Opinion polling for the next Maltese general election
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In the run up to the next Maltese general election, expected by 2027, various organizations have carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Malta. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.
In the most recent general election, in 2022, the Labour Party won their third consecutive election, and have been in power since 2013.
Party polling
[edit]Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and its background is shaded in the leading party's colour. The "lead" column shows the percentage point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a poll result is a tie, the figures with the highest percentages are both shaded and displayed in bold.
It is not uncommon for the third largest party, AD+PD and other smaller parties to be grouped together in polls, or totally excluded.
Expressing a Preference
[edit]The values in the table below are derived by removing non-party responses (i.e. non-voters, "don't know", and "no reply"); as the margin is also recalculated, there may be slight differences in exact lead margins due to rounding.
| Dates Conducted | Polling firm | Sample size | PL | PN | AD+PD | Others | Lead | Not voting[nb 1] | Don't know[nb 2] | No reply[nb 3] | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11–19 Sep 2024 | MaltaToday | 712 | 43.8 | 48.2 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 4.4 | 24.3 | – | – | ||
| 8 June 2024 | 2024 EP Election[nb 4] | – | 45.3 | 42.0 | 1.2 | 11.2 | 3.3 | 27 | – | – | ||
| 28-29 May | Senior Government Ministers, former Ministers, and civil servants are charged in court following the conclusion of the Magisterial Inquiry into the Vitals Scandal.[1][2] | |||||||||||
| 28 Nov–6 Dec 2023 | MaltaToday | 650 | 47.3 | 43.1 | 9.6 | 4.2 | 30.2 | – | – | |||
| 1–9 Nov 2023 | MaltaToday | 637 | 49.0 | 45.4 | 5.6 | 3.6 | 31.0 | |||||
| 14–26 Oct 2023 | Esprimi/Times of Malta | 600 | 50.0 | 44.8 | 5.2 | 5.0 | 27.8 | |||||
| 25 Sep–4 Oct 2023 | MaltaToday | 657 | 43.8 | 45.8 | 10.4 | 2.0 | 31 | |||||
| 9–16 Mar 2023 | Esprimi/Times of Malta | 600 | 51.6 | 42.9 | 5.5 | 8.7 | 27.4 | |||||
| 29 Feb | Court annuls contentious 2015 transfer - approved by former PL Prime Minister Joseph Muscat - of three hospitals to international control.[3][4] | |||||||||||
| 26 March 2022 | 2022 general election | – | 45.8 | 34.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 11.1 | 14.4 | – | – | ||
Complete Data
[edit]| Dates Conducted | Polling firm | Sample size | PL | PN | AD+PD | Others | Lead | Not voting | Don't know | No reply[nb 5] | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–8 Sep 2023 | Independent | 1600 | 34.9 | 35.3 | 4.9 | 4.6 | 0.4 | 15.9 | 4.4 | – | ||
| 10–20 Jul 2023 | MaltaToday | 749 | 29.6 | 30.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 22.6 | 13.9 | |||
| 10–19 May 2023 | MaltaToday | 574 | 33.1 | 28.7 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 4.4 | 20.8 | 14.7 | |||
| 3–10 Mar 2023 | MaltaToday | 574 | 30.8 | 28.4 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 24.8 | 10.0 | |||
| 29 Feb | Court annuls contentious 2015 transfer - approved by former PL Prime Minister Joseph Muscat - of three hospitals to international control.[5][6] | |||||||||||
| 24 Jan–1 Feb 2023 | MaltaToday | 646 | 38.7 | 22.8 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 15.9 | 23.9 | 10.5 | – | ||
| 22 Nov–1 Dec 2022 | MaltaToday | 650 | 36.4 | 24.2 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 12.2 | 22.2 | 13.2 | |||
| 13–30 Sep 2022 | MaltaToday | 647 | 39.4 | 19.9 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 19.5 | 22.5 | 14.9 | |||
| 6–14 Jul 2022 | MaltaToday | 656 | 42.0 | 25.8 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 16.2 | 14.5 | 14.1 | |||
| 16–25 May 2022 | MaltaToday | 656 | 43.9 | 28.8 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 15.1 | 11.2 | 11.4 | |||
| 26 March 2022 | 2022 general election | – | 45.8 | 34.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 11.1 | 14.4 | – | – | ||
Leader trust
[edit]| Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size | Robert Abela | Bernard Grech | Sandra Gauci | Neither | Lead[nb 6] | Don't know |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7–21 Mar 2024 | MaltaToday | 657 | 45.9 | 21.7 | – | 34.2 | 11.7 | – |
| 26 Jan–5 Feb 2024 | MaltaToday | 647 | 41.1 | 16.7 | 42.2 | 1.1 | ||
| 28 Nov–6 Dec 2023 | MaltaToday | 650 | 37.5 | 21.1 | 41.3 | 3.8 | ||
| 1–9 Nov 2023 | MaltaToday | 637 | 38.0 | 23.6 | 38.04 | 0.4 | ||
| 14–26 Oct 2023 | Esprimi/Times of Malta | 600 | 45.7 | 36.9 | – | 8.8 | ||
| 25 Sep–4 Oct 2023 | MaltaToday | 657 | 39.2 | 20 | 40.9 | 1.7 | ||
| 1–8 Sep 2023 | Independent | 1600 | 36 | 27.1 | 7.8 | 29.1 | 6.9 | |
| 10–20 Jul 2023 | MaltaToday | 749 | 36 | 26.8 | – | 33.3 | 5.9 | 0.7 |
See also
[edit]Notes
[edit]- ^ Excluded from calculation for the party percentages.
- ^ Excluded from calculation for the party percentages.
- ^ Excluded from calculation for the party percentages.
- ^ Although it is important that EP Elections are treated differently to General Elections, this is still an important reference point.
- ^ Excluded from calculation for the party percentages.
- ^ Lead over other leader or non-voters
References
[edit]- ^ Agius, Matthew. "Blow-by-blow: Joseph Muscat's first day in court". MaltaToday. Retrieved 10 June 2024.
- ^ Galea, Albert; Camilleri, Kyle Patrick; Caruana, Andrea. "How the second hospitals case ran an 11-hour marathon, before grinding to a halt". Malta Independent. Retrieved 10 June 2024.
- ^ "Court strikes down Malta government hospital management deal". Reuters. 24 February 2023. Retrieved 28 March 2024.
- ^ Agius, Matthew. "Judge annuls hospitals deal, slams Vitals, Steward and government in damning ruling". MaltaToday. Retrieved 25 March 2024.
- ^ "Court strikes down Malta government hospital management deal". Reuters. 24 February 2023. Retrieved 28 March 2024.
- ^ Agius, Matthew. "Judge annuls hospitals deal, slams Vitals, Steward and government in damning ruling". MaltaToday. Retrieved 25 March 2024.
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See also: Presidential elections | |
