2016 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania

From Wikipedia the free encyclopedia

2016 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania

← 2010 November 8, 2016 2022 →
 
Nominee Pat Toomey Katie McGinty
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 2,951,702 2,865,012
Percentage 48.77% 47.34%

Toomey:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
McGinty:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      No votes

U.S. senator before election

Pat Toomey
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Pat Toomey
Republican

The 2016 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania took place on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in numerous other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on April 26. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Pat Toomey was reelected to a second term in a close race, defeating Democratic nominee Katie McGinty and Libertarian Party nominee Edward Clifford.[1][2] With a margin of 1.43%, this election was the second-closest race of the 2016 Senate election cycle, behind only the election in New Hampshire.

Until 2024, this was the last time that Republicans won a U.S. Senate election in Pennsylvania. This is also the last time that the winner of the United States Senate election in Pennsylvania won a majority of Pennsylvania's counties.

Background

[edit]

Five-term senator Arlen Specter, a longtime moderate Republican, switched to the Democratic Party in April 2009, and ran for reelection in 2010 as a Democrat. He was defeated in the Democratic primary by U.S. Representative and former U.S. Navy three-star admiral Joe Sestak. After a close race, Sestak lost the general election to former U.S. Representative Pat Toomey by 51% to 49%, a margin of 80,229 votes out of almost 4 million cast. Toomey had previously run for the seat in 2004, narrowly losing to Specter in the Republican primary. Specter later died in 2012.

After the Republicans took control of the Senate following the 2014 Senate elections, the election in Pennsylvania was seen by many as a top target for the Democrats, who hoped to regain their majority.[3][4][5] Katie McGinty, who won the Democratic primary, was one of 160 candidates endorsed by Barack Obama. McGinty got her start in politics after winning the Congressional Fellowship of the American Chemical Society, leading to a position with then Senator Al Gore. In 1993 she was appointed deputy assistant and then chair of the White House Council of Environmental Quality under Bill Clinton. She then went on to be appointed head of the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection by Governor Ed Rendell in 2003.[6] McGinty faced 2010 nominee Sestask and Mayor of Braddock, future Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania and holder of this Senate seat John Fetterman in the primary.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Pat Toomey

Federal officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Mayors

Individuals

Organizations

Newspapers

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[26]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Pat Toomey (incumbent) 1,342,941 100.00%
Total votes 1,342,941 100.00%

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
John Fetterman

Governors

State officials

Individuals

Organizations

Newspapers and publications

Katie McGinty

Federal officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Governors

State legislators

Municipal officials

Individuals

Labor unions

Organizations

Newspapers and publications

Debates

[edit]

A debate hosted by Carnegie Mellon University's Heinz College in association with the 14th Ward Independent Democratic Club featuring John Fetterman, Katie McGinty, and Joe Sestak occurred on January 31 at Rangos Hall in Jared L. Cohon University Center, Carnegie Mellon University, in Pittsburgh.[113]

A debate hosted by Keystone Progress featuring John Fetterman, Katie McGinty, and Joe Sestak occurred on February 19 at the Hilton Harrisburg, in the Harrisburg Ballroom, in Harrisburg.[114]

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Joe
Vodvarka
John
Fetterman
Katie
McGinty
Joe
Sestak
Other Undecided
FOX 29/Opinion Savvy[115] April 24–25, 2016 942 ± 3.2% 14% 39% 34% 13%
Harper Polling[116] April 21–23, 2016 641 ± 3.9% 3% 15% 39% 33% 11%
Monmouth University[117] April 17–19, 2016 302 ± 5.6% 4% 39% 39% 18%
Franklin & Marshall College[118] April 11–18, 2016 510 ± 5.3% 8% 27% 38% 2% 25%
Harper Polling[119] April 3–4, 2016 603 ± 4.0% 9% 31% 41% 19%
Franklin & Marshall College[120] March 14–20, 2016 408 ± 4.7% 7% 14% 31% 2% 46%
Harper Polling[121] March 1–2, 2016 662 ± 3.6% 4% 15% 17% 33% 35%
Harper Polling[122] January 22–23, 2016 640 ± 3.8% 11% 28% 33% 28%
Public Policy Polling[123] October 8–11, 2015 1,012 ± 3.1% 14% 22% 29% 35%
Franklin & Marshall College[124] August 17–24, 2015 298 ± ? 13% 16% 5% 66%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ed
Pawlowski
Joe
Sestak
Josh
Shapiro
Other Undecided
Robert Morris University[125] May 8–16, 2015 ? ± ? 11.1% 44.7% 44.3%
Harper Polling[126] May 6–7, 2015 173 ± 7.45% 12% 42% 8% 39%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kathleen
Kane
Joe
Sestak
Other Undecided
Harper Polling[127] February 22–23, 2014 501 ± 4.38% 47% 24% 29%

Results

[edit]
2016 United States Senate Democratic primary in Pennsylvania results
  McGinty — 50–60%
  McGinty — 40–50%
  McGinty — <40%
  Sestak — <40%
  Sestak — 40–50%
  Sestak — 60–70%
  Fetterman — 40–50%
2016 United States Senate Democratic primary in Pennsylvania results[26]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Katie McGinty 669,774 42.50%
Democratic Joe Sestak 513,221 32.57%
Democratic John Fetterman 307,090 19.49%
Democratic Joseph Vodvarka 85,837 5.45%
Total votes 1,575,922 100.00%

General election

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Debates

[edit]
Dates Location Toomey McGinty Link
October 17, 2016 Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania Participant Participant [129]
October 24, 2016 Philadelphia, Pennsylvania Participant Participant [130]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[131] Tossup November 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[132] Lean D (flip) November 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[133] Tossup November 3, 2016
Daily Kos[134] Lean D (flip) November 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics[135] Tossup November 7, 2016

