Results of the 2018 Taiwanese magistrate/mayor elections

The 2018 Taiwanese municipal elections for both mayoral and magisterial candidates were held on 24 November 2018, as part of the larger local elections in Taiwan.

2018 municipal election candidate nominations[edit]

Nominations for 2018 municipal elections
Date Party/wave Nominations and details
24 September 2017 DPP The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) held its national congress, mainly to gain support in the upcoming local and municipal elections, giving the incumbent a priority to be nominated.[1]
29 November 2017 DPP/01
20 December 2017 KMT/01
Primary winner Wang Huei-mei (Changhua County)[3]
27 December 2017 DPP/02
31 January 2018 KMT/02
7 February 2018 KMT/03 Hsieh Li-kung (Keelung City) after negotiation due to opinion poll error[6]
21 February 2018 KMT/04 Lu Shiow-yen (Taichung City)[7]
27 February 2018 KMT/05 Huang Min-hui (Chiayi City)[8]
14 March 2018 DPP/03
21 March 2018 KMT/06 Lai Feng-wei (Penghu County)[10]
11 April 2018 KMT/07
25 April 2018 KMT/08
25 April 2018 DPP/04
9 May 2018 KMT/09
23 May 2018 KMT/10
30 May 2018 DPP/05 Pasuya Yao (Taipei City)
13 June 2018 KMT/11 Yang Wen-ke (Hsinchu County)

Results summary[edit]

Bold represents incumbent re-elected.

Elected special municipalities mayors and county magistrates
County/City Elected candidate Party
Keelung City Lin Yu-chang DPP
New Taipei Hou You-yi KMT
Taipei Ko Wen-je Ind
Taoyuan Cheng Wen-tsan DPP
Hsinchu County Yang Wen-ke KMT
Hsinchu City Lin Chih-chien DPP
Miaoli Hsu Yao-chang KMT
Taichung Lu Shiow-yen KMT
Nantou Lin Ming-chen KMT
Changhua Wang Huei-mei KMT
Yunlin Chang Li-shan KMT
Chiayi Weng Chang-liang DPP
Chiayi City Huang Min-hui KMT
Tainan Huang Wei-cher DPP
Kaohsiung Han Kuo-yu KMT
Pingtung Pan Men-an DPP
Yilan Lin Zi-miao KMT
Hualien Hsu Chen-wei KMT
Taitung Rao Ching-ling KMT
Penghu Lai Feng-wei KMT
Kinmen Yang Cheng-wu KMT
Lienchiang Liu Cheng-ying KMT
Changes in seats
Party Seats in 2018 Seats in 2014 Change
DPP 6 13 Decrease 7
KMT 15 6 Increase 9
Ind/Other 1 3 Decrease 2
Special municipalities/County/City re-elected incumbent
County/City Previous control New Control
Taipei Ko Wen-je Ind
Keelung City Lin Yu-chang DPP
Taoyuan Cheng Wen-tsan DPP
Hsinchu City Lin Chih-chien DPP
Miaoli Hsu Yao-chang KMT
Nantou Lin Ming-chen KMT
Pingtung Pan Men-an DPP
Lienchiang Liu Cheng-ying KMT
Special municipalities/County/City switching control
County/City Previous control New Control
Taichung DPP KMT
Kaohsiung DPP KMT
Changhua DPP KMT
Yunlin DPP KMT
Chiayi City DPP KMT
Yilan DPP KMT
Hualien Ind KMT
Penghu DPP KMT
Kinmen Ind KMT

Special municipality[edit]

Taipei[edit]

Political context prior to the elections

Taipei City
Highest vote share
Party Year Vote share %
‹See Tfd›Democratic Progressive Party 2016 presidential election 52%
Kuomintang 2002 local elections 64%
2016 election results
Party Presidential % Legislative seats Legislative %
‹See Tfd›Democratic Progressive Party 51.96% 2 14.14%
Kuomintang 37.49% 5 39.66%
New Power Party - 1 6.60%
Taiwan Solidarity Union - 0 0.95%
People First Party 10.55% 0 5.95%
Independent/Others - 0 32.71%

Results of the primary

2018 Kuomintang Taipei City mayoral primary results
Candidates Place TVBS Apollo Survey & Research UDN Aggregated Result
Ting Shou-chung Nominated 48.395% 46.778% 47.741% 47.634%
Sun Ta-chien 2nd 17.891% 18.845% 17.878% 18.205%
Chang Hsien-yao 3rd 17.073% 17.909% 16.723% 17.235%
Chung Siao Ping 4th 16.651% 16.468% 17.658% 16.926%
2018 Democratic Progressive Party Taipei City mayoral primary results
Candidates Place Results
Pasuya Yao Called in Results not released
Annette Lu Results not released

Opinion polls

Poll organization Date of completion Ko Wen-je Ting Shou-chung Pasuya Yao Not sure Lead
TVBS May 4, 2017 40% 39% 9% 12% 1%
TVBS May 4, 2017 46% 41% 13% 5%
Real Survey May 23, 2017 39.9% 43.1% 17% 3.2%
TISR June 21, 2017 43.3% 32.2% 24.5% 11.1%
Formosa July 13, 2017 47.2% 31.3% 21.5% 15.9%
Sanli July 17, 2017 32.1% 31.8% 15.7% 20.4% 0.3%
ETtoday September 20, 2017 72.5% 17.5% 10% 55%
TCF November 23, 2017 42.7% 36.9% 20.4% 5.8%
Formosa December 12, 2017 46.0% 32.7% 21.3% 15.3%
Formosa December 12, 2017 43.1% 28.2% 11.4% 17.3% 14.9%
TISR1 December 14, 2017 36.6% 15.7% 6.8% 22% 20.9%
Real Survey February 9, 2018 44.2% 26.6% 16.1% 13.1% 17.6%
Sanli February 12, 2018 39.8% 30.3% 13.9% 16% 9.5%
Sanli February 12, 2018 47.0% 39.1% 13.9% 7.9%
Focus Survey Research February 25, 2018 47.6% 25.6% 15.2% 11.6% 22%
Focus Survey Research February 25, 2018 54.7% 31.1% 14.2% 23.6%
ETtoday February 26, 2018 44.0% 39.2% 16.8% 4.8%
GSSC March 7, 2018 47.5% 40.7% 11.8% 6.8%
GSSC March 7, 2018 42.4% 30.9% 13.5% 13.2% 11.5%
Evidence-Based Survey and Research April 25, 2018 35.0% 25.6% 21.5% 17.9% 9.4%
Apollo May 2, 2018 33.0% 33.6% 33.4% 0.6%
TVBS May 2, 2018 31% 38% 31% 7%
Liberty Times Net May 2, 2018 30.69% 37.47% 31.84% 6.78%
ETtoday May 3, 2018 48.5% 32.1% 4.0% 15.4% 16.4%
DPP May 3, 2018 35% 30% 25% 10% 5%
Green Party May 3, 2018 31% 35% 25% 9% 4%
China Times May 13, 2018 36.5% 42.7% 31% 6.2%
Formosa May 14, 2018 41.0% 40.9% 18.1% 0.1%
Formosa May 14, 2018 35.2% 33.1% 15.0% 16.7% 2.1%
ETtoday May 17, 2018 36.4% 37.5% 13.4% 12.7% 1.1%
Liberty Times Net May 21, 2018 39% 41% - 19% 2%
Liberty Times Net May 21, 2018 38% 39% 8% 16% 1%
Taiwan Brain Trust May 22, 2018 41.3% 36.1% 22.6% 5.2%
Taiwan Brain Trust May 22, 2018 39.4% 33.6% 13.8% 13.2% 5.8%
Hsih Shin University May 28, 2018 29.0% 29.1% 13.5% 28.4% 0.1%
TVBS June 1, 2018 31% 33% 13% 23% 2%
China Times June 4, 2018 34.7% 40.2% 12.2% 12.9% 5.5%
CM Media July 11, 2018 38.9% 27.5% 11.0% 22.6% 9.4%
Formosa2 July 12, 2018 38.7% 30.5% 16.4% 6.2% 8.2%
Polls3 July 16, 2018 43.4% 31.8% 8.9% 15.9% 11.6%
TVBS July 24, 2018 40.0% 30.0% 11.0% 19.0% 10%
ETtoday July 30, 2018 42.4% 30.9% 5.4% 21.3% 11.5%
Liberty Times Net4 September 1, 2018 33.43% 24.71% 14.90% 26.96% 8.72%
ETtoday5 September 9, 2018 41.7% 29.9% 8.4% 13.3% 11.8%
Shih Hsin University6 September 12, 2018 34.9% 30.8% 10.4% 21.9% 4.1%
TVBS7 September 16, 2018 37% 32% 11% 20% 5%
Formosa8 September 18, 2018 34.6% 23.5% 11.1% 23.6% 11.1%
UDN9 September 19, 2018 37% 29% 8% 25% 8%
Sanli10 September 29, 2018 36.1% 25.8% 11.1% 25.2% 10.3%
Apollo October 5, 2018 41.6% 27.2% 15.2% 16% 14.4%
Formosa11 October 12, 2018 37.5% 25.0% 11.3% 14.7% 12.5%
Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation12 October 16, 2018 42.1% 28.5% 11.6% 15.2% 13.6%
TVBS13 October 25, 2018 40% 33% 12% 13% 7%
TVBS14 October 25, 2018 34% 29% 11% 12% 5%
Taiwan Competitiveness Forum 15 October 29, 2018 36.6% 34.3% 12.7% 15.7% 2.3%
UDN16 October 30, 2018 38% 35% 8% 18% 3%
Democratic Progressive Party17 October 31, 2018 35.9% 24.4% 19.7% 17.1% 11.5%
Shih Shin University18 Archived 2018-11-09 at the Wayback Machine November 7, 2018 34.1% 31.4% 7.1% 25.9% 2.7%
Formosa19 November 7, 2018 38.6% 27.1% 8.3% 18.0% 11.5%
ETtoday November 8, 2018 38.4% 36.8% 7.6% 17.2% 1.6%
China Times November 11, 2018 33.6% 32.8% 14.6% 17.1% 0.8%
TVBS November 11, 2018 39% 36% 12% 13% 3%
Notes – results for independent candidates:

