2024 United States Senate election in Nebraska
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The 2024 United States Senate election in Nebraska will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Nebraska.[1] Since there will also be special election in Nebraska for the U.S. Senate this marks the first time since 1954 where both of Nebraska's U.S. Senate seats were concurrently up for election. Primary elections will take place on May 14, 2024.[2]
Incumbent Republican Senator Deb Fischer was first elected in 2012 to fill the seat of retiring Democrat Ben Nelson and was re-elected in 2018. Fischer will seek a third term, despite having previously pledged to retire.[3]
Dan Osborn, an industrial mechanic and union leader who led the strike at Kellogg's Omaha plant in 2021, is running as an independent. No Democrats filed to run for the seat, creating speculation that Democrats may support Osborn in the general election.[4]
The Nebraska Legal Marijuana NOW Party will also field a candidate.
Republican primary[edit]
Candidates[edit]
Declared[edit]
- Deb Fischer, incumbent U.S. senator (2013–present)[5]
- Arron Kowalski, cattle farmer and perennial candidate[6]
Endorsements[edit]
- U.S. Executive branch officials
- Kellyanne Conway, former Senior Counselor to the President (2017–2020)[7]
- U.S. senators
- Pete Ricketts, U.S. senator from Nebraska (2023–present)[7]
- State executive officials
- Dave Heineman, former governor of Nebraska (2005–2015)[7]
- Kay Orr, former governor of Nebraska (1987–1991)[7]
- Jim Pillen, Governor of Nebraska (2023–present)[7]
- Organizations
- American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC)[8]
- Maggie's List[9]
- National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund[10]
- Nebraska Farm Bureau[11]
- Labor unions
- Omaha Police Officers Association[12]
Fundraising[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Deb Fischer (R) | $4,854,775 | $2,092,453 | $3,273,937 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[13] |
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Deb Fischer (incumbent) | |||
Republican | Arron Kowalski | |||
Total votes |
Third-party and independent candidates[edit]
Legal Marijuana Now Party[edit]
Declared[edit]
Independents[edit]
Declared[edit]
- Dan Osborn, mechanic and former president of Bakery, Confectionery, Tobacco Workers and Grain Millers International Union Local 50G[14]
Endorsements[edit]
- Labor unions
- Bakery, Confectionery, Tobacco Workers and Grain Millers International Union Local 50G[15]
- International Union of Elevator Constructors Local 28[15]
- Nebraska AFL-CIO[12]
- Omaha Police Officers Association[16]
- Office and Professional Employees International Union[15]
- 3 United Association locals[a][15]
Fundraising[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Dan Osborn (I) | $500,347 | $1,354 | $498,008 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[13] |
General election[edit]
Predictions[edit]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[17] | Solid R | November 9, 2023 |
Inside Elections[18] | Solid R | November 9, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] | Safe R | November 9, 2023 |
Elections Daily[20] | Safe R | May 4, 2023 |
CNalysis[21] | Solid R | November 21, 2023 |
Polling[edit]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Deb Fischer (R) | Dan Osborn (I) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] | April 24–25, 2024 | 737 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 37% | 33% | 30% |
Change Research (D)[B] | November 13–16, 2023 | 1,048 (LV) | – | 38% | 40% | 22% |
Results[edit]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | TBD | ||||
Independent | Dan Osborn | ||||
Legal Marijuana Now | TBD | ||||
Total votes |
Notes[edit]
- Partisan clients
References[edit]
- ^ "United States Senate elections, 2024". Ballotpedia. Retrieved July 12, 2022.
- ^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
- ^ Walton, Don (May 14, 2021). "Fischer says she'll seek third Senate term in 2024". JournalStar.com. Retrieved May 14, 2021.
- ^ "Despite gun divide Dems leaning toward Osborn for Senate". central.newschannelnebraska.com.
- ^ "Sen. Deb Fischer officially announces run for a third term". KRVN. June 28, 2023. Retrieved June 28, 2023.
- ^ a b c "Nebraska Statewide Candidate List". Nebraska Secretary of State. January 5, 2024.
- ^ a b c d e World-Herald, Martha Stoddard Omaha (September 21, 2023). "Former Trump adviser Conway endorses Nebraska's Fischer". Star-Herald. Archived from the original on September 22, 2023. Retrieved September 22, 2023.
- ^ "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
- ^ "The Messenger: A PAC Dedicated to Electing GOP Women Issues First Wave of 2024 Endorsements (Exclusive)". maggieslist.org. Retrieved June 25, 2023.
- ^ NRA-PVF. "NRA-PVF | Grades | Nebraska". NRA-PVF. Retrieved May 6, 2024.
- ^ "U.S. Sen. Fischer Earns Nebraska Farm Bureau Endorsement". KTIC 840 AM/98.3 FM/98.7 FM. February 18, 2024. Retrieved February 18, 2024.
- ^ a b "Dan Osborn says he has the signatures needed to reach Nebraska's fall ballot as a U.S. Senate candidate". Nebraska Examiner. Retrieved March 28, 2024.
- ^ a b "2024 Election United States Senate - Nebraska". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
- ^ Hammel, Paul (September 21, 2023). "Omaha steamfitter/union leader Dan Osborn to challenge incumbent U.S. Sen. Deb. Fischer". Nebraska Examiner. Retrieved September 21, 2023.
- ^ a b c d Early, Steve (March 13, 2024). "Dan Osborn Challenges Nebraska's Political Establishment with a Blue-Collar Agenda". Barn Raising Media. Retrieved March 13, 2024.
- ^ https://eu.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/04/15/dan-osborn-running-for-senate-nebraska/73245704007/
- ^ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
- ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
- ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
- ^ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
External links[edit]
- Official campaign websites