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Toomey (R)
Katie
McGinty (D)
Edward
Clifford (L)
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey[136] November 1–7, 2016 2,845 ± 4.6% 45% 49% 6%
SurveyMonkey[137] October 31–November 6, 2016 2,685 ± 4.6% 45% 50% 5%
CBS News/YouGov[138] November 3–5, 2016 931 ± 4.3% 46% 47% 1% 6%
Clarity Campaign Labs[139] November 1–4, 2016 1,033 ± 3.0% 43% 46% 11%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call[140] October 30–November 4, 2016 405 ± 5.5% 43% 42% 15%
Harper Polling[141] November 2–3, 2016 504 ± 4.4% 44% 44% 6% 5%
SurveyMonkey[142] October 28–November 3, 2016 2,454 ± 4.6% 45% 50% 5%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[143] November 1–2, 2016 1,016 ± 3.1% 43% 45% 12%
Susquehanna Polling & Research[144] October 31–November 2, 2016 681 ± 3.8% 41% 47% 5% 1% 7%
SurveyMonkey[145] October 27–November 2, 2016 2,177 ± 4.6% 46% 50% 4%
Public Policy Polling[146] October 31–November 1, 2016 1,050 ± 3.0% 44% 46% 10%
Monmouth University[147] October 29–November 1, 2016 403 ± 4.9% 44% 47% 3% 6%
CNN/ORC[148] October 27–November 1, 2016 799 LV ± 3.5% 46% 51% 1% 1%
917 RV ± 3.0% 47% 49% 1% 2%
Quinnipiac University[149] October 27–November 1, 2016 612 ± 4.0% 47% 48% 1% 5%
SurveyMonkey[150] October 26–November 2, 2016 2,078 ± 4.6% 46% 50% 4%
SurveyMonkey[151] October 25–31, 2016 2,255 ± 4.6% 46% 49% 5%
Franklin & Marshall College[152] October 26–30, 2016 652 LV ± 5.1% 35% 47% 1% 2% 16%
863 RV ± 4.4% 33% 43% 1% 23%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[153] October 25–30, 2016 3,217 ± 1.7% 41% 45% 13%
CBS News/YouGov[154] October 26–28, 2016 1,091 ± 3.7% 41% 44% 2% 13%
Emerson College[155] October 25–26, 2016 550 ± 4.1% 43% 45% 7% 5%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call[156] October 20–26, 2016 420 ± 5.5% 41% 41% 1% 17%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College[157] October 23–25, 2016 824 ± 3.4% 44% 47% 9%
Emerson College[158] October 17–19, 2016 800 ± 3.4% 46% 43% 5% 7%
Quinnipiac University[159] October 10–16, 2016 660 ± 3.8% 49% 45% 6%
Washington Post/SurveyMonkey[160] October 8–16, 2016 1,449 ± 0.5% 47% 47% 6%
Bloomberg/Selzer[161] October 7–11, 2016 806 ± 3.5% 45% 47% 2% 4%
The Times-Picayune/Lucid[162] October 7–10, 2016 1,457 ± 3.0% 44% 44% 12%
Susquehanna Polling & Research[163] October 4–9, 2016 764 ± 3.5% 42% 38% 7% 1% 12%
CBS News/YouGov[164] October 5–7, 2016 997 ± 4.2% 42% 42% 1% 15%
NBC/WSJ/Marist[165] October 3–6, 2016 709 ± 3.7% 44% 48% 2% 6%
Monmouth University[166] September 30–October 3, 2016 402 ± 4.9% 46% 46% 3% 5%
Franklin & Marshall College[167] September 28–October 2, 2016 496 LV ± 6.1% 35% 41% 2% 22%
813 RV ± 4.8% 31% 36% 11% 22%
Quinnipiac University[168] September 27–October 2, 2016 535 ± 4.2% 50% 42% 7%
Public Policy Polling[169] September 27–28, 2016 886 ± 3.3% 35% 40% 9% 16%
42% 44% 14%
CNN/ORC[170] September 20–25, 2016 771 LV ± 3.5% 46% 49% 2%
895 RV
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[171] September 23, 2016 949 ± 3.2% 39% 43% 18%
Harper Polling[172] September 21–22, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 42% 42% 8% 8%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call[173] September 19–23, 2016 486 ± 5.0% 41% 40% 20%
Mercyhurst University[174] September 12–23, 2016 420 ± 4.8% 43% 42% 15%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps[175] September 10–19, 2016 400 ± 4.0% 45% 43% 12%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call[176] September 12–16, 2016 405 ± 5.5% 38% 43% 19%
Quinnipiac University[177] August 29–September 7, 2016 778 ± 3.5% 46% 45% 1% 7%
CBS News/YouGov[178] August 30–September 2, 2016 1,091 ± 4.1% 39% 39% 2% 20%
Public Policy Polling[179] August 30–31, 2016 814 ± 3.4% 41% 44% 15%
Public Policy Polling[180] August 26–27, 2016 1,194 ± 3.0% 40% 46% 14%
Monmouth University[181] August 26–29, 2016 402 ± 4.9% 41% 45% 6% 8%
Franklin & Marshall College[182] August 25–29, 2016 496 LV ± 5.6% 38% 43% 18%
736 RV ± 4.6% 37% 36% 27%
Emerson College[183] August 25–28, 2016 800 ± 3.4% 46% 39% 5% 10%
GBA Strategies[184] August 21–28, 2016 881 ± 4.4% 42% 47% 8% 3%
Quinnipiac University[185] July 30–August 7, 2016 815 ± 3.4% 44% 47% 9%
NBC/WSJ/Marist[186] August 3–7, 2016 834 ± 3.4% 44% 48% 1% 7%
Susquehanna Polling & Research[187] July 31–August 4, 2016 772 ± 3.5% 40% 42% 2% 16%
Franklin & Marshall College[188] July 29–August 1, 2016 389 LV ± 6.3% 38% 39% 23%
661 RV ± 4.8% 30% 38% 32%
Public Policy Polling[189] July 29–31, 2016 1,505 ± 2.7% 42% 41% 17%
Suffolk University[190] July 25–27, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 36% 43% 1% 19%
Quinnipiac University[191] June 30–July 11, 2016 982 ± 3.1% 49% 39% 1% 9%
NBC/WSJ/Marist[192] July 5–10, 2016 829 ± 3.4% 44% 47% 2% 8%
Public Policy Polling[193] June 22–23, 2016 980 ± 3.1% 40% 39% 21%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps[194] June 11–20, 2016 300 ± 5.7% 46% 38% 16%
Quinnipiac University[195] June 8–19, 2016 950 ± 3.2% 49% 40% 8%
Public Policy Polling[196] June 8–9, 2016 965 ± 3.2% 45% 42% 12%
Public Policy Polling[197] June 3–5, 2016 1,106 ± 3.0% 41% 38% 21%
