Opinion polling and seat projections for the 2024 European Parliament election

The European Parliament election is set to take place in June 2024. This article lists national polls for the European Union (EU) election as well as EU-wide seat projections and popular vote estimates.

Polling aggregations[edit]

Seat projections[edit]

Europe Elects, Der Föderalist and Politico Europe have been presenting seat projections throughout the legislative period. Other institutes started presenting data during the election campaign. All projections make their national-level data transparent, except Politico Europe, which only presents aggregate EU-level data.

Polling aggregator Date updated Number of seats The Left S&D G/EFA Renew EPP ECR ID NI Others
2024 election After reorganisation of groups 16 July 2024 725
Dynamic[a][b][1] 9 June 2024 720 40 136 54 80 188 82 64 76
Baseline[c][2] 9 June 2024 720 39 136 54 78 177 73 58 48 67
PolitPro[3] 9 June 2024 720 40 139 40 81 174 74 89 43 40
Politico Europe[4] 6 June 2024 720 32 143 41 75 173 76 67 58 55
election.de[5] 6 June 2024 720 42 138 58 85 181 82 69 65
Cassandra-odds.com[6] 5 June 2024 720 38 145 57 89 167 84 73 67
euobserver[7] 5 June 2024 720 43 140 52 79 178 89 63 76
Europe Elects[8] 4 June 2024 720 38 136 55 81 182 79 69 76 4
Der Föderalist[9] Baseline[c] 3 Jun 2024 720 37 136 57 81 172 79 66 50 42
Dynamic[a] 720 40 137 58 85 186 80 78 56
Euronews[10] 23 May 2024 720 43 135 54 82 181 80 83 62
2019 election After Brexit 1 Feb 2020 705 40 148 67 97 187 62 76 28
Before Brexit 26 May 2019 751 41 154 74 108 182 62 73 57

Popular vote projections[edit]

Europe Elects has been presenting popular vote projections throughout the legislative period. Other institutes started presenting data during the election campaign.

Polling aggregator Date updated The Left S&D G/EFA Renew EPP ECR ID NI Others
2024 election 9 June 2024 6.7 % 19.2 % 8.8 % 10.4 % 21.2 % 12.3 % 9.0 % 9.0 % 3.4 %
PolitPro[11] 9 June 2024 5.6% 19.3% 5.6% 11.3% 24.2% 10.3% 12.4% 6.0% 5.3%
The Economist[12] 9 June 2024 6.0% 16.0% 6.0% 10.0% 22.0% 10.0% 9.0% 7.0% 14.0%
Europe Elects[8] 31 May 2024 6.4% 19.8% 7.7% 11.2% 21.1% 12.2% 8.5% 8.9% 4.2%
2019 election
Before Brexit 26 May 2019 6.5% 18.5% 11.7% 13.0% 21.0% 8.2% 10.8% 7.2% 3.1%

Seats[edit]

361 seats are needed for an absolute majority in the European Parliament.

Organisation Release
date
Area Number of seats The Left S&D G/EFA Renew EPP ECR ID NI Others Lead
election.de[13] 6 June 2024 EU27 720 42 138 58 85 181 82 69 65 43
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[14] 4 June 2024 EU27 720 38 136 55 81 182 79 69 76 4 46
election.de[15] 30 May 2024 EU27 720 43 141 57 84 179 81 68 67 38
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[16] 27 May 2024 EU27 720 39 138 56 86 180 75 68 76 2 42
23 May 2024 Germany's AfD is expelled from the Identity and Democracy (ID) group.[17]
election.de[18] 23 May 2024 EU27 720 43 139 56 87 179 83 80 53 40
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[19] 16 May 2024 EU27 720 43 134 54 85 182 83 83 54 2 48
election.de[20] 9 May 2024 EU27 720 40 140 55 89 177 80 84 55 37
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[21] 28 Apr 2024 EU27 720 44 140 48 86 183 86 84 48 1 43
EM Analytics[22] 30 April 2024 EU27 720 40 139 55 85 176 84 79 62 37
Der Föderalist[23] 26 Apr 2024 EU27 720 35 132 51 86 173 81 83 35 44 41
720 39 134 53 89 181 86 99 39 47
EM Analytics[24] 22 Apr 2024 EU27 720 39 139 51 86 181 86 77 61 42
election.de[25] 22 Apr 2024 EU27 720 39 138 52 90 173 80 87 61 35
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[26] 16 Apr 2024 EU27 720 40 139 52 84 184 82 84 52 3 45
election.de[27] 8 Apr 2024 EU27 720 39 138 55 86 176 81 85 60 38
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[28] 28 Mar 2024 EU27 720 47 135 52 87 184 81 82 48 4 49
election.de[29] 22 Mar 2024 EU27 720 40 139 54 89 176 84 83 55 37
Ipsos for Euronews[30] 19 Mar 2024 EU27 720 42 136 55 85 177 76 81 68 41
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[31] 18 Mar 2024 EU27 720 46 135 50 86 183 84 89 43 4 48
Politico Europe[32] 9 Mar 2024 EU27 720 33 141 48 90 180 87 89 52 39
election.de[33] 8 Mar 2024 EU27 720 39 142 51 86 171 86 86 59 29
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[34] 1 Mar 2024 EU27 720 45 140 49 82 181 83 92 44 4 41
Der Föderalist[35] 26 Feb 2024 EU27 720 35 135 48 85 176 78 85 36 42 41
37 137 48 89 183 82 101 43 46
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[36] 19 Feb 2024 EU27 720 44 140 48 85 180 83 92 43 6 40
election.de[37] 7 Feb 2024 EU27 720 42 138 49 78 176 88 94 55 38
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[38] 1 Feb 2024 EU27 720 42 140 51 82 180 80 91 49 5 40
ECFR[39] 23 Jan 2024 EU27 720 44 131 61 86 173 85 98 42 42
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[40] 15 Jan 2024 EU27 720 37 143 50 84 178 80 93 49 6 35
election.de[41] 9 Jan 2024 EU27 720 41 141 45 80 179 86 95 53 38
Politico Europe[42] 9 Jan 2024 EU27 720 33 145 43 86 178 89 96 50 33
Der Föderalist[43] 8 Jan 2024 EU27 720 33 141 45 86 169 75 89 43 39 28
35 143 47 91 177 85 108 34 34
Europe Elects[44] 30 Dec 2023 EU27 720 36 142 49 84 179 81 93 50 6 37
Politico Europe[45] 11 Dec 2023 EU27 720 33 145 47 87 175 91 91 51 30
Europe Elects[46] 30 Nov 2023 EU27 720 38 141 52 89 175 82 87 52 4 35
KAS[47] 29 Nov 2023 EU27 720 42 143 48 87 171 78 79 41 30 35
Politico Europe[48] 9 Nov 2023 EU27 720 38 143 49 91 179 90 85 45 36
Der Föderalist[49] 6 Nov 2023 EU27 720 43 137 43 90 170 78 76 37 45 33
46 138 47 96 178 89 92 34 40
Europe Elects[50] 31 Oct 2023 EU27 720 45 139 51 92 173 80 76 53 11 34
12 Oct 2023 PES (S&D's party) suspends Slovakia's Smer–SD and Hlas–SD due to their coalition with the sovereignist SNS party.[51]
Politico Europe[52] 9 Oct 2023 EU27 720 40 151 49 89 172 93 82 44 21
Europe Elects[53] 30 Sep 2023 EU27 720 43 145 52 90 165 86 74 56 10 21
22 Sep 2023 The European Council approves the new apportionment in the European Parliament from 705 to 720 seats.[54]
Der Föderalist[55] 11 Sep 2023 EU27 720 43 147 46 91 162 77 74 36 43 15
45 147 50 96 171 90 89 32 24
705 42 144 46 90 157 77 72 35 41 13
44 144 50 95 165 89 87 31 21
Politico Europe[56] 7 Sep 2023 EU27 705 42 146 46 91 167 93 76 44 21
Europe Elects[57] 31 Aug 2023 EU27 720 38 149 53 90 164 83 75 58 10 15
Politico Europe[58] 9 Aug 2023 EU27 705 45 145 48 89 165 89 77 47 20
Europe Elects[59] 31 Jul 2023 EU27 705 45 143 49 90 157 82 82 55 12 14
Der Föderalist[60] 17 Jul 2023 EU27 705 41 136 48 94 160 79 70 36 41 24
43 137 52 99 167 89 87 31 30
Der Föderalist[61] 22 May 2023 EU27 705 49 137 50 92 162 79 67 33 36 25
50 137 54 99 172 82 83 28 35
Europe Elects[62] 28 Apr 2023 EU27 705 51 141 49 89 163 85 64 51 11 22
Der Föderalist[63] 27 Mar 2023 EU27 705 44 137 42 94 162 78 68 38 42 25
46 141 46 102 170 81 84 35 29
Der Föderalist[64] 1 Feb 2023 EU27 705 50 135 42 96 168 78 65 37 34 33
52 138 47 103 172 82 80 31 34
Der Föderalist[65] 6 Dec 2022 EU27 705 51 136 44 93 166 79 64 37 35 30
53 139 50 100 170 83 80 30 31
Europe Elects[66] 7 Dec 2022 EU27 705 49 142 56 100 158 84 63 46 7 16
Europe Elects[67] 1 Nov 2022 EU27 705 55 135 53 106 162 81 66 41 6 27
Der Föderalist[68] 12 Oct 2022 EU27 705 52 127 42 100 169 79 63 35 38 42
54 130 48 108 174 84 80 27 44
Der Föderalist[69] 20 Aug 2022 EU27 705 52 134 47 98 170 75 63 27 39 36
54 137 53 107 175 80 76 23 38
Der Föderalist[70] 22 Jun 2022 EU27 705 54 133 44 101 165 77 64 31 36 32
56 136 54 106 168 81 79 25 32
Der Föderalist[71] 25 Apr 2022 EU27 705 59 139 39 97 157 78 64 37 35 18
60 143 49 102 159 84 76 32 16
Der Föderalist[72] 1 Mar 2022 EU27 705 53 139 36 98 158 78 62 45 36 19
55 142 44 105 160 109 62 28 18
Europe Elects[73] 8 Jan 2022 EU27 705 49 152 55 99 158 78 62 35 17 6
Der Föderalist[74] 4 Jan 2022 EU27 705 51 142 39 99 165 73 62 34 40 23
53 146 43 105 166 102 62 28 20
Europe Elects[75] 7 Dec 2021 EU27 705 50 155 55 103 146 81 75 36 4 9
Der Föderalist[76] 8 Nov 2021 EU27 705 50 144 42 96 155 75 72 36 35 11
52 148 48 107 156 23 120 51 8
Europe Elects[77] 4 Nov 2021 EU27 705 50 155 51 102 151 81 75 35 5 4
Europe Elects[78] 8 Oct 2021 EU27 705 50 154 47 94 156 78 75 36 15 2
Der Föderalist[79] 13 Sep 2021 EU27 705 54 141 42 98 160 70 75 33 32 19
56 145 48 107 160 22 116 51 15
Der Föderalist[80] 21 Jul 2021 EU27 705 52 133 45 97 167 71 74 31 35 34
54 138 49 108 168 23 117 48 30
Europe Elects[81] 9 Jul 2021 EU27 705 52 144 55 94 156 75 77 34 18 12
Europe Elects[82] 5 Jun 2021 EU27 705 51 146 58 92 155 76 74 35 18 9
Der Föderalist[83] 24 May 2021 EU27 705 50 125 50 95 167 74 73 33 38 42
52 130 54 109 167 87 74 32 37
Europe Elects[84] 2 May 2021 EU27 705 52 144 56 93 158 75 74 34 19 14
Europe Elects[85] 2 Apr 2021 EU27 705 51 151 52 93 159 74 74 32 19 8
Der Föderalist[86] 29 Mar 2021 EU27 705 52 136 46 96 164 71 73 34 33 28
54 141 49 109 164 85 73 30 23
3 Mar 2021 Hungary's Fidesz party leaves the EPP Group.[87]
Der Föderalist[88] 2 Feb 2021 EU27 705 52 135 45 94 184 70 71 21 33 49
53 141 48 107 184 73 71 28 49
Europe Elects[89] 5 Jan 2021 EU27 705 55 138 47 97 190 73 72 22 11 52
Der Föderalist[90] 9 Dec 2020 EU27 705 52 136 47 93 188 67 73 20 29 52
53 140 40 103 188 73 73 25 48
Europe Elects[91] 2 Dec 2020 EU27 705 55 136 48 95 195 68 73 23 12 59
Europe Elects[92] 31 Oct 2020 EU27 705 54 136 48 93 197 70 74 24 9 61
Der Föderalist[93] 12 Oct 2020 EU27 705 51 127 49 96 193 67 71 21 30 66
52 136 52 102 193 71 71 28 57
Europe Elects[94] 4 Oct 2020 EU27 705 55 136 49 95 195 71 77 23 4 59
Europe Elects[95] 31 Aug 2020 EU27 705 55 134 49 96 196 71 75 24 5 62
Europe Elects[96] 14 Aug 2020 EU27 705 54 134 49 97 198 70 75 23 5 64
Europe Elects[97] 24 Jul 2020 EU27 705 54 133 48 97 198 71 77 24 3 65
Europe Elects[98] 28 May 2020 EU27 705 55 135 47 98 197 70 77 23 3 62
Europe Elects[99] 30 Apr 2020 EU27 705 55 140 46 94 193 72 78 23 4 53
Europe Elects[100] 31 Mar 2020 EU27 705 57 135 51 92 188 72 83 21 6 53
Europe Elects[101] 29 Feb 2020 EU27 705 56 133 55 99 184 68 85 21 6 51
Europe Elects[102] 31 Jan 2020 EU27 705 55 130 53 101 182 70 85 23 6 52
31 Jan 2020 The United Kingdom leaves the European Union.[103]
Europe Elects[104] 31 Dec 2019 EU27 705 54 131 52 102 182 70 86 25 3 51
Europe Elects[105] 31 Dec 2019 EU28 751 53 153 52 103 177 103 82 25 3 24
Europe Elects[106] 30 Nov 2019 EU28 751 49 157 61 107 176 95 80 25 1 19
Europe Elects[106] 31 Aug 2019 EU28 751 46 151 62 115 175 92 78 30 2 24
Europe Elects[106] 30 Sep 2019 EU28 751 48 151 63 118 170 87 79 32 3 19
Europe Elects[106] 31 Aug 2019 EU28 751 47 154 64 116 166 89 80 32 3 12
Europe Elects[106] 31 Jul 2019 EU28 751 48 153 65 117 168 85 79 33 3 15
Europe Elects[106] 30 Jun 2019 EU28 751 46 145 74 119 167 64 80 54 2 22
Redistribution of seats after Brexit 1 Feb 2020 EU27 705 40 148 68 97 187 62 76 27 39
2019 European Parliament election 26 May 2019 EU28 751 41 154 74 108 182 62 73 57 28

