Opinion polling for the 2008 Spanish general election

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In the run up to the 2008 Spanish general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Spain during the term of the 8th Cortes Generales. Results of these polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 14 March 2004, to the day the next election was held, on 9 March 2008.

Voting intention estimates refer mainly to a hypothetical Congress of Deputies election. Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Electoral polling[edit]

Nationwide polling[edit]

Graphical summary[edit]

Local regression trend line of poll results from 14 March 2004 to 9 March 2008, with each line corresponding to a political party.


Voting intention estimates[edit]

The table below lists nationwide voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 176 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Congress of Deputies.

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls   Exit poll

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PSOE PP IU CiU ERC PNV CC BNG UPyD Lead
2008 general election 9 Mar 2008 — 73.8 43.9
169 		39.9
154 		3.8
2 		3.0
10 		1.2
3 		1.2
6 		0.7
2 		0.8
2 		1.2
1 		4.0
Ipsos/RTVE–FORTA[1][2] 9 Mar 2008 210,000 ? 45.0
172/176 		38.6
148/152 		3.4
2/3 		3.1
9/11 		1.2
3/4 		1.4
6/7 		0.6
2 		0.8
1/2 		1.1
1 		6.4
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[1][2] 9 Mar 2008 40,000 ? 43.3
163/166 		38.0
149/152 		5.2
4/5 		3.1
10 		2.3
6/7 		1.6
7 		0.7
1/2 		0.7
1/2 		1.0
1/2 		5.3
Opina/Cadena SER[1][2] 9 Mar 2008 ? ? 44.5
168/173 		37.5
145/149 		5.0
4 		2.5
9/10 		2.0
6 		1.1
6/7 		0.4
2 		0.8
1/2 		0.1
0 		7.0
Demométrica/Telecinco[1][3] 9 Mar 2008 ? ? 44.9
172/178 		36.9
142/147 		5.2
3/5 		2.7
9/11 		1.5
4/5 		1.4
6/7 		– – ?
0 		8.0
GESOP/El Periòdic[4][5] 7–8 Mar 2008 1,000 72 43.4
166/170 		38.1
151/155 		?
4 		?
10/11 		?
4/5 		?
6 		– – – 5.3
GESOP/El Periòdic[6][7] 5–7 Mar 2008 1,000 71 43.0
162/166 		39.0
154/158 		?
3/4 		?
9/10 		?
5 		?
6 		– – – 4.0
GESOP/El Periòdic[8] 4–6 Mar 2008 1,200 70 42.6
161/165 		38.6
153/157 		?
4 		?
8/9 		?
5 		?
6 		– – – 4.0
Sigma Dos/The Times[9] 5 Mar 2008 1,000 74–76 43.1 39.3 4.9 2.9 1.6 1.5 – – – 3.8
GESOP/El Periòdic[10] 3–5 Mar 2008 1,000 68 42.4
159/163 		39.0
154/158 		?
4/5 		?
8/9 		?
5 		?
6 		– – – 3.4
GESOP/El Periòdic[11] 3–4 Mar 2008 600 68 41.5
156/160 		39.0
156/160 		?
4/6 		?
8/9 		?
5/6 		?
6/7 		– – – 2.5
Demo Ibérica/COPE[12][13] 3 Mar 2008 ? 70.9 42.1
157/160 		39.8
154/158 		?
5 		?
10/11 		?
6 		?
7 		?
2 		?
2 		?
0/1 		2.3
Opina/Cadena SER[14][15][16] 2 Mar 2008 ? 74 43.5 38.0 5.0 2.8 1.6 1.2 – – – 5.5
Demométrica/Telecinco[17] 29 Feb–2 Mar 2008 3,000 ? 44.1
169/176 		38.0
146/153 		5.2
4/5 		?
9/10 		?
4/5 		– – – ?
1 		6.1
Ipsos/Faro de Vigo[18] 29 Feb–2 Mar 2008 ? 72–74 43.4
162/168 		38.5
148/154 		5.3
5/8 		3.0
10/11 		1.9
5/6 		1.6
7 		0.6
2 		0.8
1/2 		– 4.9
Opina/Cadena SER[19][16] 1 Mar 2008 3,000 72 44.0
164/170 		38.0
152/154 		5.0
5 		2.7
9/10 		1.5
5 		1.2
6/7 		– – – 6.0
Demométrica/Telecinco[20] 28 Feb–1 Mar 2008 3,000 ? 44.3 38.0 – – – – – – – 6.3
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[21][22][23] 20 Feb–1 Mar 2008 11,000 76–78 43.4
157/171 		39.3
148/161 		4.4
4 		3.2
9/11 		1.9
5/6 		1.5
7 		0.7
2 		0.6
0/2 		0.8
0/1 		4.1
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[24] 18 Feb–1 Mar 2008 7,200 ? 43.9
165/171 		39.5
153/158 		4.8
4 		2.7
8/9 		?
4 		?
7 		?
1 		?
0/1 		– 4.4
Opina/Cadena SER[25][16] 29 Feb 2008 ? ? 44.0 38.5 5.0 2.7 1.5 1.2 – – – 5.5
Intereconomía[26] 29 Feb 2008 ? 72 37.6 40.5 5.5 3.4 2.5 1.7 – – – 2.9
Demométrica/Telecinco[27] 27–29 Feb 2008 3,000 ? 44.6 38.2 – – – – – – – 6.4
Noxa/La Vanguardia[28] 26–29 Feb 2008 1,200 ? 43.5
162/167 		39.5
152/156 		4.4
4/5 		2.5
8/9 		1.8
6 		1.3
6/7 		– – – 4.0
Infortécnica[29] 1–29 Feb 2008 1,945 ? ?
157/163 		?
149/155 		?
5/9 		?
9/11 		?
6/8 		– – – – ?
Opina/Cadena SER[30][16] 28 Feb 2008 ? 72 44.5 39.5 4.7 2.5 1.5 1.2 – – – 5.0
Demométrica/Telecinco[31] 26–28 Feb 2008 3,000 ? 44.5 38.4 5.1 – – – – – – 6.1
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[32][33] 26–28 Feb 2008 1,810 ? 45.0 38.8 4.5 3.1 1.5 1.5 – – – 6.2
