,408 | 11.3 | |
| Total votes | 65,651 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Jeff Holmes, physician[58]
Withdrawn[edit]
- John Barker, former Union Township Supervisor[59][60]
Declined[edit]
- James A. Barcia, former U.S. Representative[61]
- Bill Federspiel, Saginaw County Sheriff[50]
- Tom Hickner, Bay County Executive[56]
- Dale Sheltrown, former state representative[45]
- Joel Sheltrown, former state representative[45]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jeff Holmes | 23,496 | 100.0 | |
General election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
- Organizations
Predictions[edit]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[23] | Safe R | November 3, 2014 |
| Rothenberg[24] | Safe R | October 24, 2014 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[25] | Safe R | October 30, 2014 |
| RCP | Safe R | November 2, 2014 |
| Daily Kos Elections[26] | Likely R | November 4, 2014 |
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Moolenaar | 123,962 | 56.5 | |
| Democratic | Jeff Holmes | 85,777 | 39.1 | |
| U.S. Taxpayers | George Zimmer | 4,990 | 2.3 | |
| Libertarian | Will White | 4,694 | 2.1 | |
| Total votes | 219,423 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 5[edit]
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  Kildee: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Hardwick: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 5th district is located in Central Michigan. The incumbent was Democrat Dan Kildee, who had represented the district since 2013. He was elected with 65% of the vote in 2012, succeeding his uncle, Democrat Dale Kildee. The district has a PVI of D+10.
As of September 30, 2013, Kildee had raised $243,246.99 for the 2014 election cycle, and had $210,492.27 cash on-hand available for his re-election bid.[64] He was unopposed in the August primary and would face Republican nominee Allen Hardwick in November.[65]
Democratic primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Dan Kildee, incumbent U.S. Representative[66]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Daniel Kildee (incumbent) | 46,065 | 100.0 | |
Republican primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Allen Hardwick, computer repairman[67]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Tom Whitmire, health consultant[67]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Allen Hardwick | 13,557 | 51.3 | |
| Republican | Tom Whitmire | 12,859 | 48.7 | |
| Total votes | 26,426 | 100.0 | ||
General election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Dan Kildee (incumbent) | 148,182 | 66.7 | |
| Republican | Allen Hardwick | 69,222 | 31.2 | |
| Libertarian | Harold Jones | 4,734 | 2.1 | |
| Total votes | 222,138 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 6[edit]
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  Upton: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Clements: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 6th district is located in Southwest Michigan. The incumbent was Republican Fred Upton, who had represented the district since 1993 and previously represented the 4th district from 1987 to 1993. He was re-elected with 55% of the vote in 2012 and the district has a PVI of R+1.
As of September 30, 2013, Upton had raised $1,205,296.00 for the 2014 election cycle, and had $893,110.90 cash on-hand available for a presumed re-election bid.[70] Upton was challenged for the Republican primary nomination by registered nurse Jim Bussler.[71]
Paul Clements, a professor at Western Michigan University, ran for the Democratic nomination.[72] Upton won the Republican nomination.[73]
Republican primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Fred Upton, incumbent U.S. Representative[74]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Fred Upton (incumbent) | 37,731 | 71.2 | |
| Republican | Jim Bussler | 15,283 | 28.8 | |
| Total votes | 53,014 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Paul Clements | 19,894 | 100.0 | |
General election[edit]
Campaign[edit]
Upton's relatively disappointing performance in 2012 (winning with 55%, the smallest margin of his career, after outspending his opponent $4 million to $294,000), Clements' strong fundraising, and outside spending on behalf of Clements prompted speculation that Upton could suffer an upset loss. Even a close win for Upton could persuade him to retire, as happened with Republican Charles E. Chamberlain, who only narrowly defeated Democrat Milton Robert Carr in 1972, retiring in 1974 to be succeeded by Carr.[77]
Endorsements[edit]
Polling[edit]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Fred Upton (R) | Paul Clements (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamilton Campaigns (D-Clements) | October 24–26, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 43% | 10% |
| Hamilton Campaigns (D-Clements) | October 2–5, 2014 | – | – | 50% | 35% | 15% |
| Hamilton Campaigns (D-Clements) | August 25–28, 2014 | – | – | 57% | 37% | 6% |
Predictions[edit]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[23] | Likely R | November 3, 2014 |
| Rothenberg[24] | Likely R | October 24, 2014 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[25] | Safe R | October 30, 2014 |
| RCP | Safe R | November 2, 2014 |
| Daily Kos Elections[26] | Safe R | November 4, 2014 |
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Fred Upton (incumbent) | 116,801 | 55.9 | |
| Democratic | Paul Clements | 84,391 | 40.4 | |
| Libertarian | Erwin Haas | 5,530 | 2.6 | |
| Green | John Lawrence | 2,254 | 1.1 | |
| Total votes | 208,976 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 7[edit]
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  Walberg: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Byrnes: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie: 40–50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 7th district is located in Southern Michigan. The incumbent was Republican Tim Walberg, who had represented the district since 2011 and previously represented the district from 2007 to 2009. He was re-elected with 53% of the vote in 2012 and the district has a PVI of R+3.