Popular vote[edit]

The following table shows the projected popular vote share for the groups in the EU Parliament aggregated on the European level. EU27 excludes the United Kingdom in this context. EU28 includes the United Kingdom.

Organisation Release
date
Area The Left S&D G/EFA Renew EPP ECR ID NI Others Lead
23 May 2024 Germany's AfD is expelled from the Identity and Democracy group.[17]
EM Analytics[22] 30 Apr 2024 EU27 7.3% 18.9% 7.5% 10.0% 21.7% 10.9% 12.0% 6.8% 5.0% 2.8%
Europe Elects for Euractiv[107] 28 Apr 2024 EU27 6.3% 18.3% 7.7% 9.9% 22.9% 11.8% 11.2% 6.6% 5.2% 4.6%
EM Analytics[108] 22 Apr 2024 EU27 7.0% 18.5% 7.9% 10.3% 22.0% 11.1% 12.1% 6.7% 4.6% 3.5%
Europe Elects for Euractiv[109] 16 Apr 2024 EU27 5.9% 18.0% 7.6% 10.4% 24.3% 11.0% 10.9% 6.5% 5.4% 6.3%
Europe Elects for Euractiv[110] 28 Mar 2024 EU27 7.7% 18.4% 8.1% 10.6% 23.0% 11.2% 11.2% 6.0% 3.8% 4.6%
Europe Elects for Euractiv[111] 18 Mar 2024 EU27 4.8% 18.5% 8.1% 10.4% 22.2% 11.1% 11.6% 7.3% 6.1% 3.7%
Europe Elects for Euractiv[112] 1 Mar 2024 EU27 5.5% 18.9% 7.3% 9.5% 22.6% 11.6% 11.7% 7.4% 5.2% 3.7%
Europe Elects for Euractiv[113] 19 Feb 2024 EU27 6.7% 18.5% 7.3% 9.7% 22.9% 11.3% 11.4% 7.1% 5.0% 4.4%
Europe Elects for Euractiv[114] 1 Feb 2024 EU27 6.8% 18.4% 6.9% 9.5% 22.6% 11.3% 12.3% 5.9% 6.2% 4.2%
Europe Elects for Euractiv[115] 15 Jan 2024 EU27 5.9% 18.3% 6.8% 10.3% 23.5% 10.9% 12.5% 6.1% 5.5% 5.2%
Europe Elects[116] 30 Dec 2023 EU27 5.5% 17.9% 7.0% 10.4% 22.8% 11.1% 12.1% 6.2% 6.9% 4.9%
Europe Elects[117] 30 Nov 2023 EU27 5.7% 18.4% 7.2% 10.7% 22.4% 11.0% 11.7% 6.1% 6.7% 4.0%
Europe Elects[118] 31 Oct 2023 EU27 5.9% 18.5% 7.5% 10.5% 22.4% 11.3% 11.3% 6.1% 6.5% 3.9%
Europe Elects[119] 30 Sep 2023 EU27 6.9% 19.1% 7.0% 9.9% 21.3% 11.8% 10.8% 6.0% 7.0% 2.2%
Europe Elects 31 Aug 2023 EU27 6.1% 19.5% 7.1% 10.2% 21.6% 11.8% 10.5% 6.0% 7.0% 2.1%
Europe Elects[120] 31 Jul 2023 EU27 7.2% 19.5% 6.9% 10.5% 20.6% 11.5% 10.6% 6.4% 6.7% 1.1%
Europe Elects[121] 28 Jun 2023 EU27 6.9% 18.7% 7.0% 10.4% 21.4% 11.7% 10.5% 6.3% 7.1% 2.7%
Europe Elects[122] 31 May 2023 EU27 7.5% 18.8% 6.9% 10.8% 20.7% 11.7% 9.6% 6.1% 7.6% 1.9%
Europe Elects[123] 30 Apr 2023 EU27 7.8% 18.2% 7.0% 10.4% 21.4% 11.6% 9.6% 6.0% 7.8% 3.2%
Europe Elects[124] 31 Mar 2023 EU27 7.3% 19.0% 7.3% 11.1% 21.6% 11.4% 9.0% 6.0% 7.1% 2.6%
Europe Elects[125] 28 Feb 2023 EU27 7.1% 18.7% 7.3% 11.1% 21.7% 11.5% 9.2% 6.0% 7.2% 3.0%
Europe Elects[126] 31 Jan 2023 EU27 7.4% 18.5% 7.4% 11.3% 21.5% 11.5% 9.0% 6.1% 6.8% 3.0%
Europe Elects[127] 31 Dec 2022 EU27 7.1% 18.7% 7.6% 11.5% 21.1% 11.6% 8.9% 5.4% 7.9% 2.4%
Europe Elects[66] 7 Dec 2022 EU27 7.2% 18.8% 8.1% 11.7% 21.2% 11.2% 8.9% 5.5% 7.2% 2.4%
Europe Elects[67] 1 Nov 2022 EU27 8.0% 18.3% 8.1% 12.0% 21.6% 11.3% 8.7% 5.7% 6.1% 3.3%
Europe Elects[73] 8 Jan 2022 EU27 6.7% 20.6% 7.2% 11.9% 20.7% 10.3% 8.8% 5.0% 8.8% 0.1%
Europe Elects[75] 7 Dec 2021 EU27 7.0% 20.4% 7.4% 13.6% 17.9% 10.3% 10.4% 4.8% 6.9% 1.2%
Europe Elects[77] 4 Nov 2021 EU27 6.9% 20.7% 7.2% 13.0% 19.5% 10.7% 10.2% 5.3% 6.5% 1.2%
Europe Elects[78] 8 Oct 2021 EU27 7.3% 20.3% 7.2% 12.0% 20.3% 10.5% 10.3% 5.3% 6.8% Tie
Europe Elects[81] 9 Jul 2021 EU27 7.2% 17.9% 8.0% 11.8% 21.2% 10.3% 10.6% 5.0% 8.0% 3.3%
Europe Elects[82] 5 Jun 2021 EU27 7.8% 18.0% 9.1% 11.4% 20.6% 10.5% 10.4% 5.0% 7.1% 2.6%
Europe Elects[99] 2 May 2021 EU27 7.9% 18.3% 8.5% 11.3% 20.3% 10.5% 10.6% 5.1% 7.4% 2.0%
Europe Elects[100] 2 Apr 2021 EU27 8.0% 18.7% 8.2% 11.2% 21.6% 10.2% 10.8% 4.9% 6.3% 2.9%
3 Mar 2021 Hungary's Fidesz party leaves the EPP Group.[87]
Europe Elects[89] 2 Mar 2021 EU27 7.9% 18.9% 7.5% 11.1% 23.1% 10.3% 10.8% 3.8% 6.6% 4.2%
Europe Elects[89] 2 Feb 2021 EU27 8.2% 18.6% 7.5% 10.9% 24.4% 10.1% 10.5% 3.8% 6.0% 5.8%
Europe Elects[89] 31 Dec 2020 EU27 8.4% 18.9% 7.5% 10.9% 24.1% 10.2% 10.5% 3.6% 5.9% 5.2%
Europe Elects[91] 2 Dec 2020 EU27 8.2% 18.5% 7.7% 10.9% 24.8% 9.5% 10.5% 3.8% 6.0% 6.3%
Europe Elects[92] 31 Oct 2020 EU27 7.6% 18.4% 7.7% 10.8% 25.0% 9.9% 10.6% 4.0% 6.1% 6.6%
Europe Elects[94] 4 Oct 2020 EU27 7.9% 17.9% 7.8% 11.4% 24.4% 9.7% 11.0% 4.1% 5.7% 6.5%
Europe Elects[95] 31 Aug 2020 EU27 8.1% 18.3% 7.4% 11.5% 25.0% 9.6% 10.9% 4.1% 5.2% 6.7%
Europe Elects[96] 14 Aug 2020 EU27 8.0% 18.0% 7.2% 11.5% 25.3% 9.4% 10.8% 3.8% 6.0% 7.3%
Europe Elects[97] 24 Jul 2020 EU27 8.3% 17.9% 7.4% 11.6% 25.7% 9.5% 10.9% 4.1% 4.6% 7.8%
Europe Elects[98] 28 May 2020 EU27 8.2% 18.0% 7.2% 11.3% 25.2% 9.6% 11.1% 4.0% 5.4% 7.2%
Europe Elects[99] 30 Apr 2020 EU27 8.2% 18.5% 7.2% 10.9% 25.3% 9.8% 11.4% 3.9% 4.7% 6.8%
Europe Elects[100] 31 Mar 2020 EU27 8.5% 18.2% 8.0% 10.7% 24.1% 10.0% 11.8% 3.8% 4.9% 5.9%
Europe Elects[101] 29 Feb 2020 EU27 9.1% 18.0% 8.4% 10.9% 22.7% 9.7% 12.5% 3.8% 4.9% 4.7%
Europe Elects[102] 31 Jan 2020 EU27 8.0% 18.6% 8.4% 12.4% 20.5% 12.1% 12.1% 4.0% 3.9% 1.9%
31 Jan 2020 The United Kingdom leaves the European Union.[103]
Europe Elects[106] 31 Dec 2019 EU28 8.1% 18.8% 8.2% 11.8% 20.9% 12.4% 11.9% 4.2% 3.7% 2.1%
Europe Elects[106] 30 Nov 2019 EU28 8.0% 18.4% 8.4% 12.3% 20.3% 12.0% 12.0% 4.0% 3.8% 1.9%
Europe Elects[106] 31 Oct 2019 EU28 6.5% 17.8% 8.3% 13.1% 20.3% 10.0% 11.3% 4.8% 7.9% 2.5%
Europe Elects[106] 30 Sep 2019 EU28 6.6% 19.5% 8.3% 12.3% 19.6% 9.7% 11.3% 4.8% 7.9% 0.1%
Europe Elects[106] 31 Aug 2019 EU28 6.9% 19.0% 8.7% 12.9% 20.0% 9.6% 11.4% 5.6% 5.9% 1.0%
Europe Elects[106] 31 Jul 2019 EU28 6.6% 19.0% 9.4% 12.8% 19.3% 9.3% 11.5% 5.3% 6.7% 0.3%
Europe Elects[106] 30 Jun 2019 EU28 6.9% 18.9% 10.3% 13.3% 19.1% 9.8% 11.4% 5.1% 5.2% 0.2%
2019 European Parliament election[128] 26 May 2019 EU27 7.0% 18.9% 11.2% 12.3% 22.6% 8.1% 11.5% 4.3% 4.1% 3.7%
2019 European Parliament election[106] EU28 6.5% 18.5% 11.7% 13.0% 21.0% 8.2% 10.8% 4.8% 5.5% 2.5%

