Opinion polling and seat projections for the 2024 European Parliament election
From Wikipedia the free encyclopedia
The European Parliament election is set to take place in June 2024. This article lists national polls for the European Union election as well as EU-wide seat projections and popular vote estimates.
Polling aggregations[edit]
Seat projections[edit]
Europe Elects, Der Föderalist and Politico Europe have been presenting seat projections throughout the legislative period. Other institutes started presenting data during the election campaign. All projections make their national-level data transparent, except Politico Europe, which only presents aggregate EU-level data.
Polling aggregator | Date updated | Number of seats | The Left | S&D | G/EFA | Renew | EPP | ECR | ID | NI | Others | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
corneliushirsch.com[1] | 5 May 2024 | 720 | 41 | 136 | 50 | 89 | 179 | 83 | 95 | 47 | – | |
Politico Europe[2] | 3 May 2024 | 720 | 31 | 144 | 42 | 85 | 174 | 73 | 85 | 41 | 45 | |
Europe Elects[3] | 28 Apr 2024 | 720 | 44 | 140 | 48 | 86 | 183 | 86 | 84 | 48 | 1 | |
Der Föderalist[4] | Baseline[a] | 26 Apr 2024 | 720 | 35 | 132 | 51 | 86 | 173 | 81 | 83 | 35 | 44 |
Dynamic[b] | 720 | 39 | 134 | 53 | 89 | 181 | 86 | 99 | 39 | – | ||
EM Analytics[5] | 22 Apr 2024 | 720 | 39 | 139 | 51 | 77 | 181 | 86 | 86 | 61 | – | |
election.de[6] | 22 Apr 2024 | 720 | 39 | 138 | 52 | 90 | 173 | 80 | 87 | 61 | – | |
2019 election | After Brexit | 1 Feb 2020 | 705 | 40 | 148 | 67 | 97 | 187 | 62 | 76 | 28 | – |
Before Brexit | 26 May 2019 | 751 | 41 | 154 | 74 | 108 | 182 | 62 | 73 | 57 | – |
Popular vote projections[edit]
Europe Elects has been presenting popular vote projections throughout the legislative period. Other institutes started presenting data during the election campaign.
Polling aggregator | Date updated | The Left | S&D | G/EFA | Renew | EPP | ECR | ID | NI | Others | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Europe Elects[3] | 28 Apr 2024 | 6.3% | 18.3% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 22.9% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | ||
EM Analytics[7] | 22 Apr 2024 | 7.0% | 18.5% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 22.0% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | ||
2019 election | ||||||||||||
Before Brexit | 26 May 2019 | 6.5% | 18.5% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 21.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 3.1% |
Seats[edit]
361 seats are needed for an absolute majority in the European Parliament.
Organisation | Release date | Area | Number of seats | The Left | S&D | G/EFA | Renew | EPP | ECR | ID | NI | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[8] | 28 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 44 | 140 | 48 | 86 | 183 | 86 | 84 | 48 | 1 | 43 |
Der Föderalist[9] | 26 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 35 | 132 | 51 | 86 | 173 | 81 | 83 | 35 | 44 | 41 |
720 | 39 | 134 | 53 | 89 | 181 | 86 | 99 | 39 | 47 | ||||
EM Analytics[10] | 22 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 39 | 139 | 51 | 86 | 181 | 86 | 77 | 61 | 42 | |
election.de[11] | 22 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 39 | 138 | 52 | 90 | 173 | 80 | 87 | 61 | 35 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[12] | 16 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 40 | 139 | 52 | 84 | 184 | 82 | 84 | 52 | 3 | 45 |
election.de[13] | 8 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 39 | 138 | 55 | 86 | 176 | 81 | 85 | 60 | 38 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[14] | 28 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 47 | 135 | 52 | 87 | 184 | 81 | 82 | 48 | 4 | 49 |
election.de[15] | 22 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 40 | 139 | 54 | 89 | 176 | 84 | 83 | 55 | 37 | |
Ipsos for Euronews[16] | 19 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 42 | 136 | 55 | 85 | 177 | 76 | 81 | 68 | 41 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[17] | 18 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 46 | 135 | 50 | 86 | 183 | 84 | 89 | 43 | 4 | 48 |
Politico Europe[18] | 9 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 33 | 141 | 48 | 90 | 180 | 87 | 89 | 52 | 39 | |
election.de[19] | 8 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 39 | 142 | 51 | 86 | 171 | 86 | 86 | 59 | 29 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[20] | 1 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 45 | 140 | 49 | 82 | 181 | 83 | 92 | 44 | 4 | 41 |
Der Föderalist[21] | 26 Feb 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 35 | 135 | 48 | 85 | 176 | 78 | 85 | 36 | 42 | 41 |
37 | 137 | 48 | 89 | 183 | 82 | 101 | 43 | 46 | |||||
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[22] | 19 Feb 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 44 | 140 | 48 | 85 | 180 | 83 | 92 | 43 | 6 | 40 |
election.de[23] | 7 Feb 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 42 | 138 | 49 | 78 | 176 | 88 | 94 | 55 | 38 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[24] | 1 Feb 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 42 | 140 | 51 | 82 | 180 | 80 | 91 | 49 | 5 | 40 |
ECFR[25] | 23 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 44 | 131 | 61 | 86 | 173 | 85 | 98 | 42 | 42 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[26] | 15 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 37 | 143 | 50 | 84 | 178 | 80 | 93 | 49 | 6 | 35 |
election.de[27] | 9 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 41 | 141 | 45 | 80 | 179 | 86 | 95 | 53 | 38 | |
Politico Europe[28] | 9 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 33 | 145 | 43 | 86 | 178 | 89 | 96 | 50 | 33 | |
Der Föderalist[29] | 8 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 33 | 141 | 45 | 86 | 169 | 75 | 89 | 43 | 39 | 28 |
35 | 143 | 47 | 91 | 177 | 85 | 108 | 34 | 34 | |||||
Europe Elects[30] | 30 Dec 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 36 | 142 | 49 | 84 | 179 | 81 | 93 | 50 | 6 | 37 |
Politico Europe[31] | 11 Dec 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 33 | 145 | 47 | 87 | 175 | 91 | 91 | 51 | 30 | |
Europe Elects[32] | 30 Nov 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 38 | 141 | 52 | 89 | 175 | 82 | 87 | 52 | 4 | 35 |
Politico Europe[33] | 9 Nov 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 38 | 143 | 49 | 91 | 179 | 90 | 85 | 45 | 36 | |
Der Föderalist[34] | 6 Nov 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 43 | 137 | 43 | 90 | 170 | 78 | 76 | 37 | 45 | 33 |
46 | 138 | 47 | 96 | 178 | 89 | 92 | 34 | 40 | |||||
Europe Elects[35] | 31 Oct 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 45 | 139 | 51 | 92 | 173 | 80 | 76 | 53 | 11 | 34 |
PES (S&D's party) suspends Slovakia's Smer–SD and Hlas–SD due to their coalition with the sovereignist SNS party.[36] | |||||||||||||
Politico Europe[37] | 9 Oct 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 40 | 151 | 49 | 89 | 172 | 93 | 82 | 44 | 21 | |
Europe Elects[38] | 30 Sep 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 43 | 145 | 52 | 90 | 165 | 86 | 74 | 56 | 10 | 21 |
The European Council approves the new apportionment in the European Parliament from 705 to 720 seats.[39] | |||||||||||||
Der Föderalist[40] | 11 Sep 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 43 | 147 | 46 | 91 | 162 | 77 | 74 | 36 | 43 | 15 |
45 | 147 | 50 | 96 | 171 | 90 | 89 | 32 | 24 | |||||
705 | 42 | 144 | 46 | 90 | 157 | 77 | 72 | 35 | 41 | 13 | |||
44 | 144 | 50 | 95 | 165 | 89 | 87 | 31 | 21 | |||||
Politico Europe[41] | 7 Sep 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 42 | 146 | 46 | 91 | 167 | 93 | 76 | 44 | 21 | |
Europe Elects[42] | 31 Aug 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 38 | 149 | 53 | 90 | 164 | 83 | 75 | 58 | 10 | 15 |
Politico Europe[43] | 9 Aug 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 45 | 145 | 48 | 89 | 165 | 89 | 77 | 47 | 20 | |
Europe Elects[44] | 31 Jul 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 45 | 143 | 49 | 90 | 157 | 82 | 82 | 55 | 12 | 14 |
Der Föderalist[45] | 17 Jul 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 41 | 136 | 48 | 94 | 160 | 79 | 70 | 36 | 41 | 24 |
43 | 137 | 52 | 99 | 167 | 89 | 87 | 31 | 30 | |||||
Der Föderalist[46] | 22 May 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 49 | 137 | 50 | 92 | 162 | 79 | 67 | 33 | 36 | 25 |
50 | 137 | 54 | 99 | 172 | 82 | 83 | 28 | 35 | |||||
Europe Elects[47] | 28 Apr 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 141 | 49 | 89 | 163 | 85 | 64 | 51 | 11 | 22 |
Der Föderalist[48] | 27 Mar 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 44 | 137 | 42 | 94 | 162 | 78 | 68 | 38 | 42 | 25 |
46 | 141 | 46 | 102 | 170 | 81 | 84 | 35 | 29 | |||||
Der Föderalist[49] | 1 Feb 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 135 | 42 | 96 | 168 | 78 | 65 | 37 | 34 | 33 |
52 | 138 | 47 | 103 | 172 | 82 | 80 | 31 | 34 | |||||
Der Föderalist[50] | 6 Dec 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 136 | 44 | 93 | 166 | 79 | 64 | 37 | 35 | 30 |
53 | 139 | 50 | 100 | 170 | 83 | 80 | 30 | 31 | |||||
Europe Elects[51] | 7 Dec 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 49 | 142 | 56 | 100 | 158 | 84 | 63 | 46 | 7 | 16 |
Europe Elects[52] | 1 Nov 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 135 | 53 | 106 | 162 | 81 | 66 | 41 | 6 | 27 |
Der Föderalist[53] | 12 Oct 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 127 | 42 | 100 | 169 | 79 | 63 | 35 | 38 | 42 |
54 | 130 | 48 | 108 | 174 | 84 | 80 | 27 | 44 | |||||
Der Föderalist[54] | 20 Aug 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 134 | 47 | 98 | 170 | 75 | 63 | 27 | 39 | 36 |
54 | 137 | 53 | 107 | 175 | 80 | 76 | 23 | 38 | |||||
Der Föderalist[55] | 22 Jun 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 133 | 44 | 101 | 165 | 77 | 64 | 31 | 36 | 32 |
56 | 136 | 54 | 106 | 168 | 81 | 79 | 25 | 32 | |||||
Der Föderalist[56] | 25 Apr 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 59 | 139 | 39 | 97 | 157 | 78 | 64 | 37 | 35 | 18 |
60 | 143 | 49 | 102 | 159 | 84 | 76 | 32 | 16 | |||||
Der Föderalist[57] | 1 Mar 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 53 | 139 | 36 | 98 | 158 | 78 | 62 | 45 | 36 | 19 |
55 | 142 | 44 | 105 | 160 | 109 | 62 | 28 | 18 | |||||
Europe Elects[58] | 8 Jan 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 49 | 152 | 55 | 99 | 158 | 78 | 62 | 35 | 17 | 6 |
Der Föderalist[59] | 4 Jan 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 142 | 39 | 99 | 165 | 73 | 62 | 34 | 40 | 23 |
53 | 146 | 43 | 105 | 166 | 102 | 62 | 28 | 20 | |||||
Europe Elects[60] | 7 Dec 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 155 | 55 | 103 | 146 | 81 | 75 | 36 | 4 | 9 |
Der Föderalist[61] | 8 Nov 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 144 | 42 | 96 | 155 | 75 | 72 | 36 | 35 | 11 |
52 | 148 | 48 | 107 | 156 | 23 | 120 | 51 | 8 | |||||
Europe Elects[62] | 4 Nov 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 155 | 51 | 102 | 151 | 81 | 75 | 35 | 5 | 4 |
Europe Elects[63] | 8 Oct 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 154 | 47 | 94 | 156 | 78 | 75 | 36 | 15 | 2 |
Der Föderalist[64] | 13 Sep 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 141 | 42 | 98 | 160 | 70 | 75 | 33 | 32 | 19 |
56 | 145 | 48 | 107 | 160 | 22 | 116 | 51 | 15 | |||||
Der Föderalist[65] | 21 Jul 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 133 | 45 | 97 | 167 | 71 | 74 | 31 | 35 | 34 |