Quinnipiac University[198] April 27–May 8, 2016 1,077 ± 3.0% 45% 44% 11%
Quinnipiac University[199] March 30–April 4, 2016 1,737 ± 2.4% 47% 38% 1% 12%
Mercyhurst University[200] March 1–11, 2016 421 ± 4.8% 47% 34% 2% 13%
Harper Polling[201] March 1–2, 2016 662 ± 3.75% 47% 39% 13%
Robert Morris University[202] February 11–16, 2016 511 ± 4.5% 34% 21% 45%
Public Policy Polling[123] October 8–11, 2015 1,012 ± 3.1% 43% 36% 21%
Quinnipiac University[203] September 25–October 5, 2015 1,049 ± 3.0% 51% 31% 1% 15%
Harper Polling[204] September 9–10, 2015 700 ± 3.7% 48% 34% 18%
Franklin & Marshall College[124] August 17–24, 2015 605 ± 3.9% 35% 28% 38%
Quinnipiac University[205] August 7–18, 2015 1,085 ± 3% 48% 32% 1% 17%
Public Policy Polling[206] May 30–June 1, 2014 835 ± 3.4% 42% 38% 20%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Toomey (R)
John
Fetterman (D)
Other Undecided
Mercyhurst University[200] March 1–11, 2016 421 ± 4.8% 49% 31% 2% 15%
Harper Polling[201] March 1–2, 2016 662 ± 3.75% 47% 36% 16%
Robert Morris University[202] February 11–16, 2016 511 ± 4.5% 38% 14% 49%
Public Policy Polling[123] October 8–11, 2015 1,012 ± -3.1 41% 34% 24%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Toomey (R)
Joe
Sestak (D)
Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University[199] March 30–April 4, 2016 1,737 ± 2.4% 47% 39% 1% 10%
Mercyhurst University[200] March 1–11, 2016 421 ± 4.8% 43% 38% 1% 15%
Harper Polling[201] March 1–2, 2016 662 ± 3.75% 47% 41% 13%
Robert Morris University[202] February 11–16, 2016 511 ± 4.5% 34% 18% 48%
Public Policy Polling[123] October 8–11, 2015 1,012 ± -3.1 41% 38% 21%
Quinnipiac University[207] September 25-October 5, 2015 1,049 ± 3.0% 49% 34% 1% 13%
Harper Polling[204] September 9–10, 2015 700 ± 3.7% 47% 37% 15%
Franklin & Marshall College[124] August 17–24, 2015 605 ± 3.9% 41% 29% 31%
Quinnipiac University[205] August 7–18, 2015 1,085 ± 3% 48% 33% 1% 15%
Quinnipiac University[208] June 4–15, 2015 970 ± 3.2% 47% 36% 1% 16%
Franklin & Marshall College[209] June 8–14, 2015 556 ± 4.1% 35% 31% 34%
Public Policy Polling[210] May 21–24, 2015 799 ± 3.5% 42% 38% 20%
Robert Morris University[125] May 8–16, 2015 529 ± 4.5% 28.5% 34.2% 37.3%
Harper Polling[211] May 6–7, 2015 503 ± 4.37% 53% 32% 15%
Quinnipiac University[212] March 17–28, 2015 1,036 ± 3% 48% 35% 1% 16%
Franklin & Marshall College[213] March 17–23, 2015 597 ± 4.2% 34% 29% 37%
Quinnipiac University[214] Jan. 22–Feb. 1, 2015 881 ± 3.3% 45% 35% 20%
Public Policy Polling[215] January 15–18, 2015 1,042 ± 3% 40% 36% 23%
Public Policy Polling[206] May 30 – June 1, 2014 835 ± 3.4% 41% 35% 24%
Harper Polling[216] December 21–22, 2013 604 ± 4% 49% 42% 9%
Public Policy Polling[217] November 22–25, 2013 693 ± 3.7% 42% 42% 16%
Quinnipiac University[218] May 30 – June 4, 2013 1,032 ± 3.1% 42% 37% 1% 21%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Toomey (R)
Chris
Carney (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[210] May 21–24, 2015 799 ± 3.5% 44% 35% 20%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Toomey (R)
Vincent
Hughes (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[210] May 21–24, 2015 799 ± 3.5% 44% 35% 21%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Toomey (R)
Kathleen
Kane (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[215] January 15–18, 2015 1,042 ± 3% 44% 38% 17%
Public Policy Polling[206] May 30 – June 1, 2014 835 ± 3.4% 40% 42% 19%
Harper Polling[216] December 21–22, 2013 604 ± 4% 49% 44% 7%
Public Policy Polling[217] November 22–25, 2013 693 ± 3.7% 42% 46% 12%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Toomey (R)
Chris
Matthews (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[215] January 15–18, 2015 1,042 ± 3% 42% 38% 20%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Toomey (R)
Michael
Nutter (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[215] January 15–18, 2015 1,042 ± 3% 42% 35% 23%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Toomey (R)
Ed
Pawlowski (D)
Other Undecided
Mercyhurst University[200] March 1–11, 2016 421 ± 4.8% 47% 31% 2% 16%
Quinnipiac University[208] June 4–15, 2015 970 ± 3.2% 52% 28% 1% 19%
Franklin & Marshall College[209] June 8–14, 2015 556 ± 4.1% 34% 23% 43%
Public Policy Polling[210] May 21–24, 2015 799 ± 3.5% 44% 34% 22%
Harper Polling[211] May 6–7, 2015 503 ± 4.37% 54% 30% 16%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Toomey (R)
Ed
Rendell (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[210] May 21–24, 2015 799 ± 3.5% 46% 41% 13%
Public Policy Polling[215] January 15–18, 2015 1,042 ± 3% 41% 44% 15%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Toomey (R)
Josh
Shapiro (D)
Other Undecided
Harper Polling[211] May 6–7, 2015 503 ± 4.37% 55% 27% 18%
Public Policy Polling[215] January 15–18, 2015 1,042 ± 3% 43% 31% 26%
Public Policy Polling[206] May 30 – June 1, 2014 835 ± 3.4% 41% 32% 28%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Toomey (R)
Seth
Williams (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[210] May 21–24, 2015 799 ± 3.5% 44% 33% 23%

