Opinion polling for the 2023 Spanish general election

From Wikipedia the free encyclopedia

In the run up to the 2023 Spanish general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Spain during the term of the 14th Cortes Generales. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 10 November 2019, to the day the next election was held, on 23 July 2023.

Voting intention estimates refer mainly to a hypothetical Congress of Deputies election. Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Electoral polling

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Nationwide polling

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Graphical summary

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Local regression trend line of poll results from 10 November 2019 to 23 July 2023, with each line corresponding to a political party.

Voting intention estimates

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The table below lists nationwide voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 176 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Congress of Deputies.

2023 (Podemos w/i Sumar)
[edit]
Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PSOE PP Vox Sumar ERC Junts PNV EH Bildu CUP CCa BNG UPN EV Lead
2023 general election 23 Jul 70.4 31.7
121
33.1
137
12.4
33
12.3
31
1.9
7
1.6
7
1.1
5
1.4
6
0.4
0
0.5
1
0.6
1
0.2
1
0.1
0
1.4
Ipsos[1][2] 22 Jul ? ? 28.6
106
34.4
144
11.8
31
13.5
36
2.2
?
1.6
?
1.4
?
1.3
?
0.4
?
0.3
?
0.6
?
0.2
?
5.8
GESOP/Prensa Ibérica[3] 20–22 Jul 1,200 ? 28.8
109/113
31.9
133/137
13.1
34/38
14.2
36/40
?
9/10
?
7/8
3.1
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[1] 18–22 Jul ? ? ?
111/117
?
138/146
?
27/31
?
32/36
?
8
?
8/9
?
6
?
4/6
?
1
?
0/1
?
2
?
0/1
?
Target Point/El Debate[4] 14–22 Jul ? ? 27.9
109/113
37.5
153/158
11.1
25/28
12.3
26/30
9.6
SocioMétrica/El Español[5] 11–22 Jul 6,000 ? 29.1
109/115
32.4
134/140
13.8
35/39
13.0
32/35
2.0
7/8
1.8
7/8
1.4
6
1.3
5/6
0.6
1
0.4
1
0.9
2
0.1
0/1
0.2
0/1
3.3
GAD3/Mediaset[6] 10–22 Jul 10,004 ? 28.6
109/115
35.5
147/153
12.7
29/33
11.9
25/29
2.2
8
1.9
7
1.5
5
1.3
6
0.6
1
0.4
1
0.8
2
6.9
SigmaDos/RTVE–FORTA[7] 6–22 Jul 17,550 ? 28.9
113/118
34.2
145/150
11.2
24/27
13.3
28/31
2.7
9
2.3
9
1.7
5
1.6
6
0.7
1
0.4
1
0.5
1/2
0.1
0/1
5.3
GESOP/The Adelaide Review[8] 19–21 Jul 1,200 70–72 28.5
106/110
32.7
134/138
13.0
35/39
14.0
36/40
2.1
8/9
1.5
7/8
4.2
40dB/Prisa[9] 18–21 Jul 2,000 ? 29.4
106/120
31.7
122/136
13.8
38/42
13.8
36/39
?
8
?
7
?
6
?
5
?
1
?
1
?
1
?
0
?
1
2.3
Metroscopia[10] 17–21 Jul 3,000 ? 28.4
99/112
35.3
141/153
13.1
31/39
11.9
23/32
2.0
7/9
1.9
7/8
1.3
5/6
1.1
5/7
0.6
0/1
0.3
1
0.7
1/2
0.2
0/1
0.1
0/1
6.9
GESOP/The Adelaide Review[11] 18–20 Jul 1,200 70–72 29.0
109/114
32.0
130/134
13.0
36/40
14.0
36/40
2.0
8/9
1.8
7/8
3.0
GESOP/The Adelaide Review[12] 17–19 Jul 1,200 ? 28.5
107/111
31.5
129/133
13.5
36/40
14.0
36/40
2.2
