2014 Thuringian state election

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2014 Thuringian state election

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All 91 seats of the Landtag of Thuringia
46 seats needed for a majority
Registered1,812,370 Decrease 5.1%
Turnout941,719 (52.7%)
Decrease 3.5%
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Christine Lieberknecht Bodo Ramelow Heike Taubert
Party CDU Left SPD
Leader's seat Weimar I – Weimarer Land II List (lost Erfurt III) List[a]
Last election 30 seats, 31.2% 27 seats, 27.4% 18 seats, 18.5%
Seats won 34 28 12
Seat change Increase 4 Increase 1 Decrease 6
Popular vote 315,104 265,428 116,889
Percentage 33.5% 28.2% 12.4%
Swing Increase 2.3% Increase 0.8% Decrease 6.1%

  Fourth party Fifth party
 
Leader Björn Höcke Anja Siegesmund
& Dirk Adams
Party AfD Greens
Leader's seat List[b] List[c]
Last election Did not exist 6 seats, 6.2%
Seats won 11 6
Seat change Increase 11 Steady 0
Popular vote 99,545 53,407
Percentage 10.6% 5.7%
Swing New party Decrease 0.5%

Results for the single-member constituencies

Minister-President before election

Christine Lieberknecht
CDU

Elected Minister-President

Bodo Ramelow
Left

The 2014 Thuringian state election was held on 14 September 2014 to elect the members of the 6th Landtag of Thuringia. The government prior to the election was a grand coalition of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Social Democratic Party (SPD) led by Minister-President Christine Lieberknecht. The government narrowly retained its majority. However, the SPD chose not to renew the coalition, instead pursuing an agreement to enter as a junior partner in a coalition with The Left and The Greens. After a vote of the SPD membership showed a majority in favour, the SPD went ahead with the agreement.[1][2]

On 5 December the red-red-green coalition, led by The Left's Bodo Ramelow, was elected by the Landtag with 46 out of 91 votes. This was the first time in its history that The Left had become the leading party of a governing coalition in Germany. Ramelow became The Left's first ever head of a state government.[3][4]

Parties

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The table below lists parties represented in the 5th Landtag of Thuringia.

Name Ideology Leader(s) 2004 result
Votes (%) Seats
CDU Christian Democratic Union of Germany
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands
Christian democracy Christine Lieberknecht 31.2%
30 / 88
Linke The Left
Die Linke
Democratic socialism Bodo Ramelow 27.4%
27 / 88
SPD Social Democratic Party of Germany
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands
Social democracy Heike Taubert 18.5%
18 / 88
FDP Free Democratic Party
Freie Demokratische Partei
Classical liberalism Uwe Barth 7.6%
7 / 88
Grüne Alliance 90/The Greens
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
Green politics Anja Siegesmund 6.2%
6 / 88

Opinion polling

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
CDU Linke SPD FDP Grüne NPD FW Piraten AfD Others Lead
2014 state election 14 Sep 2014 33.5 28.2 12.4 2.5 5.7 3.6 1.7 1.0 10.6 0.9 5.3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 10–11 Sep 2014 949 36.0 26.0 16.0 5.5 8.0 8.5 10.0
Infratest dimap 2–4 Sep 2014 1,001 34 28 16 3 5 4 7 3 6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 1–3 Sep 2014 1,002 36 26 16 6 8 8 10
INSA 23 Jul–1 Aug 2014 500 34 26 19 4 6 5 6 8
Infratest dimap 9–13 Jul 2014 1,000 36 27 19 2 6 2 4 4 9
INSA 5 Jun–1 Jul 2014 2,009 33 25 18 3 6 2 2 7 4 8
2014 European election 25 May 2014 31.8 22.5 18.4 2.1 5.0 3.4 1.8 1.4 7.4 6.2 9.3
Infratest dimap 7–11 May 2014 1,001 36 28 19 2 5 3 4 3 8
Infratest dimap 6–10 Mar 2014 1,000 38 28 17 2 6 5 4 10
INSA 20 Feb 2014 1,000 35 25 20 3 5 2 5 5 10
aproxima 17–21 Jan 2014 505 27 28 22 3 11 1 2 2 3 1 1
INSA 19–25 Nov 2013 1,002 35 27 18 2 7 5 6 8
INSA 5–8 Nov 2013 1,000 36 27 14 2 6 6 9 13
Emnid 9–23 Oct 2013 1,000 39 26 17 1 5 2 7 3 13
2013 federal election 22 Sep 2013 38.8 23.4 16.1 2.6 4.9 3.2 1.4 2.4 6.2 0.9 15.4
Infratest dimap 9–15 Aug 2013 1,002 43 20 20 2 7 8 23
Infratest dimap 27–30 Jun 2013 1,000 41 21 20 3 8 3 4 20
Infratest dimap 10–15 May 2012 1,000 35 23 24 2 6 6 4 11
IfM Leipzig 3–8 Aug 2011 1,005 33 25 20 4 11 7 8
Infratest dimap 28 Apr–2 May 2010 1,000 32 29 21 5 6 7 3
2009 federal election 27 Sep 2009 31.2 28.8 17.6 9.8 6.0 3.2 2.5 1.0 2.4
2009 state election 30 Aug 2009 31.2 27.4 18.5 7.6 6.2 4.3 3.9 0.9 3.7