1 Lee Si-kuen(1.4%)
2 Lee Si-kuen(1.5%)
3 Lee Si-kuen(2.8%)
4 Lee Si-kuen(2.35%)
5 Lee Si-kuen(1.1%)
6 Lee Si-kuen(1.9%); Wu E-yang(0.1%)
7 Lee Si-kuen(1%); Wu E-yang(0.1%)
8 Lee Si-kuen(1.3%); Wu E-yang(0.1%)
9 Lee Si-kuen(1%); Wu E-yang(1%)
10 Lee Si-kuen(1.5%); Wu E-yang(0.3%)
11 Lee Si-kuen(1.9%); Wu E-yang(0.7%)
12 Lee Si-kuen(2.4%); Wu E-yang(0.2%)
13 Lee Si-kuen(1.0%); Wu E-yang(0.0%)
14 Lee Si-kuen(1.0%); Wu E-yang(0.0%)
15 Lee Si-kuen(0.6%); Wu E-yang(0.1%)
16 Lee Si-kuen(1.0%); Wu E-yang(0.1%)
17 Lee Si-kuen(2.9%)
18 Lee Si-kuen(1.4%); Wu E-yang(0.1%)
19 Lee Si-kuen(1.5%); Wu E-yang(0.2%)

Predictions

Poll organization Date of completion Turnout Ko Wen-je Ting Shou-chung Pasuya Yao Lee Si-kuen
Formosa September 20, 2018 >70% 47.4%-49.6% 30.7%-33.1% 16.9%-19.0% 1.3%-1.7%
TVBS October 25, 2018 71% 44% 40% 15% -
Formosa November 7, 2018 >70% 49.1% ~ 52.7% 30.2% ~ 34.4% 14.1% ~ 16.1% -
TVBS November 11, 2018 73% 46% 40% 13% -

Results
According to Civil Servants Election And Recall Act article 69, because Independent Ko Wen-je and Kuomintang's Ting Shou-chung vote percentages are within 0.30 margin, Kuomintang's Ting Shou-chung was entitled to, and did, call for a recount.[16][17][18]

  Ko lead > 1,300
  Ko lead > 300
  Ko lead < 300
  Ting lead < 300
  Ting lead > 300
  Ting lead > 1,300
District Wu E-yang Ting Shou-chung Pasuya Yao Ko Wen-je Lee Si-kuen
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Songshan District (松山區) 428 0.40 46,381 43.36 17,387 16.25 42,356 39.60 420 0.39
Xinyi District (信義區) 502 0.41 53,955 43.99 19,934 16.25 47,762 38.94 512 0.42
Daan District (大安區) 585 0.37 72,325 45.73 23,651 14.95 60,939 38.53 662 0.42
Zhongshan District (中山區) 476 0.39 46,746 38.38 23,483 19.28 50,604 41.55 491 0.40
Zhongzheng District (中正區) 370 0.46 33,897 41.83 12,633 15.59 33,752 41.65 378 0.47
Datong District (大同區) 266 0.38 20,763 29.69 16,896 24.16 31,679 45.29 339 0.48
Wanhua District (萬華區) 427 0.41 38,666 37.05 21,400 20.50 43,411 41.59 464 0.44
Wenshan District (文山區) 707 0.49 68,586 47.15 18,985 13.05 56,479 38.83 713 0.49
Nangang District (南港區) 287 0.43 26,282 39.45 10,830 16.26 28,896 43.37 325 0.49
Neihu District (内湖區) 548 0.37 61,566 41.02 21,746 14.49 65,599 43.70 639 0.43
Shilin District (士林區) 522 0.34 55,954 36.46 33,110 21.57 63,247 41.21 651 0.42
Beitou District (北投區) 499 0.37 52,445 39.08 24,586 18.32 56,096 41.80 578 0.43
2018 Taipei City mayoral results[19]
No. Candidate Party Votes Percentage
1 Wu E-yang (吳蕚洋) Independent 5,617 0.40%
2 Ting Shou-chung (丁守中) Kuomintang 577,566 40.82%
3 Pasuya Yao (姚文智) Democratic Progressive Party 244,641 17.29%
4 Ko Wen-je (柯文哲) Independent 580,820 41.05%
5 Lee Si-kuen (李錫錕) Independent 6,172 0.44%
Total voters  2,164,155
Valid votes  1,414,816
Invalid votes  
Voter turnout  65.37%

New Taipei[edit]

Political context prior to the elections

New Taipei City
Highest vote share
Party Year Vote share %
‹See Tfd›Democratic Progressive Party 2016 presidential election 55%
Kuomintang 2008 presidential election 61%
2016 election results
Party Presidential % Legislative seats Legislative %
‹See Tfd›Democratic Progressive Party 54.79% 9 46.74%
Kuomintang 33.34% 2 40.12%
New Power Party - 1 4.13%
Taiwan Solidarity Union - 0 -
People First Party 11.87% 0 0.84%
Independent/Others - 0 8.17%

Results of the primary

2018 Kuomintang New Taipei City mayoral primary results
Candidates Place Results
Hou You-yi Nominated 55.596%
Chou Hsi-wei 2nd 34.210%
Jin Jie-shou 3rd 10.194%
2018 Democratic Progressive Party New Taipei City mayoral primary results
Candidates Place Result
Su Tseng-chang Called In Walkover

Opinion polls

Poll organization Date of completion Su Tseng-chang Hou You-yi Undecided Lead
TVBS December 6, 2017 39.0% 48.0% 13.0% 9%
Formosa January 12, 2018 41.7% 41.5% 17.8% 0.2%
China Times February 26, 2018 33.6% 53.8% 12.6% 20.6%
ETtoday March 1, 2018 27.4% 51.4% 21.2% 24%
DPP March 24, 2018 39.0% 39.1% 21.9% 0.1%
Apollo April 1, 2018 26.4% 54.3% 19.3% 26.9%
Apple Daily April 7, 2018 27.54% 61.37% 11.09% 33.83%
Taiwan Nextgen Foundation April 11, 2018 42.6% 41.7% 15.7% 0.9%
ETtoday April 11, 2018 22.7% 46.4% 30.9% 23.9%
TVBS April 12, 2018 32.0% 40.0% 28.0% 8%
UDN May 1, 2018 26.0% 45.0% 29.0% 19%
China Times May 1, 2018 27.1% 50.6% 22.3% 23.5%
Taiwan Brain Trust May 22, 2018 30.7% 44.3% 25% 13.6%
Formosa June 15, 2018 23.6% 41.7% 34.7% 18.1%
TVBS June 25, 2018 31.0% 48.0% 21.0% 17%
Taiwan Nextgen Foundation June 29, 2018 38.3% 41.0% 20.7% 2.7%
TVBS July 17, 2018 29.0% 48.0% 23.0% 19%
CM Media July 26, 2018 31.1% 46.3% 22.6% 15.2%
Taiwan Brain Trust July 27, 2018 40.6% 42.6% 16.8% 2%
ETtoday August 10, 2018 24.2% 45.2% 30.6% 11%
Taiwan Think Tank August 31, 2018 43.2% 43.9% 12.9% 0.7%
Liberty Times Net September 7, 2018 30.89% 39.86% 29.25% 8.97%
Shih Hsin University Archived 2018-09-17 at the Wayback Machine September 14, 2018 29.4% 40.2% 30.4% 10.8%
Formosa September 14, 2018 28.2% 41.7% 18.1% 13.5%
TVBS September 16, 2018 32% 48% 20% 16%
UDN September 17, 2018 24% 48% 28% 24%
Taiwan Think Tank September 22, 2018 40.9% 44.3% 14.8% 4.6%
Apollo October 7, 2018 32.8% 49.4% 15.6% 16.6%
DPP Archived 2018-11-02 at the Wayback Machine October 14, 2018 39.1% 39.3% 21.6% 0.2%
Apollo October 16, 2018 31% 49.1% 19% 18.1%
TVBS October 18, 2018 30% 50% 21% 20%
Formosa October 26, 2018 22.5% 44.4% 19% 21.9%
UDN Archived 2018-11-05 at the Wayback Machine November 2, 2018 26% 54% 20% 29%
Sanli November 3, 2018 39.2% 40.2% 20.6% 1%
Shih Shin University November 8, 2018 30.7% 36.4% 32.9% 5.7%
ETtoday November 8, 2018 34% 39.9% 26.1% 5.9%
Sanli November 12, 2018 43.7% 44% 12.3% 0.3%
TVBS November 12, 2018 34% 48% 18% 14%