54 | 138 | 49 | 108 | 168 | 23 | 117 | 48 | 30 | |||||
Europe Elects[66] | 9 Jul 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 144 | 55 | 94 | 156 | 75 | 77 | 34 | 18 | 12 |
Europe Elects[67] | 5 Jun 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 146 | 58 | 92 | 155 | 76 | 74 | 35 | 18 | 9 |
Der Föderalist[68] | 24 May 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 125 | 50 | 95 | 167 | 74 | 73 | 33 | 38 | 42 |
52 | 130 | 54 | 109 | 167 | 87 | 74 | 32 | 37 | |||||
Europe Elects[69] | 2 May 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 144 | 56 | 93 | 158 | 75 | 74 | 34 | 19 | 14 |
Europe Elects[70] | 2 Apr 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 151 | 52 | 93 | 159 | 74 | 74 | 32 | 19 | 8 |
Der Föderalist[71] | 29 Mar 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 136 | 46 | 96 | 164 | 71 | 73 | 34 | 33 | 28 |
54 | 141 | 49 | 109 | 164 | 85 | 73 | 30 | 23 | |||||
Hungary's Fidesz party leaves the EPP Group.[72] | |||||||||||||
Der Föderalist[73] | 2 Feb 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 135 | 45 | 94 | 184 | 70 | 71 | 21 | 33 | 49 |
53 | 141 | 48 | 107 | 184 | 73 | 71 | 28 | 49 | |||||
Europe Elects[74] | 5 Jan 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 138 | 47 | 97 | 190 | 73 | 72 | 22 | 11 | 52 |
Der Föderalist[75] | 9 Dec 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 136 | 47 | 93 | 188 | 67 | 73 | 20 | 29 | 52 |
53 | 140 | 40 | 103 | 188 | 73 | 73 | 25 | 48 | |||||
Europe Elects[76] | 2 Dec 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 136 | 48 | 95 | 195 | 68 | 73 | 23 | 12 | 59 |
Europe Elects[77] | 31 Oct 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 136 | 48 | 93 | 197 | 70 | 74 | 24 | 9 | 61 |
Der Föderalist[78] | 12 Oct 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 127 | 49 | 96 | 193 | 67 | 71 | 21 | 30 | 66 |
52 | 136 | 52 | 102 | 193 | 71 | 71 | 28 | – | 57 | ||||
Europe Elects[79] | 4 Oct 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 136 | 49 | 95 | 195 | 71 | 77 | 23 | 4 | 59 |
Europe Elects[80] | 31 Aug 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 134 | 49 | 96 | 196 | 71 | 75 | 24 | 5 | 62 |
Europe Elects[81] | 14 Aug 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 134 | 49 | 97 | 198 | 70 | 75 | 23 | 5 | 64 |
Europe Elects[82] | 24 Jul 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 133 | 48 | 97 | 198 | 71 | 77 | 24 | 3 | 65 |
Europe Elects[83] | 28 May 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 135 | 47 | 98 | 197 | 70 | 77 | 23 | 3 | 62 |
Europe Elects[84] | 30 Apr 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 140 | 46 | 94 | 193 | 72 | 78 | 23 | 4 | 53 |
Europe Elects[85] | 31 Mar 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 57 | 135 | 51 | 92 | 188 | 72 | 83 | 21 | 6 | 53 |
Europe Elects[86] | 29 Feb 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 56 | 133 | 55 | 99 | 184 | 68 | 85 | 21 | 6 | 51 |
Europe Elects[87] | 31 Jan 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 130 | 53 | 101 | 182 | 70 | 85 | 23 | 6 | 52 |
The United Kingdom leaves the European Union.[88] | |||||||||||||
Europe Elects[89] | 31 Dec 2019 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 131 | 52 | 102 | 182 | 70 | 86 | 25 | 3 | 51 |
Europe Elects[90] | 31 Dec 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 53 | 153 | 52 | 103 | 177 | 103 | 82 | 25 | 3 | 24 |
Europe Elects[91] | 30 Nov 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 49 | 157 | 61 | 107 | 176 | 95 | 80 | 25 | 1 | 19 |
Europe Elects[91] | 31 Aug 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 46 | 151 | 62 | 115 | 175 | 92 | 78 | 30 | 2 | 24 |
Europe Elects[91] | 30 Sep 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 48 | 151 | 63 | 118 | 170 | 87 | 79 | 32 | 3 | 19 |
Europe Elects[91] | 31 Aug 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 47 | 154 | 64 | 116 | 166 | 89 | 80 | 32 | 3 | 12 |
Europe Elects[91] | 31 Jul 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 48 | 153 | 65 | 117 | 168 | 85 | 79 | 33 | 3 | 15 |
Europe Elects[91] | 30 Jun 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 46 | 145 | 74 | 119 | 167 | 64 | 80 | 54 | 2 | 22 |
Redistribution of seats after Brexit | 1 Feb 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 40 | 148 | 68 | 97 | 187 | 62 | 76 | 27 | – | 39 |
2019 European Parliament election | 26 May 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 41 | 154 | 74 | 108 | 182 | 62 | 73 | 57 | – | 28 |
Popular vote[edit]
The following table shows the projected popular vote share for the groups in the EU Parliament aggregated on the European level. EU27 excludes the United Kingdom in this context. EU28 includes the United Kingdom.
Organisation | Release date | Area | The Left | S&D | G/EFA | Renew | EPP | ECR | ID | NI | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Europe Elects for Euractiv[92] | 28 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 6.3% | 18.3% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 22.9% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% |
EM Analytics[93] | 22 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 7.0% | 18.5% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 22.0% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv[94] | 16 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 5.9% | 18.0% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 24.3% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv[95] | 28 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 7.7% | 18.4% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 23.0% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv[96] | 18 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 4.8% | 18.5% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 22.2% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv[97] | 1 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 5.5% | 18.9% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 22.6% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv[98] | 19 Feb 2024 | EU27 | 6.7% | 18.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 22.9% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv[99] | 1 Feb 2024 | EU27 | 6.8% | 18.4% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 22.6% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv[100] | 15 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 5.9% | 18.3% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 23.5% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% |
Europe Elects[101] | 30 Dec 2023 | EU27 | 5.5% | 17.9% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 22.8% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% |
Europe Elects[102] | 30 Nov 2023 | EU27 | 5.7% | 18.4% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 22.4% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
Europe Elects[103] | 31 Oct 2023 | EU27 | 5.9% | 18.5% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 22.4% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
Europe Elects[104] | 30 Sep 2023 | EU27 | 6.9% | 19.1% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 21.3% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 2.2% |
Europe Elects | 31 Aug 2023 | EU27 | 6.1% | 19.5% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 21.6% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
Europe Elects[105] | 31 Jul 2023 | EU27 | 7.2% | 19.5% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 20.6% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 1.1% |
Europe Elects[106] | 28 Jun 2023 | EU27 | 6.9% | 18.7% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 21.4% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 2.7% |
Europe Elects[107] | 31 May 2023 | EU27 | 7.5% | 18.8% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 20.7% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 1.9% |
Europe Elects[108] | 30 Apr 2023 | EU27 | 7.8% | 18.2% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 21.4% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
Europe Elects[109] | 31 Mar 2023 | EU27 | 7.3% | 19.0% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 21.6% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
Europe Elects[110] | 28 Feb 2023 | EU27 | 7.1% | 18.7% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 21.7% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
Europe Elects[111] | 31 Jan 2023 | EU27 | 7.4% | 18.5% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 21.5% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
Europe Elects[112] | 31 Dec 2022 | EU27 | 7.1% | 18.7% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 21.1% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 2.4% |
Europe Elects[51] | 7 Dec 2022 | EU27 | 7.2% | 18.8% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 21.2% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
Europe Elects[52] | 1 Nov 2022 | EU27 | 8.0% | 18.3% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 21.6% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.3% |
Europe Elects[58] | 8 Jan 2022 | EU27 | 6.7% | 20.6% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 20.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 0.1% |
Europe Elects[60] | 7 Dec 2021 | EU27 | 7.0% | 20.4% | 7.4% | 13.6% | 17.9% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 1.2% |
Europe Elects[62] | 4 Nov 2021 | EU27 | 6.9% | 20.7% | 7.2% | 13.0% | 19.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 1.2% |
Europe Elects[63] | 8 Oct 2021 | EU27 | 7.3% | 20.3% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 20.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | Tie |
Europe Elects[66] | 9 Jul 2021 | EU27 | 7.2% | 17.9% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 21.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 3.3% |
Europe Elects[67] | 5 Jun 2021 | EU27 | 7.8% | 18.0% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 20.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
Europe Elects[84] | 2 May 2021 | EU27 | 7.9% | 18.3% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 20.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 2.0% |
Europe Elects[85] | 2 Apr 2021 | EU27 | 8.0% | 18.7% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 21.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
Hungary's Fidesz party leaves the EPP Group.[72] | ||||||||||||
Europe Elects[74] | 2 Mar 2021 | EU27 | 7.9% | 18.9% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 23.1% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
Europe Elects[74] | 2 Feb 2021 | EU27 | 8.2% | 18.6% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 24.4% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% |
Europe Elects[74] | 31 Dec 2020 | EU27 | 8.4% | 18.9% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 24.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% |
Europe Elects[76] | 2 Dec 2020 | EU27 | 8.2% | 18.5% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 24.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% |
Europe Elects[77] | 31 Oct 2020 | EU27 | 7.6% | 18.4% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 25.0% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% |
Europe Elects[79] | 4 Oct 2020 | EU27 | 7.9% | 17.9% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 24.4% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% |
