Opinion polling for the 2022 South Korean presidential election
This article is a list of opinion polls that have been taken for the 2022 South Korean presidential election. It is divided into polls for intended candidates, and then for the presidential election itself. Two-way polls are used to demonstrate the popularity of one candidate with respect to another, but the election itself will have no run-off round and will be held under a system of first-past-the-post. The polls are ordered by date, with the newest at the top.
Opinion polling[edit]
Polling after nominees confirmed[edit]
Graphical summary[edit]
Polling average[edit]
| Polling Average | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregation Firm | Fieldwork date | Updated date | Others/ Undecided | Lead | ||||||||
| Opinion M (Final) | 7 Jan 2021 – 2 Mar 2022 | 5 Mar 2022 | 41.2% | 43.6% | 2.6% | 7.2% | (N/A) | (N/A) | 5.4% | 2.4% | ||
| 2022 Election (Final) | 5 Nov 2021 – 2 Mar 2022 | 5 Mar 2022 | 40.5% | 43.6% | 2.1% | 7.2% | (N/A) | (N/A) | 6.6% | 3.1% | ||
| pol MetriX (Final) | 4 Jan 2021 – 4 Mar 2021 (Reported Date) | 5 Mar 2022 | 40.9% | 44.3% | 2.1% | 7.3% | (N/A) | (N/A) | 5.4% | 3.4% | ||
| SBS Meta S X Poliscore (Final) | (N/A) | 4 Mar 2022 | 40.2% | 41.8% | 1.8% | 7.9% | (N/A) | (N/A) | 8.3% | 1.6% | ||
| Electoral Analysis (Final) | 1 – 2 Mar 2022 | 3 Mar 2022 | 43.3% | 45.9% | 4.4% | (N/A) | (N/A) | (N/A) | 6.4% | 2.6% | ||
| Asia Elects | (N/A) | 26 Feb 2022 | 39.0% | 40.2% | 2.8% | 8.5% | (N/A) | (N/A) | 9.5% | 1.2% | ||
2022[edit]
Official campaign[edit]
This table below lists polls completed since the publication of the official list of candidates on 15 February until the vote on 9 March 2022. The publication of polls are prohibited from 3 March 2022.
| Polling firm / Client | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Margin of error |  |  |  |  | Others/ Undecided | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Democratic | Yoon People Power | Sim Justice | Ahn People[a] | Kim New Wave[b] | Huh NRDP | |||||||
| 9 Mar | Turnout: 77.1% | 47.83% | 48.56% | 2.37% | 0.83% | 0.41% | 0.73% | |||||
| 3 March 2022 | Ahn Cheol-soo withdrew from the presidential campaign, endorsing Yoon Seok-youl. | |||||||||||
| KIR | NewsPim | 2 Mar | 1002 | ±3.1%p | 43.4% | 47.2% | 1.3% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.8% | |
| Southern Post | CBS | 2 Mar | 1001 | ±3.1%p | 37.7% | 39.6% | 1.7% | 8.6% | — | 12.4% | 1.9% | |
| R&R | The Dong-a Ilbo | 1–2 Mar | 1008 | ±3.1%p | 39.4% | 42.1% | 3.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 2.7% | ||
| Embrain Public | Munhwa Ilbo | 1–2 Mar | 1002 | ±3.1%p | 41.9% | 43.7% | 2.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 1.8% | ||
| Ipsos | Korea Economic Daily | 1–2 Mar | 1000 | ±3.1%p | 40.7% | 44.3% | 1.3% | 7.9% | 0.3% | 2.0% | 3.4%[c] | 3.6% |
| KSOI | Herald Economy | 1–2 Mar | 1006 | ±3.1%p | 43.7% | 44.4% | 1.9% | 7.2% | — | 2.8% | 0.7% | |
| Opinion Research Justice | Dailian | 1–2 Mar | 3004 | ±1.8%p | 40.7% | 46.4% | 1.8% | 6.1% | 1.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | |
| Ipsos Korea Research Hankook Research | KBS, MBC, SBS | 1–2 Mar | 2003 | ±2.2%p | 37.1% | 42.1% | 1.4% | 6.0% | 0.1% | 1.5% | 6.9%[d] | 5.0% |
| Kantar Korea | TV Chosun | 1–2 Mar | 1009 | ±3.1%p | 33.8% | 40.1% | 2.2% | 7.2% | — | 16.7% | 6.3% | |
| Opinion Research Justice | JKN | 1–2 Mar | 1008 | ±3.1%p | 42.7% | 45.1% | 1.0% | 5.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% |
| WinG Korea | Asia Business | 1–2 Mar | 1015 | ±3.1%p | 45.4% | 45.2% | 1.3% | 5.9% | — | 2.2% | 0.2% | |
| Gallup Korea | Money Today | 1–2 Mar | 1005 | ±3.1%p | 39.2% | 40.6% | 2.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 1.4% | ||
| Next Research | MBN | 1–2 Mar | 1011 | ±3.1%p | 34.1% | 39.9% | 2.1% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 5.8% | ||
| PNR | News Prime et al. | 1–2 Mar | 1011 | ±3.1%p | 41.9% | 47.5% | 1.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 5.6% | |
| Research View | 1–2 Mar | 1000 | ±3.1%p | 41% | 47% | 2% | 7% | — | 3% | 6% | ||
| Hangil Research | Kuki News | 1–2 Mar | 1021 | ±3.1%p | 40.9% | 43.6% | 2.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | ||
| Gallup Korea | 28 Feb – 2 Mar | 1002 | ±3.1%p | 38% | 39% | 3% | 12% | 8% | 1% | |||
| National Barometer Survey | 28 Feb – 2 Mar | 2013 | ±2.2%p | 40% | 40% | 2% | 9% | 10% | Tie | |||
| RealMeter | Oh My News | 28 Feb – 2 Mar | 3037 | ±1.8%p | 40.6% | 45.1% | 1.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | ||
| Embrain Public | JoongAng Ilbo | 28 Feb – 2 Mar | 2013 | ±2.2%p | 40.4% | 43.7% | 1.8% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | ||
| 2 March 2022 | Kim Dong-yeon withdrew from the presidential campaign, endorsing Lee Jae-myung. | |||||||||||
| KSOI | Kukmin Ilbo | 28 Feb – 1 Mar | 1012 | ±3.1%p | 37.9% | 44.2% | 2.1% | 8.9% | — | — | 6.9% | 6.3% |
| Jowon C&I | Ilyo Shinmun | 28 Feb – 1 Mar | 1013 | ±3.1%p | 42.1% | 44.9% | 2.6% | 7.0% | 0.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | |
| Global Research | JTBC | 28 Feb – 1 Mar | 1006 | ±3.1%p | 36.6% | 42.3% | 2.9% | 6.7% | — | 11.5% | 5.7% | |
| Media Research | OBS | 28 Feb – 1 Mar | 1000 | ±3.1%p | 45.0% | 44.9% | 1.5% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.1% | |
| RealMeter | Newsis | 28 Feb – 1 Mar | 1007 | ±3.1%p | 43.1% | 46.3% | 1.9% | 6.7% | — | 2.1% | 3.2% | |