National opinion polling[edit]

Austria[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample size ÖVP
EPP
SPÖ
S&D
FPÖ
ID
Grüne
G/EFA
NEOS
Renew
KPÖ
Left
DNA
ECR
Others Lead
Lazarsfeld Society 3–4 Jun 2024 2,000 19-22
4
22-25
5
27-30
6
8-10
2
12-15
3
3
0
2
0
5
Lazarsfeld Society 24–28 May 2024 2,000 22
4
23
5
28
6
9
2
15
3
2
0
1
0
5
Market 24–28 May 2024 814 22
4
24
5
27
6
9
2
14
3
3
0
1
0
3
IFDD 22–24 May 2024 1,080 22
5
23
5
28
6
10
2
12
2
3
0
2
0
5
Lazarsfeld Society 17–21 May 2024 1,000 22
4
24
5
27
6
9
2
15
3
2
0
1
0
3
Spectra 13–20 May 2024 1,000 22
5
23
5
26
5
11
2
13
3
3
0
2
0
3
IFDD 15–17 May 2024 1,000 23
5
22
5
27
6
11
2
12
2
4
0
1
0
4
Peter Hajek 13–17 May 2024 1,200 23
5
23
5
30
6
10
2
10
2
3
0
1
0
7
OGM 7–8 May 2024 1,007 22
5
22
5
26
5
13
2
14
3
2
0
1
0
4
Lazarsfeld Society 6–8 May 2024 2,000 21
4
21
4
26
6
14
3
15
3
2
0
1
0
5
Triple-M 3–7 May 2024 800 19
4
23
5
27
6
14
3
11
2
4
0
2
0
4
Market 22–25 Apr 2024 842 20
4
24
5
27
6
12
2
13
3
3
0
1
0
3
Lazarsfeld Society 22–24 Apr 2024 2,000 21
4
23
5
27
6
12
2
13
3
3
0
1
0
4
Ipsos 23 Feb5 Mar 2024 1,000 21.0
4
22.0
5
28.2
6
13.0
3
11.8
2
2.1
0
1.9
0
6.2
Lazarsfeld Society 26–28 Feb 2024 1,000 20
4
22
5
26
5
14
3
16
3
2
0
4
Market 5–7 Feb 2024 800 24
5
23
5
27
6
11
2
12
2
2
0
1
0
3
Lazarsfeld Society 29–31 Jan 2024 1,000 24
5
20
4
27
6
13
2
14
3
2
0
3
OGM 22–31 Jan 2024 2,076 22
5
21
4
26
6
14
3
12
2
2
0
3
0
4
IFDD 25–28 Jan 2024 1,000 21
4
24
5
27
6
14
3
9
2
3
0
2
0
3
Lazarsfeld Society 11–13 Dec 2023 1,000 22
5
22
5
30
6
13
2
9
2
2
0
2
0
8
Peter Hajek 22–29 Nov 2023 1,600 23
5
24
5
30
7
12
2
7
1
3
0
1
0
6
IFDD 1–4 Oct 2023 837 25
5/6
25
5/6
25
5/6
14
3
8
1
3
0
Tie
2019 legislative election 29 Sep 2019 37.5
8
21.2
5
16.2
3
13.9
3
8.1
1
0.7
0
2.5
0
16.3
2019 European election 26 May 2019 34.6
7
23.9
5
17.2
3
14.1
3
8.4
1
0.8
0
1.0
0
9.7

Projected turnout:

According to the OGM poll for the "Kurier" newspaper (May 7-8, 2024), a total of 66% of those surveyed said they are "certain" to vote. This would represent an increase of more than 6% compared to the 2019 election, which had 59.8% turnout. It would also be the highest turnout since the first EU parliament election in Austria in 1996, when turnout was 67.7%.

Other pollsters like the Lazarsfeld Society or Spectra are estimating turnout at between 52% to 63%.

Belgium[edit]

Dutch-speaking[edit]

Date(s) conducted Polling firm Publisher Sample size N‑VA
ECR
VB
ID
Open Vld
Renew
cd&v
EPP
Groen
G/EFA
Vooruit
S&D
PVDA
Left
Others Lead
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 Ipsos Euronews[129] 1,500 18.7%
3
23.5%
3
12.7%
2
11.5%
1
9.7%
1
13.8%
2
9.3%
1
0.8%
0
4.8%
26 May 2019 European election 22.4%
3
19.1%
3
15.9%
2
14.5%
2
12.4%
1
10.2%
1
4.9%
0
0.5%
0
3.3%

French-speaking[edit]

Date(s) conducted Polling firm Publisher Sample size PS
S&D
Ecolo
G/EFA
MR
Renew
PTB
Left
LE
EPP
DéFI
NI
Others Lead
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 Ipsos Euronews[129] 1,500 26.7%
2
12.8%
1
22.8%
2
19.2%
2
11.0%
1
2.8%
0
4.7%
0
3.9%
26 May 2019 European election 26.7%
2
19.9%
2
19.3%
2
14.6%
1
8.9%
1
5.9%
0
4.7%
0
6.8%

Bulgaria[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample GERB—SDS
EPP
BSPzB
S&D
DPS
Renew
VMRO
ECR
PP–DB
Renew-EPP[d]
Revival
NI
ITN
ECR[e]
Blue Bulgaria
ECR
Others NOTA Lead
Alpha Research 1-4 June 2024 1000 25
5
7.9
2
14.1
3
15.9
3
15.7
3
5.9
1
2.9
0
12.6[f] 9.1
CAM 1-4 June 2024 821 26.2
5
8.1
2
14.1
3
17.7
4
14.8
3
5.3
0
2.1
0
8.5
Sova Haris 29 May-3 June 2024 1000 26.4
6
8.9
2
14.4
3
15.4
3
15.3
3
5.6
0
14 11
Market Links 22 May-2 June 2024 1004 28.8
6
8.7
2
12.4
3
20.2
4
11.4
2
3.9
0
2.2
0
7.4[g] 2.1 8.6
TREND 11–18 May 2024 1003 25.9
5
8.1
2
14.6
3
1.2
0
16.1
4
15.1
3
5.5
0
1.8
0
12.4[h] 5.3 9.8
Sova Harris 8–13 May 2024 1000 28.3
6
10.3
2
13.3
3
15.8
3
15
3
5.2
0
11.5 12.5
MarketLinks 29 April–9 May 2024 29.4
6
9.3
2
13.1
3
20.6
4
12.3
2
2.7
0
1.7
0
6.4[i] 4.2 8.8
Alpha Research 28 April–5 May 2024 1000 25.1
5
8.0
2
14.4
3
18.5
4
14.8
3
4.8
0
2.4
0
12.0[j] 6.6
Gallup 22 April–2 May 2024 808 26.4
5
8.2
2
14.9
3
1.3
0
17.5
4
14.7
3
4.5
0
1.4
0
11.1[k] 8.9
TREND 12–19 April 2024 1002 27.2
5
9.4
2
15.4
3
17.2
4
15.3
3
5.1
0
10.1[l] 10.1
Gallup 28 March-5 April 2024 805 28.7
5
10.1
2
15.3
3
18.2
4
15.1
3
5.5
0
9.8 6.2
IPSOS N/A N/A 27.1
5
8.8
2
13.0
2
20.9
4
15.1
3
6.1
1
8.9[m] 6.2
Alpha Research 1-7 March 2024 1000 27.0
5
10.6
2
10.0
2
23.8
5
15.8
3
5.9
0
6.9 3.2
Market Links 24 February-3 March 2024 1058 26.4
5
9.7
2
14.0
3
22.7
4
13.5
3
3.8
0
6.1 3.9 3.7
2019 election 26 May 2019 30.4
6
23.5
5
16.1
3
7.1
2
5.9[n]
1
1.0
0
2.6 4.1 6.9

Croatia[edit]

Publication
date
Polling firm Sample
size
HDZ
EPP
SDP
S&D
Most
ECR
PiP
NI
IDS
RE
DP
ID
M!
G/EFA
Others Undecided Lead
6 Jun 2024 Ipsos 1001 31.9
5
24.6
4
6.1
1
- 3.7
0
5.8
1
6.5
1
-[o]
7.7 7.3
5 Jun 2024 Promocija plus 1300 28.4
5
20.5
4
5.7
1
3.9
0
3.2
0
6.9
1
7.4
1
11.7[p]
0
12.3 7.9
2 Jun 2024 2x1 komunikacije 1041 31.2
5
22.0
3
7.1
1
3.7
0
3.8
0
8.7
1
11.1
2
- 11.0 9.2
25 May 2024 Ipsos 990 28.5
5
17.8
3
5.4
1
1.8
0
3.8
0
7.4
1
9.9
2
12.2[q]
0
14.9 10.7
4 May 2024 Promocija plus 1000 30.6
5
24.2
4
5.4
1
2.5
0
2.3
0
6.7
1
7.5
1
- - 6.4
17 Apr 2024 2024 parliamentary election 34.4 25.4 8.0 [r] 2.3 9.6 9.1 11.2 - 9.0
26 May 2019 2019 European election 27.1
4
22.1
4
17.6
1
13.6
2
11.9
1
1.8
0
5.8 - 5.0