Predictions

Poll organization Date of completion Turnout Hou You-yi Su Tseng-chang
Formosa September 20, 2018 51.5% ~ 53% 47% ~ 48.5%
TVBS October 19, 2018 62% 56% 44%
TVBS November 12, 2018 70% 55% 45%

Results

District Su Tseng-chang Hou You-yi
Votes % Votes %
Banqiao District (板橋區) 131,905 46.03 154,687 53.97
Sanchong District (三重區) 100,823 50.22 99,925 49.78
Zhonghe District (中和區) 80,552 36.69 139,022 63.31
Yonghe District (永和區) 38,286 32.54 79,362 67.46
Xingzhuang District (新莊區) 101,046 48.28 108,240 51.72
Xindian District (新店區) 49,933 31.27 109,759 68.73
Shulin District (樹林區) 41,600 45.87 49,090 54.13
Yingge District (鶯歌區) 20,360 46.51 23,419 53.49
Sanxia District (三峽區) 23,653 42.64 31,822 57.36
Danshui District (淡水區) 33,763 39.67 51,336 60.33
Xizhi District (汐止區) 38,639 38.72 61,139 61.28
Ruifang District (瑞芳區) 8,038 37.51 13,393 62.49
Tucheng District (土城區) 51,932 43.85 66,487 56.15
Luzhou District (蘆洲區) 48,350 50.56 47,271 49.44
Wugu District (五股區) 20,372 47.77 22,276 52.23
Taishan District (泰山區) 17,627 45.77 20,885 54.23
Linkou District (林口區) 20,883 40.92 30,150 59.08
Shenkeng District (深坑區) 5,153 40.03 7,720 59.97
Shiding District (石碇區) 2,488 52.27 2,272 47.73
Pinglin District (坪林區) 2,255 55.46 1,811 44.54
Sanzhi District (三芝區) 4,915 40.60 7,191 59.40
Shimen District (石門區) 2,928 41.30 4,162 58.70
Bali District (八里區) 8,982 46.00 10,545 54.00
Pingxi District (平溪區) 1,417 46.72 1,616 53.28
Shuangxi District (雙溪區) 2,423 44.18 3,062 55.82
Gongliao District (貢寮區) 3,698 54.21 3,123 45.79
Jinshan District (金山區) 5,344 46.11 6,246 53.89
Wanli District (萬里區) 4,928 42.95 6,547 57.05
Wulai District (烏來區) 1,399 35.23 2,572 64.77
2018 New Taipei City mayoral results[26]
No. Candidate Party Votes Percentage
1 Su Tseng-chang (蘇貞昌) Democratic Progressive Party 873,692 42.85%
2 Hou You-yi (侯友宜) Kuomintang 1,165,130 57.15%
Total voters  3,264,128
Valid votes  2,038,822
Invalid votes  50,305
Voter turnout  62.46%

Taoyuan[edit]

Political context prior to the elections

Taoyuan City
Highest vote share
Party Year Vote share %
‹See Tfd›Democratic Progressive Party 1997 local election 56%
Kuomintang 2008 presidential election 65%
2016 election results
Party Presidential % Legislative seats Legislative %
‹See Tfd›Democratic Progressive Party 51.03% 3 39.48%
Kuomintang 34.39% 2 45.20%
New Power Party - 0 0.78%
Taiwan Solidarity Union - 0 -
People First Party 14.59% 0 -
Independent/Others - 1 14.54%

Results of the primary

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Taichung City mayoral primary results
Candidates Place Result
Cheng Wen-tsan Nominated Walkover
2018 Kuomintang Taoyuan City mayoral primary results
Candidates Place Results
Apollo Chen Nominated 35.689%
Lu Ming-zhe 2nd 33.067%
Yang Li-huan 3rd 31.245%

Opinion polls

Poll organization Date of completion Cheng Wen-tsan Apollo Chen Yang Li-huan Not sure Lead
TVBS June 24, 2017 61% 21% - 18% 40%
Yam News October 24, 2017 48.82% 51.18% - 0% 2.36%
GSSC November 1, 2017 54.3% 25.1% - 20.6% 29.2%
TISR December 13, 2017 53.6% 20.2% - 26.2% 33.4%
ETtoday April 2, 2018 46.7% 31.7% - 21.6% 15%
Taiwan Brain Trust May 22, 2018 61.4% 17.8% - 20.8% 43.6%
China Times June 12, 2018 51.5% 24.9% - 21.5% 26.6%
I'm Taiwanese June 23, 2018 59.3% 29.6% - 11.1% 29.7%
TVBS July 20, 2018 56% 20% - 24% 36%
Liberty Times Net August 10, 2018 56.2% 16.0% - 27.8% 40.2%
ETtoday1 August 20, 2018 50.7% 23.8% 25.5% 26.9%
TVBS2 September 16, 2018 56% 17% 6% 25.5% 39%
Shih Hsin University3 Archived 2018-09-22 at the Wayback Machine September 4, 2018 42.3% 18.5% 5.4% 33.7% 23.8%
UDN4 September 25, 2018 51% 16% 6% 26% 35%
Shih Hsin University5 November 20, 2018 36.9% 26.8% 2.4% 32.9% 10.1%
Sanli6 November 7, 2018 58.1% 16.9% 4.5% 18.0% 41.2%
ETtoday November 8, 2018 45.9% 27.6% -% 26.5% 18.3%
Note:* Opinion polls includes independent candidates.

1 Chu Mei-sheue(1.9%)
2 Chu Mei-sheue(0.1%); Wu Fu-tun(0%)
3 Chu Mei-sheue(0.0%); Wu Fu-tun(0.1%)
4 Chu Mei-sheue(0.3%); Wu Fu-tun(0.1%)
5 Chu Mei-sheue(0.9%); Wu Fu-tun(0.1%)
6 Chu Mei-sheue(2.4%); Wu Fu-tun(0.1%)

Results

2018 桃園市市長選舉各里得票
2018 桃園市市長選舉各里得票人口變形圖
District Chu Mei-sheue Apollo Chen Yang Li-huan Wu Fu-tun Cheng Wen-tsan
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Taoyuan District (桃園區) 4,084 2.10 73,799 37.98 14,752 7.59 424 0.22 101,241 52.11
Zhongli District (中壢區) 3,250 1.68 88,154 45.69 6,829 3.54 561 0.29 94,164 48.80
Daxi District (大溪區) 610 1.28 16,271 34.10 1,897 3.98 190 0.40 28,746 60.25
Yangmei District (楊梅區) 1,204 1.55 32,538 41.85 3,387 4.36 348 0.45 40,272 51.80
Luzhu District (蘆竹區) 1,610 2.23 24,164 33.50 4,197 5.82 214 0.30 41,938 58.15
Dayuan District (大園區) 795 1.77 13,865 30.80 2,508 5.57 201 0.45 27,652 61.42
Guishan District (龜山區) 1,372 1.89 26,791 36.96 4,071 5.62 256 0.35 39,998 55.18
Bade District (八德區) 1,633 1.74 36,314 38.61 4,174 4.44 273 0.29 51,667 54.93
Longtan District (龍潭區) 979 1.64 27,385 45.77 2,296 3.84 568 0.95 28,610 47.81
Pingzhen District (平鎮區) 1,694 1.58 45,697 42.62 3,846 3.59 483 0.45 55,507 51.77
Xinwu District (新屋區) 370 1.29 9,164 31.94 1,434 5.00 141 0.49 17,581 61.28
Guanyin District (觀音區) 556 1.64 10,126 29.80 1,833 5.39 176 0.52 21,285 62.65
Fuxing District (復興區) 43 0.61 2,966 42.35 294 4.20 32 0.46 3,669 52.38
2018 Taoyuan City mayoral results[29]
No. Candidate Party Votes Percentage
1 Chu Mei-sheue (朱梅雪) Independent 18,200 1.76%
2 Apollo Chen (陳學聖) Kuomintang 407,234 39.42%
3 Yang Li-huan (楊麗環) Independent 51,518 4.99%
4 Wu Fu-tun (吳富彤) Independent 3,867 0.37%
5 Cheng Wen-tsan (鄭文燦) Democratic Progressive Party 552,330 53.46%
Total voters  1,732,591
Valid votes  1,033,149
Invalid votes  
Voter turnout  59.63%

Taichung[edit]

Political context prior to the elections

Taichung City is the second largest metropolis in Taiwan, serves as the economic, cultural and transportation hub in the central part of Taiwan. It was merged and reorganized at the end of 2010 by Taichung County and Taichung City forming Taichung City.[30] The former Taichung County was controlled by the Kuomintang except in 1997, the Democratic Progressive Party's Liao Yung-lai was elected as the county mayor.

