2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida
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All 27 Florida seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Florida |
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Government |
The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2018, to elect the 27 U.S. representatives from the state of Florida, one from each of the state's 27 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other offices, including a gubernatorial election, other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The party primaries were held on August 28, 2018.[1]
The state congressional delegation changed from a 16–11 Republican majority to a slim 14–13 Republican majority, one short from a Democratic flip. These were seen as the most seats Democrats had attained in Florida since 1982. As noted in the vote table below, Florida does not count votes in uncontested races, so the votes in the four uncontested seats held by Democratic members of the House are not counted in the totals or percentages on this page, and each under counts the votes for Democrats in Florida.
Results summary[edit]
Statewide[edit]
Party | Candi- dates | Votes | Seats | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No. | % | No. | +/– | % | |||
Republican | 22 | 3,675,417 | 52.35% | 14 | 2 | 51.85% | |
Democratic | 27 | 3,307,228 | 47.10% | 13 | 2 | 48.15% | |
Independent | 6 | 38,550 | 0.55% | 0 | 0.00% | ||
Write-in | 8 | 281 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | ||
Total | 63 | 7,021,476 | 100.00% | 27 | 100.00% |
District[edit]
Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida by district:[2]
District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 216,189 | 67.06% | 106,199 | 32.94% | 0 | 0.00% | 322,388 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 2 | 199,335 | 67.44% | 96,233 | 32.56% | 0 | 0.00% | 295,568 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 3 | 176,616 | 57.62% | 129,880 | 42.38% | 0 | 0.00% | 306,496 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 4 | 248,420 | 65.16% | 123,351 | 32.35% | 9,478 | 2.49% | 381,249 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 5 | 89,799 | 33.22% | 180,527 | 66.78% | 0 | 0.00 | 270,326 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 6 | 187,891 | 56.31% | 145,758 | 43.69% | 0 | 0.00% | 333,649 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 7 | 134,285 | 42.31% | 183,113 | 57.69% | 0 | 0.00% | 317,398 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 8 | 218,112 | 60.50% | 142,415 | 39.50% | 0 | 0.00% | 360,527 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 9 | 124,565 | 41.98% | 172,172 | 58.02% | 0 | 0.00% | 296,737 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 10 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | Democratic hold |
District 11 | 239,395 | 65.14% | 128,053 | 34.84% | 58 | 0.02% | 367,506 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 12 | 194,564 | 58.09% | 132,844 | 39.66% | 7,510 | 2.24% | 334,918 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 13 | 134,254 | 42.36% | 182,717 | 57.64% | 0 | 0.00% | 316,971 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 14 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | Democratic hold |
District 15 | 151,380 | 53.02% | 134,132 | 46.98% | 20 | 0.01% | 285,532 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 16 | 197,483 | 54.56% | 164,463 | 45.44% | 0 | 0.00% | 361,946 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 17 | 193,326 | 62.26% | 117,194 | 37.74% | 0 | 0.00% | 310,520 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 18 | 185,905 | 54.30% | 156,454 | 45.70% | 0 | 0.00% | 342,359 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 19 | 211,465 | 62.27% | 128,106 | 37.72% | 36 | 0.01% | 339,607 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 20 | 0 | 0.00% | 202,659 | 99.92% | 165 | 0.08% | 202,824 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 21 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | Democratic hold |
District 22 | 113,049 | 37.98% | 184,634 | 62.02% | 0 | 0.00% | 297,683 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 23 | 99,446 | 35.98% | 161,611 | 58.48% | 15,309 | 5.54% | 276,366 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 24 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | Democratic hold |
District 25 | 128,672 | 60.45% | 84,173 | 39.55% | 0 | 0.00% | 212,845 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 26 | 115,678 | 49.13% | 119,797 | 50.87% | 0 | 0.00% | 235,475 | 100.00% | Democratic gain |
District 27 | 115,588 | 45.76% | 130,743 | 51.76% | 6,255 | 2.48% | 252,586 | 100.00% | Democratic gain |
Total | 3,675,417 | 52.35% | 3,307,228 | 47.10% | 38,831 | 0.55% | 7,021,476 | 100.00% |
District 1[edit]
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The 1st district stretches along the Emerald Coast and is located in the western Panhandle anchored by Pensacola, it also includes Fort Walton Beach, Navarre, and Wright. Incumbent Republican Matt Gaetz, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 69% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+22.