Results

[edit]
United States Senate election in Pennsylvania, 2016[219]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Pat Toomey (incumbent) 2,951,702 48.77% −2.24%
Democratic Katie McGinty 2,865,012 47.34% −1.65%
Libertarian Edward T. Clifford III 235,142 3.89% N/A
Total votes 6,051,856 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

By county

[edit]
County[220] Katie McGinty

Democratic

Patrick J. Toomey

Republican

Edward T. Clifford III

Libertarian

Margin Total Votes Cast
# % # % # % # %
Adams 14,593 30.72% 30,492 64.19% 2,418 5.09% 15,899 33.47% 47,503
Allegheny 357,450 55.25% 261,316 40.39% 28,260 4.37% -96,134 -14.86% 647,026
Armstrong 8,387 26.71% 20,793 66.22% 2,220 7.07% 12,406 39.51% 31,400
Beaver 34,263 41.12% 44,000 52.81% 5,058 6.07% 9,737 11.69% 83,321
Bedford 4,356 18.58% 17,739 75.68% 1,344 5.73% 13,383 57.10% 23,439
Berks 77,028 42.93% 95,466 53.21% 6,919 3.86% 18,438 10.28% 179,413
Blair 15,107 27.57% 36,533 66.68% 3,150 5.75% 21,426 39.11% 54,790
Bradford 6,985 27.33% 16,574 64.85% 2,000 7.83% 9,589 37.52% 25,559
Bucks 157,709 46.46% 175,898 51.82% 5,845 1.72% 18,189 5.36% 339,452
Butler 28,715 29.72% 62,425 64.62% 5,465 5.66% 33,710 34.89% 96,605
Cambria 21,894 34.90% 36,948 58.90% 3,886 6.20% 15,054 24.00% 62,728
Cameron 593 27.53% 1,390 64.53% 171 7.94% 797 37.00% 2,154
Carbon 10,086 35.75% 16,360 57.98% 1,770 6.27% 6,274 22.24% 28,216
Centre 35,487 46.45% 36,527 47.82% 4,378 5.73% 1,040 1.36% 76,392
Chester 127,552 47.10% 133,662 49.36% 9,588 3.54% 6,110 2.26% 270,802
Clarion 4,931 28.27% 11,310 64.83% 1,204 6.90% 6,379 36.57% 17,445
Clearfield 9,454 27.80% 22,128 65.06% 2,429 7.14% 12,674 37.26% 34,011
Clinton 5,511 36.34% 8,702 57.38% 952 6.28% 3,191 21.04% 15,165
Columbia 9,819 34.94% 16,292 57.97% 1,991 7.08% 6,473 23.03% 28,102
Crawford 11,047 29.65% 24,472 65.68% 1,740 4.67% 13,425 36.03% 37,259
Cumberland 44,796 36.74% 71,638 58.75% 5,509 4.52% 26,842 22.01% 121,943
Dauphin 62,551 48.61% 63,740 49.54% 2,383 1.85% 1,189 0.92% 128,674
Delaware 163,377 55.64% 126,300 43.01% 3,948 1.34% -37,077 -12.63% 293,625
Elk 4,509 31.48% 8,703 60.76% 1,111 7.76% 4,194 29.28% 14,323
Erie 56,846 46.32% 60,948 49.66% 4,930 4.02% 4,102 3.34% 122,724
Fayette 20,547 38.62% 29,699 55.82% 2,958 5.56% 9,152 17.20% 53,204
Forest 708 29.82% 1,502 63.27% 164 6.91% 794 33.45% 2,374
Franklin 17,827 25.54% 48,658 69.72% 3,309 4.74% 30,831 44.17% 69,794
Fulton 1,025 15.23% 5,456 81.06% 250 3.71% 4,431 65.83% 6,731
Greene 5,692 36.93% 8,826 57.26% 896 5.81% 3,134 20.33% 15,414
Huntingdon 5,105 26.06% 13,078 66.76% 1,406 7.18% 7,973 40.70% 19,589
Indiana 12,592 33.32% 22,245 58.86% 2,955 7.82% 9,653 25.54% 37,792
Jefferson 4,160 21.54% 13,706 70.95% 1,451 7.51% 9,546 49.42% 19,317
Juniata 2,153 20.66% 7,657 73.47% 612 5.87% 5,504 52.81% 10,422
Lackawanna 53,936 52.93% 40,519 39.76% 7,455 7.32% -13,417 -13.17% 101,910
Lancaster 89,922 37.07% 142,774 58.85% 9,909 4.08% 52,852 21.79% 242,605
Lawrence 15,289 37.96% 22,674 56.29% 2,317 5.75% 7,385 18.33% 40,280
Lebanon 19,079 31.01% 39,386 64.02% 3,060 4.97% 20,307 33.01% 61,525
Lehigh 77,232 48.25% 76,216 47.61% 6,627 4.14% -1,016 -0.63% 160,075
Luzerne 56,477 42.89% 66,551 50.54% 8,650 6.57% 10,074 7.65% 131,678
Lycoming 14,187 28.06% 33,015 65.29% 3,365 6.65% 18,828 37.23% 50,567
Mckean 3,987 24.73% 11,530 71.52% 605 3.75% 7,543 46.79% 16,122
Mercer 19,193 37.05% 30,567 59.00% 2,046 3.95% 11,374 21.95% 51,806
Mifflin 4,031 22.13% 13,089 71.87% 1,093 6.00% 9,058 49.73% 18,213
Monroe 34,280 51.32% 30,743 46.03% 1,768 2.65% -3,537 -5.30% 66,791
Montgomery 237,353 54.90% 189,574 43.85% 5,431 1.26% -47,779 -11.05% 432,358
Montour 2,898 33.89% 5,066 59.25% 586 6.85% 2,168 25.36% 8,550
Northampton 64,151 45.86% 72,172 51.59% 3,566 2.55% 8,021 5.73% 139,889
Northumberland 11,117 31.28% 21,826 61.42% 2,592 7.29% 10,709 30.14% 35,535
Perry 4,962 23.53% 14,898 70.64% 1,231 5.84% 9,936 47.11% 21,091
Philadelphia 560,421 81.79% 116,714 17.03% 8,030 1.17% -443,707 -64.76% 685,165
Pike 9,329 36.39% 15,192 59.27% 1,113 4.34% 5,863 22.87% 25,634
Potter 1,387 18.01% 5,990 77.79% 323 4.19% 4,603 59.78% 7,700
Schuylkill 19,539 31.45% 37,757 60.77% 4,832 7.78% 18,218 29.32% 62,128
Snyder 4,299 26.40% 10,867 66.74% 1,116 6.85% 6,568 40.34% 16,282
Somerset 8,340 23.34% 25,470 71.28% 1,923 5.38% 17,130 47.94% 35,733
Sullivan 867 28.03% 2,020 65.31% 206 6.66% 1,153 37.28% 3,093
Susquehanna 5,535 28.76% 11,996 62.33% 1,716 8.92% 6,461 33.57% 19,247
Tioga 3,992 21.97% 13,418 73.83% 764 4.20% 9,426 51.87% 18,174
Union 6,092 34.81% 10,568 60.39% 841 4.81% 4,476 25.58% 17,501
Venango 6,989 30.11% 14,581 62.83% 1,638 7.06% 7,592 32.71% 23,208
Warren 5,124 28.14% 12,130 66.60% 958 5.26% 7,006 38.47% 18,212
Washington 38,133 37.79% 56,952 56.44% 5,824 5.77% 18,819 18.65% 100,909
Wayne 7,487 31.42% 14,538 61.01% 1,803 7.57% 7,051 29.59% 23,828
Westmoreland 62,981 34.94% 107,532 59.65% 9,745 5.41% 44,551 24.72% 180,258
Wyoming 4,154 31.79% 7,844 60.03% 1,068 8.17% 3,690 28.24% 13,066
York 69,394 33.68% 126,350 61.33% 10,271 4.99% 56,956 27.65% 206,015
Pennsylvania 2,865,012 47.34% 2,951,702 48.77% 235,142 3.89% 86,690 1.43% 6,051,856

