Nationwide opinion polling for the 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries

From Wikipedia the free encyclopedia

This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the Democratic primaries for the 2020 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls were declared candidates or had received media speculation about their possible candidacy.

Given the large number of candidates, the scores of certain low-polling and infrequently-polled candidates have been combined within the "other" column; their exact scores may be viewed by viewing the footnotes associated with each poll. The polls included are among Democrats or Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents, and do not include Republican-leaning independents. Open-ended polls are included and marked with an asterisk (*), but closed-ended versions of such polls are listed where possible. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version used for debate qualification is prioritized, then the version among likely voters, then registered voters, then adults.

Background[edit]

The Democratic National Committee (DNC) determined that candidates could qualify for the first two Democratic primary debates either by polling at 1% or higher in at least three national or early-state (Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina) polls sponsored or conducted by designated organizations (in different regions if by the same organization) published after January 1, 2019, up until June 12, 2019, or by a fundraising threshold requiring at least 65,000 unique donors with at least 200 in 20 different states. If more than 20 candidates met either threshold, candidates meeting both thresholds would be given highest priority for entry into the debates, followed by those with the highest polling average and those with the most donors. The pollsters and sponsors of polls designated for consideration by the DNC were the Associated Press, ABC News, CBS News, CNN, The Des Moines Register, Fox News, the Las Vegas Review-Journal, Monmouth University, NBC News, The New York Times, National Public Radio, Quinnipiac University, Reuters, the University of New Hampshire, USA Today, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and Winthrop University.[1] Open-ended polls did not count towards the polling threshold.[2] Only top-line polling results counted toward the threshold.[3]

For the third and fourth primary debates, candidates were required to meet both polling and fundraising thresholds. Prior considerations were only polls between June 28 and August 28, 2019 and increased to 4 qualifying polls at 2% support, now excluding surveys sponsored by the Las Vegas Review-Journal and Reuters; the latter requirement was also increased, to 130,000 unique donors with at least 400 in 20 different states.[4]

A total of 29 major candidates declared their candidacies for the primaries,[5] the largest field of presidential primary candidates for any American political party since the modern primaries began in 1972, exceeding the field of 17 major candidates in the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries.[6]

Other individuals who were included in national Democratic primary polls but did not run for the 2020 nomination included Stacey Abrams, Michael Avenatti, Sherrod Brown, Hillary Clinton, Mark Cuban, Andrew Cuomo, Al Franken, Eric Garcetti, Eric Holder, Tim Kaine, Jason Kander, Joe Kennedy III, John Kerry, Mitch Landrieu, Terry McAuliffe, Chris Murphy, Gavin Newsom, Michelle Obama, Howard Schultz, Oprah Winfrey, and Mark Zuckerberg.

Polling aggregation[edit]

The following graph depicts the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators from December 2018 to April 2020.

Polling aggregates
      Joe Biden       Others/Undecided
      Bernie Sanders       Tulsi Gabbard
      Elizabeth Warren       Michael Bloomberg
      Amy Klobuchar       Pete Buttigieg
      Andrew Yang       Cory Booker
      Kamala Harris       Beto O'Rourke
      Debates       Caucuses and primaries
      COVID-19 pandemic national emergency declaration

Italics indicate withdrawn candidates; bold indicates events.


2020[edit]

   – Debate qualifying poll as designated by the Democratic National Committee (DNC)

April–August 2020[edit]

April–August 2020 polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Bernie
Sanders
Someone
else
Would
not vote
Undecided
August 20 Democratic National Convention ends
YouGov/Economist Aug 16–18, 2020 559 (LV) 59% 33% 7%
August 11 Connecticut primary
YouGov/Economist Aug 9-11, 2020 587 (LV) 59% 33% 8%
YouGov/Economist Aug 2–4, 2020 527 (LV) 61% 32% 7%
YouGov/Economist Jul 26–28, 2020 576 (LV) 60% 33% 7%
YouGov/Economist Jul 19–21, 2020 557 (LV) 61% 32% 7%
YouGov/Economist Jul 12–14, 2020 598 (LV) 58% 35% 8%
July 12 Puerto Rico primary
July 11 Louisiana primary
July 7 Delaware and New Jersey primaries
YouGov/Economist Jul 5–7, 2020 559 (LV) 57% 34% 10%
YouGov/Economist Jun 28–30, 2020 605 (LV) 59% 34% 7%
June 23 Kentucky and New York primaries
YouGov/Economist Jun 21–23, 2020 561 (LV) 57% 37% 6%
YouGov/Economist Jun 14–16, 2020 541 (LV) 60% 33% 7%
June 9 Georgia and West Virginia primaries
YouGov/Economist Jun 7–9, 2020 649 (LV) 56% 38% 7%
June 6 Guam and U.S. Virgin Islands caucuses
June 5 Biden secures a majority of pledged delegates and becomes the presumptive Democratic nominee
June 2 District of Columbia, Indiana, Maryland, Montana, New Mexico, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island and South Dakota Democratic primaries
YouGov/Economist May 31–Jun 2 589 (LV) 60% 33% 7%
Zogby/EMI/Washington Examiner May 26[b] < 1000 (LV)[c] 55% 37%
May 22 Hawaii primary
May 19 Oregon primary
YouGov/Economist May 17–19 581 (LV) 62% 33% 5%
May 12 Nebraska primary
YouGov/Economist May 10–12 602 (LV) 57% 36% 7%
Rasmussen Reports May 10–11 < 1000 (LV)[d] 54% 28% 18%
YouGov/Economist May 3–5 547 (LV) 55% 37% 7%
Morning Consult May 2–3 737 (RV) ± 4% 61% 26%[e] 13%
May 2 Kansas primary
Apr 28 Ohio primary
Winston Group Apr 27-28 ~670 (RV)[f] 54% 17% 2% 18% 8%
YouGov/Economist Apr 26–28 563 (LV) 59% 32% 9%
Emerson College Apr 26–28 479 (RV) 68% 24% 3% 2%[g] 7%
YouGov/Economist Apr 19–21 544 (LV) 60% 34% 6%
Apr 17 Wyoming caucuses
YouGov/Economist Apr 12–14 586 (LV) 49% 31% 18% 2%
Apr 10 Alaska primary
Zogby Analytics Apr 8–9 679 (LV) ± 3.8% 61% 30%[h] 9%
Apr 8 Sanders withdraws from the race
Apr 7 Wisconsin primary
YouGov/Economist Apr 5–7 586 (LV) 49% 28% 18% 5%
CNN/SSRS Apr 3–6 462 (RV) ± 5.6% 65% 30% 1% 5%
Morning Consult Mar 30–Apr 5 13,346 (LV) ± 1.0% 61% 36% 3%
Winston Group Apr 1–3 ~670 (RV)[f] 48% 27% 2% 14% 10%
IBD/TIPP[1] Mar 29–Apr 1 447 (RV) 62% 30% 3% 5%

March 2020[edit]

March 2020 polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Bernie
Sanders
Tulsi
Gabbard
Someone
else
Would
not vote
Undecided
YouGov/Economist Mar 29–31 573 (LV) 47% 34% 15% 4%
HarrisX/The Hill Mar 29–30 425 (RV) ± 4.7% 54% 32% 5% 10%
Morning Consult Mar 23–29 15,101 (LV) ± 1.0% 61% 36% 3%
Harvard-Harris Mar 24–26 903 (RV) 58% 32% 1% 9%
ABC/Washington Post Mar 22–25 388 (RV) ± 5.5% 55% 39% 2% 5%[i] 1%
YouGov/Economist Mar 22–24 545 (LV) 47% 34% 16% 3%
Echelon Insights Mar 20-24 490 (LV) 66% 29%
Ipsos/Reuters Mar 18–24 1,981 (A) ± 2.5% 53% 34% 2% 2%% 0% 8%
Morning Consult Mar 16–22 16,180 (LV) ± 1.0% 60% 36% 5%
Mar 19 Gabbard withdraws from the race
Emerson College Mar 18–19 519 (LV) ± 4.3% 54% 42% 4%
Mar 17 Arizona, Florida, and Illinois primaries
YouGov/Economist Mar 15–17 551 (LV) 48% 32% 13% 6%
Ipsos/Reuters Mar 13–16 458 (RV) ± 5.2% 48% 39% 2% 2% 0% 8%
Mar 15 Eleventh Democratic primary debate
HarrisX/The Hill Mar 14–15 894 (RV) ± 3.3% 55% 31% 4% 3% 7%
Mar 14 Northern Mariana Islands Democratic caucus
Morning Consult Mar 11–15 8,869 (LV) ± 1.0% 58% 37% 3% 3%
Winston Group Mar 11–13 ~670 (RV)[f] 50% 24% 4% 1% 12% 9%
NBC/WSJ[2] Mar 11–13 438 (LV) ± 4.68% 61% 32% 4% 1% 2%
Hofstra University Mar 5–12 572 (LV) ± 2.9% 58% 35% 2% 5%
Morning Consult Mar 11 2,072 (LV) ± 2.0% 59% 35% 3% 3%
Mar 11 COVID-19 declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization; national emergency declared on Mar 13
Mar 10 Democrats Abroad, Idaho, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, North Dakota, and Washington primaries
YouGov/Economist Mar 8–10 573 (LV) 53% 38% 2% 1% 6%
Chism Strategies Archived March 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Mar 9 840 (LV) ± 3.38% 50% 42% 4% 5%
HarrisX/The Hill Mar 8–9 442 (RV) ± 4.6% 55% 28% 5% 4% 8%
Ipsos/Reuters Mar 6–9 420 (RV) ± 5.5% 54% 33% 2% 3% 0% 8%
Morning Consult Mar 5–8 9,593 (LV) ± 1.0% 56% 38% 3% 3%
Quinnipiac University Mar 5–8 559 (RV) ± 4.2% 54% 35% 2% 1% 8%
CNN/SSRS Mar 4–7 540 (RV) ± 5% 52% 36% 8%[j] 4%
Morning Consult Mar 5 1,390 (LV) ± 3.0% 54% 38% 2% 6%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe Biden
Michael Bloomberg
Pete Buttigieg
Tulsi Gabbard
Amy Klobuchar
Bernie Sanders
Tom Steyer
Elizabeth Warren
Others
Would not vote
Undecided
Mar 5 Warren withdraws from the race
Ipsos/Reuters Mar 4–5 474 (RV) ± 5.1% 45% 1% 32% 11% 4% 0% 7%
Mar 4 Bloomberg withdraws from the race
Mar 3 Super Tuesday
Morning Consult Mar 2–3 961 (LV) ± 4.0% 36% 19% 28% 14% 3%
YouGov/Economist Mar 1–3 722 (LV) 28% 11% 7% 2% 4% 24% 19%
Mar 2 Klobuchar withdraws from the race
HarrisX/The Hill Mar 1–2 453 (RV) ± 4.6% 28% 20% 2% 3% 23% 11% 2% 10%
Ipsos/Reuters Feb 28 – Mar 2 469 (RV) 15% 14% 10% 1% 4% 24% 2% 9% 2% 4% 14%
Mar 1 Buttigieg withdraws from the race
Morning Consult Mar 1 2,656 (LV) ± 2.0% 26% 17% 10% 3% 29% 1% 11%

February 2020[edit]