Cyprus[edit]

Date Polling firm DISY
EPP
AKEL
Left
ELAM
ECR
DIKO
S&D
EDEK
S&D
DIPA
Renew
KOSP
G/EFA
APC
Left
EP
NI
VOLT
G/EFA
Fidias
NI
Others Lead
09 June 2024 Election Results 24.8 21.5 11.2 9.7 5.1 2.2 1.3 0.3 1.3 2.9 19.4 0.3 3.3
27-30 May 2024 IMR 26.6 28.3 13.7 10.6 3.4 3.0 3.2 - 2.0 2.8 7.5 0.6 1.7
22-28 May 2024 CMRC 28.7 27.4 14.0 12.1 3.8 1.9 3.8 1.9 - 3.8 3.8 1.3 1.3
20-25 May 2024 RAI Consultants 27.3 25.2 12.5 9.3 4.4 2.7 2.1 0.9 2.1 4.5 8.7 0.3 2.1
13-25 May 2024 CYMAR Market Research Ltd 26.0 24.0 13.0 12.0 5.0 3.0 3.0 - - 4.0 6.0 4.0 2.0
20-24 May 2024 Symmetron 25.6 24.2 12.0 10.2 3.7 4.3 2.6 - - 3.9 2.5 1.6 1.5
17-24 May 2024 SIGMA 29.0 27.7 13.5 12.9 3.9 2.6 3.9 - - 2.6 2.6 1.3 1.3
16-22 May 2024 Pulse Market Research 25.8 23.5 13.6 12.1 4.5 3.0 3.0 - - 5.3 6.1 3.0 2.3
9-14 May 2024 Analytica Market Research 24.3 24.9 14.5 11.9 6.0 3.5 3.7 - 3.3 3.9 - 4.0 0.6
10-22 Apr 2024 CMRC 29.0 27.5 15.2 12.3 3.6 1.4 3.6 2.9 - 3.6 - 0.7 1.5
08-19 Apr 2024 CYMAR Market Research Ltd 28.1 25.0 15.6 12.5 6.3 1.6 1.6 - - 3.1 - 6.3 3.1
14–23 Mar 2024 SIGMA 28.1 28.1 15.1 13.7 4.1 2.7 2.7 - - 2.7 - 2.7 0
20–26 Feb 2024 Pulse Market Research 31.3 25.8 14.7 12.9 5.5 0.5 3.7 - - - - 5.5 5.5
12–16 Feb 2024 SIGMA 29.0 27.5 14.5 11.6 4.3 4.3 2.9 1.4 - 1.4 - 2.9 1.5
11 Feb 2024 Symmetron 25.3 23.9 11.3 9.0 3.1 3.1 2.8 - - 2.5 - 1.5 1.7
29 Jan – 02 Feb 2024 Interview 31.7 31.8 15 9.0 2.4 2.2 6.8 - - - - 1.1 0.1
22–26 Jan 2024 L.S.Prime 26.4 26.4 13.8 11.1 4.2 4.2 2.8 - - - - 11.1 0
03–11 Jan 2024 IMR 25.7 27.8 17.4 9.7 3.2 3.3 4.9 - - 1.8 - 3.5 2.1
30 May Election 2021 27.8% 22.3% 6.8% 11.3% 6.7% 6.1% 4.4% 1.0% 3.3% - 10.3% 5.5
26 May Election 2019 29.0% 27.5% 8.2% 13.8% 10.6% 3.8% - 0.8% - - 3.0% 1.5

Czech Republic[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
SPOLU
ECREPP
ANO
Renew
Piráti
G/EFA
STAN
EPP
SPD
Trikolóra
ID
Stačilo!
Left
SOCDEM
S&D
Svobodní
NI
PaM
NI
Zelení
EGP
PRO
NI
Others Lead
7–8 June 2024 Election result 22.3
6
26.1
7
6.2
1
8.7
2
5.7
1
9.6
2
1.9
0
1.8
0
10.3
2
1.6
0
2.2
0
3.9
0
3.8
STEM 22–26 May 2024 1,623 21.5
6
23.1
6
9.4
2
10.0
3
9.5
2
8.1
2
2.9
0
2.7
0
4.7
0
1.9
0
1.8
0
4.1
0
1.6
STEM/MARK 20–27 May 2024 1,398 22.3
5
26.1
6
12.1
3
8.1
2
7.9
2
7.7
2
3.6
0
2.3
0
7.2
1
1.4
0
1.0
0
0.3
0
3.8
Phoenix Research 1–13 May 2024 1,018 17.5
5
27.4
7
9.9
2
11.5
3
6.2
1
7.0
2
5.0
1
1.3
0
2.2
0
4.2
0
7.8
1
9.9
SANEP 2–7 May 2024 1,800 19.8
5
26.7
7
10.6
3
9.9
2
10.1
3
5.9
1
3.7
0
2.9
0
4.8
0
0.5
0
3.2
0
1.9
0
6.9
STEM/Mark 28 Mar–8 April 2024 1,009 20.0
5
27.5
7
10.1
2
10.4
3
10.4
2
6.7
1
3.4
0
2.5
0
6.0
1
0.9
0
1.9
0
7.5
Data Collect 25 Mar 2024 20.9 27.3 10.8 9.3 10.9 7.1 2.9 1.5 2.5 2.5 1.9 2.4 6.4
IPSOS 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 1,517 21.6 26.3 11.3 13.4 7.9 6.1 2.7 2.8 4.9 4.7
IPSOS Dec 2023 TBA 25.2 26.3 10.0 12.0 7.7 6.0 12.8 1.1
STEM/MARK 23–28 Nov 2023 1,010 15.0 33.8 11.4 7.3 14.7 5.4 3.6 2.9 6.0 18.8
2021 parliamentary election 8–9 Oct 2021 27.8 27.1 15.6 9.6 3.6 4.7 2.8[s] 4.7 1.0 0.9 0.7
2019 European election 24–25 May 2019 21.8[t] 21.2 14.0 11.7[u] 9.1 6.9 4.0 0.7 10.6 0.6

Denmark[edit]

Polling execution Parties Alliances
Polling

firm

Fieldwork

date

Sample

size

V
Renew
A
S&D
F
G/EFA
O
ID
B
Renew
C
EPP
Ø
Left
Å
G/EFA
I
EPP
M
Renew
Æ
ECR
Others AFÅ BMV CI
2024 EP election 14.7
2
15.6
3
17.4
3
6.4
1
7.1
1
8.8
1
7.0
1
2.7
0
7.0
1
5.9
1
7.4
1
35.7
6
27.7
4
15.8
2
Epinion (exit poll) 9 June ? 13.9
2
15.4
3
18.4
3
6.5
1
6.9
1
7.4
1
6.6
1
3.3
0
7.8
1
6.2
1
7.6
1
37.1
6
27.0
4
15.2
2
Verian 29 May–5 Jun 2024 2,301 11.5
2
18.9
3
16.6
3
7.0
1
5.4
0
6.8
1
6.4
1
2.0
0
10.5
2
5.9
1
8.8
1
37.5
6
22.8
3
17.3
3
Verian 29 May–5 Jun 2024 2,301 11.5
2
18.9
3
16.6
3
7.0
1
5.4
0
6.8
1
6.4
1
2.0
0
10.5
2
5.9
1
8.8
1
37.5
6
22.8
3
17.3
3
Epinion 28 May–3 Jun 2024 2,085 10.8
2
17.7
3
16.6
3
6.4
1
4.9
0
8.3
1
7.8
1
4.1
0
8.5
2
6.0
1
8.9
1
38.4
6
21.7
3
16.8
3
Epinion 8–14 May 2024 2,025 12.5
2
21.4
4
13.1
2
7.4
1
5.4
1
7.1
1
6.8
1
1.7
0
9.9
2
4.0
0
10.4
1
36.2
6
21.9
3
17.0
3
Verian 8–14 May 2024 1,565 13.6
2
18.6
3
14.0
3
9.6
1
4.7
1
6.8
1
6.2
1
1.2
0
12.2
2
3.9
0
9.1
1
33.8
6
22.2
3
19.0
3
Epinion 23–29 Apr 2024 1,938 11.2
2
20.1
4
14.6
2
6.5
1
7.0
1
6.8
1
6.9
1
2.3
0
12.0
2
4.5
0
8.1
1
37.0
6
22.7
3
18.8
3
Epinion 6–13 Mar 2024 1,074 12
2
24
4
14
2
7
1
5
1
5
1
7
1
3
0
9
1
7
1
7
1
41
6
24
4
14
2
Ipsos 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 1,000 10.5
2
21.0
4
12.0
2
5.0
0
6.0
1
6.0
1
8.0
1
2.0
0
13.0
2
7.0
1
8.5
1
35.0
6
23.5
4
19.0
3
Epinion 24–31 Jan 2024 1,051 11
2
22
4
12
2
7
1
6
1
6
1
7
1
1
0
10
1
7
1
9
1
35
6
24
4
16
2
2022 general election 13.3
(3)
27.5
(6)
8.3
(1)
2.6
(0)
3.8
(0)
5.5
(1)
5.1
(0)
3.3
(0)
7.9
(1)
9.3
(2)
8.1
(1)
5.2
(0)
39.1
(7)
26.4
(4)
13.4
(2)
2021 municipal elections 21.2
(4)
28.4
(5)
7.6
(1)
4.1
(0)
5.6
(1)
15.2
(3)
7.3
(1)
0.7
(0)
1.4
(0)
8.5
(0)
36.7
(6)
26.8
(5)
16.6
(3)
2019 general election 23.4
(5)
25.9
(6)
7.7
(1)
8.7
(1)
8.6
(0)
6.6
(1)
6.9
(1)
3.0
(0)
2.3
(0)
6.9
(0)
36.6
(7)
32.0
(5)
9.0
(1)
2019 EP election 23.5
(4)
21.5
3
13.2
2
10.8
1
10.1
2
6.2
1
5.5
1
3.4
0
2.2
0
3.7
0

Estonia[edit]

Polling execution Parties Lead
Polling

firm

Fieldwork

date

Sample

size

Reform Renew
SDE

S&D


Centre

Renew


EKRE ID

Isamaa EPP

E200

EER G/EFA

Parem

Koos

Others Party EP group
Norstat 8–20 May 2024 1,471 19.1
1
19.3
2
11.5
1
14.2
1
21.3
2
3.8
0
0.9
0
4.3
0
2.9
0
2.7
0
2.0 4.6
Kantar Emor 6–15 May 2024 1,471 17.2
2
23.6
2
11.0
1
13.6
1
14.0
1
4.1
0
0.9
0
7.2
0
3.1
0
5.4
0
6.4 9.3
Norstat 29 Apr–6 May 2024 1,484 19.3
2
21.4
2
9.4
1
17.9
1
17.1
1
3.9
0
0.9
0
4.5
0
3.0
0
2.7
0
2.1 7.3
Kantar Emor 8-17 Apr 2024 1,484 18.8
2
20
2
13.8
1
13.8
1
16.8
1
4.7
0
1.5
0
6
0
4.5
0
1.2 12.6
Norstat 11-15 Apr 2024 3,500 20.1
2
22.0
2
11.0
1
17.2
1
17.6
1
5.0
0
1.2
0
4.7
0
1.2
0
1.9 9.1
Kantar Emor 14-20 Mar 2024 1,135 18.9
2
21.4
2
13.9
1
15.4
1
16.7
1
5.6
0
[v] 5.9
0
2.1
0
2.5 11.4
2023 parliamentary election 31.2
3
9.3
1
15.3
1
16.1
1
8.2
0
13.3
1
1.0
0
2.3
0
3.3
0
15.1 30.4
2019 EP election 26.2
2
23.3
2
14.4
1
12.7
1
10.3
1
3.2
0
1.8
0
8.0
0
2.9 17.3