As of September 30, 2013, Walberg had raised $482,372.42, and had $570,160.47 cash on-hand available for a presumed re-election bid.[79]
Attorney and former state representative Pam Byrnes was recruited by Michigan Democratic Party chairman Lon Johnson to challenge Walberg.[10][80][81] The Rothenberg Political Report rated this race as "Republican Favored."[2] Walberg won the Republican nomination.[82]
Republican primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Tim Walberg, incumbent U.S. Representative[83]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Douglas Radcliffe North[84]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tim Walberg (incumbent) | 38,046 | 79.3 | |
| Republican | Douglas North | 9,934 | 20.7 | |
| Total votes | 47,980 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Pam Byrnes, former state representative[10][80][81][85]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Pam Byrnes | 25,048 | 100.0 | |
General election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
Polling[edit]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tim Walberg (R) | Pam Byrnes (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCCC (D) | October 5, 2013 | 448 | ± 4.6% | 43% | 42% | 15% |
Predictions[edit]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[23] | Safe R | November 3, 2014 |
| Rothenberg[24] | Likely R | October 24, 2014 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[25] | Safe R | October 30, 2014 |
| RCP | Likely R | November 2, 2014 |
| Daily Kos Elections[26] | Likely R | November 4, 2014 |
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tim Walberg (incumbent) | 119,564 | 53.4 | |
| Democratic | Pam Byrnes | 92,083 | 41.2 | |
| Libertarian | Ken Proctor | 4,531 | 2.0 | |
| Independent | David Swartout | 4,369 | 2.0 | |
| Constitution | Rick Strawcutter | 3,138 | 1.4 | |
| Total votes | 223,685 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 8[edit]
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  Bishop: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% Schertzing: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 8th district is located in Southern and Southeast Michigan. The incumbent was Republican Mike Rogers, who had represented the district since 2001. He was re-elected with 59% of the vote in 2012 and the district has a PVI of R+2.
As of September 30, 2013, Rogers had raised $869,321.02, and had $1,819,857.21 cash on-hand available for a presumed re-election bid.[87] Rogers had considering running for the U.S. Senate,[88] but ultimately declined,[89] before deciding to not to seek re-election.[90]
Rogers' retirement made the formerly "Safe Republican" district more competitive. The Rothenberg Political Report then rated this race "Republican Favored"[91] and The Washington Post predicted a "scramble" in the race to win the seat.[92] Mike Bishop won the Republican nomination and Eric Schertzing won the Democratic nomination to fill Camp's seat.[93]
Republican primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Mike Bishop, former Majority Leader of the Michigan Senate and nominee for Prosecutor of Oakland County in 2012[94]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Tom McMillin, state representative[95]
Withdrawn[edit]
- Bryan Barnett, Mayor of Rochester Hills[96][97]
Declined[edit]
- Saul Anuzis, former chairman of the Michigan Republican Party and candidate for chairman of the Republican National Committee in 2009 and 2011[98]
- Mike Bouchard, Oakland County Sheriff, former state senator, nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2006 and candidate for Governor in 2010[95]
- Cindy Denby, state representative[99]
- Craig DeRoche, former Speaker of the Michigan House of Representatives[100]
- Gail Haines, state representative[101]
- Joe Hune, state senator[102]
- Rick Jones, state senator and former Eaton County Sheriff[91]
- Jim Marleau, state senator[99]
- Bill Rogers, state representative and older brother of Mike Rogers[95]
- Mike Rogers, incumbent U.S. Representative[90]
Endorsements[edit]
- Organizations
Polling[edit]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Mike Bishop | Tom McMillin | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPIC-MRA | July 19–20, 2014 | 800 | ± 35% | 45% | 33% | 22% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Saul Anuzis | Bryan Barnett | Mike Bishop | Steve Hantler | Joe Hune | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Combat/Murray/Portable | March 31, 2014 | 884 | ± 3.29% | 3.51% | 5.66% | 22.96% | 1.58% | 17.65% | — | 48.64% |
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Bishop | 35,422 | 60.3 | |
