Opinion polling for the 2011 Spanish general election

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In the run up to the 2011 Spanish general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Spain during the term of the 9th Cortes Generales. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 9 March 2008, to the day the next election was held, on 20 November 2011.

Voting intention estimates refer mainly to a hypothetical Congress of Deputies election. Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Electoral polling[edit]

Nationwide polling[edit]

Graphical summary[edit]

Local regression trend line of poll results from 9 March 2008 to 20 November 2011, with each line corresponding to a political party.


Voting intention estimates[edit]

The table below lists nationwide voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 176 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Congress of Deputies.

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls   Exit poll

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PSOE PP IU–LV CiU PNV UPyD ERC BNG CC Lead
2011 general election 20 Nov 2011 — 68.9 28.8
110 		44.6
186 		6.9
11 		4.2
16 		1.3
5 		4.7
5 		1.1
3 		0.8
2 		0.6
2 		1.4
7 		15.8
TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA[1][2] 20 Nov 2011 190,000 ? 30.0
115/119 		43.5
181/185 		6.7
9/11 		3.4
13/15 		1.2
4/5 		4.3
3/4 		1.1
3 		0.8
2 		0.6
2/3 		1.4
6/7 		13.5
NC Report/La Razón[3][4] 20 Nov 2011 771 71.1 31.7
112/116 		45.5
186/192 		7.9
11 		3.3
13 		1.2
4/5 		2.4
2 		0.7
2 		1.0
2 		0.8
2/3 		?
4/5 		13.8
PP[5] 19 Nov 2011 ? ? ?
117 		?
191 		– – – – – – – – ?
Sigma Dos/The Times[6][7] 16 Nov 2011 ? ? 28.0
107 		48.0
200 		6.7
11 		3.1
12 		?
6 		3.8
4 		?
2 		?
2 		?
2 		?
4 		20.0
Infortécnica[8] 13 Nov 2011 ? ? ?
115/125 		?
190/200 		– – – – – ?
2 		– – ?
GESOP/El Periódico[9] 7–12 Nov 2011 2,070 ? 30.2
115/118 		46.2
188/192 		6.0
8/10 		3.2
13/14 		1.1
4/5 		4.4
4 		1.1
2/3 		– – 1.1
4/5 		16.0
Tábula V/La Gaceta[10] 7–11 Nov 2011 1,400 79 31.3
121/123 		45.2
184/187 		8.9
9/10 		3.2
11/13 		1.4
4/6 		3.2
2/3 		1.3
2/3 		0.8
1/2 		0.6
1/2 		1.6
4/6 		13.9
NC Report/La Razón[11][12] 27 Oct–11 Nov 2011 5,750 ? 31.0
115 		45.9
188 		7.2
11 		3.3
13 		1.3
5 		2.8
2 		0.9
2 		1.0
2 		0.8
3 		?
5 		14.9
Opinión 2000/Cadena SER[13][14] 9–10 Nov 2011 1,000 ? 32.0 45.0 6.0 3.5 1.5 3.0 1.0 – – 1.0 13.0
Noxa/La Vanguardia[15] 7–10 Nov 2011 1,275 >70 30.1
116/120 		44.7
184/189 		7.8
8/10 		3.3
12/14 		1.0
4/5 		4.6
3/4 		0.7
2 		– – 0.6
3/4 		14.6
Simple Lógica[16] 2–10 Nov 2011 1,009 73.7 31.2 46.1 5.5 3.5 0.6 3.7 – – – – 14.9
GAD3/COPE[17][18] 2–10 Nov 2011 1,395 ? 31.8
115/118 		45.4
188/192 		5.6
8 		3.3
13 		1.3
5/6 		3.4
3 		0.8
1 		0.8
2 		0.9
3 		1.4
4/5 		13.6
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[19][20] 28 Oct–10 Nov 2011 3,000 ? 29.8
112 		47.6
198 		5.7
7 		3.8
14 		1.3
5 		3.0
3 		0.9
2 		?
2 		?
2 		?
3 		17.8
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[21] 28 Oct–9 Nov 2011 ? ? 31.6 47.1 5.3 3.6 0.7 2.3 0.8 0.7 0.2 – 15.5
Celeste-Tel[22] 2–8 Nov 2011 1,100 ? 31.5
118/120 		44.7
186/188 		7.0
9/10 		3.3
12/13 		1.3
5 		2.6
2 		0.9
2 		1.2
2 		0.9
3 		?
4/5 		13.2
Metroscopia/El País[23][24] 18 Oct–8 Nov 2011 9,675 70 30.9
110/113 		45.4
192/196 		8.8
11 		3.3
14 		1.2
5 		4.2
2 		0.9
3 		0.7
2 		0.3
2 		0.6
4/5 		14.5
TNS Demoscopia/CEMOP[25][26] 2–7 Nov 2011 1,505 74.3 28.7 47.7 7.6 3.4 1.1 4.2 1.2 – – – 19.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[19] 3–6 Nov 2011 ? ? 30.1
114 		48.2
198 		5.4
6 		3.6
13 		1.3
5 		3.0
3 		0.9
2 		?
2 		?
2 		?
3 		18.1
Ipsos/La Nueva España[27][28] 1–6 Nov 2011 3,935 ? 31.8
123/128 		44.5
184/190 		6.1
? 		3.4
? 		1.0
? 		4.1
? 		1.0
? 		0.7
? 		0.4
? 		0.9
? 		12.7
InvyMark/laSexta[29] 31 Oct–4 Nov 2011 ? ? 34.4 46.5 4.6 – – – – – – – 12.1
PP[30] 3 Nov 2011 ? ? ?
116 		?
189 		– – ?
4/5 		?
3 		– – – – ?
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[31][32] 31 Oct–3 Nov 2011 3,000 ? 30.6
117 		47.6
194 		5.3
6 		3.5
13 		1.3
5 		3.0
3 		0.9
2 		?
2 		?
3 		?
3 		17.0
DYM/ABC[33] 24 Oct–3 Nov 2011 7,612 ? 34.2
123/126 		45.5
187/188 		5.4
6/7 		3.6
12/14 		1.2
4 		2.8
2/3 		1.3
2 		0.6
1 		0.7
2/3 		1.3
5/6 		11.3
NC Report/La Razón[34][35] 24 Oct–3 Nov 2011 5,752 ? 31.3
119 		46.0
185 		?
11 		?
13 		?
6 		?
2 		?
1 		?
2 		?
3 		?
4 		14.7
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[36][37] 18–31 Oct 2011 3,000 ? 30.7
117 		47.4
193 		5.4
6 		3.5
13 		1.2
5 		3.1
3 		0.9
2 		?
2 		?
3 		?
4 		16.7
GAD3/COPE[38][39] 17–31 Oct 2011 1,200 71 32.7
120/127 		45.2
182/189 		5.1
4/7 		3.3
11/14 		1.2
4/6 		3.4
2/3 		0.8
1 		0.8
2 		0.9
3 		1.4
3/5 		12.5
NC Report/La Razón[40] 28 Oct 2011 1,000 69.1 31.4
118/120 		45.9
184/187 		7.4
10/11 		2.9
12 		1.1
5 		2.8
2/3 		0.8
1 		1.3
3 		0.9
3 		?
5 		14.5
Celeste-Tel[22] 24–28 Oct 2011 1,100 ? 32.3
120/121 		46.1
186/188 		6.8
8/9 		3.3
12/13 		1.3
5 		2.8
2 		0.9
2 		1.2
3 		0.9
3 		?
4/5 		13.8
Metroscopia/El País[41] 24–27 Oct 2011 1,500 70 30.3 45.3 6.0 – – 4.2 – – – – 15.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[42][43] 27 Sep–27 Oct 2011 7,400 ? 31.0