| Kantar Korea | Seoul Economic Daily | 27 Feb – 1 Mar | 1028 | ±3.1%p | 34.1% | 44.1% | 2.0% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 10.0% | ||
| Jowon C&I | Local Press Korea Assoc. | 26 Feb – 1 Mar | 3004 | ±1.8%p | 42.4% | 45.3% | 1.7% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | ||
| PNR | New Daily | 26 Feb – 1 Mar | 4014 | ±1.5%p | 42.5% | 46.5% | 2.1% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | ||
| ARC | Freedom Daily | 28 Feb | 1002 | ±3.1%p | 43.2% | 46.5% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5%[e] | 3.3% |
| Ace Research | Kookje Daily | 27–28 Feb | 1002 | ±3.1%p | 43.7% | 44.6% | 1.9% | 7.4% | — | — | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Real Research Korea | Kmaeil | 25–28 Feb | 1000 | ±3.1%p | 41.5% | 46.8% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 5.3% | ||
| Mediatomato | Newstomato | 26–27 Feb | 1452 | ±2.6%p | 42.0% | 44.2% | 2.1% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | ||
| Opinion Research Justice | Dailian | 25–27 Feb | 3004 | ±1.8%p | 42.3% | 45.4% | 2.1% | 5.5% | 0.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | |
| RealMeter | The Fact | 26–27 Feb | 1009 | ±3.1%p | 41.0% | 46.1% | 2.5% | 7.9% | — | 2.5% | 5.1% | |
| RealMeter | Oh My News | 24–27 Feb | 2052 | ±2.2%p | 39.5% | 42.0% | 1.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 2.5% | ||
| KSOI | TBS | 25–26 Feb | 1000[f] | ±3.1%p | 43.2% | 45.0% | 1.5% | 5.9% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% |
| 1005[g] | ±3.1%p | 43.8% | 36.1% | 3.4% | 7.3% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | |||
| Southern Post | CBS | 26 Feb | 1021 | ±3.1%p | 40.0% | 40.4% | 2.7% | 8.1% | — | — | 8.8% | 0.4% |
| Gallup Korea | The Seoul Shinmun | 25–26 Feb | 1004 | ±3.1%p | 37.2% | 42.3% | 3.5% | 11.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | ||
| Embrain Public | News1 | 25–26 Feb | 1014 | ±3.1%p | 40.2% | 42.4% | 2.8% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 2.2% | ||
| Hankook Research | KBS | 24–26 Feb | 2000 | ±2.2%p | 39.8% | 39.8% | 3.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | Tie | ||
| Kantar Korea | TV Chosun | 23–24 Feb | 1007 | ±3.1%p | 34.9% | 36.5% | 3.1% | 8.5% | 17.0% | 1.6% | ||
| PNR | News Prime et al. | 23–24 Feb | 1005 | ±3.1%p | 41.0% | 43.8% | 3.1% | 7.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | |
| Research View | 22–24 Feb | 1000 | ±3.1%p | 41% | 46% | 2% | 7% | — | 4% | 5% | ||
| Gallup Korea | 22–24 Feb | 1000 | ±3.1%p | 38% | 37% | 4% | 12% | 9% | 1% | |||
| KIR | Cheonji Daily | 23 Feb | 1001 | ±3.1%p | 39.3% | 45.8% | 3.2% | 6.9% | 1.2% | 3.7% | 6.5% | |
| Media Research | OBS | 22-23 Feb | 1000 | ±3.1%p | 42.2% | 43.2% | 2.4% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% | |
| KRi | MBC | 22-23 Feb | 1005 | ±3.1%p | 39.6% | 41.9% | 2.5% | 7.8% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 7.0%[h] | 2.3% |
| Embrain Public | JoongAng Ilbo | 22-23 Feb | 1005 | ±3.1%p | 39.4% | 40.2% | 3.3% | 9.4% | — | — | 7.7% | 0.8% |
| National Barometer Survey | 21-23 Feb | 1004 | ±3.1%p | 37% | 39% | 3% | 9% | 12% | 2% | |||
| RealMeter | Oh My News | 20-23 Feb | 2038 | ±2.2%p | 40.5% | 41.9% | 2.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 1.4% | ||
| Jowon C&I | Sisa Journal | 20-22 Feb | 1002 | ±3.1%p | 42.3% | 44.2% | 2.8% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% | ||
| KIR | NewsPim | 21 Feb | 1002 | ±3.1%p | 39.5% | 44.0% | 3.1% | 7.5% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% |
| Gallup Korea | Money Today | 20-21 Feb | 1002 | ±3.1%p | 38.3% | 39.0% | 3.0% | 9.5% | — | — | 10.2% | 0.7% |
| Hangil Research | Polinews | 19-21 Feb | 1027 | ±3.1%p | 42.6% | 42.7% | 1.2% | 6.5% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 5.1%[i] | 0.1% |
| Opinion Research Justice | Dailian | 20 Feb | 1001 | ±3.1%p | 40.8% | 45.3% | 1.9% | 6.0% | 1.0% | — | 5.0% | 4.5% |
| Jowon C&I | Straight News | 19-20 Feb | 1002 | ±3.1%p | 42.1% | 43.6% | 2.2% | 5.9% | 0.9% | 5.4% | 1.5% | |
| Mediatomato | Newstomato | 19-20 Feb | 1061 | ±3.0%p | 41.9% | 44.4% | 2.9% | 6.2% | — | 4.7% | 2.5% | |
| Global Research | JTBC | 19-20 Feb | 1006 | ±3.1%p | 34.1% | 42.4% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 13.7% | 8.3% | ||
| Real Research Korea | Kmaeil | 18-20 Feb | 1001 | ±3.1%p | 40.6% | 43.4% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | ||
| Jowon C&I | CBS | 18-19 Feb | 1001 | ±3.1%p | 39.9% | 44.7% | 2.7% | 7.5% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | |
| KSOI | TBS | 18-19 Feb | 1002 | ±3.1%p | 43.7% | 42.2% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| R&R | The Dong-a Ilbo | 18-19 Feb | 1006 | ±3.1%p | 36.4% | 43.3% | 2.7% | 9.9% | — | — | 7.7% | 6.9% |
| Hankook Research | Hankookilbo | 18-19 Feb | 1012 | ±3.1%p | 36.9% | 42.4% | 2.3% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 5.5% | ||
| Kantar Korea | Seoul Economic Daily | 18-19 Feb | 1012 | ±3.1%p | 32.2% | 41.3% | 3.3% | 6.9% | 14.8% | 9.1% | ||
| PNR | New Daily | 18-19 Feb | 2015 | ±2.2%p | 39.8% | 47.6% | 2.2% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 7.8% | ||
| Southern Post | CBS | 18-19 Feb | 1001 | ±3.1%p | 31.4% | 40.2% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 15.8% | 8.8% | ||
| RealMeter | Oh My News | 13-18 Feb | 3043 | ±1.8%p | 38.7% | 42.9% | 3.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | ||