| Republican | Tom McMillin | 23,358 | 39.7 | |
| Total votes | 58,780 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Eric Schertzing, Ingham County Treasurer[104]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Ken Darga, former state demographer[105]
- Susan Grettenberger, associate professor and director of social work at Central Michigan University[105]
- Jeffrey Hank, attorney[106]
Declined[edit]
- Bob Alexander, activist and nominee for this seat in 2004 and 2008[99]
- Virgil Bernero, Mayor of Lansing and nominee for Governor of Michigan in 2010[107]
- Barb Byrum, Ingham County Clerk and former state representative[108]
- Dianne Byrum, member of the Michigan State University board of trustees, former state representative, former state senator and nominee for the seat in 2000[95]
- Mark Meadows, former state representative and former mayor of East Lansing[109]
- Sam Singh, state representative and former mayor of East Lansing[110]
- Peter Spadafore, President of the Lansing Board of Education[111]
- Gretchen Whitmer, Minority Leader of the Michigan Senate[112]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Eric Schertzing | 13,535 | 42.8 | |
| Democratic | Susan Grettenberger | 11,921 | 37.7 | |
| Democratic | Ken Darga | 3,103 | 9.8 | |
| Democratic | Jeffrey Hank | 3,054 | 9.7 | |
| Total votes | 31,613 | 100.0 | ||
General election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
- Organizations
Polling[edit]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Mike Bishop (R) | Eric Schertzing (D) | Jim Casha (G) | James Weeks (L) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBA Strategies (D-Schertzing) | August 18–21, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 42% | 37% | 3% | 10% | 8% |
Predictions[edit]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[23] | Safe R | November 3, 2014 |
| Rothenberg[24] | Likely R | October 24, 2014 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[25] | Safe R | October 30, 2014 |
| RCP | Likely R | November 2, 2014 |
| Daily Kos Elections[26] | Likely R | November 4, 2014 |
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Bishop | 132,739 | 54.6 | |
| Democratic | Eric Schertzing | 102,269 | 42.1 | |
| Libertarian | James Weeks | 4,557 | 1.9 | |
| Green | Jim Casha | 1,880 | 0.8 | |
| Natural Law | Jeremy Burgess | 1,680 | 0.7 | |
| Total votes | 243,125 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 9[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
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  Levin: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Brikho: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% Tie: 40–50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 9th district is located in Southeast Michigan. The incumbent was Democrat Sander Levin, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 12th district from 1993 to 2013 and the 17th district from 1983 to 1993. He was re-elected with 62% of the vote in 2012 and the district has a PVI of D+6.
As of September 30, 2013, Levin had raised $620,167.36, and had $347,066.37 cash on-hand available for a presumed re-election bid.[113]
Democratic primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Sander Levin, incumbent U.S. Representative[114]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Sander Levin (incumbent) | 40,877 | 100.0 | |
Republican primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- George Brikho[115]
Withdrawn[edit]
- Greg Dildilian (running for the state house)[116]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | George Brikho | 30,678 | 100.0 | |
General election[edit]
Campaign[edit]
Republican candidate George Brikho caused controversy during the campaign, by suggesting Adolf Hitler was a better leader than Hillary Clinton.[117]
Endorsements[edit]
- Labor unions
- Organizations
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Sander Levin (incumbent) | 136,342 | 60.4 | |
| Republican | George Brikho | 81,470 | 36.1 | |
| Libertarian | Gregory Creswell | 4,792 | 2.1 | |
| Green | John McDermott | 3,153 | 1.4 | |
| Total votes | 225,757 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 10[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
  Miller: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Stadler: 40–50% 50–60% Tie: 40–50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
The 10th district is located an area of the Lower Peninsula of Michigan known as The Thumb. The incumbent wasis Republican Candice Miller, who had represented the district since 2003. She was re-elected with 69% of the vote in 2012 and the district has a PVI of R+6.