Europe Elects[80] | 31 Aug 2020 | EU27 | 8.1% | 18.3% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 25.0% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% |
Europe Elects[81] | 14 Aug 2020 | EU27 | 8.0% | 18.0% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 25.3% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% |
Europe Elects[82] | 24 Jul 2020 | EU27 | 8.3% | 17.9% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 25.7% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.8% |
Europe Elects[83] | 28 May 2020 | EU27 | 8.2% | 18.0% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 25.2% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% |
Europe Elects[84] | 30 Apr 2020 | EU27 | 8.2% | 18.5% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 25.3% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% |
Europe Elects[85] | 31 Mar 2020 | EU27 | 8.5% | 18.2% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 24.1% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% |
Europe Elects[86] | 29 Feb 2020 | EU27 | 9.1% | 18.0% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 22.7% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% |
Europe Elects[87] | 31 Jan 2020 | EU27 | 8.0% | 18.6% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 20.5% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
The United Kingdom leaves the European Union.[88] | ||||||||||||
Europe Elects[91] | 31 Dec 2019 | EU28 | 8.1% | 18.8% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 20.9% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
Europe Elects[91] | 30 Nov 2019 | EU28 | 8.0% | 18.4% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 20.3% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
Europe Elects[91] | 31 Oct 2019 | EU28 | 6.5% | 17.8% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 20.3% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 2.5% |
Europe Elects[91] | 30 Sep 2019 | EU28 | 6.6% | 19.5% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 19.6% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 0.1% |
Europe Elects[91] | 31 Aug 2019 | EU28 | 6.9% | 19.0% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 20.0% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 1.0% |
Europe Elects[91] | 31 Jul 2019 | EU28 | 6.6% | 19.0% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 19.3% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 0.3% |
Europe Elects[91] | 30 Jun 2019 | EU28 | 6.9% | 18.9% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 19.1% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 0.2% |
2019 European Parliament election[113] | 26 May 2019 | EU27 | 7.0% | 18.9% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 22.6% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% |
2019 European Parliament election[91] | EU28 | 6.5% | 18.5% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 21.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
National opinion polling[edit]
Austria[edit]
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | ÖVP EPP | SPÖ S&D | FPÖ ID | Grüne G/EFA | NEOS Renew | KPÖ Left | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Market | 22–25 Apr 2024 | 842 | 20 4 | 24 5 | 27 6 | 12 2 | 13 3 | 3 0 | 1 0 | 3 |
Lazarsfeld Society | 22–24 Apr 2024 | 2,000 | 21 4 | 23 5 | 27 6 | 12 2 | 13 3 | 3 0 | 1 0 | 4 |
Ipsos | 23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | 21.0 4 | 22.0 5 | 28.2 6 | 13.0 3 | 11.8 2 | 2.1 0 | 1.9 0 | 6.2 |
Lazarsfeld Society | 26–28 Feb 2024 | 1,000 | 20 4 | 22 5 | 26 5 | 14 3 | 16 3 | 2 0 | — | 4 |
Market | 5–7 Feb 2024 | 800 | 24 5 | 23 5 | 27 6 | 11 2 | 12 2 | 2 0 | 1 0 | 3 |
Lazarsfeld Society | 29–31 Jan 2024 | 1,000 | 24 5 | 20 4 | 27 6 | 13 2 | 14 3 | 2 0 | — | 3 |
OGM | 22–31 Jan 2024 | 2,076 | 22 5 | 21 4 | 26 6 | 14 3 | 12 2 | 2 0 | 3 0 | 4 |
IFDD | 25–28 Jan 2024 | 1,000 | 21 4 | 24 5 | 27 6 | 14 3 | 9 2 | 3 0 | 2 0 | 3 |
Lazarsfeld Society | 11–13 Dec 2023 | 1,000 | 22 5 | 22 5 | 30 6 | 13 2 | 9 2 | 2 0 | 2 0 | 8 |
Peter Hajek | 22–29 Nov 2023 | 1,600 | 23 5 | 24 5 | 30 7 | 12 2 | 7 1 | 3 0 | 1 0 | 6 |
IFDD | 1–4 Oct 2023 | 837 | 25 5/6 | 25 5/6 | 25 5/6 | 14 3 | 8 1 | 3 0 | Tie | |
2019 legislative election | 29 Sep 2019 | – | 37.5 8 | 21.2 5 | 16.2 3 | 13.9 3 | 8.1 1 | 0.7 0 | 2.5 0 | 16.3 |
2019 European election | 26 May 2019 | – | 34.6 7 | 23.9 5 | 17.2 3 | 14.1 3 | 8.4 1 | 0.8 0 | 1.0 0 | 9.7 |
Belgium[edit]
Dutch-speaking[edit]
Date(s) conducted | Polling firm | Publisher | Sample size | N‑VA ECR | VB ID | Open Vld Renew | cd&v EPP | Groen G/EFA | Vooruit S&D | PVDA Left | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 | Ipsos | Euronews[114] | 1,500 | 18.7% 3 | 23.5% 3 | 12.7% 2 | 11.5% 1 | 9.7% 1 | 13.8% 2 | 9.3% 1 | 0.8% 0 | 4.8% |
26 May 2019 | European election | 22.4% 3 | 19.1% 3 | 15.9% 2 | 14.5% 2 | 12.4% 1 | 10.2% 1 | 4.9% 0 | 0.5% 0 | 3.3% |
French-speaking[edit]
Date(s) conducted | Polling firm | Publisher | Sample size | PS S&D | Ecolo G/EFA | MR Renew | PTB Left | LE EPP | DéFI NI | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 | Ipsos | Euronews[114] | 1,500 | 26.7% 2 | 12.8% 1 | 22.8% 2 | 19.2% 2 | 11.0% 1 | 2.8% 0 | 4.7% 0 | 3.9% |
26 May 2019 | European election | 26.7% 2 | 19.9% 2 | 19.3% 2 | 14.6% 1 | 8.9% 1 | 5.9% 0 | 4.7% 0 | 6.8% |
Bulgaria[edit]
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample | GERB—SDS EPP | BSPzB S&D | DPS Renew | VMRO ECR | PP–DB Renew-EPP[c] | Revival ID | ITN ECR[d] | Others | NOTA | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TREND | 12 Apr–19 Apr 2024 | 1002 | 27.2 5 | 9.4 2 | 15.4 3 | — | 17.2 4 | 15.3 3 | 5.1 0 | 10.1[e] | — | 10.1 |
Gallup | 28 Mar-5 Apr 2024 | 805 | 28.7 5 | 10.1 2 | 15.3 3 | — | 18.2 4 | 15.1 3 | 5.5 0 | 9.8 | — | 6.2 |
IPSOS | N/A | N/A | 27.1 5 | 8.8 2 | 13.0 2 | — | 20.9 4 | 15.1 3 | 6.1 1 | 8.9[f] | — | 6.2 |
Alpha Research | 1-7 Mar 2024 | 1000 | 27.0 5 | 10.6 2 | 10.0 2 | — | 23.8 5 | 15.8 3 | 5.9 0 | 6.9 | — | 3.2 |
Market Links | 24 Feb-3 Mar 2024 | 1058 | 26.4 5 | 9.7 2 | 14.0 3 | — | 22.7 4 | 13.5 3 | 3.8 0 | 6.1 | 3.9 | 3.7 |
2019 election | 26 May 2019 | — | 30.4 6 | 23.5 5 | 16.1 3 | 7.1 2 | 5.9[g] 1 | 1.0 0 | — | 2.6 | 4.1 | 6.9 |
Cyprus[edit]
Date | Polling firm | DISY EPP | AKEL Left | ELAM ECR | DIKO S&D | EDEK S&D | DIPA Renew | KOSP G/EFA | APC Left | EP NI | VOLT G/EFA | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10-22 Apr 2024 | CMRC | 29.0 | 27.5 | 15.2 | 12.3 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 3.6 | 2.9 | - | 3.6 | 0.7 | 1.5 |
08-19 Apr 2024 | CYMAR Market Research Ltd | 28.1 | 25.0 | 15.6 | 12.5 | 6.3 | 1.6 | 1.6 | - | - | 3.1 | 6.3 | 3.1 |
14–23 Mar 2024 | SIGMA | 28.1 | 28.1 | 15.1 | 13.7 | 4.1 | 2.7 | 2.7 | - | - | 2.7 | 2.7 | 0 |
20–26 Feb 2024 | Pulse Market Research | 31.3 | 25.8 | 14.7 | 12.9 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 3.7 | - | - | - | 5.5 | 5.5 |
12–16 Feb 2024 | SIGMA | 29.0 | 27.5 | 14.5 | 11.6 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 2.9 | 1.4 | - | 1.4 | 2.9 | 1.5 |
11 Feb 2024 | Symmetron | 30.7 | 29 | 13.7 | 10.9 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.4 | - | - | 3 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
29 Jan – 02 Feb 2024 | Interview | 31.7 | 31.8 | 15 | 9.0 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 6.8 | - | - | - | 1.1 | 0.1 |
22–26 Jan 2024 | L.S.Prime | 26.4 | 26.4 | 13.8 | 11.1 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 2.8 | - | - | - | 11.1 | 0 |
03–11 Jan 2024 | IMR | 25.7 | 27.8 | 17.4 | 9.7 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 4.9 | - | - | 1.8 | 3.5 | 2.1 |
30 May | Election 2021 | 27.8% | 22.3% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 3.3% | - | 10.3% | 5.5 |
26 May | Election 2019 | 29.0% | 27.5% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 3.8% | - | 0.8% | - | - | 3.0% | 1.5 |
Czech Republic[edit]
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | SPOLU ECR–EPP | ANO Renew | Piráti G/EFA | STAN EPP | SPD– Trikolóra ID | Stačilo! Left | SOCDEM S&D | Svobodní NI | Přísaha NI | Zelení EGP | PRO NI | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
STEM/Mark | 28 Mar–8 April 2024 | 1,009 | 20.0 | 27.5 | 10.1 | 10.4 | 10.4 | 6.7 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 6.0 | 0.9 | — | 1.9 | 7.5 |
Data Collect | 25 Mar 2024 | 20.9 | 27.3 | 10.8 | 9.3 | 10.9 | 7.1 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 6.4 | |
IPSOS | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 1,517 | 21.6 | 26.3 | 11.3 | 13.4 | 7.9 | 6.1 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 4.9 | — | — | — | 4.7 |
IPSOS | Dec 2023 | TBA | 25.2 | 26.3 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 7.7 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 12.8 | 1.1 |
STEM/MARK | 23–28 Nov 2023 | 1,010 | 15.0 | 33.8 | 11.4 | 7.3 | 14.7 | 5.4 | 3.6 | 2.9 | — | — | — | 6.0 | 18.8 |
2021 parliamentary election | 8–9 Oct 2021 | – | 27.8 | 27.1 | 15.6 | 9.6 | 3.6 | 4.7 | 2.8[h] | 4.7 | 1.0 | — | 0.9 | 0.7 | |
2019 European election | 24–25 May 2019 | – | 21.8[i] | 21.2 | 14.0 | 11.7[j] | 9.1 | 6.9 | 4.0 | 0.7 | — | — | — | 10.6 | 0.6 |
Denmark[edit]
Polling execution | Parties | Alliances | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | V Renew | A S&D | F G/EFA | O ID | B Renew | C EPP | Ø Left | Å G/EFA | I EPP | M Renew | Æ ECR | Others | AFÅ | BMV | CI |
Epinion | 23–29 Apr 2024 | 1,938 | 11.2 2 | 20.1 4 | 14.6 2 | 6.5 1 | 7.0 1 | 6.8 1 | 6.9 1 | 2.3 0 | 12.0 2 | 4.5 0 | 8.1 1 | — | 37.0 6 | 22.7 3 | 18.8 3 |
Epinion | 6–13 Mar 2024 | 1,074 | 12 2 | 24 4 | 14 2 | 7 1 | 5 1 | 5 1 | 7 1 | 3 0 | 9 1 | 7 1 | 7 1 | — | 41 6 | 24 4 | 14 2 |
Ipsos | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | 10.5 2 | 21.0 4 | 12.0 2 | 5.0 0 | 6.0 1 | 6.0 1 | 8.0 1 | 2.0 0 | 13.0 2 | 7.0 1 | 8.5 1 | — | 35.0 6 | 23.5 4 | 19.0 3 |
Epinion | 24–31 Jan 2024 | 1,051 | 11 2 | 22 4 | 12 2 | 7 1 | 6 1 | 6 1 | 7 1 | 1 0 | 10 1 | 7 1 | 9 1 | — | 35 6 | 24 4 | 16 2 |
2022 general election | 13.3 (3) | 27.5 (6) | 8.3 (1) | 2.6 (0) | 3.8 (0) | 5.5 (1) | 5.1 (0) | 3.3 (0) | 7.9 (1) | 9.3 (2) | 8.1 (1) | 5.2 (0) | 39.1 (7) | 26.4 (4) | 13.4 (2) | ||
2021 municipal elections | 21.2 (4) | 28.4 (5) | 7.6 (1) | 4.1 (0) | 5.6 (1) | 15.2 (3) | 7.3 (1) | 0.7 (0) | 1.4 (0) | — | 8.5 (0) | 36.7 (6) | 26.8 (5) | 16.6 (3) | |||
2019 general election | 23.4 (5) | 25.9 (6) | 7.7 (1) | 8.7 (1) | 8.6 (0) | 6.6 (1) | 6.9 (1) | 3.0 (0) | 2.3 (0) | — | 6.9 (0) | 36.6 (7) | 32.0 (5) | 9.0 (1) | |||
2019 EP election | 23.5 (4) | 21.5 3 | 13.2 2 | 10.8 1 | 10.1 2 | 6.2 1 | 5.5 1 | 3.4 0 | 2.2 0 | — | 3.7 0 | — |
Estonia[edit]
Polling execution | Parties | Lead | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Reform Renew | SDE | Centre | EKRE ID | Isamaa EPP | EER G/EFA | Others | Party | EP group | |||||
Norstat | 8-17 Apr 2024 | 1,484 | 19.3 2 | 21.4 2 | 9.4 1 | 17.9 1 | 17.1 1 | 3.9 0 | 0.9 0 | 4.5 0 | 3.0 0 | 2.7 0 | 2.1 | 7.3 | ||
Kantar Emor | 8-17 Apr 2024 | 1,484 | 18.8 2 | 20 2 | 13.8 1 | 13.8 1 | 16.8 1 | 4.7 0 | 1.5 0 | 6 0 | — | 4.5 0 | 1.2 | 12.6 | ||
Norstat | 11-15 Apr 2024 | 3,500 | 20.1 2 | 22.0 2 | 11.0 1 | 17.2 1 | 17.6 1 | 5.0 0 | 1.2 0 | 4.7 0 | — | 1.2 0 | 1.9 | 9.1 | ||
Kantar Emor | 14-20 Mar 2024 | 1,135 | 18.9 2 | 21.4 2 | 13.9 1 | 15.4 1 | 16.7 1 | 5.6 0 | —[k] | 5.9 0 | — | 2.1 0 | 2.5 | 11.4 | ||
2023 parliamentary election | 31.2 3 | 9.3 1 | 15.3 1 | 16.1 1 | 8.2 0 | 13.3 1 | 1.0 0 | 2.3 0 | — | 3.3 0 | 15.1 | 30.4 | ||||
2019 EP election | 26.2 2 | 23.3 2 | 14.4 1 | 12.7 1 | 10.3 1 | 3.2 0 | 1.8 0 | — | — | 8.0 0 | 2.9 | 17.3 |