DYM/ABC[34] 18–28 Feb 2008 1,075 ? 42.0 40.0 4.1 – – – – – – 2.0
Opina/Cadena SER[35][36] 27 Feb 2008 9,000 ? 44.0
165/169 		39.0
153/157 		4.0
3/4 		2.3
8 		1.5
4/5 		1.5
7 		– – – 5.0
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[37][38] 26–27 Feb 2008 ? 75.5 42.3
162/164 		38.5
154/156 		?
4/5 		?
9 		?
6 		?
6/7 		– – – 3.8
Demométrica/Telecinco[39] 25–27 Feb 2008 3,000 76.3 44.1 38.8 5.2 – – – – – – 5.3
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[33] 25–27 Feb 2008 ? ? 45.3 38.9 4.7 3.1 1.5 1.5 – – – 6.4
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[40] 21–27 Feb 2008 1,300 74.4 43.5 40.0 4.6 2.7 1.7 1.4 – 1.1 1.3 3.5
Metroscopia/El País[41] 8–27 Feb 2008 8,750 74–75 42.9
165/169 		38.8
148/154 		4.8
4 		2.6
9 		1.9
5/6 		1.5
7 		0.6
2 		– 1.1
0/1 		4.1
Demo Ibérica/COPE[42] 26 Feb 2008 ? 70.9 41.7
157/160 		39.6
153/156 		?
5/6 		?
10 		?
6 		?
7 		?
2 		?
2 		?
0/1 		2.1
Opina/Cadena SER[43][36] 26 Feb 2008 ? ? 44.0 39.0 4.0 2.3 1.5 1.5 – – – 5.0
GESOP/El Periódico[44][45] 26 Feb 2008 600 68 42.5
165/170 		37.0
149/154 		?
4/5 		?
8/9 		?
5/6 		?
6 		– – – 5.5
Demométrica/Telecinco[46][47] 19–26 Feb 2008 8,000 ? 44.2
170/177 		38.6
148/152 		5.3
5/7 		?
10 		?
3/4 		?
6 		– – – 5.6
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[48] 23–26 Feb 2008 ? ? 45.3 38.7 4.5 3.1 1.4 1.4 – – – 6.6
Opina/Cadena SER[49][36] 25 Feb 2008 ? ? 44.0 39.0 4.0 2.3 1.5 1.5 – – – 5.0
Demométrica/Telecinco[50] 23–25 Feb 2008 ? ? 43.2 38.5 – – – – – – – 4.7
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[51] 22–25 Feb 2008 1,796 ? 45.3 38.5 4.8 3.0 1.3 1.4 – – – 6.8
Opina/Cadena SER[52][53] 24 Feb 2008 ? ? 44.0
163/167 		40.0
154/156 		4.5
4 		2.6
9 		1.7
5 		1.4
7 		– – – 4.0
Demométrica/Telecinco[54] 22–24 Feb 2008 ? ? 42.9 38.7 – – – – – – – 4.2
Ipsos/Expansión[55] 22–24 Feb 2008 ? 72–74 41.7 38.2 – 2.8 2.2 1.4 – – – 3.5
Opina/Cadena SER[56][57][53] 23 Feb 2008 ? ? 44.5 41.5 4.0 2.8 1.7 1.2 – – – 3.0
Demométrica/Telecinco[58] 21–23 Feb 2008 ? ? 43.0 37.9 – – – – – – – 5.1
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[59] 21–23 Feb 2008 ? ? 44.7 39.3 4.2 3.1 1.3 1.4 – – – 5.4
Demo Ibérica/COPE[60] 22 Feb 2008 ? 70.7 41.5
157/160 		39.6
153/155 		?
5/6 		3.4
10/11 		?
6 		?
7 		?
2 		?
2 		0.7
0/1 		1.9
Opina/Cadena SER[53] 22 Feb 2008 ? ? 42.0 40.0 4.0 2.6 1.7 1.3 – – – 2.0
Metroscopia/El País[61] 22 Feb 2008 600 73–74 42.3 38.6 4.5 – – – – – – 3.7
Demométrica/Telecinco[62] 20–22 Feb 2008 ? ? 43.1 37.8 – – – – – – – 5.3
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[63] 20–22 Feb 2008 1,812 ? 44.0 40.0 4.5 3.0 1.4 1.3 – – – 4.0
Invymark/laSexta[64] 18–22 Feb 2008 ? ? 42.7 38.0 – – – – – – – 4.7
Opina/Cadena SER[65][66] 21 Feb 2008 ? ? 41.5
155/164 		40.0
158/161 		4.5
4/5 		2.6
7/9 		1.7
4/5 		1.3
7/8 		– – – 1.5
Demométrica/Telecinco[67] 19–21 Feb 2008 ? ? 43.3 37.5 – – – – – – – 5.8
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[63] 19–21 Feb 2008 ? ? 43.1 40.9 4.3 2.8 1.5 1.4 – – – 2.2
DYM/ABC[68] 11–21 Feb 2008 1,074 ? 42.0 39.2 3.9 – – – – – – 2.8
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[69][38] 18–20 Feb 2008 ? 73.6 42.0
161/164 		39.7
154/157 		5.4
4/5 		2.7
8/9 		2.2
7 		1.5
7 		?
2/3 		?
1/2 		– 2.3
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[70] 18–20 Feb 2008 1,812 ? 42.8 40.4 4.6 2.6 1.3 1.4 – – – 2.4
Append/Vocento[71][72][73] 11–18 Feb 2008 4,989 74.4 41.4 38.8 4.8 3.0 2.0 1.5 0.7 0.6 0.5 2.6
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[74][75][38] 11–18 Feb 2008 ? 72.4 41.8
162/164 		40.2
155/157 		5.4
4 		2.9
8/9 		1.9
6/7 		1.6
7/8 		– – – 1.6
Ipsos/Expansión[76] 15–17 Feb 2008 ? 72–74 42.3 37.3 4.5 – – – – – 0.5 5.0
GESOP/El Periódico[77][78] 11–17 Feb 2008 1,500 65–70 40.5
159/164 		37.0
153/157 		4.9
4/6 		2.6
9/10 		1.7
5/6 		1.4
6/7 		– – – 3.5
ASEP[a][79] 11–17 Feb 2008 1,201 75.5 40.7 38.5 – – – – – – – 2.2
Metroscopia/El País[80] 15 Feb 2008 600 71–72 41.9 38.9 5.0 – – – – – – 3.0
Invymark/laSexta[81] 11–15 Feb 2008 ? ? 42.8 38.4 – – – – – – – 4.4
Noxa/La Vanguardia[82] 8–14 Feb 2008 1,800 ? 43.1
165 		39.1
152 		5.0
5 		3.0
10 		1.5
5 		1.4
6 		– – – 4.0
DYM/ABC[83] 4–14 Feb 2008 1,057 ? 42.2 39.2 3.9 – – – – – – 3.0