8/9
1.8
7/8
3.0
YouGov[13] 18 Jul ? ? 29.0
118
32.0
133
14.0
39
14.0
32
2.0
7
2.0
8
1.3
4
1.0
6
<1.0
1
3.0
GESOP/The Adelaide Review[14] 16–18 Jul 1,200 ? 27.5
105/109
31.0
128/132
14.3
38/42
14.2
36/40
2.2
8/9
1.8
7/8
3.5
KeyData/Público[15] 17 Jul ? 68.0 28.0
107
34.7
146
12.9
32
12.8
31
2.3
9
2.0
8
1.4
5
1.4
6
0.7
1
?
1
?
2
?
1
?
1
6.7
Data10/OKDiario[16] 17 Jul 1,500 ? 27.5
110
36.0
152
12.5
29
12.5
28
2.1
8
2.0
8
8.5
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[17] 16–17 Jul 1,873 ? 28.8
106
34.5
142
12.9
35
13.4
34
2.1
7
1.8
8
1.4
6
1.6
6
0.7
1
0.2
0
1.0
2
0.2
1
0.2
2
5.7
AtlasIntel[18] 15–17 Jul 2,974 ? 29.4 30.8 17.0 16.1 1.3 1.5 0.7 1.7 0.3 1.4
GESOP/The Adelaide Review[19] 15–17 Jul 1,200 ? 28.0
106/110
30.3
124/128
14.6
41/45
14.4
37/40
2.3
8/9
1.8
7/8
2.3
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[20] 10–17 Jul 8,183 71.3 28.0
105/110
35.4
145/150
11.2
26/29
13.6
33/36
2.6
9/10
2.4
9/10
1.1
5
1.0
6
?
1
?
1
?
0/1
?
0/1
7.4
YouGov[21] 6–17 Jul 10,807 ? 28.0
106/123
32.0
124/144
14.0
36/48
14.0
29/38
2.0
7/9
2.0
6/8
1.0
4/6
1.0
4/7
1.0
0/2
4.0
GAD3/ABC[22] 29 Jun–17 Jul 8,001 71 28.6
115
36.9
152
11.7
28
11.5
24
2.3
9
2.0
8
1.3
5
1.3
6
0.5
1
0.4
0
0.6
1
0.1
0
0.1
1
8.3
NC Report/La Razón[23] 15–16 Jul 1,000 66.7 28.3
106/109
37.2
153/156
11.1
26/28
11.3
25/27
2.4
9/10
2.1
8/9
1.5
6
1.4
6
0.7
1
8.9
Data10/OKDiario[24] 14–16 Jul 1,500 ? 26.6
107
35.6
148
13.1
32
12.7
31
9.0
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[25] 12–16 Jul 1,000 ? 28.7
109
34.3
141
12.5
29
14.0
37
?
10
?
8
?
6
?
5
?
1
?
1
?
2
?
0
?
1
5.6
40dB/Prisa[26][27] 12–16 Jul 2,000 ? 28.7
106/113
32.9
131/139
13.5
37/40
13.7
35/39
?
8
?
8
?
5
?
6
?
1
?
1
?
1
?
0
?
1
4.2
Simple Lógica/elDiario.es[28] 11–16 Jul 1,600 ? 28.6
106/114
32.2
130/138
13.9
34/40
13.8
33/39
3.6
SocioMétrica/El Español[29] 11–16 Jul 1,500 ? 28.3
107
33.5
143
13.7
37
13.2
33
2.3
9
1.8
7
1.4
5
1.3
6
0.6
1
0.4
1
0.8
1
5.2
Target Point/El Debate[30] 8–16 Jul ? ? 28.1
107/109
36.4
150/152
12.4
31/33
12.1
29/31
8.3
GAD3/ABC[31] 29 Jun–16 Jul 7,002 71 28.4
115
37.0
151
11.9
29
11.5
25
2.3
8
2.0
8
1.3
5
1.3
6
0.5
1
0.4
0
0.5
1
0.1
0
0.1
1
8.6
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[32] 15 Jul ? ? 28.6
105
34.7
142
13.0
36
13.2
34
?
7
?
8
?
6
?
6
?
1
?
0
?
2
?
1
?
2
6.1
NC Report/La Razón[33] 14–15 Jul 1,000 ? 28.3
104/106
37.1
153/155
11.3
28/30
11.1
27/29
2.4
9/10
2.1
8/9
1.5
6
1.5
6
0.7
1/2
8.8
GESOP/Prensa Ibérica[34] 13–15 Jul 1,200 ? 27.4
104/108
30.6
126/130
15.0
44/48
14.4
37/40
2.1
8/9
1.7
7/8
3.2
Data10/OKDiario[35] 13–15 Jul 1,500 ? 27.0
108
35.7
149
12.9
31
12.7
30
8.7
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[36] 11–15 Jul 1,000 69.9 28.4
107
34.3
140
12.6
33
14.2
37
?
9
?
8
?
5
?
6
?
1
?
1
?
2
?
0
?
1
5.9
40dB/Prisa[37][38] 11–15 Jul 2,000 ? 28.1
100/112
32.6
130/141
14.2
38/43
13.9
37/39
?
8
?
8
?
5
?
6
?
1
?
1
?
1
?
0
?
1
4.5