119 		47.4
191 		5.3
6 		3.5
13 		1.1
5 		3.1
3 		0.9
2 		?
2 		?
3 		?
4 		16.4
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[44][45] 11–24 Oct 2011 3,000 ? 31.3
121 		47.5
191 		5.3
6 		3.3
13 		1.1
5 		3.1
3 		0.8
1 		?
2 		?
2 		?
4 		16.2
CIS[46][47] 6–23 Oct 2011 17,236 ? 29.9
116/121 		46.6
190/195 		6.2
8 		3.3
13 		1.2
3 		2.9
3 		1.2
3 		0.8
2 		0.6
2 		1.1
3 		16.7
NC Report/La Razón[48] 18–22 Oct 2011 1,000 68.6 31.2
116/118 		46.2
186/189 		7.2
10/11 		3.1
13 		1.0
4 		2.8
2/3 		0.7
1 		1.2
3 		0.9
3 		?
5/6 		15.0
InvyMark/laSexta[29] 18–21 Oct 2011 ? ? 35.1 45.4 4.2 – – – – – – – 10.3
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[49] 17–20 Oct 2011 1,800 ? 33.1 44.7 6.7 2.7 1.4 2.6 1.2 0.8 – 1.3 11.6
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[50][51] 7–20 Oct 2011 3,000 73.3 30.7
119 		47.8
194 		5.4
6 		3.4
13 		1.1
6 		3.2
3 		0.9
2 		?
2 		?
2 		?
2 		17.1
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[52] 3–17 Oct 2011 3,300 ? 30.7
118 		47.9
195 		5.4
6 		3.4
13 		1.2
6 		2.9
3 		1.0
2 		?
2 		?
2 		?
3 		17.2
Intercampo/GETS[53][54] 15 Sep–17 Oct 2011 1,724 Medium 32.2 46.3 4.9 2.8 1.0 4.4 1.1 – – – 14.1
High 31.0–
33.0 		45.0–
47.0 		4.5–
5.5 		2.6–
3.1 		0.9–
1.1 		4.0–
5.0 		0.8–
1.2 		– – – 14.0
Low 30.0–
32.0 		47.0–
49.0 		4.0–
5.0 		2.7–
3.1 		0.8–
1.2 		4.0–
5.0 		0.7–
1.0 		– – – 17.0
NC Report/La Razón[55] 14 Oct 2011 ? 68.3 30.9
115/117 		46.4
187/190 		7.0
10/11 		3.3
13/14 		1.2
4/5 		2.9
2/3 		0.7
1/2 		1.2
2/3 		0.9
3/4 		?
4/5 		15.5
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[56][57] 11–13 Oct 2011 900 ? 30.8
117 		48.0
196 		5.3
6 		3.4
13 		1.2
6 		3.0
3 		1.0
2 		?
2 		?
2 		?
3 		17.2
Metroscopia/El País[58][59][60] 11–13 Oct 2011 1,500 70 29.7
115/120 		45.5
185/190 		7.6
? 		– – 4.5
? 		– – – – 15.8
Simple Lógica[16] 3–10 Oct 2011 ? ? 31.8 46.7 5.1 2.8 1.3 4.0 – – – – 14.9
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[61][62] 27 Sep–10 Oct 2011 3,600 ? 31.4
121 		47.6
193 		5.2
6 		3.3
13 		1.3
6 		3.0
3 		1.0
2 		?
2 		?
2 		?
2 		16.2
Celeste-Tel/Terra[63][64] 3–8 Oct 2011 1,357 69.1 32.7
120/122 		45.5
185/187 		6.8
9/10 		3.3
12/13 		1.4
5/6 		3.0
2 		0.8
1 		1.3
3 		0.9
3 		1.3
4 		12.8
InvyMark/laSexta[65] 3–7 Oct 2011 ? ? 35.1 46.1 4.6 3.4 – – – – – – 11.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[66][67] 27 Sep–6 Oct 2011 3,000 ? 31.6
122 		47.8
193 		5.2
6 		3.2
12 		1.2
5 		2.9
3 		1.0
2 		?
2 		?
2 		?
3 		16.2
NC Report/La Razón[68][69][70] 21 Sep–6 Oct 2011 6,100 ? 30.6
113/115 		45.9
183/185 		7.2
11/12 		3.6
14/15 		1.1
4/5 		2.9
2/3 		0.8
1/2 		1.1
2/3 		0.9
3/4 		?
5 		15.3
Noxa/La Vanguardia[71] 28 Sep–4 Oct 2011 1,272 ? 32.9
115/122 		45.9
186/192 		4.7
4 		3.2
11/12 		0.9
5/7 		3.6
2/4 		0.5
1/2 		– – 0.8
4 		13.0
CEMOP[72][73] 26 Sep–4 Oct 2011 800 76 32.4 46.8 6.3 3.6 1.4 3.1 1.3 – – – 14.4
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[74] 27–30 Sep 2011 2,000 ? 31.8 47.4 5.0 3.2 1.2 3.1 0.9 – – – 15.6
Celeste-Tel[63] 26–30 Sep 2011 1,100 ? 32.1
120 		45.1
183 		7.0
11 		3.5
13 		1.2
5 		2.9
2 		0.8
1 		1.3
3 		1.0
2 		– 13.0
PP[75][76] 29 Sep 2011 ? ? ?
115 		?
189 		?
8 		?
14 		?
6 		?
3 		?
2 		?
2 		?
2 		?
4 		?
NC Report/La Razón[77] 21–28 Sep 2011 1,000 70.0 30.6
116/118 		46.1
183/185 		6.8
10/12 		3.6
13/15 		1.1
5/6 		3.0
2/3 		0.8
1/2 		1.0
2/3 		0.9
3/4 		?
5/6 		15.5
Celeste-Tel[63] 19–23 Sep 2011 1,100 ? 31.3
121 		44.0
179 		7.4
11 		3.6
14 		1.1
4 		2.9
3 		0.8
1 		1.4
3 		1.0
2 		– 12.7
InvyMark/laSexta[65] 19–23 Sep 2011 ? ? 35.3 45.9 4.5 3.4 – – – – – – 10.6
GESOP/El Periódico[78][79][80] 19–22 Sep 2011 1,000 ? 31.4
121/125 		46.1
185/189 		4.7
4/6 		3.7
14/15 		1.0
4/5 		5.0
4/6 		1.0
1/2 		– – – 14.7
Celeste-Tel[81] 12–16 Sep 2011 1,100 ? 31.5
128 		44.2
176 		6.9
9 		3.8
14 		1.2
5 		2.9
3 		0.7
1 		1.2
3 		1.0
2 		– 12.7
InvyMark/laSexta[82] 5–9 Sep 2011 ? ? 35.5 45.8 – – – – – – – – 10.3
Opinión 2000/Cadena SER[83][84] 7–8 Sep 2011 1,000 ? 32.0 45.0 6.5 4.0 1.5 2.0 1.5 – – – 13.0
Metroscopia/El País[85][86] 7–8 Sep 2011 1,002 70 30.7 44.8 6.2 3.3 – 4.4 – – – – 14.1
Simple Lógica[16] 1–8 Sep 2011 1,022 ? 32.9 46.7 5.2 2.5 0.9 3.8 – – – – 13.8
GAD3/COPE[87][88] 5–6 Sep 2011 504 ? 31.1
128 		45.1
179 		6.1
8 		3.4
13 		1.1
6 		3.9
4 		0.7
1 		0.8
2 		0.3
2 		– 14.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[89] 29 Aug–1 Sep 2011 1,000 ? 32.3 47.1 5.0 3.2 1.2 3.5 0.6 – – – 14.8
NC Report/La Razón[90] 28 Aug 2011 ? 69.5 30.8
117/119 		46.5
182/185 		6.2
6/7 		3.8
14/16 		1.2
5/6 		3.2
3/4 		0.7
1/2 		1.0
2/3 		0.6
1/2 		?
4 		15.7
Simple Lógica[16] 2–10 Aug 2011 1,014 ? 31.5 44.8 4.3 3.0 1.0 4.8 – – – – 13.3
DYM/ABC[91] 2–3 Aug 2011 1,076 ? 35.0 47.6 4.7 3.5 1.3 1.8 0.5 – – 2.0 12.6
NC Report/La Razón[92] 29–30 Jul 2011 1,000 69.3 30.9
118/121 		46.9
183/186 		6.6
7/8 		3.8
12/14 		1.2
5/6 		3.2
4 		0.9
2 		1.0
3 		0.6
1 		?
4 		16.0
Metroscopia/El País[93][94] 27–28 Jul 2011 1,203 70 30.8 44.8 6.6 – – 3.8 – – – – 14.0
Simple Lógica[16] 4–12 Jul 2011 ? ? 30.8 46.3 5.1 2.3 0.8 4.3 – – – – 15.5
CIS[95][96] 4–11 Jul 2011 2,475 ? 36.0 43.1 5.1 3.1 1.0 3.0 1.1 0.5 0.5 – 7.1
