Opinion polling for the 2019 Spanish local elections (Castilla–La Mancha)
In the run up to the 2019 Spanish local elections, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in local entities in Spain. Results of such polls for municipalities in Castilla–La Mancha are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous local elections, held on 24 May 2015, to the day the next elections were held, on 26 May 2019.
Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.
Municipalities
[edit]Albacete
[edit]- Color key:
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |  |  |  |  |  | C |  | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 62.2 | 29.9 9 | 31.1 9 | [a] | 18.4 5 | 6.6 1 | 1.4 0 | 10.8 3 | 1.2 |
| GfK/FORTA[1] | 26 May 2019 | ? | ? | 24.4 6/7 | 35.0 9/11 | [a] | 16.2 4/5 | 7.4 1/2 | – | 11.6 2/3 | 10.6 |
| Eyos/Contigo[2] | 9–12 May 2018 | 306 | ? | ? 7 | ? 4 | ? 7 | ? 8 | – | ? 1 | – | ? |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 67.3 | 33.5 10 | 27.3 8 | 15.3 5 | 13.6 4 | 0.7 0 | – | – | 6.2 |
Alcázar de San Juan
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | | |  |  | | | | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 68.3 | 46.7 11 | 20.5 4 | 8.1 1 | 5.8 1 | 9.0 2 | – | 9.0 2 | 26.2 |
| SW Demoscopia[3][4] | 27 Dec–4 Jan 2019 | 375 | ? | 47.8 10/11 | 25.2 6/7 | 4.4 0/1 | [a] | 6.7 1/2 | 10.3 1/2 | 3.6 0 | 22.6 |
| Global Market/PSOE[5][6] | 13–20 Mar 2018 | 370 | ? | 46.2 10/11 | 24.8 5/6 | 3.8 0 | [a] | 11.8 2 | 13.4 3 | – | 21.4 |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 73.3 | 37.6 9 | 33.5 8 | 14.9 3 | 8.3 1 | – | – | – | 4.1 |
Almansa
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | | | | |  | | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 69.4 | 41.4 10 | 36.1 8 | 12.1 2 | 5.3 1 | 3.6 0 | – | 5.3 |
| SW Demoscopia[7][8] | 26–30 Nov 2018 | 380 | ? | 33.0 7/8 | 42.2 9/10 | [a] | 11.2 2/3 | [a] | 9.9 1/2 | 9.2 |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 71.4 | 44.1 11 | 34.9 8 | 8.3 2 | 3.8 0 | – | – | 9.2 |
Alovera
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Alter | | | | | | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 62.3 | 28.3 5 | 19.2 3 | 10.7 2 | 21.8 4 | 11.1 2 | 8.4 1 | 6.5 |
| Celeste-Tel[9][10] | 6–9 May 2019 | ? | 66.7 | 28.8 6 | 17.0 3 | 12.0 2 | 24.3 5 | 8.5 1 | 4.6 0 | 4.5 |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 64.7 | 25.7 5 | 23.9 5 | 17.3* 3 | 14.3 2 | 10.7 2 | – | 1.8 |
| (*) Results for Alovera Now. | ||||||||||
Azuqueca de Henares
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | | | | | G | | | | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 63.5 | 50.2 11 | 12.6 3 | 9.9 2 | [a] | 1.2 0 | 11.6 2 | [a] | 13.6 3 | 36.6 |
| Celeste-Tel[9][10] | 6–9 May 2019 | ? | 67.8 | 44.2 10 | 15.4 4 | 15.1 4 | [a] | 4.7 0 | 4.7 0 | [a] | 14.1 3 | 28.8 |