Taichung City before in the 1980s are held by Independent or Kuomintang's Zhang and Lai factions. In the 1980s, the Kuomintang changed its nomination strategy to regain its power, by choosing non-faction candidates defeated Tzeng Wen-po (曾文坡), who is seeking for re-election in 1981, starting a four straight terms in 16 years. In 1997, the Democratic Progressive Party's Chang Wen-ying was elected for Taichung City mayor due to the Pan blue coalition split.[31]

In 2001, Kuomintang's Jason Hu was elected as Taichung City mayor until 2010's merger and won the third term as the first mayor of the newly formed Taichung City with 36,351 votes.[32] In 2014, Democratic Progressive Party's candidate Lin Chia-lung won 57% of the votes, elected as the Taichung City mayor due to unhappiness towards the Kuomintang government.

Taichung City
Highest vote share
Party Year Vote share %
‹See Tfd›Democratic Progressive Party 2014 local election 57%
Kuomintang 2008 presidential election 60%
2016 election results
Party Presidential % Legislative seats Legislative %
‹See Tfd›Democratic Progressive Party 55.01% 4 39.26%
Kuomintang 29.82% 3 43.03%
New Power Party - 1 6.58%
Taiwan Solidarity Union - 0 5.92%
People First Party 15.1731% 0 -
Independent - 0 5.21%

Results of the primary

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Taichung City mayoral primary results
Candidates Place Result
Lin Chia-lung Nominated Walkover
2018 Kuomintang Taichung City mayoral primary results
Candidates Place Results
Lu Shiow-yen Nominated 50.308%
Johnny Chiang 2nd 49.692%

Opinion polls

Poll organization Dates conducted Lin Chia-lung Lu Shiow-yen Not sure Lead
TISR July 20, 2017 40.1% 28.8% 31.1% 11.3%
Apollo Archived 2018-02-10 at the Wayback Machine August 3, 2017 44.2% 32.2% 23.4% 12%
TVBS August 29, 2017 52% 32.0% 16.0% 20%
Sanli September 5, 2017 49.5% 23.8% 26.7% 15.7%
China Times November 1, 2017 44.4% 29.3% 26.3% 15.1%
ETtoday November 3, 2017 37.0% 34.1% 28.9% 2.9%
Formosa November 7, 2017 37.4% 33.1% 29.5% 4.3%
GSSC November 28, 2017 52.1% 28.0% 19.9% 24.1%
Sanli December 6, 2017 47.7% 25.3% 27.0% 22.4%
TISR December 6, 2017 40.1% 17.2% 42.7% 22.9%
Era Com December 28, 2017 36.1% 35.1% 28.8% 1%
Formosa February 9, 2018 35.8% 37.6% 26.6% 1.8%
China Times February 12, 2018 36.4% 30.6% 33.0% 5.8%
ETtoday March 5, 2018 32.6% 32.0% 35.4% 0.6%
ETtoday March 14, 2018 47.1% 33.7% 19.2% 13.4%
TISR April 21, 2018 31.9% 23.7% 44.4% 8.2%
Apollo May 3, 2018 33.0% 35.7% 31.3% 2.7%
Taiwan Brain Trust May 22, 2018 43.0% 32.2% 24.8% 10.8%
UDN May 28, 2018 32.0% 39.0% 29.0% 7%
Kuomintang May 28, 2018 33.0% 39.7% 27.3% 6.7%
TVBS July 20, 2018 33.0% 39.0% 28.0% 6%
Taiwan Brain Trust July 31, 2018 37.8% 35.6% 26.6% 2.2%
CM Media July 31, 2018 43.9% 31.1% 25.0% 12.8%
Cross Strait Association July 31, 2018 43.2% 24.4% 32.4% 18.8%
Taiwan Competitiveness Forum August 10, 2018 35.8% 38.0% 28.0% 2.2%
ETtoday August 14, 2018 31.0% 35.6% 23.7% 4.6%
Liberty News Net August 24, 2018 38.52% 32.41% 29.07% 6.11%
Taiwan Brain Trust August 27, 2018 42% 33.5% 24.5% 8.5%
UDN September 13, 2018 33% 34% 32% 1%
TISR September 15, 2018 26.8% 28.6% 32.8% 1.8%
Shih Shin University3 September 15, 2018 30.3% 30.9% 38.7% 0.6%
TVBS4 September 16, 2018 35% 38% 27% 3%
China Times5 September 26, 2018 38.1% 40.2% 15.9% 2.1%
Kuomintang September 30, 2018 33.6% 40.1% 24.6% 6.5%
CM Media6 October 4, 2018 40% 34.6% 22.3% 5.4%
Taiwan Next Gen Foundation October 14, 2018 41.4% 31.1% 27.5% 10.3%
Formosa7 October 17, 2018 25.6% 31% 29.3% 5.4%
TVBS8 October 22, 2018 36% 44% 19% 8%
Taiwan Competitiveness Forum9 Archived 2018-10-30 at the Wayback Machine October 27, 2018 27.1% 34.4% 30.3% 7.3%
Formosa10 November 1, 2018 28.7% 35.7% 21.7% 7%
CM Media10 November 3, 2018 39.2% 33.4% 23% 5.8%
ETtoday12 November 4, 2018 31.8% 42.6% 19.6% 10.8%
UDN13 November 5, 2018 30% 43% 25% 13%
Sanli14 November 6, 2018 45.1% 34% 18.3% 11.1%
ETtoday November 8, 2018 31.7% 45.4% 22.9% 13.7%
Shih Shin University15 November 10, 2018 32.0% 34.4% 32.8% 2.4%
Taiwan Next Gen Foundation November 11, 2018 41.4% 35.6% 23% 5.8%
TVBS16 November 12, 2018 39% 41% 19% 2%
Note:* Opinion polls includes independent candidates.

1 Sung Antony(0.1%)
2 Sung Antony(2.3%)
3 Sung Antony(1.1%)
4 Sung Antony(3%)
5 Sung Antony(4.6%)
6 Sung Antony(1.6%)
7 Sung Antony(3.3%)
8 Sung Antony(1.0%)
9 Sung Antony(2.4%)
10 Sung Antony(2.4%)
11 Sung Antony(2.7%)
12 Sung Antony(1.4%)
13 Sung Antony(2.0%)
14 Sung Antony(2.5%)
15 Sung Antony(0.8%)
16 Sung Antony(1.0%)
a:Negative Vote Association

Predictions

Poll organization Date of completion Turnout Lu Shiow-yen Lin Chia-lung Sung Antony
TVBS October 22, 2018 71% 50% 49% 1%
Formosa October 26, 2018 83.9% 49% ~ 51.4% 45% ~ 47.2% 2.9% ~ 4.3%

Results

District Sung Antony Lin Chia-lung Lu Shiow-yen
Votes % Votes % Votes %
Central District (中區) 86 0.94 4,173 45.77 4,859 53.29
East District (東區) 458 1.10 19,078 45.87 22,055 53.03
South District (南區) 658 0.99 28,330 42.77 37,250 56.24
West District (西區) 618 1.03 25,616 42.86 33,534 56.11
North District (北區) 745 0.97 30,187 39.36 45,769 59.67
Xitun District (西屯區) 1,083 0.97 43,307 38.73 67,437 60.30
Nantun District (南屯區) 914 1.08 34,396 40.73 49,134 58.19
Beitun District (北屯區) 1,268 0.91 53,504 38.42 84,485 60.67
Fengyuan District (豐原區) 986 1.10 42,504 47.27 46,436 51.64
Dongshi District (東勢區) 330 1.13 10,727 36.64 18,216 62.23
Dajia District (大甲區) 484 1.15 18,523 44.14 22,958 54.71
Qingshui District (清水區) 525 1.07 22,912 46.80 25,523 52.13
Shalu District (沙鹿區) 530 1.10 20,835 43.27 26,784 55.63
Wuqi District (梧棲區) 365 1.19 14,663 47.67 15,729 51.14
Houli District (后里區) 420 1.36 12,815 41.46 17,677 57.18
Shengang District (神崗區) 424 1.16 18,095 49.65 17,928 49.19
Tanzi District (潭子區) 581 1.01 24,836 43.30 31,938 55.68
Daya District (大雅區) 592 1.21 20,342 41.74 27,797 57.04
Xinshe District (新社區) 209 1.39 6,009 40.10 8,767 58.51
Shigang District (石岡區) 110 1.21 3,571 39.35 5,393 59.43
Waipu District (外埔區) 215 1.17 7,124 38.76 11,040 60.07
Da'an District (大安區) 148 1.24 5,009 42.13 6,732 56.62
Wuri District (烏日區) 465 1.15 16,911 41.93 22,951 56.91
Dadu District (大肚區) 388 1.22 13,558 42.68 17,821 56.10
Longjing District (龍井區) 572 1.38 18,048 43.62 22,757 55.00
Wufeng District (霧峰區) 415 1.11 16,151 43.07 20,936 55.83
Taiping District (太平區) 1,057 1.12 40,025 42.27 53,613 56.62
Dali District (大里區) 1,202 1.14 46,571 44.23 57,527 54.63
Heping District (和平區) 71 1.01 2,035 28.84 4,950 70.15
2018 Taichung City mayoral results
No. Candidate Party Votes Percentage
1 Sung Antony (宋原通) Independent 15,919 1.09%
2 Lin Chia-lung (林佳龍) Democratic Progressive Party 619,855 42.35%
3 Lu Shiow-yen (盧秀燕) Kuomintang 827,996 56.57%
Total voters  2,213,789
Valid votes  1,463,770
Invalid votes  
Voter turnout  66.12%