February 2020 polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe Biden
Michael Bloomberg
Pete Buttigieg
Tulsi Gabbard
Amy Klobuchar
Bernie Sanders
Tom Steyer
Elizabeth Warren
Andrew Yang
Others
Would not vote
Undecided
Feb 29 South Carolina primary; Steyer withdraws from the race
IBD/TIPP Feb 20–29 325 (RV) 20% 13% 7% [k] 6% 23% [k] 17%
Harvard-Harris Feb 26-28 925 (RV) 20% 18% 10% 1% 2% 25% 3% 11% 1% 2% 7%
Morning Consult Feb 26–27 5,334 (LV) ± 1.0% 21% 17% 10% 2% 4% 33% 3% 11%
YouGov/Yahoo News Feb 26–27 21% 14% 10% 1% 4% 27% 2% 18%
Change Research Feb 25–27 821 (LV) 14% 8% 9% 1% 3% 40% 2% 20%
SurveyUSA Feb 25–26 825 (LV) ± 3.6% 21% 21% 9% 1% 4% 28% 2% 8% 5%
Fox News Feb 23–26 1,000 (RV) ± 4.0% 18% 16% 12% 1% 5% 31% 2% 10% 1% 4%
Feb 25 Tenth Democratic primary debate
YouGov/Economist Feb 23–25 584 (LV) 20% 11% 9% 4% 4% 30% 1% 16% 1% 4%
Ipsos/Reuters Feb 19–25 1,808 (RV) ± 2.6% 17% 16% 11% 1% 4% 29% 3% 12% 1% 1% 6%
HarrisX/The Hill Feb 23–24 470 (RV) ± 4.5% 17% 19% 12% 2% 3% 28% 3% 8% [l] 8%
Morning Consult Feb 23 2,631 (LV) ± 2.0% 18% 19% 11% 2% 4% 32% 3% 11% [l]
Feb 22 Nevada caucuses
YouGov/CBS News Feb 20–22 6,498 (LV) ± 1.7% 17% 13% 10% 1% 5% 28% 2% 19% 5%[m] [k]
Saint Leo University Feb 17–22 310 (LV) 25% 16% 6% 2% 3% 26% 2% 9%
Morning Consult Feb 20 2,609 (LV) ± 2.0% 19% 17% 11% [l] 5% 30% [l] 12% [l]
Feb 19 Ninth Democratic primary debate
YouGov/Economist Feb 16–18 555 (LV) ± 3.0% 18% 12% 11% 2% 7% 24% 2% 16% 2% 5%
Emerson College Feb 16–18 573 (LV) ± 2.7% 22% 14% 8% 4% 6% 29% 3% 12% 4% [k]
ABC/Wash Post Archived February 19, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Feb 14–17 408 (RV) ± 3.5% 16% 14% 8% 1% 7% 32% 2% 12% [k] [k]
NBC/WSJ Feb 14–17 426 (LV) ± 4.8% 15% 14% 13% 1%[n] 7% 27% 2%[n] 14% [k] [k]
Ipsos/Reuters Feb 14–17 543 (RV) ± 5.0% 13% 17% 11% [k] 5% 25% [k] 9% [k] [k]
SurveyUSA Feb 13–17 1,022 (LV) ± 3.3% 18% 18% 12% [o] 4% 29% 2% 10% 1%[p] 6%
Morning Consult Feb 12–17 15,974 (LV) ± 1.0% 19% 20% 12% 2% 6% 28% 3% 10% 1%
Winston Group Feb 15–16 ~670 (RV)[f] 13% 16% 9% 2% 6% 23% 3% 9% 1%[q] 9% 10%
NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Feb 13–16 1,164 (RV) ± 3.7% 15% 19% 8% 0% 9% 31% 2% 12% 0% 5%
HarrisX/The Hill Feb 14–15 449 (RV) ± 4.6% 19% 18% 10% 0% 6% 22% 3% 12% 8%
Zogby Analytics Feb 13–14 732 (LV) ± 3.6% 18% 20% 9% 3% 5% 24% 4% 10% 2%[r] 6%
YouGov/GW Politics Archived April 15, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Feb 3-14 437 (RV)[b] 21.5% 9.4% 10.5% 1.4% 3.1% 20.3% 1.1% 14.9% 4.1% 1.1%[s] 3.5% 8.9%
Morning Consult Feb 12 2,639 (LV) ± 2% 19% 18% 11% [l] 5% 29% [l] 10% [l]
Feb 11 New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race
YouGov/Economist Feb 9–11 552 (LV) 18% 12% 10% 4% 7% 22% 1% 15% 2% 1% 6%
McLaughlin & Associates Archived February 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Feb 7–11 479 (LV) 24% 16% 11% 1% 3% 21% 3% 11% 3% 1%[t] 7%
HarrisX/The Hill Feb 7–10 913 (RV) ± 3.2% 23% 16% 9% 1% 3% 20% 3% 9% 3% 3%[u] 11%
Ipsos/Reuters Feb 6–10 556 (RV) ± 3.6% 17% 15% 8% 1% 3% 20% 2% 11% 5% 2%[v] 3% 14%
Monmouth University Feb 6–9 357 (RV) ± 5.2% 16% 11% 13% 1% 6% 26% 1% 13% 4% 0% 2% 5%
Quinnipiac University Feb 5–9 665 (RV) ± 3.8% 17% 15% 10% 1% 4% 25% 1% 14% 2% 1% 1% 10%
Morning Consult Feb 4–9 15,348 (LV) ± 1% 22% 17% 11% 1% 3% 25% 3% 11% 4% 2%[w]
Feb 7 Eighth Democratic primary debate
Morning Consult Feb 5 2,500 (LV) ± 2.0% 24% 15% 12% [l] 3% 25% 3% 11% 5% [l]
Morning Consult[3] Feb 4–5 891 (LV) ± 3% 25% 14% 10% 2% 3% 22% 3% 13% 4% 1%[x] 4%
Morning Consult Feb 4 2,500 (LV) ± 2.0% 27% 16% 9% [l] 3% 24% 3% 11% 5% [l]
YouGov/Economist Feb 2–4 616 (LV) 24% 9% 9% 3% 6% 19% 2% 18% 3% 1%[x] 1% 6%
Morning Consult Feb 3 2,500 (LV) ± 2.0% 29% 16% 7% [l] 3% 22% 2% 13% 5% [l]
Feb 3 Iowa caucuses
Ipsos/Reuters Jan 31 – Feb 3 551 (RV) 22% 9% 5% 1% 4% 19% 3% 10% 4% 2%[w] 4% 17%
Winston Group Jan 31 – Feb 2 ~670 (RV)[f] 20% 13% 5% 2% 3% 17% 2% 8% 5% 4%[y] 9% 9%
Atlas Intel Jan 30 – Feb 2 532 (LV) ± 4.0% 24% 8% 5% 3% 2% 28% [z] 11% 3% [z] 12%
Morning Consult Jan 27 – Feb 2 15,259 (LV) ± 1% 28% 14% 6% 2% 3% 24% 3% 14% 4% 3%[u]

January 2020[edit]

January 2020 polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe Biden
Michael Bloomberg
Pete Buttigieg
Amy Klobuchar
Bernie Sanders
Tom Steyer
Elizabeth Warren
Andrew Yang
Other
Undecided
Ipsos/Reuters Jan 29–30 565 (RV) ± 5.0% 23% 12% 4% 2% 18% 4% 10% 4% 1%[aa] [l]
IBD/TIPP Jan 23–30 336 (RV) 26% 8% 7% 3% 19% 2% 13% 4% 7%[ab] 11%
Harvard-Harris Jan 27–29 980 (RV) 31% 13% 6% 3% 20% 2% 12% 3% 6%[ac] 7%
NBC/WSJ[4] Jan 26–29 428 (LV) ± 4.74% 26% 9% 7% 5% 27% 2% 15% 4% 3%[ad] 2%
YouGov/Economist Jan 26–28 591 (LV) 26% 4% 7% 4% 24% 1% 20% 4% 5%[ae] 4%
USC Dornlife/LA Times[5] Archived December 8, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Jan 15–28 2,227 (LV) ± 2% 34% 9% 9% 3% 18% 2%[af] 16% 2% 3%[ag][b] 3%
Quinnipiac University Jan 22–27 827 (RV) ± 3.4% 26% 8% 6% 7% 21% 2% 15% 3% 2%[ah] 11%
YouGov Blue/Data for Progress[A] Jan 18–27 1,619 (LV) ± 2.6% 30% 5% 8% 4% 21% 2% 23% 4% 2%[ai]
Morning Consult Jan 20–26 17,836 (LV) ± 1.0% 29% 12% 7% 3% 23% 3% 14% 5% 4%[aj]
YouGov Blue/Data for Progress[A] Jan 18–26 1,619 (LV) ± 2.6% 42%[ak] 23% 30%
Ipsos/Reuters Jan 22–23 545 (RV) ± 5.0% 24% 10% 7% 3% 20% 2%[b] 12% 3%[b] 1%[al][b] [l]
Emerson College Archived May 7, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Jan 21–23 497 (LV) ± 4.1% 30% 7% 6% 4% 27% 1% 13% 8% 4%[am]
Echelon Insights Jan 20–23 474 (LV) 26% 13% 7% 3% 23% 2% 10% 3% 3%[an] 10%
Washington Post/ABC News Jan 20–23 276 (LV)[ao] 34% 7% 4% 4% 22% 1% 14% 6% 6%[ap] 3%
Winston Group Jan 21-22 ~670 (RV)[f] 20% 9% 6% 4% 16% 3% 9% 5% 18%[aq] 11%
HarrisX/The Hill Jan 20–22 878 (RV) ±3.3% 29% 11% 5% 2% 17% 4% 9% 4% 8%[ar] 11%
Fox News Jan 19–22 495 (LV) ± 4.0% 26% 10% 7% 3% 23% 3% 14% 5% 2%[as] 5%
YouGov/Economist Jan 19–21 470 (RV) 28% 6% 8% 4% 18% 2% 21% 3% 4%[at] 5%
Monmouth University Jan 16–20 372 (LV) ± 5.1% 30% 9% 6% 5% 23% 1% 14% 3% 3%[au] 6%
CNN/SSRS Jan 16–19 500 (RV) ± 5.3% 24% 5% 11% 4% 27% 2% 14% 4% 3%[av] 5%
Morning Consult Jan 15–19 12,402 (LV) ± 1.0% 29% 10% 8% 3% 24% 3% 15% 4% 5%[aw]
Pew Research Center* Jan 6–19 5,861 (RV) ±1.9% 26% 5% 7% 2% 21% 1% 16% 3% 13%[ax] 5%[ay]
Zogby Analytics Jan 15–16 438 (LV) 24% 11% 8% 4% 24% 3% 11% 6% 4%[az] 6%
Ipsos/Reuters Jan 15–16 428 (RV) ± 5.4% 23% 11% 7% 2% 22% 1% 14% 3% 3%[ba] 13%
SurveyUSA Jan 14–16 1,086 (LV) ± 3.6% 32% 9% 9% 2% 21% 3% 14% 4% 3%[bb] 3%
Jan 14 Seventh Democratic primary debate
HarrisX/The Hill Jan 13–14 451 (RV) ± 4.6% 29% 7% 4% 3% 19% 3% 11% 2% 5%[bc] 15%
YouGov/Economist Jan 11–14 521 (LV) 27% 5% 7% 3% 20% 1% 19% 3% 4%[bd] 6%
Jan 13 Booker withdraws from the race
Quinnipiac University Jan 8–12 651 (RV) ± 3.8% 25% 6% 8% 4% 19% 1% 16% 5% 5%[be] 11%
Morning Consult Jan 6–12 17,096 (LV) ± 1.0% 29% 8% 8% 3% 23% 4% 14% 5% 7%[bf]
IBD/TIPP Jan 3–11 333 (RV) 26% 7% 9% 3% 15% 2% 20% 3% 7%[bg] 9%
Ipsos/Reuters Jan 8–9 436 (RV) ± 5.4% 23% 8% 7% 1% 20% 3% 15% 3% 6%[bh] 13%
YouGov/Economist Jan 5–7 574 (LV) 27% 3% 7% 3% 20% 2% 22% 3% 6%[bi] 5%
Morning Consult Dec 30, 2019 – Jan 5, 2020 17,213 (LV) ± 1.0% 31% 7% 8% 3% 23% 4% 14% 4% 8% [bj]

2019[edit]

   – Debate qualifying poll as designated by the Democratic National Committee (DNC)

December 2019[edit]