As of September 30, 2013, Miller had raised $395,759.26, and had $995,281.27 cash on-hand available for a presumed re-election bid.[118] Miller declined an opportunity to run for the U.S. Senate seat being vacated by Carl Levin, declaring her intention to seek re-election instead.[119]
Republican primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Candice Miller, incumbent U.S. Representative[119][120]
Failed to qualify[edit]
- Don Volaric[121]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Candice Miller (incumbent) | 55,272 | 100.0 | |
Democratic primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Chuck Stadler | 25,820 | 100.0 | |
General election[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Candice Miller (incumbent) | 157,069 | 68.7 | |
| Democratic | Chuck Stadler | 67,143 | 29.3 | |
| Green | Harley Mikkelson | 4,480 | 2.0 | |
| Total votes | 228,692 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 11[edit]
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| |||||||||||||||||
  Trott: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% McKenzie: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
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The 11th district is located northwest of Detroit. The incumbent was Republican Kerry Bentivolio, who had represented the district since 2013. He was elected in 2012, winning the general election with 51% of the vote but losing the special election to fill the final few weeks of Republican Thaddeus McCotter's term. The district has a PVI of R+4.
The Rothenberg Political Report rated this race "Republican Favored."[2]
Republican primary[edit]
As of September 30, 2013, Bentivolio had raised $165,479.93, and had $38,677.61 cash on-hand available for a presumed re-election bid.[123] Foreclosure attorney David Trott, a major campaign donor for Mitt Romney's 2012 presidential campaign and a close friend to Oakland County Executive L. Brooks Patterson, challenged Bentivolio in the Republican primary.[124] As of September 30, 2013, Trott had raised $647,719.32, and had $452,421.31 cash on-hand available for his primary challenge.[125] First quarter, 2014 Federal Election Commission filings showed that Trott self-funded his campaign with over $800,000 while acquiring approximately $850,000 from donors.[126] FEC filings by Rep. Kerry Bentivolio indicated he had raised approximately $440,000 from donors.[126]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- David Trott, foreclosure attorney[124][127]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Kerry Bentivolio, incumbent U.S. Representative[128][129]
Endorsements[edit]
- Organizations
Polling[edit]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kerry Bentivolio | David Trott | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPIC-MRA | July 12–13, 2014 | 802 | ± 3.5% | 31% | 53% | 16% |
| National Research Inc. (R-Trott) | June 23–24, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 21% | 39% | 40% |
| MIRS | May 2014 | – | – | 33% | 21% | 46% |
| Murray Communications | September 10, 2013 | 717 | ± 3.66% | 60% | 40% | — |
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Dave Trott | 42,008 | 66.4 | |
| Republican | Kerry Bentivolio (incumbent) | 21,254 | 33.6 | |
| Total votes | 63,262 | 100.0 | ||
After his defeat, Bentivolio announced that he was running a write-in campaign. He alleged that after Trott won the primary, the Trott campaign "kept up the attacks, but they expanded it beyond me. After they won the race, they continued to beat up me, my family members, as well as my staff... I put them on notice: If they didn't stop I'm probably going to end up doing a write-in campaign. And they didn't stop." The Trott campaign has denied this, saying that "nothing like that occurred." Bentivolio does not think he will win, or even "get enough votes to keep [Trott] from getting elected... all I'm concerned about is getting people who want a voice through a protest vote to do a protest vote."[130]
Democratic primary[edit]
Robert L. McKenzie, who had worked for the United States Department of State as senior advisor, was the Democratic Party nominee. Jocelyn Benson, the Dean of Wayne State University Law School, was considering running for the seat[131] but declined to do so in the wake of the murder of a student at Wayne State University.[132] Michigan Democratic Party Chairman Lon Johnson said the party would field a top caliber opponent against the Republican nominee.[10]
McKenzie would win the Democratic nomination.[133][134][135]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Bobby McKenzie, counter-terrorism specialist[136][137]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Anil Kumar, physician[138]
- Bill Roberts[106]
- Nancy Skinner, radio host, candidate for the U.S. Senate from Illinois in 2004 and nominee for Michigan's 9th congressional district in 2006[138]