Ipsos[97] 27 Jun–8 Jul 2011 ? ? 36.0 44.2 4.4 2.8 1.4 2.4 0.6 1.1 – 1.2 8.2
Celeste-Tel[98] 1–7 Jul 2011 1,100 ? 34.3
139 		44.2
170 		5.9
6 		3.9
14 		1.2
5 		3.2
3 		0.6
1 		1.1
3 		1.0
2 		– 9.9
GAD/COPE[99][100] 1–5 Jul 2011 504 ? 30.9
120 		46.4
187 		6.1
10 		3.5
15 		1.1
6 		3.4
3 		0.7
1 		0.8
2 		0.3
2 		– 15.5
Metroscopia/El País[101][102] 29–30 Jun 2011 1,001 70 30.4 44.7 6.4 – – 3.2 – – – – 14.3
NC Report/La Razón[103][104] 26–30 Jun 2011 1,000 68.5 31.0
118/122 		47.1
182/185 		7.0
7/8 		3.7
12/13 		1.1
5 		3.3
4/5 		0.8
2 		1.0
3 		0.5
1 		?
4 		16.1
Opinión 2000/Cadena SER[105] 20–21 Jun 2011 1,000 ? 38.0 47.0 3.5 3.0 1.0 1.5 2.0 – – – 9.0
GAD/COPE[106][107] 3–7 Jun 2011 501 ? 30.7
119 		46.6
189 		6.2
10 		3.6
16 		1.3
7 		3.2
3 		0.7
1 		0.8
2 		0.3
2 		– 15.9
Celeste-Tel[98] 1–7 Jun 2011 1,100 ? 32.8
135 		45.5
173 		6.5
6 		3.9
15 		1.1
5 		3.1
3 		0.6
1 		1.1
3 		0.9
1 		– 12.7
Simple Lógica[16] 1–6 Jun 2011 1,000 ? 29.4 46.3 6.4 2.8 1.3 5.3 – – – – 16.9
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[108][109] 1–2 Jun 2011 1,000 ? 32.1 45.9 5.8 3.5 1.0 3.6 1.1 – – – 13.8
Metroscopia/El País[110][111] 1–2 Jun 2011 1,001 70 31.0 44.8 6.2 3.2 – 2.5 – – – – 13.8
NC Report/La Razón[112] 29 May–2 Jun 2011 1,000 68.6 31.5
120/123 		47.2
186/187 		6.4
7/8 		3.9
13/14 		1.2
5/6 		3.2
4/5 		0.7
2 		0.9
3 		0.7
2 		– 15.7
GESOP/El Periódico[113][114][115] 30 May–1 Jun 2011 1,000 ? 35.3
133/137 		44.0
176/180 		5.8
7/9 		3.0
12/13 		1.2
5/6 		4.1
4/5 		0.7
1 		– – – 8.7
2011 local elections 22 May 2011 — 66.2 27.8 37.5 7.4 3.5 1.4 2.1 1.2 1.2 0.9 1.4 9.7
Simple Lógica[16] 3–13 May 2011 1,016 ? 30.6 47.0 6.4 3.3 1.1 3.9 – – – – 16.4
Celeste-Tel[98] 2–6 May 2011 1,100 ? 32.0
133 		46.2
173 		6.8
6 		4.0
14 		1.3
5 		3.1
4 		0.6
2 		1.2
3 		0.8
1 		– 14.2
Metroscopia/El País[116][117] 27–28 Apr 2011 1,200 70 31.7 44.3 – – – – – – – – 12.6
Ikerfel/Vocento[118][119] 4–22 Apr 2011 45,635 ? 35.5 44.5 6.0 3.9 1.4 2.5 0.9 0.9 0.7 – 9.0
NC Report/La Razón[120] 18–20 Apr 2011 1,000 ? 31.8
122/125 		46.4
186/187 		6.6
7/9 		3.9
13/14 		1.3
7 		3.4
3/4 		0.6
1/2 		0.8
2 		0.6
2 		– 14.6
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[121] 11–19 Apr 2011 2,005 ? 37.8 40.1 7.2 3.9 1.3 2.3 0.6 1.1 – – 2.3
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[122][123] 7–12 Apr 2011 3,000 72.0 30.5 45.5 – – – – – – – – 15.0
InvyMark/laSexta[124] 4–8 Apr 2011 ? ? 32.7 46.3 – – – – – – – – 13.6
CIS[125][126] 1–8 Apr 2011 2,463 ? 33.4 43.8 5.2 3.5 1.3 3.5 1.3 0.9 0.5 – 10.4
Opinión 2000/Cadena SER[127][128] 6–7 Apr 2011 1,000 ? 35.0 47.0 4.3 3.5 0.7 1.5 2.0 – – – 12.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[129] 5–7 Apr 2011 1,000 ? 37.7 45.2 4.1 3.2 1.1 1.5 0.9 – – – 7.5
Celeste-Tel[98] 1–7 Apr 2011 1,100 ? 32.3
136 		46.1
172 		6.6
7 		4.1
14 		1.2
6 		3.0
4 		0.6
2 		1.0
3 		0.8
1 		– 13.8
GAD/COPE[130][131] 1–5 Apr 2011 500 ? 33.7
128 		45.9
181 		6.1
9 		3.7
15 		1.3
7 		2.9
3 		0.8
2 		0.8
2 		0.2
1 		– 12.2
NC Report/La Razón[132] 2 Apr 2011 1,000 67.6 31.6
123/124 		46.8
185/187 		6.6
8/10 		3.9
13/14 		1.3
7 		3.4
3/4 		0.6
1 		0.8
2 		0.6
1 		– 15.2
Metroscopia/El País[133][134] 30–31 Mar 2011 1,004 70 28.3 44.1 – – – – – – – – 15.8
InvyMark/laSexta[124] 21–25 Mar 2011 ? ? 32.5 46.4 – – – – – – – – 13.9
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[135] 21–24 Mar 2011 1,201 ? 30.2 43.5 8.1 3.7 1.7 4.8 0.6 1.3 – – 13.3
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[136][137] 21–22 Mar 2011 1,000 71.3 29.6 46.0 – – – – – – – – 16.4
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[138] 7–9 Mar 2011 1,000 ? 31.4 47.9 6.2 3.2 1.0 2.4 1.0 – – – 16.5
GAD/COPE[139] 7–9 Mar 2011 502 ? 31.1
121 		46.1
185 		6.5
11 		3.9
16 		1.3
7 		3.8
4 		0.8
2 		0.8
2 		0.2
1 		– 15.0
Celeste-Tel[98] 1–7 Mar 2011 1,100 ? 32.9
138 		45.9
170 		6.5
8 		3.9
14 		1.2
6 		3.2
4 		0.7
2 		1.0
3 		0.7
1 		– 13.0
Metroscopia/El País[140][141] 2–3 Mar 2011 1,004 70 28.1 44.0 – – – – – – – – 15.9
JM&A[142] 25 Feb 2011 ? 68.9 28.9 47.5 6.3 4.4 1.1 4.2 1.0 0.9 0.3 – 22.7
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[143] 21–25 Feb 2011 1,982 ? 30.7 44.4 7.1 3.8 1.3 4.3 0.9 1.3 – – 13.7
NC Report/La Razón[144] 17–23 Feb 2011 1,000 68.5 32.9
123/125 		46.0
184/187 		6.3
8/10 		3.8
13/14 		1.3
7 		3.3
3/4 		0.6
1 		0.8
2 		0.6
1 		– 13.1
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[145][146] 21–22 Feb 2011 ? 68.5 31.1 45.8 7.1 3.4 1.1 3.5 0.9 0.8 – – 14.7
InvyMark/laSexta[147] 7–11 Feb 2011 ? ? 32.3 46.1 – – – – – – – – 13.8
GAD/COPE[148][149] 7–8 Feb 2011 501 ? 32.1
125 		46.2
185 		6.3
9 		3.9
16 		1.3
7 		2.7
2 		0.8
2 		?
2 		?
1 		– 14.1
Celeste-Tel[150] 1–7 Feb 2011 1,100 ? 34.7
141 		45.0
171 		6.4
6 		4.0
14 		1.2
6 		3.3
4 		0.5
2 		1.0
3 		0.7
1 		– 10.3
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[151] 2–3 Feb 2011 1,000 ? 31.3 47.4 8.1 2.9 1.1 2.2 0.9 – – – 16.1
Metroscopia/El País[152][153] 2–3 Feb 2011 1,005 70 28.4 43.3 – – – – – – – – 14.9
Opina/Cadena SER[154] 1–2 Feb 2011 1,000 ? 34.0 44.0 5.5 3.0 1.2 2.0 1.1 – – – 10.0
InvyMark/laSexta[147] 24–28 Jan 2011 ? ? 32.4 46.3 – – – – – – – – 13.9