| Inner Tech Systems | GNN | 18 Feb | 1014 | ±3.1%p | 39.7% | 46.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | ||
| PNR | News Prime et al. | 16-17 Feb | 1004 | ±3.1%p | 39.9% | 44.6% | 1.9% | 7.9% | 1.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | |
| Gallup Korea | 15-17 Feb | 1007 | ±3.1%p | 34% | 41% | 4% | 11% | — | 10% | 7% | ||
| Research View | 15-17 Feb | 1000 | ±3.1%p | 39% | 48% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 9% | |||
| Ipsos Korea Research Hankook Research | KBS, MBC, SBS | 15-16 Feb | 2006 | ±2.2%p | 35.2% | 39.2% | 3.7% | 8.1% | 0.1% | 1.7% | 12%[j] | 4.0% |
| Media Research | OBS | 15-16 Feb | 1000 | ±3.1%p | 40.4% | 43.6% | 3.0% | 5.9% | — | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% |
| Real Research Korea | 14-16 Feb | 1006 | ±3.1%p | 39.0% | 45.3% | 3.7% | 8.2% | — | 3.8% | 6.3% | ||
| National Barometer Survey | 14-16 Feb | 1012 | ±3.1%p | 31% | 40% | 2% | 8% | 19% | 9% | |||
| For more information, visit the National Election Survey Deliberation Committee | ||||||||||||
1 February to 14 February[edit]
| Polling firm / Client | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Margin of error | Others/ Undecided | Lead | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hangil Research | Kuki News | 12–14 Feb | 1009 | ±3.1%p | 41.9% | 42.4% | 2.0% | 7.2% | — | — | 6.6% | 0.5% |
| ARC | Freedom Daily | 13 Feb | 1001 | ±3.1%p | 36.9% | 48.7% | 2.0% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 11.8% | |
| Mediatomato | Newstomato | 12–13 Feb | 1046 | ±3.0%p | 40.2% | 43.2% | 3.0% | 8.3% | — | 1.9% | 3.0% | |
| Kantar Korea | TV Chosun | 12–13 Feb | 1010 | ±3.1%p | 33.2% | 38.8% | 3.1% | 8.4% | 16.5% | 5.6% | ||
| PNR | News Prime et al. | 12–13 Feb | 1000 | ±3.1%p | 38.7% | 45.6% | 2.5% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 6.9% | |
| KIR | NewsPim | 12 Feb | 1,006 | ±3.1%p | 39.4% | 44.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 0.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.9% |
| Southern Post | CBS | 12 Feb | 1015 | ±3.1%p | 35.0% | 35.5% | 3.0% | 7.2% | — | — | 19.3% | 0.5% |
| Opinion Research Justice | Dailian | 11–12 Feb | 1000 | ±3.1%p | 38.2% | 46.6% | 1.7% | 6.9% | 0.9% | 5.7% | 8.4% | |
| Opinion Research Justice | JKN | 11–12 Feb | 1000 | ±3.1%p | 36.6% | 47.5% | 1.8% | 7.7% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 10.9% |
| KSOI | TBS | 11–12 Feb | 1005 | ±3.1%p | 40.4% | 43.5% | 3.5% | 7.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% |
| PNR | New Daily | 11–12 Feb | 2028 | ±2.2%p | 40.3% | 46.6% | 2.5% | 7.3% | — | — | 3.3% | 6.3% |
| RealMeter | Oh My News | 6–11 Feb | 3040 | ±1.8%p | 39.1% | 41.6% | 2.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 2.5% | ||
| PNR | News Prime et al. | 9–10 Feb | 1018 | ±3.1%p | 38.0% | 44.9% | 2.8% | 8.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 6.9% | |
| Research View | 9–10 Feb | 1000 | ±3.1%p | 36% | 48% | 3% | 8% | 1% | — | 4% | 12% | |
| Gallup Korea | 8–10 Feb | 1001 | ±3.1%p | 36% | 37% | 3% | 13% | — | 11% | 1% | ||
| Opinion Research Justice | Freedom Daily | 9 Feb | 1004 | ±3.1%p | 40.1% | 44.6% | 1.8% | 8.3% | 0.5% | 4.8%[k] | 4.5% | |
| Media Research | OBS | 8–9 Feb | 1000 | ±3.1%p | 39.0% | 44.3% | 2.8% | 6.7% | — | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% |
| Kantar Korea | Seoul Economic Daily | 8–9 Feb | 1008 | ±3.1%p | 31.3% | 41.2% | 3.9% | 8.9% | — | 12.6% | 9.9% | |
| Hankook Research | KBS | 7–9 Feb | 1000 | ±3.1%p | 34.0% | 37.7% | 3.0% | 9.0% | 16.2% | 3.7% | ||
| National Barometer Survey | 7–9 Feb | 1007 | ±3.1%p | 35% | 35% | 4% | 9% | 16% | Tie | |||
| Next Research | MBN | 7–8 Feb | 1001 | ±3.1%p | 31.6% | 36.1% | 3% | 10% | 19.2% | 4.5% | ||
| Gallup Korea | Money Today | 7–8 Feb | 1007 | ±3.1%p | 36.9% | 40.1% | 3.9% | 10% | 9.1% | 3.2% | ||
| Jowon C&I | Sisa Journal | 6–8 Feb | 2020 | ±2.2%p | 38.5% | 44.8% | 2.5% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | ||
| Jowon C&I | Straight News | 5–6 Feb | 1003 | ±3.1%p | 39.0% | 45.5% | 2.7% | 9.0% | 0.5% | 3.3% | 6.5% | |
| KRi | MBC | 5–6 Feb | 1012 | ±3.1%p | 35.3% | 37.1% | 3.5% | 11.9% | — | 12.3% | 1.8% | |
| Mediatomato | News Tomato | 5–6 Feb | 1017 | ±3.1%p | 36.8% | 44.9% | 3% | 8.6% | 0.7% | 2% | 3.5% | 8.1% |
| KIR | NewsPim | 5 Feb | 1006 | ±3.1%p | 35.6% | 46.5% | 2.6% | 7.9% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 10.9% |
| Embrain Public | JoongAng Ilbo | 4–5 Feb | 1005 | ±3.1%p | 38.1% | 36.2% | 4.2% | 11.7% | — | — | 9.4% | 1.9% |
| Opinion Research Justice | Dailian | 4–5 Feb | 1000 | ±3.1%p | 36.3% | 44.6% | 3.2% | 7.4% | 0.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | |
| PNR | New Daily | 4–5 Feb | 2001 | ±2.2%p | 37.7% | 48% | 3% | 7.7% | — | 3.7% | 10.3% | |
| KSOI | Kukmin Ilbo | 3–4 Feb | 1006 | ±3.1%p | 35.1% | 37.2% | 2.2% | 8.4% | 17.1% | 2.1% | ||
| Realmeter | OhmyNews | 2–4 Feb | 1509 | ±2.5%p | 38.1% | 43.4% | 2.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.3% | ||
| PNR | News Prime et al. | 2–3 Feb | 2001 | ±2.2%p | 38% | 44.3% | 2.9% | 7.4% | 3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | |
| Hangil Research | Kuki news | 2 Feb | 1012 | ±3.1%p | 40.4% | 38.5% | 3.3% | 8.2% | 0.5% | 2.1% | 6.9% | 1.9% |
| Research View | UPI News | 1–3 Feb | 1000 | ±3.1%p | 38% | 46% | 3% | 8% | 1% | — | 3% | 8% |