December 2019 polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe Biden
Michael Bloomberg
Cory Booker
Pete Buttigieg
Tulsi Gabbard
Amy Klobuchar
Bernie Sanders
Tom Steyer
Elizabeth Warren
Andrew Yang
Other
Undecided
YouGov/Economist Dec 28–31 548 (LV) 29% 3% 2% 8% 3% 4% 19% 2% 18% 3% 3%[bk] 6%
Winston Group Dec 28-30 ~670 (RV)[f] 28% 7% 3% 5% 1% 3% 11% 2% 9% 3% 14%[bl] 13%
Harvard-Harris Dec 27–29 780 (RV) 30% 7% 2% 7% 1% 2% 17% 2% 12% 3% 7%[bm] 10%
Morning Consult Dec 23–29 17,787 (LV) ± 1.0% 32% 6% 3% 8% 1% 3% 21% 3% 14% 4% 5%[bn]
The Hill/HarrisX Dec 27–28 431 (RV) ± 4.7% 28% 11% 2% 6% 2% 2% 16% 2% 11% 2% 4%[bo] 12%
YouGov/Economist Dec 22–24 586 (LV) 30% 4% 2% 7% 2% 5% 17% 1% 19% 3% 5%[bp] 5%
Taubmann Center Dec 19–23 412 (LV) 34% 4% 3% 7% 4% 2% 19% 20% 4% 4%[bq]
Morning Consult Dec 20–22 7,178 (LV) ± 1.0% 31% 6% 3% 9% 2% 3% 21% 3% 15% 5% 5%[br]
Dec 19 Sixth Democratic primary debate
Ipsos/Reuters Dec 18–19 709 (A) 18% 5% 1% 4% 2% 1% 15% 2% 10% 2% 8%[bs] 29%
McLaughlin & Associates Archived December 24, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Dec 14–18 480 (LV) 27% 5% 3% 5% 2% 2% 17% 4% 15% 5% 5%[bt] 11%
Emerson College Archived April 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Dec 15–17 525 (LV) ± 4.2% 32% 3% 2% 8% 4% 2% 25% 2% 12% 6% 2%[bu]
NBC/WSJ Dec 14–17 410 (LV) ± 4.84% 28% 4% 2% 9% 2% 5% 21% 1% 18% 3% 2%[bv] 5%
YouGov/Economist Dec 14–17 555 (LV) 29% 4% 2% 7% 3% 4% 19% 2% 17% 3% 6%[bw] 4%
CNN/SSRS Dec 12–15 408 (RV) ± 5.8% 26% 5% 3% 8% 1% 3% 20% 1% 16% 3% 6%[bx] 8%
Quinnipiac University Archived December 16, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Dec 11–15 567 (RV) ± 4.1% 30% 7% 2% 9% 1% 3% 16% 1% 17% 3% 1%[by] 10%
Morning Consult Dec 9–15 13,384 (LV) ± 1.0% 31% 7% 3% 8% 2% 2% 22% 3% 15% 4% 5%[br]
HarrisX/The Hill Dec 13–14 456 (RV) ± 4.6% 29% 5% 2% 5% 1% 3% 13% 3% 13% 3% 9%[bz] 13%
Suffolk University/USA Today Dec 10–14 384 (LV) 23% 6% 3% 8% 1% 3% 14% 1% 13% 2% 1%[ca] 25%
Echelon Insights Dec 9–14 447 (LV) 37% 6% 1% 6% 1% 2% 14% 1% 14% 2% 3%[cb] 13%
IBD/TIPP Dec 5–14 312 (RV) 26% 5% 3% 9% 1% 2% 18% 2% 14% 2% 10%[cc] 10%
Ipsos/Reuters Dec 11–12 593 (RV) 21% 7% [cd] 5% 1% 2% 18% 3% 11% 3% 6%[ce] 18%
NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Dec 9–11 704 (RV) ± 5.4% 24% 4% 4% 13% 1% 4% 22% <1% 17% 5% 2%[cf] 5%
Fox News Dec 8–11 1,000 (RV) ± 4.5% 30% 5% 2% 7% 3% 5% 20% 1% 13% 3% 5%[cg] 7%
YouGov/Economist Dec 7–10 497 (LV) 26% 4% 3% 11% 3% 2% 16% 1% 21% 3% 4%[ch] 6%
Quinnipiac University Archived December 11, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Dec 4–9 665 (RV) ± 3.8% 29% 5% 1% 9% 2% 3% 17% 1% 15% 4% 5%[ci] 11%
Zogby Analytics Dec 5–8 443 (LV) ± 4.7% 30% 8% 7% 3% 2% 20% 3% 16% 4% 3%[cj] 6%
Monmouth University Dec 4–8 384 (RV) ± 5% 26% 5% 2% 8% <1% 4% 21% 1% 17% 3% 5%[ck] 11%
Morning Consult Dec 2–8 15,442 (LV) ± 1.0% 30% 6% 3% 9% 2% 2% 22% 3% 16% 4% 5%[cl]
Ipsos/Reuters Dec 4–5 596 (A) 19% 4% 1% 6% 0% 1% 14% 1% 9% 3% 5%[cm] 31%
Dec 3 Harris withdraws from the race
YouGov/Economist Dec 1–3 541 (LV) 27% 3% 3% 12% 2% 3% 13% 0% 18% 2% 8%[cn] 7%
The Hill/HarrisX Nov 30 – Dec 1 437 (RV) 31% 6% 1% 9% 0% 2% 15% 2% 10% 2% 8%[co] 13%
David Binder Research Nov 25 – Dec 1 1,200 (LV) ± 2.8% 29% 8% 2% 10% 2% 2% 15% 2% 14% 2% 8%[cp] 7%
Morning Consult Nov 25 – Dec 1 15,773 (LV) ± 1.0% 29% 5% 2% 9% 2% 2% 20% 2% 15% 4% 11%[cq]

November 2019[edit]

November 2019 polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe Biden
Michael Bloomberg
Pete Buttigieg
Kamala Harris
Amy Klobuchar
Bernie Sanders
Elizabeth Warren
Andrew Yang
Other
Undecided
Harvard-Harris Nov 27–29 756 (RV) 29% 7% 8% 5% 2% 16% 13% 3% 10%[cr] 8%
YouGov/Economist Nov 24–26 550 (LV) 23% 3% 12% 4% 3% 15% 17% 3% 10%[cs] 8%
Quinnipiac University Nov 21–25 574 (RV) ± 4.9% 24% 3% 16% 3% 3% 13% 14% 2% 8%[ct] 11%
Nov 24 Bloomberg announces his candidacy
CNN/SSRS Nov 21–24 431 (RV) 28% 3% 11% 3% 2% 17% 14% 3% 7%[cu] 8%
[cv] 35% 17% 23% 20% 3%[cw] 2%
Morning Consult Nov 21–24 8,102 (LV) ± 1.0% 30% 2% 9% 5% 2% 21% 15% 4% 13%[cx]
Ipsos/Reuters Nov 21–22 698 (A) ± 5.0% 21% 7% 2% 2% 17% 11% 5% 8%[cy] 20%
SurveyUSA Nov 20–21 1,088 (LV) ± 3.6% 30% 3% 11% 5% 2% 17% 15% 4% 9%[cz] 4%
32% 12% 5% 2% 17% 16% 4% 9%[da] 4%
RealClear Opinion Research Nov 15–21 987 (LV) 30% 2% 6% 4% 1% 23% 12% 4% 9%[db] 7%
Nov 20 Fifth Democratic primary debate
Emerson College Nov 17–20 468 (LV) ± 4.5% 27% 1% 7% 3% 1% 27% 20% 4% 10%[dc]
Change Research/Election Science Nov 16–20 1,142 (LV) ± 2.9% 22% 1% 14% 4% 2% 23% 23% 4% 7%[dd] 0%
YouGov/Economist Nov 17–19 586 (LV) 30% 9% 4% 2% 12% 22% 2% 7%[de] 7%
Swayable Nov 16–18 1,787 (LV) ± 2.0% 30% 7% 5% 2% 17% 18% 4% 9%[df]
The Hill/HarrisX Nov 16–17 449 (RV) ± 4.6% 30% 3% 7% 4% 1% 18% 15% 2% 9%[dg] 10%
Morning Consult Nov 11–17 17,050 (LV) ± 1.0% 32% 3% 8% 5% 2% 20% 17% 3% 11%[dh]
Ipsos/Reuters Nov 12–14 685 (A) 19% 3% 6% 3% 1% 19% 13% 2% 15%[di] 18%
702 (A) 23% 6% 5% 1% 18% 11% 2% 9%[dj] 21%
YouGov/Economist Nov 10–12 600 (LV) 23% 9% 5% 2% 17% 26% 4% 8%[dk] 4%
Morning Consult Nov 4–10 16,400 (LV) ± 1.0% 32% 2% 8% 5% 2% 20% 19% 3% 12%[dl]
Ipsos/Reuters Nov 6–7 538 (RV) 20% 5% [dm] 1% 16% 13% 3% 11%[dn] 23%
YouGov/Economist Nov 3–5 579 (LV) 26% 8% 6% 2% 14% 25% 1% 12%[do] 6%
Ipsos/Reuters Nov 1–4 686 (A) 22% 6% 4% 0% 15% 11% 2% 7%[dp] 25%
Change Research/Crooked Media Oct 31 – Nov 3 456 (LV) 17% 14% 4% 2% 17% 21% 4% 6%[dq] 14%
Monmouth University Oct 30 – Nov 3 345 (RV) ± 5.3% 23% 9% 5% 2% 20% 23% 3% 6%[dr] 7%
Morning Consult Oct 28 – Nov 3 16,071 (LV) ± 1.0% 32% 7% 5% 2% 20% 20% 3% 12%[ds]
USC Dornsife/
Los Angeles Times
Oct 21 – Nov 3 2,599 (LV) ± 2.0% 28% 6% 4% 2% 13% 16% 2% 6%[dt] 21%
The Hill/HarrisX Nov 1–2 429 (RV) ± 4.7% 26% 6% 6% 3% 14% 15% 1% 11%[du] 16%
Nov 1 O'Rourke withdraws from the race

October 2019[edit]