Republican primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Matt Gaetz, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Cris Dosev, businessman and candidate for this district in 2016
- John Mills, retired U.S. Navy pilot
Endorsements[edit]
- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Statewide officials
- Mike Huckabee, former Governor of Arkansas (1996–2007) and candidate for President of the United States in 2008 and 2016[4]
- Organizations
- Humane Society Legislative Fund[5]
- NRA Political Victory Fund[6]
Primary results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Matt Gaetz (incumbent) | 65,203 | 64.8 | |
Republican | Cris Dosev | 30,433 | 30.2 | |
Republican | John Mills | 4,992 | 5.0 | |
Total votes | 100,628 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Jennifer M. Zimmerman, pediatrician
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Phil Ehr, U.S. Navy commander
Primary results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jennifer M. Zimmerman | 22,422 | 60.5 | |
Democratic | Phil Ehr | 14,650 | 39.5 | |
Total votes | 37,072 | 100.0 |
General election[edit]
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Matt Gaetz (incumbent) | 216,189 | 67.1 | |
Democratic | Jennifer M. Zimmerman | 106,199 | 32.9 | |
Total votes | 322,388 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 2[edit]
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The 2nd district is located in the Big Bend region and is anchored by Panama City, and includes the suburbs of Tallahassee. Incumbent Republican Neal Dunn, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 67% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+18.
Republican primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Neal Dunn, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Bob Rackleff, former Leon County Commissioner[9]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Brandon Peters, lawyer
Polling[edit]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Brandon Peters | Bob Rackleff | Undecided |
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Bold Blue Campaigns (D-Peters) | August 21–23, 2018 | 407 | – | 47% | 36% | 17% |
Primary results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Bob Rackleff | 29,395 | 50.8 | |
Democratic | Brandon Peters | 28,483 | 49.2 | |
Total votes | 57,878 | 100.0 |
General election[edit]
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Neal Dunn (incumbent) | 199,335 | 67.4 | |
Democratic | Bob Rackleff | 96,233 | 32.6 | |
Total votes | 295,568 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 3[edit]
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County results Yoho: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Hinson: 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district is located in North Central Florida and includes the cities of Gainesville, Palatka, and Ocala. Incumbent Republican Ted Yoho, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was elected to a third term with 57% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+9.
Republican primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Ted Yoho, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Judson Sapp, businessman[10]
Endorsements[edit]
- State legislators
- Local officials
- Rick Beseler, former Clay County sheriff[11]
- Van Royal, Green Cove Springs city council member[11]
Primary results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ted Yoho (incumbent) | 54,848 | 76.3 | |
Republican | Judson Sapp | 17,068 | 23.7 | |
Total votes | 71,916 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Yvonne Hayes Hinson, former Gainesville City Commissioner
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Dushyant Gosai, educator
- Tom Wells, businessman
Primary results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Yvonne Hayes Hinson | 31,655 | 59.5 | |
Democratic | Tom Wells | 17,663 | 33.2 | |
Democratic | Dushyant Gosai | 3,883 | 7.3 | |
Total votes | 53,201 | 100.0 |
General election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
- Labor unions
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ted Yoho (incumbent) | 176,616 | 57.6 | |
Democratic | Yvonne Hayes Hinson | 129,880 | 42.4 | |
Total votes | 306,496 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 4[edit]
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County results Rutherford: 60–70% 70–80% | ||||||||||||||||
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The 4th district is located in the First Coast region and is made up of the Jacksonville metropolitan area including Jacksonville Beach and St. Augustine. Incumbent Republican John Rutherford, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 70% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+17.
Republican primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- John Rutherford, incumbent U.S. Representative
Withdrawn[edit]
- Rob Ficker[13]
Democratic primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Ges Selmont, attorney
General election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
- Labor unions
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John Rutherford (incumbent) | 248,420 | 65.2 | |
Democratic | Ges Selmont | 123,351 | 32.4 | |
Independent | Joceline Berrios | 7,155 | 1.9 | |
Independent | Jason Bulger | 2,321 | 0.6 | |
Write-in | 2 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 381,249 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 5[edit]
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County results Lawson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Fuller 50–60% 60–70% 80–90% | ||||||||||||||||
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The 5th district stretches along the northern border of Florida from the state capital, Tallahassee, to Jacksonville. Incumbent Democrat Al Lawson, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 64% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+12.