Declined[edit]
- Jocelyn Benson, Dean of Wayne State University Law School and nominee for Michigan Secretary of State in 2010[139]
Polling[edit]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Anil Kumar | Bobby McKenzie | Bill Roberts | Nancy Skinner | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target-Insyght | June 17–19, 2014 | 400 | ± 5% | 21% | 7% | 5% | 14% | 54% |
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Bobby McKenzie | 13,441 | 34.3 | |
| Democratic | Anil Kumar | 12,479 | 31.8 | |
| Democratic | Nancy Skinner | 10,371 | 26.5 | |
| Democratic | Bill Roberts | 2,906 | 7.4 | |
| Total votes | 39,197 | 100.0 | ||
General election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
- Labor unions
- Organizations
- Newspapers
Polling[edit]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | David Trott (R) | Bobby McKenzie (D) | James Tatar (L) | Kerry Bentivolio (WI) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Research | October 15, 2014 | 472 | ± 4.51% | 47% | 35% | 2% | 7% | 10% |
| Tulchin Research (D-McKenzie) | August 20–24, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.38% | 44% | 40% | — | — | 16% |
Predictions[edit]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[23] | Likely R | November 3, 2014 |
| Rothenberg[24] | Likely R | October 24, 2014 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[25] | Safe R | October 30, 2014 |
| RCP | Safe R | November 2, 2014 |
| Daily Kos Elections[26] | Safe R | November 4, 2014 |
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Dave Trott | 140,435 | 55.9 | |
| Democratic | Bobby McKenzie | 101,681 | 40.5 | |
| Libertarian | John Tatar | 7,711 | 3.0 | |
| Republican | Kerry Bentivolio (incumbent) (write-in) | 1,411 | 0.6 | |
| Total votes | 251,238 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 12[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
  Dingell: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Bowman: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% Tie: 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 12th district is located between Detroit's western suburbs and Ann Arbor. The incumbent was Democrat John Dingell, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 15th district from 2003 to 2013, the 16th district from 1965 to 2003 and the 15th district from 1955 to 1965. He was re-elected with 68% of the vote in 2012 and the district had a PVI of D+15.
As of September 30, 2013, he had raised $299,148.00 and had $337,402.23 cash on-hand, but eventually chose to not seek re-election.[140] His wife, Deborah Dingell, ran for the seat instead.[141] She defeated Raymond Mullins for the Democratic nomination, and went on to defeat Terry Bowman in the general election. Upon her election she became the first person in history to succeed a living spouse in Congress. [142]
Democratic primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Deborah Dingell, Member of the Wayne State University Board of Governors[143]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Raymond Mullins[106]
Declined[edit]
- John Dingell, incumbent U.S. Representative
- Lynn N. Rivers, former U.S. Representative[144]
- Rebekah Warren, state senator[145]
Polling[edit]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Deborah Dingell | Doug Geiss | Hoon-Young Hopgood | Jeff Irwin | Rebekah Warren | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revsix/Mainstreet Strategies | February 26–27, 2013 | 813 | ± 3.4% | 51% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 16% | 23% |
| 56% | — | — | — | 22% | 22% |
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Deborah Dingell | 45,162 | 77.7 | |
| Democratic | Raymond Mullins | 12,994 | 22.3 | |
| Total votes | 58,156 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Terry Bowman[106]
Withdrawn[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Terry Bowman | 18,793 | 100.0 | |
General election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Deborah Dingell | 134,346 | 65.0 | |
| Republican | Terry Bowman | 64,716 | 31.3 | |
| Independent | Gary Walkowicz | 5,039 | 2.4 | |
| Libertarian | Bhagwan Dashairya | 2,559 | 1.3 | |
| Total votes | 206,660 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 13[edit]
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| |||||||||||||||||
 Precinct results Conyers: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Gorman: 40–50% 50–60% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 13th district is located in Wayne County and includes much of the city of Detroit. The incumbent was Democrat John Conyers, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 14th district from 1993 to 2013 and the 1st district from 1965 to 1993. He was re-elected with 83% of the vote in 2012 and the district has a PVI of D+34.
As of September 30, 2013, Conyers had raised $266,996.51, and had $132,515.29 cash on-hand available for a presumed re-election bid.[147]
Democratic primary[edit]
The Wayne County Clerk determined that Conyers did not supply enough valid signatures to make the primary ballot. Conyers could have either appealed or ran as a write-in candidate.[148][149] While the Michigan Secretary of State confirmed the ruling, a federal judge ordered Conyers' name back on the ballot.[150] Conyers defeated Horace Sheffield III for the Democratic nomination.[151]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- John Conyers, incumbent U.S. Representative[152]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Horace Sheffield III, pastor of the New Destiny Christian Fellowship Church[153]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | John Conyers (incumbent) | 42,005 | 73.9 | |
| Democratic | Horace Sheffield III | 14,850 | 26.1 | |
| Total votes | 56,855 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Jeff Gorman, retired Naval Officer and commercial airline pilot[84]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jeff Gorman | 6,696 | 100.0 | |
General election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | John Conyers (incumbent) | 132,710 | 79.5 | |
| Republican | Jeff Gorman | 27,234 | 16.3 | |
| Libertarian | Chis Sharer | 3,537 | 2.1 | |
| Independent | Sam Johnson | 3,466 | 2.1 | |
| Total votes | 166,947 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 14[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
  Lawrence: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Barr: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 14th district stretches from eastern Detroit westward to Farmington Hills, then north to the suburbs of Auburn Hills. The incumbent was Democrat Gary Peters, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 9th district from 2009 to 2013. He was re-elected with 82% of the vote in 2012 and the district has a PVI of D+29.
Peters did not run for re-election; he instead ran for the United States Senate seat being vacated by retiring Democrat Carl Levin in 2014.[155]
Brenda Lawrence won the Democratic primary on August 5, 2014.[156][157]
Christina Conyers was the only filed Republican candidate for the GOP primary.
Democratic primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Brenda Lawrence, Mayor of Southfield, nominee for Oakland County Executive in 2008, for lieutenant governor in 2010 and candidate for this seat in 2012[158]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Hansen Clarke, former U.S. Representative[159]
- Burgess Foster[106]
- Rudy Hobbs, state representative[160]
Withdrawn[edit]
- Godfrey Dillard, attorney (running for Secretary of State)[161]
- Stephen Dunwoody[162]
- MyKale L. "Kelly" Garrett, Lathrup Village City Councilwoman (running for state representative)[163]
- Vincent Gregory, state senator (running for re-election)[164]
- Bert Johnson, state senator (running for re-election)[165]
- Jessica Lynn McCall, former staffer for Jennifer Granholm and former Department of Health and Human Services employee[166][167]
- Maurice Morton, attorney and businessman[168]
Declined[edit]
- Gary Peters, incumbent U.S. Representative (running for the U.S. Senate)
Polling[edit]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Hansen Clarke | Burgess Foster | Rudy Hobbs | Brenda Lawrence | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Research | July 28–29, 2014 | – | – | 25% | 2% | 38% | 22% | 13% |
| EPIC-MRA | July 12–13, 2014 | 802 | ± 3.5% | 39% | 4% | 20% | 28% | 9% |
| Lake Research Partners (D-Lawrence) | June 3–5, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 27% | 0% | 6% | 35% | 32% |
| Target Insyght | May 20–22, 2014 | 400 | ± 5% | 32% | 5% | 8% | 22% | 33% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Godfrey Dillard | Vince Gregrory | Rudy Hobbs | Bert Johnson | Brenda Lawrence | LaMar Lemmons | Jessica McCall | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Research Partners (D-Lawrence) | November 14–18, 2013 | 406 | ± 4.9% | 0% | 1% | 6% | 5% | 37% | 3% | 0% | 46% |
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Brenda Lawrence | 26,387 | 35.6 | |
| Democratic | Rudy Hobbs | 23,996 | 32.4 | |
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