Finland[edit]
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | KOK EPP | VIHR G/EFA | SDP S&D | PS ECR | KESK Renew | VAS Left | SFP Renew | KD EPP | LIIK NI | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Taloustutkimus[118] | 23–29 Apr 2024 | 2,118 | 21.7 4 | 10.5 2 | 19.7 3 | 14.1 2 | 13.6 2 | 10.5 2 | 4.0 0 | 2.9 0 | 1.0 0 | 2.1 0 | 2.0 |
Verian[119] | 18–25 Mar 2024 | 1,372 | 22 4 | 11 2 | 17 3 | 14 2 | 12 2 | 9 1 | 5 0 | 6 1 | 4 0 | 5 | |
Ipsos[120] | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | 22.5 4 | 9.0 1 | 20.0 4 | 19.0 3 | 10.5 2 | 8.5 1 | 3.5 0 | 3.5 0 | 3.5 0 | 2.5 | |
2023 parliamentary election | 20.8 4 | 7.0 1 | 19.9 3 | 20.1 4 | 11.3 2 | 7.1 1 | 4.3 0 | 4.2 0 | 2.4 0 | 2.9 0 | 0.7 | ||
2019 EP election | 20.8 3 | 16.0 3 | 14.6 2 | 13.8 2 | 13.5 2 | 6.9 1 | 6.3 1 | 4.9 0 | 3.1 0 | 4.8 |
France[edit]
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | LO NI | NPA Left | PCF Left | LFI Left | ND S&D | PS–PP S&D | EELV G/EFA | GE NI | PRG G/EFA[l] | PS diss. | EAC G/EFA | ÉPT Renew | PP G/EFA | PA Left | Ens. Renew | AR | NE EPP | LR EPP | DLF ECR | UPR NI | LP–VIA ECR | RN ID | REC ECR | Others | Lead | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FNC NI | R! NI | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ifop | 3–7 May 2024 | 1,325 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 13 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 16.5 | 1.5 | – | 8 | – | 1 | 1 | 31.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 15 | |
Ifop | 2–6 May 2024 | 1,325 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | 0.5 | 13 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 16 | 1 | – | 8 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 32 | 6 | 0.5 | 16 | |
Elabe | 30 Apr – 3 May 2024 | 1,375 | 1 | 0.5 | 2 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 12 | 8 | – | <0.5 | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 16.5 | 1 | <0.5 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 32 | 5 | 2.5 | 15.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 30 Apr – 3 May 2024 | 2,043 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 14 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 1 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 15 | 2 | <0.5 | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 31 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 16 | |
Ifop | 30 Apr – 3 May 2024 | 1,345 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 13.5 | 6.5 | – | <0.5 | – | 1 | – | – | 2 | 16.5 | 1 | <0.5 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 31.5 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 15 | |
OpinionWay | 29–30 Apr 2024 | 1,075 | <1 | – | 2 | 6 | <1 | 14 | 7 | – | <1 | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 2 | <1 | 7 | – | 1 | 2 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 14 | |
Ifop | 29 Apr – 2 May 2024 | 1,375 | <0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 13.5 | 7 | – | <0.5 | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 16.5 | 1.5 | <0.5 | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 31 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
Cluster17 | 29 Apr – 1 May 2024 | 1,337 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8 | 0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 2 | 15.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 6 | – | 1 | 2 | 29.5 | 5.5 | 2 | 14 | |
OpinionWay | 29–30 Apr 2024 | 1,009 | 1 | – | 4 | 7 | <1 | 14 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | 1 | – | – | 0.5 | 17 | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 12 | |
Ifop | 26–30 Apr 2024 | 1,360 | <0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 7 | 0.5 | 14 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 16 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 31.5 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 15.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 24–26 Apr 2024 | 2,319 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 9 | <0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 16 | 2 | <0.5 | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 31 | 6 | 2 | 15 | |
Ifop | 25–29 Apr 2024 | 1,345 | <0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7 | <0.5 | 14.5 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 16 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 8 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 15.5 | |
Odoxa | 25–26 Apr 2024 | 1,005 | 1.5 | 1 | 2.5 | 7 | <0.5 | 12 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 15.5 | 1.5 | <0.5 | 8 | – | 1 | 1.5 | 32 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 16.5 | |
BVA | 25–26 Apr 2024 | 1,434 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 6.5 | – | 13 | 8 | – | <0.5 | – | 1.5 | – | – | 3 | 17 | 1 | <0.5 | 6 | 1[m] | 1 | 1 | 31 | 5.5 | 1 | 14 | |
Ifop | 23–26 Apr 2024 | 1,345 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 14 | 8 | – | 0.5 | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 16.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 8 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31.5 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 15 | |
OpinionWay | 24–25 Apr 2024 | 1,011 | 1 | – | 3 | 6 | <1 | 14 | 6 | – | <1 | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 18 | 1 | <1 | 7 | – | 1 | 2 | 29 | 8 | 3 | 11 | |
Cluster17 | 23–25 Apr 2024 | 1,164 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 12.5 | 6.5 | – | 1 | – | 0.5 | 1 | – | 2 | 16 | 2 | 0.5 | 6 | – | 1 | 1.5 | 29.5 | 6 | 2 | 13.5 | |
Ifop | 22–25 Apr 2024 | 1,350 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 13 | 8 | – | <0.5 | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 17.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 8 | – | 0.5 | <0.5 | 31 | 5.5 | 1 | 13.5 | |
OpinionWay | 23–24 Apr 2024 | 1,007 | 1 | – | 3 | 8 | <1 | 13 | 7 | – | <1 | – | 1 | – | – | 2 | 18 | 2 | <1 | 6 | – | 1 | 1 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 12 | |
Ifop | 20–24 Apr 2024 | 1,335 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7 | 0.5 | 12.5 | 7.5 | – | <0.5 | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 17.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 8.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 31 | 5.5 | 1 | 13.5 | |
Ipsos | 19–24 Apr 2024 | 10,651 | 0.5 | 1 | 2.5 | 7 | 0.5 | 14 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 1 | <0.5 | 6.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 15 | |
Ifop | 19–23 Apr 2024 | 1,335 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7 | 0.5 | 12 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 2 | – | – | 1.5 | 17 | 1 | 0.5 | 8 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31.5 | 5.5 | 1 | 14.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 19–22 Apr 2024 | 2,319 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | <0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 16 | 2 | 0.5 | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 31 | 6 | 1.5 | 15 | |
Ifop | 18–22 Apr 2024 | 1,339 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 7 | 0.5 | 12 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 2 | – | – | 2 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 8 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 31.5 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
Ifop | 16–19 Apr 2024 | 1,371 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 8 | 0.5 | 11.5 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 1.5 | – | – | 2 | 17.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 8 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 31.5 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 14 | |
OpinionWay | 17–18 Apr 2024 | 1,021 | <1 | – | 3 | 7 | <1 | 13 | 7 | – | <1 | – | 2 | – | – | 1 | 19 | 1 | <1 | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 10 | |
Ifop | 15–18 Apr 2024 | 1,376 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8 | <0.5 | 11.5 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 17.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 8 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 32 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
OpinionWay | 16–17 Apr 2024 | 1,002 | 1 | – | 4 | 8 | <1 | 12 | 6 | – | <1 | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 19 | 2 | <1 | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 10 | |
Ifop | 13–17 Apr 2024 | 1,364 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 11.5 | 7.5 | – | <0.5 | – | 2 | – | – | 1.5 | 17.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 8 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 32.5 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 15 | |
Ifop | 12–16 Apr 2024 | 1,349 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 3 | 7 | <0.5 | 12 | 7.5 | – | <0.5 | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 18 | 1 | 0.5 | 8 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 32.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 12–15 Apr 2024 | 2,005 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | <0.5 | 14 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 16 | 2 | 0.5 | 7 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 30 | 6 | 2.5 | 14 | |
Ifop | 11–15 Apr 2024 | 1,326 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 3 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 12 | 7 | – | <0.5 | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 18 | 1 | 0.5 | 8 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 32.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
Ifop | 9–12 Apr 2024 | 1,347 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | <0.5 | 12.5 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 18 | 1 | <0.5 | 8.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 13.5 | |
Ipsos | 10–11 Apr 2024 | 1,500 | 1 | 0.5 | 3 | 7 | 0.5 | 13 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 16 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 6.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 16 | |
Cluster17 | 9–11 Apr 2024 | 1,164 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 1 | 12 | 6 | – | 1 | – | 0.5 | 1 | – | 1.5 | 17 | 1 | 0.5 | 6 | – | 1.5 | 1.5 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 12 | |
Ifop | 8–11 Apr 2024 | 1,355 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | 0.5 | 12.5 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 18 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 8.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 13 | |
Ifop | 6–10 Apr 2024 | 1,343 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8 | 0.5 | 12 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 18.5 | 1 | <0.5 | 8.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31.5 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 13 | |
Ifop | 5–9 Apr 2024 | 1,335 | 1 | 0.5 | 3 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 12 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 18.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 8 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 32 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 13.5 | |
YouGov | 3–9 Apr 2024 | 1,028 | 2 | – | 2 | 5 | – | 12 | 6 | – | 1[n] | 1 | – | – | 1 | 19 | <1 | – | – | 7 | 2[m] | – | – | 29 | 9 | 2 | 10 | |
Harris Interactive | 5–8 Apr 2024 | 2,018 | 1 | – | 3 | 9 | – | 12 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | 1 | 1 | – | 1 | 17 | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 30 | 6 | 3.5 | 13 | |