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[edit]

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

[edit]

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^ Stolberg, Sheryl Gay (November 9, 2016). "Patrick Toomey Wins Re-election in Pennsylvania Senate Race". The New York Times. The New York Times. Retrieved November 10, 2016.
  2. ^ "Pennsylvania Elections - Summary Results". Archived from the original on November 13, 2016. Retrieved November 14, 2016.
  3. ^ Cillizza, Chris; Blake, Aaron; Sullivan, Sean (November 7, 2014). "Why Republicans' Senate majority could be very short-lived". The Washington Post. Retrieved November 8, 2014.
  4. ^ "Democrats' target in 2016: Sen. Toomey". The Philadelphia Inquirer. November 5, 2014. Retrieved November 8, 2014.
  5. ^ Weigel, David (July 3, 2014). "The Seven Senate Races Democrats Should Be Optimistic About in 2016". Slate. Retrieved November 8, 2014.
  6. ^ "Kathleen McGinty - Ballotpedia". Retrieved December 9, 2016.
  7. ^ "10 Races to Watch in 2016: Pennsylvania Senate". Roll Call. December 22, 2014. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
  8. ^ Arkin, James (January 8, 2016). "Bolton Endorses 16 for Re-Election to Congress". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved January 10, 2016.
  9. ^ a b Jeffers, Gromer (October 4, 2016). "Ted Cruz, John Cornyn hosting Dallas fundraiser for U.S. Senate candidates". The Dallas Morning News. Retrieved October 7, 2016.
  10. ^ Giordano, Dom (October 19, 2016). "Iowa Senator Joni Ernst Voices Support For Pat Toomey's Re-Election". CBS Philly. Retrieved November 2, 2016.
  11. ^ Macdonald, Tom (September 23, 2016). "McCain endorses Toomey for second term in U.S. Senate (photos)". Newsworks. Archived from the original on September 27, 2016. Retrieved September 24, 2016.
  12. ^ "Gabby Giffords Backs Re-Election Bid Of Pat Toomey". Associated Press. August 22, 2016. Retrieved November 2, 2016.
  13. ^ Tamari, Jonathan (August 1, 2016). "Michael Bloomberg endorses Pat Toomey in Pennsylvania Senate race". philly.com. Retrieved August 20, 2016.
  14. ^ "Carly Fiorina on Twitter: "Proud to endorse @SenMikeLee in UT, @SenToomey in PA, & @RepStutzman in IN, for U.S. Senate!". Twitter. April 13, 2016. Retrieved July 9, 2016.
  15. ^ Gass, Nick (August 22, 2016). "Giffords' anti-gun violence PAC endorses Toomey, Kirk". politico.com. Retrieved August 23, 2016.
  16. ^ Sherfinski, David (November 12, 2014). "Club for Growth endorses six GOP senators for re-election in 2016". The Washington Times. Retrieved November 12, 2014.
  17. ^ O'Connor, Patrick (July 6, 2015). "U.S. Chamber of Commerce gets an early start with 2016 ads". The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved September 4, 2016.
  18. ^ "Toomey better fit for state". Altoona Mirror. October 31, 2016.
  19. ^ "OUR ENDORSEMENT: Pat Toomey for U.S. Senate". Bucks County Courier Times. October 28, 2016. Archived from the original on December 17, 2016. Retrieved October 29, 2016.
  20. ^ "OUR ENDORSEMENT: Pat Toomey for U.S. Senate". The Intelligencer. October 28, 2016. Archived from the original on October 24, 2017. Retrieved October 29, 2016.
  21. ^ "For U.S. Senate, Republican Pat Toomey deserves re-election: Editorial". The Patriot-News. October 28, 2016.
  22. ^ "Toomey for Senate: The Republican incumbent deserves another term". Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. November 4, 2016.
  23. ^ "Toomey deserves second term in U.S. Senate". The Tribune-Democrat. October 30, 2016.
  24. ^ "Vote for Toomey fits the needs of region, country". Williamsport Sun-Gazette. October 29, 2016.
  25. ^ "YDR endorses Pat Toomey for US Senate (editorial)". York Daily Record. October 28, 2016.
  26. ^ a b "April 26, 2016 Primary Election Official Returns". Pennsylvania Secretary of State. Archived from the original on July 6, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2016.
  27. ^ a b Tamari, Jonathan (December 11, 2014). "As Pa. pols gather, Democrats talk of taking on Toomey". The Philadelphia Inquirer. Retrieved December 12, 2014.
  28. ^ Raju, Manu; Cheney, Kyle (May 21, 2015). "Dems in disarray in must-win Pennsylvania Senate race". Politico. Retrieved May 24, 2015.
  29. ^ Cillizza, Chris (June 5, 2015). "The top 10 Senate races of 2016". The Washington Post. Retrieved June 8, 2015.
  30. ^ Kopp, John (April 26, 2016). "McGinty defeats Sestak to win Democratic nomination for U.S. Senate". Philly Voice. Retrieved April 27, 2016.
  31. ^ a b O'Toole, James; Smydo, Joe (September 14, 2015). "Braddock mayor launches campaign for Senate". Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. Retrieved September 14, 2015.
  32. ^ Camia, Catalina (May 14, 2013). "Sestak seeks 2016 Senate rematch vs. Toomey". USA Today. Retrieved August 22, 2014.
  33. ^ Olson, Laura (September 4, 2014). "Sestak gearing up for official bid against Toomey". The Morning Call. Archived from the original on November 8, 2014. Retrieved November 8, 2014.
  34. ^ "PA-Sen: Sestak Prepares for Battle". PoliticsPA. November 6, 2014. Retrieved November 8, 2014.
  35. ^ "U.S. Senate candidate Joseph Vodvarka ousted from April primary ballot". PennLive.com. March 31, 2016. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
  36. ^ "Joe Vodvarka back on ballot in US Senate race". York Daily Record. April 19, 2016. Retrieved April 26, 2016.
  37. ^ a b c Tamari, Jonathan (July 8, 2015). "Brady: I'd back McGinty "100 percent" over Sestak". The Philadelphia Inquirer. Retrieved July 8, 2015.
  38. ^ Roarty, Alex (January 18, 2015). "New Democratic Contender Emerges for Pennsylvania Senate Seat". National Journal. Archived from the original on January 19, 2015. Retrieved January 18, 2015.
  39. ^ a b Emily Cahn (December 4, 2014). "Pennsylvania Democrats Hesitate on Sestak Senate Bid". Roll Call. Archived from the original on January 19, 2015. Retrieved December 4, 2014.
  40. ^ a b c Roarty, Alex (February 19, 2015). "Meet The Democratic Senate Candidate Who Drives Democrats Crazy". National Journal. Retrieved February 19, 2015.