| GuadaTV[11] | 15 Jan 2019 | 200 | ? | 24.5 5/6 | 16.5 3 | 30.5 7 | [a] | – | 11.5 2 | [a] | 17.0 3/4 | 6.0 |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 65.1 | 41.4 10 | 20.6 4 | 13.1 3 | 13.0 3 | 6.2 1 | 1.6 0 | – | – | 20.8 |
Cabanillas del Campo
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | | | | | | | | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 70.8 | 26.1 5 | 44.4 8 | [a] | [a] | 10.8 2 | 9.8 1 | 8.1 1 | 18.3 |
| Celeste-Tel[9][10] | 6–9 May 2019 | ? | 68.3 | 30.9 5 | 37.4 7 | [a] | [a] | 15.8 3 | 10.0 1 | 5.9 1 | 6.5 |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 70.4 | 36.5 6 | 29.0 4 | 17.7* 2 | 9.9 1 | – | – | – | 7.5 |
| (*) Results for Neighbors for Cabanillas. | |||||||||||
Ciudad Real
[edit]- Color key:
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | | |  | | | | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 64.6 | 33.0 9 | 38.7 10 | [a] | 12.5 3 | 6.8 1 | 7.6 2 | 5.7 |
| GfK/FORTA[1] | 26 May 2019 | ? | ? | 29.9 7/8 | 37.8 9/11 | [a] | 12.1 2/3 | 7.1 1/2 | 10.6 2/3 | 7.9 |
| Global Market/PSOE[12][13][14] | 19–24 Feb 2018 | 384 | ? | 30.0 7/8 | 39.1 10/11 | 13.7 3 | 17.3 4 | – | – | 9.1 |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 66.7 | 36.8 10 | 31.2 9 | 15.7 4 | 7.5 2 | 2.1 0 | – | 5.6 |
Cuenca
[edit]- Color key:
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | | | | | | CNU | | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 66.7 | 21.0 6 | 36.2 11 | 3.3 0 | 5.8 1 | 3.6 0 | 22.4 6 | 5.5 1 | 13.8 |
| GfK/FORTA[1] | 26 May 2019 | ? | ? | 22.5 5/6 | 38.6 10/12 | 5.8 0/1 | 7.5 1/2 | 3.7 0/1 | 11.0 2/3 | 7.7 1/2 | 16.1 |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 68.2 | 37.3 10 | 32.6 9 | 12.8 3 | 10.3 3 | 1.4 0 | – | – | 4.7 |
Guadalajara
[edit]- Color key:
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | | | | | | |  | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 68.5 | 31.2 8 | 35.2 10 | – | 12.2 3 | 7.7 2 | 7.0 1 | 6.1 1 | 4.0 |
| GfK/FORTA[1] | 26 May 2019 | ? | ? | 25.0 6/7 | 39.0 10/12 | – | 10.1 2/3 | 7.5 1/2 | 11.4 2/3 | – | 14.0 |
| Celeste-Tel[9][15] | 6–9 May 2019 | 400 | 72.1 | 32.5 9/10 | 36.9 10/11 | – | 9.6 2 | 6.2 1 | 8.7 2 | 2.9 0 | 4.4 |
| Celeste-Tel[16][17] | 25 Jan–8 Feb 2019 | 450 | 67.6 | 33.2 9 | 31.6 9 | 12.3 3 | 13.6 3 | 5.2 1 | – | – | 1.6 |
| GuadaTV[18] | 15 Jan 2019 | 300 | ? | 29.7 8 | 28.4 7/8 | 9.7 1/2 | 21.7 5/6 | 10.7 1/2 | – | – | 1.3 |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 69.3 | 37.2 11 | 28.3 8 | 16.8* 4 | 9.6 2 | 1.5 0 | – | – | 8.9 |
| (*) Results for Guadalajara Now. | |||||||||||
Manzanares
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | | | ACM |  | | | | |  | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 69.8 | 52.7 11 | 27.0 5 | 3.8 0 | – | [a] | 4.5 0 | [a] | 3.5 0 | 7.3 1 | 25.7 |
