2021 Louisiana's 2nd congressional district special election
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Louisiana's 2nd congressional district | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Turnout | 18.0% (first round)[1] 16.8% (second round)[1] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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  Carter: 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Peterson: 20–30% 50–60% 60–70% Chambers: 20–30% Bernard: 30–40% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Louisiana |
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 Government |
The 2021 Louisiana's 2nd congressional district special election was held on March 20, 2021, with a runoff being held on April 24, 2021.
On November 17, 2020, incumbent Democratic representative Cedric Richmond announced that he would resign from the United States House of Representatives to serve as the director of the Office of Public Liaison and as a Senior Advisor to Joe Biden. He did so on January 15, 2021, and took his new job when Biden assumed office on January 20, 2021.[2][3][4] When congressional seats in Louisiana become vacant, the governor has the ability to call a special election at any time. The special election to fill Louisiana's 2nd congressional district took place on March 20, and a runoff was held on April 24.[5][6][7][8] Troy Carter won the runoff election on April 24, 2021, against fellow Democrat Karen Peterson.[1]
Primary candidates
[edit]Democratic Party
[edit]Of the Democratic candidates, Troy Carter, a state senator, Karen Carter Peterson, a state senator and former chair of the Louisiana Democratic Party, and Gary Chambers, an activist, were considered the frontrunners.[9] Of these candidates, Carter was considered to be moderate, while Peterson and Chambers were considered to be progressives.[9] In the jungle primary, Carter and Peterson took first and second place with 36% and 23% of the vote, while Chambers took third place with 21%.[10] Chambers' result was considered an overperformance, as he significantly outdid his polling numbers.[10] On March 29, Chambers endorsed Peterson.[11]
Declared
[edit]- Troy Carter, state senator and candidate for this seat in 2006[12][13]
- Gary Chambers Jr., activist and candidate for Louisiana State Senate district 15 in 2019[14][15]
- Harold John, postal worker[16]
- J. Christopher Johnson, activist[16]
- Lloyd M. Kelly[16]
- Desiree Ontiveros, small business owner[17]
- Karen Carter Peterson, state senator, former chair of the Louisiana Democratic Party, and runoff-advanced candidate for this seat in 2006[13][18]
- Jenette M. Porter, small business owner[16]
Republican Party
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Chelsea Ardoin, HR professional[16]
- Claston Bernard, decathlete[16]
- Greg Lirette, information technology professional[19]
- Sheldon C. Vincent Sr., retired postal worker[16]
Libertarian Party
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Mindy McConnell, principal[20]
No party affiliation
[edit]Declared
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Claston Bernard (R)
U.S. Representatives
- Joseph Cao, former U.S. Representative for Louisiana's 2nd congressional district[21][22]
- Burgess Owens, U.S. Representative for Utah's 4th congressional district[22]
State legislators
- Elbert Guillory, former state senator[23]
- Kathy Edmonston, state representative[24]
- Vernon Jones, former Georgia state representative[25]
Individuals
- Rev. Jesse Lee Peterson, podcast and talk show host, president of the Brotherhood Organization of a New Destiny (BOND)(1990–present)[26]
Organizations
Troy Carter (D)
Executive Branch officials
- Cedric Richmond, Senior Advisor to the President of the United States and former U.S. Representative for Louisiana's 2nd congressional district[28]
U.S. Representatives
- Jim Clyburn, U.S. Representative for South Carolina's 6th congressional district[29]
