2023 Nigerian presidential election in Ondo State

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2023 Nigerian presidential election in Ondo State
← 2019 25 February 2023 2027 →
Registered1,991,344
Turnout28.62%
 
Nominee Bola Tinubu Atiku Abubakar Peter Obi
Party APC PDP LP
Home state Lagos Adamawa Anambra
Running mate Kashim Shettima Ifeanyi Okowa Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed
Popular vote 369,924 115,463 47,350
Percentage 67.14% 20.95% 8.59%
President before election

Muhammadu Buhari
APC

Elected President

TBD

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Ondo State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

Background

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Ondo State is a Yoruba-majority southwestern state; politically, the state's 2019 elections were categorized as a continuation of the state's competitiveness as PDP presidential nominee Atiku Abubakar won the state by 6% and the party won two senate seats. However, the APC won five of nine House of Representatives seats and a majority in the House of Assembly. The next year, incumbent Governor Rotimi Akeredolu (APC) won re-election by over 17%.[2]

Polling

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Polling organisation/client Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		Others Undecided Undisclosed Not voting
Tinubu
APC 		Obi
LP 		Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Abubakar
PDP
BantuPage December 2022 N/A 33% 25% 0% 8% – 15% 7% 12%
BantuPage January 2023 N/A 44% 15% 0% 7% – 3% 26% 5%
Nextier
(Ondo crosstabs of national poll) 		27 January 2023 N/A 47.6% 24.4% – 22.0% 1.2% 4.9% – –
SBM Intelligence for EiE
(Ondo crosstabs of national poll) 		22 January-6 February 2023 N/A 32% 48% 2% 16% – 2% – –

Projections

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Source Projection As of
Africa Elects[a][3] Likely Tinubu 24 February 2023
Dataphyte[b][4]
Tinubu: 37.86% 11 February 2023
Obi: 33.36%
Abubakar: 15.85%
Others: 12.93%
Enough is Enough-
SBM Intelligence[c][5] 		Obi 17 February 2023
SBM Intelligence[d][6] Tinubu 15 December 2022
ThisDay[e][7]
Tinubu: 45% 27 December 2022
Obi: 10%
Kwankwaso: 10%
Abubakar: 20%
Others/Undecided: 15%
The Nation[f][8][9] Tinubu 12-19 February 2023

General election

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Results

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2023 Nigerian presidential election in Ondo State[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
A Christopher Imumolen
AA Hamza al-Mustapha
ADP Yabagi Sani
APP Osita Nnadi
AAC Omoyele Sowore
ADC Dumebi Kachikwu
APC Bola Tinubu
APGA Peter Umeadi
APM Princess Chichi Ojei
BP Sunday Adenuga
LP Peter Obi
NRM Felix Johnson Osakwe
New Nigeria Peoples Party Rabiu Kwankwaso
PRP Kola Abiola
PDP Atiku Abubakar
SDP Adewole Adebayo
YPP Malik Ado-Ibrahim
ZLP Dan Nwanyanwu
Total votes 100.00%
Invalid or blank votes N/A
Turnout

By senatorial district

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The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial District Bola Tinubu
APC 		Atiku Abubakar
PDP 		Peter Obi
LP 		Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Others Total valid votes
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Ondo Central
Senatorial District[g] 		TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Ondo North
Senatorial District[h] 		TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Ondo South
Senatorial District[i] 		TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Totals 369,924 67.14% 115,463 20.95% 47,350 8.59% 930 0.17% 17,341 3.15% 551,008

By federal constituency

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The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal Constituency Bola Tinubu
APC 		Atiku Abubakar
PDP 		Peter Obi
LP 		Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Others Total valid votes
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Akoko North East/Akoko North West
Federal Constituency[j] 		TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Akoko South East/Akoko South West
Federal Constituency[k] 		TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Akure North/Akure South
Federal Constituency[l] 		TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Idanre/Ifedore
Federal Constituency[m] 		TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Ilaje/Eseodo
Federal Constituency[n] 		TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Ile-oluji/Okeigbo/Odigbo
Federal Constituency[o] 		TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Irele/Okitipupa
Federal Constituency[p] 		TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Ondo East/Ondo West
Federal Constituency[q] 		TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Owo/Ose
Federal Constituency[r] 		TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Totals 369,924 67.14% 115,463 20.95% 47,350 8.59% 930 0.17% 17,341 3.15% 551,008

By local government area

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The results of the election by local government area.

Local government area Bola Tinubu
APC 		Atiku Abubakar
PDP 		Peter Obi
LP 		Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Others Total valid votes Turnout (%)
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Akoko North-East TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Akoko North-West TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Akoko South-East 10,765 73.99% 3,016 20.73% 470 3.23% 7 0.05% 291 2.00% 14,549 36.42%
Akoko South-West 28,367 79.73% 5,376 15.11% 920 2.59% 28 0.08% 886 2.49% 35,577 33.77%
Akure North TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Akure South TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Ese Odo TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Idanre TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Ifedore TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Ilaje 19,173 % 6,780 % 1,143 % 17 % TBD % TBD %
Ile Oluji/Okeigbo 14,750 62.59% 6,199 26.31% 1,076 4.57% 27 0.11% 1,514 6.42% 23,566 30.99%
Irele TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Odigbo TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Okitipupa 26,114 64.02% 12,025 29.48% 1,826 4.48% 19 0.05% TBD % TBD %
Ondo East 8,390 55.38% 3,912 25.83% 2,004 13.23% 55 0.36% 788 5.20% 15,149 31.37%
Ondo West 24,053 57.97% 8,534 20.57% 6,171 14.87% 161 0.39% 2,575 6.21% 41,494 23.37%
Ose 14,376 66.43% 4,767 22.03% 2,031 9.39% 23 0.11% 443 2.05% 21,640 31.73%
Owo TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Totals 369,924 67.14% 115,463 20.95% 47,350 8.59% 930 0.17% 17,341 3.15% 551,008 28.62%

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^ Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
  2. ^ Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  3. ^ EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
  4. ^ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
  5. ^ ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  6. ^ The Nation projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
  7. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Akure North, Akure South, Idanre, Ifedore, Ondo East, and Ondo West.
  8. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Akoko North-East, Akoko North-West, Akoko South-East, Akoko South-West, Ose, and Owo.
  9. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ese Odo, Ilaje, Ile Oluji/Okeigbo, Irele, Odigbo, and Okitipupa.
  10. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Akoko North-East and Akoko North-West.
  11. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Akoko South-East and Akoko South-West.
  12. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Akure North and Akure South.
  13. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Idanre and Ifedore.
  14. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ilaje and Ese Odo.
  15. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ile Oluji/Okeigbo and Odigbo.
  16. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Irele and Okitipupa.
  17. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ondo East and Ondo West.
  18. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ose and Owo.

References

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  1. ^ Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
  2. ^ Alabi, Mojeed; Olufemi, Alfred. "UPDATED: OndoDecides2020: Akeredolu wins Ondo governorship election". Premium Times. Retrieved 28 January 2023.
  3. ^ Elimian, Adrian (24 February 2023). "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
  4. ^ "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. 11 February 2023. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
  5. ^ "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. 17 February 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  6. ^ "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  7. ^ "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  8. ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny. "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  9. ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  10. ^ Johnson, Dayo. "Polls: Tinubu beats Atiku with 246,477 votes in Ondo". Vanguard. Retrieved 27 February 2023.
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