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[39] 9–15 Jul 5,622 70.9 28.3
106/110
35.0
146/149
11.8
28/30
13.2
33/35
2.7
9/10
2.5
9/10
1.1
5
1.0
6
?
1
?
1
?
0/1
?
0/1
6.7
Target Point/El Debate[40] 7–15 Jul ? ? 28.5
108/110
36.3
150/152
12.3
31/33
11.8
28/30
7.8
GAD3/ABC[41] 29 Jun–15 Jul 6,501 71 28.5
113/117
37.2
149/154
11.7
28/30
11.4
25
2.3
8
2.0
8
1.2
5
1.3
6
0.5
1
0.4
0
0.5
1
0.1
0
0.1
0/1
8.7
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[42] 14 Jul 813 ? 29.3
108
34.7
143
12.8
34
13.1
34
1.9
7
1.7
7
1.3
5
1.6
6
0.7
1
0.3
0
1.0
2
0.3
1
0.2
2
5.4
NC Report/La Razón[43] 13–14 Jul 1,000 62.9 28.0
103/105
36.8
152/154
11.7
29/31
11.4
28/30
2.4
9/10
2.1
8/9
1.5
6
1.5
6/7
0.7
1/2
8.8
Cluster17/El Grand Continent[44] 12–14 Jul ? ? 28.9
108
33.6
136
13.7
37
13.5
35
2.3
9
2.3
9
1.1
5
1.3
5
0.7
1
0.3
1
0.8
2
0.3
1
0.5
1
4.7
Data10/OKDiario[45] 12–14 Jul 1,500 ? 26.6
105
35.6
148
13.1
32
12.8
31
9.0
IMOP/El Confidencial[46] 11–14 Jul 1,843 ? 28.2
98/108
32.9
134/142
14.5
38/42
12.8
31/34
2.2
8/9
2.0
8/9
1.4
6
1.2
6
0.8
1
0.3
0/1
0.9
2
0.2
1
0.1
1/2
4.7
InvyMark/laSexta[47] 10–14 Jul ? ? 26.3 33.5 13.8 13.7 7.2
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[48] 10–14 Jul 1,000 ? 28.1
106
34.1
139
12.3
33
14.8
39
?
9
?
9
?
5
?
6
?
0
?
1
?
2
?
0
?
1
6.0
40dB/Prisa[49][50] 10–14 Jul 2,000 ? 28.3
102/114
32.0
126/138
14.6
38/44
13.8
38/39
?
8
?
8
?
5
?
6
?
1
?
1
?
1
?
0
?
1
3.7
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[51] 8–14 Jul 4,715 71.0 27.9
104/107
34.6
145/148
12.4
34/36
13.1
34/36
2.6
9
2.4
8/9
1.1
5/6
1.0
6
6.7
Simple Lógica/elDiario.es[52] 6–14 Jul 1,300 ? 28.4
102/110
32.2
131/139
13.4
32/38
13.7
33/39
3.8
Target Point/El Debate[53] 6–14 Jul ? ? 28.2
107/109
36.0
149/151
12.7
32/34
11.8
28/30
7.8
GAD3/ABC[54] 29 Jun–14 Jul 6,501 71 28.5
115
37.2
152
11.7
29
11.4
25
2.3
8
2.0
8
1.2
5
1.3
6
0.5
1
0.4
0
0.5
1
0.1
0
0.1
0
8.7
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[55] 13 Jul ? ? 29.2
106
34.2
142
13.3
36
13.0
34
?
7
?
8
?
5
?
6
?
1
?
0
?
2
?
1
?
2
5.0
DYM/Henneo[56] 12–13 Jul 1,021 ? 27.1
102/106
35.5
145/150
12.3
31/35
13.1
31/35
8.4
NC Report/La Razón[57] 12–13 Jul 1,000 64.0 27.8
103/105
36.6
151/153
11.9
29/31
11.5
28/30
2.5
10
2.1
8/9
1.5
6
1.5
6/7
0.6
1/2
8.8
Data10/OKDiario[58] 11–13 Jul 1,500 ? 26.3
106
35.5
147
13.5
33
12.7
31
9.2
Hamalgama Métrica/VozPópuli[59] 10–13 Jul 1,000 ? 27.5
104
36.3
147
13.8
36
12.1
29
2.2
9
2.0
8
1.4
5
1.5
6
0.7
1
0.3
1
0.7
2
0.2
1
0.1
1
8.8
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[60] 9–13 Jul 1,000 70.8 27.7
105
33.2
135
12.8
37
14.3
38
?
9
?
9
?
5
?
6
?
1
?
2
?
2
?
0
?
1
5.5
40dB/Prisa[61][62] 9–13 Jul 2,000 ? 29.1
105/114
32.6
130/139
14.4
38/44
12.6
30/36
?
8
?
8
?
5
?
6
?
1
?
1
?
2
?
0
?
1
3.5
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[63] 7–13 Jul 4,816 71.2 28.0
104/107
34.6
145/148
12.6
34/36
13.0
34/36
2.5
9
2.4
8/9
1.2
5/6
1.0