| For more information, visit the National Election Survey Deliberation Committee | ||||||||||||
January[edit]
| Polling firm / Client | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Margin of error | Others/ Undecided | Lead | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opinion Research Justice | Dailian | 29 Jan | 1002 | ±3.1%p | 38.1% | 43.5% | 2.8% | 7.8% | 0.8% | — | 7.1% | 5.4% |
| PNR | New Daily | 28–29 Jan | 2001 | ±2.2%p | 39.7% | 45.1% | 2.6% | 8.3% | — | 4.4% | 5.4% | |
| Korea Research | MBC | 26–27 Jan | 1002 | ±3.1%p | 32.9% | 41.1% | 3.1% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 8.2% | ||
| KIR | NewsPim | 26 Jan | 1,005 | ±3.1%p | 35.6% | 42.4% | 3.1% | 8.8% | 0.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 6.8% |
| Embrain Public | Munhwa Ilbo | 24–25 Jan | 1,001 | ±3.1%p | 33.5% | 35.9% | 3.2% | 12% | 0.7% | — | 14.7% | 2.4% |
| RealMeter | Oh My News | 17–21 Jan | 3,031 | ±1.8%p | 36.8% | 42.0% | 2.5% | 10.0% | — | 8.7% | 5.2% | |
| Gallup Korea | 18–20 Jan | 1,002 | ±3.1%p | 34% | 33% | 3% | 17% | 13% | 1% | |||
| Global Research | JTBC | 16–17 Jan | 1,020 | ±3.1%p | 34.6% | 32.9% | 3.3% | 14% | 15.2% | 1.7% | ||
| PNR | New Daily | 14–15 Jan | 1,000 | ±3.1%p | 33.8% | 44.8% | 3.0% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 11.0% | ||
| RealMeter | Oh My News | 9–14 Jan | 3,031 | ±1.8%p | 36.7% | 40.6% | 2.0% | 12.9% | 7.8% | 3.9% | ||
| Gallup Korea | 11–13 Jan | 1,001 | ±3.1%p | 37% | 31% | 3% | 17% | 12% | 6% | |||
| KSOI | TBS | 7–8 Jan | 1,000 | ±3.1%p | 37.6% | 35.2% | 2.3% | 15.1% | 0.4% | 9.4% | 2.4% | |
| KRI | MBC | 7–8 Jan | 1,003 | ±3.1%p | 37.1% | 30.5% | 4.0% | 13.6% | — | 14.8% | 6.6% | |
| PNR | New Daily | 7–8 Jan | 1,001 | ±3.1%p | 38.5% | 37.7% | 2.9% | 13.4% | 7.5% | 0.8% | ||
| Southern Post | CBS | 7–8 Jan | 1,002 | ±3.1%p | 34.1% | 26.4% | 3.1% | 12.8% | 23.6% | 7.7% | ||
| RealMeter | Oh My News | 2–7 Jan | 3,042 | ±1.8%p | 40.1% | 34.1% | 2.8% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 6.0% | ||
| Gallup Korea | 6 Jan | 1,002 | ±3.1%p | 36.0% | 26.0% | 5.0% | 15.0% | — | — | 18.0% | 10.0% | |
| Global Research | JTBC | 5–6 Jan | 1,006 | ±3.1%p | 38.0% | 25.1% | 3.0% | 12.0% | 21.9% | 12.9% | ||
| Gallup Korea | Money Today | 5 Jan | 1,001 | ±3.1%p | 37.6% | 29.2% | 3.6% | 12.9% | 0.2% | 16.5% | 8.4% | |
| GGilbo | NBS | 5 Jan | 1,000 | ±3.1%p | 36.0% | 28.0% | 2.0% | 12.0% | — | 22.0% | 8.0% | |
| Research View | UPI news | 4–6 Jan | 1,000 | ±3.1%p | 41% | 38% | 3% | 13% | 6% | 3% | ||
| R&S Research | MBN | 4–5 Jan | 1,003 | ±3.1%p | 38.5% | 34.2% | 3.3% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 4.3% | ||
| Media Research | OBS | 4–5 Jan | 1,001 | ±3.1%p | 40.3% | 37.0% | 3.6% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 7.1% | 3.3% | |
| Korea Research | KBS | 3–4 Jan | 1,000 | ±3.1%p | 39.1% | 26.0% | 3.1% | 10.6% | 0.6% | — | 21.6% | 13.1% |
| KIR | Cheonji Daily | 2 Jan | 1,003 | ±3.1%p | 37.7% | 37.1% | 3.9% | 10.6% | 1.2% | 10.5% | 0.6% | |
| Global Research | JTBC | 1–2 Jan | 1,012 | ±3.1%p | 37.0% | 28.1% | 3.2% | 9.1% | — | 22.6% | 8.9% | |
| R&R | Choson | 1 Jan | 1,013 | ±3.1%p | 35.5% | 30.9% | 4.1% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 4.6% | ||
| KSOI | TBS | 31 Dec – 1 Jan | 1,000 | ±3.1%p | 41.0% | 37.1% | 2.2% | 9.2% | 1.1% | 9.4% | 3.9% | |
| Opinion Research Justice | Dailian | 31 Dec – 1 Jan | 1,000 | ±3.1%p | 39.9% | 36.8% | 2.3% | 8.0% | 0.7% | 12.3% | 1.6% | |
| Ace Research | Mudeung Daily | 31 Dec – 1 Jan | 1,000 | ±3.1%p | 44.1% | 35.6% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 0.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | |
| PNR | New Daily | 31 Dec – 1 Jan | 1,002 | ±3.1%p | 40.5% | 40.9% | 1.8% | 8.5% | — | 8.3% | 0.4% | |
| R&R | The Dong-a Ilbo | 30 Dec – 1 Jan | 1,012 | ±3.1%p | 39.9% | 30.2% | 4.3% | 8.6% | 0.6% | 16.4% | 9.7% | |
| For more information, visit the National Election Survey Deliberation Committee | ||||||||||||
2021[edit]
| Polling firm / Client | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Margin of error | Others/ Undecided | Lead | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NR | SBS | 30–31 Dec | 1,003 | ±3.1%p | 34.9% | 26.0% | 2.6% | 7.8% | — | — | 28.7% | 8.9% |
| KRI | MBC | 29–31 Dec | 1,007 | ±3.1%p | 38.5% | 28.4% | 4.0% | 8.4% | 20.7% | 10.1% | ||
| Korea research | KBS | 29–31 Dec | 1,000 | ±3.1%p | 39.3% | 27.3% | 3.2% | 8.1% | 0.5% | 21.6% | 12.0% | |
| Hankook Research | Hankookilbo | 29–30 Dec | 1,005 | ±3.1%p | 34.3% | 28.7% | 4.5% | 9.0% | — | 23.5% | 5.6% | |
| ARC | Sportsseoul | 29 Dec | 1,001 | ±3.1%p | 41.5% | 38.8% | 2.0% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 2.7% | |
| R&R | The Segye Times | 27–29 Dec | 1,013 | ±3.1%p | 35.5% | 30.9% | 4.1% | 10.3% | — | 19.2% | 4.6% | |
| Gallup Korea | The Seoul Shinmun | 27–28 Dec | 1,008 | ±3.1%p | 36.8% | 30.8% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 6.0% | ||
| KSOI | Harold Economy | 27–28 Dec | 1,002 | ±3.1%p | 42.9% | 37.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 11.5% | 5.1% | ||
| Mediatomato | Newstomato | 25–26 Dec | 1,014 | ±3.1%p | 40.1% | 33.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 1.2% | 13.8% | 6.2% | |
| Opinion Research Justice | Dailian | 24–25 Dec | 1,000 | ±3.1%p | 39.1% | 37.5% | 2.1% | 6.5% | 1.2% | 13.5% | 1.6% | |