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[155] 17–21 Jan 2011 2,082 ? 30.9 44.0 7.5 4.8 1.5 2.9 0.5 0.8 – – 13.1
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[156][157] 17–18 Jan 2011 ? 67.7 30.2 47.0 7.6 3.3 1.1 2.8 1.0 0.6 – – 16.8
CIS[158][159] 7–16 Jan 2011 2,478 ? 34.0 44.1 5.7 3.9 1.2 2.9 0.8 0.9 0.5 – 10.1
Opina/Cadena SER[160][161] 12–13 Jan 2011 1,000 ? 34.0 45.0 6.0 3.5 1.0 3.4 1.0 – – – 11.0
GAD/COPE[162][163] 10–11 Jan 2011 500 ? 31.3
120 		46.5
189 		6.2
9 		3.6
15 		1.4
7 		3.7
3 		0.8
2 		0.9
2 		0.4
2 		– 15.2
Celeste-Tel[150] 3–10 Jan 2011 1,100 ? 34.4
139 		45.2
172 		6.6
7 		4.0
14 		1.3
6 		3.5
4 		0.6
2 		1.0
3 		0.7
1 		– 10.8
Metroscopia/El País[164][165] 3–4 Jan 2011 1,023 70 28.6 43.1 – – – – – – – – 14.5
NC Report/La Razón[166] 28–30 Dec 2010 1,000 67.0 30.4
121/123 		48.0
186/189 		7.4
10/12 		4.2
13/14 		1.2
7 		3.7
3/4 		0.6
1 		0.9
2 		0.4
1 		– 17.6
DYM/ABC[167][168] 20–30 Dec 2010 1,058 ? 30.8 49.3 7.5 4.1 1.3 1.8 1.1 – – – 18.5
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[169][170] 23–28 Dec 2010 1,000 ? 30.3 48.7 6.4 3.8 1.2 1.5 0.9 – – – 18.4
GESOP/El Periódico[171][172] 15–17 Dec 2010 1,000 ? 31.0
120/124 		44.5
178/182 		7.4
13/15 		4.0
15/16 		1.1
5/6 		4.2
4/5 		1.0
1/2 		– – – 13.5
InvyMark/laSexta[173] 13–17 Dec 2010 ? ? 33.4 45.5 – – – – – – – – 12.1
JM&A[174] 16 Dec 2010 ? 65.0 24.3 47.0 8.0 4.0 – 6.0 – – – – 22.7
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[175] 13–16 Dec 2010 1,600 ? 30.0 43.2 7.5 4.5 1.6 4.5 0.9 1.0 – – 13.2
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[176] 13–14 Dec 2010 ? 70.3 30.5 46.1 7.4 3.6 1.0 3.3 0.9 0.7 – – 15.6
GAD/COPE[177] 13–14 Dec 2010 500 ? 31.7
123 		46.2
189 		5.9
8 		3.6
15 		1.4
7 		3.1
2 		0.7
1 		0.9
2 		0.4
2 		– 14.5
Celeste-Tel[150] 1–9 Dec 2010 1,100 ? 34.7
138 		44.8
173 		6.7
7 		4.1
14 		1.3
6 		3.5
4 		0.6
2 		1.1
3 		0.7
1 		– 10.1
NC Report/La Razón[178] 6–7 Dec 2010 1,000 67.6 30.6
124/125 		47.6
186/188 		7.6
10/14 		4.3
14/15 		1.2
7 		3.7
3/4 		0.9
1 		0.9
2 		0.4
1 		– 17.0
InvyMark/laSexta[173] 29 Nov–3 Dec 2010 ? ? 33.3 45.6 – – – – – – – – 12.3
Metroscopia/El País[179][180] 1–2 Dec 2010 1,000 75.3 24.3 43.1 7.6 – – 4.3 – – – – 18.8
NC Report/La Razón[181] 15–17 Nov 2010 1,000 69.0 32.8
128/130 		46.3
179/182 		7.2
10/11 		4.2
14/15 		1.2
7 		3.4
3/4 		0.9
1/2 		0.9
2 		0.4
1 		– 13.5
JM&A[174] 16 Nov 2010 ? 69.8 32.6 41.3 6.6 3.7 – 5.7 – – – – 8.7
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[182][183] 15–16 Nov 2010 ? 66.5 32.1 45.1 7.1 3.5 0.9 3.2 1.0 0.8 – – 13.0
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[184] 2–11 Nov 2010 2,402 ? 33.2 41.2 6.5 4.0 1.0 4.5 0.8 1.3 – – 8.0
GAD/COPE[185][186] 8–10 Nov 2010 503 ? 35.1
135 		44.7
180 		5.2
6 		3.4
13 		1.3
7 		2.9
2 		0.9
2 		0.9
2 		0.5
2 		– 9.6
Celeste-Tel[150] 2–8 Nov 2010 1,100 ? 34.8
138 		44.4
172 		6.9
8 		4.0
14 		1.2
6 		3.6
4 		0.6
2 		1.0
3 		0.6
1 		– 9.6
Metroscopia/El País[187][188] 2–4 Nov 2010 1,000 75.3 33.8 42.9 – – – – – – – – 9.1
Opina/Cadena SER[189][190] 28–29 Oct 2010 1,000 ? 37.5 45.0 5.5 3.5 1.0 3.4 1.0 – – – 7.5
Noxa/La Vanguardia[191] 25–28 Oct 2010 1,000 ? 33.0
133 		42.8
175 		6.6
7 		4.2
15 		1.9
9 		5.1
5 		0.6
2 		– – – 9.8
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[192][193] 21 Oct 2010 ? 70.0 34.2 44.3 – – – – – – – – 10.1
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[194][195] 20–21 Oct 2010 1,000 ? 33.8 46.4 6.1 3.3 1.3 1.9 1.0 – – – 12.6
Intercampo/GETS[196][197] 15 Sep–17 Oct 2010 1,734 High 32.4 47.6 6.8 4.4 1.3 2.7 0.5 – – – 15.2
Low 33.7 46.9 7.1 4.1 1.2 2.9 0.5 – – – 13.2
CIS[198][199] 4–14 Oct 2010 2,475 ? 34.3 42.2 6.2 3.5 1.2 4.1 0.8 0.8 0.7 – 7.9
JM&A[174] 13 Oct 2010 ? 68.2 29.2 45.9 6.8 3.0 – 5.4 – – – – 16.7
GAD/COPE[200][201] 8–13 Oct 2010 501 ? 33.9
130 		43.6
178 		6.3
10 		3.5
14 		1.3
7 		3.6
3 		1.1
3 		0.9
2 		0.5
2 		– 9.7
Opina/Cadena SER[202] 7–8 Oct 2010 1,000 ? 34.0 46.5 6.0 4.0 2.0 3.0 0.6 – – – 12.5
NC Report/La Razón[203] 4–7 Oct 2010 1,000 69.3 32.5
131/134 		46.3
175/178 		7.7
12/15 		4.1
14/15 		1.2
6 		3.6
3/4 		0.9
1/2 		0.9
2 		0.4
1 		– 13.8
Celeste-Tel[204] 1–7 Oct 2010 1,100 ? 35.0
140 		44.0
169 		6.7
9 		3.8
14 		1.2
6 		3.5
4 		0.7
2 		1.0
3 		0.7
1 		– 9.0
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[205][206] 20 Sep–7 Oct 2010 2,329 65 29.4 42.8 6.9 4.8 0.9 5.4 1.1 1.4 – – 13.4
Metroscopia/El País[207][208] 30 Sep 2010 500 75.3 28.5 43.0 – – – – – – – – 14.5
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[209][210] 20–21 Sep 2010 ? 68.0 31.1 44.6 7.8 3.6 1.0 3.9 1.0 – – – 13.5
GAD/COPE[200][211][212] 13–15 Sep 2010 500 ? 34.9
137 		43.1
174 		6.1
9 		3.4
13 		1.3
7 		3.3
2 		1.2
3 		0.9
2 		0.5
2 		– 8.2
NC Report/La Razón[213] 6–10 Sep 2010 1,000 69.6 35.4
136/138 		45.4
173/175 		6.2
8/9 		4.1
13/14 		1.2
6 		3.6
3/4 		0.9
2 		0.9
2 		0.5
1 		– 10.0
Celeste-Tel[204] 1–7 Sep 2010 1,100 ? 35.2
147 		43.8
165 		6.4
8 		3.7
13 		1.2
6 		3.3
3 		0.7
2 		1.0
3 		0.7
1 		– 8.6
Metroscopia/El País[214][215] 1–2 Sep 2010 500 75.3 32.9 41.8 – – – – – – – – 8.9
Opina/Cadena SER[216][217] 30–31 Aug 2010 1,000 ? 36.5 44.5 6.0 3.5 1.5 2.5 0.6 – – – 8.0