Finland[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
KOK
EPP
VIHR
G/EFA
SDP
S&D
PS
ECR
KESK
Renew
VAS
Left
SFP
Renew
KD
EPP
LIIK
NI
Others Lead
Taloustutkimus[133] 29 May–4 June 2024 2,111 20.6
4
9.3
1
19.4
3
16.4
3
11.9
2
10.8
2
4.2
0
4
0
1.1
0
2.2
0
1.2
Taloustutkimus[134] 23–29 Apr 2024 2,118 21.7
4
10.5
2
19.7
3
14.1
2
13.6
2
10.5
2
4.0
0
2.9
0
1.0
0
2.1
0
2.0
Verian[135] 18–25 Mar 2024 1,372 22
4
11
2
17
3
14
2
12
2
9
1
5
0
6
1
4
0
5
Ipsos[136] 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 1,000 22.5
4
9.0
1
20.0
4
19.0
3
10.5
2
8.5
1
3.5
0
3.5
0
3.5
0
2.5
2023 parliamentary election 20.8 7.0 19.9 20.1 11.3 7.1 4.3 4.2 2.4 2.9 0.7
2019 EP election 20.8
3
16.0
3
14.6
2
13.8
2
13.5
2
6.9
1
6.3
1
4.9
0
3.1
0
4.8