  41. ^ "Eugene DePasquale should consider running for US Senate". York Daily Record. July 10, 2015. Archived from the original on July 22, 2015. Retrieved July 19, 2015.
  42. ^ Jonathan Tamari (November 5, 2014). "Democrats' target in 2016: Sen. Toomey". The Philadelphia Inquirer. Retrieved November 12, 2014.
  43. ^ Cameron Joseph (December 17, 2014). "Unshakeable Sestak". The Hill. Retrieved December 18, 2014.
  44. ^ Nick Field (January 28, 2015). "Hughes for Senate?". PoliticsPA. Retrieved January 29, 2015.
  45. ^ Field, Nick (February 18, 2015). "PA-Sen: Hughes Says Senate Run Has "Been on My Mind"". PoliticsPA. Retrieved February 19, 2015.
  46. ^ a b "Senator Vincent Hughes Endorses McGinty for Senate | Katie McGinty: Democrat for Senate, Pennsylvania". Katie McGinty. April 19, 2016. Archived from the original on August 18, 2016. Retrieved July 9, 2016.
  47. ^ Brittany Foster (December 13, 2013). "Senate 2016: Kane "Is Pretty Serious About This"". PoliticsPA. Retrieved December 13, 2013.
  48. ^ Angela Couloumbis (December 12, 2014). "Kane vows to fight for her office". Philly.com. Retrieved December 16, 2014.
  49. ^ John L. Micek (December 13, 2014). "Kathleen Kane, facing grand jury investigation, announces 2016 re-election bid". The Patriot-News. Retrieved December 16, 2014.
  50. ^ Nick Field (November 16, 2014). "McCord Rules Out 2016 Senate Run". PoliticsPA. Retrieved November 18, 2014.
  51. ^ Southwick, Ron (April 13, 2015). "The Pennsylvania U.S. Senate race will have a national audience". Reading Eagle. Retrieved May 24, 2015.
  52. ^ Nick Field (September 13, 2013). "Nutter for Senate?". PoliticsPA. Retrieved November 12, 2014.
  53. ^ a b c d Vargas, Claudia (December 8, 2015). "Local elected officials endorse Katie McGinty for U.S. Senate". The Philadelphia Inquirer. Retrieved December 8, 2015.
  54. ^ Mathis, Joel (January 21, 2015). "Could Ed Rendell Take Pat Toomey's Senate Seat?". Philadelphia. Retrieved June 5, 2015.
  55. ^ Loeb, Pat (January 29, 2015). "Too Soon? Pennsylvanians Being Polled On 2016 Senate Race". KYW-TV. Retrieved June 5, 2015.
  56. ^ Clarkdclark, Dan. "Montgomery County Democratic Committee endorses Shapiro, Arkoosh to run for commissioner - Colonial News". Montgomery News. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
  57. ^ "Meet the Senate Democratic Candidate Who's Running Against His Own Party". Nationaljournal.com. March 4, 2015. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
  58. ^ Field, Nick (May 24, 2015). "PA-Sen: Shapiro Officially Passes on 2016 Race". PoliticsPA. Retrieved May 24, 2015.
  59. ^ Cheney, Kyle (December 29, 2014). "16 in '16: The new battle for the Senate". Politico. Retrieved December 29, 2014.
  60. ^ Field, Nick (January 29, 2015). "Torsella Raises $1 Million for Treasurer Bid". PoliticsPA. Retrieved April 17, 2015.
  61. ^ Olson, Laura (February 29, 2016). "Martin O'Malley endorses John Fetterman for US Senate". The Morning Call. Archived from the original on March 2, 2016. Retrieved March 2, 2016.
  62. ^ Field, Nick (September 24, 2015). "PA-Sen: Barbara Hafer Endorses Fetterman". PoliticsPA. Retrieved September 24, 2015.
  63. ^ "Sister Giant: John Fetterman". YouTube. Sister Giant. April 1, 2016. Retrieved April 26, 2023.
  64. ^ Potter, Chris (September 29, 2015). "Advocates for legalized marijuana to host Fetterman fundraiser; Gov. Wolf endorses McGinty". Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. Retrieved September 29, 2015.
  65. ^ a b Orso, Anna (April 21, 2016). "Who's supporting who? The Pa. endorsements you need to know about before Tuesday". Billy Penn. Retrieved July 9, 2016.
  66. ^ a b "PA-Sen: Obama and Biden Endorse McGinty". PoliticsPA. June 20, 2014. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
  67. ^ McCabe, Caitlin (October 22, 2016). "A confident Clinton at Penn pushes McGinty's senate candidacy". Philadelphia Media Network. Retrieved October 23, 2016.
  68. ^ "NV, NH, NC & PA-Sen: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D. CA) helps these women take back the U.S. Senate". Daily Kos. October 29, 2016. Retrieved November 2, 2016.
  69. ^ "PA & IA-Sen: Sen. Sherrod Brown (D.OH) helps McGinty (D) and Judge (D) take back the Senate". Daily Kos. August 11, 2016. Retrieved September 8, 2016.
  70. ^ "Senator Bob Casey Endorses McGinty | Katie McGinty: Democrat for Senate, Pennsylvania". Katie McGinty. March 18, 2016. Archived from the original on March 26, 2016. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
  71. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k "PA-Sen: Q1: Digging into Sestak, McGinty Financial Reports". PoliticsPA. April 20, 2016. Retrieved July 9, 2016.
  72. ^ "PA-Sen: Sen. Al Franken (D. MN) Goes All In For Katie McGinty (D)". Dailykos.com. February 16, 2016. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
  73. ^ "Kirsten Gillibrand on Twitter: "Proud to support @TammyforIL @DonnaFEdwards @KamalaHarris @Maggie_Hassan @Ann_Kirkpatrick @CatherineForNV & @KatieMcGintyPA for Senate."". Twitter.com. December 31, 2015. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
  74. ^ Drusch, Andrea (December 22, 2015). "Patty Murray Endorses Katie McGinty". National Journal. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
  75. ^ Olson, Laura (December 22, 2015). "Holiday fundraising help for Katie McGinty". The Morning Call. Archived from the original on April 4, 2016. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
  76. ^ "PA-Sen: Sen. Brian Schatz (D. HI) Endorses Katie McGinty (D) For U.S. Senate". Dailykos.com. December 29, 2015. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
  77. ^ O'Keefe, Ed (October 17, 2016). "Schumer is focusing on the big prize: Senate majority leader". The Washington Post. Retrieved October 18, 2016.
  78. ^ "Katie McGinty talks strategies to aid female workers – The Morning Call". Mcall.com. March 8, 2016. Archived from the original on April 11, 2016. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