State legislators
- John Alario, former president of the Louisiana State Senate and former Speaker of the Louisiana House of Representatives[30] (Republican)
- Don Cravins Jr., former state senator and representative[31]
- Mike Fesi, state senator[31] (Republican)
- Cleo Fields, state senator and former U.S. Representative for Louisiana's 4th congressional district[32]
- Francis C. Heitmeier, former state senator[31]
Local officials
- Sharon Weston Broome, Mayor-President of East Baton Rouge Parish and former Louisiana state senator[33]
Newspapers
Organizations
Gary Chambers (D)
Individuals
- John Iadarola, talk show host, YouTube personality, and political pundit[39]
- Shaun King, author and civil rights activist[40]
- Sam Seder, actor, political commentator, and host of The Majority Report with Sam Seder[41]
- Cenk Uygur, journalist, creator of The Young Turks, and co-founder of Justice Democrats[42]
- Marianne Williamson, author, activist, and candidate for President of the United States in 2020[43]
Karen Carter Peterson (D)
U.S. Representatives
- Katie Porter, U.S. Representative for California's 45th congressional district[44]
State legislators
- Stacey Abrams, founder of Fair Fight Action, former Minority Leader of the Georgia House of Representatives, and nominee for Governor of Georgia in 2018[45]
Local officials
- LaToya Cantrell, mayor of New Orleans[46]
Organizations
Jungle primary
[edit]Polling
[edit]Graphical summary
[edit] | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Troy Carter (D) | Karen Carter Peterson (D) | Gary Chambers Jr. (D) | Desiree Ontiveros (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edgewater Research/My People Vote[55] | March 2–7, 2021 | 651 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 35% | 24% | 11% | – | 16% | 15% |
| LexthomResearch and Development, LLC[56] | February 26 – March 3, 2021 | 1,067 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 23% | 17% | 13% | 4% | 3%[b] | 40% |
| Trust the People PAC (D)[A] | February 21–22, 2021 | 620 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 24% | 23% | 6% | 2% | 16%[c] | 29% |
| Silas Lee & Associates (D)[57][B] | February 12–14, 2021 | 450 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 28% | 19% | 6% | 2% | 8%[d] | 38% |
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Troy Carter (D) | Cleo Fields (D) | Mitch Landrieu (D) | Helena Moreno (D) | Karen Carter Peterson (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALG Research (D)[58] | November 2–5, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 15% | 14% | 25% | 18% | 4% | 3% | 22% |
| 22% | 17% | – | 24% | 7% | 4% | 22% |
Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[59] | Solid D | March 19, 2021 |
| Inside Elections[60] | Solid D | March 19, 2021 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[61] | Safe D | March 18, 2021 |
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Troy Carter | 34,402 | 36.38 | |
| Democratic | Karen Carter Peterson | 21,673 | 22.92 | |
| Democratic | Gary Chambers Jr. | 20,163 | 21.31 | |
| Republican | Claston Bernard | 9,237 | 9.77 | |
| Republican | Chelsea Ardoin | 3,218 | 3.40 | |
| Republican | Greg Lirette | 2,349 | 2.48 | |
| Republican | Sheldon C. Vincent Sr. | 754 | 0.80 | |
| Democratic | Desiree Ontiveros | 699 | 0.74 | |
| Independent | Belden Batiste | 598 | 0.63 | |
| Democratic | Harold John | 403 | 0.43 | |
| Libertarian | Mindy McConnell | 323 | 0.34 | |
| Democratic | J. Christopher Johnson | 288 | 0.30 | |
| Democratic | Jenette M. Porter | 244 | 0.26 | |
| Democratic | Lloyd M. Kelly | 122 | 0.13 | |
| Independent | Brandon Jolicoeur | 94 | 0.10 | |
| Total votes | 94,567 | 100.00 | ||
By parish
[edit]| Parish | Troy Carter Democratic | Karen Carter Peterson Democratic | Gary Chambers Jr. Democratic | Claston Bernard Republican | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total votes | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Ascension | 776 | 33.9 | 653 | 28.5 | 307 | 13.4 | 392 | 17.1 | 162 | 7.1 | 123 | 5.4% | 2,290 |