Tainan[edit]

Political context prior to the elections

Tainan City is located in Taiwan's Chia-Nan Plain, is a cultural capital for its history. Tainan City was merged and reorganized at the end of 2010, merging with Tainan County of Taiwan Province.[33]

The original Tainan County in the 1990s, Kuomintang local faction took turns taking control. However, Tainan County turned blue to green until Democratic Progressive Party's candidate Mark Chen became the mayor in 1993 until the merger between the county and the city was since led by the Democratic Progressive Party.[34]

The original Tainan City was dominated by Independents and the Kuomintang government for many years before the 1990s. Since 1997, the Democratic Progressive Party candidate Helen Chang was elected mayor, the former Tainan City since had been governed by the Democratic Progressive Party at the county level. After the merger of counties and cities in 2010, the DPP's William Lai was also elected as mayor.[35]

Tainan City
Highest vote share
Party Year Vote share %
‹See Tfd›Democratic Progressive Party 2014 local election 73%
Kuomintang 2008 presidential election 46%
2016 election results
Party Presidential % Legislative seats Legislative %
‹See Tfd›Democratic Progressive Party 67.52% 5 69.95%
Kuomintang 22.07% 0 24.80%
New Power Party - 0 0.69%
Taiwan Solidarity Union - 0 -
People First Party 10.41% 0 -
Independent/Others - 0 4.56%

Results of the primary

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Tainan City mayoral primary results
Candidates Place Results
Huang Wei-cher Nominated 41.58%
Chen Ting-fei 2nd 28.17%
Yen Chun-zuo 3rd 6.72%
Wang Ding-yu 4th 5.13%
Li Jun-yi 5th 2.11%
Yeh Yi-jin 6th 0.76%
2018 Kuomintang Tainan City mayoral primary results
Candidates Place Result
Kao Su-po Nominated Results not released
Huang Hsiu-shuang 2nd Results not released

Opinion polls

Poll organization Dates conducted Huang Wei-cher Kao Su-po Lin Yi-feng Not sure Lead
Taiwan Brain Trust1 May 22, 2018 42.3% 18.7% 30.6% 23.6%
ETtoday May 24, 2018 31.2% 18.5% 2.9% 30.2% 12.7%
China Times2 June 11, 2018 40.3% 17.3% 29.7% 23%
Evidence-Based3 June 25, 2018 37.8% 8.0% 4.7% 41.7% 29.8%
TVBS4 July 6, 2018 41% 15% 7% 20% 26%
Taiwan Competitiveness Forum5 Archived 2019-02-15 at the Wayback Machine July 13, 2018 31.7% 16.1% 6.6% 32.3% 15.6%
Era Com6 Archived 2018-07-18 at the Wayback Machine July 14, 2018 36.66% 13.09% 8.21% 28.99% 23.57%
Evidence Based7 August 3, 2018 40.0% 12.1% 11.9% 25.6% 27.9%
Liberty News Net8 August 17, 2018 40.6% 11.6% 9.7% 32% 29%
ETtoday August 27, 2018 31.3% 15.9% 14.1% 26.7% 15.4%
Real Survey9 September 6, 2018 24.5% 16.4% 12.0% 39% 8.1%
Evidence Based10 September 11, 2018 35.8% 14.1% 14.3% 24.7% 11.7%
Kao Su-po Campaign Team11 September 13, 2018 22.9% 19.0% 13.9% 33.8% 3.9%
DPP September 13, 2018 39.9% 14.7% 14.6% 26.5% 25.2%
Shih Shin University12 Archived 2018-09-20 at the Wayback Machine September 13, 2018 23.9% 13.8% 5.9% 48.1% 10.1%
TVBS13 September 16, 2018 33% 14% 13% 40% 19%
UDN14 September 25, 2018 31% 12% 14% 35% 17%
Kao Su-po Campaign Team15 Archived 2018-10-17 at the Wayback Machine October 3, 2018 28.1% 20.1% 11.8% 28.5% 8%
ETtoday October 7, 2018 30.8% 19.1% 14.2% 22.1% 11.7%
Evidence Based16 October 9, 2018 34.5% 13.6% 15.3% 28.1% 19.2%
Taiwan Competitiveness Forum17 October 19. 2018 27.5% 20.3% 10.9% 31.6% 7.2%
Evidence Based18 October 26. 2018 31.7% 15.5% 12.9% 32.5% 16.2%
China Times19 October 28. 2018 24.6% 17.6% 15.7% 35.7% 7%
Taiwan Competitiveness Forum20 Archived 2018-11-08 at the Wayback Machine November 4, 2018 29.1% 25.9% 12.6% 18.9% 3.2%
Shih Shin University21 Archived 2018-11-09 at the Wayback Machine November 5, 2018 25.6% 21.1% 6.5% 40.7% 4.5%
ETtoday November 8, 2018 30.5% 19.1% 17.6% 33.2% 11.4%
Taiwan Competitiveness Forum22 Archived 2018-11-12 at the Wayback Machine November 9, 2018 30.4% 31.6% 10.6% 16.7% 1.2%
Note:* Opinion polls includes independent candidates.

1 Hsu Chun-hsin(8.4%)
2 Hsu Chun-hsin(5.9%)
3 Hsu Chun-hsin(3.4%)
4 Su Huan-chih(8%); Hsu Chun-hsin(3%)
5 Su Huan-chih(6.2%); Hsu Chun-hsin(3.7%)
6 Su Huan-chih(7.35%); Hsu Chun-hsin(3.25%)
7 Su Huan-chih(3.5%); Hsu Chun-hsin(3.7%)
8 Su Huan-chih(2.0%); Hsu Chun-hsin(2.7%)
9 Su Huan-chih(4.3%); Hsu Chun-hsin(3.8%)
10 Su Huan-chih(6.7%); Hsu Chun-hsin(3.9%); Chen Yung-ho(0.2%)
11 Su Huan-chih(6.2%); Hsu Chun-hsin(4.2%); Chen Yung-ho(0.4%)
12 Su Huan-chih(4.9%); Hsu Chun-hsin(3%); Chen Yung-ho(0.4%)
13 Su Huan-chih(6%); Hsu Chun-hsin(3%); Chen Yung-ho(0.4%)
14 Su Huan-chih(5%); Hsu Chun-hsin(2%); Chen Yung-ho(1%)
15 Su Huan-chih(4.8%); Hsu Chun-hsin(5.8%); Chen Yung-ho(1%)
16 Su Huan-chih(4.3%); Hsu Chun-hsin(3.1%); Chen Yung-ho(0.2%)
17 Su Huan-chih(4.6%); Hsu Chun-hsin(4.4%); Chen Yung-ho(0.7%)
18 Su Huan-chih(3%); Hsu Chun-hsin(3.2%); Chen Yung-ho(1.2%)
19 Su Huan-chih(3.2%); Hsu Chun-hsin(2.5%); Chen Yung-ho(0.6%)
20(11.6%)
21 Su Huan-chih(4.9%); Hsu Chun-hsin(3.0%); Chen Yung-ho(1.4%)
22(8.6%)