Democratic primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Alvin Brown, former mayor of Jacksonville
Polling[edit]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Alvin Brown | Al Lawson | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of North Florida | August 17–19, 2018 | 402 | – | 29% | 48% | 23% |
St. Pete Polls | August 11–12, 2018 | 445 | ± 4.6% | 27% | 50% | 23% |
Primary results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Al Lawson (incumbent) | 53,990 | 60.3 | |
Democratic | Alvin Brown | 35,584 | 39.7 | |
Total votes | 89,574 | 100.0 |
Republican primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Virginia Fuller, nurse and perennial candidate
General election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Al Lawson (incumbent) | 180,527 | 66.8 | |
Republican | Virginia Fuller | 89,799 | 33.2 | |
Total votes | 270,326 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 6[edit]
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County results Waltz: 50–60% 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||
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The 6th district is located in the Surf Coast region and includes the cities of Daytona Beach, Deltona, and Palm Coast. Incumbent Republican Ron DeSantis, who had represented the district since 2013, was re-elected to a third term with 59% of the vote in 2016. He did not run for re-election in 2018, rather opting to run for Governor of Florida.[16] The district had a PVI of R+7.
Republican primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Michael Waltz, former Green Beret[17]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Fred Costello, former state representative[18]
- John Ward, businessman[19]
Withdrawn[edit]
- Jimmy Johns, St. Johns County commissioner[20][21]
Endorsements[edit]
- Statewide officials
- State legislators
- Richard Corcoran, speaker of the house of representatives[23]
- José R. Oliva, state representative[23]
- Organizations
- U.S. Representatives
- John Rutherford, U.S. Representative for Florida's 4th congressional district[25]
- Local officials
- Craig Capri, Daytona Beach police chief[26]
- Lenny Curry, Jacksonville mayor[27]
- Deborah Denys, Volusia County commission vice chair[28]
- David Shoar, St. Johns County sheriff[29]
- Mike Williams, Jacksonville sheriff[26]
Polling[edit]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Fred Costello | Michael Waltz | John Ward | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pete Polls | August 10, 2018 | 528 | ± 4.3% | 16% | 40% | 21% | 23% |
St. Pete Polls | July 18, 2018 | 477 | ± 4.5% | 21% | 20% | 21% | 38% |
Primary results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Michael Waltz | 32,916 | 42.4 | |
Republican | John Ward | 23,593 | 30.4 | |
Republican | Fred Costello | 21,074 | 27.2 | |
Total votes | 77,583 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary[edit]
Florida's 6th district is one of the 20 Republican held seats included in the second round of seats targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[30]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Nancy Soderberg, former representative at the United Nations and former deputy national security advisor[31]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
Withdrawn[edit]
- Robert Coffman, commercial pilot[34]
Endorsements[edit]
- Labor unions
- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States (2009–2017)[36]
- U.S. Representatives
- Charlie Crist, U.S. Representative from Florida's 13th congressional district[37]
- Val Demings, U.S. Representative from Florida's 10th congressional district[37]
- Ted Deutch, U.S. Representative from Florida's 22nd congressional district[37]
- Lois Frankel, U.S. Representative from Florida's 21st congressional district[37]
- Darren Soto, U.S. Representative from Florida's 9th congressional district[37]
- Labor unions
- Organizations
- Indivisible United Florida 6th district[39]
Polling[edit]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Stephen Sevigny | Nancy Soderberg | John Upchurch | Undecided |
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St. Pete Polls | August 17, 2018 | 407 | ± 4.9% | 19% | 50% | 12% | 20% |
St. Pete Polls | July 18, 2018 | 420 | ± 4.8% | 10% | 30% | 13% | 46% |
Debate[edit]
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | |||||||
Stephen Sevigny | Nancy Soderberg | John Upchurch | |||||
1 | Aug. 2, 2018 | The Daytona Beach News-Journal | YouTube | P | P | P |
Primary results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Nancy Soderberg | 32,174 | 55.6 | |
Democratic | John Upchurch | 13,088 | 22.6 | |
Democratic | Stephen Sevigny | 12,633 | 21.8 | |
Total votes | 57,895 | 100.0 |
General election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- U.S. Representatives
- John Rutherford, U.S. Representative for Florida's 4th congressional district
- Organizations
- Local officials
- Craig Capri, Daytona Beach police chief[26]
- Lenny Curry, Mayor of Jacksonville
- Deborah Denys, Volusia County commission vice chair
- David Shoar, St. Johns County sheriff
- Mike Williams, Jacksonville sheriff[26]
- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States (2009–2017)
- U.S. Representatives
- Charlie Crist, U.S. Representative from Florida's 13th congressional district[37]
- Val Demings, U.S. Representative from Florida's 10th congressional district[37]
- Ted Deutch, U.S. Representative from Florida's 22nd congressional district[37]
- Lois Frankel, U.S. Representative from Florida's 21st congressional district[37]
- Darren Soto, U.S. Representative from Florida's 9th congressional district[37]
- Labor unions
- American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[12]
- Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program[42]
- EMILY's List[43]
- End Citizens United[15]
- Indivisible United Florida 6th district
- MoveOn[44]
Polling[edit]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Michael Waltz (R) | Nancy Soderberg (D) | Undecided |
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GQR Research (D) | October 1–4, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 45% | 45% | 9% |
St. Pete Polls | September 19, 2018 | 730 | ± 3.6% | 47% | 43% | 10% |
GQR Research (D) | September 4–6, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 46% | – |
Debate[edit]
A debate was scheduled for September 25, but it was cancelled.[45][46]
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Michael Waltz | Nancy Soderberg | |||||
1 | Oct. 2, 2018 | WESH | Greg Fox | YouTube | P | P |
Predictions[edit]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[47] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[48] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[49] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[50] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[51] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
538[52] | Lean R | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[53] | Likely R | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[54] | Lean R | November 4, 2018 |
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Michael Waltz | 187,891 | 56.3 | |
Democratic | Nancy Soderberg | 145,758 | 43.7 | |
Total votes | 333,649 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 7[edit]
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County results Murphy: 50–60% 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||
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The 7th district is centered around downtown Orlando and the northern Orlando suburbs such as Sanford and Winter Park. Incumbent Democrat Stephanie Murphy, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. She was elected with 51% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of Even.
Democratic primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Stephanie Murphy, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Chardo Richardson, former president of the ACLU
Endorsements[edit]
- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States 2009–2017; U.S. Senator from Delaware 1973–2009; candidate for President in 1988 and in 2008[55]
- Labor unions
- Organizations
- Organizations
- Individuals
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, educator, community organizer, political activist and nominee for NY-14 in 2018[60]
Primary results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Stephanie Murphy (incumbent) | 49,060 | 86.2 | |
Democratic | Chardo Richardson | 7,846 | 13.2 | |
Total votes | 56,906 | 100.0 |
Republican primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Mike Miller, state representative[61]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Vennia Francois, policy advisor[62]
- Scott Sturgill, former Seminole County Soil & Water Conservation District Supervisor and state house candidate in 2014[63]
Declined[edit]
- Bob Cortes, state representative[64]
- Joel Greenberg, Seminole County Tax Collector[65]
- David Simmons, state senator[66]
Endorsements[edit]
- U.S. Senators
- Marco Rubio, U.S. Senator (FL)[67]
- State legislators
- Jason Brodeur, state representative[68]
- Joe Gruters, state representative[69]
- Rene Plasencia, state representative[68]
- Local officials
- Bob Dallari, Seminole County commissioner[68]
- Carlton Henley, Seminole County commissioner[68]
- John Horan, Seminole County commission chairman[70]
- U.S Representatives
- Sandy Adams, former U.S. Representative from Florida's 24th congressional district[71]
- John Boehner, former Speaker of the United States House of Representatives (2011–2015), former U.S Representatives from Ohio's 8th congressional district (1991–2015)[72]
- Statewide officials
- Local officials
- All five members of the Longwood city commission[74]
- Kevin Beary, former Orange County Sheriff[75]
- Dennis Lemma, Seminole County Sheriff[75]
Polling[edit]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Vennia Francois | Mike Miller | Scott Sturgill | Undecided |
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St. Pete Polls | August 20, 2018 | 321 | ± 5.5% | 8% | 42% | 26% | 24% |
Primary results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mike Miller | 30,629 | 53.9 | |
Republican | Scott Sturgill | 17,253 | 30.4 | |
Republican | Vennia Francois | 8,950 | 15.8 | |
Total votes | 56,832 | 100.0 |
General election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States 2009–2017; U.S. Senator from Delaware 1973–2009; candidate for President in 1988 and in 2008[55]
- Labor unions
- AFL–CIO[56]
- Central Florida AFL–CIO[56]
- Florida Education Association[56]
- International Brotherhood of Boilermakers[12]
- Organizations
- Blue Dog Coalition[76]
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Frontline" Program[77]
- EMILY's List[43]
- End Citizens United[15]
- League of Conservation Voters Action Fund
- NARAL Pro-Choice America
- Individuals
- Mark Kelly, retired astronaut, engineer, and U.S. Navy Captain[55]
- U.S. Senators
- Marco Rubio, U.S. Senator (FL)
- State legislators
- Jason Brodeur, state representative[68]
- Joe Gruters, state representative
- Rene Plasencia, state representative[68]
- Organizations
- National Republican Congressional Committee "Young Guns" Program[78]
- Local officials
- Bob Dallari, Seminole County commissioner[68]
- Carlton Henley, Seminole County commissioner[68]
- John Horan, Seminole County commission chair
Polling[edit]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Stephanie Murphy (D) | Mike Miller (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pete Polls | August 30, 2018 | 435 | ± 4.7% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
Predictions[edit]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[47] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[48] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[49] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[50] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[51] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
538[52] | Likely D | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[53] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[54] | Likely D | November 2, 2018 |
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Stephanie Murphy (incumbent) | 183,113 | 57.7 | |
Republican | Mike Miller | 134,285 | 42.3 | |
Total votes | 317,398 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 8[edit]
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County results Posey: 50–60% 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||
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The 8th district includes the Space Coast region and the cities of Melbourne, Palm Bay, and Vero Beach. Incumbent Republican Bill Posey, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 15th district from 2009 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a fifth term with 63% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+11.
Republican primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Bill Posey, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Sanjay Patel, management consultant
General election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
- Labor unions
- Organizations
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Bill Posey (incumbent) | 218,112 | 60.5 | |
Democratic | Sanjay Patel | 142,415 | 39.5 | |
Total votes | 360,527 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 9[edit]
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County results Soto: 60–70% Liebnitzky: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||
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The 9th district is located in inland Central Florida including Kissimmee, St. Cloud, and Winter Haven. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 57% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+5.
Democratic primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Darren Soto, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Alan Grayson, former U.S. Representative[80]
Endorsements[edit]
- Organizations
Polling[edit]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Alan Grayson | Darren Soto | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | August 2–6, 2018 | 512 | ± 5.4% | 38% | 45% | 17% |
Primary results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Darren Soto (incumbent) | 36,586 | 66.4 | |
Democratic | Alan Grayson | 18,528 | 33.6 | |
Total votes | 55,114 | 100.0 |
Republican primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Wayne Liebnitzky, engineer and nominee for this seat in 2016
General election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
- Labor unions
- Organizations
Polling[edit]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Darren Soto (D) | Wayne Liebnitzky (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | October 2–7, 2018 | 535 | ± 6.4% | 48% | 40% | 11% |
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Darren Soto (incumbent) | 172,172 | 58.0 | |
Republican | Wayne Liebnitzky | 124,565 | 42.0 | |
Total votes | 296,737 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 10[edit]
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The 10th district is centered around Orlando and the surrounding suburbs such as Lockhart, Oak Ridge, and Zellwood. Incumbent Democrat Val Demings, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. She was elected with 65% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+11.
Democratic primary[edit]
Because no write-in candidates or candidates of other parties filed to run in this district, the Democratic primary was open to all voters.
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Val Demings, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Wade Darius, businessman
Primary results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Val Demings (incumbent) | 73,601 | 75.0 | |
Democratic | Wade Darius | 24,534 | 25.0 | |
Total votes | 98,135 | 100.0 |
Republican primary[edit]
No Republicans filed.
General election[edit]
Incumbent Val Demings ran unopposed in the general election. As such, no election for the position was held, and Demings was declared the winner automatically by the Board of Elections for the State of Florida.
Endorsements[edit]
- Labor unions
- Organizations
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Val Demings (incumbent) | Unopposed | N/a | |
Total votes | N/a | |||
Democratic hold |
District 11[edit]
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County results Webster: 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||
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The 11th district is located in Central Florida and includes the southern suburbs of Ocala and Spring Hill, this district also includes the retirement community known as The Villages. Incumbent Republican Daniel Webster, who had represented the district since 2017 and previously represented the 8th district from 2011 to 2013 and the 10th district from 2013 to 2017, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a fourth term with 65% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+15.
Republican primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Daniel Webster, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Dana Cottrell, teacher
General election[edit]
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Daniel Webster (incumbent) | 239,395 | 65.2 | |
Democratic | Dana Cottrell | 128,053 | 34.8 | |
Independent | Luis Saldana (write-in) | 58 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 367,506 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 12[edit]
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County results Bilirakis: 50–60% 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||
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The 12th district is located in the Tampa Bay Area and includes Dade City, New Port Richey, and Palm Harbor. Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 9th district from 2007 to 2013, was re-elected to a sixth term with 69% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+8.
Republican primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Gus Bilirakis, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Chris Hunter, former federal prosecutor
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Stephen Perenich, tax preparer
- Robert Tager, attorney and nominee for this seat in 2016
Primary results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Chris Hunter | 31,761 | 65.3 | |
Democratic | Stephen Perenich | 9,303 | 19.1 | |
Democratic | Robert Tager | 7,597 | 15.6 | |
Total votes | 48,661 | 100.0 |
General election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
- Organizations
Polling[edit]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Gus Bilirakis (R) | Christopher Hunter (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pete Polls | July 28, 2018 | 615 | ± 4.0% | 49% | 30% | 21% |
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Gus Bilirakis (incumbent) | 194,564 | 58.1 | |
Democratic | Chris Hunter | 132,844 | 39.7 | |
Independent | Angelika Purkis | 7,510 | 2.2 | |
Total votes | 334,918 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 13[edit]
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Precinct results Crist: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Buck: 50–60% 60–70% >90% Tie: 50% | ||||||||||||||||
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The 13th district is located in the Tampa Bay Area and includes Clearwater, Largo and Saint Petersburg. Incumbent Democrat Charlie Crist, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 52% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+2.
Democratic primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Charlie Crist, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- George Buck, educator
Eliminated in primary[edit]
- Brad Sostack, navy veteran
Primary results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | George Buck | 30,560 | 56.0 | |
Republican | Brad Sostack | 24,013 | 44.0 | |
Total votes | 54,573 | 100.0 |
General election[edit]
Endorsements[edit]
- Labor unions
- Organizations
Predictions[edit]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[47] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[48] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[49] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[50] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[51] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
538[52] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[53] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[54] | Likely D | November 2, 2018 |
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Charlie Crist (incumbent) | 182,717 | 57.6 | |
Republican | George Buck | 134,254 | 42.4 | |
Total votes | 316,971 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 14[edit]
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The 14th district is centred around the city of Tampa and the immediate surrounding suburbs such as Lutz and Temple Terrace. Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 11th district from 2007 to 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected to a sixth term with 62% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+7.
Castor was the only candidate in 2018, and so was unopposed in the Democratic primary and general election.
Democratic primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Nominee[edit]
- Kathy Castor, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican primary[edit]
No Republicans filed.
General election[edit]
Incumbent Kathy Castor ran unopposed in the general election. As such, no election for the position was held, and Castor was declared the winner automatically by the Board of Elections for the State of Florida.
Endorsements[edit]
- Labor unions
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kathy Castor (incumbent) | Unopposed | N/a | |
Total votes | N/a | |||
Democratic hold |
District 15[edit]
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County results Spano: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||
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The 15th district is located in inland Central Florida and is anchored by Lakeland. The district also includes the eastern suburbs of Tampa such as Brandon and Riverview. Incumbent Republican Dennis Ross, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 12th district from 2011 to 2013, was retiring.[83]