France[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
LO
NI
NPA
Left
PCF
Left
LFI
Left
ND
S&D
PSPP
S&D
EELV
G/EFA
GE
NI
PRG
G/EFA[w]
PS
diss.
UDMF
NI
EAC
G/EFA
ÉPT
Renew
PP
G/EFA
PA
Left
Ens.
Renew
AR NE
EPP
LR
EPP
DLF
ECR
UPR
NI
LPVIA
ECR
RN
ID
REC
ECR
Others Lead
FNC [fr]
NI
R!
NI
Ipsos 06–07 Jun 2024 8,923 0.5 0.5 2.5 9.5 0.5 14.5 5 0.5 <0.5 0.5 0.5 <0.5 2.5 15 1.5 7 0.5 1 32 5.5 1[x] 17
Harris Interactive[failed verification] 05–07 Jun 2024 2,200 0.5 0.5 3 9.5 <0.5 13 5 <0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 <0.5 2 14 1 7.5 1 1 32 5 [y] 18
Elabe 05–07 Jun 2024 2,001 1 0.5 2.5 9.5 <0.5 14.5 5.5 <0.5 <0.5 0.5 0.5 <0.5 2.5 16 1.5 6 1 1 32 5.5 1.5[z] 16
Ifop 04–07 Jun 2024 2,710 0.5 0.5 2.5 9 <0.5 13.5 5.5 <0.5 <0.5 0.5 <0.5 2.5 14.5 1.5 7 1 1 33 6 1.5 18.5
Odoxa 05–06 Jun 2024 1.008 1.5 0.5 2 7 0.5 14 5 <0.5 <0.5 0.5 <0.5 <0.5 3.5 15 2 7 1 1 32 6 [aa] 17
Ipsos 05–06 Jun 2024 1,738 0.5 0.5 2.5 9 <0.5 13.5 6 0.5 <0.5 1.5 <0.5 <0.5 1.5 15.5 1 7 1 1 32 5.5 1.5[ab] 16.5
OpinionWay 04–06 Jun 2024 2,182 1 1 2 8 <1 14 5 <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 3 15 1 6 1 1 33 6 3[ac] 18
Cluster17 04–06 Jun 2024 1,165 1 0.5 2 9 0.5 13 5 0.5 <0.5 0.5 <0.5 <0.5 2.5 15 1.5 7 1.5 1.5 31 5.5 <3[ad] 16
OpinionWay 04–06 Jun 2024 1,027 1 1 3 7 13 6 <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 2 15 1 7 1 1 33 6 4[ae] 18
Harris Interactive[failed verification] 04–06 Jun 2024 2,200 0.5 0.5 3.5 8.5 <0.5 13 5.5 <0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 <0.5 2 14.5 1 7 1 1 32 5 [af] 17.5
Ifop 03–06 Jun 2024 2,710 0.5 0.5 2 8.5 <0.5 13.5 5.5 <0.5 <0.5 0.5 <0.5 2.5 15 1.5 7 1 1 33 6 1.5 18
Harris Interactive[failed verification] 04–05 Jun 2024 2,130 0.5 0.5 3 9 <0.5 13 6 <0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 <0.5 2 14 1 7.5 1 1 32 5 [ag] 17.5
BVA 03–05 Jun 2024 1,500 1 <0.5 2.5 7.5 0.5 14 5.5 0.5 <0.5 1 <0.5 <0.5 2.5 16 1 6.5 1.5 0.5 33 5 3[ah] 17
Ifop 01–05 Jun 2024 2,724 0.5 0.5 2.5 8 <0.5 13.5 5 <0.5 <0.5 0.5 <0.5 2.5 15 1 7.5 0.5 1 33 6 1.5 18
YouGov 31 May5 Jun 2024 1,035 1 <1 3 6 1 12 4 1 1 3 15 1 6 1 1 32 6 2 15
Harris Interactive[failed verification] 03–04 Jun 2024 2,130 0.5 0.5 3 9 <0.5 13 6 <0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 <0.5 2 14.5 1 7.5 1 1 32 5 [ai] 17.5
Ifop 31 May04 Jun 2024 2,734 0.5 0.5 2.5 7.5 <0.5 14 5.5 <0.5 <0.5 0.5 <0.5 2 15 1 7 1 1 33 6 2 18
Harris Interactive 02–03 Jun 2024 2,130 0.5 0.5 3 9 <0.5 13 6 <0.5 <0.5 0.5 0.5 <0.5 2 14.5 1 7.5 1 1 32 5 [aj] 17.5
Ifop 30 May03 Jun 2024 2,751 0.5 0.5 2.5 7.5 <0.5 14 6 <0.5 <0.5 0.5 <0.5 2 15.5 1 7 1 1 33.5 6 1.5 18
Elabe 29–31 May 2024 1,688 1 0.5 3 8.5 <0.5 13 7 <0.5 <0.5 0.5 0.5 <0.5 2 16 1 6.5 1 1 32.5 5 1.5[ak] 16.5
Harris Interactive 30–31 May 2024 2,178 0.5 0.5 3 8.5 <0.5 13.5 5.5 <0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 <0.5 2 14.5 1 7 1 1 32 5.5 [al] 17.5
Ifop 28–31 May 2024 2,713 0.5 0.5 3 7 <0.5 14 6.5 <0.5 <0.5 0.5 <0.5 2 15.5 1 7 0.5 0.5 33.5 6.5 1.5 18
OpinionWay 28–30 May 2024 2,149 1 2 2 6 <1 14 5 <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 2 15 1 7 <1 1 33 6 4[am] 17
Cluster17 28–30 May 2024 1,165 1 0.5 2 8 0.5 13.5 5 0.5 <0.5 0.5 <0.5 <0.5 2.5 15.5 1.5 7 1.5 1.5 30 6 <3[an] 14.5
Harris Interactive 29–30 May 2024 2,200 0.5 0.5 3 8 <0.5 13.5 5.5 <0.5 <0.5 0.5 0.5 <0.5 1.5 14.5 1 7 1 1 33 5.5 [ao] 18.5
Ipsos 27–30 May 2024 11,430 0.5 0.5 2 8 0.5 14.5 6 0.5 <0.5 0.5 0.5 <0.5 1.5 16 1 7 1 1 33 5 [ap] 17
Ifop 26–30 May 2024 2,700 0.5 0.5 3 7 <0.5 14 6.5 <0.5 <0.5 0.5 <0.5 1.5 16 1 7 0.5 1 33.5 6.5 1 17.5
OpinionWay 28–29 May 2024 1,008 1 3 2 6 14 5 2 15 1 7 1 1 32 7 3 17
Harris Interactive 28–29 May 2024 2,016 0.5 0.5 3 8 0.5 14 5.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 <0.5 1 14.5 1 7 1 1 32.5 5 4[aq] 17.5
Ifop 25–29 May 2024 2,250 0.5 <0.5 3 7 <0.5 14 6.5 0.5 <0.5 0.5 <0.5 1.5 16 1 7 1 1 33.5 6.5 1 17.5
Harris Interactive 27–28 May 2024 2,016 0.5 0.5 3 8.5 0.5 14 5 0.5 <0.5 0.5 0.5 <0.5 1 15 1 7.5 1 1 32 5 4[ar] 17
Ifop 24–28 May 2024 1,809 0.5 <0.5 2.5 7.5 <0.5 14 6 0.5 0.5 0.5 <0.5 1 15.5 1 7 1 1 34 6 1.5 18.5
Harris Interactive 24–27 May 2024 2,016 0.5 0.5 3 8.5 0.5 14 5 0.5 <0.5 0.5 0.5 <0.5 1 14.5 1 7 1 1 32 5 4[as] 17.5
Ifop 23–27 May 2024 1,362 0.5 0.5 2 7.5 <0.5 14.5 5.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 1 16 1 7.5 0.5 1 33.5 6 1 17.5
Elabe 24–25 May 2024 1,688 1 <0.5 2 8 <0.5 13 6 <0.5 <0.5 1 0.5 0.5 2 15.5 1.5 7 1 0.5 33 5.5 2[at] 17.5
Odoxa 23–24 May 2024 991 2 1 2.5 7 <0.5 13.5 6 0.5 0.5 1.5 15 1 7 0.5 1.5 34 4 0.5 16.5
Ifop 21–24 May 2024 1,362 0.5 0.5 2 7.5 <0.5 14.5 5 <0.5 <0.5 0.5 0.5 1.5 16 1 7.5 0.5 1.5 33 6.5 1.5 17
OpinionWay 21–24 May 2024 2,024 2 2 2 7 <1 13 5 <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 1 15 <1 8 <1 1 32 7 5[au] 17
Ifop 20–23 May 2024 1,356 1 0.5 2 7 <0.5 15 5 <0.5 <0.5 0.5 0.5 2 16 1 7.5 0.5 1 33 6 1.5 17
Cluster17 21–22 May 2024 1,043 1 0.5 2 8 0.5 14 5 1 0.5 0.5 2 16 1.5 6.5 1.5 1.5 29 6 3 13
OpinionWay 21–22 May 2024 1,067 1 2 2 7 13 5 1 16 1 8 1 1 32 7 3 16
Ifop 20–22 May 2024 1,344 1 0.5 2 7.5 0.5 15 5.5 <0.5 <0.5 0.5 0.5 1.5 16 1 7.5 1 1 32.5 6 0.5 16.5
Vivavoice 20–21 May 2024 1,059 0.5 0.5 1 6.5 <0.5 14 7 <0.5 0.5 1 1.5 17 1.5 6.5 1 1 32 6 2 15
Ifop 19–21 May 2024 1,344 1 <0.5 2 7.5 0.5 15 5.5 0.5 <0.5 0.5 0.5 1.5 16.5 1 7.5 1 1 32 6 0.5 15.5
Elabe 15–17 May 2024 1,398 1 0.5 1.5 7.5 <0.5 13 7.5 0.5 1 1 15.5 1 7.5 1 1 32 5.5 3 16.5
Ifop 15–17 May 2024 1,334 0.5 0.5 2.5 7 1 14.5 5.5 0.5 0.5 1 0.5 1.5 16.5 1 8 <0.5 <0.5 32 6 1 15.5
Harris Interactive 15–17 May 2024 2,014 0.5 0.5 2.5 8 0.5 14.5 5 0.5 0.5 0.5 1 15 1 7.5 1 1 31.5 5.5 3.5 16.5
BVA 15–16 May 2024 1,500 1.5 1 2.5 8 <0.5 13 6.5 <0.5 1 2 17 1 <0.5[av] 6 1[aw] 1 <0.5 31 6 1 14
OpinionWay 14–16 May 2024 2,025 1 <1 2 7 <1 14 6 <1 1 1 16 2 7 1 1 31 8 2 15
Ifop 13–16 May 2024 1,338 0.5 0.5 2.5 7 1 14.5 5.5 <0.5 0.5 1 2 16.5 1.5 8 0.5 0.5 32 5.5 0.5 15.5
OpinionWay 14–15 May 2024 1,006 1 <1 2 8 <1 14 6 <1 <1 1 16 2 7 <1 1 31 8 3 15
Cluster17 13–15 May 2024 1,285 0.5 0.5 2.5 8 1 14 5.5 0.5 1 0.5 1.5 15.5 1.5 6 1.5 1.5 29.5 6 2.5 14
Ifop 11–15 May 2024 1,348 0.5 0.5 2.5 7.5 0.5 14 5.5 0.5 0.5 2 16.5 1.5 8 0.5 1 32.5 5.5 0.5 16
YouGov 6–15 May 2024 1,028 1 <1 2 6 1 13 5 <1[ax] 2 1 17 2 <1[av] 6 2 2 32 6 2 15
Ipsos 13–14 May 2024 1,530 0.5 0.5 2 8 <0.5 14.5 6.5 0.5 1.5 1 16 1.5 7 1 1 31 6 1.5 15
Ifop 10–14 May 2024 1,348 0.5 <0.5 2.5 7.5 <0.5 14 6 <0.5 0.5 1.5 17 1.5 8 1 1 32.5 6 0.5 15.5
Harris Interactive 10–13 May 2024 2,294 0.5 0.5 3 8 0.5 14 5.5 0.5 1 0.5 1 15 2 7 1 1 31.5 5 2.5 16.5
Ifop 9–13 May 2024 1,348 0.5 0.5 2.5 8 <0.5 14 6 <0.5 0.5 1 17 1 7.5 1 1 32.5 6 1 15.5
Ifop 6–10 May 2024 1,325 0.5 0.5 2.5 8.5 0.5 13.5 6.5 0.5 1 1 17 1.5 7.5 1 1 32 6.5 0.5 15
Cluster17 6–9 May 2024 1,208 0.5 0.5 2 8.5 0.5 13 6 0.5 1 0.5 2 15.5 1.5 6.5 1.5 1.5 29.5 6 3 14
Ifop 5–9 May 2024 1,325 0.5 0.5 2.5 8.5 0.5 13 6.5 0.5 1 1 17 1.5 7.5 1 1 31.5 6.5 0.5 14.5
OpinionWay 6–7 May 2024 1,029 1 <1 3 6 <1 14 6 <1 1 1 17 2 6 1 1 30 8 3 13
Ifop 3–7 May 2024 1,325 0.5 0.5 2.5 8.5 0.5 13 6.5 0.5 1 1 16.5 1.5 8 1 1 31.5 6 0.5 15
OpinionWay 5–6 May 2024 1,026 1 <1 3 7 <1 14 7 <1 1 <1 16 1 7 1 1 31 7 3 15
Ifop 2–6 May 2024 1,325 0.5 0.5 3 8 0.5 13 6.5 0.5 1 1.5 16 1 8 0.5 1 32 6 0.5 16
Elabe 30 Apr3 May 2024 1,375 1 0.5 2 8.5 0.5 12 8 <0.5 1.5 1 16.5 1 <0.5 6.5 0.5 1 32 5 2.5 15.5
Harris Interactive 30 Apr3 May 2024 2,043 0.5 0.5 2.5 8.5 0.5 14 5.5 0.5 1 0.5 1 15 2 <0.5 7 1 1 31 5.5 2.5 16
Ifop 30 Apr3 May 2024 1,345 0.5 0.5 3 7.5 0.5 13.5 6.5 <0.5 1 2 16.5 1 <0.5 7.5 0.5 1 31.5 6.5 0.5 15
OpinionWay 29–30 Apr 2024 1,075 <1 2 6 <1 14 7 <1 1 1 17 2 <1 7 1 2 31 7 3 14
Ifop 29 Apr2 May 2024 1,375 <0.5 0.5 3 7.5 0.5 13.5 7 <0.5 1 1.5 16.5 1.5 <0.5 7.5 1 1 31 6.5 0.5 14.5
Cluster17 29 Apr1 May 2024 1,337 1 0.5 2.5 8 0.5 13 6 0.5 0.5 0.5 2 15.5 1.5 0.5 6 1 2 29.5 5.5 2 14
OpinionWay 29–30 Apr 2024 1,009 1 4 7 <1 14 7 0.5 1 0.5 17 1 0.5 7 1 1 29 8 1 12
Ifop 26–30 Apr 2024 1,360 <0.5 0.5 3 7 0.5 14 7 0.5 1 1 16 1.5 0.5 7.5 0.5 1 31.5 6.5 0.5 15.5
Harris Interactive 24–26 Apr 2024 2,319 0.5 0.5 2 9 <0.5 13 6 0.5 0.5 0.5 1 16 2 <0.5 7 1 1 31 6 2 15
Ifop 25–29 Apr 2024 1,345 <0.5 0.5 2.5 7 <0.5 14.5 7.5 0.5 1 1.5 16 1.5 0.5 8 0.5 0.5 31.5 6 0.5 15.5
Odoxa 25–26 Apr 2024 1,005 1.5 1 2.5 7 <0.5 12 7 0.5 1.5 1.5 15.5 1.5 <0.5 8 1 1.5 32 5.5 0.5 16.5
BVA 25–26 Apr 2024 1,434 1 1 1.5 6.5 13 8 <0.5 1.5 3 17 1 <0.5 6 1[aw] 1 1 31 5.5 1 14
Ifop 23–26 Apr 2024 1,345 0.5 0.5 2 7.5 <0.5 14 8 0.5 1 1.5 16.5 1 0.5 8 0.5 0.5 31.5 5.5 0.5 15
OpinionWay 24–25 Apr 2024 1,011 1 3 6 <1 14 6 <1 1 1 18 1 <1 7 1 2 29 8 3 11
Cluster17 23–25 Apr 2024 1,164 0.5 0.5 3 8 1 12.5 6.5 1 0.5 1 2 16 2 0.5 6 1 1.5 29.5 6 2 13.5
Ifop 22–25 Apr 2024 1,350 0.5 0.5 2.5 7.5 0.5 13 8 <0.5 1.5 1 17.5 1 0.5 8 0.5 <0.5 31 5.5 1 13.5
OpinionWay 23–24 Apr 2024 1,007 1 3 8 <1 13 7 <1 1 2 18 2 <1 6 1 1 30 6 1 12
Ifop 20–24 Apr 2024 1,335 0.5 0.5 2.5 7 0.5 12.5 7.5 <0.5 1.5 1.5 17.5 1.5 0.5 8.5 <0.5 0.5 31 5.5 1 13.5
Ipsos 19–24 Apr 2024 10,651 0.5 1 2.5 7 0.5 14 6.5 0.5 1 1 17 1 <0.5 6.5 1 1 32 5.5 1.5 15
Ifop 19–23 Apr 2024 1,335 0.5 0.5 2.5 7 0.5 12 7.5 0.5 2 1.5 17 1 0.5 8 0.5 0.5 31.5 5.5 1 14.5
Harris Interactive 19–22 Apr 2024 2,319 0.5 0.5 3 8 <0.5 13 6 0.5 0.5 0.5 1 16 2 0.5 7 1 1 31 6 1.5 15
Ifop 18–22 Apr 2024 1,339 0.5 0.5 2 7 0.5 12 7.5 0.5 2 2 17 1 1 8 <0.5 1 31.5 5.5 0.5 14.5
Ifop 16–19 Apr 2024 1,371 0.5 0.5 2 8 0.5 11.5 7.5 0.5 1.5 2 17.5 1 0.5 8 <0.5 1 31.5 5.5 0.5 14
OpinionWay 17–18 Apr 2024 1,021 <1 3 7 <1 13 7 <1 2 1 19 1 <1 7 1 1 29 7 2 10
Ifop 15–18 Apr 2024 1,376 1 0.5 2.5 8 <0.5 11.5 7.5 0.5 1.5 1.5 17.5 0.5 0.5 8 <0.5 1 32 5.5 0.5 14.5
OpinionWay 16–17 Apr 2024 1,002 1 4 8 <1 12 6 <1 1 1 19 2 <1 7 1 1 29 6 2 10
Ifop 13–17 Apr 2024 1,364 0.5 0.5 2.5 7.5 0.5 11.5 7.5 <0.5 2 1.5 17.5 0.5 0.5 8 <0.5 1 32.5 5.5 0.5 15
Ifop 12–16 Apr 2024 1,349 0.5 <0.5 3 7 <0.5 12 7.5 <0.5 1.5 1.5 18 1 0.5 8 <0.5 0.5 32.5 6 0.5 14.5
Harris Interactive 12–15 Apr 2024 2,005 0.5 0.5 3 8 <0.5 14 6 0.5 0.5 0.5 1 16 2 0.5 7 0.5 1 30 6 2.5 14
Ifop 11–15 Apr 2024 1,326 0.5 <0.5 3 7.5 <0.5 12 7 <0.5 1 1.5 18 1 0.5 8 <0.5 1 32.5 6 0.5 14.5
Ifop 9–12 Apr 2024 1,347 0.5 0.5 3 8 <0.5 12.5 6.5 0.5 1 1 18 1 <0.5 8.5 0.5 0.5 31.5 6 0.5 13.5
Ipsos 10–11 Apr 2024 1,500 1 0.5 3 7 0.5 13 7 0.5 1 1.5 16 0.5 0.2 6.5 1 1 32 6.5 1.5 16
Cluster17 9–11 Apr 2024 1,164 0.5 0.5 2.5 8.5 1 12 6 1 0.5 1 1.5 17 1 0.5 6 1.5 1.5 29 6 2 12
Ifop 8–11 Apr 2024 1,355 0.5 0.5 3 8 0.5 12.5 6 0.5 1 1.5 18 0.5 <0.5 8.5 0.5 0.5 31 6.5 0.5 13
Ifop 6–10 Apr 2024 1,343 0.5 0.5 2.5 8 0.5 12 5.5 0.5 1.5 1 18.5 1 <0.5 8.5 0.5 0.5 31.5 6.5 0.5 13
Ifop 5–9 Apr 2024 1,335 1 0.5 3 7.5 <0.5 12 5.5 0.5 1.5 1 18.5 0.5 <0.5 8 0.5 1 32 6.5 0.5 13.5
YouGov 3–9 Apr 2024 1,028 2 2 5 12 6 1[ax] 1 1 19 <1 7 2[aw] 29 9 2 10
Harris Interactive 5–8 Apr 2024 2,018 1 3 9 12 6 0.5 1 1 1 17 1 0.5 7 0.5 0.5 30 6 3.5 13
Ifop 4–8 Apr 2024 1,343 1 0.5 3 7.5 0.5 11 6.5 <0.5 1 2 19 <0.5 <0.5 7.5 0.5 1 32 6 1 13
OpinionWay 3–5 Apr 2024 1,509 1 2 7 12 7 <1[ax] 1 2 19 2 <1 8 1 29 7 2 10
Elabe 2–4 Apr 2024 1,504 1.5 2.5 7.5 12 8.5 0.5 2 1 16.5 1 <0.5 7 0.5 0.5 30 5.5 3.5 13.5
Harris Interactive 28–29 Mar 2024 2,220 1 3 8 13 6 0.5 0.5 0.5 1 17 1 0.5 7 0.5 1 31 6 2.5 14
BVA 27–28 Mar 2024 1,518 1 0.5 2.5 7 11 6 <0.5 0.5 <0.5 1 20 1 <0.5 8 3[aw] 1 1 30 5.5 1 10
Harris Interactive 22–25 Mar 2024 2,027 1 3 7 12 7 0.5 0.5 0.5 1 18 1 0.5 7 2 0.5 0.5 30 6 2 12
Ifop 19–20 Mar 2024 1,112 0.5 3 6 11 7 0.5 1.5 1.5 21 1 0.5 7 2 0.5 0.5 30 6 0.5 9
Harris Interactive 15–18 Mar 2024 2,124 1 2 8 13 7 0.5 0.5 1 0.5 1 18 1 0.5 7 2 0.5 0.5 30 6 1 12
OpinionWay 13–14 Mar 2024 1,008 1 2 6 11 8 1[ax] 1 1 20 1 <1 8 3 1 27 6 3 7
Cluster17 8–9 Mar 2024 1,016 0.5 3 8 10 8 0.5 1.5 1 17 2 0.5 7 3 1 29 6 2 12
Elabe 5–7 Mar 2024 1,504 2 3 7.5 8.5 9.5 <0.5 1.5 1.5 17 1 7 3 0.5 29.5 4.5 3 12.5
YouGov 26 Feb7 Mar 2024 1,008 1 2 6 10 7 <1[ax] 1 2 20 1 6 3 33 5 3 13
Ipsos 1–6 Mar 2024 11,700 1 3.5 7 11.5 8.5 0.5 1.5 18 0.5 7 2.5 0.5 0.5 31 5 1.5 13
Ipsos 23 Feb5 Mar 2024 2,000 3.0 7 12.2 8.1 18.1 7.6 2.5 30.7 5.5 5.4 12.6
Ifop 29 Feb1 Mar 2024 1,348 1 3.5 8 9 8 1[ax] 1 2 19 <0.5 1.5 <0.5 8 1.5 0.5 <0.5 29 6 1 10
BVA 27–28 Feb 2024 1,344 2 3 7 11 7 <0.5 1.5 <0.5 1.5 18[ay] 0.5 0.5 <0.5 8 2 0.5 0.5 30 6 1 12
Odoxa 21–22 Feb 2024 1,005 1.5 1.5 6 11 8.5 <0.5 19[az] 1 8.5 4 30 7 2 11
Stack Data Strategy 17–22 Feb 2024 799 0.5 3.1 9.9 9.9 5.6 2.8[ax] 2.6 1.4 14.5[ba] 1.3 4.7 3.1 31.5 6.5 3.2 16.0
OpinionWay 14–15 Feb 2024 1,009 <1 3 7 10 8 2[ax] 1 <1 19 1 <1 8 2 1 27 8 3 8
Elabe 7–9 Feb 2024 1,426 1.5 2.5 9 9 9.5 <0.5 2 2 16.5 1 8 3 0.5 27.5 5 3 11
Ifop 7–8 Feb 2024 1,356 1.5 3.5 7 9.5 8 1.5[ax] 1.5 1.5 19[az] 0.5 0.5 <0.5 7 1 0.5 0.5 29 6.5 1.5 10
1 3 7.5 10.5 8.5 1[ax] 1 1 19[ba] 1 1 <0.5 7.5 1.5 1 <0.5 28.5 6 1.5 9.5
1 3.5 8 10.5 8 1.5[ax] 1.5 1.5 18[ay] 0.5 0.5 <0.5 7.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 28 6 1.5 10
YouGov 29 Jan7 Feb 2024 1,001 1 2 8 8 8 1[ax] 1 1 19[bb] 1 6 2 32 8 3 13
Portland 24–31 Jan 2024 469 2 3 6 9 9 1 14 1 8 3 33 6 5 19
OpinionWay 17–18 Jan 2024 1,019 1 4 8 10 6 2[ax] 1 1 20 <1 <1 8 2 27 7 3 7
Ifop 16–17 Jan 2024 1,348 0.5 4 7.5 9.5 7 1.5[ax] 1.5 1 19[bb] <0.5 0.5 <0.5 6.5 2 <0.5 0.5 31 7 1 12
Harris Interactive 12–15 Jan 2024 1,217 1 3 7 11 8 1 2 1 19[bb] 1 8 2.5 28 6 1.5 9
Ifop 12–15 Jan 2024 875 1 4 6.5 9 9 1 20[bb] 1 7.5 3 30 6 2 10
YouGov 8–15 Jan 2024 1,004 2 2 2 7 8 9 20[bc] 6 4 30 7 3 10
Cluster17 13–14 Jan 2024 1,209 1 3 7.5 11 8 0.5 1.5 1 18[bb] 1 7 3 28.5 7 2 10.5
Elabe 10–12 Jan 2024 1,400 1.5 3 7.5 9.5 8.5 0.5 1.5 1 18[bc] 1 8.5 2.5 0.5 28.5 5 3 10.5
Ifop 3–5 Jan 2024 1,090 0.5 3 6 10 9 3[ax] 2.5 1.5 17[bc] 0.5 0.5 0.5 8 2 0.5 0.5 28 6.5 0.5 11
Odoxa 13–14 Dec 2023 1,004 2.5 3 6.5 9 6 0.5 21[bc] 0.5 9 2 31 6 3 10
OpinionWay 13–14 Dec 2023 1 3 6 10 8 2[ax] <1 1 19 <1 <1 9 3 27 8 3 8
Ipsos 29 Nov12 Dec 2023 11,691 1.5 3 7.5 10.5 9.5 0.5 20[bc] 0.5 8 2.5 28 6.5 2 8
Ifop 8–11 Dec 2023 1,062 1.5 4.5 7 10 8 1.5 18[bc] 1 7.5 2.5 30 7.5 1 12
OpinionWay 15–16 Nov 2023 2 3 7 9 8 3[ax] <1 1 19 <1 8 2 28 7 3 9
Ipsos 9–10 Nov 2023 1,412 2 2 8.5 10 10 22[bd] 6 2 29 6 2.5 7
2 2 8.5 10.5 10.5 20[bc] 6.5 2 29 6 3 9
Ifop 12–13 Oct 2023 1,515 1 5 9 9 8 2 20[bc] 8 2 28 6 2 8
1 5 9 9 9 1.5 20[be] 8.5 2.5 28 5 1 8
Ifop 30–31 Aug 2023 1,126 1 5 10 9 8 2 21[bc] 8 3 25 6.5 1.5 4
2 6 12[bf] 10 2 23[bc] 9 3 25 7 2 2
1 5 9[bg] 10 8 1.5 21[bc] 9 3 25 6.5 1 4
Cluster17 16–19 Aug 2023 983 1.5 3 22.5 2.5 5 2.5 20.5[bc] 7 3 23 7 2.5 0.5
1.5 20.5 7.5 2.5 3 2.5 20[bc] 7 3 23.5 7 2 3
1.5 25[bh] 2.5 4 2.5 20[bc] 7.5 4 24 7 2 1
1 25[bi] 3 4 3 20[bc] 7.5 3.5 24 7 1.5 1
2 23[bj] 3 4.5 3 21[bc] 7.5 3 24 7 2 1
2 25[bk] 2.5 4.5 2.5 20[bc] 7 4 24 7 1.5 1
Ifop 4–5 Jul 2023 1,008 1 4 8 9 9 20[bc] 11 4 26 7 1 6
Ipsos 16–26 Jun 2023 10,631 1.5 4 8.5 10 10 21[bc] 9 2.5 24 6.5 3 3
2 24 24[bc] 10 3 25 7 5 1
1.5 5 9.5 15 23[bc] 9 2.5 25 6.5 3 2
Elabe 19–21 Jun 2023 1,397 1.5 2 8.5 9.5 11 22.5 8.5 2.5 26 5.5 2.5 3.5
1.5 24.5 26 9 2.5 27 5.5 4 1
Cluster17 17–19 May 2023 1,760 2 4 11 9 11 19.5[bc] 7.5 3 24 6.5 3.5 4.5
2 27 23[bc] 8.5 4 25.5 7 3 1.5
Ifop 10–11 May 2023 1,310 1 5 10 10 10 19[bc] 8 3 25 6 3 6
2 26[bl] 22[bc] 11 3 26 6 4 Tie
Harris Interactive 5–9 May 2023 1,262 2 23[bm] 3 26 13 2 21 5 5 3
1 19[bm] 5 6 3 24 12 2 20 5 3 4
1 3 9 10 11 1 23 12 2 20 5 3 3
2019 European election 26 May 2019 0.8 [bn] 2.5 6.3 6.2 13.5 1.8[bo] [bp] 0.1 [bq] 0.1 2.2 24.9[br] 8.5 3.5 1.2 0.6 23.3 7.0 0.9