Results

  Huang lead > 950
  Huang lead > 240
  Huang lead < 240
  Kao lead < 240
  Kao lead > 240
  Kao lead > 950
District Huang Wei-cher Kao Su-po Lin Yi-feng Hsu Chun-hsin Chen Yung-ho Su Huan-chih
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Sinying District (新營區) 13,462 35.26 14,120 36.98 4,359 11.42 1,616 4.23 3,176 8.32 1,448 3.79
Yanshuei District (鹽水區) 6,555 45.92 3,981 27.89 1,618 11.33 566 3.96 862 6.04 694 4.86
Baihe District (白河區) 7,130 46.44 4,715 30.71 1,371 8.93 562 3.66 705 4.59 871 5.67
Liouying District (柳營區) 5,212 42.68 3,630 29.72 1,578 12.92 506 4.14 777 6.36 510 4.18
Houbi District (後壁區) 6,345 45.95 3,940 28.53 1,458 10.56 552 4.00 662 4.79 852 6.17
Dongshan District (東山區) 4,627 42.01 3,742 33.97 1,111 10.09 495 4.49 475 4.30 565 5.13
Madou District (麻豆區) 11,716 48.58 5,630 23.34 2,086 8.65 1,402 5.81 2,343 9.71 941 3.90
Xiaying District (下營區) 5,492 42.59 3,767 29.21 1,449 11.24 664 5.15 1,031 8.00 492 3.82
Lioujia District (六甲區) 5,309 43.24 3,260 26.55 1,381 11.25 674 5.49 1,022 8.32 633 5.16
Guantian District (官田區) 5,514 45.37 3,107 25.56 1,265 10.41 678 5.58 1,025 8.43 565 4.65
Danei District (大內區) 2,271 39.13 1,687 29.07 673 11.60 397 6.84 481 8.29 295 5.08
Jiali District (佳里區) 12,783 40.53 9,178 29.10 3,005 9.53 2,001 6.34 3,366 10.67 1,205 3.82
Syuejia District (學甲區) 6,509 47.08 3,860 27.92 1,228 8.88 570 4.12 1,107 8.01 552 3.99
Sigang District (西港區) 6,041 43.79 3,593 26.05 1,387 10.06 722 5.23 1,536 11.14 515 3.73
Cigu District (七股區) 5,670 43.39 3,251 24.88 1,347 10.31 960 7.35 1,144 8.75 695 5.32
Jiangjyun District (將軍區) 5,438 45.68 3,109 26.12 1,115 9.37 873 7.33 912 7.66 457 3.84
Beimen District (北門區) 2,757 42.63 1,877 29.02 652 10.08 395 6.11 448 6.93 339 5.24
Sinhua District (新化區) 9,154 38.46 7,591 31.89 2,223 9.34 1,102 4.63 2,822 11.86 911 3.83
Shanhua District (善化區) 9,435 39.40 6,948 29.02 2,001 8.36 1,583 6.61 2,878 12.02 1,099 4.59
Sinshih District (新市區) 7,027 37.42 5,034 26.81 1,605 8.55 2,012 10.71 2,340 12.46 762 4.06
Anding District (安定區) 6,643 40.09 4,752 28.67 1,576 9.51 899 5.42 1,997 12.05 705 4.25
Shanshang District (山上區) 1,521 37.37 1,244 30.57 467 11.47 217 5.33 423 10.39 198 4.86
Yujing District (玉井區) 2,656 32.54 3,442 42.17 665 8.15 302 3.70 632 7.74 465 7.74
Nansi District (楠西區) 1,576 28.48 2,687 48.56 400 7.23 218 3.94 353 6.38 299 5.40
Nanhua District (南化區) 1,792 33.17 2,229 41.26 474 8.77 173 3.20 402 7.44 332 6.15
Zuojhen District (左鎮區) 1,233 41.80 939 31.83 195 6.61 211 7.15 221 7.49 151 5.12
Rende District (仁德區) 14,717 36.41 12,883 31.88 3,522 8.71 1,537 3.80 5,911 14.63 1,846 4.57
Gueiren District (歸仁區) 13,413 37.57 9,264 25.95 2,942 8.24 1,292 3.62 7,202 20.17 1,588 4.45
Guanmiao District (關廟區) 7,670 37.11 5,323 25.76 1,580 7.65 573 2.77 4,778 23.12 742 3.59
Longci District (龍崎區) 814 29.24 676 24.28 180 6.47 82 2.95 917 32.94 115 4.13
Yongkang District (永康區) 38,762 34.70 38,892 34.81 9,587 8.58 4,676 4.19 15,007 13.43 4,787 4.29
East District (東區) 28,636 32.27 36,041 40.61 5,457 6.15 3,522 3.97 11,681 13.16 3,410 3.84
South District (南區) 25,068 39.35 21,036 33.02 5,430 8.52 2,585 4.06 7,661 12.03 1,925 3.02
North District (北區) 22,694 34.49 24,690 37.52 4,510 6.85 2,851 4.33 8,547 12.99 2,515 3.82
Annan District (安南區) 36,754 38.42 27,865 29.13 9,225 9.64 4,807 5.02 13,357 13.96 3,655 3.82
Anping District (安平區) 10,276 34.24 11,056 36.84 2,479 8.26 1,034 3.45 4,075 13.58 1,088 3.63
West Central District (中西區) 14,846 37.54 13,835 34.98 2,552 6.45 1,859 4.70 4,904 12.40 1,556 3.93
2018 Tainan City mayoral results[36]
No. Candidate Party Votes Percentage
1 Huang Wei-cher (黃偉哲) Democratic Progressive Party 367,518 38.02%
2 Kao Su-po (高思博) Kuomintang 312,874 32.37%
3 Lin Yi-feng (林義豐) Independent 84,153 8.71%
4 Hsu Chun-hsin (許忠信) Independent 45,168 4.67%
5 Chen Yung-ho (陳永和) Independent 117,179 12.12%
6 Su Huan-chih (蘇煥智) Independent 39,778 4.11%
Total voters  1,546,862
Valid votes  966,670
Invalid votes  
Voter turnout  62.49%

Kaohsiung[edit]

Political context prior to the elections

17 November 2018 Han Kuo-yu's campaign rally in Fengshan, Kaohsiung

Kaohsiung is the third largest city in Taiwan and capital of the political and economic center of the southern region. The special municipality city is merged in 2010 with Kaohsiung County from Taiwan Province.[37] The former Kaohsiung County before the 1980s is led by the Kuomintang, and the independents until 1985 where Democratic Progressive Party has led the county until the merger of the county and city.

Since the implementation of local autonomy in 1950, the former Kaohsiung City has been led by the KMT except the 6th mayor Yang Jinhu, who was a non-KMT candidate. After Kaohsiung was elevated into a municipality in 1979, the mayor was appointed by the Central Government and opened up first election in 1994 where Kuomintang's Wu Den-yih was first elected mayor of the city. In 1998, the Democratic Progressive Party's Frank Hsieh won the mayoral election by a slim margin over the incumbent mayor Wu Den-yih, starting the DPP's straight 4 terms, 16 years rule until the merger.

Kaohsiung City
Highest vote share
Party Year Vote share %
‹See Tfd›Democratic Progressive Party 2014 local election 68%
Kuomintang 2008 legislative election 51%
2016 election results
Party Presidential % Legislative seats Legislative %
‹See Tfd›Democratic Progressive Party 63.39% 9 61%
Kuomintang 26.00% 0 34.86%
New Power Party - 0 1.06%
Taiwan Solidarity Union - 0 -
People First Party 10.60% 0 -
Independent/Others - 0 3.08%

Results of the primary

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Kaohsiung City mayoral primary results
Candidates Place DPP Focus Survey Research Statinc Aggregated Result
Chen Chi-mai Nominated 38.64% 32.61% 36.45% 35.90%
None of the candidates 32.71% 31.76% 34.74% 33.07%
Chao Tien-lin 2nd 12.63% 17.95% 12.77% 14.45%
Lin Tai-hua 3rd 10.69% 12.06% 10.92% 11.22%
Kuan Bi-ling 4th 5.33% 5.61% 5.12% 5.35%
2018 Kuomintang Kaohsiung City mayoral primary results
Candidates Place Result
Han Kuo-yu Nominated 64.898%
Arthur Chen 2nd 35.102%