JM&A[174] 6 Aug 2010 ? 68.2 31.6 42.9 5.6 4.0 – 4.7 – – – – 11.3
Celeste-Tel[204] 26–30 Jul 2010 1,100 ? 35.8
147 		43.9
166 		6.3
7 		3.6
13 		1.2
6 		3.2
3 		0.7
2 		1.0
3 		0.8
1 		– 8.1
Metroscopia/El País[218][219] 28–29 Jul 2010 500 75.3 33.6 41.3 – – – – – – – – 7.7
CIS[220][221] 15–22 Jul 2010 2,472 ? 34.9 41.2 5.4 4.1 1.3 3.8 1.4 1.1 0.4 – 6.3
Metroscopia/El País[222] 15 Jul 2010 500 75.3 34.5 43.3 – – – – – – – – 8.8
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[223] 12–13 Jul 2010 ? 64.3 32.4 43.6 6.2 3.6 1.2 4.1 1.2 – – – 11.2
NC Report/La Razón[224] 5–9 Jul 2010 1,000 69.8 35.8
137/139 		45.2
173/175 		6.3
8/9 		3.7
13/14 		1.2
6 		3.6
3/4 		0.9
2/3 		0.9
2 		0.6
1/2 		– 9.4
GAD/COPE[200][225][226] 5–7 Jul 2010 500 ? 34.6
136 		43.3
176 		5.7
8 		3.4
13 		1.3
7 		3.1
2 		1.3
3 		0.8
2 		0.6
2 		– 8.7
Celeste-Tel[204] 1–7 Jul 2010 1,100 ? 36.1
147 		43.8
165 		5.9
7 		3.6
13 		1.2
6 		3.1
3 		0.7
2 		1.0
3 		0.8
1 		– 7.7
Ipsos[227][228] 30 Jun–2 Jul 2010 1,000 ? 33.3 42.9 5.9 3.7 1.6 3.9 1.3 – – – 9.6
InvyMark/laSexta[229] 28 Jun–2 Jul 2010 ? ? 37.4 44.8 – – – – – – – – 7.4
Metroscopia/El País[230][231] 1 Jul 2010 501 75.3 32.3 43.1 – – – – – – – – 10.8
InvyMark/laSexta[232] 14–18 Jun 2010 ? ? 37.4 45.0 – – – – – – – – 7.6
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[233][234] 14–15 Jun 2010 ? 67.8 31.6 44.5 7.7 – – 4.3 – – – – 12.9
DYM/ABC[235] 3–10 Jun 2010 1,008 ? 33.5 45.3 6.4 4.2 0.8 2.9 0.9 – – – 11.8
GAD/COPE[236][237] 7–9 Jun 2010 502 ? 34.7
137 		43.6
178 		4.9
5 		3.4
13 		1.2
6 		3.7
3 		1.2
3 		?
2 		?
2 		– 8.9
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[238] 17 May–9 Jun 2010 ? ? 33.1 41.7 7.5 3.5 1.2 5.5 1.0 1.3 – – 8.6
Celeste-Tel[204] 1–7 Jun 2010 1,100 ? 36.8
149 		43.5
163 		5.9
7 		3.6
13 		1.2
6 		3.1
3 		0.7
2 		1.0
3 		0.8
1 		– 6.7
InvyMark/laSexta[232] 31 May–4 Jun 2010 ? ? 37.2 46.1 – – – – – – – – 8.9
Metroscopia/El País[239][240] 2 Jun 2010 506 75.3 32.5 43.0 – – – – – – – – 10.5
NC Report/La Razón[241][242] 25–28 May 2010 1,000 69.9 36.0
137/139 		45.0
172/174 		6.0
8/9 		3.5
12/13 		1.2
6 		3.7
3/4 		1.0
2/3 		0.9
2/3 		0.7
2 		– 9.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[243][244] 25–27 May 2010 800 ? 35.1 45.6 5.1 3.3 1.2 3.0 0.8 – – – 10.5
GESOP/El Periódico[245][246][247] 17–21 May 2010 1,500 ? 34.0
131/134 		42.0
173/176 		6.4
10/11 		3.6
14/15 		1.0
5/6 		5.0
4/5 		1.0
1/3 		– – – 8.0
InvyMark/laSexta[248][249] 17–21 May 2010 ? ? 39.7 45.1 – – – – – – – – 5.4
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[250] 20 Apr–19 May 2010 4,002 ? 34.1 40.4 6.5 3.2 1.1 6.4 1.2 1.2 – – 6.3
Metroscopia/El País[251] 13 May 2010 510 75.3 33.7 42.8 – – – – – – – – 9.1
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[252] 13 May 2010 1,000 67.5 32.1 44.3 7.0 3.5 1.1 4.2 0.9 0.6 – – 12.2
GAD/COPE[200][253][254] 10–12 May 2010 500 ? 35.9
140 		42.4
173 		5.2
6 		3.5
13 		1.1
6 		3.9
4 		1.1
3 		0.7
2 		0.7
2 		– 6.5
Simple Lógica[16] 5–11 May 2010 508 ? 34.4 43.2 4.8 2.8 1.3 4.1 – – – – 8.8
Celeste-Tel[204] 3–7 May 2010 1,100 ? 38.2
153 		42.9
161 		5.5
5 		3.5
13 		1.1
6 		3.1
3 		0.7
2 		0.9
3 		0.9
2 		– 4.7
InvyMark/laSexta[248] 3–7 May 2010 ? ? 40.3 45.0 – – – – – – – – 4.7
NC Report/La Razón[255] 26–30 Apr 2010 1,000 70.6 37.4
147/149 		43.8
168/170 		5.8
7/8 		3.4
11/12 		1.1
5/6 		3.7
2/3 		1.0
2 		?
2 		?
2 		– 6.4
Metroscopia/El País[256][257] 29 Apr 2010 512 75.3 37.5 41.7 – – – – – – – – 4.2
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[258][259] 26–27 Apr 2010 1,000 62.0 36.1 41.5 5.4 3.1 1.1 3.0 0.9 0.6 – – 5.4
CIS[260][261] 6–14 Apr 2010 2,479 ? 38.0 39.5 5.8 3.6 1.3 3.3 1.0 0.7 0.6 – 1.5
InvyMark/laSexta[262][263] 5–9 Apr 2010 ? ? 40.6 44.7 – – – – – – – – 4.1
Metroscopia/El País[264][265] 8 Apr 2010 515 75.3 37.8 41.8 – – – – – – – – 4.0
Celeste-Tel[204] 1–8 Apr 2010 1,100 ? 38.3
152 		42.8
162 		5.5
5 		3.5
13 		1.2
6 		3.0
3 		0.7
2 		0.9
3 		0.9
2 		– 4.5
NC Report/La Razón[266] 31 Mar 2010 1,000 70.7 37.6
147/149 		43.6
167/169 		5.7
7/8 		3.4
11/12 		1.2
6 		3.7
2/3 		1.0
2 		?
2 		?
2 		– 6.0
InvyMark/laSexta[262][267] 22–26 Mar 2010 ? ? 40.4 44.8 – – – – – – – – 4.4
InvyMark/laSexta[268] 8–12 Mar 2010 ? ? 40.6 44.6 – – – – – – – – 4.0
GAD/COPE[200][269][270] 8–11 Mar 2010 500 ? 36.6
143 		42.5
170 		4.9
5 		3.5
13 		1.1
6 		4.1
5 		1.1
3 		0.8
2 		0.7
2 		– 5.9
Celeste-Tel[204] 1–5 Mar 2010 1,100 ? 38.5
153 		42.6
162 		5.4
5 		3.4
12 		1.2
6 		3.1
3 		0.8
2 		0.9
3 		0.9
2 		– 4.1
Celeste-Tel/Terra[271] 1–5 Mar 2010 1,357 71.1 38.1
150/155 		43.0
165/170 		5.8
4/6 		3.3
11/12 		1.1
5/6 		3.3
2/3 		1.1
2/3 		0.9
2 		0.8
2 		– 4.9
Metroscopia/El País[272][273] 3–4 Mar 2010 500 75.3 37.3 43.4 – – – – – – – – 6.1
NC Report/La Razón[274] 24–26 Feb 2010 1,000 70.7 37.6
148/150 		43.6
167/169 		5.6
6/7 		3.4
11/12 		1.2
6 		3.7
2/3 		1.1
2 		0.8
2 		0.7
2 		– 6.0
InvyMark/laSexta[268] 22–26 Feb 2010 ? ? 40.5 44.6 – – – – – – – – 4.1
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[275][276] 22–23 Feb 2010 1,008 ? 34.5 41.4 6.0 3.0 1.0 4.1 0.9 0.6 – – 6.9
Simple Lógica[277][278] 1–11 Feb 2010 1,007 68.9 35.7 46.3 5.3 2.8 0.9 3.9 – – – – 10.6