Ifop | 4–8 Apr 2024 | 1,343 | 1 | 0.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 11 | 6.5 | – | <0.5 | – | 1 | – | – | 2 | 19 | <0.5 | <0.5 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 13 | |
OpinionWay | 3–5 Apr 2024 | 1,509 | 1 | – | 2 | 7 | – | 12 | 7 | – | <1[n] | 1 | – | – | 2 | 19 | 2 | <1 | 8 | – | 1 | – | 29 | 7 | 2 | 10 | ||
Elabe | 2–4 Apr 2024 | 1,504 | 1.5 | – | 2.5 | 7.5 | – | 12 | 8.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 2 | – | – | 1 | 16.5 | 1 | <0.5 | 7 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 30 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 13.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 28–29 Mar 2024 | 2,220 | 1 | – | 3 | 8 | – | 13 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 17 | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 31 | 6 | 2.5 | 14 | |
BVA | 27–28 Mar 2024 | 1,518 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7 | – | 11 | 6 | – | <0.5 | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 20 | 1 | <0.5 | 8 | 3[m] | 1 | 1 | 30 | 5.5 | 1 | 10 | |
Harris Interactive | 22–25 Mar 2024 | 2,027 | 1 | – | 3 | 7 | – | 12 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 18 | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 30 | 6 | 2 | 12 | |
Ifop | 19–20 Mar 2024 | 1,112 | 0.5 | – | 3 | 6 | – | 11 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 21 | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 30 | 6 | 0.5 | 9 | |
Harris Interactive | 15–18 Mar 2024 | 2,124 | 1 | – | 2 | 8 | – | 13 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 12 | |
OpinionWay | 13–14 Mar 2024 | 1,008 | 1 | – | 2 | 6 | – | 11 | 8 | – | 1[n] | 1 | – | – | 1 | 20 | 1 | – | <1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | – | 27 | 6 | 3 | 7 | |
Cluster17 | 8–9 Mar 2024 | 1,016 | 0.5 | – | 3 | 8 | – | 10 | 8 | – | 0.5 | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 2 | 0.5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | – | 29 | 6 | 2 | 12 | |
Elabe | 5–7 Mar 2024 | 1,504 | 2 | – | 3 | 7.5 | – | 8.5 | 9.5 | – | <0.5 | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 17 | 1 | – | – | 7 | 3 | 0.5 | – | 29.5 | 4.5 | 3 | 12.5 |
YouGov | 26 Feb – 7 Mar 2024 | 1,008 | 1 | – | 2 | 6 | – | 10 | 7 | – | <1[n] | 1 | – | – | 2 | 20 | 1 | – | – | 6 | 3 | – | – | 33 | 5 | 3 | 13 | |
Ipsos | 1–6 Mar 2024 | 11,700 | 1 | 3.5 | 7 | – | 11.5 | 8.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | – | – | 1.5 | 18 | 0.5 | – | – | 7 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31 | 5 | 1.5 | 13 | |
Ipsos | 23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 | 2,000 | – | – | 3.0 | 7 | – | 12.2 | 8.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 18.1 | – | – | – | 7.6 | 2.5 | – | – | 30.7 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 12.6 |
Ifop | 29 Feb – 1 Mar 2024 | 1,348 | 1 | 3.5 | 8 | – | 9 | 8 | – | 1[n] | 1 | – | – | 2 | 19 | <0.5 | 1.5 | <0.5 | 8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 10 | ||
BVA | 27–28 Feb 2024 | 1,344 | 2 | – | 3 | 7 | – | 11 | 7 | – | <0.5 | – | 1.5 | – | <0.5 | 1.5 | 18[o] | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 8 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
Odoxa | 21–22 Feb 2024 | 1,005 | 1.5 | – | 1.5 | 6 | – | 11 | 8.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | – | – | – | 19[p] | 1 | – | – | 8.5 | 4 | – | – | 30 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
Stack Data Strategy | 17–22 Feb 2024 | 744 | 0.5 | 3.1 | 9.9 | – | 9.9 | 5.6 | – | 2.8[n] | 2.6 | – | – | 1.4 | 14.5[q] | – | 1.3 | – | 4.7 | 3.1 | – | – | 31.5 | 6.5 | 3.2 | 16.0 | ||
OpinionWay | 14–15 Feb 2024 | 1,009 | <1 | – | 3 | 7 | – | 10 | 8 | – | 2[n] | 1 | – | – | <1 | 19 | 1 | – | <1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | – | 27 | 8 | 3 | 8 | |
Elabe | 7–9 Feb 2024 | 1,426 | 1.5 | – | 2.5 | 9 | – | 9 | 9.5 | – | <0.5 | – | 2 | – | – | 2 | 16.5 | 1 | – | – | 8 | 3 | 0.5 | – | 27.5 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
Ifop | 7–8 Feb 2024 | 1,356 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 7 | – | 9.5 | 8 | – | 1.5[n] | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 19[p] | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 7 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 29 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 10 | ||
1 | 3 | 7.5 | – | 10.5 | 8.5 | – | 1[n] | 1 | – | – | 1 | 19[q] | 1 | 1 | <0.5 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 1 | <0.5 | 28.5 | 6 | 1.5 | 9.5 | |||||
1 | 3.5 | 8 | – | 10.5 | 8 | – | 1.5[n] | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 18[o] | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 28 | 6 | 1.5 | 10 | |||||
YouGov | 29 Jan – 7 Feb 2024 | 1,001 | 1 | – | 2 | 8 | – | 8 | 8 | – | 1[n] | 1 | – | – | 1 | 19[r] | 1 | – | – | 6 | 2 | – | – | 32 | 8 | 3 | 13 | |
Portland | 24–31 Jan 2024 | 469 | 2 | – | 3 | 6 | – | 9 | 9 | – | 1 | – | – | – | – | – | 14 | 1 | – | – | 8 | 3 | – | – | 33 | 6 | 5 | 19 |
OpinionWay | 17–18 Jan 2024 | 1,019 | 1 | – | 4 | 8 | – | 10 | 6 | – | 2[n] | 1 | – | – | 1 | 20 | <1 | – | <1 | 8 | 2 | – | – | 27 | 7 | 3 | 7 | |
Ifop | 16–17 Jan 2024 | 1,348 | 0.5 | 4 | 7.5 | – | 9.5 | 7 | – | 1.5[n] | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 19[r] | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 6.5 | 2 | <0.5 | 0.5 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 12 | ||
Harris Interactive | 12–15 Jan 2024 | 1,217 | 1 | – | 3 | 7 | – | 11 | 8 | – | 1 | – | 2 | – | – | 1 | 19[r] | 1 | – | – | 8 | 2.5 | – | – | 28 | 6 | 1.5 | 9 |
Ifop | 12–15 Jan 2024 | 875 | 1 | 4 | 6.5 | – | 9 | 9 | – | – | – | 1 | – | – | – | 20[r] | 1 | – | – | 7.5 | 3 | – | – | 30 | 6 | 2 | 10 | |
YouGov | 8–15 Jan 2024 | 1,004 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | – | 8 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20[s] | – | – | – | 6 | 4 | – | – | 30 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
Cluster17 | 13–14 Jan 2024 | 1,209 | 1 | – | 3 | 7.5 | – | 11 | 8 | – | 0.5 | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 18[r] | 1 | – | – | 7 | 3 | – | – | 28.5 | 7 | 2 | 10.5 |
Elabe | 10–12 Jan 2024 | 1,400 | 1.5 | – | 3 | 7.5 | – | 9.5 | 8.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 18[s] | 1 | – | – | 8.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | – | 28.5 | 5 | 3 | 10.5 |
Ifop | 3–5 Jan 2024 | 1,090 | 0.5 | 3 | 6 | – | 10 | 9 | – | 3[n] | 2.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 17[s] | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 8 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 28 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 11 | ||
Odoxa | 13–14 Dec 2023 | 1,004 | 2.5 | – | 3 | 6.5 | – | 9 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | – | – | – | 21[s] | 0.5 | – | – | 9 | 2 | – | – | 31 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
OpinionWay | 13–14 Dec 2023 | – | 1 | – | 3 | 6 | – | 10 | 8 | – | 2[n] | <1 | – | – | 1 | 19 | <1 | – | <1 | 9 | 3 | – | – | 27 | 8 | 3 | 8 | |
Ipsos | 29 Nov – 12 Dec 2023 | 11,691 | 1.5 | 3 | 7.5 | – | 10.5 | 9.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | – | – | – | 20[s] | 0.5 | – | – | 8 | 2.5 | – | – | 28 | 6.5 | 2 | 8 | |
Ifop | 8–11 Dec 2023 | 1,062 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 7 | – | 10 | 8 | – | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | – | 18[s] | 1 | – | – | 7.5 | 2.5 | – | – | 30 | 7.5 | 1 | 12 | |
OpinionWay | 15–16 Nov 2023 | – | 2 | – | 3 | 7 | – | 9 | 8 | – | 3[n] | <1 | – | – | 1 | 19 | <1 | – | – | 8 | 2 | – | – | 28 | 7 | 3 | 9 | |
Ipsos | 9–10 Nov 2023 | 1,412 | 2 | 2 | 8.5 | – | 10 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22[t] | – | – | – | 6 | 2 | – | – | 29 | 6 | 2.5 | 7 | |
2 | 2 | 8.5 | – | 10.5 | 10.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20[s] | – | – | – | 6.5 | 2 | – | – | 29 | 6 | 3 | 9 | ||||
Ifop | 12–13 Oct 2023 | 1,515 | 1 | 5 | 9 | – | 9 | 8 | – | – | – | 2 | – | – | – | 20[s] | – | – | – | 8 | 2 | – | – | 28 | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
1 | 5 | 9 | – | 9 | 9 | – | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | – | 20[u] | – | – | – | 8.5 | 2.5 | – | – | 28 | 5 | 1 | 8 | ||||
Ifop | 30–31 Aug 2023 | 1,126 | 1 | 5 | 10 | – | 9 | 8 | – | – | – | 2 | – | – | – | 21[s] | – | – | – | 8 | 3 | – | – | 25 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 4 | |
2 | 6 | 12[v] | 10 | – | – | – | 2 | – | – | – | 23[s] | – | – | – | 9 | 3 | – | – | 25 | 7 | 2 | 2 | ||||||
1 | 5 | 9[w] | – | 10 | 8 | – | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | – | 21[s] | – | – | – | 9 | 3 | – | – | 25 | 6.5 | 1 | 4 | ||||
Cluster17 | 16–19 Aug 2023 | 1,713 | 1.5 | – | 3 | 22.5 | – | 2.5 | – | 5 | – | – | 2.5 | 20.5[s] | – | – | – | 7 | 3 | – | – | 23 | 7 | 2.5 | 0.5 | |||
1.5 | – | 20.5 | 7.5 | – | 2.5 | – | 3 | – | – | 2.5 | 20[s] | – | – | – | 7 | 3 | – | – | 23.5 | 7 | 2 | 3 | ||||||
1.5 | – | 25[x] | – | 2.5 | – | 4 | – | – | 2.5 | 20[s] | – | – | – | 7.5 | 4 | – | – | 24 | 7 | 2 | 1 | |||||||
1 | – | 25[y] | – | 3 | – | 4 | – | – | 3 | 20[s] | – | – | – | 7.5 | 3.5 | – | – | 24 | 7 | 1.5 | 1 | |||||||
2 | – | 23[z] | – | 3 | – | 4.5 | – | – | 3 | 21[s] | – | – | – | 7.5 | 3 | – | – | 24 | 7 | 2 | 1 | |||||||
2 | – | 25[aa] | – | 2.5 | – | 4.5 | – | – | 2.5 | 20[s] | – | – | – | 7 | 4 | – | – | 24 | 7 | 1.5 | 1 | |||||||
Ifop | 4–5 Jul 2023 | 1,008 | 1 | 4 | 8 | – | 9 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20[s] | – | – | – | 11 | 4 | – | – | 26 | 7 | 1 | 6 | |
Ipsos | 16–26 Jun 2023 | 10,631 | 1.5 | 4 | 8.5 | – | 10 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 21[s] | – | – | – | 9 | 2.5 | – | – | 24 | 6.5 | 3 | 3 | |
2 | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24[s] | – | – | – | 10 | 3 | – | – | 25 | 7 | 5 | 1 | ||||||||
1.5 | 5 | 9.5 | – | 15 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23[s] | – | – | – | 9 | 2.5 | – | – | 25 | 6.5 | 3 | 2 | |||||
Elabe | 19–21 Jun 2023 | 1,397 | 1.5 | 2 | 8.5 | – | 9.5 | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22.5 | – | – | – | 8.5 | 2.5 | – | – | 26 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | |
1.5 | 24.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 26 | – | – | – | 9 | 2.5 | – | – | 27 | 5.5 | 4 | 1 | ||||||||
Cluster17 | 17–19 May 2023 | 1,760 | 2 | 4 | 11 | – | 9 | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 19.5[s] | – | – | – | 7.5 | 3 | – | – | 24 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 | |
2 | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23[s] | – | – | – | 8.5 | 4 | – | – | 25.5 | 7 | 3 | 1.5 | ||||||||
Ifop | 10–11 May 2023 | 1,310 | 1 | 5 | 10 | – | 10 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 19[s] | – | – | – | 8 | 3 | – | – | 25 | 6 | 3 | 6 | |
2 | 26[ab] | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22[s] | – | – | – | 11 | 3 | – | – | 26 | 6 | 4 | Tie | ||||||||
Harris Interactive | 5–9 May 2023 | 1,262 | 2 | 23[ac] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3 | 26 | – | – | – | 13 | 2 | – | – | 21 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||||
1 | 19[ac] | 5 | – | 6 | – | – | – | 3 | 24 | – | – | – | 12 | 2 | – | – | 20 | 5 | 3 | 4 | ||||||||
1 | 3 | 9 | – | 10 | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1 | 23 | – | – | – | 12 | 2 | – | – | 20 | 5 | 3 | 3 | ||||