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[84][85] 7 Jan–12 Feb 2008 12,000 ? 42.6
158/169 		40.1
154/163 		4.9
4 		2.6
8/10 		1.3
4 		1.3
6/7 		?
1/2 		?
2 		– 2.5
Ipsos/Expansión[86] 8–10 Feb 2008 ? 69–70 41.1 39.8 5.1 – – – – – – 1.3
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[74][87][38] 4–10 Feb 2008 ? 73.4 42.7
165/168 		39.1
151/153 		4.9
4/5 		2.7
8 		?
7 		1.7
7 		?
2 		– ?
0 		3.6
Metroscopia/El País[88] 8 Feb 2008 600 70–71 41.7 38.8 5.3 – – – – – – 2.9
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[89] 28 Jan–8 Feb 2008 4,008 ? 44.0 38.5 4.9 2.8 1.5 1.6 – – – 5.5
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[90][91] 4–7 Feb 2008 1,000 ? 41.8 39.2 5.2 3.2 2.1 1.6 – – – 2.6
DYM/ABC[92] 28 Jan–7 Feb 2008 1,031 ? 42.4 39.2 4.1 – – – – – – 3.2
Simple Lógica[93] 23 Jan–4 Feb 2008 2,031 72.7 40.6 38.4 5.1 2.7 – 1.4 – – – 2.2
CIS[94][95] 21 Jan–4 Feb 2008 18,221 ? 40.2
158/163 		38.7
153/157 		5.8
5/6 		3.0
10 		2.1
6 		1.7
7 		0.6
1/2 		0.9
2 		0.6
0/1 		1.5
DYM/ABC[96] 21–31 Jan 2008 1,015 ? 42.4 38.6 4.2 – – – – – – 3.8
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[97] 21–31 Jan 2008 4,009 72 44.6 38.2 5.0 3.0 1.3 1.6 – – – 6.4
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[75][98] 29–30 Jan 2008 ? ? 42.5
164/166 		39.3
154/156 		4.6
3 		2.8
9 		?
6 		1.5
6/7 		?
2 		?
2 		– 3.2
Metroscopia/El País[99][38] 26–30 Jan 2008 2,000 73–74 42.0 38.6 5.1 – – – – – – 3.4
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[100][101] 28 Jan 2008 ? 73.0 42.3
162/166 		39.6
151/155 		4.5
4 		3.0
9/10 		1.6
6 		1.5
7/8 		?
2/3 		– ?
1 		2.7
Celeste-Tel/Terra[102][103] 22–28 Jan 2008 10,910 72.9 43.7–
44.1
164/168 		41.3–
41.7
152/154 		4.0–
4.2
2/5 		3.2–
3.3
10 		1.1–
1.2
3 		1.2–
1.3
6/7 		0.8
2/3 		0.9
2 		1.4–
1.5
1 		2.4
Invymark/laSexta[104] 21–25 Jan 2008 1,100 ? 43.1 38.1 – – – – – – – 5.0
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[105] 14–24 Jan 2008 4,007 ? 44.5 38.7 4.6 2.8 1.5 1.6 – – – 5.8
Opina/Cadena SER[106][107] 23 Jan 2008 1,000 ? 44.0 38.0 3.5 3.0 1.9 1.6 – – – 6.0
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[108][109] 21 Jan 2008 ? 71.5 41.6
160/164 		39.5
149/153 		5.1
4/5 		3.1
10/11 		2.0
6/7 		1.5
7/8 		0.8
3 		– 2.0
1 		2.1
ASEP[a][110][111] 14–20 Jan 2008 1,203 75.6 40.3 38.9 – – – – – – – 1.4
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[112] 7–17 Jan 2008 4,000 ? 42.8 39.2 5.0 2.6 1.7 1.6 – – – 3.6
Noxa/La Vanguardia[113] 11–16 Jan 2008 1,000 ? 42.3
162/164 		39.8
154/156 		5.1
5 		2.5
8 		1.8
6 		1.5
7 		– – – 2.5
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[114][108][75] 14 Jan 2008 ? 72.0 41.9
160/164 		40.1
151/155 		4.8
4/5 		3.3
10/11 		1.8
5/6 		1.6
7/8 		?
2/3 		?
1/2 		?
0 		1.8
Ipsos/Expansión[115] 11–13 Jan 2008 ? 68–70 41.5 39.5 – – – – – – – 2.0
Opina/Cadena SER[116][117][118] 9 Jan 2008 1,000 ? 43.0 40.0 3.5 3.0 1.5 1.4 – – – 3.0
Invymark/laSexta[119] 24–28 Dec 2007 ? ? 43.2 38.4 – – – – – – – 4.8
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[120][121][122] 14–26 Dec 2007 10,400 ? 41.9
153/164 		39.4
151/162 		5.0
5 		3.4
10/11 		2.2
7 		1.5
7 		?
3 		?
1/2 		?
0 		2.5
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[123] 20 Nov–21 Dec 2007 9,100 72 43.0
167 		38.5
151 		5.6
6 		2.7
9 		1.6
5 		1.6
7 		?
2 		?
2 		0.9
0 		4.5
Ipsos/Expansión[124][125] 14–16 Dec 2007 1,000 66–68 41.3 38.0 5.3 3.2 2.1 1.5 – – 1.3 3.3
ASEP[a][126] 10–16 Dec 2007 1,199 76.3 40.4 37.1 – – – – – – – 3.3
Invymark/laSexta[127] 10–14 Dec 2007 ? ? 42.4 38.9 – – – – – – – 3.5
Noxa/La Vanguardia[128] 28 Nov–12 Dec 2007 2,000 ? 42.5
158/162 		39.7
152/156 		5.3
5/6 		2.8
10 		1.7
5/6 		1.9
7/9 		– – – 2.8
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[108][75] 11 Dec 2007 ? 73.2 42.0 38.2 5.5 3.2 1.9 1.4 – – 1.0 3.8
Opina/Cadena SER[129][130] 4 Dec 2007 1,000 ? 45.0 37.5 4.5 3.0 1.5 1.5 – – – 7.5
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[131][75] 2 Dec 2007 ? ? 42.5 37.4 5.2 2.8 2.0 1.5 – – – 5.1
Intercampo/GETS[132][133] 22 Nov 2007 ? High 40.7 38.4 5.3 3.3 2.0 1.7 – – – 2.3
Low 41.3 38.5 5.1 3.8 2.3 1.8 – – – 2.8
Opina/Cadena SER[134][135] 21 Nov 2007 1,000 ? 45.0 38.0 4.0 3.2 1.7 1.9 – – – 7.0
ASEP[a][136] 12–18 Nov 2007 1,203 77.6 42.8 36.4 – – – – – – – 6.4