| PNR | New Daily | 24–25 Dec | 1,000 | ±3.1%p | 40.4% | 41.1% | 2.8% | 5.7% | — | 10.1% | 0.7% | |
| KSOI | TBS | 24–25 Dec | 1,000 | ±3.1%p | 37.6% | 35.8% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 1.5% | 14.3% | 1.8% | |
| SP | Chosun | 24–25 Dec | 1,010 | ±3.1%p | 36.6% | 27.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | — | 24.7% | 8.9% | |
| Media research | Obsnews | 23–24 Dec | 1,006 | ±3.1%p | 42.8% | 35.5% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | |
| KED | Chosun | 23–24 Dec | 1,004 | ±3.1%p | 37.8% | 37.5% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 1.0% | — | 10.2% | 0.3% |
| Realmeter Archived 2021-12-22 at the Wayback Machine | YTN | 20–21 Dec | 1,027 | ±3.1%p | 37.0% | 40.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 13.4% | 3.1% | |
| KSOI | Hani | 20 Dec | 1,008 | ±3.1%p | 40.3% | 37.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 12.1% | 2.9% | |
| Realmeter | Ohmynews | 19–24 Dec | 3,090 | ±1.8%p | 39.7% | 40.4% | 2.9% | 5.6% | — | — | 11.4% | 0.7% |
| NewsSCJ | KIR | 14 Dec | 1,022 | ±3.1%p | 35.2% | 44.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.7% |
| IMNews | MBC | 14 Dec | 1,007 | ±3.1%p | 34.5% | 38.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | — | — | 16.4% | 4.2% |
| Realmeter | The Watch | 7–8 Dec | 1,028 | ±3.1%p | 35.5% | 37.4% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 6.2%[l] | 1.9% |
| Gallup Korea | MoneyToday | 6–7 Dec | 1,006 | ±3.1%p | 35.5% | 36.4% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 1.0% | — | 16.4% | 0.1% |
| PNR | New Daily | 3–4 Dec | 1,004 | ±3.1%p | 38.5% | 42.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 4.1% |
| KSOI | TBS | 2–3 Dec | 1,007 | ±3.1%p | 37.9% | 41.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | — | 12.0% | 4.3% |
| R&R | ChannelA | 1 Dec | 1,008 | ±3.1%p | 35.5% | 34.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 17.4% | 0.9% | |
| RealMeter | Hani | 29 Nov | 1,000 | ±3.1%p | 35.1% | 43.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 12.6% | 8.6% | |
| PNR | Khan | 23–24 Nov | 1,011 | ±3.1%p | 37.1% | 43.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 0.4% | 5.7%[m] | 6.8% | |
| KSOI | Hani | 24 Nov | 1,000 | ±3.1%p | 39.5% | 40.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 10.8% | 0.5% | |
| GET | R&Search | 23 Nov | 1,008 | ±3.1%p | 36.1% | 44.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 3.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% |
| Gallup Korea | Money Today | 22–23 Nov | 1,011 | ±3.1%p | 37.1% | 38.4% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 1.0% | — | 15.0% | 1.3% |
| PNR | New Daily | 19–20 Nov | 1,007 | ±3.1%p | 36.7% | 46.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | |
| Gallup Korea | Chosun Ilbo | 16–18 Nov | 1,000 | ±3.1%p | 31.0% | 42.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | — | 15.0% | 11.0% | |
| ARC | ARC | 10–11 Nov | 1,006 | ±3.1%p | 34.6% | 47.4% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 9.5% | 12.8% | |
| Realmeter | JoongBoo Daily | 9–10 Nov | 810 | ±3.4%p | 35.4% | 45.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 1.8% | — | 7.7% | 9.6% |
| PNR | New Daily | 5–6 Nov | 1,009 | ±3.1%p | 31.2% | 43.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 15.9% | 11.8% | |
| KSOI | TBS | 5–6 Nov | 1,005 | ±3.1%p | 30.3% | 45.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 15.0% | 15.5% | |
| For more information, visit the National Election Survey Deliberation Committee | ||||||||||||
Polling before nominees finalized[edit]
 | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
| Polling firm / Client | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Margin of error | DP | PPP | PP | Others | None / Undecided | Lead | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Jae-myung | Lee Nak-yeon | Choo Mi-ae | Chung Sye-kyun | Park Yong-jin | Yoon Suk Yeol | Choi Jae-hyung | Hong Jun-pyo | Yoo Seung-min | Ahn Cheol-soo | |||||||||
| National Barometer Survey | 4–6 Oct | 1,006 | ±3.1%p | 26% | 11% | 1% | 0% | 17% | 1% | 15% | 2% | 2% | 3%
| 15% | 9% | |||
| Korea Research International | MBC News | 25-26 Sep | 1,001 | ±3.1%p | 27.8% | 11.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 17.2% | 1.1% | 16.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 3.9%
| 15.8% | 10.6% | ||
| KSOI | TBS | 17–18 Sep | 1,004 | ±3.1%p | 23.6% | 13.7% | 2.9% | — | 0.8% | 28.8% | 1.6% | 15.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4%
| 4.6% | 5.2% | |
| National Barometer Survey | 13–15 Sep | 1,007 | ±3.1%p | 28% | 11% | 2% | 0% | 20% | 1% | 14% | 2% | 2% | 3%
| 15% | 8% | |||
| KSOI | TBS | 3–4 Sep | 1,003 | ±3.1%p | 28.0% | 11.7% | 2.5% | — | 0.8% | 26.4% | 4.1% | 13.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 2.5%
| 4.9% | 1.6% | |
| Gallup Korea | 31 Aug – 2 Sep | 1,000 | ±3.1%p | 24% | 8% | 1% | 1% | — | 19% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 32% | 5% | ||
| National Barometer Survey | 30 Aug – 1 Sep | 1,012 | ±3.1%p | 25% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 19% | 2% | 10% | 2% | 3% | 4%
| 21% | 6% | ||
| KSOI | TBS | 27–28 Aug | 1,015 | ±3.1%p | 29.1% | 13.6% | 3.0% | — | 0.7% | 27.4% | 2.3% | 9.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.4%
| 5.0% | 1.7% | |
| RnSearch | Gyeonggi Shinmun | 25–26 Aug | 1,010 | ±3.1%p | 27.2% | 15.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 26.8% | 3.7% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.2%