| Assumption | 373 | 44.9 | 152 | 18.3 | 59 | 7.1 | 149 | 17.9 | 98 | 11.8 | 221 | 26.6% | 831 |
| East Baton Rouge | 2,273 | 26.2 | 3,045 | 35.1 | 2,832 | 32.6 | 164 | 1.9 | 365 | 4.2 | 213 | 2.5% | 8,679 |
| West Baton Rouge | 289 | 20.4 | 334 | 23.6 | 296 | 20.9 | 318 | 22.5 | 177 | 12.5 | 16 | 1.1% | 1,414 |
| Iberville | 622 | 23.9 | 504 | 19.3 | 640 | 24.6 | 583 | 22.4 | 258 | 9.9 | 18 | 0.7% | 2,607 |
| Jefferson | 7,702 | 39.5 | 3,283 | 16.8 | 1,989 | 10.2 | 2,902 | 14.9 | 3,647 | 18.7 | 4,419 | 22.6% | 19,523 |
| Orleans | 18,366 | 38.6 | 12,055 | 25.3 | 12,897 | 27.1 | 1,798 | 3.8 | 2,514 | 5.3 | 5,469 | 11.5% | 47,630 |
| St. Charles | 1,037 | 23.2 | 476 | 10.6 | 334 | 7.5 | 1,495 | 33.4 | 1,133 | 25.3 | 458 | 10.2% | 4,475 |
| St. James | 1,238 | 35.0 | 553 | 15.6 | 317 | 9.0 | 990 | 28.0 | 437 | 12.4 | 248 | 7.0% | 3,535 |
| St. John the Baptist | 1,726 | 48.2 | 618 | 17.3 | 492 | 13.7 | 446 | 12.5 | 301 | 8.4 | 1,108 | 30.9% | 3,583 |
| Total | 34,402 | 36.38 | 21,673 | 22.92 | 20,163 | 21.32 | 9,237 | 9.77 | 9,092 | 9.61 | 12,729 | 13.46% | 94,567 |
Runoff
[edit]A runoff was held on April 24 between Troy Carter and Karen Carter Peterson. In the April 24th runoff, Carter beat Peterson 48,513, 55.2%, to 39,297, 44.8%, with 87,810 votes reported from 100% of precincts.[62]
Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[59] | Solid D | March 19, 2021 |
| Inside Elections[63] | Solid D | April 23, 2021 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[64] | Safe D | April 15, 2021 |
Endorsements
[edit]Troy Carter (D)
Executive Branch officials
- Cedric Richmond, Senior Advisor to the President of the United States and former U.S. Representative for LA-2 (2011–2021)[28]
U.S. Representatives
- Joyce Beatty, U.S. Representative for OH-3 (2013–present); Chair of the Congressional Black Caucus (2021–present)[65]
- Jim Clyburn, U.S. Representative for SC-6. (1993–present)[65]
- Hakeem Jeffries, U.S. Representative for NY-8 (2013–present)[66]
- Ro Khanna, U.S. Representative for California's 17th congressional district (2017–present)[66]
- Bennie Thompson, U.S. Representative for Mississippi's 2nd congressional district (1993–present)[65]
State legislators
- John Alario, former president of the Louisiana State Senate and former Speaker of the Louisiana House of Representatives[30] (Republican)
- Don Cravins Jr., former state senator and representative[31]
- Mike Fesi, state senator[31] (Republican)
- Cleo Fields, state senator for Baton Rouge (14th district) and former U.S. Representative for Louisiana's 4th congressional district[32]
- Francis C. Heitmeier, former state senator[31]
Local officials
- Sharon Weston Broome, Mayor-President of East Baton Rouge Parish and former Louisiana state senator[33]
- LaMont Cole, President of Baton Rouge Metropolitan Council[67]
- Helena Moreno, President of the New Orleans City Council and former Louisiana state representative[68]
- Cynthia Lee Sheng, Parish President of Jefferson Parish[69] (Republican)
- Jason Williams, District Attorney of New Orleans[70]
Newspapers
Organizations
Karen Carter Peterson (D)
Governors
- Howard Dean, former governor of Vermont (1991–2003) and former chair of the Democratic National Committee (2005–2009)[72][73]
U.S. Representatives
- Mondaire Jones, U.S. Representative from NY-17 (2021–present)[74]
- Carolyn Maloney, U.S. Representative for New York's 12th congressional district (1993–present)[75][76]
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, U.S. Representative for New York's 14th congressional district (2019–present)[77]
- Katie Porter, U.S. Representative for California's 45th congressional district (2019–present)[44]
State legislators