GAD/COPE[279][280] 3–10 Feb 2010 671 ? 36.3
141 		42.9
172 		5.0
6 		3.2
12 		1.1
6 		3.9
4 		1.1
3 		0.8
2 		0.7
2 		– 6.6
NC Report/La Razón[281] 25 Jan–6 Feb 2010 1,000 70.7 37.9
149/150 		43.4
167/169 		5.4
5/6 		3.4
11/12 		1.2
6 		3.8
2/3 		1.1
2 		?
2 		?
2 		– 5.5
InvyMark/laSexta[268] 1–5 Feb 2010 ? ? 41.0 44.5 – – – – – – – – 3.5
Celeste-Tel[282] 1–5 Feb 2010 1,100 ? 38.1
150 		42.7
162 		5.8
7 		3.5
12 		1.1
6 		3.6
3 		0.9
3 		1.1
3 		1.0
3 		– 4.6
Metroscopia/El País[283][284] 3–4 Feb 2010 500 75.3 37.5 43.4 – – – – – – – – 5.9
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[285][286][287] 2–4 Feb 2010 700 ? 37.7 43.5 4.5 3.1 1.2 2.0 1.2 – – – 5.8
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[288] 11–27 Jan 2010 3,206 ? 37.8 40.4 5.2 2.8 1.2 5.1 1.1 1.2 – – 2.6
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[252][289] 25–26 Jan 2010 ? ? 35.0 41.2 5.4 2.9 1.1 3.6 0.9 0.7 – – 6.2
CIS[290][291] 9–21 Jan 2010 2,477 ? 36.2 40.0 6.1 3.7 1.0 4.4 1.3 0.8 0.9 – 3.8
GAD/COPE[292][293] 15 Jan 2010 ? ? 38.8
150 		42.6
169 		4.1
3 		3.4
12 		?
6 		3.1
2 		?
2 		?
2 		?
2 		– 3.8
InvyMark/laSexta[268] 11–15 Jan 2010 ? ? 41.2 44.3 – – – – – – – – 3.1
Celeste-Tel[282] 4–11 Jan 2010 1,100 ? 38.5
151 		42.6
163 		5.5
5 		3.4
12 		1.1
6 		3.4
3 		0.9
3 		0.9
3 		0.9
2 		– 4.1
NC Report/La Razón[294] 8 Jan 2010 ? 71.0 38.2
150/152 		43.3
166/168 		5.1
4/5 		3.4
11/12 		1.2
6 		3.6
2/3 		1.1
2 		?
2 		?
2 		– 5.1
Metroscopia/El País[295][296] 7 Jan 2010 504 75.3 38.2 41.7 – – – – – – – – 3.5
Noxa/La Vanguardia[297] 28–29 Dec 2009 807 ? 39.4
156 		41.3
164 		4.7
4 		3.1
10 		1.1
6 		4.3
4 		0.6
2 		– – – 1.9
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[298][299][300] 23–29 Dec 2009 1,000 ? 38.5 43.6 4.7 2.7 1.4 2.4 1.4 – – – 5.1
InvyMark/laSexta[301] 21–25 Dec 2009 ? ? 41.2 44.1 – – – – – – – – 2.9
DYM/ABC[302] 11–18 Dec 2009 1,038 ? 38.1 43.3 4.7 3.2 1.2 2.6 1.0 – – – 5.2
GESOP/El Periódico[303][304][305] 14–17 Dec 2009 1,500 ? 36.5
145/150 		42.0
165/170 		4.8
5/6 		3.3
11/12 		1.0
6/7 		4.8
3/5 		1.0
1/3 		– – – 5.5
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[252][306] 14–15 Dec 2009 ? ? 35.9 41.1 5.2 2.8 1.2 3.4 1.0 0.8 – – 5.2
GAD/COPE[307] 11 Dec 2009 ? ? 37.9
143 		42.4
169 		?
6 		?
12 		?
4 		?
6 		?
3 		?
2 		?
3 		– 4.5
Celeste-Tel[282] 1–7 Dec 2009 1,100 ? 38.6
152 		42.4
162 		5.3
5 		3.4
12 		1.1
6 		3.2
3 		0.9
3 		0.9
3 		0.9
2 		– 3.8
Metroscopia/El País[308][309] 2–3 Dec 2009 732 75.3 38.1 41.5 – – – – – – – – 3.4
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[310] 9 Nov–2 Dec 2009 3,201 ? 38.0 39.6 5.0 3.0 1.1 5.7 1.3 1.0 – – 1.6
Consultores CSA/La Verdad[311] 29 Nov 2009 ? ? 37.7 41.0 – – – – – – – – 3.3
NC Report/La Razón[312] 23–26 Nov 2009 1,000 71.1 38.3
151/153 		43.0
165/167 		5.2
4/5 		3.4
11/12 		1.2
6 		3.6
2/3 		1.1
2 		– – – 4.7
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[252][313] 16–17 Nov 2009 ? ? 36.0 42.2 5.3 2.8 0.9 3.3 0.8 0.6 – – 6.2
GAD/COPE[314][315] 6–11 Nov 2009 650 ? 38.1
142 		42.2
167 		– – – – – – – – 4.1
Celeste-Tel[282] 2–6 Nov 2009 1,100 ? 38.8
152 		42.4
162 		5.3
5 		3.4
12 		1.1
6 		3.4
3 		0.9
3 		0.9
3 		0.9
2 		– 3.6
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[316][317][318] 4–5 Nov 2009 1,000 ? 39.4 42.6 4.9 3.0 1.1 2.9 1.0 – – – 3.2
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[319] 13 Oct–4 Nov 2009 3,204 ? 36.9 40.5 4.7 3.2 1.4 5.3 1.1 1.4 – – 3.6
NC Report/La Razón[320] 28–30 Oct 2009 1,000 71.6 39.7
155/156 		41.9
163/164 		5.1
4/5 		3.4
11/12 		1.2
6 		3.4
2/3 		1.0
2 		– – – 2.2
Metroscopia/El País[321][322] 28–29 Oct 2009 501 75.3 39.9 40.3 – – – – – – – – 0.4
Ipsos/Expansión[323] 23–25 Oct 2009 1,000 66 40.0 42.0 – – – 1.4 – – – – 2.0
Simple Lógica[324] 15–21 Oct 2009 1,025 66.5 37.4 41.8 3.6 3.3 1.0 3.5 – – – – 4.4
Intercampo/GETS[325][326] 15 Sep–17 Oct 2009 1,739 High 39.5 44.7 4.1 3.2 1.1 2.7 1.1 – – – 5.2
Low 38.7 45.2 4.3 3.3 0.9 2.8 1.1 – – – 6.5
Metroscopia/El País[327] 15 Oct 2009 500 75.3 39.0 41.3 – – – – – – – – 2.3
CIS[328][329] 7–14 Oct 2009 2,478 ? 37.7 41.0 4.7 3.7 1.3 3.7 1.5 0.8 0.5 – 3.3
Celeste-Tel[282] 1–7 Oct 2009 1,100 ? 39.6
153 		42.0
161 		5.2
5 		3.4
12 		1.1
6 		3.2
3 		0.9
3 		0.9
3 		0.9
2 		– 2.4
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[330] 16 Sep–7 Oct 2009 3,202 ? 38.0 43.0 4.4 2.2 0.8 5.2 0.8 1.0 – – 5.0
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[331][332] 5–6 Oct 2009 1,003 ? 36.8 41.4 5.3 3.0 1.1 3.2 1.0 0.6 – – 4.6
NC Report/La Razón[333] 28 Sep–2 Oct 2009 1,000 71.6 39.8
154/155 		42.1
164/165 		5.0
4/5 		3.4
11/12 		1.2
6 		3.2
2/3 		1.0
2 		?
2 		?
2 		– 2.3
Metroscopia/El País[334][335] 30 Sep–1 Oct 2009 501 75.3 38.0 41.6 – – – – – – – – 3.6
Noxa/La Vanguardia[336] 28 Sep–1 Oct 2009 1,000 ? 38.0
151 		42.4
169 		5.5
4 		2.5
9 		0.9
5 		4.4
4 		1.4
3 		– – – 4.4
InvyMark/laSexta[337] 21–25 Sep 2009 ? ? 41.0 43.8 – – – – – – – – 2.8
InvyMark/laSexta[338] 7–11 Sep 2009 ? ? 41.1 43.6 – – – – – – – – 2.5
Celeste-Tel[282] 1–7 Sep 2009 1,100 ? 39.9
154 		41.8
160 		5.1
5 		3.3
12 		1.1
6 		3.1
3 		0.9
3 		0.9
3 		0.9
2 		– 1.9
NC Report/La Razón[339] 1–3 Sep 2009 1,000 71.7 39.9