| 6.0% | 0.4% | |
| National Barometer Survey | 23–25 Aug | 1,004 | ±3.1%p | 26% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 20% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 5%
| 25% | 6% | ||
| Realmeter | JTBC | 21–22 Aug | 1,004 | ±3.1%p | 27.7% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 30.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.3%
| 3.3% | 2.7% | |
| KSOI | TBS | 20–21 Aug | 1,007 | ±3.1%p | 26.8% | 12.4% | 3.3% | 0% | 0.4% | 29.8% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 4.1%
| 4.5% | 3% | |
| National Barometer Survey | 16–18 Aug | 1,010 | ±3.1%p | 26% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 19% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 3%
| 25% | 7% | ||
| Korea Research International | MBC News | 16–17 Aug | 1,002 | ±3.1%p | 29.8% | 10.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 19.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9%
| 18.5% | 10.3% | |
| Next Research | SBS News | 13–14 Aug | 1,004 | ±3.1%p | 23.2% | 10.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 21.7% | 3.2% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2%
| 22.3% | 1.5% | |
| KSOI | TBS | 13–14 Aug | 1,007 | ±3.1%p | 26.2% | 12.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 30.6% | 0% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 5.2%
| 5.4% | 4.4% | |
| Hankook Research | KBS News | 12–14 Aug | 1,000 | ±3.1%p | 25.6% | 11.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 18.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 5.8%
| 22.2% | 7.5% | |
| Media Research | OBS | 11–12 Aug | 1,000 | ±3.1%p | 26.6% | 17.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 26.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 4%
| 5.5% | 0.2% | |
| National Barometer Survey | 9–11 Aug | 1,017 | ±3.1%p | 23% | 12% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 19% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 2%
| 27% | 4% | ||
| Realmeter | Oh My News | 9–10 Aug | 2,031 | ±2.2%p | 25.9% | 12.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 26.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 7.6%
| 5.0% | 0.4% | |
| KSOI | TBS | 6–7 Aug | 1,004 | ±3.1%p | 28.4% | 16.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 28.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.0%
| 3.9% | 0.1% | |
| Gallup Korea | 3–5 Aug | 1,001 | ±3.1%p | 25% | 11% | 1% | 1% | — | 19% | 4% | 2% | — | 1% | 3% | 29% | 6% | ||
| National Barometer Survey | 2–4 Aug | 1,003 | ±3.1%p | 28% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 22% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 4%
| 23% | 6% | ||
| KSOI | TBS | 30–31 Jul | 1,013 | ±3.1%p | 27.4% | 16.0% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 32.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.6%
| 2.4% | 4.9% | |
| 30 July 2021 | Yoon Suk Yeol joins the People Power Party[1] | |||||||||||||||||
| National Barometer Survey | 26–28 Jul | 1,003 | ±3.1%p | 25% | 12% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 19% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2%
| 28% | 6% | ||
| Hangil Research | Kukinews | 24–26 Jul | 1,006 | ±3.1%p | 23.7% | 15.8% | 5.2% | — | — | 29.8% | — | 4.4% | 3.5% | — | 6.7%
| 10.8% | 6.1% | |
| WinG Korea | Asia Business | 24–25 Jul | 1,008 | ±3.1%p | 28.6% | 16.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 24.3% | 5.9% | 5% | 2.6% | 2% | 3.5%
| 5.5% | 4.3% | |
| KSOI | TBS | 23–24 Jul | 1,006 | ±3.1%p | 26% | 18.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 26.9% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2% | 2.3%
| 4.9% | 0.9% | |
| National Barometer Survey | 19–21 Jul | 1,005 | ±3.1%p | 27% | 14% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 19% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 4%
| 26% | 8% | ||
| KRi | MBC News | 17–18 Jul | 1,015 | ±3.1%p | 27.1% | 14.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 19.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 5.5%
| 2.4% | 7.4% | ||
| Realmeter | JTBC | 17–18 Jul | 1,000 | ±3.1%p | 23.8% | 20.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 0.9% | 22% | 6% | 4.6% | 2% | 1.7% | 5.5%
| 2.4% | 1.8% | |
| KSOI | TBS | 16–17 Jul | 1,013 | ±3.1%p | 25.4% | 19.3% | 3.4% | — | 0.9% | 30.3% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3%
| 4.9% | 4.9% | |
| 15 July 2021 | Choi Jae-hyung joins the People Power Party[2] | |||||||||||||||||
| National Barometer Survey | 12–14 Jul | 1,016 | ±3.1%p | 26% | 14% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 20% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 4%
| 22% | 6% | ||
| HRI | Seoul Shinmun | 12–14 Jul | 1,208 | ±2.83%p | 27.2% | 16% | 2.9% | 2.6% | — | 26.8% | 5.1% | 4% | 3.1% | 2% | 0.3% | 9.8% | 0.4% | |
| NEXT | SBS News | 12–13 Jul | 1,001 | ±3.1%p | 25.1% | 12% | 3.8% | 1.4% | — | 24.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7%
| 19% | 0.6% | |
| Jowon C&I | Straight News | 10–12 Jul | 1,000 | ±3.1%p | 27.4% | 16.4% | 5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 28.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | '1.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | |
| WinG Korea | Asia Business | 10–11 Jul | 1,011 | ±3.1%p | 25.8% | 16.4% | 4.7% | 3% | 1.3% | 26.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.9%