- Stacey Abrams, founder of Fair Fight Action, former Minority Leader of the Georgia House of Representatives, and nominee for Governor of Georgia in 2018[45]
Local officials
- LaToya Cantrell, Mayor of New Orleans and former member of the New Orleans City Council[46][78]
Organizations
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Troy Carter | 48,513 | 55.25% | |
| Democratic | Karen Carter Peterson | 39,297 | 44.75% | |
| Total votes | 87,810 | 100.00 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
By parish
[edit]| Parish | Troy Carter Democratic | Karen Carter Peterson Democratic | Margin | Total votes | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Ascension | 1,113 | 47.5 | 1,228 | 52.5 | 115 | 5.0% | 2,341 |
| Assumption | 441 | 62.6 | 263 | 37.4 | 178 | 25.2% | 704 |
| East Baton Rouge | 3,032 | 35.4 | 5,542 | 64.6 | 2,510 | 29.2% | 8,574 |
| West Baton Rouge | 617 | 48.6 | 652 | 51.4 | 35 | 2.8% | 1,269 |
| Iberville | 1,173 | 48.0 | 1,272 | 52.0 | 99 | 4.0% | 2,445 |
| Jefferson | 11,195 | 67.0 | 5,524 | 33.0 | 5,671 | 34.0% | 16,719 |
| Orleans | 24,160 | 53.0 | 21,467 | 47.0 | 2,693 | 6.0% | 45,627 |
| St. Charles | 2,346 | 70.3 | 989 | 29.7 | 1,357 | 40.6% | 3,335 |
| St. James | 2,356 | 66.2 | 1,202 | 33.8 | 1,357 | 32.4% | 3,558 |
| St. John the Baptist | 2,078 | 64.3 | 1,156 | 35.7 | 922 | 28.6% | 3,234 |
| Totals | 48,513 | 55.25 | 39,297 | 44.75 | 9,216 | 10.50% | 87,810 |
Notes
[edit]Additional candidates and polling key
- ^ a b Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Claston Bernard (R) with 3%
- ^ "Republican candidates" with 11% and "Another candidate" with 5%
- ^ Chelsea Ardoin (R), Belden Batiste (I), Harold John (D), J. Christopher Johnson (D), Brandon Jolicoeur (NPP), Jenette Porter (D), Lloyd Kelly (D), Greg Lirette (R), Mindy McConnell (L) and Sheldon Vincent (R) combined with 6%; Claston Bernard (R) with 2%
Partisan clients
References
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- ^ "Gov. Howard Dean Endorses Sen. Karen Carter Peterson for Congress". YouTube. January 12, 2021. Archived from the original on April 11, 2021. Retrieved April 14, 2021.
- ^ "Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District special election, 2021". Ballotpedia. Archived from the original on March 6, 2021. Retrieved March 18, 2021.
- ^ Reisman, Nick (April 13, 2021). "Rep. Mondaire Jones launches political action committee". Spectrum Local News. Archived from the original on April 14, 2021. Retrieved April 14, 2021.
- ^ "'Karen Carter Peterson Needs Our Support!' Joint Fundraising Page with Congresswoman Carolyn Maloney". Archived from the original on April 25, 2021. Retrieved April 20, 2021.
- ^ Carolyn B. Maloney [@CarolynBMaloney] (April 24, 2021). "Today is Election Day in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District! Good luck to my dear friend @TeamKCP who has shown time and time again the values, integrity, and know-how that are key to holding elected office" (Tweet). Retrieved April 25, 2021 – via Twitter.
- ^ Bridges, Tyler (April 21, 2021). "Troy Carter, Karen Carter Peterson agree in debate – and attack each other". Nola.com. Archived from the original on April 22, 2021. Retrieved April 22, 2021.
- ^ Joseph, LeBron (April 7, 2021). "Mayor Latoya Cantrell endorses Carter Peterson in congressional race". WGNO. Archived from the original on April 8, 2021. Retrieved April 8, 2021.
- ^ a b "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorse Karen Carter Peterson in LA-02". April 13, 2021. Archived from the original on April 14, 2021. Retrieved April 14, 2021.
- ^ "PEACE ACTION ENDORSES PETERSON AND TURNER". Peace Action. March 10, 2021. Archived from the original on April 24, 2021. Retrieved April 24, 2021.
- ^ Stets, Dave; Gravatt, Matt (March 23, 2021). "Sierra Club Endorses Karen Carter Peterson for Congress". Sierra Club. Archived from the original on March 23, 2021. Retrieved March 23, 2021.
External links
[edit]Official campaign websites