155/156 		42.0
164/165 		4.9
3/4 		3.3
11 		1.2
6 		3.2
2/3 		1.1
2 		?
2 		?
2 		– 2.1
CIS[340][341][342] 7–13 Jul 2009 2,482 ? 39.0
154/158 		40.2
158/161 		4.6
4/5 		3.4
11 		1.2
6 		3.2
3 		1.6
6 		0.8
2 		0.5
2 		– 1.2
InvyMark/laSexta[343] 6–10 Jul 2009 ? ? 41.7 42.9 – – – – – – – – 1.1
Metroscopia/El País[344][345] 8–9 Jul 2009 500 75.3 38.7 41.8 – – – – – – – – 3.1
Celeste-Tel[282] 1–7 Jul 2009 1,100 ? 40.1
155 		41.7
159 		5.1
5 		3.2
12 		1.2
6 		3.1
3 		1.0
3 		0.9
3 		0.9
2 		– 1.6
NC Report/La Razón[346] 1–3 Jul 2009 1,000 71.7 40.3
156/157 		42.1
162/163 		4.6
3/4 		3.3
11/12 		1.3
6 		3.1
2/3 		1.0
2 		0.8
2 		0.7
2 		– 1.8
InvyMark/laSexta[347][348] 22–26 Jun 2009 ? ? 41.8 42.8 – – – – – – – – 1.0
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[252][349] 22–23 Jun 2009 ? ? 39.2 41.7 4.4 3.1 1.1 4.0 1.1 0.6 – – 2.5
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[350] 25 May–17 Jun 2009 3,200 ? 40.3 41.8 3.9 2.8 0.8 3.7 0.9 0.9 – – 1.5
InvyMark/laSexta[351] 8–12 Jun 2009 ? ? 41.5 42.9 – – – – – – – – 1.4
Metroscopia/El País[352][353] 8–9 Jun 2009 500 75.3 38.9 40.9 – – – – – – – – 2.0
NC Report/La Razón[354] 8 Jun 2009 1,000 71.8 40.2
157/158 		41.8
162/164 		4.8
3/4 		3.3
11/12 		1.2
6 		3.0
2/3 		1.1
2 		0.8
2 		0.7
2 		– 1.6
2009 EP election 7 Jun 2009 — 44.9 38.8
(149) 		42.1
(169) 		3.7
(3) 		2.8
(13) 		1.3
(6) 		2.9
(2) 		1.3
(4) 		0.7
(0) 		0.6
(2) 		0.9
(2) 		3.3
Celeste-Tel[282] 1–5 Jun 2009 1,100 ? 39.7
155 		42.0
159 		5.3
5 		3.3
12 		1.2
6 		3.3
3 		1.0
3 		0.9
3 		0.9
2 		– 2.3
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[355][356][357] 26–28 May 2009 1,000 ? 40.6 42.8 3.4 – – 2.6 – – – – 2.2
DYM/ABC[358] 25–28 May 2009 1,040 ? 38.7 40.9 3.3 – – 2.2 – – – – 2.2
Noxa/La Vanguardia[359] 25–28 May 2009 1,000 ? 40.8
162/164 		38.0
150/153 		4.2
3 		4.0
14/16 		1.4
6/7 		4.8
5 		0.9
1 		– – – 2.8
InvyMark/laSexta[351][360] 18–22 May 2009 ? ? 41.6 42.0 – – – – – – – – 0.4
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[361] 27 Apr–20 May 2009 3,206 ? 41.1 42.2 3.7 2.6 1.0 3.5 1.0 0.8 – – 1.1
GESOP/El Periódico[362][363][364] 11–15 May 2009 1,500 ? 38.7
155/157 		42.3
167/169 		3.9
2/3 		3.0
10/11 		0.8
3/4 		3.3
2/3 		0.8
1 		– – – 3.6
Celeste-Tel[282] 4–8 May 2009 1,100 ? 39.9
157 		41.1
158 		5.5
4 		3.3
12 		1.2
6 		3.4
3 		1.1
3 		1.0
3 		0.9
2 		– 1.2
NC Report/La Razón[365] 27–30 Apr 2009 1,000 70.3 39.1
156/158 		41.5
160/162 		5.6
3/6 		3.5
11/12 		1.2
6 		3.3
2/3 		1.1
2/3 		0.8
2 		0.8
2 		– 2.4
Metroscopia/El País[366][367] 27–28 Apr 2009 505 75.3 39.6 40.8 – – – – – – – – 1.2
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[368] 24 Mar–22 Apr 2009 3,204 ? 40.0 42.3 3.8 2.8 1.1 3.5 1.0 0.6 – – 2.3
CIS[369][370][342] 14–21 Apr 2009 2,481 ? 40.8
161/165 		40.0
154/156 		4.5
4/5 		3.4
11 		1.0
5/6 		2.9
3 		1.5
5 		0.6
0 		– – 0.8
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[371][372] 3–8 Apr 2009 900 ? 37.9 42.3 5.0 – – 4.4 – – – – 4.4
Celeste-Tel[282] 1–7 Apr 2009 1,100 ? 40.1
160 		40.9
156 		5.4
4 		3.3
11 		1.2
6 		3.3
3 		1.1
3 		1.0
3 		0.9
2 		– 0.8
NC Report/La Razón[373] 28 Mar 2009 ? 71.2 39.9
157/159 		40.8
158/161 		5.5
4/5 		3.4
11/12 		1.2
6 		3.3
2/3 		1.1
2/3 		0.9
2 		0.8
2/3 		– 0.9
InvyMark/laSexta[374] 23–27 Mar 2009 ? ? 41.9 41.6 – – – – – – – – 0.3
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[252][375] 23–24 Mar 2009 ? ? 41.2 40.5 4.8 3.0 1.0 3.6 1.1 0.5 – – 0.7
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[376] 25 Feb–18 Mar 2009 3,205 ? 39.2 40.7 5.0 3.2 1.0 3.7 0.9 0.5 – – 1.5
Celeste-Tel[282] 2–6 Mar 2009 1,100 ? 40.4
161 		40.7
154 		5.3
4 		3.1
11 		1.3
6 		3.2
3 		1.2
4 		1.1
3 		0.9
2 		– 0.3
NC Report/La Razón[377] 4 Mar 2009 ? ? 40.4 40.2 – – – – – – – – 0.2
Simple Lógica[378] 13–23 Feb 2009 1,012 68.5 43.2 37.6 3.7 2.8 1.1 3.2 – – – – 5.6
GESOP/El Periódico[379][380][381] 12–13 Feb 2009 800 ? 41.0
161/164 		38.5
154/156 		4.8
4/5 		2.8
10/11 		1.1
6 		4.4
3/5 		1.0
2 		– – – 2.5
Celeste-Tel[282] 2–6 Feb 2009 1,100 ? 40.6
162 		40.3
152 		5.2
4 		3.2
12 		1.4
6 		3.3
3 		1.2
4 		1.1
3 		0.9
2 		– 0.3
InvyMark/laSexta[382] 26–30 Jan 2009 ? ? 42.7 41.0 – – – – – – – – 1.7
NC Report/La Razón[383] 26–30 Jan 2009 1,000 70.5 41.7
161/163 		38.5
150/152 		5.3
4/5 		3.4
11/12 		1.3
6/7 		3.6
3/4 		1.1
3 		0.9
2/3 		0.8
2/3 		– 3.2
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[384] 10–20 Jan 2009 1,600 ? 40.2 36.7 5.0 2.7 1.0 6.0 1.0 0.8 – – 3.5
CIS[385][386][342] 9–19 Jan 2009 2,482 ? 39.7
159/162 		39.5
153/156 		4.5
4/5 		3.4
13/14 		1.1
6 		3.1
3 		1.3
3 		1.0
2 		– – 0.2
InvyMark/laSexta[382] 12–16 Jan 2009 ? ? 42.2 41.2 – – – – – – – – 1.0
Celeste-Tel[282] 2–9 Jan 2009 1,100 ? 40.8
162 		40.6
153 		5.2
4 		3.1
12 		1.3
6 		3.1
3 		1.2
4 		1.0
3 		0.9
2 		– 0.2
NC Report/La Razón[387] 29 Dec–2 Jan 2009 1,000 71.5 41.6
162/164 		39.6
151/153 		4.9
4/5 		3.3
11/12 		1.3
6 		3.2
3/4 		1.1
3 		0.9
2 		0.8
2 		– 2.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[388][389] 22–26 Dec 2008 1,000 ? 42.6 39.7 3.4 3.2 1.4 3.1 1.0 – – – 2.9
Noxa/La Vanguardia[390] 15–19 Dec 2008 1,000 ? 40.7
161/164 		37.5
148/152 		4.8