6
6.6
Simple Lógica/elDiario.es[64] 5–13 Jul 1,300 ? 28.2
101/109
32.0
130/138
14.1
35/41
14.0
34/40
3.8
Target Point/El Debate[65] 5–13 Jul 1,132 ? 27.6
104/106
35.9
148/150
13.4
35/37
12.1
28/30
8.3
GAD3/ABC[66] 29 Jun–13 Jul 6,003 70 28.5
112
36.8
152
12.3
31
11.3
25
2.3
9
2.0
8
1.2
5
1.3
6
0.5
1
0.4
0
0.5
1
0.1
0
0.1
0
8.3
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[67] 12 Jul 1,012 ? 29.0
106
34.4
142
13.7
36
12.8
34
2.0
7
1.7
8
1.4
6
1.5
5
0.7
1
0.3
0
1.0
2
0.3
1
0.2
2
5.4
NC Report/La Razón[68] 11–12 Jul 1,000 64.2 27.7
105/108
36.3
149/151
12.0
30/32
11.9
29/31
2.6
10
2.1
8/9
1.5
5/6
1.5
5/6
0.6
1/2
8.6
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[69] 11–12 Jul ? ? 29.1
106
34.3
142
13.6
36
13.0
34
?
7
?
8
?
6
?
5
?
1
?
0
?
2
?
1
?
2
5.2
CIS (SocioMétrica)[a][70] 10–12 Jul 8,798 ? 29.0
107/112
32.1
135/143
14.1
38/40
13.8
36/38
1.8
?
1.3
?
1.2
?
1.2
?
0.6
?
0.2
?
0.8
?
0.1
?
0.1
?
3.1
CIS[71][72] ? 32.2 30.8 11.8 14.9 2.1 1.4 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.9 0.2 0.1 1.4
Celeste-Tel/Onda Cero[73][74] 10–12 Jul 1,100 63.2 28.4
103
36.5
151
11.4
30
11.5
29
2.3
9
2.1
8
1.4
6
1.5
7
0.9
2
0.4
1
0.8
2
0.2
1
0.1
1
8.1
SocioMétrica/El Español[75] 9–12 Jul 800 ? 28.6
106
33.8
141
13.9
38
12.7
32
2.2
9
1.9
8
1.3
5
1.4
5
0.6
1
0.4
1
0.8
2
0.3
1
0.4
1
5.2
40dB/Prisa[76][77] 8–12 Jul 2,000 ? 29.5
106/119
31.8
123/139
14.8
39/45
12.6
30/36
?
8
?
8
?
5
?
6
?
1
?
1
?
1
?
0
?
1
2.3
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[78] 6–12 Jul 1,000 69.7 28.0
106
33.4
137
12.8
36
13.5
36
?
11
?
9
?
4
?
7
?
0
?
1
?
2
?
0
?
1
5.4
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[79] 6–12 Jul 4,608 71.0 28.1
104/107
34.5
144/147
12.8
34/36
12.8
34/36
2.4
9
2.4
8/9
1.1
5/6
1.0
6
6.4
Simple Lógica/elDiario.es[80] 4–12 Jul 1,300 ? 28.1
100/108
32.2
132/140
14.2
35/41
14.4
35/41
4.1
Target Point/El Debate[81] 4–12 Jul 1,601 ? 27.6
104/106
35.8
147/149
13.0
34/36
12.5
29/31
8.2
GAD3/ABC[82] 29 Jun–12 Jul 5,502 69 28.2
110
36.7
152
12.4
31
11.6
27
2.3
9
2.0
8
1.2
5
1.3
6
0.5
1
0.4
0
0.5
1
0.1
0
0.1
0
8.5
Data10/OKDiario[83] 11 Jul 1,500 ? 26.2
106
35.3
145
13.7
34
12.4
30
9.1
NC Report/La Razón[84] 10–11 Jul 1,000 64.4 27.8
104/107
36.0
147/149
12.4
31/34
12.2
30/31
2.7
10/11
2.1
8/9
1.4
6
1.3
5/6
0.7
1/2
8.2
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[85] 10–11 Jul 2,788 ? 29.1
107
34.0
141
13.4
36
13.2
34
2.0
7
1.8
8
1.2
6
1.4
5
0.7
1
0.3
0
1.1
2
0.3
1
0.2
2
4.9
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[86] 7–11 Jul 1,000 ? 28.1
106
33.7
137
12.6
36
13.7
36
?
11
?
8
?
5
?
6
?
1
?
1
?
2
?
0
?
1
5.6
40dB/Prisa[87][88] 7–11 Jul 2,000 ? 29.5
107/119
31.2
122/135
14.7
38/44
13.3
35/38
?
8
?
8
?
5
?
6
?
1
?
1
?
1
?
0
?
1
1.7
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[89] 5–11 Jul 4,455 71.5 28.6
105/109
34.4
142/146
13.0
35/37
12.7
33/35
2.1
8/9
2.0
8
1.1
5/6
1.0
6
5.8