Germany[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Union
EPP
Grüne
G/EFA
SPD
S&D
AfD
NI
Linke
Left
FDP
Renew
PARTEI
NI
FW
Renew
Tiersch.
Left
ÖDP
G/EFA
FAM
EPP
Volt
G/EFA
PIRAT
G/EFA
BSW
NILeft
Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 6–7 Jun 2024 1,000 30 13.5 12.5 15.5 2.5 4.5 2.5 7.5 11.5 14.5
Wahlkreisprognose 4–6 Jun 2024 1,300 31 14.5 14.5 14 2.5 4 2 6.5 11 16.5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 5–6 Jun 2024 1,223 30 14 14 14 3 4 3 7 13 16
Ipsos 29 May–5 Jun 2024 2,000 30 15 15 14 3 5 3 7 8 15
Wahlkreisprognose 27 May1 Jun 2024 2,000 30.5 15 13.5 15 3 4 1.5 2.5 1.5 6 7.5 15.5
INSA 30–31 May 2024 1,001 29 13 14 16 3 4 3 7 11 13
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 27–29 May 2024 1,197 30 15 14 14 4 4 6 13 15
Infratest dimap 27–29 May 2024 1,515 29 14 15 14 3 4 3 6 12 14
INSA 23–24 May 2024 1,002 30 13 14 17 3 4 3 7 9 13
Wahlkreisprognose 13–21 May 2024 2,600 31 15 12.5 16 3 3.5 1.5 2.5 2 6.5 6.5 15
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 14–16 May 2024 1,247 31 15 14 15 3 4 5 13 16
INSA 10–13 May 2024 2,100 29 13 15.5 17 4 4 3 2 7 5.5 12
YouGov 3–8 May 2024 1,247 29 15 16 20 4 4 6 6 9
Infratest dimap 29–30 Apr 2024 1,323 30 15 14 15 4 7 15 15
INSA 25–26 Apr 2024 1,202 29 13 16 17 4 4 3 7 7 12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 23–25 Apr 2024 1,228 30 17 15 15 3 3 4 13 13
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 9–11 Apr 2024 1,254 30 15 16 16 3 3 5 12 14
INSA 5–8 Apr 2024 2,100 28.5 11.5 16.5 19 4 5 3 2 6 4 9.5
Ipsos 23 Feb–02 Mar 2024 2,613 29 16 17 16 4 4 7 4 12
Forsa 12–13 Mar 2024 1,008 34 14 16 15 2 3 3 4 9 18
INSA 8–11 Mar 2024 2,100 28.5 11 16 20 4.5 6 1 2.5 2 0.5 0.5 0.5 5.5 1.5 8.5
Ipsos 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 2,613 29 16 17 16 4 4 3 7 4[bs] 12
Wahlkreisprognose 24–29 Feb 2024 1,900 31.5 16 12 16 2 3 1.5 3.5 2.5 7.5 4.5 15.5
Stack Data Strategy 17–22 Feb 2024 980 25.5 9.8 16.5 15.1 2.7 6.0 3.2 4.1 3.1 1.3 1.2 9.3 3.4 9.0
INSA 8–12 Feb 2024 2,101 27 10.5 16 22 4.5 3 1 3.5 3 1 1 1 5.5 1.5 5
Portland 24–31 Jan 2024 555 29 13 16 17 3 5 1 3 3 0 0 1 1 6 2 12
Wahlkreisprognose 11–18 Jan 2024 1,440 28 13 9 23 3 4.5 1.5 5 1.5 7 4.5 5
Wahlkreisprognose 1–7 Dec 2023 1,440 31 12 10 25 3 3 1.5 2.5 2 7 3 6
INSA 31 Jul 2023 1,001 26 15 19 23 5 7 6 3
Wahlkreisprognose 7–14 Jul 2023 1,040 23 13.5 15 22 2.5 3.5 2 3 1.5 8.5 5.5 1
Wahlkreisprognose 15–16 Dec 2022 1,100 22 21 21 18.5 3.5 3.5 2 3.5 2.5 2.5 1
Wahlkreisprognose 24–26 Feb 2022 1,722 22 19.5 22.5 12.5 3 7.5 2.5 3 2 5.5 0.5
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 24.2 14.7 25.7 10.4 4.9 11.4 1.0 2.4 1.5 0.2 0.4 0.4 2.9 1.6
2019 European election 26 May 2019 28.9 20.5 15.8 11.0 5.5 5.4 2.4 2.2 1.4 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 3.8 8.4