| Global Market/PSOE[19] | 20–28 Mar 2018 | 387 | ? | 63.6 10/11 | 17.9 3/4 | 1.8 0 | – | – | 9.1 2 | 7.6 1 | – | – | 45.7 |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 72.1 | 40.0 8 | 33.9 6 | 10.0 1 | 6.3 1 | 5.4 1 | – | – | – | – | 6.1 |
Puertollano
[edit]- Color key:
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | | | | | | | íber | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 57.8 | 42.8 10 | 14.8 3 | [a] | 18.3 4 | 10.8 2 | 5.6 1 | 5.5 1 | 24.5 |
| GfK/FORTA[1] | 26 May 2019 | ? | ? | 47.6 10/12 | 14.5 3/4 | [a] | 14.3 2/3 | 13.1 2/3 | 5.1 0/1 | 4.8 0/1 | 33.1 |
| Global Market/PSOE[20] | 26 Feb–6 Mar 2018 | 389 | ? | 40.2 9 | 12.1 2 | [a] | 23.6 5 | 24.1 5 | – | – | 16.1 |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 61.5 | 40.0 11 | 26.1 7 | 17.1 3 | 10.8 2 | – | – | – | 13.9 |
Talavera de la Reina
[edit]- Color key:
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | | | .svg){kind=small} | | | | XT | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 63.2 | 20.0 5 | 46.6 14 | 3.0 0 | 10.9 3 | 4.1 0 | 11.9 3 | 2.6 0 | 26.6 |
| GfK/FORTA[1] | 26 May 2019 | ? | ? | 17.8 4/5 | 40.9 11/13 | 5.0 0/1 | 10.8 2/3 | 8.5 2/3 | 12.4 3/4 | 3.8 0/1 | 23.1 |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 64.5 | 39.5 11 | 31.9 8 | 14.6 4 | 8.7 2 | – | – | – | 7.6 |
Toledo
[edit]- Color key:
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | | |  | | | | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 69.8 | 25.5 6 | 44.2 12 | 0.4 0 | 12.6 3 | 8.3 2 | 8.1 2 | 18.7 |
| GfK/FORTA[1] | 26 May 2019 | ? | ? | 21.3 5/6 | 45.2 11/13 | – | 11.2 2/3 | 9.6 2/3 | 11.0 2/3 | 23.9 |
| PP[21][22] | 9 Dec 2018 | ? | ? | ? 8 | ? 9 | ? 4 | ? 3 | ? 1 | – | ? |
| SyM Consulting/PSOE[23][24] | 9 Apr 2018 | ? | ? | ? 7/8 | ? 11 | ? 2 | ? 4/5 | – | – | ? |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 71.9 | 32.9 9 | 30.2 9 | 16.7 4 | 10.1 3 | 1.8 0 | – | 2.7 |
Tomelloso
[edit]| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | | | | | | | | | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 61.3 | 53.7 12 | 27.8 6 | 5.7 1 | [a] | – | [a] | 8.9 2 | 3.1 0 | 25.9 |
| Global Market/PSOE[5][25][26] | 18 Apr 2018 | 380 | ? | ? 11 | ? 5 | ? 3 | ? 0 | ? 0 | ? 2 | – | – | ? |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 60.8 | 34.0 8 | 33.3 7 | 18.5 4 | 6.3 1 | 5.6 1 | – | – | – | 0.7 |
Notes
[edit]References
[edit]- ^ a b c d e f g "El PSOE ganaría los ayuntamientos de las cinco capitales de provincia, Puertollano y Talavera, según el sondeo de GFK para CMM". CMM (in Spanish). 26 May 2019.
- ^ "Ciudadanos sería el partido más votado en las municipales si las elecciones se celebraran hoy". Albacete Capital (in Spanish). 28 May 2018.
- ^ "El PSOE obtendría el 47,8% de los votos en Alcázar si mañana se celebrasen elecciones municipales". elsemanaldelamancha.com (in Spanish). 14 January 2019.