Target Point/El Debate[90] 4–11 Jul 1,263 ? 28.1
107/109
35.5
146/148
12.8
32/34
12.2
27/29
7.4
Simple Lógica/elDiario.es[91] 3–11 Jul 1,300 ? 28.8
107/117
31.1
122/132
14.5
36/42
15.0
37/43
2.3
GAD3/ABC[92] 29 Jun–11 Jul 5,001 69 27.9
109
36.7
153
12.0
29
12.0
28
2.3
9
2.0
8
1.3
5
1.3
6
0.5
1
0.4
0
0.6
2
0.1
0
0.1
0
8.8
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[93] 9–10 Jul 1,004 ? 29.6
109
33.0
136
13.6
37
13.4
34
?
8
?
8
?
6
?
5
?
1
?
1
?
2
?
1
?
2
3.4
DYM/Henneo[94] 7–10 Jul 1,021 ? 27.7
105/108
33.7
138/142
13.4
36/39
13.4
32/35
6.0
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[95] 6–10 Jul 1,000 ? 28.1
106
33.1
136
13.8
38
13.5
37
?
10
?
8
?
4
?
7
?
1
?
0
?
2
?
0
?
1
5.0
40dB/Prisa[96][97] 6–10 Jul 2,000 ? 29.7
107/121
30.8
120/132
15.2
41/47
13.0
33/36
?
9
?
8
?
5
?
6
?
1
?
1
?
1
?
0
?
1
1.1
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[98] 4–10 Jul 4,482 72.3 28.6
105/109
34.6
143/147
12.7
34/36
12.3
30/32
2.2
8/9
2.0
8
1.1
5/6
1.1
6
6.0
Simple Lógica/elDiario.es[99] 3–10 Jul 997 ? 28.8
107/117
30.9
122/132
14.5
35/42
14.9
37/43
2.1
GAD3/ABC[100] 29 Jun–10 Jul 4,003 69 28.6
113
36.3
151
12.3
30
12.0
27
2.2
8
1.9
8
1.2
5
1.3
6
0.5
1
0.4
0
0.5
1
0.1
0
0.1
0
7.7
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[101] 8–9 Jul 877 ? 29.6
110
32.8
137
13.5
37
13.3
34
2.0
7
1.7
7
1.4
6
1.4
5
0.6
1
0.4
1
1.0
2
0.3
1
0.4
2
3.2
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[102] 5–9 Jul 1,000 ? 27.7
105
33.7
138
14.5
37
13.6
36
?
11
?
8
?
4
?
7
?
1
?
0
?
2
?
0
?
1
6.0
40dB/Prisa[103][104] 4–9 Jul 2,500 ? 29.3
106/119
31.0
121/133
15.0
39/46
13.5
36/39
?
8
?
8
?
5
?
6
?
1
?
1
?
1
?
0
?
1
1.7
SocioMétrica/El Español[105] 2–9 Jul 800 ? 28.6
108
33.4
138
13.6
38
13.0
33
2.4
9
2.0
8
1.4
6
1.3
5
0.6
1
0.3
1
0.7
1
0.3
1
0.4
1
4.8
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[106] 7–8 Jul ? ? 29.5
111
32.5
135
14.0
37
13.4
34
?
7
?
8
?
6
?
5
?
1
?
1
?
2
?
1
?
2
3.0
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[107] 4–8 Jul 1,000 ? 27.8
106
31.1
129
15.1
44
13.6
37
?
10
?
9
?
5
?
6
?
1
?
1
?
2
?
0
?
1
3.3
40dB/Prisa[108][109] 4–8 Jul 2,000 ? 29.2
105/118
31.4
122/138
14.7
38/44
13.5
35/39
?
8
?
8
?
5
?
6
?
1
?
1
?
1
?
0
?
1
2.2
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[110] 3–8 Jul 4,506 71.8 28.3
105/108
34.9
144/147
12.8
34/37
12.5
30/33
2.1
8/9
2.0
8/9
1.1
6
1.0
5/6
6.6
GAD3/ABC[111] 29 Jun–8 Jul 4,001 70 28.8
114
36.3
151
12.3
30
11.8
26
2.3
9
1.8
7
1.2
5
1.3
6
0.5
1
0.4
0
0.5
1
0.1
0
0.1
0
7.5
Data10/OKDiario[112] 5–7 Jul 1,500 ? 25.5
104
34.4
142
14.2
36
13.0
31
2.5
10
2.3
9
1.6
6
1.4
6
0.6
1
0.4
1
0.9
2
0.3
1
0.1
1
8.9
Target Point/El Debate[113] 4–7 Jul 1,020 ? 28.2
107/109
34.9
144/146
13.3
33/35
12.2
27/29
6.7
40dB/Prisa[114][115] 4–7 Jul 1,500 ? 29.3
104/118
31.5
121/138
14.9
39/47
13.1
33/37
?
8
?
8
?
5
?
6
?
1
?
1
?
1
?
0
?
1
2.2
NC Report/La Razón[116] 3–7 Jul 1,000 65.1 27.4
103/105