Opinion polls

Poll organization Dates conducted Chen Chi-mai Han Kuo-yu Not sure Lead
TVBS August 15, 2017 59% 31% 10% 28%
Taiwan Brain Trust May 22, 2018 52% 21% 27% 31%
China Times May 29, 2018 39.5% 33.1% - 6.4%
All Opinions June 20, 2018 37.6% 26.2% 36.2% 11.4%
GSSC June 27, 2018 46.9% 23.9% 29.2% 23%
ETtoday1 June 27, 2018 32.0% 30.4% 24.7% 1.6%
TVBS July 4, 2018 40% 32% 28% 8%
GSSC July 27, 2018 45.7% 27.3% 21.7% 18.4%
Liberty Times Net August 3, 2018 38.46% 26.42% 35.22% 12.04%
Formosa August 13, 2018 38.9% 27.8% 33.3% 11.1%
Wu Yi-zheng Campaign Team August 17, 2018 33.5% 25.7% 34% 7.8%
ETtoday2 September 3, 2018 36.7% 31% 32.3% 5.7%
TVBS3 September 16, 2018 39% 35% 26% 4%
Shih Shin University4 September 16, 2018 33.8% 31.2% 35% 2.6%
CM Media September 18, 2018 41.2% 35.5% 22.9% 5.7%
TISR5 September 19, 2018 41% 30.2% 25.9% 10.8%
UDN6 September 20, 2018 34% 32% 31% 2%
TVBS8 October 16, 2018 35% 42% 21% 7%
Taiwan Next Gen Foundation9 October 19, 2018 39.8% 32.5% 24.7% 7.3%
Taiwan Competitiveness Forum10 Archived 2018-10-25 at the Wayback Machine October 22, 2018 32.7% 39% 26.3% 6.3%
Taiwan Competitiveness Forum11 October 31, 2018 32.3% 43.1% 22.7% 10.8%
Apollo12 November 2, 2018 36.2% 45.3% 14.6% 9.3%
Sanli13 November 4, 2018 44.3% 43.2% 11.1% 1.1%
TVBS14 November 6, 2018 38% 48% 14% 10%
Apollo15 November 7, 2018 37.6% 40.4% 10% 2.8%
CM Media16 November 8, 2018 39.1% 39.3% 20.3% 0.2%
ETtoday November 8, 2018 36.6% 42.6% 20.8% 6%
Taiwan Competitiveness Forum17 Archived 2018-11-12 at the Wayback Machine November 8, 2018 27.1% 44.1% 23.8% 17%
UDN18 November 12, 2018 32% 49% 16% 17%
Shih Shin University19 November 12, 2018 32.6% 35.4% 29.9% 2.8%
Apollo November 12, 2018 38.9% 42.5% 14.9% 3.6%
Sanli20 November 12, 2018 43.6% 40.5% 13.9% 3.1%
Note:* Opinion polls includes independent candidates.

1 Chu Mei-feng(1.1%)
2 Chu Mei-feng(0.6%)
3 Chu Mei-feng(0.1%); Su Ying-guei(1%)
4 Chu Mei-feng(0.7%); Su Ying-guei(0.4%)
5 Chu Mei-feng(0.4%); Su Ying-guei(2.5%)
6 Chu Mei-feng(2%); Su Ying-guei(1%)
7 Chu Mei-feng(1.1%); Su Ying-guei(1.2%)
8 Chu Mei-feng(1%); Su Ying-guei(1%)
9 Chu Mei-feng(1.7%); Su Ying-guei(1.3%)
10 Chu Mei-feng(1.1%); Su Ying-guei(0.8%)
11 Chu Mei-feng(0.8%); Su Ying-guei(1.1%)
12 Chu Mei-feng(0.8%); Su Ying-guei(2.1%)
13 Chu Mei-feng(0.7%); Su Ying-guei(0.8%)
14 Chu Mei-feng(1%); Su Ying-guei(0.3%)
15 Chu Mei-feng(1.1%); Su Ying-guei(1.2%)
16 Chu Mei-feng(0.6%); Su Ying-guei(0.7%)
17 Chu Mei-feng(0.5%); Su Ying-guei(0.5%)
18 Chu Mei-feng(1%); Su Ying-guei(2%)
19 Chu Mei-feng(1.5%); Su Ying-guei(0.6%)
20 Chu Mei-feng(1.3%); Su Ying-guei(0.7%)

Predictions

Poll organization Date of completion Turnout Chen Chi-mai Han Kuo-yu
TVBS October 16, 2018 67% 49% 49%
TVBS November 6, 2018 72% 47% 52%

Results

  Han lead > 4,400
  Han lead > 1,100
  Han lead < 1,100
  Chen lead < 1,100
  Chen lead > 1,100
  Chen lead > 4,400
District Han Kuo-yu Chen Chi-mai Chu Mei-feng Su Ying-guei
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Yancheng District (鹽埕區) 7,633 48.28 7,992 50.55 71 0.45 113 0.71
Gushan District (鼓山區) 45,816 57.04 33,547 41.77 267 0.33 691 0.86
Zuoying District (左營區) 68,255 61.99 40,526 36.81 346 0.31 978 0.89
Nanzih District (楠梓區) 59,478 56.58 44,288 42.13 379 0.36 973 0.93
Sanmin District (三民區) 105,406 52.79 91,617 45.88 772 0.39 1,872 0.94
Sinsing District (新興區) 16,776 53.34 14,237 45.26 107 0.34 334 1.06
Cianjin District (前金區) 9,120 53.83 7,608 44.91 53 0.31 161 0.95
Lingya District (苓雅區) 57,171 54.60 46,041 43.97 401 0.38 1,098 1.05
Cianjhen District (前鎮區) 59,572 52.53 52,376 46.19 472 0.42 982 0.87
Cijin District (旗津區) 7,993 45.49 9,360 53.27 95 0.54 124 0.71
Siaogang District (小港區) 47,806 51.70 43,464 47.00 433 0.47 764 0.83
Fongshan District (鳳山區) 118,466 56.54 88,437 42.21 881 0.42 1,739 0.83
Linyuan District (林園區) 20,149 47.40 21,847 51.40 219 0.52 293 0.69
Daliao District (大寮區) 35,636 52.17 31,773 46.51 372 0.54 533 0.78
Dashu District (大樹區) 12,945 48.33 13,493 50.38 174 0.65 173 0.65
Dashe District (大社區) 10,378 48.89 10,512 49.52 142 0.67 197 0.93
Renwu District (仁武區) 26,659 51.40 24,543 47.32 250 0.48 412 0.79
Niaosong District (鳥松區) 14,410 52.23 12,806 46.42 115 0.42 258 0.94
Gangshan District (岡山區) 32,410 54.93 25,829 43.78 313 0.53 446 0.76
Ciaotou District (橋頭區) 10,888 44.45 13,256 54.11 146 0.60 207 0.85
Yanchao District (燕巢區) 9,448 50.88 8,871 47.77 120 0.65 130 0.70
Tianliao District (田寮區) 2,252 43.58 2,768 53.56 135 2.61 13 0.25
Alian District (阿蓮區) 8,322 47.12 8,958 50.72 254 1.44 126 0.71
Lujhu District (路竹區) 16,545 52.43 14,407 45.66 319 1.01 284 0.90
Hunei District (湖內區) 9,133 49.67 8,903 48.42 187 1.02 164 0.89
Qieding District (茄萣區) 8,662 47.72 9,209 50.74 152 0.84 127 0.70
Yong'an District (永安區) 4,545 49.62 4,478 48.89 61 0.67 76 0.83
Mituo District (彌陀區) 6,756 52.77 5,871 45.86 86 0.67 89 0.70
Ziguan District (梓官區) 10,509 46.81 11,646 51.87 129 0.57 168 0.75
Cishan District (旗山區) 12,379 52.34 10,940 46.26 155 0.66 177 0.75
Meinong District (美濃區) 15,478 61.09 9,546 37.68 125 0.49 186 0.73
Liouguei District (六龜區) 4,084 54.29 3,315 37.68 64 0.85 59 0.78
Jiasian District (六龜區) 2,339 60.17 1,483 38.15 35 0.90 30 0.77
Shanlin District (杉林區) 4,129 56.45 3,076 42.05 53 0.72 57 0.78
Neimen District (內門區) 5,446 53.81 4,510 44.57 85 0.84 79 0.78
Maolin District (茂林區) 1,281 91.83 107 7.67 6 0.43 1 0.07
Taoyuan District (桃源區) 2,519 88.51 304 10.68 14 0.49 9 0.32
Namasia District (那瑪夏區) 1,751 85.08 295 14.33 10 0.49 2 0.10
2018 Kaohsiung City mayoral results[38]
No. Candidate Party Votes Percentage
1 Han Kuo-yu (韓國瑜) Kuomintang 892,545 53.87%
2 Chen Chi-mai (陳其邁) Democratic Progressive Party 742,239 44.80%
3 Chu Mei-feng (璩美鳳) Independent 7,998 0.48%
4 Su Ying-guei (蘇盈貴) Independent 14,125 0.85%
Total voters  2,281,338
Valid votes  1,656,907
Invalid votes  20,743
Voter turnout  72.63%

Taiwan Province[edit]

Keelung[edit]

Political context prior to the elections

Results of Past Keelung City Mayoral Elections
Year Winning Candidate Political Party
1997 Lee Chin-yung Democratic Progressive Party
2001 Hsu Tsai-li Kuomintang
2005 Hsu Tsai-li Kuomintang
2009 Chang Tong-rong Kuomintang
2014 Lin Yu-chang Democratic Progressive Party
Keelung City
Highest vote share
Party Year Vote share %
‹See Tfd›Democratic Progressive Party 2014 local election 53%
Kuomintang 2008 legislative election 68%
2016 election results
Party Presidential % Legislative seat Legislative %
‹See Tfd›Democratic Progressive Party 48.22% 1 41.45%
Kuomintang 35.29% 0 36.15%
New Power Party - 0 -
Taiwan Solidarity Union - 0 -
People First Party 16.50% 0 12.37%
Independent/Others - 0 10.03%

