2010 United States Senate election in Maryland
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 County results Mikulski: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Wargotz: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Maryland |
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 Government |
The 2010 United States Senate election in Maryland was held on November 2, 2010. Primary elections were held on September 14, 2010. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Barbara Mikulski won re-election to a fifth term.
According to The Baltimore Sun columnist David Nitkin, Mikulski had indicated she planned to seek re-election to a fifth term. If Mikulski were to win re-election and serve the full term, she would tie Paul Sarbanes as the longest-serving senator in state history, and also becoming the longest-serving female senator in history, turning 80 years old in the process.[1] On February 15, 2010, rumors began to circulate that Mikulski would not seek reelection; however, these were denied by Democratic sources soon after.[2][3]
She previously won senate elections in 1986, 1992, 1998, and 2004 by margins of 21, 42, 41 and 31 percentage points, respectively. Additionally, in the general election, state parties were expected to focus much of their attention on the seats of Governor Martin O'Malley and first-term Congressman Frank Kratovil, the latter of whom won a surprise victory in a conservative district of the state.[1] Nitkin[1] and Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball[4] considered her seat as overwhelmingly "safe."
Democratic primary
[edit]
Mikulski—80–90%
Mikulski—70–80%
Mikulski—60–70%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Barbara Mikulski (Incumbent) | 388,868 | 82.32% | |
| Democratic | Christopher J. Garner | 35,579 | 7.53% | |
| Democratic | A. Billy Bob Jaworski | 15,131 | 3.20% | |
| Democratic | Blaine Taylor | 10,787 | 2.28% | |
| Democratic | Theresa C. Scaldaferri | 7,913 | 1.68% | |
| Democratic | Sanquetta Taylor | 7,365 | 1.56% | |
| Democratic | Lih Young | 6,733 | 1.43% | |
| Total votes | 472,376 | 100.00% | ||
Republican primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Eric Wargotz, Queen Anne's County Commission President
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Joseph Alexander
- Barry Steve Asbury, newspaper publisher
- Neil Cohen, dentist
- Stephens Dempsey
- Samuel R. Graham Sr.
- John B. Kimble, perennial candidate
- Gregory Kump
- Daniel W. McAndrew
- Jim Rutledge, attorney
- Eddie Vendetti, engineer
Results
[edit]
Wargotz—60–70%
Wargotz—50–60%
Wargotz—40–50%
Wargotz—<40%
Rutledge—<40%
Rutledge—40–50%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Eric Wargotz | 92,464 | 38.57% | |
| Republican | Jim Rutledge | 73,311 | 30.58% | |
| Republican | Joseph Alexander | 14,026 | 5.85% | |
| Republican | Neil H. Cohen | 13,613 | 5.68% | |
| Republican | Stephens Dempsey | 9,325 | 3.89% | |
| Republican | Daniel W. McAndrew | 8,460 | 3.53% | |
| Republican | John B. Kimble | 8,081 | 3.37% | |
| Republican | Samuel R. Graham, Sr. | 6,600 | 2.75% | |
| Republican | Barry Steve Asbury | 5,900 | 2.46% | |
| Republican | Eddie Vendetti | 5,046 | 2.10% | |
| Republican | Gregory Kump | 2,931 | 1.22% | |
| Total votes | 239,757 | 100.00% | ||
General election
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Major
[edit]- Barbara Mikulski (D), incumbent U.S. Senator
- Eric Wargotz (R), Queen Anne's County, Maryland Commission President (elected) and physician
Minor
[edit]- Don Kaplan (Independent)
- Richard Shawver (Constitution)
- Kenniss Henry (Green)
- Natasha Pettigrew (deceased) was the Green Party candidate. On September 19, while cycling, Pettigrew was hit by an SUV driver. Her mother, Kenniss Henry, was chosen by the Green Party to replace Pettigrew on the ballot.[6]
Campaign
[edit]Wargotz released two television ads, in the first he created and introduced the term "insidersaurus": comparing Mikulski to a dinosaur by calling her a political "insidersaurus" [7][8][9][10][11] being in Washington for over thirty years (a long-term political incumbent.) A second ad showed a hammer hitting a brick wall, breaking it down and citing criticisms of Mikulski's record as a U.S. Senator. Mikulski released advertisements emphasizing education and job creation.[12]
Despite Wargotz's limited campaign and resources he received the highest percentage of votes against Mikulski as an incumbent U.S. Senator (over 20 years.)
Debates
[edit]Despite repeated requests by the Wargotz Campaign formal debate was declined by the incumbent U.S. Senator Mikulski. The two candidates did appear together on Maryland Public Television (MPT) fielding common questions posed to both by the moderator but no formal debate was held.
Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[13] | Solid D | October 26, 2010 |
| Rothenberg[14] | Safe D | October 22, 2010 |
| RealClearPolitics[15] | Safe D | October 26, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] | Safe D | October 21, 2010 |
| CQ Politics[17] | Safe D | October 26, 2010 |
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Barbara Mikulski (D) | Eric Wargotz (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | July 8, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 58% | 33% | 2% | 7% |
| Public Policy Polling (report) | July 10–12, 2010 | 569 | ± 4.1% | 59% | 27% | –– | 14% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | August 20, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | 55% | 39% | 3% | 3% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | September 15, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | 54% | 38% | 4% | 4% |
| Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies, Inc. (report) | October 11–16, 2010 | 816 | ± 3.5% | 55% | 38% | –– | 7% |
| Baltimore Sun/OpinionWorks (report) | October 15–20, 2010 | 798 | ± 3.5% | 59% | 32% | –– | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | October 24, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | 56% | 38% | 2% | 4% |
Fundraising
[edit]| Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt | Cash minus debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barbara Mikulski (D) | $3,690,724 | $2,792,437 | $1,772,774 | $0 | $1,772,774 |
| Eric Wargotz (R) | $1,210,327 | $743,392 | $466,931 | $459,600 | $-7331. |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[18] | |||||
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Barbara Mikulski (incumbent) | 1,140,531 | 62.19% | −2.61% | |
| Republican | Eric Wargotz | 655,666 | 35.75% | +2.05% | |
| Green | Kenniss Henry | 20,717 | 1.13% | +0.06% | |
| Constitution | Richard Shawver | 14,746 | 0.80% | +0.42% | |
| Write-in | 2,213 | 0.11% | +0.05% | ||
| Total votes | 1,833,873 | 100.0% | |||
| Democratic hold | |||||
Results by county
[edit]| County | Barbara A. Mikulski Democratic | Eric Wargotz Republican | Kennis Henry Green | Richard Shawver Constitution | Other Other | Margin | Total Votes Cast | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Allegany | 9639 | 44.60% | 11350 | 52.52% | 288 | 1.33% | 319 | 1.48% | 16 | 0.07% | -1711 | -7.92% | 21612 |
| Anne Arundel | 102511 | 51.17% | 92994 | 46.42% | 2766 | 1.38% | 1868 | 0.93% | 214 | 0.11% | 9517 | 4.75% | 200353 |
| Baltimore (City) | 138312 | 86.59% | 18336 | 11.48% | 2094 | 1.31% | 831 | 0.52% | 167 | 0.10% | 119976 | 75.11% | 159740 |
| Baltimore (County) | 165678 | 58.27% | 112670 | 39.62% | 3426 | 1.20% | 2233 | 0.79% | 343 | 0.12% | 53008 | 18.64% | 284350 |
| Calvert | 15247 | 48.44% | 15569 | 49.46% | 364 | 1.16% | 275 | 0.87% | 21 | 0.07% | -322 | -1.02% | 31476 |
| Caroline | 4508 | 45.46% | 5142 | 51.86% | 120 | 1.21% | 127 | 1.28% | 19 | 0.19% | -634 | -6.39% | 9916 |
| Carroll | 21632 | 34.38% | 39312 | 62.48% | 834 | 1.33% | 1040 | 1.65% | 101 | 0.16% | -17680 | -28.10% | 62919 |
| Cecil | 13132 | 44.22% | 15600 | 52.53% | 443 | 1.49% | 485 | 1.63% | 40 | 0.13% | -2468 | -8.31% | 29700 |
| Charles | 30106 | 64.88% | 15598 | 33.62% | 348 | 0.75% | 321 | 0.69% | 28 | 0.06% | 14508 | 31.27% | 46401 |
| Dorchester | 6481 | 55.96% | 4910 | 42.39% | 99 | 0.85% | 87 | 0.75% | 5 | 0.04% | 1571 | 13.56% | 11582 |
| Frederick | 34913 | 46.67% | 38013 | 50.81% | 876 | 1.17% | 905 | 1.21% | 107 | 0.14% | -3100 | -4.14% | 74814 |
| Garrett | 3361 | 35.76% | 5750 | 61.17% | 117 | 1.24% | 164 | 1.74% | 8 | 0.09% | -2389 | -25.41% | 9400 |
| Harford | 40712 | 43.50% | 50513 | 53.98% | 1082 | 1.16% | 1171 | 1.25% | 106 | 0.11% | -9801 | -10.47% | 93584 |
| Howard | 63738 | 59.71% | 40853 | 38.27% | 1239 | 1.16% | 794 | 0.74% | 125 | 0.12% | 22885 | 21.44% | 106749 |
| Kent | 4549 | 56.04% | 3405 | 41.95% | 81 | 1.00% | 74 | 0.91% | 8 | 0.10% | 1144 | 14.09% | 8117 |
| Montgomery | 204005 | 70.67% | 79582 | 27.57% | 3353 | 1.16% | 1393 | 0.48% | 351 | 0.12% | 124423 | 43.10% | 288684 |