Results

[edit]
Summary of the 2014 Landtag of Thuringia elections results
PartyVotes%+/–Seats+/–
Christian Democratic Union315,09633.46Increase 2.334Increase 4
The Left265,42528.19Increase 0.828Increase 1
Social Democratic Party116,88912.41Decrease 6.112Decrease 6
Alternative for Germany99,54810.57New11New
Alliance 90/The Greens53,3955.67Decrease 0.56Steady
National Democratic Party34,0183.61Decrease 0.70Steady
Free Democratic Party23,3522.48Decrease 5.10Decrease 7
Others33,9693.61Decrease 1.30Steady
Total941,692100.0091
Valid votes941,69298.61Increase 0.4
Invalid/blank votes13,2711.39Decrease 0.4
Total votes954,963100.00
Registered voters/turnout1,812,24952.69Decrease 3.5
Popular Vote
CDU
33.46%
DIE LINKE
28.19%
SPD
12.41%
AfD
10.57%
B'90/GRÜNE
5.67%
NPD
3.61%
FDP
2.48%
FW
1.68%
PIRATEN
1.03%
Other
0.90%
Landtag seats
CDU
37.36%
DIE LINKE
30.77%
SPD
13.19%
AfD
12.09%
B'90/GRÜNE
6.59%
  The Left (Die Linke): 28 seats
  Social Democratic Party (SPD): 12 seats
  Alliance 90/The Greens (Grüne): 6 seats
  Christian Democratic Union (CDU): 34 seats
  Alternative for Germany (AfD): 11 seats

Outcome

[edit]

While the incumbent grand coalition narrowly retained its majority, both parties underperformed expectations. This was especially true for the SPD, which recorded a result worse than it had polled at any point during the preceding five-year parliamentary term. For this reason, the SPD leadership decided to leave the coalition and seek other options. The most clear choice was a "red-red-green coalition" with The Left and Greens. Though this arrangement had successfully governed other states in the past, such a government had always been led by the SPD. Due to the dominance of The Left in Thuringia, however, the only viable option would be a government headed by Bodo Ramelow, leader of The Left. This was a highly controversial prospect due to the party's status as the successor of the Socialist Unity Party, the former ruling party of East Germany. Nonetheless, the SPD pursued the option. They resolved to seek approval from their party membership before signing any agreements, however, and held among the party membership for this purpose; 69.9% were in favour. The SPD therefore moved ahead with plans.[3]

On 4 December, Ramelow was elected Minister-President by the Landtag on the second ballot, with a bare majority of 46 votes out of 91. Prior to the vote, thousands assembled outside the Landtag to protest the investiture of the government. Former East German dissidents were among the demonstrators, with some shouting "Stasi out!" and "The Social Democrats have betrayed us".[3]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ Ran in Greiz II (lost).
  2. ^ Ran in Eichsfeld I (lost).
  3. ^ Ran in Jena I (lost).

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "Thuringia's November revolution". The Economist. 1 November 2014. Retrieved 6 December 2014.
  2. ^ "69,93 Prozent für Rot-Rot-Grün" (Press Release) (in German). SPD Thüringen. 4 November 2014. Retrieved 5 December 2014.
  3. ^ a b c "Germany gets first socialist state governor since reunification". The Guardian. 5 December 2014. Retrieved 5 December 2014.
  4. ^ "Bodo Ramelow schreibt Geschichte". Frankfurter Rundschau (in German). 5 December 2014. Retrieved 5 December 2014.
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