  79. ^ Murray, Clem (August 31, 2016). "Elizabeth Warren to campaign for Pa. Senate candidate Katie McGinty". The Hill. Retrieved September 8, 2016.
  80. ^ a b Martin, Christina (August 17, 2015). "PA-Sen: McGinty Campaign Continues to Pick Up Steam with New Endorsements". PoliticsPA. Retrieved August 17, 2015.
  81. ^ Field, Nick (August 10, 2015). "PA-Sen: Rendell to Chair McGinty Campaign". PoliticsPA. Retrieved August 17, 2015.
  82. ^ Tamari, Jonathan (September 28, 2015). "Wolf backs McGinty in Senate race". Philly.com. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
  83. ^ a b c d "McGinty Endorsed by Erie Elected Officials and Local Leaders | Katie McGinty: Democrat for Senate, Pennsylvania". Katie McGinty. January 29, 2016. Archived from the original on February 3, 2016. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
  84. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n Addy, Jason (September 8, 2015). "PA-Sen: McGinty Picks Up Huge Support from Pittsburgh". PoliticsPA. Retrieved September 29, 2015.
  85. ^ a b c d e "PA-Sen: McGinty Unveils Mayoral Endorsements". PoliticsPA. September 30, 2015. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
  86. ^ Goldman, Laura (April 19, 2016). "Emily's List Founder Swipes at Trump, Boosts McGinty During Book Tour". The Huffington Post. Archived from the original on May 30, 2016. Retrieved July 9, 2016.
  87. ^ "EMILY's List Endorses Katie McGinty for U.S. Senate | EMILY's List". Emilyslist.org. August 6, 2015. Archived from the original on March 9, 2016. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
  88. ^ "Pennsylvania AFL-CIO Endorses McGinty | Katie McGinty: Democrat for Senate, Pennsylvania". Katie McGinty. April 6, 2016. Archived from the original on August 12, 2016. Retrieved July 9, 2016.
  89. ^ "AFSCME Council 13 Endorses McGinty | Katie McGinty: Democrat for Senate, Pennsylvania". Katie McGinty. February 4, 2016. Archived from the original on March 21, 2016. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
  90. ^ "PA-Sen: ATU Endorses McGinty". PoliticsPA. December 4, 2015. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
  91. ^ "PA-Sen: McGinty Endorsed by AFT". PoliticsPA. January 8, 2016. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
  92. ^ a b "Endorsements | Katie McGinty: Democrat for Senate, Pennsylvania". Katie McGinty. Archived from the original on April 6, 2016. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
  93. ^ "PA-Sen: IBEW Endorses McGinty". PoliticsPA. November 23, 2015. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
  94. ^ "PA-Sen: McGinty Gains Support of Engineers Union". PoliticsPA. October 30, 2015. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
  95. ^ Tamari, Jonathan (October 14, 2015). "Nurses union drops Sestak, backs McGinty". Philly.com. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
  96. ^ Field, Nick (February 17, 2016). "PA-Sen: PSEA Endorses McGinty". PoliticsPA. Retrieved February 17, 2016.
  97. ^ "PA-Sen: McGinty Wins Endorsement From SEIU". PoliticsPA. February 1, 2016. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
  98. ^ "PA-Sen: McGinty Wins UFCW Endorsement". PoliticsPA. November 5, 2015. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
  99. ^ Addy, Jason (August 5, 2015). "PA-Sen: McGinty Wins USW Endorsement". PoliticsPA. Retrieved August 17, 2015.
  100. ^ "Endorses Katie McGinty in Pennsylvania Senate Race | DSCC: Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee". DSCC. March 23, 2016. Archived from the original on March 29, 2016. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
  101. ^ Addy, Jason (August 6, 2015). "PA-Sen: EMILY's List Endorses McGinty". PoliticsPA. Retrieved August 17, 2015.
  102. ^ "Equality PA Endorses Shapiro for Attorney General, McGinty for Senate | Equality Pennsylvania". Equalitypa.org. Archived from the original on April 14, 2016. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
  103. ^ "McGinty Endorsed by League of Conservation Voters Action Fund | Katie McGinty: Democrat for Senate, Pennsylvania". Katie McGinty. January 28, 2016. Archived from the original on February 3, 2016. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
  104. ^ "McGinty endorsed by National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare". katiemcginty.com. April 19, 2016. Archived from the original on October 7, 2016. Retrieved October 7, 2016.
  105. ^ "Planned Parenthood Action Fund endorses Katie McGinty for U.S. Senate in Pennsylvania". Planned Parenthood Action Fund. May 13, 2016. Retrieved September 4, 2016.
  106. ^ "DN Editorial: McGinty for Senate; Zappala for AG; Evans for Congress – philly-archives". Philly.com. April 21, 2016. Retrieved July 9, 2016.
  107. ^ Olson, Laura (August 17, 2015). "U.S. Rep. Matt Cartwright to host fundraiser for U.S. Senate candidate Joe Sestak next month". The Morning Call. Archived from the original on August 22, 2015. Retrieved August 18, 2015.
  108. ^ Smith, Abby (April 16, 2015). "PA-Sen: Sestak Earns Support of Trivedi". PoliticsPA. Retrieved April 17, 2015.
  109. ^ "Council for a Livable World Announces Early Endorsement of Joe Sestak". Archived from the original on February 9, 2014. Retrieved December 14, 2013.
  110. ^ "VoteVets PAC Endorses Sestak for Senate". VoteVets.org. March 4, 2015. Archived from the original on April 17, 2015. Retrieved April 17, 2015.
  111. ^ "Inquirer editorial: Sestak is the better choice for Democrats". Retrieved April 14, 2015.
  112. ^ "Joe Sestak for the Dems: He'd be the toughest challenger to Pat Toomey". Retrieved April 14, 2015.
  113. ^ "Democratic Candidates for U.S. Senate from Pennsylvania - Debate". YouTube. Retrieved July 9, 2016.
  114. ^ "Keystone Progress PA Senate Debate in Harrisburg, February 19th 2016". YouTube. Retrieved July 9, 2016.
  115. ^ FOX 29/Opinion Savvy
  116. ^ Harper Polling Archived April 27, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  117. ^ Monmouth University Archived April 21, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  118. ^ Franklin & Marshall College