- ^ "ALCÁZAR DE SAN JUAN (Ciudad Real). Encuesta SW Demoscopia: PODEMOS-IU 10,3% (1/2), EQUO 4,4% (0/1), PSOE 47,8% (10/11), Cs 6,7% (1/2), PP 25,2% (6/7), VOX 3,6%". Electograph (in Spanish). 14 January 2019.
- ^ a b "El PSOE ganaría hoy las elecciones municipales en Alcázar de San Juan y Tomelloso". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 18 April 2018.
- ^ "ALCÁZAR DE SAN JUAN (Ciudad Real). Elecciones municipales. Sondeo Global Market para PSOE. Marzo 2018". Electograph (in Spanish). 18 April 2018.
- ^ "ENCUESTA EN ALMANSA: Vuelco electoral, pierde el PP, gana el PSOE tanto en las municipales como en las autonómicas". diariodecastillalamancha.es (in Spanish). 20 December 2018.
- ^ "ALMANSA. Encuesta SW Demoscopia: PODEMOS-IU 9,9% (2), PSOE 42,2% (10), Cs 11,2% (2), PP 33,0% (7)". Electograph (in Spanish). 20 December 2018.
- ^ a b c d "INFORMATIVO 17 MAYO 2019". Nueva Alcarria (in Spanish). 17 May 2019.
- ^ a b c "NOTICIAS GUADALAJARA - CORREDOR MAYO 2019". Noticias de Guadalajara (in Spanish). 18 May 2019.
- ^ "Ciudadanos ganaría las elecciones municipales de Azuqueca si se celebrasen hoy". GuadaTV (in Spanish). 15 January 2019.
- ^ "El PSOE ganaría en Ciudad Real capital con 1 ó 2 ediles más". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 16 April 2018.
- ^ "Pilar Zamora ganaría las elecciones con uno o dos concejales más". La Tribuna de Ciudad Real (in Spanish). 16 April 2018.
- ^ "CIUDAD REAL. Elecciones municipales. Sondeo Global Market para PSOE. Febrero 2018". Electograph (in Spanish). 16 April 2018.
- ^ "NOTICIAS DE GUADALAJARA MAYO 2019". Noticias de Guadalajara (in Spanish). 14 May 2019.
- ^ "Guadalajara: empate PSOE-PP". Electomanía (in Spanish). 5 March 2019.
- ^ "NOTICIAS DE GUADALAJARA MARZO 2019". Noticias de Guadalajara (in Spanish). 12 March 2019.
- ^ "Ciudadanos ganaría las elecciones municipales de Azuqueca si se celebrasen hoy". GuadaTV (in Spanish). 15 January 2019.
- ^ "Julian Nieva ampliaría su mayoría, con 3 concejales más, en Manzanares". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 19 April 2018.
- ^ "El PSOE volvería a ganar las municipales en Puertollano con 9 concejales y un 40,2% de estimación de voto". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 19 April 2018.
- ^ "Nueve ediles a PSOE, 8 a PP, 4 a Ganemos, 3 a Cs y 1 a VOX". La Tribuna de Toledo (in Spanish). 9 December 2018.
- ^ "Una encuesta del PP otorga la victoria al PSOE en Toledo en las próximas elecciones municipales". Toledodiario (in Spanish). 9 December 2018.
- ^ "Una encuesta del PSOE otorga a Tolón 11 ediles, dos más que ahora". La Tribuna de Toledo (in Spanish). 9 April 2018.
- ^ "Tolón ganaría las elecciones de 2019 y podría formar gobierno con Ganemos o Ciudadanos". Toledodiario (in Spanish). 9 April 2018.
- ^ "Una encuesta de Global Market pronostica la victoria del PSOE en Tomelloso". La Voz de Tomelloso (in Spanish). 18 April 2018.
- ^ "TOMELLOSO (Ciudad Real). Elecciones municipales. Sondeo Global Market para PSOE. Marzo 2018". Electograph (in Spanish). 18 April 2018.