2019 European election | 26 May 2019 | – | 0.8 | [ad] | 2.5 | 6.3 | 6.2 | 13.5 | 1.8[ae] | [af] | – | [ag] | – | 0.1 | 2.2 | 24.9[ah] | – | – | – | 8.5 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 23.3 | – | 7.1 | 0.9 |
Germany[edit]
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Union EPP | Grüne G/EFA | SPD S&D | AfD ID | Linke Left | FDP Renew | PARTEI NI | FW Renew | Tiersch. Left | ÖDP G/EFA | FAM EPP | Volt G/EFA | PIRAT G/EFA | BSW NI–Left | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
INSA | 25–26 Apr 2024 | 1,202 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 4 | 4 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 7 | 12 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23–25 Apr 2024 | 1,228 | 30 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 13 | 13 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 9–11 Apr 2024 | 1,254 | 30 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 12 | 14 |
INSA | 5–8 Apr 2024 | 2,100 | 28.5 | 11.5 | 16.5 | 19 | 4 | 5 | — | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 4 | 9.5 |
Ipsos | 23 Feb–02 Mar 2024 | 2,613 | 29 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 4 | 12 |
Forsa | 12–13 Mar 2024 | 1,008 | 34 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 2 | 3 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 9 | 18 |
INSA | 8–11 Mar 2024 | 2,100 | 28.5 | 11 | 16 | 20 | 4.5 | 6 | 1 | 2.5 | 2 | — | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 8.5 |
Ipsos | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 2,613 | 29 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 4 | 4 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 4[ai] | 12 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 24–29 Feb 2024 | 1,900 | 31.5 | 16 | 12 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | — | — | — | — | 7.5 | 4.5 | 15.5 |
Stack Data Strategy | 17–22 Feb 2024 | 980 | 25.5 | 9.8 | 16.5 | 15.1 | 2.7 | 6.0 | 3.2 | 4.1 | 3.1 | — | — | 1.3 | 1.2 | 9.3 | 3.4 | 9.0 |
INSA | 8–12 Feb 2024 | 2,101 | 27 | 10.5 | 16 | 22 | 4.5 | 3 | 1 | 3.5 | 3 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 5 |
Portland | 24–31 Jan 2024 | 555 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 12 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 11–18 Jan 2024 | 1,440 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 23 | 3 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 1.5 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 4.5 | 5 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 1–7 Dec 2023 | 1,440 | 31 | 12 | 10 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 3 | 6 |
INSA | 31 Jul 2023 | 1,001 | 26 | 15 | 19 | 23 | 5 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 3 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 7–14 Jul 2023 | 1,040 | 23 | 13.5 | 15 | 22 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | — | — | — | — | 8.5 | 5.5 | 1 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 15–16 Dec 2022 | 1,100 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 18.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 2 | 3.5 | 2.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.5 | 1 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 24–26 Feb 2022 | 1,722 | 22 | 19.5 | 22.5 | 12.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.5 | 0.5 |
2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 24.1 | 14.7 | 25.7 | 10.4 | 4.9 | 11.4 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.2 | — | 0.4 | 0.4 | — | 2.9 | 1.6 |
2019 European election | 26 May 2019 | – | 28.9 | 20.5 | 15.8 | 11.0 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | — | 3.8 | 8.4 |
Greece[edit]
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | ND EPP | SYRIZA Left | PASOK S&D | KKE NI | XA[aj] NI | EL ECR | MeRA25 Left | PE NI | R NI | Antarsya NI | SP NI | NIKI NI | FL NI | NA Left | DIMO Renew | COS G/EFA | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marc/Proto Thema[121] | 18–25 Apr 2024 | 1,049 | 33.4 | 14.7 | 11.4 | 8.5 | — | 9.8 | 2.4 | 5.4 | — | — | 2.4 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 1.7 | — | 2.2 | 18.7 |
GPO/Parapolitika[122] | 17–22 Apr 2024 | 1,400 | 33.6 | 16.3 | 13.5 | 8.8 | — | 9.1 | 2.1 | 3.1 | — | — | 2.4 | 3.4 | — | 2.7 | 2.2 | — | 2.8 | 17.3 |
Metron Analysis/Mega[123] | 10–16 Apr 2024 | 1,304 | 32.3 | 15.4 | 12.0 | 9.8 | — | 8.3 | 1.6 | 4.2 | — | — | 2.5 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 16.9 |
Prorata/Attica[124] | 5–10 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 29.5 | 15.0 | 12.7 | 9.2 | — | 9.8 | 2.3 | 4.6 | — | — | 1.7 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 14.5 |
Opinion Poll/Action 24[125] | 8–10 Apr 2024 | 1,006 | 32.1 | 15.0 | 12.4 | 8.5 | — | 10.7 | 1.3 | 3.7 | — | — | 2.6 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 3.2 | 3.0 | — | 2.3 | 17.1 |
Interview/Politic[126][127] | 4–8 Apr 2024 | 2,355 | 27.7 | 16.1 | 12.7 | 6.9 | — | 11.8 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 1.7 | — | 1.2 | 4.3 | 2.3 | 4.7 | 2.2 | — | 3.2 | 11.6 |
Alco/Alpha[128] | 2–5 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 29.9 | 14.3 | 13.3 | 9.4 | — | 9.6 | 2.3 | 4.1 | — | — | 2.7 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 3.0 | 2.2 | — | 3.5 | 15.6 |
Palmos Analysis/Eleftheros Typos[129] | 1–4 Apr 2024 | 1,008 | 31.8 | 14.1 | 13.0 | 9.4 | — | 10.3 | — | 4.2 | — | — | 3.3 | 3.5 | — | 4.0 | — | — | 6.6 | 17.7 |
GPO/Parapolitika[130] | 1–3 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 33.4 | 15.9 | 14.2 | 9.0 | — | 9.5 | 1.8 | 3.0 | — | — | 2.2 | 3.3 | — | 2.2 | 2.2 | — | 3.3 | 17.5 |
MRB/Open[131] | 1–3 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 31.5 | 15.9 | 13.4 | 8.1 | — | 9.9 | 1.9 | 4.3 | — | — | 2.1 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 1.6 | — | 2.3 | 15.6 |
Pulse RC/Skai[132] | 1–3 Apr 2024 | 1,105 | 33.0 | 15.0 | 12.5 | 8.5 | — | 9.0 | 2.5 | 3.5 | — | — | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 1.8 | — | 2.9 | 18.0 |
Opinion Poll/Action24[133] | 15–20 Mar 2024 | 1,010 | 34.4 | 13.4 | 12.5 | 9.4 | — | 10.1 | 1.9 | 2.9 | — | — | 2.5 | 4.3 | — | 2.9 | 2.8 | — | 2.8 | 21.0 |
Metron Analysis/Mega[134] | 12–19 Mar 2024 | 1,317 | 31.4 | 15.1 | 13.0 | 10.1 | — | 9.7 | 1.9 | 4.3 | — | 0.6 | 2.0 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 16.3 |
Good Affairs/To Vima[135] | 12–14 Mar 2024 | 3,229 | 30.8 | 13.1 | 12.9 | 8.2 | — | 9.8 | 2.2 | 2.1 | — | — | 2.2 | 3.6 | — | 2.5 | 2.9 | — | 1.5 | 17.7 |
Marc/Proto Thema[136] | 11–14 Mar 2024 | 1,086 | 36.2 | 13.4 | 12.6 | 9.4 | — | 9.2 | 2.4 | 3.1 | — | — | 2.6 | 2.8 | — | 2.6 | 2.1 | — | 3.7 | 22.8 |
GPO/Star[137] | 11–13 Mar 2024 | 1,200 | 34.8 | 14.3 | 13.9 | 9.5 | — | 8.0 | 2.3 | 2.9 | — | — | 1.8 | 3.4 | — | 3.0 | 2.6 | — | 3.5 | 20.5 |
Interview/Politic[138] | 7–11 Mar 2024 | 2,250 | 29.1 | 14.4 | 12.4 | 7.1 | — | 12.0 | — | 2.5 | — | — | 1.8 | 4.6 | — | 4.9 | — | — | 11.3 | 14.7 |
Alco/Alpha[139] | 1–6 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | 32.8 | 12.7 | 14.1 | 10.8 | — | 7.9 | 2.8 | 3.6 | — | — | 2.9 | 4.5 | — | 3.4 | — | — | 4.0 | 18.7 |
Ipsos/Euronews[140] | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | 35.0 | 13.6 | 13.4 | 9.0 | — | 8.7 | <3.0 | 3.2 | — | — | 2.9 | 4.0 | — | 3.3 | — | — | 3.9 | 21.4 |
Pulse RC/Skai[141] | 27 Feb–1 Mar 2024 | 1,106 | 35.5 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 9.0 | — | 8.5 | 2.5 | 3.0 | — | — | 3.0 | 4.0 | — | 3.0 | — | — | 3.5 | 21.5 |
GPO/Parapolitika[142] | 26–29 Feb 2024 | 1,000 | 36.4 | 13.5 | 14.4 | 10.7 | — | 8.2 | 2.4 | 2.7 | — | — | 2.2 | 3.4 | — | 2.9 | — | — | 3.2 | 22.0 |
Opinion Poll/Action24[143] | 21–27 Feb 2024 | 1,504 | 33.9 | 11.9 | 13.9 | 10.1 | — | 10.2 | 2.6 | 3.5 | — | — | 2.7 | 4.2 | — | 3.3 | — | — | 3.7 | 20.0 |
Opinion Poll/Action24[144] | 13–16 Feb 2024 | 1,004 | 34.3 | 12.5 | 14.6 | 9.4 | — | 9.5 | 2.4 | 3.7 | — | — | 2.7 | 3.8 | — | 3.3 | — | — | 3.8 | 19.7 |
Interview/Politic[145] | 6–12 Feb 2024 | 2,155 | 33.3 | 14.2 | 12.8 | 8.3 | — | 9.1 | — | 2.6 | — | — | 2.1 | 5.1 | — | 5.1 | — | — | 9.7 | 19.1 |
Alco/Alpha[146] | 1–7 Feb 2024 | 1,201 | 34.5 | 12.6 | 15.0 | 11.2 | — | 7.5 | 2.2 | 3.1 | — | — | 2.8 | 3.9 | — | 2.6 | — | — | 4.3 | 19.5 |
GPO/Star[147] | 20–25 Jan 2024 | 1,100 | 38.8 | 14.0 | 14.2 | 9.6 | — | 7.2 | 2.7 | 2.6 | — | — | 2.2 | 3.3 | — | 3.0 | — | — | 2.4 | 24.6 |
MRB/Open[148] | 22–24 Jan 2024 | 1,000 | 36.1 | 12.1 | 12.1 | 9.3 | — | 9.5 | 2.8 | 4.0 | — | — | 2.8 | 3.7 | — | 2.7 | — | — | 4.8 | 24.0 |
Marc/Ant1[149] | 17–23 Jan 2024 | 1,092 | 37.1 | 12.6 | 16.8 | 9.4 | — | 7.0 | 2.9 | 3.0 | — | — | 3.1 | 3.1 | — | 2.4 | — | — | 2.6 | 20.3 |
Interview/Politic[150] | 10–15 Jan 2024 | 2,388 | 31.5 | 14.1 | 14.2 | 10.8 | — | 8.0 | — | 2.3 | — | — | 2.6 | 5.2 | — | 4.1 | — | — | 7.2 | 17.3 |
Prorata/Attica[151] | 5–9 Jan 2024 | 1,000 | 36.6 | 12.8 | 15.9 | 11.0 | — | 6.1 | 1.8 | 3.0 | — | — | 3.7 | 3.7 | — | 3.7 | — | — | 1.8 | 20.7 |
Alco/Alpha[152] | 2–5 Jan 2024 | 1,002 | 35.3 | 13.8 | 14.3 | 11.3 | — | 6.9 | 2.4 | 3.3 | — | — | 3.2 | 3.3 | — | 2.7 | — | — | 3.6 | 21.0 |
Interview/Politic[153] | 4–8 Dec 2023 | 2,356 | 34.0 | 16.1 | 14.4 | 7.9 | — | 7.6 | — | 3.0 | — | — | 2.3 | 3.8 | — | 2.9 | — | — | 7.9 | 17.9 |
GPO/Parapolitika[154] | 5–7 Dec 2023 | 1,000 | 41.7 | 12.1 | 13.5 | 10.3 | — | 6.6 | 1.9 | 2.1 | — | — | 3.4 | 2.4 | — | 3.7 | — | — | 2.3 | 28.3 |
June 2023 parliamentary election | 25 June 2023 | – | 40.6 | 17.8 | 11.8 | 7.7 | — | 4.4 | 2.5 | 3.2 | — | 0.3 | 4.7 | 3.7 | 0.4 | — | — | — | 2.9 | 22.8 |
May 2023 parliamentary election | 21 May 2023 | – | 40.8 | 20.1 | 11.5 | 7.2 | — | 4.4 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.5 | — | 2.9 | — | — | — | — | 6.3 | 20.7 |
2019 parliamentary election | 7 July 2019 | – | 39.9 | 31.5 | 8.3 | 5.3 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.3[ak] | — | — | — | — | — | 1.3 | 8.4 |
2019 election | 26 May 2019 | – | 33.1 | 23.8 | 7.7 | 5.4 | 4.9 | 4.2 | 3.0[al] | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.5[ak] | — | — | — | — | — | 13.7 | 9.3 |
Hungary[edit]
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Fidesz-KDNP NI–EPP | Momentum Renew | DK S&D | MSZP S&D | P G/EFA | LMP G/EFA | Jobbik NI | MMN EPP | Our Homeland NI | MKKP G/EFA | MEMO NI | NP NI | 2RK NI | TISZA EPP | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nézőpont | 29 Apr - 2 May 2024 | 1,000 | 48 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | – | 0 | 3 | 21 | – | 27 | ||
Publicus | 26-30 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 42 | 3 | 24 | 1 | 1 | – | 4 | 2 | – | – | – | 23 | – | 18 | ||
Medián | 26-29 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 45 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | – | 1 | 2 | 25 | – | 20 | ||
Iránytű | 17–19 Apr 2024 | 1,073 | 50 | 3 | 10 | – | 1 | – | 3 | 4 | – | – | 2 | 26 | 1 | 24 | ||
9–12 Apr 2024 | 53 | 3 | 9 | – | 2 | – | 6 | 4 | – | – | 1 | 20 | 2 | 33 | ||||
Závecz Research | 4–11 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 33 | 7 | 26 | 3 | 1 | – | 8 | 5 | – | – | – | 14 | 3 | 7 | ||
Nézőpont | 2–4 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 47 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | – | 2 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 34 | ||
Ipsos | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 1,025 | 47.6 13 | 7.2 1 | 16.5 4 | – | – | 2.6 0 | 2.8 0 | 3.0 0 | 9.6 2 | 4.2 0 | 2.0 0 | – | – | – | 4.7 | 31.1 |
Nézőpont | 26–28 Feb 2024 | 1,000 | 47 13 | 7 1 | 14 3 | 2 0 | 2 0 | 2 0 | 2 0 | 4 0 | 8 2 | 8 2 | – | 1 0 | 4 0 | – | – | 33 |