GESOP/El Periódico[137] 12–17 Nov 2007 1,500 ? 43.5
165/170 		37.6
145/150 		5.0
4/5 		2.8
9/10 		1.8
6/7 		1.4
6/7 		– – – 5.9
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[138][75] 13 Nov 2007 ? 72.1 41.4 39.0 5.5 2.7 2.3 1.5 0.8 0.9 0.8 2.4
Ipsos/Expansión[139] 9–11 Nov 2007 ? 68–70 41.4 38.3 5.2 3.0 2.1 1.6 – – 1.6 3.1
Invymark/laSexta[140] 5–9 Nov 2007 ? ? 42.0 38.5 – – – – – – – 3.5
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[141][142][143] 7–8 Nov 2007 800 ? 42.2 39.1 4.8 3.0 2.2 1.3 – – – 3.1
Opina/Cadena SER[144][145] 6 Nov 2007 1,000 ? 44.5 38.0 4.0 3.0 1.9 1.4 – – – 6.5
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[146] 4 Nov 2007 ? ? 41.7 38.6 4.7 2.9 2.2 1.4 – – – 3.1
Invymark/laSexta[147] 29 Oct–2 Nov 2007 1,100 ? 42.6 38.0 – – – – – – – 4.6
CIS[148][149] 22–29 Oct 2007 2,493 ? 39.7 37.4 5.5 3.1 2.1 1.5 – – – 2.3
Opina/Cadena SER[150][151] 23 Oct 2007 1,000 ? 44.0 39.0 3.3 3.2 1.9 1.4 – – – 5.0
ASEP[a][152] 15–21 Oct 2007 1,202 76.2 40.9 38.8 6.0 – – – – – – 2.1
Ipsos/Expansión[139] 12–15 Oct 2007 ? 66–68 42.7 38.1 4.9 3.1 2.0 1.8 – – – 4.6
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[153][75] 10 Oct 2007 ? 70.2 40.6 39.5 5.2 3.2 2.3 1.4 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.1
Opina/Cadena SER[154][155] 9 Oct 2007 1,000 ? 44.0 39.0 3.3 3.0 2.3 1.8 – – – 5.0
DYM/ABC[156] 1–4 Oct 2007 1,000 ? 41.2 39.3 4.5 – – – – – – 1.9
Noxa/La Vanguardia[157] 28 Sep–3 Oct 2007 1,000 ? 42.3
163/164 		39.6
154/155 		5.7
5/6 		2.5
8/9 		1.6
5/6 		1.1
5/6 		– – – 2.7
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[158] 21–28 Sep 2007 3,067 ? 41.0 38.8 4.9 3.1 2.5 1.4 – – – 2.2
Opina/Cadena SER[159][160][161] 26 Sep 2007 ? ? 44.0 39.0 5.0 2.5 1.7 1.2 – – – 5.0
ASEP[a][162] 17–23 Sep 2007 1,213 77.3 42.6 37.1 6.0 – – – – – – 5.5
Invymark/laSexta[163] 10–14 Sep 2007 ? ? 42.2 38.8 – – – – – – – 3.4
Opina/Cadena SER[164][165] 13 Sep 2007 ? ? 44.0 38.0 5.0 3.5 1.8 1.2 – – – 6.0
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[108] 11 Sep 2007 ? 71.6 41.8 38.0 – – – – – – – 3.8
Ipsos/Expansión[166] 7–10 Sep 2007 ? 68–70 40.3 39.8 5.5 2.8 1.9 1.8 – – – 0.5
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[167][168] 28–31 Aug 2007 800 ? 41.1 39.7 5.4 2.7 2.3 1.6 – – – 1.4
Opina/Cadena SER[169][170][171] 29 Aug 2007 1,000 ? 44.0 39.5 3.5 4.5 1.9 1.3 – – – 4.5
CIS[172][173] 6–18 Jul 2007 2,483 ? 40.5 37.0 6.1 2.9 1.9 1.5 – – – 3.5
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[174] 17 Jul 2007 ? 69.3 41.7 39.5 5.5 3.2 – – – – – 2.2
ASEP[a][175] 9–15 Jul 2007 1,200 75.1 43.1 36.4 5.6 – – – – – – 6.7
Invymark/laSexta[163] 9–13 Jul 2007 ? ? 42.8 38.2 – – – – – – – 4.6
Noxa/La Vanguardia[176] 6–8 Jul 2007 1,000 ? 44.1
168/169 		37.9
148/149 		5.4
5/6 		2.8
9/10 		2.0
6/7 		1.4
6/7 		– – – 6.2
Ipsos/Expansión[166] 6–8 Jul 2007 ? 70–71 43.1 39.4 5.0 2.2 1.7 1.4 – – – 3.7
Metroscopia/ABC[177][178] 4–5 Jul 2007 1,000 ? 43.3 39.3 5.4 – – – – – – 4.0
Opina/Cadena SER[179][161] 4 Jul 2007 ? ? 45.0 38.5 5.0 4.5 1.7 1.5 – – – 6.5
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[108] 19 Jun 2007 ? 70.9 41.0 40.3 5.3 3.1 2.0 1.5 0.7 0.8 – 0.7
ASEP[a][180] 11–17 Jun 2007 1,213 74.2 41.5 38.4 4.9 – – – – – – 3.1
GESOP/El Periódico[181] 13–15 Jun 2007 800 ? 42.2 39.2 5.5 3.0 1.7 1.3 – – – 3.0
Iberconsulta/La Razón[182] 11–13 Jun 2007 1,000 73.3 39.7 40.6 5.3 – – – – – – 0.9
Opina/Cadena SER[183][184] 12 Jun 2007 1,000 ? 43.0 40.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 1.5 – – – 3.0
Ipsos/Expansión[166] 1–3 Jun 2007 ? 69–70 40.4 39.1 5.4 2.9 2.1 1.6 – – – 1.3
Opina/Cadena SER[185][186] 30 May 2007 1,000 ? 44.0 38.0 5.0 2.5 1.5 1.5 – – – 6.0
2007 local elections 27 May 2007 — 64.0 34.9 35.6 6.6 3.3 1.6 1.4 1.0 1.4 – 0.7
ASEP[a][187] 14–20 May 2007 1,213 79.6 41.6 36.8 5.3 – – – – – – 4.8
Ipsos/Expansión[188][189] 11–13 May 2007 ? 70–71 40.8 37.6 5.3 3.0 2.2 1.6 – – – 3.2
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[108] 9 May 2007 ? 67.5 40.6 39.8 – – – – – – – 0.8
CIS[190][191] 23–29 Apr 2007 2,455 ? 39.6 36.6 5.6 3.0 2.4 1.6 – – – 3.0
ASEP[a][192] 16–22 Apr 2007 1,212 75.8 41.0 36.4 6.1 – – – – – – 4.6
Metroscopia/ABC[193] 16–18 Apr 2007 1,002 70 42.4 40.9 4.2 – – – – – – 1.5
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[108][194] 17 Apr 2007 ? 67.1 39.8 39.6 5.6 3.1 2.2 1.5 0.8 0.9 – 0.2
Ipsos/Expansión[189][195] 13–15 Apr 2007 ? 69–70 39.9 37.2 5.4 3.2 2.1 1.7 – – – 2.7
Opina/Cadena SER[196][197] 11 Apr 2007 1,000 ? 43.0 38.0 5.5 3.5 1.8 1.5 – – – 5.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[198][199] 30 Mar–2 Apr 2007 800 ? 41.5 40.3 4.8 3.0 1.9 1.5 – – – 1.2
Opina/El País[200][38] 21–22 Mar 2007 1,000 ? 42.0 38.5 5.0 3.8 2.0 1.0 – – – 3.5
ASEP[a][201] 12–18 Mar 2007 1,203 76.5 41.5 37.0 4.4 – – – – – – 4.5
Opina/Cadena SER[202][203] 15 Mar 2007 1,000 ? 43.0 38.0 5.5 3.5 2.0 1.5 – – – 5.0
GESOP/El Periódico[204] 11–15 Mar 2007 1,500 ? 41.9 39.7 5.8 2.9 1.9 1.2 – – – 2.2
Iberconsulta/La Razón[205][38] 9–14 Mar 2007 800 ? 38.4
145/147 		42.2
161/163 		5.7
7 		3.4
11 		2.6
9 		1.7
7 		1.0
3 		0.9
2 		– 3.8
Ipsos/Expansión[206] 9–11 Mar 2007 ? 68–69 38.5 38.3 5.6 3.4 1.9 1.7 – – – 0.2
Opina/Cadena SER[207][208] 7 Mar 2007 1,000 ? 43.0 40.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 – – – 3.0
Opina/Cadena SER[209][210] 23 Feb 2007 1,000 ? 44.0 38.0 5.0 3.6 1.7 1.5 – – – 6.0
ASEP[a][211] 12–18 Feb 2007 1,208 73.5 40.8 38.4 5.3 – – – – – – 2.4
Opina/Cadena SER[212][213] 7 Feb 2007 ? ? 43.0 38.0 3.5 3.0 1.9 1.5 – – – 5.0
Invymark/laSexta[214] 29 Jan–2 Feb 2007 ? ? 42.2 37.8 – – – – – – – 4.4
Metroscopia/ABC[215] 29–31 Jan 2007 1,001 ? 40.1 42.7 6.1 – – – – – – 2.6
CIS[216][217] 22–31 Jan 2007 2,472 ? 38.8 37.6 6.5 3.2 2.0 1.4 – – – 1.2
Intereconomía[218] 25 Jan 2007 ? 73.4 38.1 41.8 5.1 3.0 2.1 1.7 – – – 3.7
ASEP[a][219][220] 15–21 Jan 2007 1,201 75.0 42.3 36.3 4.5 – – – – – – 6.0
Noxa/La Vanguardia[221] 15–18 Jan 2007 1,000 ? 42.0
161/164 		34.8
138/142 		7.1
13 		3.9
13/14 		2.0
6 		1.7
7 		– – – 7.2
Opina/Cadena SER[222][213] 17 Jan 2007 ? ? 44.0 38.0 3.5 3.5 2.0 1.5 – – – 6.0
Metra Seis/Colpisa[223][224] 7–15 Jan 2007 2,000 ? 38.3
142/152 		40.7
163/169 		5.7
6/7 		3.1
11/12 		2.0
7 		1.7
7 		?
3 		– – 2.4
Opina/Cadena SER[225][226] 4 Jan 2007 1,000 ? 42.0 40.0 4.0 3.5 2.5 1.4 – – – 2.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[227][228] 2–4 Jan 2007 800 ? 40.2 40.7 5.2 3.0 2.2 1.6 – – – 0.5
Metroscopia/ABC[229] 3 Jan 2007 605 72 41.1 40.4 5.9 – – – – – – 0.7
Intereconomía[218] 28 Dec 2006 ? 72.6 38.7 39.1 5.7 2.9 2.3 1.9 – – – 0.4
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[228] 26–28 Dec 2006 800 ? 40.7 40.5 5.0 3.0 2.3 1.5 – – – 0.2
ASEP[a][230] 11–17 Dec 2006 1,191 75.1 40.9 36.3 5.1 – – – – – – 4.6
Opina/Cadena SER[231][232] 12 Dec 2006 ? ? 44.0 38.0 5.5 3.0 1.7 1.9 – – – 6.0
Ipsos/PSOE[233] 12 Dec 2006 ? ? 42.0 36.0 – – – – – – – 6.0
Opina/Cadena SER[234][235] 30 Nov 2006 ? ? 44.0 39.0 4.5 3.5 2.0 2.0 – – – 5.0
ASEP[a][236][237] 20–26 Nov 2006 1,206 75.7 42.2 37.0 5.4 – – – – – – 5.2
Opina/Cadena SER[238][239] 16 Nov 2006 1,000 ? 45.0 39.0 4.5 3.0 2.0 0.9 – – – 6.0
Opina/Cadena SER[240][241] 2 Nov 2006 1,000 ? 44.0 39.0 4.5 3.3 2.0 1.9 – – – 5.0
Intereconomía[242] 27 Oct 2006 ? 70.9 39.3 40.2 5.0 2.8 2.0 1.6 – – – 0.9
CIS[243][244][245] 18–25 Oct 2006 2,481 ? 39.3 37.9 5.1 3.1 2.8 1.7 – – – 1.4
ASEP[a][246] 16–22 Oct 2006 1,200 73.1 40.3 38.5 4.9 – – – – – – 1.8
Intercampo/GETS[247] 19 Sep–22 Oct 2006 1,735 High 40.4 38.9 5.2 3.0 2.4 1.5 – – – 1.5
Low 40.3 39.7 4.9 2.8 2.6 1.3 – – – 0.6
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[248][249] 6–9 Oct 2006 800 ? 42.9 39.4 4.4 2.7 2.0 1.6 – – – 3.5
Metroscopia/ABC[250] 29 Sep–4 Oct 2006 1,000 73 42.7 38.3 5.6 – – – – – – 4.4
Opina/Cadena SER[251][252] 28 Sep 2006 ? ? 43.0 37.0 4.5 3.0 1.3 1.3 – – – 6.0
Intereconomía[253] 28 Sep 2006 ? 71.7 39.1 38.8 5.6 3.2 2.0 1.7 – – – 0.3
ASEP[a][254] 17–24 Sep 2006 1,202 75.5 41.2 38.5 – – – – – – – 2.7
Opina/Cadena SER[255][256] 13 Sep 2006 ? ? 43.0 39.0 4.0 3.0 1.3 1.0 – – – 4.0
Opina/Cadena SER[257][258] 31 Aug 2006 ? ? 43.0 38.0 3.5 4.0 1.5 1.0 – – – 5.0
Intereconomía[259] 27 Jul 2006 ? 72.2 38.7 39.0 5.7 3.1 2.4 1.9 – – – 0.3
CIS[260][261][262] 10–16 Jul 2006 2,482 ? 40.6 36.9 5.0 3.2 2.1 1.4 – – – 3.7
Opina/El País[263][38] 14 Jul 2006 800 ? 45.0 39.0 3.5 3.5 2.5 1.8 – – – 6.0
Noxa/La Vanguardia[264] 10–13 Jul 2006 1,000 ? 44.4
169/173 		36.8
142/145 		4.8
4/6 		3.2
10 		1.8
6 		1.5
6/7 		– – – 7.6
ASEP[a][265] 3–9 Jul 2006 1,213 75.1 42.9 37.3 – – – – – – – 5.6
GESOP/El Periódico[266] 30 Jun–4 Jul 2006 1,000 ? 42.8 38.8 5.4 3.0 2.2 1.8 – – – 4.0
Opina/Cadena SER[267][268] 21–22 Jun 2006 1,000 ? 45.0 38.0 4.0 4.0 2.5 1.5 – – – 7.0
ASEP[a][269] 5–11 Jun 2006 1,205 78.0 41.3 35.9 – – – – – – – 5.4
Intereconomía[270] 2–5 Jun 2006 ? 72.6 40.1 39.2 5.5 2.9 2.1 1.7 – – – 0.9
Metroscopia/ABC[229] 2 Jun 2006 ? 73 43.8 36.7 5.0 – – – – – – 7.1
Opina/El País[271][272] 1 Jun 2006 800 ? 45.0 38.0 4.5 2.5 2.0 1.0 – – – 7.0
Opina/Cadena SER[273][274] 31 May 2006 ? ? 45.0 39.0 5.5 3.0 2.0 1.5 – – – 6.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[275][38] 24–25 May 2006 800 ? 41.7 40.2 4.6 2.8 2.2 1.5 – – – 1.5
Opina/Cadena SER[276][268] 19 May 2006 ? ? 45.0 38.0 4.5 2.0 1.0 1.5 – – – 7.0
ASEP[a][277] 8–14 May 2006 1,201 76.8 41.5 37.9 – – – – – – – 3.6
Opina/Cadena SER[278][279] 5 May 2006 1,000 ? 45.0 40.0 3.5 3.0 2.0 1.8 – – – 5.0
CIS[280][281][282] 24–30 Apr 2006 2,481 ? 40.3 38.2 5.4 2.9 2.0 1.4 – – – 2.1
GESOP/El Periódico[283] 19–22 Apr 2006 1,002 ? 43.3 39.5 5.4 2.8 2.3 1.5 – – – 3.8
Opina/Cadena SER[284][285] 20 Apr 2006 1,000 ? 46.0 38.0 4.0 3.5 2.0 1.0 – – – 8.0
Iberconsulta/La Razón[286][287] 10–11 Apr 2006 800 ? 43.7
165/166 		38.2
149/150 		5.1
5 		3.2
11 		2.3
7 		1.7
6 		0.9
2 		1.0
2 		– 5.5
ASEP[a][288] 3–9 Apr 2006 1,204 75.8 43.5 38.1 – – – – – – – 5.4
Opina/Cadena SER[289][290] 30 Mar 2006 1,000 ? 44.0 39.0 4.0 2.5 2.5 1.7 – – – 5.0
Metroscopia/ABC[291] 28–30 Mar 2006 1,003 74 44.5 36.8 5.0 – – – – – – 7.7
Sigma Dos/PP[292][38] 23–27 Mar 2006 1,000 ? 42.3 39.6 5.2 3.0 – 1.5 – – – 2.7
Ipsos/PSOE[293] 24–26 Mar 2006 ? ? 45.6 37.7 4.6 – – – – – – 7.9
Opina/El País[294][295] 24 Mar 2006 1,000 ? 46.0 38.0 4.5 4.0 2.0 1.5 – – – 8.0
Opina/Cadena SER[296][297] 23 Mar 2006 ? ? 46.0 37.0 4.0 2.5 2.3 1.5 – – – 9.0
Opina/Cadena SER[298][299] 15–16 Mar 2006 1,000 ? 43.0 39.0 4.0 3.5 2.0 1.2 – – – 4.0
ASEP[a][300] 6–12 Mar 2006 1,200 76.9 41.0 38.4 – – – – – – – 2.6
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[301][38] 7–9 Mar 2006 1,000 ? 40.8 40.7 5.0 2.5 – 1.6 – – – 0.1
Opina/Cadena SER[302][303][304] 2 Mar 2006 1,000 ? 45.0 40.0 5.0 2.5 2.0 1.4 – – – 5.0
Opina/Cadena SER[305][306] 16 Feb 2006 1,000 ? 42.0 39.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.4 – – – 3.0
ASEP[a][307] 6–12 Feb 2006 1,209 74.9 37.8 40.2 – – – – – – – 2.4
Opina/Cadena SER[308][309] 2 Feb 2006 1,000 ? 41.0 40.0 4.5 4.0 1.5 1.0 – – – 1.0
GESOP/El Periódico[310] 30 Jan–2 Feb 2006 1,000 ? 41.9 40.1 5.5 2.9 2.0 1.4 – – – 1.8
Noxa/La Vanguardia[311] 30 Jan–2 Feb 2006 1,000 ? 41.3
149/154 		42.6
161/165 		5.3
5/7 		2.8
10 		1.8
6 		1.5
6/7 		– – – 1.3
CIS[312][313][314] 23–29 Jan 2006 2,484 ? 39.6 38.0 4.9 3.6 2.4 1.5 – – – 1.6
Opina/El País[315][316] 26–27 Jan 2006 1,000 ? 41.0 40.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.5 – – – 1.0
Opina/Cadena SER[317][318] 21 Jan 2006 ? ? 42.0 39.0 5.0 3.5 1.7 1.5 – – – 3.0
Metroscopia/ABC[319] 10–17 Jan 2006 1,000 73 39.3 40.4 5.6 – – – – – – 1.1
ASEP[a][320] 9–15 Jan 2006 1,207 76.4 39.8 39.7 – – – – – – – 0.1
Opina/Cadena SER[321][322] 3 Jan 2006 1,000 ? 42.0 39.0 5.0 3.5 2.5 1.5 – – – 3.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[323][38] 26–28 Dec 2005 800 ? 41.5 40.5 4.7 2.8 2.1 1.6 – – – 1.0
ASEP[a][324][325] 12–18 Dec 2005 1,207 76.7 40.1 40.4 – – – – – – – 0.3
Iberconsulta/La Razón[326][327][38] 5–16 Dec 2005 800 73.2 39.8
151/152 		40.0
158/159 		6.3
5 		3.6
11 		?
9 		1.7
7 		?
3 		?
2 		– 0.2
Opina/Cadena SER[328][329] 7 Dec 2005 ? ? 42.5 40.0 4.5 3.5 2.0 1.1 – – – 2.5
ASEP[a][330] 14–20 Nov 2005 1,205 78.1 41.2 38.1 – – – – – – – 3.1
Opina/Cadena SER[331][332] 17 Nov 2005 1,000 ? 42.0 40.0 4.5 3.5 2.3 1.0 – – – 2.0
Noxa/La Vanguardia[333] 7–11 Nov 2005 1,200 ? 40.1
145/150 		42.5
163/167 		5.6
7 		3.1
10 		1.9
6 		1.8
7 		– ?
1/2 		– 2.4
Opina/El País[316][334] 7–8 Nov 2005 1,000 ? 41.0 40.0 5.5 3.5 2.5 1.5 – – – 1.0
Iberconsulta/La Razón[335][336][38] 3–4 Nov 2005 800 74.2 39.5
153/155 		39.1
154/156 		6.6
6 		3.6
11 		?
8 		1.8
7 		?
3 		?
2 		– 0.4
Opina/Cadena SER[337][338] 3 Nov 2005 1,000 ? 41.0 40.5 4.5 3.5 2.9 1.0 – – – 0.5
CIS[339][340][341] 21–28 Oct 2005 2,489 ? 39.7 37.7 4.8 3.4 2.4 1.5 – – – 2.0
ASEP[a][342] 17–23 Oct 2005 1,204 76.5 40.1 38.2 – – – – – – – 1.9
Opina/Cadena SER[343][344] 14 Oct 2005 1,000 ? 42.0 40.5 4.0 3.5 2.4 1.0 – – – 1.5
GESOP/El Periódico[345] 9–11 Oct 2005 1,000 ? 41.2 39.9 5.7 2.8 2.4 1.6 – – – 1.3
Intercampo/GETS[346][247][38] 19 Sep–11 Oct 2005 1,721 High 39.6 38.1 5.3 3.7 – 1.6 – – – 1.5
Low 39.9 37.8 5.4 3.0 – 1.8 – – – 2.1
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[347][38] 4–6 Oct 2005 1,000 ? 40.1 40.6 5.4 3.1 – 1.6 – – – 0.5
Opina/El País[316][348] 4–6 Oct 2005 1,300 ? 42.0 40.0 4.0 2.9 2.4 1.7 – – – 2.0
Opina/Cadena SER[349][344] 1 Oct 2005 ? ? 42.0 40.0 5.0 2.5 2.0 1.8 – – – 2.0
Metroscopia/ABC[350][351][319] 23–29 Sep 2005 1,000 75 41.6 38.2 5.3 – – – – – – 3.4
ASEP[a][352] 19–25 Sep 2005 1,216 76.4 41.4 37.3 – – – – – – – 4.1
Opina/El País[316][353][354] 19–20 Sep 2005 1,000 ? 44.0 38.0 4.5 3.2 2.5 1.5 – – – 6.0
Opina/Cadena SER[355] 15 Sep 2005 1,000 ? 44.0 39.0 3.7 3.1 2.5 1.8 – – – 5.0
Opina/Cadena SER[356][357] 1 Sep 2005 ? ? 45.0 37.0 5.0 3.0 2.3 1.7 – – – 8.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[358][38] 26–28 Jul 2005 1,000 ? 42.5 39.1 5.1 3.0 – 1.6 – – – 3.4
CIS[359][360] 13–21 Jul 2005 2,425 ? 41.9 36.4 5.1 3.2 2.3 1.8 – – – 5.5
ASEP[a][111] 4–10 Jul 2005 1,216 78.2 40.8 37.0 – – – – – – – 3.8
Noxa/La Vanguardia[361] 4–7 Jul 2005 1,000 ? 45.8
172/176 		36.4
136/142 		5.6
7/8 		3.0
10 		1.6
5/6 		1.5
6 		– – – 9.4
Metroscopia/ABC[a][362] 1–6 Jul 2005 1,000 69 43.8 37.4 3.5 – – – – – – 6.4
Opina/Cadena SER[363] 29 Jun 2005 1,000 ? 45.5 39.0 5.0 2.3 2.3 1.5 – – – 6.5
GESOP/El Periódico[364] 27–29 Jun 2005 1,000 ? 42.8 37.9 6.0 2.8 2.6 1.7 – – – 4.9
ASEP[a][111] 6–12 Jun 2005 1,222 77.4 42.2 37.5 – – – – – – – 4.7
Opina/Cadena SER[365][366][161] 19 May 2005 ? ? 45.0 38.0 3.8 3.2 2.5 1.5 – – – 7.0
ASEP[a][111] 9–15 May 2005 1,200 77.6 43.3 36.5 – – – – – – – 6.8
Opina/Cadena SER[367][368] 12 May 2005 1,000 ? 45.5 38.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.7 – – – 7.5
Metroscopia/ABC[a][369] 27 Apr–5 May 2005 1,000 70 44.3 37.3 5.0 – – – – – – 7.0
CIS[370][371] 27 Apr–4 May 2005 2,477 ? 41.2 36.6 5.2 3.1 2.1 1.6 – – – 4.6
GESOP/El Periódico[372] 22–26 Apr 2005 1,003 ? 43.2 38.2 5.9 2.8 2.2 1.6 – – – 5.0
Opina/Cadena SER[373] 21 Apr 2005 1,000 ? 43.0 38.0 5.0 3.2 1.7 1.8 – – – 5.0
ASEP[a][111] 11–17 Apr 2005 1,212 76.7 42.3 37.5 – – – – – – – 4.8
Celeste-Tel/La Razón[374][375][38] 4–7 Apr 2005 800 ? 42.3
158/159 		38.6
152/153 		5.4
5 		3.2
10/11 		?
7/8 		1.8
7 		?
3 		?
2/3 		– 3.7
ASEP[a][111] 14–19 Mar 2005 1,203 76.5 45.8 36.5 – – – – – – – 9.3
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[376][377] 8–10 Mar 2005 800 ? 43.7
165 		38.0
149 		4.5
4 		2.7
8 		2.6
9 		1.5
7 		– – – 5.7
Opina/Cadena SER[378][379] 9 Mar 2005 1,000 ? 44.0 38.0 5.0 3.2 1.4 1.7 – – – 6.0
Opina/Cadena SER[380][381] 23 Feb 2005 1,000 ? 44.0 39.0 4.0 3.1 2.3 1.4 – – – 5.0
ASEP[a][111] 14–19 Feb 2005 1,203 77.8 45.2 35.5 – – – – – – – 9.7
Noxa/La Vanguardia[382] 7–10 Feb 2005 1,000 ? 45.3
170/173 		36.7
138/141 		5.2
6 		3.1
10 		2.4
7/8 		2.1
8/10 		?
3 		– – 8.6
Opina/Cadena SER[383][384] 2 Feb 2005 1,000 ? 45.0 38.0 4.0 2.6 2.6 1.8 – – – 7.0
CIS[385][386][377] 19–24 Jan 2005 2,495 ? 42.4
168 		35.7
144 		5.4
7 		2.9
10 		2.3
7 		1.5
6 		– – – 6.7
GESOP/El Periódico[387] 19–22 Jan 2005 1,500 ? 43.8 37.8 5.9 2.7 1.8 1.9 – – – 6.0
ASEP[a][111] 17–22 Jan 2005 1,212 79.3 44.7 36.4 – – – – – – – 8.3
Opina/Cadena SER[388][389] 19 Jan 2005 ? ? 45.0 37.0 4.5 2.8 2.5 1.4 – – – 8.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[38] 4–5 Jan 2005 1,400 ? 43.1 38.2 4.9 3.0 – 1.5 – – – 4.9
Opina/Cadena SER[390][391] 4 Jan 2005 1,350 ? 44.0 39.0 5.5 3.5 1.5 1.4 – – – 5.0
Opina/El País[392][393][377] 15–16 Dec 2004 1,000 ? 45.0
173 		36.5
140 		4.5
4 		3.5
12 		2.0
6 		1.8
7 		– – – 8.5
ASEP[a][111] 15 Dec 2004 1,212 74.6 41.8 36.5 – – – – – – – 5.3
Opina/Cadena SER[394][395] 14 Dec 2004 ? ? 45.0 37.0 4.5 3.0 2.4 1.8 – – – 8.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[396][397] 1–2 Dec 2004 1,000 ? 42.8 38.7 4.8 2.6 2.4 1.6 – – – 4.1
ASEP[a][111] 15–20 Nov 2004 1,206 77.2 43.2 37.7 – – – – – – – 5.5