Greece[edit]

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size ND
EPP
SYRIZA
Left
PASOK
S&D
KKE
NI
XA[bt]
NI
EL
ECR
MeRA25
Left
PE
NI
R
NI
Antarsya
NI
SP
NI
NIKI
NI
FL
ECR
NA
Left
DIMO
Renew
KOS
G/EFA
PAT
NI
Other Lead
Alco/Alpha[137] 13–15 May 2024 1,000 32.5 16.0 13.0 9.0 10.0 2.2 3.3 3.5 2.4 2.9 2.5 3.0 16.5
Pulse RC/Skai[138] 13–15 May 2024 1,104 33.0 16.0 12.5 8.0 9.0 3.0 3.5 3.5 2.4 3.0 2.1 1.2 2.8 17.0
MARC/ANT1[139] 10–15 May 2024 1,209 33.8 15.2 12.2 8.0 8.3 3.0 4.5 3.2 2.8 3.0 2.5 3.3 18.6
MRB/Open[140] 10–14 May 2024 1,100 32.3 16.0 14.0 8.0 9.9 2.2 3.4 2.9 2.8 3.8 2.4 2.2 16.3
Interview/Politic[141] 8–13 May 2024 2,405 33.3 17.2 12.2 6.7 7.8 2.7 3.4 5.0 11.8 16.1
Good Affairs/To Vima[142] 31.8 16.1 11.8 8.3 10.3 2.3 3.1 4.2 2.1 2.8 2.6 1.1 15.7
Marc/Proto Thema[143] 18–25 Apr 2024 1,049 33.4 14.7 11.4 8.5 9.8 2.4 5.4 2.4 3.4 2.2 2.5 1.7 2.2 18.7
GPO/Parapolitika[144] 17–22 Apr 2024 1,400 33.6 16.3 13.5 8.8 9.1 2.1 3.1 2.4 3.4 2.7 2.2 2.8 17.3
Metron Analysis/Mega[145] 10–16 Apr 2024 1,304 32.3 15.4 12.0 9.8 8.3 1.6 4.2 2.5 3.6 1.4 3.1 2.0 1.0 2.8 16.9
Prorata/Attica[146] 5–10 Apr 2024 1,000 29.5 15.0 12.7 9.2 9.8 2.3 4.6 1.7 3.5 1.7 4.0 1.7 1.2 3.0 14.5
Opinion Poll/Action 24[147] 8–10 Apr 2024 1,006 32.1 15.0 12.4 8.5 10.7 1.3 3.7 2.6 3.7 1.4 3.2 3.0 2.3 17.1
Interview/Politic[148][149] 4–8 Apr 2024 2,355 27.7 16.1 12.7 6.9 11.8 2.4 2.8 1.7 1.2 4.3 2.3 4.7 2.2 3.2 11.6
Alco/Alpha[150] 2–5 Apr 2024 1,000 29.9 14.3 13.3 9.4 9.6 2.3 4.1 2.7 4.2 1.4 3.0 2.2 3.5 15.6
Palmos Analysis/Eleftheros Typos[151] 1–4 Apr 2024 1,008 31.8 14.1 13.0 9.4 10.3 4.2 3.3 3.5 4.0 6.6 17.7
GPO/Parapolitika[152] 1–3 Apr 2024 1,000 33.4 15.9 14.2 9.0 9.5 1.8 3.0 2.2 3.3 2.2 2.2 3.3 17.5
MRB/Open[153] 1–3 Apr 2024 1,000 31.5 15.9 13.4 8.1 9.9 1.9 4.3 2.1 3.6 1.8 3.8 1.6 2.3 15.6
Pulse RC/Skai[154] 1–3 Apr 2024 1,105 33.0 15.0 12.5 8.5 9.0 2.5 3.5 3.0 3.5 1.8 3.0 1.8 2.9 18.0
Opinion Poll/Action24[155] 15–20 Mar 2024 1,010 34.4 13.4 12.5 9.4 10.1 1.9 2.9 2.5 4.3 2.9 2.8 2.8 21.0
Metron Analysis/Mega[156] 12–19 Mar 2024 1,317 31.4 15.1 13.0 10.1 9.7 1.9 4.3 0.6 2.0 3.2 2.4 3.0 1.0 0.6 1.7 16.3
Good Affairs/To Vima[157] 12–14 Mar 2024 3,229 30.8 13.1 12.9 8.2 9.8 2.2 2.1 2.2 3.6 2.5 2.9 1.5 17.7
Marc/Proto Thema[158] 11–14 Mar 2024 1,086 36.2 13.4 12.6 9.4 9.2 2.4 3.1 2.6 2.8 2.6 2.1 3.7 22.8
GPO/Star[159] 11–13 Mar 2024 1,200 34.8 14.3 13.9 9.5 8.0 2.3 2.9 1.8 3.4 3.0 2.6 3.5 20.5
Interview/Politic[160] 7–11 Mar 2024 2,250 29.1 14.4 12.4 7.1 12.0 2.5 1.8 4.6 4.9 11.3 14.7
Alco/Alpha[161] 1–6 Mar 2024 1,000 32.8 12.7 14.1 10.8 7.9 2.8 3.6 2.9 4.5 3.4 4.0 18.7
Ipsos/Euronews[162] 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 1,000 35.0 13.6 13.4 9.0 8.7 <3.0 3.2 2.9 4.0 3.3 3.9 21.4
Pulse RC/Skai[163] 27 Feb–1 Mar 2024 1,106 35.5 14.0 14.0 9.0 8.5 2.5 3.0 3.0 4.0 3.0 3.5 21.5
GPO/Parapolitika[164] 26–29 Feb 2024 1,000 36.4 13.5 14.4 10.7 8.2 2.4 2.7 2.2 3.4 2.9 3.2 22.0
Opinion Poll/Action24[165] 21–27 Feb 2024 1,504 33.9 11.9 13.9 10.1 10.2 2.6 3.5 2.7 4.2 3.3 3.7 20.0
Opinion Poll/Action24[166] 13–16 Feb 2024 1,004 34.3 12.5 14.6 9.4 9.5 2.4 3.7 2.7 3.8 3.3 3.8 19.7
Interview/Politic[167] 6–12 Feb 2024 2,155 33.3 14.2 12.8 8.3 9.1 2.6 2.1 5.1 5.1 9.7 19.1
Alco/Alpha[168] 1–7 Feb 2024 1,201 34.5 12.6 15.0 11.2 7.5 2.2 3.1 2.8 3.9 2.6 4.3 19.5
GPO/Star[169] 20–25 Jan 2024 1,100 38.8 14.0 14.2 9.6 7.2 2.7 2.6 2.2 3.3 3.0 2.4 24.6
MRB/Open[170] 22–24 Jan 2024 1,000 36.1 12.1 12.1 9.3 9.5 2.8 4.0 2.8 3.7 2.7 4.8 24.0
Marc/Ant1[171] 17–23 Jan 2024 1,092 37.1 12.6 16.8 9.4 7.0 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.1 2.4 2.6 20.3
Interview/Politic[172] 10–15 Jan 2024 2,388 31.5 14.1 14.2 10.8 8.0 2.3 2.6 5.2 4.1 7.2 17.3
Prorata/Attica[173] 5–9 Jan 2024 1,000 36.6 12.8 15.9 11.0 6.1 1.8 3.0 3.7 3.7 3.7 1.8 20.7
Alco/Alpha[174] 2–5 Jan 2024 1,002 35.3 13.8 14.3 11.3 6.9 2.4 3.3 3.2 3.3 2.7 3.6 21.0
Interview/Politic[175] 4–8 Dec 2023 2,356 34.0 16.1 14.4 7.9 7.6 3.0 2.3 3.8 2.9 7.9 17.9
GPO/Parapolitika[176] 5–7 Dec 2023 1,000 41.7 12.1 13.5 10.3 6.6 1.9 2.1 3.4 2.4 3.7 2.3 28.3
2019 election 26 May 2019 33.1 23.8 7.7 5.4 4.9 4.2 3.0[bu] 1.6 0.7 0.4 1.5[bv] 13.7 9.3

Hungary[edit]

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample size Fidesz-KDNP
NIEPP
Momentum
Renew
DK
S&D
MSZP
S&D
P
G/EFA
LMP
G/EFA
Jobbik
NI
MMN
EPP
Our Homeland
ID
MKKP
G/EFA
MEMO
EPP
NP
NI
2RK
NI
TISZA
EPP
Other Lead
Publicus 3–5 June 2024 1,001 43 4 15 1 2 5 4 25 1 18
Medián 27-29 May 2024 1,000 48 5 9 0 1 1 6 2 1 29 19
IDEA 20–29 May 2024 1,500 44 4 12 0 0 1 5 4 2 26 2 18
Társadalomkutató May 2024 4,000 51 1 8 2 1 1 4 5 1 25 26
Real-PR 93 27-29 May 2024 1,000 45 1 10 1 1 5 7 1 2 28 17
Alapjogokért Központ