  119. ^ Harper Polling Archived April 7, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  120. ^ Franklin & Marshall College
  121. ^ Harper Polling Archived March 25, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  122. ^ Harper Polling Archived January 30, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  123. ^ a b c d Public Policy Polling
  124. ^ a b c Franklin & Marshall College
  125. ^ a b Robert Morris University Archived June 11, 2015, at the Wayback Machine
  126. ^ Harper Polling Archived May 27, 2015, at the Wayback Machine
  127. ^ Harper Polling Archived January 16, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
  128. ^ "2016 Senate Candidate Edward Clifford III". www.lppa.org. Libertarian Party of Pennsylvania. Retrieved November 6, 2016.
  129. ^ Full debate - C-SPAN
  130. ^ Full debate - C-SPAN
  131. ^ "2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 26, 2021.
  132. ^ "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
  133. ^ "2016 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 3, 2016.
  134. ^ "Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version". Daily Kos. Retrieved March 27, 2021.
  135. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 28, 2016.
  136. ^ SurveyMonkey
  137. ^ SurveyMonkey
  138. ^ CBS News/YouGov
  139. ^ Clarity Campaign Labs
  140. ^ Muhlenberg College/Morning Call
  141. ^ Harper Polling Archived November 5, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  142. ^ SurveyMonkey
  143. ^ Breitbart/Gravis Marketing
  144. ^ Susquehanna Polling & Research
  145. ^ SurveyMonkey
  146. ^ Public Policy Polling
  147. ^ Monmouth University
  148. ^ CNN/ORC
  149. ^ Quinnipiac University Archived November 4, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  150. ^ SurveyMonkey
  151. ^ SurveyMonkey
  152. ^ Franklin & Marshall College
  153. ^ Breitbart/Gravis Marketing
  154. ^ CBS News/YouGov
  155. ^ Emerson College
  156. ^ Muhlenberg College/Morning Call Archived October 29, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  157. ^ New York Times Upshot/Siena College Archived October 31, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  158. ^ Emerson College
  159. ^ Quinnipiac University Archived October 19, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  160. ^ Washington Post/SurveyMonkey Archived September 14, 2017, at the Wayback Machine
  161. ^ Bloomberg/Selzer
  162. ^ The Times-Picayune/Lucid
  163. ^ Susquehanna Polling & Research
  164. ^ CBS News/YouGov
  165. ^ NBC/WSJ/Marist
  166. ^ Monmouth University
  167. ^ Franklin & Marshall College
  168. ^ Quinnipiac University Archived October 6, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  169. ^ Public Policy Polling
  170. ^ CNN/ORC
  171. ^ Breitbart/Gravis Marketing
  172. ^ Harper Polling Archived October 1, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  173. ^ Muhlenberg College/Morning Call
  174. ^ Mercyhurst University Archived September 30, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  175. ^ Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps Archived September 23, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  176. ^ Muhlenberg College/Morning Call
  177. ^ Quinnipiac University Archived September 15, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  178. ^ CBS News/YouGov
  179. ^ Public Policy Polling Archived September 9, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  180. ^ Public Policy Polling
  181. ^ Monmouth University
  182. ^ Franklin & Marshall College
  183. ^ Emerson College
  184. ^ GBA Strategies
  185. ^ Quinnipiac University Archived August 18, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  186. ^ NBC/WSJ/Marist
  187. ^ Susquehanna Polling & Research
  188. ^ Franklin & Marshall College
  189. ^ Public Policy Polling
  190. ^ Suffolk University Archived August 3, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  191. ^ Quinnipiac University Archived August 15, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  192. ^ NBC/WSJ/Marist
  193. ^ Public Policy Polling
  194. ^ Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps Archived July 5, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  195. ^ Quinnipiac University
  196. ^ Public Policy Polling
  197. ^ Public Policy Polling
  198. ^ Quinnipiac University Archived June 3, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  199. ^ a b Quinnipiac University Archived April 18, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  200. ^ a b c d Mercyhurst University
  201. ^ a b c Harper Polling Archived March 12, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
  202. ^ a b c Robert Morris University
  203. ^ Quinnipiac University Archived October 12, 2015, at the Wayback Machine
  204. ^ a b Harper Polling Archived October 25, 2015, at the Wayback Machine
  205. ^ a b Quinnipiac University Archived August 28, 2015, at the Wayback Machine
  206. ^ a b c d Public Policy Polling
  207. ^ Quinnipiac University Archived October 12, 2015, at the Wayback Machine
  208. ^ a b Quinnipiac University Archived June 27, 2015, at the Wayback Machine
  209. ^ a b Franklin & Marshall College
  210. ^ a b c d e f Public Policy Polling
  211. ^ a b c Harper Polling Archived May 27, 2015, at the Wayback Machine
  212. ^ Quinnipiac University Archived April 6, 2015, at the Wayback Machine
  213. ^ Franklin & Marshall College
  214. ^ Quinnipiac University Archived February 11, 2015, at the Wayback Machine
  215. ^ a b c d e f Public Policy Polling
  216. ^ a b Harper Polling Archived January 4, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
  217. ^ a b Public Policy Polling
  218. ^ Quinnipiac University Archived October 23, 2013, at the Wayback Machine
  219. ^ "Pennsylvania Elections - Office Results".
  220. ^ "Pennsylvania Elections - County Breakdown Results". Pennsylvania Department of State Election Results. Archived from the original on May 10, 2020. Retrieved May 10, 2020.
[edit]

Official campaign websites