| Prince George's | 204441 | 89.11% | 22607 | 9.85% | 1472 | 0.64% | 752 | 0.33% | 164 | 0.07% | 181834 | 79.25% | 229436 |
| Queen Anne's | 8575 | 43.64% | 10561 | 53.75% | 195 | 0.99% | 284 | 1.45% | 35 | 0.18% | -1986 | -10.11% | 19650 |
| St. Mary's | 14669 | 46.86% | 15911 | 50.83% | 320 | 1.02% | 377 | 1.20% | 26 | 0.08% | -1242 | -3.97% | 31303 |
| Somerset | 4082 | 53.98% | 3363 | 44.47% | 48 | 0.63% | 67 | 0.89% | 2 | 0.03% | 719 | 9.51% | 7562 |
| Talbot | 7968 | 49.28% | 7946 | 49.15% | 147 | 0.91% | 95 | 0.59% | 12 | 0.07% | 22 | 0.14% | 16168 |
| Washington | 17356 | 43.71% | 20873 | 52.57% | 579 | 1.46% | 653 | 1.64% | 247 | 0.62% | -3517 | -8.86% | 39708 |
| Wicomico | 14668 | 49.88% | 14189 | 48.25% | 243 | 0.83% | 278 | 0.95% | 30 | 0.10% | 479 | 1.63% | 29408 |
| Worcester | 10248 | 48.28% | 10619 | 50.03% | 183 | 0.86% | 153 | 0.72% | 23 | 0.11% | -371 | -1.75% | 21226 |
| Total | 1140531 | 62.19% | 655666 | 35.75% | 20717 | 1.13% | 14746 | 0.80% | 2198 | 0.12% | 484865 | 26.44% | 1833858 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
[edit]- Allegany (largest municipality: Cumberland)
- Calvert (largest municipality: Chesapeake Beach)
- Caroline (largest municipality: Denton)
- Frederick (largest municipality: Frederick)
- St. Mary's (largest municipality: California)
- Worcester (largest municipality: Ocean Pines)
See also
[edit]References
[edit]- ^ a b c Nitkin, David (November 12, 2008). "Smooth sailing for Mikulski". Maryland Politics Blog. The Baltimore Sun. Retrieved January 9, 2009.
- ^ Geraghty, Jim (February 15, 2010). "Let's Get Real: Barbara Mikulski Does Not Fear a Loss This Year". National Review. Archived from the original on July 7, 2012. Retrieved February 16, 2010.
- ^ Hockstader, Lee (February 16, 2010). "Mikulski another Dem retirement? Not likely". The Washington Post. Archived from the original on September 21, 2012. Retrieved February 16, 2010.
- ^ "Senate 2010: A three-peat for Democrats or Comeback for the GOP?". Crystal Ball. February 19, 2009. Archived from the original on January 7, 2010.
- ^ a b "Maryland Senate Primary Results". Maryland State Board of Elections. September 17, 2010. Retrieved September 17, 2010.
- ^ Natasha Pettigrew – Mother to replace Green Party nominee for Senate – Baltimore Sun
- ^ "'Insidersaurus'". Politico. September 2010.
- ^ "Political Insidersaurus:Eric Wargotz on the Hunt". YouTube.
- ^ "Senate Candidate Runs on Dinosaur Metaphor". The Atlantic. September 2, 2010.
- ^ "MD-Sen: Wargotz Hits Mikulski for Being A "Political Insidersaurus" | RealClearPolitics".
- ^ "Eric Wargotz - Political Insidersaurus is FoxNews Ad of the Day". YouTube.
- ^ Pershing, Ben; Dropp, Kyle (October 4, 2010). "Mikulski leads despite drop in popularity". The Washington Post.
- ^ "Senate". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
- ^ "Senate Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
- ^ "2010 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
- ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Senate". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
- ^ "2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Maryland". fec.gov. Retrieved May 1, 2010.[permanent dead link]
- ^ Maryland State Board of Elections
External links
[edit]- Maryland State Board of Elections
- U.S. Congress candidates for Maryland at Project Vote Smart
- Maryland U.S. Senate from OurCampaigns.com
- Campaign contributions from Open Secrets
- 2010 Maryland Polls graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Election 2010: Maryland Senate from Rasmussen Reports
- Maryland Senate from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 Maryland Senate Race from CQ Politics
- Race profile from The New York Times
- Candidate blogs at The Baltimore Sun
Official campaign sites
- Barbara Mikulski for U.S. Senate incumbent
- Daniel W. McAndrew for U.S. Senate
- Jim Rutledge for U.S. Senate
- Vaughn for U.S. Senate
- Wargotz for U.S. Senate
- Neil Cohen for U.S. Senate