| 5.2% | 0.6% | |
| KSOI | TBS | 9–10 Jul | 1,014 | ±3.1%p | 26.9% | 18.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% | — | 29.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.9%
| 3.9% | 3% | |
| KSOI | TBS | 6–8 Jul | 1,400 | ±3.1%p | 28.4% | 16.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 28.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.0%
| 3.9% | 0.1% | |
| National Barometer Survey | 5–7 Jul | 1,005 | ±3.1%p | 27% | 10% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 21% | — | 4% | 2% | 2% | 4%
| 26% | 6% | ||
| KIR | News Phim | 5 Jul | 1,012 | ±3.1%p | 29% | 11.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 31.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.5%
| 5.1% | 2.6% | |
| Realmeter | JTBC | 3–4 Jul | 1,015 | ±3.1%p | 26.3% | 12.5% | 6.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 33.9% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 4.4%
| 3.2% | 7.6% | |
| PNR | Money Today/Mirae Hankook | 3 Jul | 1,001 | ±3.1%p | 26.2% | 13.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 36.1% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1%
| 3.2% | 9.9% | |
| KSOI | TBS | 2–3 Jul | 1,002 | ±3.1%p | 30.3% | 12.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 31.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 5.5% | 1.1% | |
| Global Research | 30 Jun–2 Jul | 1,000 | ±3.1%p | 26.5% | 9.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 25% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.3%
| 21.5% | 1.5% | ||
| Gallup Korea | 29 Jun–1 Jul | 1,000 | ±3.1%p | 24% | 6% | 2% | 2% | — | 25% | 2% | 2% | — | 1% | 3% | 32% | 1% | ||
| National Barometer Survey | 28–30 Jun | 1,007 | ±3.1%p | 27% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 21% | — | 3% | 2% | 3% | 6%
| 27% | 6% | ||
| Jowon C&I | Ilyo Shinmun | 27–29 Jun | 1,046 | ±3%p | 23.7% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 34.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 10.6% | |
| WinG Korea | Asia Business | 26–27 Jun | 1,009 | ±3.1%p | 26.6% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 30.7% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.5%
| 5.5% | 4.1% | |
| PNR | Money Today/Mirae Hankook | 26 Jun | 1,002 | ±3.1%p | 25.5% | 13% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 32.7% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 3.1% | — | 3.2%
| 4.5% | 7.2% | |
| KSOI | TBS | 25–26 Jun | 1,004 | ±3.1%p | 28.4% | 11.5% | 4.7% | — | 0.7% | 32.4% | — | 6.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 6%
| 4.6% | 4% | |
| 24 June 2021 | Hong Jun-pyo rejoined the PPP (formerly the United Future Party)[3] | |||||||||||||||||
| National Barometer Survey | 21–23 Jun | 1,006 | ±3.1%p | 27% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 20% | — | 3% | 1% | 3% | 4%
| 30% | 7% | ||
| Realmeter | Oh My News | 21–22 Jun | 2,014 | ±2.2%p | 22.8% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 3% | 0.7% | 32.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3% | 2.6% | 8.9%
| 6.7% | 9.5% | |
| Realmeter | JTBC | 19–20 Jun | 1,028 | ±3.1%p | 29.3% | 11.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 32% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1%
| 5.2% | 2.7% | |
| PNR | Money Today/Mirae Hankook | 19 Jun | 1,003 | ±3.1%p | 27.2% | 13% | — | 4.7% | — | 33.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | — | 3.1% | 5.2%
| 4.2% | 6.7% | |
| KSOI | TBS | 18–19 Jun | 1,004 | ±3.1%p | 25% | 12.2% | 2.7% | — | 0.9% | 38% | — | 4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 7.1%
| 5.5% | 13% | |
| KIR | News Phim | 18 Jun | 1,012 | ±3.1%p | 27.2% | 8.4% | — | 4% | 0.8% | 36.7% | — | 4.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.7%
| 5.4% | 9.5% | |
| National Barometer Survey | 14–16 Jun | 1,004 | ±3.1%p | 25% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 24% | — | 2% | 1% | 3% | 3%
| 32% | 1% | ||
| WinG Korea | Asia Business | 12–13 Jun | 1,017 | ±3.1%p | 28.3% | 10% | — | 2.1% | 1.2% | 33.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.9%
| 7.5% | 5% | |
| PNR | Money Today/Mirae Hankook | 12 Jun | 1,003 | ±3.1%p | 26.2% | 12.3% | — | 2.6% | — | 39.1% | — | 5.9% | — | 2.7% | 5.2%
| 6.3% | 12.9% | |
| KSOI | TBS | 11–12 Jun | 1,007 | ±3.1%p | 27.7% | 12.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | — | 35.5% | — | 4.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 6.8%
| 7.5% | 7.8% | |
| National Barometer Survey | 7–9 Jun | 1,010 | ±3.1%p | 24% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 24% | — | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3%
| 30% | Tie | ||
| KSOI | TBS | 5–6 Jun | 1,009 | ±3.1%p | 26.1% | 10.2% | 4% | 3.5% | — | 31.1% | — | 3.5% | 3% | 2.5% | 6.8%
| 8.3% | 5% | |
| PNR | Money Today/Mirae Hankook | 5 Jun | 1,002 | ±3.1%p | 25.7% | 13.8% | — | 3.7% | — | 35.7% | — | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 5.6%
| 5.9% | 10% | |
| Gallup Korea | 1–3 Jun | 1,002 | ±3.1%p | 24% | 5% | — | 1% | — | 21% | — | 2% | — | 3% | 11%
| 36% | 3% | ||
| National Barometer Survey | 31 May–2 Jun | 1,008 | ±3.1%p | 28% | 9% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 20% | — | 3% | 1% | 3% | 5%
| 28% | 8% | ||
| Jowon C&I | Ilyo Shinmun | 30 May–1 Jun | 1,003 | ±3.1%p | 26.4% | 11.3% | — | 3% | 0.5% | 28.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 11.4%