35.7
147/149
12.6
32/34
12.4
29/31
2.8
10/11
2.1
8/9
1.4
6
1.3
5/6
0.7
1/2
8.3
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[117] 3–7 Jul 1,000 ? 26.9
104
30.4
128
15.6
47
14.5
38
?
9
?
9
?
5
?
6
?
0
?
1
?
2
?
0
?
1
3.5
InvyMark/laSexta[118] 3–7 Jul ? ? 26.1 32.4 14.3 13.7 6.3
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[119] 1–7 Jul 4,533 71.7 28.2
104/106
35.0
145/147
12.8
35/37
12.5
30/32
2.2
8/9
2.0
8/9
1.1
6
1.0
6
6.8
GAD3/ABC[120] 29 Jun–7 Jul 3,502 70 28.9
115
36.3
150
12.1
29
11.9
26
2.2
9
1.9
8
1.2
5
1.3
6
0.5
1
0.4
0
0.5
1
0.1
0
0.1
0
7.4
KeyData/Público[121] 6 Jul ? 69.3 27.0
103
33.7
140
13.9
39
13.1
33
2.6
10
2.1
8
1.4
5
1.4
6
0.7
1
?
1
?
2
?
1
?
1
6.7
IMOP/El Confidencial[122] 4–6 Jul 1,559 70 27.7
104/106
32.9
136/139
14.2
40/44
13.0
32/35
2.3
8/10
2.2
8/10
1.5
6
1.3
5/6
0.9
1/2
0.3
0/1
1.0
2/3
0.3
1
0.1
0/1
5.2
Ipsos/La Vanguardia[123] 3–6 Jul 2,001 70 28.2
102/113
35.3
138/147
12.6
32/39
12.9
31/39
1.6
7
1.8
8/9
1.2
5/6
1.3
5
0.5
1
0.3
0/1
0.6
1/2
?
0
0.3
1/2
7.1
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[124] 30 Jun–6 Jul 4,518 71.9 28.4
104/108
34.7
142/145
12.7
34/35
12.6
30/32
2.1
8/9
2.0
8/9
1.2
6
1.1
6
6.3
YouGov[125] 29 Jun–6 Jul 10,480 ? 28.0
101/119
31.0
122/142
14.0
39/52
14.0
30/40
2.0
6/8
2.0
7/9
1.0
3/5
1.0
5/7
1.0
1/3
3.0
GAD3/ABC[126] 29 Jun–6 Jul 3,001 69 28.6
110
36.4
152
12.2
31
12.2
27
2.1
9
1.8
7
1.2
5
1.3
6
0.5
1
0.4
0
0.5
1
0.1
0
0.1
1
7.8
Top Position[127] 28 Jun–6 Jul 3,200 ? 28.1
104
34.2
145
13.3
34
12.8
32
6.1
40dB/Prisa[128][129] 4–5 Jul 1,000 ? 29.5
107/118
31.3
119/134
14.8
38/45
13.4
35/39
?
8
?
8
?
5
?
6
?
1
?
1
?
1
?
0
?
1
1.8
CIS[130][131] 30 Jun–5 Jul 4,166 ? 31.0 29.6 11.7 15.5 1.7 1.1 1.1 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.8 0.2 0.1 1.4
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[132] 29 Jun–5 Jul 2,003 ? 29.5
112
32.0
134
13.7
37
13.5
36
2.0
7
1.8
8
1.4
6
1.4
5
0.7
1
0.4
1
1.0
2
0.3
1
0.2
0
2.5
GAD3/ABC[133] 29 Jun–5 Jul 2,502 70 28.5
109
36.4
152
12.2
31
12.3
28
2.1
9
1.8
7
1.2
5
1.3
6
0.5
1
0.4
0
0.5
1
0.1
0
0.1
1
7.9
GAD3/ABC[134] 29 Jun–4 Jul 2,001 69 28.1
107
36.9
155
11.8
29
12.6
30
2.1
9
1.8
7
1.2
5
1.2
5
0.5
1
0.4
0
0.5
1
0.1
0
0.1
1
8.8
Opinòmetre/Ara[135] 27 Jun–4 Jul 1,521 ? 29.0
110/130
32.6
125/140
12.7
22/30
15.5
30/40
2.2
9/11
1.8
7/9
0.9
1/2
3.6
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[136] 24 Jun–4 Jul 4,501 71.8 28.8
106/110
34.3
141/144
13.0
34/35
12.6
29/31
2.1
8/9
2.0
8/9
1.2
5/6
1.1
5/6
5.5
DYM/Henneo[137] 30 Jun–3 Jul 1,018 ? 27.8
105/107
32.8
135/138
13.6
38/40
13.2
31/33
5.0
GAD3/ABC[138] 29 Jun–3 Jul 1,503 69 28.2
106
36.8
154
11.5
27
12.8
32
2.1
9
1.8
7
1.2
5
1.3
6
0.5
1
0.5
1
0.6
1
0.1
0
0.1
1
8.6
Sigma Dos/Antena 3[139] 23 Jun–3 Jul 2,880 ? 28.5
104/106
34.7
142/145
13.2
33/35
12.8
33/35
2.4
8/9
2.2
8/9
?
6
?
6
6.2
SocioMétrica/El Español[140] 25 Jun–2 Jul 800 ? 27.0
102
32.6
140
14.4
41
12.9