21 Kutatóközpont | 22–26 Feb 2024 | 1,200 | 44 | 9 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | – | 1 | 2 | – | – | 26[am] |
44 | 9 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 | – | 3 | 3 | – | – | 27[an] | |||
Republikon | Jun 2023 | – | 46 | 7 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 6 | – | 9 | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | 27 | |
Nézőpont | 15–17 May 2023 | 1,000 | 51 | 9 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | – | 6 | 3 | – | – | – | – | 4 | 35 |
Závecz Research | 28 Apr–5 May 2023 | 1,000 | 46 | 8 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | – | 7 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 27 |
Nézőpont | 2–4 Jan 2023 | 1,000 | 56 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | – | 4 | – | – | – | – | 6 | 42 |
2022 parliamentary election | 3 Apr 2022 | – | 54.1 | 34.4 | 5.9 | 3.3 | 1.0 | – | – | – | 1.3 | 19.7 | ||||||
2019 election | 26 May 2019 | – | 52.6 | 9.9 | 16.1 | 6.6 | 2.2 | 6.3 | – | 3.3 | 2.6 | – | – | – | – | 0.4 | 36.5 |
Italy[edit]
Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size | Lega ID | PD S&D | M5S NI | FI EPP | NM EPP | FdI ECR | AVS Left–G/EFA | PTD[ao] Left | SUE | A Renew | DSP NI | Italexit NI | Libertà NI | Others | Lead | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
+E Renew | IV Renew | ||||||||||||||||||
17–22 Apr | SWG | 1,200 | 8.5 | 20.0 | 15.9 | 8.4 | 26.8 | 4.3 | 2.1 | 4.7 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 6.8 | ||||
17–19 Apr | Quorum | 801 | 7.2 | 20.5 | 16.5 | 7.6 | 27.8 | 4.4 | 1.9 | 5.0 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 4.2 | 7.3 | |||||
17–18 Apr | Demos | 1,005 | 8.5 | 20.2 | 16.4 | 8.0 | 28.0 | 4.2 | 4.1 | 4.0 | 6.6 | 7.8 | |||||||
16–18 Apr | Termometro Politico | 4,100 | 8.5 | 19.7 | 16.1 | 8.3 | 27.5 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 7.8 | ||||
16–17 Apr | Eumetra | 8.5 | 19.7 | 16.4 | 8.3 | 27.4 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 5.1 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 7.7 | |||||
10–15 Apr | SWG | 1,200 | 8.6 | 19.4 | 16.0 | 8.4 | 27.2 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 5.2 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 7.8 | ||||
13 Apr | Tecnè | 7.9 | 19.8 | 16.2 | 10.1 | 27.3 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 5.5 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 7.5 | ||||||
8–12 Apr | Ixè | 1,000 | 8.0 | 19.9 | 16.4 | 8.4 | 26.6 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 6.4 | 6.7 | |||||
9–11 Apr | Termometro Politico | 3,700 | 8.8 | 19.5 | 15.6 | 8.0 | 27.8 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 5.1 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 8.3 | ||||
8–9 Apr | Demopolis | 2,000 | 8.0 | 20.0 | 15.8 | 8.7 | 27.0 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 4.6 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 7.0 | |||||
3–8 Apr | SWG | 1,200 | 8.8 | 19.8 | 15.6 | 7.8 | 26.9 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 5.3 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3.4 | 7.1 | ||||
8 Apr | Euromedia | 800 | 8.7 | 19.7 | 17.6 | 8.5 | 26.9 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 4.4 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 7.2 | |||||
5 Apr 2024 | EMG | – | 7.8 | 20.2 | 16.7 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 27.2 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 6.2 | 3.2 | 4.2 | 7.0 | |||||
4–5 Apr | Quorum | 801 | 7.5 | 19.8 | 16.0 | 7.8 | 27.7 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 4.7 | 7.9 | |||||
2–4 Apr | EMG | 1,000 | 7.8 | 20.2 | 16.7 | 9.0 | 27.2 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 6.2 | 3.2 | 5.2 | 7.0 | ||||||
28–30 Mar | BiDiMedia | 2,000 | 8.3 | 20.2 | 16.6 | 7.1 | 27.1 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 5.1 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 6.9 | ||||
27 Mar 2024 | Euromedia | 800 | 8.8 | 19.3 | 17.5 | 8.0 | 0.7 | 27.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 4.7 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 8.2[ap] | ||||
8.7 | 19.5 | 17.5 | 8.3 | 0.6 | 27.9 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 4.8 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 8.5[aq] | |||||||
19–25 Mar 2024 | Ipsos | 1,000 | 8.0 | 20.5 | 16.1 | 8.7 | 0.7 | 27.5 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 7.0 | ||
20 Mar 2024 | Ipsos | – | 8.2 | 19.0 | 17.4 | 8.2 | 27.0 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 7.1 | 8.0 | ||||||
19 Mar 2024 | Noto | – | 8.0 | 19.0 | 17.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 28.0 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 9.0[ap] | |||||
7.0 | 20.0 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 30.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 10.0[aq] | ||||||||
11 Mar 2024 | Euromedia | 800 | 8.7 | 19.7 | 17.2 | 7.7 | 0.7 | 28.0 | 3.9 | 2.7 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 8.3[ap] | |||||
8.6 | 20.2 | 16.9 | 8.2 | 0.4 | 28.7 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 3.8 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 8.5[aq] | ||||||||
7 Mar 2024 | Noto | – | 8.0 | 19.5 | 16.5 | 7.5 | 2.0 | 27.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 7.5[ap] | |||||
7.5 | 20.5 | 16.5 | 8.0 | 1.5 | 29.0 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 8.5[aq] | ||||||||
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 | Ipsos | 1,503 | 8.2 | 19.0 | 17.4 | 8.2 | 27.0 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 7.1 | 8.0 | ||||||
28 Feb – 1 Mar 2024 | Quorum | 803 | 8.1 | 19.9 | 15.9 | 6.6 | 0.7 | 27.1 | 4.6 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 4.9 | 7.2 | ||||
28 Feb 2024 | Euromedia | 800 | 8.6 | 19.6 | 17.0 | 7.9 | 1.4 | 27.6 | 4.0 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 4.3 | 3.9 | 8.0[ap] | |||||
8.7 | 20.0 | 17.2 | 8.5 | 1.2 | 28.1 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 2.4 | 8.1[aq] | ||||||||
26–28 Feb 2024 | Bidimedia | 1,000 | 8.5 | 20.0 | 15.5 | 7.5 | 0.8 | 28.1 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 8.1 | ||
25–28 Feb 2024 | Cluster17 | 1,022 | 9.1 | 19.7 | 16.0 | 7.6 | 0.4 | 27.3 | 4.6 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 7.6 | ||
20–22 Feb 2024 | Ipsos | 1,000 | 8.3 | 18.3 | 17.0 | 7.9 | 1.1 | 28.2 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 3.6 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 9.9 | ||
17–22 Feb 2024 | Stack Data Strategy | 944 | 8.7 | 19.9 | 15.5 | 6.6 | 0.9 | 27.1 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 4.2 | 4.9 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 7.3 | |||
21 Feb 2024 | Noto | – | 8.0 | 19.5 | 18.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 27.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 8.0 | |||||
30 Jan – 1 Feb 2024 | Termometro Politico | 3,800 | 9.4 | 19.6 | 16.2 | 6.8 | 29.1 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 9.5 | |||
30–31 Jan 2024 | Demopolis | – | 9.0 | 20.0 | 15.8 | 7.2 | 28.0 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 3.8 | 8.1 | 8.0 | ||||||
24–31 Jan 2024 | Portland | 502 | 7.0 | 21.0 | 16.0 | 10.0 | 28.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0[ar] | 7.0 | ||||
24–27 Jan 2024 | BiDiMedia | 1,000 | 9.0 | 19.3 | 16.1 | 6.6 | 1.0 | 28.6 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 9.3 | ||
25–26 Jan 2024 | Quorum | 803 | 9.3 | 19.2 | 13.6 | 6.5 | 1.6 | 28.4 | 4.3 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 6.4 | 9.2 | ||||
22–24 Jan 2024 | Winpoll | 1,000 | 9.1 | 21.5 | 14.6 | 7.8 | 27.8 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 5.3[as] | 6.3 | ||||
12–22 Jan 2024 | Euromedia | 800 | 8.4 | 19.5 | 17.8 | 7.5 | 0.3 | 28.5 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 3.6 | 9.0[ap] | ||||
8.2 | 19.0 | 18.1 | 7.2 | 0.3 | 29.3 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 2.9 | 9.3[aq] | |||||||
16 Jan 2024 | Noto | – | 8.0 | 19.5 | 17.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 28.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 8.5[at] | |||||
6.5 | 20.0 | 17.0 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 32.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 12.0[aq] | ||||||||
15–16 Jan 2024 | Tecnè | 800 | 8.4 | 19.8 | 15.6 | 9.2 | 29.0 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 11.2 | 9.2[ap] | ||||||||
8.3 | 19.5 | 15.6 | 9.3 | 29.3 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 11.0 | 9.8[aq] | |||||||||||
4 Jan 2024 | IZI | 1,068 | 9.3 | 19.5 | 17.0 | 7.4 | 27.1 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 6.0 | 7.6 | ||||||
30 Dec – 4 Jan 2024 | Lab2101 | 1,000 | 10.2 | 19.8 | 16.2 | 5.8 | 0.7 | 29.4 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 9.6 | ||||
25 Sep 2022 | 2022 general election | – | 8.8 | 19.0 | 15.4 | 8.1 | 0.9 | 26.0 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 2.8 | 7.8 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 4.3 | 7.0 | |||
26 May 2019 | 2019 European election | – | 34.3 | 22.7 | 17.1 | 8.8 | 6.4 | 4.1* | w. LS | 3.1 | 0.9 | 4.5 | 7.6 | ||||||
(*) Combined results for Green Europe (EV) and The Left (LS). |
Ireland[edit]
Last date of polling | Polling firm / Commissioner | Sample size | SF Left | FF Renew | FG EPP | GP G/EFA | Lab S&D | SD | PBP–S | Aon | O/I[au] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 April 2024 | The Journal/Ireland Thinks[155] | 1,334 | 23 | 17 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 |
7 February 2024 | The Journal/Ireland Thinks[156] | 1,255 | 26 | 19 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | – [av] | 19 |
8 February 2020 | 2020 general election | — | 24.5 | 22.2 | 20.9 | 7.1 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 13.5 |
24 May 2019 | 2019 EP election | — | 11.7 | 16.6 | 29.6 | 11.4 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 2.3 | – [aw] | 24.1 |
Latvia[edit]
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | JV EPP | S S&D | NA ECR | LA Renew | Par! Renew | ZZS | AS | JKP | PRO G/EFA | TZV | CP | TVS | S! | LPV | SV | AJ | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SKDS/LTV[157] | March 2024 | 1.505 | 16.6 (1) | 10.1 (1) | 17.1 (2) | 8.9 (1) | 1.5 | 3.4 | 6.1 (1) | 3.5 | 9.6 (1) | 0.2 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 6.4 (1) | 8.2 (1) | 3.8 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
SKDS/LTV[158] | 10-14 February 2024 | 1,505 | 17.9 (2) | 9.1 (1) | 16.5 (1) | 9.2 (1) | 0.6 | 4.0 | 7.4 (1) | 3.5 | 8.9 (1) | 0.8 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 7.5 (1) | 6.6 (1) | 3.2 | 2.3 | 1.4 |
2019 election | 25 May 2019 | – | 26.4 (2) | 17.6 (2) | 16.5 (2) | 12.5 (1) | 5.6 (0) | 5.0 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 6.8 (1)[ax] | 0.2 | 8.7 |
Lithuania[edit]
Pollster | Fieldwork dates | Sample size | TS–LKD | LVŽS | DP | LSDP | LP | LRLS | LRP | LT | DSVL | Others[ay] | DK/WV[az] | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Baltijos tyrimai | 10-21 April 2024 | 1,020 | 8.4 2 | 6.8 1 | 5.2 1 | 15.9 3 | 2.4 0 | 3.9 1 | 3.0 1 | 1.6 0 | 7.8 2 | 3.7[ba] 0 | 41.3 | 7.5 |
Malta[edit]
It is not uncommon for smaller parties to be grouped together in polls, or totally excluded by Maltese media houses, who typically align with government or opposition. Where it comes to the third parties and independents, they have always outperformed opinion polling.