4/5 		3.3
11/13 		1.6
6/7 		5.8
5/6 		1.0
2/3 		– – – 3.2
InvyMark/laSexta[391] 15–19 Dec 2008 ? ? 41.8 41.5 – – – – – – – – 0.3
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[392] 25 Nov–18 Dec 2008 3,198 ? 41.3 38.9 4.5 2.6 1.2 3.5 1.2 1.1 – – 2.4
Celeste-Tel[282] 1–5 Dec 2008 1,100 ? 40.9
162 		40.5
156 		5.1
4 		3.2
11 		1.3
6 		2.7
3 		1.0
3 		0.9
2 		0.9
2 		– 0.4
InvyMark/laSexta[391] 24–28 Nov 2008 ? ? 42.3 40.8 – – – – – – – – 1.5
NC Report/La Razón[393] 24–27 Nov 2008 1,000 71.2 39.8
155/157 		41.5
161/163 		4.9
4/5 		3.3
10/11 		1.3
6/7 		2.8
2/3 		1.0
2/3 		0.9
2/3 		0.8
2 		– 1.7
DYM/ABC[394] 13–20 Nov 2008 1,012 ? 41.9 42.2 3.7 – – – – – – – 0.3
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[395] 27 Oct–20 Nov 2008 3,203 ? 41.3 39.2 4.0 3.2 1.2 4.0 1.2 1.0 – – 2.1
Celeste-Tel[282] 3–7 Nov 2008 1,100 ? 41.2
163 		40.9
156 		5.0
4 		3.1
11 		1.2
6 		2.7
2 		0.9
3 		0.9
2 		0.8
2 		– 0.3
NC Report/La Razón[396][397] 27–30 Oct 2008 1,000 71.7 41.0
159/162 		41.1
158/159 		4.8
4/5 		3.2
10/11 		1.3
6/7 		2.7
2 		1.0
2/3 		– – – 0.1
GESOP/El Periódico[398][399][400] 20–24 Oct 2008 1,500 ? 40.2
154/158 		41.3
160/164 		4.8
4/5 		2.9
10/11 		1.1
6 		2.9
2/3 		1.1
3 		– – – 1.1
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[401] 29 Sep–23 Oct 2008 3,203 ? 39.4 39.4 3.4 3.8 1.0 4.2 1.3 0.9 – – Tie
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[402][403] 9–10 Oct 2008 ? ? 40.7 42.4 – – – – – – – – 1.7
CIS[404][405] 1–9 Oct 2008 2,481 ? 39.7 39.7 4.3 3.8 1.1 2.9 1.3 1.0 – – Tie
Intercampo/GETS[406][407] 17 Sep–8 Oct 2008 1,729 High 40.4 41.2 4.0 2.7 1.6 3.7 1.2 – – – 0.8
Low 40.5 41.3 4.1 2.7 1.7 3.1 1.1 – – – 0.8
Celeste-Tel[282] 1–7 Oct 2008 1,100 ? 41.4
163 		40.6
155 		5.0
4 		3.0
12 		1.2
6 		2.8
2 		1.0
3 		0.9
2 		0.7
2 		– 0.8
Simple Lógica[408] 29 Sep–7 Oct 2008 1,006 72.5 39.7 39.4 4.6 2.8 1.6 2.8 – – – – 0.3
InvyMark/laSexta[409] 29 Sep–3 Oct 2008 ? ? 41.7 41.2 – – – – – – – – 0.5
NC Report/La Razón[410][411] 29 Sep–2 Oct 2008 1,000 71.5 41.2
160/162 		41.0
156/157 		4.6
4/5 		3.2
10 		1.3
6 		2.7
2/3 		0.9
3 		– – – 0.2
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[412] 8–25 Sep 2008 3,171 ? 38.6 39.4 4.5 3.2 1.3 2.8 1.0 1.2 – – 0.8
Noxa/La Vanguardia[413] 15–18 Sep 2008 1,000 ? 40.6
159/161 		39.6
152/155 		5.2
5/6 		3.1
11/12 		1.2
6 		4.2
3/4 		1.2
2/3 		– – – 1.0
Celeste-Tel[282] 1–5 Sep 2008 1,100 ? 41.4
161 		40.5
154 		5.2
5 		3.3
11 		1.3
6 		2.8
3 		1.2
4 		1.1
3 		0.9
2 		– 0.9
Celeste-Tel[282] 1–7 Aug 2008 1,100 ? 41.8
162 		40.2
154 		5.1
5 		3.3
11 		1.3
6 		2.7
3 		1.3
4 		1.1
2 		0.9
2 		– 1.6
CIS[414][415] 7–13 Jul 2008 2,468 ? 39.5 39.3 4.8 3.3 1.1 2.5 1.5 0.9 – – 0.2
Metroscopia/El País[416][417] 9–10 Jul 2008 703 ? 41.2 41.0 – – – – – – – – 0.2
Celeste-Tel[282] 1–7 Jul 2008 1,100 ? 42.4
164 		40.3
153 		4.4
3 		3.3
11 		1.2
6 		2.7
3 		1.3
4 		1.1
3 		0.8
2 		– 2.1
InvyMark/laSexta[418] 23–27 Jun 2008 ? ? 43.6 40.0 – – – – – – – – 3.6
Opina/Cadena SER[419][420] 26 Jun 2008 1,000 ? 42.0 41.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 – – – 1.0
ASEP[a][421] 9–15 Jun 2008 1,203 71.3 41.8 39.6 4.6 – – 1.7 – – – – 2.2
Opina/Cadena SER[422][423] 12 Jun 2008 1,000 ? 40.0 40.0 4.0 3.0 1.3 2.0 0.9 – – – Tie
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[424][425][426] 10–12 Jun 2008 1,000 ? 41.3 40.2 4.8 3.2 1.2 2.7 0.9 – – – 1.1
Celeste-Tel[282] 2–6 Jun 2008 1,100 ? 43.4
168 		39.6
152 		4.3
2 		3.4
11 		1.3
6 		2.7
3 		1.0
3 		1.0
2 		0.9
2 		– 3.8
GESOP/El Periódico[427][428] 26–30 May 2008 1,500 ? 45.0
173/176 		37.3
145/148 		4.2
2/3 		2.8
10 		1.2
6 		2.5
2 		1.0
2/3 		– – – 7.7
ASEP[a][429] 12–18 May 2008 1,209 73.6 43.8 39.3 4.3 – – 1.5 – – – – 4.5
Celeste-Tel[282] 2–8 May 2008 1,100 ? 44.5
169 		39.4
152 		4.2
2 		3.3
11 		1.2
6 		2.6
2 		0.9
3 		0.9
2 		0.8
2 		– 5.1
CIS[430][431] 24–30 Apr 2008 2,459 ? 43.6 37.6 3.9 3.2 1.5 2.6 1.6 1.1 – – 6.0
ASEP[a][432] 14–20 Apr 2008 1,204 76.6 44.1 39.6 4.0 – – 1.3 – – – – 4.5
Celeste-Tel[282] 1–7 Apr 2008 1,100 ? 44.9
171 		39.5
151 		3.9
2 		3.0
10 		1.2
6 		2.4
2 		1.0
3 		0.9
2 		0.7
2 		– 5.4
2008 general election 9 Mar 2008 — 73.8 43.9
169 		39.9
154 		3.8
2 		3.0
10 		1.2
6 		1.2
1 		1.2
3 		0.8
2 		0.7
2 		– 4.0

Voting preferences[edit]

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Victory preference[edit]

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a general election taking place.

Victory likelihood[edit]

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a general election taking place.

Sub-national polling[edit]

Main article: Sub-national opinion polling for the 2011 Spanish general election

Alternative scenarios[edit]

PSOE candidates[edit]

Leadership polling[edit]

Main article: Leadership opinion polling for the 2011 Spanish general election

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ a b c Undecided and/or abstentionists excluded.

References[edit]

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  7. ^ "Spain's top man creates closer links with No 10 to out-manoeuvre EU 'dictatorship'". The Times. 17 November 2011.
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