| 4.1% | 2.3% | |
| For more information, visit the National Election Survey Deliberation Committee | ||||||||||||||||||
Hypothetical polling[edit]
Lee Jae-myung vs. Yoon Suk Yeol[edit]
| Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
| Polling firm / Client | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Margin of error | Others/ Undecided | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RnSearch | Gyeonggi Shinmun | 3–4 Sep | 1,017 | ±3.1%p | 34.3% | 37.0% | 28.7% | 2.7% |
| National Barometer Survey | 30 Aug – 1 Sep | 1,012 | ±3.1%p | 42% | 35% | 23% | 7% | |
| RnSearch | Gyeonggi Shinmun | 25–26 Aug | 1,010 | ±3.1%p | 34.1% | 38.8% | 27.0% | 4.7% |
| National Barometer Survey | 23–25 Aug | 1,004 | ±3.1%p | 40% | 34% | 27% | 6% | |
| Realmeter | Oh My News | 23–24 Aug | 2,015 | ±2.2%p | 36.3% | 42.5% | 21.2% | 6.2% |
| Jowon C&I | Straight News | 21–23 Aug | 1,004 | ±3.1%p | 35.6% | 41.7% | 22.6% | 6.1% |
| Hangil Research | Polinews | 21–23 Aug | 1,004 | ±3.1%p | 37.0% | 42.6% | 20.5% | 5.6% |
| Realmeter | JTBC | 21–22 Aug | 1,004 | ±3.1%p | 39.4% | 42.6% | 18.0% | 3.2% |
| Gallup Korea | 17–19 Aug | 1,001 | ±3.1%p | 46% | 34% | 19% | 12% | |
| National Barometer Survey | 16–18 Aug | 1,010 | ±3.1%p | 43% | 35% | 23% | 8% | |
| Korea Research International | MBC News | 16–17 Aug | 1,002 | ±3.1%p | 44.7% | 35.3% | 19.9% | 9.4% |
| Next Research | SBS News | 13–14 Aug | 1,004 | ±3.1%p | 36.9% | 35.4% | 27.6% | 1.5% |
| Hankook Research | KBS News | 12–14 Aug | 1,000 | ±3.1%p | 44.2% | 36.9% | 18.9% | 7.3% |
| National Barometer Survey | 9–11 Aug | 1,017 | ±3.1%p | 41% | 33% | 27% | 8% | |
| PNR | New Daily | 10 Aug | 1,011 | ±3.1%p | 35.4% | 42.4% | 22.2% | 7% |
| Realmeter | Oh My News | 9–10 Aug | 2,031 | ±2.2%p | 35.9% | 42.1% | 22.0% | 6.2% |
| Jowon C&I | Straight News | 7–9 Aug | 1,003 | ±3.1%p | 38.1% | 38.4% | 23.6% | 0.3% |
| WinG Korea | Asia Business | 7–8 Aug | 1,006 | ±3.1%p | 41.8% | 41.3% | 16.9% | 0.5% |
| National Barometer Survey | 2–4 Aug | 1,003 | ±3.1%p | 42% | 35% | 23% | 7% | |
| Jowon C&I | Ilyo Shinmun | 1–3 Aug | 1,000 | ±3.1%p | 35.7% | 42.5% | 21.9% | 6.8% |
| Realmeter | News the One | 28–29 Jul | 1,003 | ±3.1%p | 36.1% | 46.6% | 17.3% | 10.5% |
| RnSearch | MBN/Maeil Business | 26–28 Jul | 1,102 | ±3%p | 34.6% | 38.3% | 27.2% | 3.7% |
| Jowon C&I | Straight News | 24–26 Jul | 1,001 | ±3.1%p | 38% | 40.2% | 21.8% | 2.2% |
| Hangil Research | Kukinews | 24–26 Jul | 1,006 | ±3.1%p | 36.9% | 41.1% | 21.9% | 4.2% |
| National Barometer Survey | 19–21 Jul | 1,003 | ±3.1%p | 46% | 33% | 20% | 13% | |
| KRi | MBC News | 17–18 Jul | 1,015 | ±3.1%p | 43% | 41% | 16% | 2% |
| Realmeter | JTBC | 17–18 Jul | 1,000 | ±3.1%p | 44% | 34.9% | 18.6% | 9.1% |
| Realmeter | Seoul Shinmun | 12–14 Jul | 1,208 | ±2.83%p | 48.9% | 43% | 8.1% | 5.9% |
| RnSearch | MBN/Maeil Business | 12–14 Jul | 1,060 | ±3%p | 33.7% | 37.9% | 28.4% | 4.2% |
| Realmeter | Oh My News | 12–13 Jul | 2,036 | ±2.2%p | 38.6% | 39.4% | 22% | 0.8% |
| NEXT | SBS News | 12–13 Jul | 1,001 | ±3.1%p | 36.9% | 34% | 29.1% | 2.9% |
| Hangil Research | Kukinews | 10–12 Jul | 1,001 | ±3.1%p | 43.9% | 36% | 20.1% | 7.9% |
| WinG Korea | Asia Business | 10–11 Jul | 1,011 | ±3.1%p | 41.5% | 42.2% | 16.3% | 0.7% |
| National Barometer Survey | 5–7 Jul | 1,005 | ±3.1%p | 43% | 33% | 24% | 9% | |
| Realmeter | JTBC | 3–4 Jul | 1,015 | ±3.1%p | 39.4% | 43.6% | 17% | 4.2% |
| PNR | Money Today/Mirae Hankook | 3 Jul | 1,001 | ±3.1%p | 41.8% | 49.8% | 9.4% | 8% |
| RnSearch | MBN/Maeil Business | 28–30 Jun | 1,000 | ±3%p | 34.7% | 41.4% | 24.9% | 6.7% |
| Jowon C&I | Ilyo Shinmun | 27–29 Jun | 1,000 | ±3.1%p | 33.1% | 44.9% | 22.1% | 11.8% |
| WinG Korea | Asia Business | 26–27 Jun | 1,009 | ±3.1%p | 40.5% | 48.7% | 10.8% | 8.2% |
| PNR | Money Today/Mirae Hankook | 26 Jun | 1,002 | ±3.1%p | 40.5% | 50.5% | 9% | 10% |
| Realmeter | Oh My News | 21–22 Jun | 2,014 | ±2.2%p | 35.1% | 47.7% | 17.3% | 12.6% |
| For more information, visit the National Election Survey Deliberation Committee | ||||||||
Notes[edit]
- ^ Withdrew his candidacy on 3 March 2022.
- ^ Withdrew his candidacy on 2 March 2022.
- ^ Progressive Party, Kim Jae-yeon, 0.5%. Our Republican Party, Cho Won-jin, 0.1%. Saenuri Party, Ok Eun-ho, 0.1%. New Liberal Democratic Union, Kim Gyeong-jae, 0.1%.
- ^ Our Republican Party, Cho Won-jin, 0.2%. Progressive Party, Kim Jae-yeon, 0.2%. Labor Party, Lee Baek-yoon, 0.1%.
- ^ Korean Unification Party, Lee Gyeong-hee, 0.3%.
- ^ Conducted with ARS Method.
- ^ Conducted with Interview Method.
- ^ New Liberal Democratic Union, Kim Gyeong-jae, 0.1%.
- ^ Our Republican Party, Cho Won-jin, 0.3%.
- ^ Our Republican Party, Cho Won-jin, 0.1%.
- ^ Our Republican Party, Cho Won-jin, 0.8%
National Revolutionary Party, Ko Young-Il, 0.3%. - ^ Independent, Son Hak-gyu 1.3%.
Progressive Party, Kim Jae-yeon 0.9%.
Our Republican Party, Cho Won-jin, 0.7%
National Revolutionary Party, Kim Gyeong-jae, 0.4%. - ^ Progressive Party, Kim Jae-yeon 0.3%.
Our Republican Party, Cho Won-jin, 1.4%
References[edit]
- ^ "Former Top Prosecutor Joins S.Korea's Main Opposition PPP". KBS World. 30 July 2021. Retrieved 30 July 2021.
- ^ "Fmr. BAI Chief Announces Plans to Join Main Opposition PPP". KBS World. 15 July 2021. Retrieved 15 July 2021.
- ^ "Ex-Pres. Candidate Rejoins Main Opposition Party". KBS World. 24 June 2021. Retrieved 15 July 2021.