Results of the primary

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Keelung City mayoral primary results
Candidates Place Result
Lin Yu-chang Nominated Walkover
2018 Kuomintang Keelung City mayoral primary results
Candidates Place Results
Hsieh Li-kung Nominated after negotiation 39.92%
Song Wei-li 1st but withdrew after negotiation 41.49%
Wen-Chieh Dale Jieh 3rd 18.59%

Opinion polls

Poll organization Dates conducted Lin Yu-chang Hsieh Li-kung Not sure Lead
Sanli January 16, 2018 58% 15.2% 26.8% 42.8%
ETtoday March 30, 2018 44.1% 24.0% 31.9% 20.1%
Apollo July 5, 2018 50% 15.9% 34.1% 34.1%
Evidence Based October 20, 2018 54.1% 19.8% 26.1% 34.3%
Real Survey October 29, 2018 42.4% 29.7% 20.6% 12.7%

Results

2018 基隆市市長選舉各里得票
2018 基隆市市長選舉各里得票人口變形圖
District Hsieh Li-kung Lin Yu-chang
Votes % Votes %
Zhongzheng District (中正區) 12,009 47.21 13,431 52.79
Qidu District (七堵區) 11,745 42.50 15,891 57.50
Nuannuan District (暖暖區) 9,222 46.76 10,500 53.24
Ren'ai District (仁愛區) 9,877 55.87 12,507 55.87
Zhongshan District (中山區) 11,424 45.51 13,678 54.49
Anle District (安樂區) 18,580 45.04 22,676 54.96
Xinyi District (信義區) 13,672 50.35 13,484 49.65
2018 Keelung City mayoral results[39]
No. Candidate Party Votes Percentage
1 Hsieh Li-kung (謝立功) Kuomintang 86,529 45.86%
2 Lin Yu-chang (林右昌) Democratic Progressive Party 102,167 54.14%
Total voters  309,428
Valid votes  188,696
Invalid votes  
Voter turnout  60.98%

Yilan County[edit]

Political context prior to the elections

Results of Past Yilan County Magistrate Elections
Year Winning Candidate Political Party
1997 Liu Shou-ch'eng Democratic Progressive Party
2001 Liu Shou-ch'eng Democratic Progressive Party
2005 Lu Kuo-hua Kuomintang
2009 Lin Tsung-hsien Democratic Progressive Party
2014 Lin Tsung-hsien Democratic Progressive Party
Yilan County
Highest vote share
Party Year Vote share %
‹See Tfd›Democratic Progressive Party 2014 local election 64%
Kuomintang 2008 legislative election 53%
2016 election results
Party Presidential % Legislative seat Legislative %
‹See Tfd›Democratic Progressive Party 62.06% 1 53.68%
Kuomintang 25.38% 0 28.25%
New Power Party - 0 -
Taiwan Solidarity Union - 0 -
People First Party 12.55% 0 -
Independent/Others - 0 18.07%

Results of the primary

2018 Democratic Progressive Party Yilan County magistrate primary results
Candidates Place Result
Chen Ou-po Nominated Walkover
2018 Kuomintang Yilan County magistrate primary results
Candidates Place Result
Lin Zi-miao Called In Walkover

Opinion polls

Poll organization Dates conducted Chen Ou-po Lin Tzu-miao Not sure Lead
Apollo Archived 2018-01-31 at the Wayback Machine April 14, 2017 18.2% 28.6% 53.2% 10.4%
TVBS1 July 21, 2017 23% 57% 20% 34%
Era Com December 27, 2017 23.37% 45.89% 30.74% 21.52%
ETtoday2 June 11, 2018 15.8% 41.2% 39.1% 25.4%
ETtoday3 September 9, 2018 23.1% 35.6% 25.6% 12.5%
Liberty Times Net4 September 21, 2018 23.38% 37.61% 34.03% 14.23%
CM Media5 September 26, 2018 26.5% 40.1% 25.5% 13.6%
UDN6 October 5, 2018 13% 42% 45% 29%
TVBS7 October 7, 2018 19% 47% 28% 28%
China Times8 October 27, 2018 14.3% 44.6% 36.2% 30.3%
TISR9 November 11, 2018 24.3% 42% 25.9% 17.7%
Chen Ou-po Campaign Team10 November 11, 2018 28.7% 26.6% 28.9% 2.1%
Note:* Opinion polls includes independent candidates.

1 Lin Hsin-hua(7.0%)
2 Lin Hsin-hua(3.9%)
3 Lin Hsin-hua(4.4%); Chen Qiu-jing(0.7%); Lin Jin-kun(1.5%)
4 Lin Hsin-hua(4.38%); Chen Qiu-jing(0.3%); Lin Jin-kun(0.3%)
5 Lin Hsin-hua(5.8%); Chen Qiu-jing(0.5%); Lin Jin-kun(0.9%)
6 Lin Hsin-hua(5%); Chen Qiu-jing(0.2%); Lin Jin-kun(0.1%)
7 Lin Hsin-hua(5%); Chen Qiu-jing(1%); Lin Jin-kun(0.0%)
8 Lin Hsin-hua(3.1%); Chen Qiu-jing(0%); Lin Jin-kun(0.8%)
9 Lin Hsin-hua(4.6%); Chen Qiu-jing(0.9%); Lin Jin-kun(0.6%)
10 Lin Hsin-hua(15.8%)

Results

District Lin Hsin-hua Lin Zi-miao Chen Ou-po Lin Jin-kun Chen Qiu-jing
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Yilan City (宜蘭市) 6,736 13.66 23,891 48.45 18,033 36.57 379 0.76 270 0.54
Luodong Township (羅東鎮) 3,872 11.05 18,457 52.71 18,033 35.39 163 0.46 128 0.36
Su'ao Township (蘇澳鎮) 2,266 9.87 11,341 49.43 8,995 39.20 185 0.80 154 0.67
Toucheng Township (頭城鎮) 1,415 8.25 9,405 54.90 5,973 34.86 167 0.97 171 0.99
Jiaoxi Township (礁溪鄉) 2,314 10.95 9,698 45.91 8,797 41.65 194 0.92 120 0.57
Zhuangwei Township (壯圍鄉) 1,581 10.34 6,978 45.66 6,509 42.59 125 0.82 90 0.59
Yuanshan Township (員山鄉) 1,974 10.77 7,844 42.78 8,154 44.47 264 1.44 101 0.55
Dongshan Township (冬山鄉) 3,138 10.94 13,141 45.83 12,023 41.93 206 0.72 168 0.59
Wujie Township (五結鄉) 1,415 11.84 10,354 47.07 8,782 39.93 142 0.65 112 0.51
Sanxing Township (三星鄉) 1,235 9.69 6,053 47.48 5,314 41.68 74 0.58 72 0.56
Datong Township (大同鄉) 149 3.81 3,360 86.02 374 9.58 9 0.23 14 0.36
Nan'ao Township (南澳鄉) 114 3.12 3,245 88.73 260 7.11 14 0.38 24 0.66
2018 Yilan County mayoral results[40]
No. Candidate Party Votes Percentage
1 Lin Hsin-hua (林信華) Independent 27,399 10.95%
2 Lin Zi-miao (林姿妙) Kuomintang 123,767 49.48%
3 Chen Ou-po (陳歐珀) Democratic Progressive Party 95,609 38.23%
4 Lin Jin-kun (林錦坤) Independent 1,922 0.77%
5 Chen Qiu-jing (陳秋境) Independent 1,424 0.57%
Total voters  373,510
Valid votes  250,121
Invalid votes  
Voter turnout  66.97%

Hsinchu County[edit]

Political context prior to the elections

Results of Past Hsinchu County Magistrate Elections
Year Winning Candidate Political Party
1997 Lin Kuang-hua Democratic Progressive Party
2001 Cheng Yung-chin Kuomintang
2005 Cheng Yung-chin Kuomintang
2009 Chiu Ching-chun Kuomintang
2014 Chiu Ching-chun Kuomintang
Hsinchu County
Highest vote share
Party Year Vote share %
‹See Tfd›Democratic Progressive Party 2010 legislative by-election 56%
Kuomintang 2008 presidential election 74%
2016 election results
Party Presidential % Legislative seat Legislative %
‹See Tfd›Democratic Progressive Party 42.52% 0 -
Kuomintang 35.28% 1 36.75%
New Power Party - 0 -
Taiwan Solidarity Union - 0 -
People First Party 22.19% 0 -
Independent/Others - 0 63.25%

Results of the primary

2018 Minkuotang Hsinchu County magistrate primary results
Candidates Place Result
Hsu Hsin-ying Nominated Walkover
2018 Kuomintang Hsinchu County magistrate primary results
Candidates Place Results