October 2019 polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe Biden
Cory Booker
Pete Buttigieg
Tulsi Gabbard
Kamala Harris
Amy Klobuchar
Beto O'Rourke
Bernie Sanders
Elizabeth Warren
Andrew Yang
Other
Undecided
Harvard-Harris Oct 29–31 640 (RV)[dv] 33% 3% 4% 0% 5% 3% 2% 18% 15% 2% 5%[dw] 8%
Hofstra University/YouGov[6] Oct 25–31 541 (LV) 28% 3% 8% 2% 5% 2% 1% 12% 27% 2% 3%[dx] 8%
IBD/TIPP [7] Oct 24–31 361 (RV) 29% 1% 7% 0% 2% 3% 1% 13% 23% 3% 4%[dy] 13%
Fox News Oct 27–30 471 (LV) ± 4.5% 31% 2% 7% 2% 3% 2% 2% 19% 21% 3% 2%[dz] 4%
38%[ea] 62%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Oct 27–30 414 (LV) ± 4.8% 27% 2% 6% 2% 4% 5% 1% 19% 23% 3% 3%[eb] 5%
ABC News/Washington Post Oct 27–30 452 (A) ± 5.5% 27% 2% 7% 2% 2% 1% 1% 19% 21% 2% 9–10%[ec] 6%
YouGov/Economist Oct 27–29 630 (LV) 27% 1% 8% 2% 4% 2% 4% 14% 23% 3% 6%[ed] 7%
Swayable Oct 26–27 2,172 (LV) ± 2.0% 29% 3% 6% 2% 4% 2% 3% 17% 19% 3% 8%[ee]
Morning Consult Oct 21–27 16,186 (LV) ± 1.0% 32% 2% 7% 2% 6% 2% 2% 20% 20% 3% 7%[ef]
Suffolk University/USA Today[8] Oct 23–26 399 (LV) ± 4.9% 26% 2% 10% 4% 3% 2% 0% 13% 17% 3% 4%[eg] 18%
Echelon Insights Oct 21–25 449 (RV) 32% 2% 6% 1% 5% 2% 1% 15% 22% 1% 3%[eh] 11%
The Hill/HarrisX Oct 21–22 1,001 (RV) ± 3.1% 27% 1% 6% 0% 5% 1% 3% 14% 19% 2% 7%[ei] 13%
YouGov/Economist Oct 20–22 628 (LV) 24% 2% 8% 3% 5% 1% 2% 15% 21% 3% 5%[ej] 6%
McLaughlin & Associates Archived October 25, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Oct 17–22 468 (LV) 28% 3% 3% 2% 6% 2% 3% 18% 16% 6% 5%[ek] 15%
Winston Group Oct 18 – 21 ~670 (RV)[f] 27% 1% 5% 2% 3% 1% 2% 10% 17% 3% 15%[el] 13%
Emerson College Oct 18–21 430 (RV) ± 4.7% 27% 3% 6% 3% 5% 1% 2% 25% 21% 4% 3%[em]
Quinnipiac University Archived October 24, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Oct 17–21 713 (RV) ± 4.6% 21% 1% 10% 1% 5% 3% 1% 15% 28% 1% 3%[en] 9%
CNN/SSRS Oct 17–20 424 (RV) ± 5.8% 34% 1% 6% 1% 6% 3% 3% 16% 19% 2% 3%[eo] 6%
Morning Consult Oct 16–20 11,521 (LV) ± 1.0% 30% 3% 6% 1% 6% 2% 3% 18% 21% 3% 8%[ef]
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 17–18 566 (RV) 24% 1% 5% 2% 4% 1% 3% 15% 17% 2% 9%[ep] 16%
HarrisX Oct 11–18 1,839 (LV) ± 2.3% 34% 2% 4% 1% 5% 2% 3% 16% 18% 2% 4%[eq] 10%
Morning Consult Oct 16 2,202 (LV) ± 2.0% 31% 2% 6% 1% 7% 2% 2% 18% 21% 3% 9%[er]
SurveyUSA Oct 15–16 1,017 (LV) ± 3.7% 32% 2% 5% 1% 7% 2% 2% 17% 22% 2% 2%[es] 4%
Oct 15 Fourth Democratic primary debate
YouGov/Economist Oct 13–15 623 (LV) 25% 2% 6% 2% 5% 2% 2% 13% 28% 2% 3%[et] 6%
Quinnipiac University Archived October 14, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Oct 11–13 505 (RV) ± 5.3% 27% 2% 8% <0.5% 4% 2% 2% 11% 30% 2% 4%[eu] 8%
Public Religion Research Institute Oct 10–13 436 (RV) 25% 3% 4% 1% 7% 1% 1% 17% 16% 3% 3%[ev] 19%
Morning Consult Oct 7–13 15,683 (LV) ± 1.0% 32% 2% 5% 1% 6% 1% 3% 19% 21% 3% 9%[ew]
YouGov/Taubman National Poll Oct 10–11 468 (LV) 25% 1% 6% 5% 4% 1% 3% 13% 23% 11% 8%[ex]
HarrisX Oct 4–11 1,841 (LV) ± 2.3% 35% 2% 5% 1% 6% 1% 3% 15% 18% 2% 4%[ey] 8%
Swayable Oct 7–8 2,077 (LV) ± 2.0% 33% 3% 4% 1% 5% 2% 3% 16% 21% 3% 5%[ez]
Fox News Oct 6–8 484 (LV) ± 4.5% 32% 2% 4% 1% 5% 2% 3% 17% 22% 2% 5%[fa] 4%
YouGov/Economist Oct 6–8 598 (LV) 25% 1% 5% 1% 5% 2% 1% 13% 28% 3% 6%[fb] 8%
The Hill/HarrisX Oct 6–7 446 (RV) ± 4.6% 31% 1% 4% 1% 6% 2% 4% 17% 15% 2% 6%[fc] 12%
Quinnipiac University Archived January 16, 2021, at the Wayback Machine Oct 4–7 646 (RV) ± 4.7% 26% 2% 4% 0% 3% 2% 1% 16% 29% 3% 3%[fd] 8%
Morning Consult Sep 30 – Oct 6 16,529 (LV) ± 1.0% 33% 2% 5% 1% 6% 1% 3% 19% 21% 3% 9%[ew]
Avalanche Strategy/Civiqs Oct 1–4 1,043 (LV) [fe] 27% [fe] 7% [fe] 6% [fe] [fe] 12% 29% [fe] [fe] [fe]
Raycroft Research Archived October 4, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Oct 1–4 7,402 (LV) 18% 2% 4% 3% 1% 6% 17% 26% 6% 17%[ff]
HarrisX Sep 27 – Oct 4 1,815 (LV) ± 2.3% 35% 2% 4% 1% 6% 1% 2% 13% 19% 2% 5%[fg] 9%
YouGov Blue/
Data for Progress
[B]
Sep 23 – Oct 4 1,276 (LV) 23% 2% 6% 1% 5% 1% 2% 15% 36% 3% 1%[fh]
IBD/TIPP Sep 26 – Oct 3 341 (RV) 26% 0% 7% 1% 3% 1% 2% 10% 27% 3% 2%[fi] 16%
Winston Group Sep 30 – Oct 2 ~670 (RV)[f] 29% 1% 4% 1% 4% 1% 2% 12% 11% 1% 23%[fj] 10%
YouGov/Economist Sep 28 – Oct 1 602 (LV) 22% 2% 7% 2% 5% 1% 3% 14% 26% 3% 4%[fk] 8%

September 2019[edit]

September 2019 polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe Biden
Cory Booker
Pete Buttigieg
Kamala Harris
Beto O'Rourke
Bernie Sanders
Elizabeth Warren
Andrew Yang
Other
Undecided
GW Politics / YouGov Archived October 15, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Sep 26–30 582 (LV) 18% 1% 5% 5% 1% 21% 28% 3% 12%[fl] 8%
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 26–30 1,136 (RV) 21% 1% 4% 4% 2% 16% 15% 3% 4%[fm] 22%
Morning Consult Sep 23–29 16,274 (LV) ± 1.0% 32% 3% 5% 6% 3% 19% 21% 3% 11%[fn]
Monmouth University Sep 23–29 434 (RV) ± 4.7% 25% 1% 5% 5% 1% 15% 28% 2% 5%[fo] 10%
HarrisX[note 1] Sep 20–27 2,780 (LV) ± 2.3% 30% 2% 4% 5% 3% 16% 16% 2% 11%[fp] 13%
Swayable Sep 25–26 3,491 (LV) ± 2.0% 33% 2% 5% 6% 3% 16% 20% 2% 5%[fq]
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 23–24 495 (RV) 22% 1% 4% 4% 1% 14% 17% 1% 8%[fr] 22%
Harvard-Harris Sep 22–24 693 (RV) 28% 2% 3% 6% 3% 16% 17% 3% 7%[fs] 9%
YouGov/Economist Sep 22–24 608 (LV) 25% 0% 7% 6% 2% 16% 25% 2% 7%[ft] 10%
Emerson College Archived February 3, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Sep 21–23 462 (RV) ± 4.6% 25% 2% 6% 4% 1% 22% 23% 8% 8%[fu]
Quinnipiac University Archived September 25, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Sep 19–23 561 (RV) ± 4.9% 25% 0% 7% 3% 2% 16% 27% 2% 6%[fv] 13%
David Binder Research Sep 19–22 1,200 (LV) ± 2.8% 34% 3% 5% 7% 3% 15% 17% 2% 9%[fw] 5%
Morning Consult Sep 16–22 17,377 (LV) ± 1.0% 32% 3% 5% 6% 3% 19% 20% 3% 12%[fx]
The Hill/HarrisX Sep 20–21 440 (RV) ± 4.7% 31% 2% 5% 5% 4% 16% 14% 2% 12%[fy] 11%
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 16–20 2,692 (A) 19% 2% 3% 4% 3% 17% 12% 3% 13%[fz] 23%
HarrisX Sep 13–20 1,831 (RV) ± 2.3% 32% 3% 5% 6% 3% 15% 17% 2% 8%[ga] 9%
Swayable Sep 16–18 3,140 (LV) ± 2.0% 33% 2% 6% 8% 3% 18% 16% 2% 5%[gb]
Zogby Analytics Sep 16–17 601 (LV) ± 4.0% 31% 4% 6% 5% 3% 17% 17% 2% 7%[gc] 6%
Fox News Sep 15–17 480 (LV) ± 4.5% 29% 3% 5% 7% 4% 18% 16% 2% 5%[gd] 8%
YouGov/Economist Sep 14–17 603 (LV) 25% 2% 8% 5% 3% 15% 19% 3% 8%[ge] 8%
NBC News/
Wall Street Journal
Sep 13–16 506 (LV) ± 4.4% 31% 2% 7% 5% 1% 14% 25% 4% 8%[gf] 2%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–16 1,017 (LV) ± 3.4% 33% 4% 5% 6% 4% 17% 19% 3% 3%[gg] 6%
Civiqs Sep 13–16 1,291 (LV) ± 3.1% 24% 1% 7% 6% 2% 14% 30% 2% 6%[gh] 7%
Morning Consult Sep 13–15 7,487 (LV) ± 1.0% 32% 3% 5% 6% 4% 20% 18% 3% 10%[gi]
Pew Research Center* Sep 3–15 4,655 (RV) 27% 1% 5% 6% 2% 15% 22% 2% 15%[gj] 5%[ay]
HarrisX[note 1] Sep 6–13 2,808 (LV) ± 2.3% 31% 2% 4% 6% 3% 16% 12% 3% 12%[gk] 11%
Sep 12 Third Democratic primary debate
Civiqs Sep 10–12 1,784 (LV) 23% 1% 7% 7% 2% 15% 28% 2% 6%[gl] 7%
Democracy Corps Sep 7–11 241 (LV) 30% 4% 4% 4% 1% 21% 19% 2% 8%[gm] 5%
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 9–10 557 (RV) 22% 3% 4% 4% 2% 16% 11% 3% 7%[gn] 20%
YouGov/Economist Sep 8–10 632 (LV) 24% 2% 5% 6% 1% 17% 24% 2% 11%[go] 10%
McLaughlin & Associates Archived September 12, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Sep 7–10 454 (LV) 28% 4% 6% 6% 3% 21% 12% 2% 11%[gp] 9%
CNN/SSRS Sep 5–9 908 (RV) ± 4.3% 24% 2% 6% 8% 5% 17% 18% 2% 10%[gq] 6%
The Hill/HarrisX Sep 7–8 454 (RV) ± 3.1% 27% 3% 4% 7% 3% 15% 11% 5% 10%[gr] 15%
Morning Consult Sep 2–8 17,824 (LV) ± 1.0% 33% 3% 5% 7% 3% 21% 16% 3% 9%[gs]
L.A. Times/USC Aug 12 – Sep 8 2,462 (LV) ± 2.0% 28% 2% 4% 8% 3% 13% 11% 2% 4%[gt] 24%
YouGov/FairVote [9] Sep 2–6 1,002 (LV) 27% 2% 6% 8% 3% 16% 24% 2% 11%[gu]
HarrisX[note 1] Aug 30 – Sep 6 2,878 (LV) 30% 2% 5% 7% 3% 18% 13% 2% 10%[gv] 12%
ABC News/
Washington Post
Sep 2–5 437 (A) ± 5.5% 27% 1% 4% 7% 3% 19% 17% 3% 4%[gw] 6%
YouGov/Economist Sep 1–3 518 (LV) 26% 1% 6% 5% 1% 14% 21% 3% 12%[gx] 12%
Winston Group Aug 31 – Sep 1 ~670 (RV)[f] 30% 2% 4% 5% 2% 12% 11% 2% 19%[gy] 13%
Morning Consult Aug 26 – Sep 1 16,736 (LV) ± 1.0% 32% 3% 5% 8% 3% 20% 16% 3% 10%[gz]

August 2019[edit]

August 2019 polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe Biden
Cory Booker
Pete Buttigieg
Kamala Harris
Beto O'Rourke
Bernie Sanders
Elizabeth Warren
Andrew Yang
Other
Undecided
HarrisX Aug 23–30 3,114 (RV) 31% 3% 3% 6% 3% 15% 11% 2% 12%[ha] 12%
IBD/TIPP Aug 22–30 360 (RV) 28% 4% 5% 6% 0% 12% 24% 1% 3%[hb] 15%
Claster Consulting Aug 28–29 752 (RV) 22% 3% 3% 5% 4% 19% 14% 2% 10%[hc] 21%
Harvard-Harris Aug 26–28 985 (RV) 32% 3% 4% 7% 4% 16% 13% 2% 6%[hd] 11%
YouGov/Economist Aug 24–27 1093 (RV) ± 3.1% 25% 2% 5% 8% 2% 14% 21% 2% 8%[he] 12%
Emerson College Aug 24–26 627 (RV) ± 3.9% 31% 3% 3% 10% 2% 24% 15% 4% 8%[hf]
Change Research Aug 23–26 874 (LV) ± 3.3% 19% 3% 9% 6% 3% 22% 29% 2% 7%[hg]
Quinnipiac University Archived January 16, 2021, at the Wayback Machine Aug 21–26 648 (RV) ± 4.6% 32% 1% 5% 7% 1% 15% 19% 3% 6%[hh] 11%
Suffolk University/
USA Today
Aug 20–25 424 (LV) ± 4.8% 32% 2% 6% 6% 2% 12% 14% 3% 2%[hi] 21%
Morning Consult Aug 19–25 17,303 (LV) ± 1.0% 33% 3% 5% 8% 3% 20% 15% 2% 9%[hj]
The Hill/HarrisX Aug 23–24 465 (RV) 30% 2% 4% 4% 3% 17% 14% 2% 9%[hk] 15%
Swayable Aug 22–23 1,849 (LV) ± 2.0% 33% 2% 3% 9% 4% 18% 16% 1% 6%[hl]
HarrisX Aug 16–23 3,132 (RV) 28% 4% 3% 8% 4% 17% 10% 2% 10%[hm] 13%
Echelon Insights Aug 19–21 479 (RV) 30% 4% 3% 11% 4% 19% 11% 1% 1%[hn] 14%
YouGov/Economist Aug 17–20 559 (LV) 22% 2% 7% 8% 3% 19% 17% 1% 7%[ho] 12%
Monmouth University Aug 16–20 298 (RV) ± 5.7% 19% 4% 4% 8% 2% 20% 20% 3% 7%[hp] 10%
CNN/SSRS Aug 15–18 402 (RV) ± 6.1% 29% 2% 5% 5% 3% 15% 14% 1% 10%[hq] 10%
Morning Consult Aug 12–18 17,115 (LV) 31% 3% 5% 9% 3% 20% 15% 3% 8%[hr]
HarrisX Aug 9–16 3,118 (RV) 29% 2% 4% 7% 4% 15% 11% 2% 10%[hs] 13%
Fox News Aug 11–13 483 (LV) ± 4.5% 31% 3% 3% 8% 2% 10% 20% 3% 10%[ht] 8%
YouGov/Economist Aug 10–13 592 (LV) 21% 2% 5% 8% 5% 16% 20% 1% 8%[hu] 11%
Morning Consult Aug 5–11 17,117 (LV) ± 1.0% 33% 3% 5% 9% 3% 20% 14% 2% 13%[hv]
The Hill/HarrisX Aug 9–10 451 (RV) 31% 1% 4% 7% 4% 16% 10% 1% 14%[hw] 10%
HarrisX Aug 2–9 3,088 (RV) 28% 3% 4% 7% 3% 16% 10% 1% 12%[hx] 16%
Swayable Aug 5–6 1,958 (LV) ± 2.0% 31% 3% 5% 9% 3% 17% 15% 2% 5%[hy]
YouGov/Economist Aug 3–6 573 (LV) 22% 1% 8% 8% 2% 13% 16% 2% 12%[hz] 14%
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5 999 (LV) ± 4.1% 33% 1% 8% 9% 1% 20% 19% 0% 1%[ia] 7%
Ipsos/Reuters Aug 1–5 1,258 (A) ± 3.0% 22% 3% 4% 6% 2% 18% 9% 2% 13%[ib] 21%
Quinnipiac University Archived August 6, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Aug 1–5 807 (RV) ± 4.1% 32% 2% 5% 7% 2% 14% 21% 1% 3%[ic] 10%
Change Research Aug 2–4 1,450 ± 3.0% 23% 2% 9% 7% 2% 23% 26% 2% 4%[id]
Public Policy Polling Aug 1–4 588 ± 4.0% 36% 4% 4% 10% 12% 13% 2% 4%[ie] 14%
Morning Consult Aug 1–4 9,845 (LV) ± 1.0% 33% 3% 6% 9% 3% 19% 15% 2% 10%[if]
Pew Research Center* Jul 22 – Aug 4 1,757 (RV) ± 2.9% 26% 1% 5% 11% 1% 12% 16% 1% 9%[ig] 18%
HarrisX Archived August 3, 2019, at the Wayback Machine [10] Jul 31 – Aug 2 914 (RV) ± 3.4% 28% 3% 3% 8% 3% 16% 8% 2% 13%[ih] 13%
Morning Consult Aug 1 2,419 (LV) ± 2.0% 32% 3% 6% 10% 3% 18% 15% 2% 9%[ii]
Harvard CAPS/Harris Archived November 8, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Jul 31 – Aug 1 585 34% 2% 4% 9% 3% 17% 8% 1% 5%[ij] 14%
IBD/TIPP Jul 25 – Aug 1 350 (RV) 30% 2% 6% 11% 1% 12% 17% 0% 7%[ik] 10%

July 2019[edit]

July 2019 polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe Biden
Pete Buttigieg
Kamala Harris
Beto O'Rourke
Bernie Sanders
Elizabeth Warren
Other
Undecided
Jul 31 Second night of the Second Democratic primary debate
Morning Consult Jul 31 2,410 (LV) ± 2.0% 34% 6% 10% 2% 19% 14% 14%[il]
Jul 30 First night of the Second Democratic primary debate
YouGov/Economist Jul 27–30 629 (LV) 26% 5% 10% 2% 13% 18% 11%[im] 11%
Emerson College Archived February 3, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Jul 27–29 520 ± 4.2% 33% 6% 11% 4% 20% 14% 11%[in]
HarrisX Archived July 30, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Jul 27–29 884 (RV) 32% 3% 7% 4% 15% 9% 14%[io] 14%
The Hill/HarrisX Jul 27–28 444 (RV) ± 4.7% 34% 5% 9% 4% 20% 12% 9%[ip] 8%
Quinnipiac University Archived July 29, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Jul 25–28 579 (RV) ± 5.1% 34% 6% 12% 2% 11% 15% 6%[iq] 12%
McLaughlin & Associates Archived July 31, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Jul 23–28 468 28% 3% 10% 4% 15% 9% 18%[ir] 14%
Morning Consult Jul 22–28 16,959 (LV) ± 1.0% 33% 5% 12% 3% 18% 13% 18%[is]
Democracy Corps Jul 18–28 471 31% 8% 12% 2% 22% 15% 10%[it] 3%
Echelon Insights Jul 23–27 510 ± 4.2% 33% 5% 11% 3% 14% 10% 9%[iu] 16%
Change Research Jul 23–26 1,204 ± 2.8% 20% 9% 15% 2% 20% 22% 12%[iv]
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times Jul 12–25 1,827 ± 3.0% 28% 5% 10% 3% 11% 10% 6%[iw] 25%
Fox News Jul 21–23 455 (LV) ± 4.5% 33% 5% 10% 2% 15% 12% 15%[ix] 7%
YouGov/Economist Jul 21–23 600 (LV) 25% 6% 9% 2% 13% 18% 16%[iy] 11%
Morning Consult Jul 15–21 17,285 (LV) ± 1.0% 33% 5% 13% 3% 18% 14% 10%[iz]
HarrisX Archived July 18, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Jul 15–17 910 (RV) 26% 4% 10% 4% 14% 9% 11%[ja] 18%
YouGov/Economist Jul 14–16 572 (LV) 23% 7% 10% 2% 13% 15% 13%[jb] 14%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey Jul 2–16 5,548 (RV) ± 2.0% 25% 8% 14% 3% 16% 16% 14%[jc] 5%
Morning Consult Jul 8–14 16,504 (LV) ± 1.0% 32% 5% 13% 3% 19% 14% 10%[jd]
TheHillHarrisX Jul 12–13 446 (RV) ± 3.1% 29% 1% 11% 3% 16% 9% 13%[je] 17%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Jul 7–9 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 26% 7% 13% 2% 13% 19% 10%[jf] 8%
YouGov/Economist Jul 7–9 592 (LV) 22% 6% 15% 1% 12% 18% 11%[jg] 13%
Emerson College Archived April 14, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Jul 6–8 481 ± 4.4% 30% 5% 15% 4% 15% 15% 16%[jh]
Swayable Jul 5–7 1,921 (LV) ± 2.0% 28% 6% 16% 4% 18% 12% 7%[ji]
Morning Consult Jul 1–7 16,599 (LV) ± 1.0% 31% 6% 14% 3% 19% 13% 15%[jj]
YouGov/Economist Jun 30 – Jul 2 631 (LV) 21% 9% 13% 3% 10% 18% 11%[jk] 12%
Ipsos/Reuters Jun 28 – Jul 2 1,367 ± 3.0% 22% 3% 10% 3% 16% 9% 9%[jl] 21%
YouGov Blue/Data for Progress Jun 27 – Jul 2 1,522 23% 7% 17% 2% 15% 22% 10%[jm]
HarrisX Archived July 3, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Jun 29 – Jul 1 882 (RV) ± 3.4% 28% 4% 13% 3% 14% 9% 15%[jn] 12%
ABC News/Washington Post Jun 28 – Jul 1 460 (A) ± 5.5% 29% 4% 11% 2% 23% 11% 13%[jo] 6%
Change Research Jun 28 – Jul 1 1,185 ± 2.9% 18% 10% 21% 2% 17% 22% 8%[jp]
Quinnipiac University Jun 28 – Jul 1 554 (RV) ± 5.0% 22% 4% 20% 1% 13% 14% 7%[jq] 12%

April–June 2019[edit]

April–June 2019 polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe Biden
Cory Booker
Pete Buttigieg
Kamala Harris
Beto O'Rourke
Bernie Sanders
Elizabeth Warren
Other
Undecided
CNN/SSRS Jun 28–30 656 (RV) ± 4.7% 22% 3% 4% 17% 3% 14% 15% 8%[jr] 9%
HarrisX Archived July 2, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Jun 28–30 909 (RV) ± 3.4% 28% 2% 4% 11% 3% 14% 8% 10%[js] 15%
Morning Consult/FiveThirtyEight Jun 27–30 2,485 (LV) ± 2% 31% 2.5% 5.9% 16.8% 2.1% 16.8% 14.4% 6.7%[jt] 3.9%
Harvard-Harris Jun 26–29 845 34% 3% 3% 9% 2% 15% 11% 10%[ju] 9%
Morning Consult [11] Jun 27–28 2,407 (LV) ± 2% 33% 3% 6% 12% 2% 19% 12% 13%[jv]
Jun 27 Second night of the first Democratic primary debate
Morning Consult/FiveThirtyEight Jun 26–27 2,041 (LV) ± 2% 33.7% 3.6% 4.8% 6.6% 3.1% 17.8% 17.7% 9.6%[jw] 3.3%
Jun 26 First night of the first Democratic primary debate
YouGov Blue/Data for Progress Jun 25–26 1,402 30% 2% 7% 7% 3% 16% 24% 7%[jx]
HarrisX Archived June 30, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Jun 24–26 892 (RV) ± 3.4% 29% 1% 3% 6% 4% 17% 9% 12%[jy] 15%
Morning Consult/FiveThirtyEight Jun 19–26 7,150 (LV) ± 1% 38.5% 2.8% 6.9% 7.9% 3.9% 16.3% 12.7% 5.3%[jz] 5.5%
Echelon Insights Jun 22–25 484 32% 2% 9% 6% 3% 15% 11% 6%[ka] 19%
YouGov/Economist Jun 22–25 522 (LV) 24% 2% 5% 7% 3% 15% 18% 11%[kb] 12%
Emerson College Archived January 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Jun 21–24 457 ± 4.5% 34% 3% 6% 7% 1% 27% 14% 8%[kc]
McLaughlin & Associates Archived June 26, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Jun 18–24 459 34% 2% 6% 6% 4% 17% 11% 11%[kd] 12%
Morning Consult Jun 17–23 16,188 (LV) ± 1.0% 38% 3% 7% 6% 4% 19% 13% 15%[ke]
Change Research Jun 19–21 1,071 24% 2% 13% 8% 2% 22% 22% 5%[kf]
YouGov/Economist Jun 16–18 576 (LV) 26% 2% 9% 7% 4% 13% 14% 9%[kg] 15%
Monmouth University Jun 12–17 306 ± 5.6% 32% 2% 5% 8% 3% 14% 15% 7%[kh] 11%
Morning Consult Jun 10–16 17,226 (LV) ± 1.0% 38% 3% 7% 7% 4% 19% 11% 12%[ki]
The Hill/HarrisX Jun 14–15 424 (RV) ± 4.8% 35% 3% 4% 5% 6% 13% 7% 10%[kj] 17%
Suffolk University/USA Today Jun 11–15 385 ± 5.0% 30% 2% 9% 8% 2% 15% 10% 5%[kk] 17%
WPA Intelligence (R) Archived June 22, 2019, at the Wayback Machine[C] Jun 10–13 1,000 ± 3.1% 35% 3% 8% 9% 4% 14% 10% 3%[kl] 13%
Fox News Jun 9–12 449 (LV) ± 4.5% 32% 3% 8% 8% 4% 13% 9% 9%[km] 10%
YouGov/Economist Jun 9–11 513 (LV) 26% 2% 8% 6% 3% 12% 16% 8%[kn] 14%
Quinnipiac University Jun 6–10 503 ± 5.4% 30% 1% 8% 7% 3% 19% 15% 5%[ko] 13%
Change Research Jun 5–10 1,621 ± 2.6% 26% 1% 14% 8% 3% 21% 19% 7%[kp]
Morning Consult Jun 3–9 17,012 (LV) ± 1.0% 37% 3% 7% 7% 4% 19% 11% 14%[kq]
Ipsos/Reuters May 29 – Jun 5 2,525 30% 2% 5% 6% 4% 15% 8% 7%[kr] 13%
YouGov/Economist Jun 2–4 550 (LV) 27% 2% 9% 8% 2% 16% 11% 8%[ks] 15%
Park Street Strategies May 24 – Jun 4 600 (LV) ± 4% 32% 1% 7% 12% 1% 15% 13% 19% [kt]
Swayable Jun 1–3 977 (LV) ± 3.0% 40% 4% 6% 8% 3% 20% 7% 7%[ku]
Avalanche Strategy May 31 – Jun 3 1,109 29% 13% 12% 4% 17% 16%
The Hill/HarrisX Jun 1–2 431 (RV) ± 4.7% 35% 3% 8% 4% 4% 16% 5% 5% [kv] 17%
Morning Consult May 27 – Jun 2 16,587 (LV) ± 1.0% 38% 3% 7% 7% 4% 19% 10% 15%[kw]
CNN/SSRS May 28–31 412 ± 6.0% 32% 3% 5% 8% 5% 18% 7% 12%[kx] 8%
Harvard-Harris May 29–30 471 36% 3% 5% 8% 4% 17% 5% 9%[ky] 12%
Morning Consult May 20–26 16,368 (LV) ± 1.0% 38% 3% 7% 7% 4% 20% 9% 13%[kz]
HarrisX Archived May 30, 2019, at the Wayback Machine May 23–25 881 (RV) ± 3.4% 33% 3% 5% 6% 3% 15% 7% 8%[la] 14%
Echelon Insights May 20–21 447 38% 2% 5% 5% 5% 16% 5% 9%[lb] 16%
Change Research May 18–21 1,420 ± 2.6% 31% 2% 9% 8% 4% 22% 15% 8%[lc]
Monmouth University May 16–20 334 ± 5.4% 33% 1% 6% 11% 4% 15% 10% 8%[ld] 9%
Quinnipiac University May 16–20 454 ± 5.6% 35% 3% 5% 8% 2% 16% 13% 5%[le] 11%
Morning Consult May 13–19 14,830 (LV) ± 1.0% 39% 3% 6% 8% 4% 19% 9% 13%[lf]
The Hill/HarrisX May 18–19 448 (RV) ± 4.6% 33% 1% 6% 6% 5% 14% 8% 8%[lg] 19%
Fox News May 11–14 469 (LV) ± 4.5% 35% 3% 6% 5% 4% 17% 9% 10%[lh] 8%
Ipsos/Reuters May 10–14 1,132 ± 3.0% 29% 2% 4% 6% 6% 13% 6% 10%[li] 16%
Emerson College Archived February 17, 2020, at the Wayback Machine May 10–13 429 ± 4.7% 33% 1% 8% 10% 3% 25% 10% 12%[lj]
HarrisX Archived May 14, 2019, at the Wayback Machine May 8–13 2,207 (RV) ± 3.1% 39% 4% 5% 6% 5% 20% 8% 11%[lk]
Morning Consult May 6–12 15,342 (LV) ± 1.0% 39% 3% 6% 8% 5% 19% 8% 12%[ll]
McLaughlin & Associates Archived May 15, 2019, at the Wayback Machine May 7–11 360 30% 5% 4% 7% 5% 19% 7% 13%[lm] 13%
Zogby Analytics Archived November 8, 2020, at the Wayback Machine May 2–9 463 37% 3% 7% 5% 5% 15% 6% 11%[ln] 10%
GBAO May 1–5 800 ± 3.5% 36% 3% 5% 6% 4% 13% 8% 3%[lo] 22%
Morning Consult Apr 29 – May 5 15,770 (LV) ± 1.0% 40% 3% 6% 7% 5% 19% 8% 12%[lp]
The Hill/HarrisX May 3–4 440 (RV) ± 5.0% 46% 3% 8% 6% 3% 14% 7% 14%[lq]
Harvard-Harris Apr 30 – May 1 259 (RV) 44% 3% 2% 9% 3% 14% 5% 6%[lr] 11%
Quinnipiac University Apr 26–29 419 ± 5.6% 38% 2% 10% 8% 5% 11% 12% 4%[ls] 8%
HarrisX Archived April 30, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Apr 26–28 741 (RV) ± 3.7% 33% 3% 5% 5% 5% 16% 6% 10%[lt] 13%
CNN/SSRS Apr 25–28 411 ± 5.9% 39% 2% 7% 5% 6% 15% 8% 10%[lu] 7%
Morning Consult Apr 22–28 15,475 (LV) ± 1.0% 36% 3% 8% 7% 5% 22% 9% 14%[lv]
Apr 25 Biden announces his candidacy
Ipsos/Reuters Apr 17–23 2,237 24% 3% 7% 6% 6% 15% 5% 13%[lw] 21%
Morning Consult Apr 15–21 14,335 (LV) ± 1.0% 30% 4% 9% 8% 6% 24% 7% 12%[lx]
Echelon Insights Apr 17–19 499 26% 3% 7% 6% 9% 22% 3% 6%[ly] 18%
Change Research Apr 12–15 2,518 ± 2.2% 21% 4% 17% 7% 9% 20% 8% 15%[lz]
5% 21% 10% 14% 26% 10% 14%[ma]
Monmouth University Apr 11–15 330 ± 5.4% 27% 2% 8% 8% 4% 20% 6% 5%[mb] 14%
3% 11% 11% 6% 27% 8% 7%[mc] 20%
USC Dornsife/LAT Mar 15 – Apr 15 2,196 ± 2.0% 27% 2% 2% 7% 7% 16% 4% 9%[md] 27%
Apr 14 Buttigieg announces his candidacy
Emerson College Archived April 14, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Apr 11–14 356 ± 5.2% 24% 2% 9% 8% 8% 29% 7% 14%[me]
Morning Consult Apr 8–14 12,550 (LV) ± 1.0% 31% 4% 7% 9% 8% 23% 7% 14%[mf]
6% 9% 12% 11% 35% 10% 19%[mg]
Morning Consult Apr 1–7 13,644 (LV) ± 1.0% 32% 4% 5% 9% 8% 23% 7% 14%[mh]
The Hill/HarrisX Apr 5–6 370 (RV) ± 5.0% 36% 6% 4% 9% 7% 19% 6% 14%[mi]

March 2019[edit]

March 2019 polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe Biden
Cory Booker
Pete Buttigieg
Kamala Harris
Amy Klobuchar
Beto O'Rourke
Bernie Sanders
Elizabeth Warren
Other
Undecided
HarrisX Archived April 2, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Mar 29–31 743 (RV) ± 3.7% 29% 4% 3% 6% 2% 6% 18% 5% 6%[mj] 16%
Morning Consult Mar 25–31 12,940 (LV) ± 1.0% 33% 4% 2% 8% 3% 8% 25% 7% 10%[mk]
Harvard-Harris Mar 25–26 263 35% 4% 2% 5% 2% 7% 17% 6% 9%[ml] 13%
Quinnipiac University Mar 21–25 559 ± 5.1% 29% 2% 4% 8% 2% 12% 19% 4% 2%[mm] 14%
Morning Consult Mar 18–24 13,725 (LV) ± 1.0% 35% 4% 2% 8% 2% 8% 25% 7% 10%[mk]
Fox News Mar 17–20 403 ± 5.0% 31% 4% 1% 8% 1% 8% 23% 4% 8%[mn] 11%
Emerson College Archived May 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Mar 17–18 487 ± 4.4% 26% 3% 3% 12% 1% 11% 26% 8% 10%[mo]
CNN/SSRS Mar 14–17 456 ± 5.7% 28% 3% 1% 12% 3% 11% 20% 6% 10%[mp] 5%
Morning Consult Mar 11–17 13,551 (LV) ± 1.0% 35% 4% 1% 8% 2% 8% 27% 7% 9%[mq]
Mar 14 O'Rourke announces his candidacy
Change Research Mar 8–10 1,919 36% 3% 2% 9% 2% 7% 24% 9% 8%[mr]
5% 1% 17% 3% 14% 36% 13% 9%[ms]
HarrisX Archived March 12, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Mar 8–10 740 (RV) ± 3.7% 27% 4% 0% 8% 2% 6% 19% 4% 8%[mt] 16%
Morning Consult Mar 4–10 15,226 (LV) ± 1.0% 31% 4% 1% 10% 3% 7% 27% 7% 11%[mu]
Mar 5 Bloomberg announces that he will not run
Mar 4 Clinton announces that she will not run
Monmouth University Mar 1–4 310 ± 5.6% 28% 5% <1% 10% 3% 6% 25% 8% 7%[mv] 8%
6% <1% 15% 3% 7% 32% 10% 9%[mw] 15%
GBAO Feb 25 – Mar 3 817 28% 3% 0% 9% 2% 7% 20% 5% 4%[mx] 22%
Morning Consult Feb 25 – Mar 3 12,560 (LV) ± 1.0% 31% 4% 1% 11% 3% 6% 27% 7% 12%[my]

January–February 2019[edit]

January–February 2019 polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe Biden
Michael Bloomberg
Cory Booker
Kamala Harris
Amy Klobuchar
Beto O'Rourke
Bernie Sanders
Elizabeth Warren
Other
Undecided
Morning Consult Feb 18–24 15,642 (LV) ± 1.0% 29% 2% 4% 10% 3% 7% 27% 7% 13%[mz]
Harvard-Harris Feb 19–20 337 37% 3% 2% 10% 6% 22% 4% 5%[na] 10%
Feb 19 Sanders announces his candidacy
Morning Consult Feb 11–17 15,383 (LV) ± 1.0% 30% 2% 5% 11% 4% 7% 21% 8% 11%[nb]
Emerson College Archived April 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Feb 14–16 431 ± 4.7% 27% 2% 9% 15% 5% 4% 17% 9% 12%[nc]
Bold Blue Campaigns Feb 9–11 500 ± 4.5% 12% <1% <1% 11% 1% 7% 9% 3% 9%[nd] 48%
Feb 10 Klobuchar announces her candidacy
Morning Consult Feb 4–10 11,627 (LV) ± 1.0% 29% 2% 5% 13% 3% 7% 22% 8% 11%[ne]
Feb 9 Warren announces her candidacy
Morning Consult Jan 28 – Feb 3 14,494 (LV) ± 1.0% 30% 2% 4% 14% 2% 6% 21% 9% 9%[nf]
Morning Consult/Politico Feb 1–2 737 (RV) ± 4.0% 29% 2% 5% 14% 2% 5% 16% 6% 7%[ng] 13%
Feb 1 Booker announces his candidacy
Monmouth University Jan 25–27 313 ± 5.5% 29% 4% 4% 11% 2% 7% 16% 8% 8%[nh] 9%
Morning Consult/Politico Jan 25–27 685 (RV) ± 4.0% 33% 2% 3% 10% 1% 6% 15% 6% 10%[ni] 15%
Morning Consult Jan 21–27 14,381 (LV) ± 1.0% 31% 3% 3% 11% 2% 7% 21% 9% 9%[nj]
Morning Consult/Politico Jan 18–22 694 (RV) ± 4.0% 26% 2% 4% 9% 2% 6% 16% 6% 11%[nk] 18%
Jan 21 Harris announces her candidacy
Emerson College Jan 20–21 355 ± 5.2% 45% 7% 8% 3% 1% 3% 5% 3% 25%[nl]
19% 43% 38%[nm]
Zogby Analytics Jan 18–20 410 ± 4.8% 27% 8% 1% 6% 6% 18% 9% 5%[nn] 21%
Morning Consult Jan 14–20 14,250 (LV) ± 1.0% 30% 4% 3% 6% 2% 8% 23% 11% 9%[no]
Harvard-Harris Jan 15–16 479 23% 5% 3% 7% 8% 21% 4% 8%[np] 15%
Morning Consult/Politico Jan 11–14 674 (RV) ± 4.0% 32% 1% 2% 6% 1% 8% 15% 9% 9%[nq] 18%
Morning Consult Jan 7–13 4,749 (LV) ± 2.0% 31% 4% 3% 7% 2% 8% 23% 11% 8%[nr]

Before 2019[edit]

October–December 2018[edit]

October–December 2018 polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe Biden
Michael Bloomberg
Cory Booker
Kamala Harris
Beto O'Rourke
Bernie Sanders
Elizabeth Warren
Other
Undecided
CNN/SSRS Dec 6–9 463 ± 5.6% 30% 3% 5% 4% 9% 14% 3% 15%[ns] 9%
Emerson College Dec 6–9 320 26% 9% 15% 22% 7% 22%[nt]
Harvard-Harris Nov 27–28 449 28% 4% 4% 3% 7% 21% 5% 4%[nu] 18%
Morning Consult/Politico Nov 7–9 733 (RV) ± 4.0% 26% 2% 3% 4% 8% 19% 5% 12%[nv] 21%
CNN/SSRS Oct 4–7 464 ± 5.5% 33% 4% 5% 9% 4% 13% 8% 16%[nw] 6%

Before October 2018[edit]

Polling prior to December 2018
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe Biden
Cory Booker
Andrew Cuomo
Kirsten Gillibrand
Kamala Harris
Bernie Sanders
Elizabeth Warren
Oprah Winfrey
Other
Undecided
2018
Zogby Analytics Aug 6–8 576 ± 4.1% 27% 4% 3% 2% 5% 16% 7% 7%[nx] 31%
GQR Research Jul 19–26 443 30% 8% 5% 28% 13% 8%[ny] 9%
Zogby Analytics Jun 4–6 495 ± 4.4% 21% 4% 4% 1% 5% 19% 6% 10% 2%[nz] 29%
Saint Leo University May 25–31 19% 2% 4% 2% 4% 9% 4% 15% 15%[oa] 21%
Zogby Analytics May 10–12 533 ± 4.2% 26% 3% 2% 1% 4% 18% 8% 14% 5%[ob] 22%
Civis Analytics Jan 2018 29% 27% 17%
RABA Research Archived November 13, 2018, at the Wayback Machine Jan 10–11 345 ± 5.0% 26% 21% 18% 20% 15%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jan 10–11 22% 3% 4% 7% 17% 16% 16% 9%[oc]
Emerson College Jan 8–11 216[citation needed] 27% 3% 3% 2% 23% 9% 15%[od] 19%
GQR Research Jan 6–11 442 26% 6% 29% 14% 8% 12%[oe] 6%
2017
Zogby Analytics Sep 7–9 356 ± 5.2% 17% 3% 3% 6% 28% 12% 9%[of] 23%
Gravis Marketing Jul 21–31 1,917 21% 4% 1% 2% 6% 8%[og] 43%
2016
Public Policy Polling Dec 6–7 400 ± 4.9% 31% 4% 2% 3% 24% 16% 7%[oh] 14%

Polls including Hillary Clinton and Michelle Obama[edit]

Polls including Clinton and Obama
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe Biden
Michael Bloomberg
Cory Booker
Hillary Clinton
Kamala Harris
Michelle Obama
Beto O'Rourke
Bernie Sanders
Elizabeth Warren
Oprah Winfrey
Other
Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates Archived December 24, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Dec 14–18, 2019 480 (LV) 23% 5% 4% 6% 17% 15% 22%[oi] 10%
Zogby Analytics Dec 5–8, 2019 443 (LV) ± 4.7% 28% 9% [oj] 6% 20% 12% 21%[ok] 5%
Harvard-Harris Nov 27–29, 2019 756 (RV) 20% 5% 1% 22% 2% 1% 12% 9% 22%[ol] 7%
Harvard-Harris Oct 29–31, 2019 640 (RV)[dv] 19% 6% 3% 18% 3% 2% 12% 13% 17%[om] 7%
Fox News Oct 27–30, 2019 471 (LV) ± 4.5% 27% 30%[on] 43%
50% 8%[oo] 42%
McLaughlin & Associates Archived October 25, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Oct 17–22, 2019 468 (LV) [op] 1% 4% 10% 9% 3% 23% 20% 21%[oq] 10%
Harvard-Harris Apr 30 – May 1, 2019 254 (RV) 34% 2% 5% 6% 4% 8% 17% 3% 12%[or] 9%
ABC News/Washington Post* Apr 22–25, 2019 427 (A) ± 5.5% 17% <1% 1% 2% 4% 2% 4% 11% 4% 14%[os] 35%
Harvard-Harris Mar 25–26, 2019 273 26% 0% 3% 11% 11% 5% 18% 5% 6%[ot] 12%
McLaughlin & Associates Archived March 25, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Mar 20–24, 2019 447 28% 3% 8% 8% 8% 17% 5% 8%[ou] 16%
D-CYFOR Feb 22–23, 2019 453 39% 2% 4% 8% 8% 3% 14% 5% 5%[ov] 11%
Harvard-Harris Feb 19–20, 2019 346 30% 2% 5% 10% 10% 4% 19% 4% 1%[ow] 13%
The Hill/HarrisX Feb 17–18, 2019 370 (RV) ± 5.0% 25% 5% 4% 12% 25% 6% 11% 5% 7%[ox]
McLaughlin & Associates Archived February 15, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Feb 6–10, 2019 450 25% 2% 3% 7% 8% 6% 16% 5% 5% 10%[oy] 15%
ABC News/Washington Post* Jan 21–24, 2019 447 ± 5.5% 9% <1% 1% 1% 8% 2% 3% 4% 2% 1% 11%[oz] 43%
Zogby Analytics Jan 18–20, 2019 410 ± 4.8% 25% 5% 3% 5% 17% 4% 12% 5% 5%[pa] 20%
Harvard-Harris Jan 15–16, 2019 488 24% 5% 2% 10% 4% 9% 13% 5% 6%[pb] 17%
Morning Consult/Politico Jan 4–6, 2019 699 (RV) ± 4.0% 27% 1% 3% 12% 3% 7% 16% 4% 9%[pc] 15%
Change Research Dec 13–17, 2018 2,968 21% 2% 4% 5% 8% 21% 16% 7% 18%[pd]
Morning Consult/Politico Dec 14–16, 2018 706 (RV) ± 4.0% 25% 2% 3% 13% 3% 8% 15% 3% 13%[pe] 15%
McLaughlin & Associates Archived December 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine Dec 10–14, 2018 468 17% 2% 9% 3% 16% 11% 18% 4% 3% 7%[pf] 11%
Harvard-Harris Nov 27–28, 2018 459 25% 2% 3% 13% 2% 9% 15% 4% 5%[pg] 15%
The Hill/HarrisX Nov 5–6, 2018 370 (RV) ± 5.0% 30% 5% 5% 16% 5% 20% 5% 14%
Change Research Oct 24–26, 2018 23% 5% 6% 10% 10% 18% 9% 8%[ph]
Harvard-Harris Jun 24–25, 2018 533 32% 3% 6% 18% 2% 16% 10% 14%[pi]
Harvard-Harris Jan 13–16, 2018 711 27% 4% 13% 4% 16% 10% 13% 13%[pj]
USC Dornsife/LAT Dec 15, 2017 – Jan 15, 2018 1,576 ± 3.0% 28% 3% 19% 5% 22% 11% 7%[pk]
Zogby Analytics Oct 19–25, 2017 682 ± 3.8% 19% 3% 22% 18% 8% 10%[pl] 20%

Head-to-head polls[edit]

Head-to-head polling data taken while more than two major candidates were in the race
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe Biden
Michael Bloomberg
Pete Buttigieg
Kirsten Gillibrand
Kamala Harris
Amy Klobuchar
Bernie Sanders
Elizabeth Warren
Oprah Winfrey
Undecided
Ipsos/Reuters Mar 13-16, 2020 458 (RV) ± 5.2% 54% 46%
Ipsos/Reutuers Mar 6-9, 2020 420 (RV) ± 5.5% 59% 41%
Ipsos/Reuters Mar 4-5, 2020 474 (RV) ± 5.1% 55% 45%
Ipsos/Reuters Feb 28-Mar 2, 2020 469 (RV) ± 5.2% 48% 52%
41% 59%
Change Research/Election Science Feb 25–27, 2020 821 (LV) 78.6% 21.4%
45.4% 54.6%
51.1% 48.9%
35.7% 64.3%
32.4% 67.6%
77.1% 22.9%
27.4% 72.6%
24.9% 75.1%
22.7% 77.3%
57.5% 42.5%
37.2% 62.8%
31.9% 68.1%
31.9% 68.1%
22.6% 77.4%
54.2% 45.8%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Feb 14-17, 2020 426 (LV) ± 4.8%[pm] 38% 59% 3%
± 4.8%[pn] 40% 57% 5%
Zogby Analytics Feb 13–14, 2020 732 (LV) ± 3.6% 50% 50%
YouGov/Yahoo News Feb 12–13, 2020 367 (LV) 47% 34% 19%
347 (LV) 45% 42% 13%
362 (LV) 43% 45% 12%
359 (LV) 44% 48% 8%
366 (LV) 41% 49% 9%
331 (LV) 37% 44% 19%
351 (LV) 38% 43% 20%
369 (LV) 38% 53% 10%
375 (LV) 38% 52% 10%
388 (LV) 33% 44% 23%
347 (LV) 37% 54% 10%
347 (LV) 34% 52% 14%
383 (LV) 33% 54% 13%
344 (LV) 31% 50% 19%
348 (LV) 44% 42% 14%
YouGov Blue/Data for Progress[A] Jan 18–26, 2020 1,619 (LV) ± 2.6% 53% 41%
47% 45%
Echelon Insights Jan 20–23, 2020 474 (LV) 56% 32% 12%
54% 38% 8%
48% 43% 9%
Echelon Insights Dec 9–14, 2019 447 (LV) 65% 20% 16%
58% 32% 11%
59% 29% 11%
Swayable Nov 16–18, 2019 2,077 (LV) ± 2% 44.8% 34.2% 21%[po]
Swayable Oct 26–27, 2019 2,172 (LV) ± 2% 45.2% 34.7% 20.1%[po]
Echelon Insights Oct 21–25, 2019 449 (LV) 62% 25% 13%
60% 28% 11%
49% 34% 17%
Swayable Oct 7–8, 2019 2,077 (LV) ± 2% 48.1% 36.2% 15.7%[po]
HarrisX Archived October 12, 2019, at the Wayback Machine[note 1] Oct 4–6, 2019 803 (LV) 41% 41% 18%
41% 40% 19%
42% 39% 20%
38% 42% 19%
40% 36% 24%
42% 40% 18%
Swayable Sep 25–26, 2019 3,491 (LV) ± 2% 47.7% 34.2% 18.1%[po]
Morning Consult Sep 20–22, 2019 635 (LV) 52% 37% 12%
45% 38% 17%
38% 49% 13%
Swayable Sep 16–18, 2019 3,140 (LV) ± 2% 49.8% 31% 19.2%[po]
Fox News Sep 15–17, 2019 480(LV) ± 4.5% 53% 37% 7%
YouGov/FairVote[12] [pp] Sep 2–6, 2019 1002(LV) ± 3.3% 51% 40% 7%
43% 49% 6%
36% 55% 7%
63.5% 36.5%
60.4% 39.6%
86.4% 16.4%
44.6% 55.4%
72.8% 27.2%
34.6% 65.4%
20.7% 79.3%
79.6% 20.4%
42.3% 57.7%
24.6% 75.4%
22.8% 77.2%
9.9% 90.1%
Swayable Aug 22–23, 2019 1,849 (LV) ± 2% 46.8% 30.5% 22.7%[po]
Echelon Insights Aug 19–21, 2019 479 (RV) 55% 31% 14%
55% 35% 10%
52% 32% 16%
HarrisX Archived October 8, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Aug 16–18, 2019 909 (RV) 42% 38% 19%
44% 38% 18%
39% 41% 20%
35% 42% 23%
38% 33% 30%
43% 37% 21%
Swayable Aug 5–6, 2019 1,958 (LV) ± 2% 46.5% 30.6% 22.9%[po]
Echelon Insights Jul 23–27, 2019 510 (RV) 56% 33% 11%
58% 29% 12%
54% 35% 10%
Swayable Jul 5–7, 2019 1,921 (LV) ± 2% 43% 32% 25%[po]
HarrisX Archived July 2, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Jun 28–30, 2019 909 (RV) ± 3.4% 40% 41% 20%
41% 40% 19%
41% 40% 19%
39% 41% 20%
34% 35% 31%
41% 36% 23%
Echelon Insights Jun 22–25, 2019 484 57% 27% 16%
56% 26% 18%
Swayable Jun 1–3, 2019 977 (LV) ± 3% 53.4% 28.6% 18%[po]
HarrisX Archived May 31, 2019, at the Wayback Machine May 28–30, 2019 881 (RV) ± 3.4% 41% 38% 20%
43% 41% 16%
39% 41% 20%
37% 42% 21%
37% 40% 23%
Echelon Insights May 20–21, 2019 447 65% 17% 19%
63% 20% 17%
61% 25% 14%
66% 19% 15%
Morning Consult/Politico Jan 11–16, 2018 689 (RV) ± 4.0% 54% 31% 15%
23% 44% 34%
46% 37% 17%
35% 39% 26%

Favorability ratings[edit]

Unlike traditional preference polling, favorability ratings allow individuals to independently rate each candidate. This provides a comprehensive impression of a candidate's electorate appeal without vote splitting distortion, where votes divide between ideologically similar candidates in multi-candidate polls. Favorability indicates general candidate acceptance among voters, irrespective of final vote choice. The table uses net favorability (favorable minus unfavorable).

From February 2020 to April 2020[edit]

Favorability ratings from February 2020 to April 2020
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Biden
Sanders
Gabbard
Warren
Bloomberg
Klobuchar
Buttigieg
Steyer
Patrick
Bennet
Yang
YouGov/Economist Apr 26–28, 2020 51%
Emerson College Apr 26–28, 2020 61.1%
YouGov/Economist Apr 19–21, 2020 54%
Morning Consult/Politico Apr 18–19, 2020 66%
Morning Consult Apr 13–19, 2020 60%
YouGov/Economist Apr 12–14, 2020 54%
Morning Consult Apr 6-12, 2020 57%
YouGov/Economist Apr 5–7, 2020 58% 52%
Fox News Apr 4–7, 2020 61%
Monmouth Apr 3–7, 2020 57% 45%
Quinnipiac Apr 2–6, 2020 66%
Morning Consult Mar 31 - Apr 5, 2020 56% 51%
YouGov/Economist Mar 29–31, 2020 43% 52%
Selzer & Co./Grinnell College Mar 27–30, 2020 59% 49%
Morning Consult Mar 23–29, 2020 56% 49%
YouGov/Economist Mar 22–24, 2020 47% 39%
Monmouth Mar 18–22, 2020 69%
Morning Consult Mar 16–22, 2020 56% 50%
YouGov/Economist Mar 15–17, 2020 50% 50% −14%
Ipsos/Reutuers Mar 13–16, 2020 62% 58%
Morning Consult Mar 11–15, 2020 57% 52% −6%
NBC/WSJ[pq] Mar 11–13, 2020 55% 51%
YouGov/Hofstra University Mar 5-12, 2020 74.1% 53.4% 71.6%
YouGov/Economist Mar 8-10, 2020 47% 40%
Ipsos/Reuters Mar 6–9, 2020 70% 59%
Morning Consult Mar 5–8, 2020 55% 46% −10%
Quinnipiac Mar 5–8, 2020 64% 54%
CNN/SSRS Mar 4–7, 2020 51% 40% 39% −11%
YouGov/Economist Mar 1–3, 2020 41% 36% −23% 50% −7% 36% 36%
YouGov/Yahoo News Feb 26–27, 2020 57% 57% 60% 15% 48% 44%
Change Research/Election Science[13][pr] Feb 25–27, 2020 36% 60% 7% 55% 20% 28% 39% 13%
Morning Consult Feb 23–27, 2020 40% 52% −8% 35% 17% 26% 35% 16%
Fox News Feb 23–26, 2020 47% 48% 38% 22% 27% 35% 17%
YouGov/Economist Feb 23–25, 2020 37% 51% −26% 52% −12% 36% 26% 19%
Morning Consult Feb 20, 2020 17%
YouGov/Economist Feb 16–18, 2020 39% 46% −28% 53% 15% 41% 43% 26%
Morning Consult Feb 12–17, 2020 39% 53% −7% 36% 36% 32% 41% 18%
YouGov/Economist Feb 9–11, 2020 34% 48% −20% 51% 28% 35% 39% 33% 11% 17% 51%
Ipsos/Reuters Feb 6–10, 2020 56% 65% 56% 53% 36% 49% 26%
Monmouth Feb 6–9, 2020 38% 53% 48% 14% 31% 36%
Quinnipiac Feb 5–9, 2020 54% 58% 60% 40% 49% 47% 20% 32%
Morning Consult Feb 4–9, 2020 43% 53% −6% 41% 40% 28% 42% 21% 4% 8% 35%
Ipsos/FiveThirtyEight Feb 7–8, 2020 33.9% 42.8% 37.1% 23.1% 35.8% 12.9% 20.7%
Ipsos/FiveThirtyEight Feb 4–6, 2020 39.5% 41.5% 38.3% 19.6% 33.8% 11.4% 21.6%
YouGov/Economist Feb 2–4, 2020 40% 38% −27% 49% 26% 32% 40% 29% 11% 19% 46%
Morning Consult Jan 27 – Feb 2, 2020 47% 53% −7% 44% 37% 23% 33% 23% 5% 8% 35%

From October 2019 to January 2020[edit]

Favorability ratings from October 2019 to January 2020
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Biden
Sanders
Gabbard
Warren
Bloomberg
Klobuchar
Buttigieg
Steyer
Patrick
Bennet
Yang
Delaney
Booker
Williamson
Castro
Harris
Bullock
Sestak
Messam
O'Rourke
Ryan
YouGov/Economist Jan 26–28, 2020 40% 45% −30% 58% 12% 33% 38% 19% 8% 11% 47% 1%
Morning Consult Jan 20–26, 2020 52% 52% −5% 43% 33% 25% 35% 22% 4% 11% 36% 5%
Echelon Insights Jan 20–23, 2020 51% 52% 50% 44% 47%
YouGov/Economist Jan 19–21, 2020 50% 50% −19% 57% 22% 36% 37% 30% 4% 15% 47% −1%
Monmouth Jan 16–20, 2020 52% 48% 42% 17% 32% 27% 6% 35%
Morning Consult Jan 15–19, 2020 51% 53% −6% 44% 32% 24% 34% 24% 5% 10% 36% 4%
Ipsos/FiveThirtyEight Jan 14–15, 2020 43.6% 44.2% 47.1% 18.1% 31.2% 15%
YouGov/Economist Jan 11–14, 2020 43% 49% −34% 53% 11% 21% 29% 15% 1% 3% 28% −7% 42%
Ipsos/FiveThirtyEight Jan 10–13, 2020 45.3% 47.8% 43.3% 12.3% 26.5% 9.9%
Morning Consult Jan 6–12, 2020 49% 59% −6% 47% 23% 21% 34% 21% 6% 8% 32% 4% 32%
YouGov/Economist Jan 5–7, 2020 43% 55% −31% 60% 4% 26% 36% 19% 8% 10% 34% −2% 44% −22%
Morning Consult Dec 30, 2019 – Jan 5, 2020 52% 56% −8% 44% 17% 21% 34% 20% 4% 8% 31% 3% 29% −6%
YouGov/Economist Dec 28–31, 2019 48% 49% −25% 55% −6% 32% 32% 23% 6% 9% 39% −2% 40% −21% 34%
Morning Consult Dec 23–29, 2019 51% 56% −8% 55% 15% 22% 35% 19% 5% 8% 32% 4% 31% −3% 17%
YouGov/Economist Dec 22–24, 2019 42% 48% −40% 59% −5% 28% 35% 19% 6% 6% 40% −1% 48% −21% 38%
Morning Consult Dec 20–22, 2019 49% 55% −12% 44% 17% 26% 33% 19% 4% 8% 34% 3% 28% −5% 19%
Ipsos/FiveThirtyEight Dec 19–20, 2019 45% 42.6% 42.9% 17.1% 27.6% 7.4% 22.3%
Ipsos/FiveThirtyEight Dec 13–18, 2019 43.2% 40.5% 40.1% 11% 29.4% 4.2% 16.1%
YouGov/Economist Dec 14–17, 2019 45% 47% −21% 56% −3% 26% 27% 15% 1% 9% 35% −3% 38% −17% 29%
CNN/SSRS Dec 12–15, 2019 42% 54% 47% 32%
Morning Consult Dec 9–15, 2019 49% 57% −1% 44% 14% 21% 30% 15% 4% 10% 27% 4% 31% −4% 17%
Echelon Insights Dec 9–14, 2019 67% 56% 48% 14%

Copyright 2020 WikiZero