Dates Conducted | Polling firm | Sample size | PL S&D | EPP | ABBA | IND/ Others | Lead | Not voting[bb] | Don't know/ Invalid[bb] | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15–24 April 2024 | MaltaToday | 656 | 50.7 | 44.2 | 5.1 | 6.5 | 29 | – | ||||
1–13 April 2024 | Esprimi | 600 | 45.4 | 38.0 | 3.2 | 13.4 | 7.4 | – | 41.0 | |||
7 March - 21 March 2024 | MaltaToday | 657 | 52.8 | 42.6 | 4.6 | 10.2 | 23.4 | – | ||||
27 Feb –12 Mar 2024 | Esprimi/Times of Malta | 600 | 52.4 | 39.3 | 8.3 | 13.1 | 33 | |||||
26 Jan –05 Feb 2024 | MaltaToday | 647 | 47.9 | 41.0 | 11.1 | 6.9 | 37.5 | |||||
26 Mar 2022 | 2022 Maltese general election | – | 55.1 | 41.7 | n/a | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 13.4 | 24.4 | 2.9 |
25 May 2019 | 2019 European Parliament election in Malta | – | 54.3 | 37.9 | 3.17 | 2.7[bc] | 0.5[bd] | n/a | 1.2 | 16.4 | 27.3 | 2.6 |
Netherlands[edit]
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Total | GL–PvdA | VVD Renew | CDA EPP | FvD NI | D66 Renew | SGP ECR | CU EPP | PvdD Left | 50PLUS Renew | PVV ID | SP Left | Volt G/EFA | DENK NI | JA21 ECR | BBB EPP | NSC EPP | Others | Lead | Ref | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PvdA S&D | GL G/EFA | ||||||||||||||||||||||
I&O Research | 12–15 Apr 2024 | 2,182 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | [159] | |
I&O Research | 22–25 Mar 2024 | 1,586 | 31 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | [160] | |
Ipsos | 23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 | 1,890 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | [161] | |
2019 election | 23 May 2019 | – | 26 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | – | 0 | 2 |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | GL–PvdA | VVD Renew | CDA EPP | FvD NI | D66 Renew | SGP ECR | CU EPP | PvdD Left | 50PLUS Renew | PVV ID | SP Left | Volt G/EFA | DENK NI | JA21 ECR | BBB EPP | NSC EPP | Others | Lead | Ref | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PvdA S&D | GL G/EFA | |||||||||||||||||||||
I&O Research | 12–15 Apr 2024 | 2,182 | 18.7% | 12.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | – | 22.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | – | 1.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 3.3% | [159] | |
I&O Research | 22–25 Mar 2024 | 1,586 | 18.6% | 14.1% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | – | 25.1% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | – | 6.5% | [160] | |
Ipsos | 23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 | 1,890 | 16.0% | 12.7% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | – | 22.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | – | – | 4.5% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | [161] | |
Portland | 24–31 Jan 2024 | 535 | 17% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 25% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 1% | 8% | [162] | |
2023 parliamentary election | 22 Nov 2023 | – | 15.8% | 15.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 23.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 4.6% | 12.9% | 1.4% | 7.7% | ||
2023 provincial elections | 15 Mar 2023 | – | 8.4%[be] | 9.0% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 3.9%[bf] | 4.8% | 2.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 4.4% | 19.2% | – | 4.7% | 8.0% | |
2021 parliamentary election | 15–17 Mar 2021 | – | 5.7% | 5.2% | 21.9% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 15.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | – | 2.8% | 6.9% | |
2019 election | 23 May 2019 | – | 19.0% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | – | – | – | 0.5% | 4.4% |
Poland[edit]
Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | United Right ECR | Third Way EPP–Ren. | Civic Coalition EPP–G/EFA–Ren. | The Left S&D | Confederation NI | Others | Don't know | Lead | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Law and Justice | Kukiz'15 | SLD | Spring | Left Together | |||||||||
OGB | 22–25 Apr 2024 | 804 | 32.66 18 | 13.81 7 | 33.21 18 | 5.57 3 | 12.30 7 | 2.45 0 | 0.55 | ||||
Ipsos / Euronews | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | 29.2 | 16.5 | 31.3 | 8.4 | 13.9 | 2.1 | |||||
Opinia24 / TOK FM | 26–28 Feb 2024 | 1,002 | 22 | 11 | 31 | 11 | 10 | 3[bg] | 11 | 9 | |||
Opinia24 / More In Common Polska | 2–13 Feb 2024 | 2,027 | 29.0 | 14.0 | 33.5 | 8.5 | 7.5 | 1.3 | 6.2 | 4.5 | |||
Portland Communications | 24–31 Jan 2024 | 632 | 29 | 16 | 35 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 6 | ||||
Parliamentary election | 15 Oct 2023 | 21,596,674[bh] | 35.38 | 14.40 | 30.70 | 8.61 | 7.16 | 3.71 | 4.68 | ||||
Parliamentary election | 13 Oct 2019 | 18,678,457[bi] | 43.59 | 8.55 | 27.40 | 12.56 | 6.81 | 1.09 | 16.19 | ||||
European election | 26 May 2019 | 13,647,311[bj] | 45.38 27 | 3.69 0 | 38.47 22 | 6.06 3 | 1.24 0 | 4.55 0 | 0.60 | 6.91 | |||
Portugal[edit]
Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | O | Lead | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
S&D | EPP | EPP | NI | ID | Left | Left | G/EFA | G/EFA | Renew | ||||||
Intercampus[bk] | 18–23 Apr 2024 | 605 | ? | 33.4 8 | 28.2 7 | 13.0 3 | 7.4 1 | 3.3 0 | 1.3 0 | 5.8 1 | 4.4 1 | 3.3 0 | 5.2 | ||
Aximage | 12–16 Apr 2024 | 805 | 58.0 | 31.3 7/8 | 24.8 6 | 18.4 4 | 5.9 1 | 4.1 1 | 1.8 0 | 3.6 0/1 | 5.8 1 | 4.3 0 | 6.5 | ||
2024 legislative elections | 10 Mar 2024 | — | 59.8 | 28.0 (7) | 28.8 (8) | 18.1 (4) | 4.4 (1) | 3.2 (0) | 1.9 (0) | 3.2 (0) | 4.9 (1) | 7.5 (0) | 0.8 | ||
Ipsos | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 2,000 | ? | 29.6 8 | 31.0 8 | 3.4 0 | – | 14.2 3 | 4.4 1 | 2.3 0 | 2.1 0 | 3.6 0 | 4.5 1 | 4.9 0 | 1.4 |
2022 legislative elections | 30 Jan 2022 | — | 51.5 | 41.4 (10) | 29.1 (7) | 1.6 (0) | 0.0 (0) | 7.2 (1) | 4.4 (1) | 4.3 (1) | 1.6 (0) | 1.3 (0) | 4.9 (1) | 4.7 (0) | 11.5 |
2019 legislative elections | 6 Oct 2019 | — | 48.6 | 36.3 (10) | 27.8 (7) | 4.2 (1) | 0.2 (0) | 1.3 (0) | 9.5 (2) | 6.3 (1) | 3.3 (0) | 1.1 (0) | 1.3 (0) | 8.8 (0) | 8.5 |
2019 EP election | 26 May 2019 | — | 30.7 | 33.4 9 | 21.9 6 | 6.2 1 | 1.5 0 | 9.8 2 | 6.9 2 | 5.1 1 | 1.8 0 | 0.9 0 | 12.5 0 | 11.5 | |
Romania[edit]
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | CNR | PUSL S&D | AUR | ADU | PRO S&D | UDMR EPP | AER | AD ECR | S.O.S. ID | REPER Renew | Others | Lead | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PNL EPP | PSD S&D | PNȚCD ECR | AUR ECR | FD EPP | PMP EPP | USR Renew | PER NI | PV G/EFA | |||||||||||
INSCOP | 12–20 April 2024 | 1,100 | 46.6 | 1.5 | — | 16.7 | 13.8 | 2.7 | 5.1 | 2.4 | 2.0 | — | 4.5 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 29.9 | |||
AtlasIntel | 5-9 April 2024 | 1,764 | 31.6 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 19.9 | 24.6 | 3 | 4.9 | 2 | — | — | 8 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 7 | |||
CSPS | 1-7 April 2024 | 4,085 | 27.2 | — | — | 30.2 | 23.4 | — | 4.8 | — | — | — | 2.8 | 5.8 | 5.7 | 3 | |||
Sociopol | 26 March-2 April 2024 | 1,002 | 47 | 5 | — | 23 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 2 | — | — | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | |||
CURS | 19-28 March 2024 | 1,067 | 53 | 4 | — | 14 | 14 | — | 5 | — | — | — | 5 | — | 5 | 39 | |||
CSPS | 17-29 March 2024 | 2,088 | 37 | — | — | 27 | 21 | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 10 | |||
Euractiv | March 2024 | — | 42 | — | — | 25 | 14 | 2 | 5 | — | — | — | 5 | 1 | 6 | 17 | |||
Ipsos | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 970 | 42.4 | 3.0 | — | 20.7 | 14.2 | 5.1 | 3.4 | — | — | — | 5.9 | — | 5.2 | 21.7 | |||
INSCOP | 22-29 Feb 2024 | 1,100 | 43.7 | — | — | 20.6 | 13.7 | 3.7 | 3.9 | 3.4 | — | 6.4 | 0.9 | 3.7 | 23.1 | ||||
Sociopol | Feb 2024 | – | 42 | 1 | — | 28 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 2 | — | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1[bl] | 14 | |||
17 | 31 | 1 | — | 24 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 2 | — | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1[bm] | 14 | |||||
INSOMAR | Feb 2024 | 1,030 | 40.8 | 1.5 | — | 30.5 | 11.5 | 1.7 | 4.5 | — | — | — | 2 | — | 7.5[bn] | 10.3 | |||
Avangarde | 19–20 Feb 2024 | 950 | 20 | 31 | — | — | 18 | 15 | — | 5 | — | — | — | 8 | 2 | 1 | 11 | ||
CURS | 3–14 Feb 2024 | 1,067 | 20 | 31 | 2 | — | 20 | 13 | 2 | 4 | — | — | — | 4 | — | 4[bo] | 11 | ||
60m.ro | 20 Jan 2024 | 927 | 16 | 28 | — | — | 30 | 17 | — | 5 | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | 2 | ||
INSCOP | 16-24 Jan 2024 | 1,100 | 18.8 | 29.5 | — | — | 18.4 | 12.9 | 3.0 | 4.8 | 3.5 | — | 6.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 10.7 | |||
CURS | 15–27 Jan 2024 | 1,082 | 19 | 30 | 3 | — | 21 | 14 | — | 5 | — | — | — | 4 | — | 4 | 9 | ||
Avangarde | 8-22 Jan 2024 | 1,150 | 21 | 31 | — | — | 19 | 14 | — | 5 | — | — | — | 8 | 1 | 1 | 10 | ||
INSOMAR | Jan 2024 | 1,050 | 21 | 25 | — | — | 22 | — | 2 | 9 | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | 3 | — | 9[bp] | 3 |
Sociopol | Jan 2024 | – | 17 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 2 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1[bq] | 6 | ||
CIRA | Jan 2024 | 1,000 | 20 | 30 | — | — | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | — | 5 | — | — | — | 6 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
CURS | 26–30 Dec 2023 | 852 | 19 | 31 | 4 | — | 19 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 4 | — | — | — | 5 | — | 2 | 12 |
Mercury Research | 30 Oct–6 Nov 2023 | 1,227 | 16 | 26 | 0 | — | 19 | 22 | — | 3 | — | — | — | 7 | 1 | 5 | 4 | ||
16 | 28 | 1 | — | 19 | 2 | 4 | 15 | — | 3 | — | — | — | 7 | 1 | 3 | 9 | |||
Avangarde | 20–28 Sep 2023 | 994 | 21 | 31 | — | — | 19 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 5 | — | — | — | 5 | — | 1 | 10 |
LARICS | 11–25 Sep 2023 | 1,003 | 22.9 | 31.5 | 1.0 | — | 14.6 | — | 4.4 | 15.2 | — | 3.2 | — | — | — | 4.7 | — | 2.4 | 8.6 |
INSOMAR | 28–31 Aug 2023 | 1,030 | 15 | 25 | 2 | — | 27 | 3 | 3 | 7 | — | 4 | — | — | — | 4 | — | 10 | 2 |
2020 parliamentary election | 6 Dec 2020 | 6.058.625 | 25.2 | 28.9 | 1.0 | — | 9.1 | — | 4.9 | 15.4 | 4.1 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | — | — | 4.1 | 3.7 |
2019 election | 26 May 2019 | 9.069.822 | 27.0 | 22.5 | — | — | 5.8 | 22.4 | 6.4 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 6.6 | 4.5 |
Slovenia[edit]
Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Publisher(s) | Sample size | SDS EPP | SLS EPP | SD S&D | NSi EPP | Levica Left | DeSUS EDP | GS Renew | Resni.ca NI | PPS G/EFA | Vesna G/EFA | Logar NI | Prebilič NI | Gregorčič NI | Rupar NI | NOT NI | Others | None | Und. | Abst. | Lead | Source |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23–25 Apr 2024 | Mediana | POPTV | 723 | 21.7 | 3.3 | 5.7 | 7.1 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 15.5 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 7.1 | – | – | – | – | 0.9 | 0.2 | 4.3 | 14.7 | 4.2 | 6.2 | [163] |
5–7 Mar 2024 | Mediana | Delo | 723 |
|