32
2.5
10
2.1
8
1.6
6
1.5
5
0.6
1
0.4
1
0.6
1
0.3
1
0.6
2
5.6
Cluster17/El Grand Continent[141] 30 Jun–1 Jul 1,447 ? 27.2
98
32.4
134
14.4
41
14.5
38
2.4
9
2.7
10
1.3
6
1.7
7
0.7
1
0.5
2
0.8
2
0.3
1
0.5
1
5.2
GAD3/ABC[142] 29–30 Jun 1,004 70 28.4
107/111
36.6
150/154
11.5
25/29
12.6
30/34
2.2
9
1.8
7
1.3
5
1.3
6
0.5
1
0.5
1
0.6
1
0.1
0
0.1
1
8.2
NC Report/La Razón[143] 26–30 Jun 1,000 65.2 26.3
99/101
34.4
143/145
13.7
37/39
13.3
31/33
3.0
11
2.1
8
1.5
6
1.3
5/6
0.7
2
8.1
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[144] 26–30 Jun 2,109 ? 28.2
102/105
34.4
140/143
13.5
34/36
12.8
31/33
2.7
10/11
2.4
10/11
1.5
6
1.2
6
?
1/2
?
1
?
0
?
1/2
?
0/2
6.2
Data10/OKDiario[145] 28–29 Jun 1,500 ? 24.5
101
34.2
140
14.6
38
13.4
32
2.6
10
2.4
10
1.6
6
1.4
6
0.7
1
0.4
2
1.0
2
0.2
1
0.1
1
9.7
IMOP/El Confidencial[146] 27–29 Jun 1,043 73 26.2
97/100
32.6
132/135
15.3
44/47
13.3
35/37
2.6
9/11
2.1
8
1.4
6
1.3
5/6
0.8
1
0.3
1
1.1
2/3
1.4
1/2
1.0
1/2
6.4
GAD3/NIUS[147] 27–28 Jun 1,005 70 28.5
106/110
36.6
149/153
11.6
26/30
12.7
30/34
2.2
9
1.6
7
1.2
5
1.3
6
0.5
1
0.4
1
0.6
1
0.1
0
0.1
1
8.1
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[148] 22–28 Jun 1,812 ? 29.0
109
32.1
134
13.9
39
13.6
36
2.0
7
1.7
8
1.4
6
1.4
5
0.7
1
0.4
1
1.0
2
0.3
1
0.2
1
3.1
CIS (SocioMétrica)[a][149] 8–27 Jun 29,201 71.2 26.3
99
33.8
142
14.9
42
14.3
38
1.5
6
1.7
8
1.1
6
1.1
5
0.8
2
0.3
0
0.7
2
0.0
0
0.2
0
7.5
CIS[150][151] ? 31.2
115/135
31.4
122/140
10.6
21/29
16.4
43/50
1.6
5/7
1.1
3/6
1.0
3/5
1.2
4/7
0.6
0/1
0.3
0/1
1.0
2/3
0.1
0/1
0.2
40dB/Prisa[152][153] 23–26 Jun 2,000 ? 28.7
104/119
30.9
118/132
15.1
40/47
12.8
33/35
?
9
?
10
?
6
?
5
?
1
?
1
?
2
?
1
?
1
2.2
DYM/Henneo[154] 16–26 Jun 1,522 ? 28.4
106/109
33.2
137/140
13.2
36/38
12.5
29/31
4.8
SocioMétrica/El Español[155] 18–25 Jun 800 ? 25.5
94
32.1
138
14.7
44
13.5
35
2.5
10
2.3
9
1.5
6
1.8
7
0.7
1
0.4
1
0.7
2
0.3
1
0.7
2
6.6
NC Report/La Razón[156] 19–24 Jun 1,000 65.3 25.9
97/99
34.3
144/146
13.9
38/40
13.1
31/33
3.1
11/12
2.0
8
1.6
6
1.3
5/6
0.8
2
8.4
Data10/OKDiario[157] 22–23 Jun 1,500 ? 24.0
100
34.4
141
14.9
39
13.1
29
2.6
10
2.4
11
1.5
6
1.4
7
0.7
1
0.4
2
1.1
2
0.3
1
0.1
1
10.4
InvyMark/laSexta[158] 19–23 Jun 1,200 ? 24.7 31.8 15.0 14.4 7.1
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[159] 16–23 Jun 2,188 ? 28.4
102
34.0
140
13.4
35
13.7
35
2.7
11
2.3
10
1.5
6
1.2
6
5.6
KeyData/Público[160] 22 Jun ? 69.5 26.6
102
33.6
140
14.4
41
13.0
32
2.5
10
2.1
8
1.4
6
1.3
5
0.9
1
?
1
?
2
?
1
?
1
7.0
Celeste-Tel/Onda Cero[161][162] 19–21 Jun 1,100 65.1 26.7
99
34.2
140
14.0
40
12.8
32
3.0
12
2.3
9
1.5
6
1.3
5
0.9
2
0.3
1
0.9
2
0.3
1
0.1
1
7.5
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[163] 16–21 Jun 2,807 ? 28.0
105
32.2
137
14.4
39
13.5
37
2.2
7
1.8
8
1.5
6
1.4
5
0.6
1
0.4
1
1.0
2
0.3
1
0.2
1
4.2
DYM/Henneo[164] 16–19 Jun 1,015 ? 27.6
103/106
33.8
138/141
13.3
36/39
11.9
28/30
6.2