Opina/Cadena SER[398][399] 18 Nov 2004 ? ? 45.0 38.0 4.0 3.5 2.5 1.5 – – – 7.0
Opina/Cadena SER[400][401] 4 Nov 2004 1,000 ? 44.0 37.5 4.7 3.0 2.0 1.5 – – – 6.5
CIS[402][403] 21–26 Oct 2004 2,494 ? 42.1 36.1 5.5 3.3 2.0 1.7 – – – 6.0
Intercampo/GETS[247] 21 Sep–24 Oct 2004 ? ? 40.7 36.5 5.8 3.0 – 1.6 – – – 4.2
Opina/Cadena SER[404][405] 21 Oct 2004 1,000 ? 44.0 38.0 4.2 3.5 2.5 1.6 – – – 6.0
Gallup[406][407] 1–21 Oct 2004 2,027 78.8 43.8 36.9 4.9 3.2 2.7 1.5 – – – 6.9
ASEP[a][111] 15 Oct 2004 1,212 79.0 44.1 36.1 – – – – – – – 8.0
Opina/Cadena SER[408][409] 7 Oct 2004 1,000 ? 45.0 38.0 4.5 2.5 2.5 1.8 – – – 7.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[410] 5–7 Oct 2004 ? ? 44.3 37.4 5.1 2.5 2.4 1.5 – – – 6.9
Celeste-Tel/La Razón[411][412][38] 26 Sep 2004 ? 73.6 42.5
158/159 		39.3
152/153 		5.0
5 		3.4
10/11 		2.6
8 		?
7 		– – – 3.2
GESOP/El Periódico[413] 22–24 Sep 2004 1,500 ? 43.6 38.3 5.7 2.8 2.1 1.7 – – – 5.3
Opina/El País[414][415][416] 21–22 Sep 2004 1,000 ? 46.0 37.0 5.0 3.0 3.0 1.5 – – – 9.0
Gallup[417][418] 1–21 Sep 2004 2,001 78.1 43.3 37.0 5.2 2.8 2.3 1.6 – – – 6.3
Opina/Cadena SER[419][420] 16 Sep 2004 ? ? 46.0 39.0 4.0 3.0 2.5 1.5 – – – 7.0
ASEP[a][111] 15 Sep 2004 1,212 78.1 43.0 36.7 – – – – – – – 6.3
Opina/Cadena SER[421][422][423] 2 Sep 2004 ? ? 44.5 37.5 4.5 3.5 2.5 2.0 – – – 7.0
Gallup[424] 1–26 Aug 2004 2,019 78.7 43.7 37.4 4.9 2.9 2.4 1.6 – – – 6.3
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[425][38] 25 Jul 2004 1,000 ? 43.8 37.1 5.3 3.4 – 1.3 – – – 6.7
Celeste-Tel/La Razón[426][427][38] 12–21 Jul 2004 601 72.0 41.5
159/160 		39.9
152/153 		5.2
5 		3.4
10/11 		2.6
8 		1.7
7 		– – – 1.6
Gallup[428] 1–21 Jul 2004 2,019 78.2 42.0 37.8 5.4 3.1 2.5 1.5 – – – 4.2
CIS[429][430] 9–16 Jul 2004 2,487 68.4 44.0 36.8 5.0 2.8 2.6 1.5 – – – 7.2
ASEP[a][111] 15 Jul 2004 1,212 76.0 43.8 37.3 – – – – – – – 6.5
Vox Pública/El Periódico[431] 28–30 Jun 2004 1,504 ? 44.2 38.7 5.7 2.5 2.0 1.3 – – – 5.5
Gallup[432][433] 2–23 Jun 2004 2,024 79.5 43.8 36.3 5.2 3.2 2.2 1.6 – – – 7.5
Opina/Cadena SER[434][435][436] 17 Jun 2004 1,000 ? 45.0 37.0 4.5 3.0 2.9 1.5 – – – 8.0
ASEP[a][111] 15 Jun 2004 1,212 73.3 42.7 36.6 – – – – – – – 6.1
2004 EP election 13 Jun 2004 — 45.1 43.5
(163) 		41.2
(157) 		4.1
(3) 		2.4
(9) 		1.8
(5) 		1.6
(7) 		0.6
(3) 		0.9
(2) 		– 2.3
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[437][91] 1–2 Jun 2004 1,000 ? 42.6 37.9 5.2 – – – – – – 4.7
Opina/El País[438][439] 24 May 2004 1,000 75 45.0 37.0 4.5 2.5 2.5 1.5 – – – 8.0
Gallup[440] 3–21 May 2004 2,021 79.6 44.7 35.8 5.4 3.2 2.5 1.5 – – – 8.9
ASEP[a][111] 15 May 2004 1,212 78.9 46.9 33.3 – – – – – – – 13.6
Opina/Cadena SER[441][442] 13 May 2004 1,000 ? 47.0 37.0 4.5 3.0 – 1.0 – – – 10.0
CIS[443][444] 22–27 Apr 2004 2,493 77.6 45.8 35.4 4.9 2.7 2.3 1.3 – – – 10.4
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[445][91] 26 Apr 2004 ? ? 45.1 39.2 3.6 – – – – – – 5.9
Gallup[446][447] 1–21 Apr 2004 2,019 79.9 44.1 37.0 5.0 3.2 2.4 1.5 – – – 7.1
ASEP[a][111] 15 Apr 2004 1,212 77.9 44.1 35.5 – – – – – – – 8.6
Vox Pública/El Periódico[448] 13–15 Apr 2004 1,501 ? 45.0 36.9 5.5 2.7 2.2 1.4 – – – 8.1
Opina/El País[449][450] 30 Mar 2004 1,000 ? 43.6 37.9 5.0 3.0 – 1.7 – – – 5.7
Opina/Cadena SER[451][452][453] 18 Mar 2004 ? ? 45.0 35.0 5.0 3.5 – 1.8 – – – 10.0
2004 general election 14 Mar 2004 — 75.7 42.6
164 		37.7
148 		5.0
5 		3.2
10 		2.5
8 		1.6
7 		0.9
3 		0.8
2 		– 4.9

Voting preferences[edit]

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

Victory preference[edit]

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a general election taking place.

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

Victory likelihood[edit]

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a general election taking place.

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

Sub-national polling[edit]

Catalonia[edit]

Color key:

  Exit poll

Leadership polling[edit]

Main article: Leadership opinion polling for the 2008 Spanish general election

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as Undecided and/or abstentionists excluded.
  2. ^ a b c With Alberto Ruiz-Gallardón within PP's Congress lists.

References[edit]

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