NC Report/La Razón[165] 12–17 Jun 1,000 64.9 25.5
96/98
34.7
145/147
14.1
38/40
12.9
30/32
3.0
11/12
2.0
8
1.5
5/6
1.3
5/6
0.8
2
9.2
SocioMétrica/El Español[166] 10–17 Jun 800 ? 25.4
94
32.6
135
14.8
46
12.9
34
2.4
9
2.5
10
1.5
6
1.6
7
0.8
1
0.5
2
0.8
2
0.3
1
0.8
3
7.2
InvyMark/laSexta[167] 12–16 Jun 1,200 ? 24.1 32.1 14.8 14.1 8.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[168] 8–16 Jun 2,977 ? 28.7
105
34.1
141
13.2
36
12.8
30
2.9
12
2.4
8
1.6
6
1.2
5
5.4
Data10/OKDiario[169] 14–15 Jun 1,500 ? 23.2
98
34.3
140
15.4
42
13.3
29
2.6
10
2.5
11
1.5
6
1.5
7
0.7
1
0.5
2
1.0
2
0.3
1
0.1
1
11.1
IMOP/El Confidencial[170] 12–15 Jun 1,008 ? 24.5
94/96
33.3
136/138
14.9
44/45
15.0
37/39
2.3
8/9
2.2
8
1.4
6
1.2
5/6
0.7
5/6
0.3
1
0.9
2
0.3
1/2
0.2
2
8.8
Hamalgama Métrica/VozPópuli[171] 12–15 Jun 1,000 ? 25.9
98
32.4
132
15.8
50
13.1
31
2.9
11
2.2
9
1.5
6
1.4
6
0.8
2
0.3
1
0.8
2
0.2
1
0.1
1
6.5
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[172] 10–15 Jun 3,715 ? 26.9
102
32.5
137
14.8
40
14.0
38
2.2
8
1.8
8
1.5
6
1.3
5
0.7
1
0.4
1
1.0
2
0.3
1
0.2
1
5.6
40dB/Prisa[173][174] 12–14 Jun 2,000 ? 27.4
99/109
33.1
128/142
13.8
37/41
13.1
34/36
?
10
?
8
?
6
?
5
?
1
?
1
?
2
?
1
?
1
5.7
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[175] 5–13 Jun 1,013 ? 26.6 32.6 13.9 13.4 2.5 2.2 2.0 1.7 0.9 6.0
Sigma Dos/Antena 3[176] 5–13 Jun 1,515 ? ?
102/104
?
144/146
?
31/33
?
30/33
?
12/13
?
8/9
?
6
?
5
?
SocioMétrica/El Español[177] 8–10 Jun 1,010 ? 25.4
94
32.1
134
15.0
47
12.7
33
2.4
10
2.5
11
1.6
6
1.7
7
0.7
1
0.4
1
0.9
2
0.3
1
1.1
3
6.7
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[178] 3–10 Jun 3,557 ? 25.9
96
31.4
129
16.0
48
14.8
44
2.0
8
1.8
8
1.5
6
1.4
5
0.7
1
0.4
1
1.0
2
0.3
1
0.2
1
5.5
Data10/OKDiario[179] 7–8 Jun 1,500 ? 22.8
96
34.1
139
15.6
44
13.6
30
2.6
10
2.6
11
1.5
6
1.6
7
0.8
1
0.6
2
0.9
2
0.2
1
0.1
1
11.3
GAD3/ABC[180][181] 5–8 Jun 2,007 70 27.7
101/104
36.6
150/153
12.4
33/35
11.2
27/29
2.3
9
1.9
8
1.3
6
1.4
5
0.8
2
0.5
1
0.7
2
0.1
0
0.1
1
8.9
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[182] 5–8 Jun 1,711 ? 27.6
103
34.6
145
11.9
31
12.6
33
3.0
12
2.3
8
1.5
6
1.1
5
7.0
Simple Lógica/elDiario.es[183] 1–8 Jun 1,027 73.4 27.9 34.1 14.1 12.8 6.2
CIS (SocioMétrica)[a][184] 31 May–7 Jun 7,407 ? 26.9
100
33.5
138
15.9
49
11.5
30
6.6
CIS[185][186] ? 31.2 30.7 10.6 14.3 1.8 1.6 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.5
2023 (after Sumar)
[edit]
2023 (before Sumar)
[edit]
2022
[edit]
2019–2021
[edit]

Voting preferences

[edit]

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

Victory preferences

[edit]

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a general election taking place.

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

Victory likelihood

[edit]

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a general election taking place.

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls