2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan

2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan

← 2016 November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06) 2020 →
All 14 Michigan seats to the United States House of Representatives
Turnout	57.8%
Majority party Minority party   Party Democratic Republican Last election 5 9 Seats before 4 9 Seats won 7 7 Seat change 2 2 Popular vote 2,165,586 1,847,480 Percentage 52.33% 44.65% Swing 5.36% 3.38%
Congressional district results County results Democratic   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90% Republican   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%

Elections in Michigan
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v t e

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the 14 U.S. representatives from the state of Michigan, one from each of the state's 14 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other offices, including a gubernatorial election, other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The filing deadline for candidates filing for the August 7 primary was April 24, 2018.^[1] Unless otherwise indicated, the Cook Political Report rated the congressional races as safe for the party of the incumbent.

Two seats shifted from Republican to Democratic control. In the 8th Congressional District, Elissa Slotkin defeated incumbent Mike Bishop and in an open seat for the 11th Congressional District, Haley Stevens defeated Lena Epstein.^[2] This left Michigan's U.S. House delegation in the 116th United States Congress with seven Democrats and seven Republicans until July 4, 2019, when Justin Amash of the 3rd Congressional District left the Republican Party to become an independent, shifting the balance of power in Michigan's House delegation to a Democratic plurality for the first time since 2011.

Results summary[edit]

Statewide[edit]

Party		Candi- dates	Votes		Seats
			No.	%	No.	+/–	%
	Democratic Party	14	2,165,586	52.33%	7	2	50.00%
	Republican Party	13	1,847,480	44.65%	7	2	50.00%
	Working Class Party	5	52,879	1.28%	0		0.00%
	U.S. Taxpayers' Party	4	27,007	0.65%	0		0.00%
	Independent	3	18,299	0.44%	0		0.00%
	Green Party	3	14,805	0.36%	0		0.00%
	Libertarian Party	2	12,095	0.29%	0		0.00%
Total		44	4,138,151	100.00%	14		100.00%

Popular vote Democratic   52.33% Republican   44.65% Working Class Party   1.28% Other   1.74%

House seats Republican   50.00% Democratic   50.00%

District[edit]

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan by district:^[3]

District	Democratic		Republican		Others		Total		Result
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
District 1	145,246	43.68%	187,251	56.32%	0	0.00%	332,497	100.00%	Republican hold
District 2	131,254	42.97%	168,970	55.32%	5,239	1.72%	305,463	100.00%	Republican hold
District 3	134,185	43.18%	169,107	54.42%	7,448	2.40%	310,740	100.00%	Republican hold
District 4	106,540	37.38%	178,510	62.62%	0	0.00%	285,050	100.00%	Republican hold
District 5	164,502	59.51%	99,265	35.91%	12,646	4.58%	276,413	100.00%	Democratic hold
District 6	134,082	45.69%	147,436	50.24%	11,920	4.06%	293,438	100.00%	Republican hold
District 7	136,330	46.20%	158,730	53.80%	0	0.00%	295,060	100.00%	Republican hold
District 8	172,880	50.61%	159,782	46.78%	8,931	2.61%	341,593	100.00%	Democratic gain
District 9	181,734	59.67%	112,123	36.81%	10,706	3.52%	304,563	100.00%	Democratic hold
District 10	106,061	35.00%	182,808	60.32%	14,195	4.68%	303,064	100.00%	Republican hold
District 11	181,912	51.84%	158,463	45.16%	10,526	3.00%	350,901	100.00%	Democratic gain
District 12	200,588	68.08%	85,115	28.89%	8,925	3.03%	294,628	100.00%	Democratic hold
District 13	165,355	84.24%	0	0.00%	30,944	15.76%	196,299	100.00%	Democratic hold
District 14	214,334	80.88%	45,899	17.32%	4,761	1.80%	264,994	100.00%	Democratic hold
Total	2,175,003	52.35%	1,853,459	44.61%	126,241	3.04%	4,154,703	100.00%

District 1[edit]

2018 Michigan's 1st congressional district election

← 2016 2020 →

Nominee Jack Bergman Matthew Morgan Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 187,251 145,246 Percentage 56.3% 43.7%

County results Precinct results Bergman:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90% Morgan      50–60%      60–70%      70–80% Tie:      50%      No votes

U.S. Representative before election Jack Bergman Republican Elected U.S. Representative Jack Bergman Republican

The 1st district consists of the entire Upper Peninsula of Michigan and the northern part of the Lower Peninsula including Alpena, Marquette, and Traverse City. This district has a PVI of R+9. The district, which makes up about 44% of the land area of the state of Michigan, is the second-largest congressional district east of the Mississippi River by land area. The incumbent was Republican Jack Bergman, who had represented the district since 2017. He was elected to replace retiring representative Dan Benishek with 55% of the vote in 2016. The Cook Political Report rated this race "likely Republican."^[4]

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Jack Bergman, incumbent U.S. Representative

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Jack Bergman (incumbent)	83,272	100.0
Total votes			83,272	100.0

Democratic primary[edit]

Matt Morgan was the only Democrat to file to run. However, he was removed from the ballot because he used a PO box address on his nomination petitions instead of his residential address. Instead, Morgan ran a write-in campaign, hoping to qualify for the ballot by winning at least five percent of the total votes cast in the district for the Democratic gubernatorial primary.^[5] Over 4,800 votes were cast in Marquette County, which would have been enough by itself to qualify Morgan for the ballot.^[6] According to official results, Democrats cast 29,293 write-in votes in the primary for Morgan, more than seven times the 3,781-vote threshold. On August 24, the Board of State Canvassers placed him on the November ballot.^[7]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Matthew W. Morgan, retired US Marine Corps lieutenant colonel and Iraq War veteran^[8]

Withdrawn[edit]

• Dwight Brady, professor^[8]

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Matthew W. Morgan (write-in)	29,293	100.0
Total votes			29,293	100.0

General election[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jack Bergman (R)	Matt Morgan (D)	Undecided
Change Research (D)	October 27–29, 2018	574	–	54%	42%	–

Predictions[edit]

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[13]	Likely R	November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[14]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15]	Likely R	November 5, 2018
RCP[16]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[17]	Likely R	November 5, 2018
538[18]	Likely R	November 7, 2018

Results[edit]

Michigan's 1st congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Jack Bergman (incumbent)	187,251	56.3
	Democratic	Matt Morgan	145,246	43.7
Total votes			332,497	100.0
	Republican hold

District 2[edit]

2018 Michigan's 2nd congressional district election

← 2016 2020 →

Nominee Bill Huizenga Rob Davidson Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 168,970 131,254 Percentage 55.3% 43.0%

County results Precinct results Huizenga:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90% Davidson      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%      No votes

U.S. Representative before election Bill Huizenga Republican Elected U.S. Representative Bill Huizenga Republican

The 2nd district is located in West Michigan and is anchored by the suburbs of Grand Rapids such as Kentwood and Wyoming, other cities include Holland and Muskegon. This district has a PVI of R+9. The incumbent was Republican Bill Huizenga, who had represented the district since 2011. He was re-elected to a fourth term with 63% of the vote in 2016.

Republican primary[edit]

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Bill Huizenga (incumbent)	79,620	100.0
Total votes			79,620	100.0

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Rob Davidson, ER doctor^[19][20]

Failed to qualify[edit]

• Nick Schiller, political newcomer^[8]

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Rob Davidson	52,221	100.0
Total votes			52,221	100.0

General election[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Bill Huizenga (R)	Rob Davidson (D)	Undecided
Lake Research Partners (D-Davidson)	October 11–15, 2018	400	± 4.9%	48%	42%	7%

Predictions[edit]

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[13]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[14]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15]	Likely R	November 5, 2018
RCP[16]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[17]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
538[18]	Likely R	November 7, 2018

Results[edit]

Michigan's 2nd congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Bill Huizenga (incumbent)	168,970	55.3
	Democratic	Rob Davidson	131,254	43.0
	Constitution	Ron Graeser	5,239	1.7
Total votes			305,463	100.0
	Republican hold

District 3[edit]

2018 Michigan's 3rd congressional district election

← 2016 2020 →

Nominee Justin Amash Cathy Albro Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 169,107 134,185 Percentage 54.4% 43.2%

County results Precinct results Amash:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90% Albro:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% Tie:      40–50%      No votes

U.S. Representative before election Justin Amash Republican Elected U.S. Representative Justin Amash Republican

The 3rd district is located in inland West Michigan, centered on the city of Grand Rapids, and extends down to Battle Creek and Marshall. This district has a PVI of R+6. The incumbent was Republican Justin Amash, who had represented the district since 2011. He was re-elected to a fourth term with 59% of the vote in 2016.

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Justin Amash, incumbent U.S. Representative^[20]

Failed to qualify[edit]

• Joe Farrington^[8]
• Matt Hall

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Justin Amash (incumbent)	69,817	99.9
	Republican	Joe Farrington (write-in)	52	0.1
Total votes			69,869	100.0

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Cathy Albro, educator

Eliminated in primary[edit]

• Fred Wooden, pastor^[20]

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Cathy Albro	42,619	68.2
	Democratic	Fred Wooden	19,903	31.8
Total votes			62,522	100.0

General election[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[13]	Likely R	November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[14]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15]	Likely R	November 5, 2018
RCP[16]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[17]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
538[18]	Safe R	November 7, 2018

Results[edit]

Michigan's 3rd congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Justin Amash (incumbent)	169,107	54.4
	Democratic	Cathy Albro	134,185	43.2
	Constitution	Ted Gerrard	7,445	2.4
	Independent	Joe Farrington (write-in)	3	0.0
Total votes			310,740	100.0
	Republican hold

District 4[edit]

2018 Michigan's 4th congressional district election

← 2016 2020 →

Nominee John Moolenaar Jerry Hillard Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 178,510 106,540 Percentage 62.6% 37.4%

County results Precinct results Moolenaar:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% Hillard:      50–60%      60–70%      No votes

U.S. Representative before election John Moolenaar Republican Elected U.S. Representative John Moolenaar Republican

The 4th district is located in Northern and Central Michigan including portions of the Tri-Cities region, specifically Midland, other cites include Mount Pleasant and the northern suburbs of Lansing. This district has a PVI of R+10. The incumbent was Republican John Moolenaar, who had represented the district since 2015. He was re-elected to a second term with 62% of the vote in 2016.

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• John Moolenaar, incumbent U.S. Representative

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	John Moolenaar (incumbent)	80,290	100.0
Total votes			80,290	100.0

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Jerry Hilliard

Eliminated in primary[edit]

• Zigmond Kozicki^[4]

Failed to qualify[edit]

• Dion Adams^[8]

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Jerry Hilliard	32,263	66.5
	Democratic	Zigmond Kozicki	16,261	33.5
Total votes			48,524	100.0

General election[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Results[edit]

Michigan's 4th congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	John Moolenaar (incumbent)	178,510	62.6
	Democratic	Jerry Hilliard	106,540	37.4
Total votes			285,050	100.0
	Republican hold

District 5[edit]

2018 Michigan's 5th congressional district election

← 2016 2020 →

Nominee Dan Kildee Travis Wines Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 164,502 99,265 Percentage 59.5% 35.9%

County results Precinct results

U.S. Representative before election Dan Kildee Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Dan Kildee Democratic

The 5th district is located along the eastern coast of Michigan, centered on the Tri-Cities region of Mid Michigan, such as Bay City and Saginaw, and stretches down into Flint. This district has a PVI of D+5. The incumbent was Democrat Dan Kildee, who had represented the district since 2013. He was re-elected to a third term with 61% of the vote in 2016. Kildee considered running for governor in 2018, but decided to run for re-election instead.^[21]

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Dan Kildee, incumbent U.S. Representative

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Dan Kildee (incumbent)	73,996	100.0
Total votes			73,996	100.0

Republican primary[edit]

Michigan's 5th district was included on the initial list of Democratic held seats being targeted by the National Republican Congressional Committee in 2018.^[22] There is one Republican candidate, Durand resident Travis Wines who lives outside the district.^[8]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Travis Wines

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Travis Wines	44,405	100.0
Total votes			44,405	100.0

General election[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Results[edit]

Michigan's 5th congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Dan Kildee (incumbent)	164,502	59.5
	Republican	Travis Wines	99,265	35.9
	Working Class	Kathy Goodwin	12,646	4.6
Total votes			276,413	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 6[edit]

2018 Michigan's 6th congressional district election

← 2016 2020 →

Nominee Fred Upton Matt Longjohn Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 147,436 134,082 Percentage 50.2% 45.7%

County results Precinct results Upton:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90% Longjohn:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%      No votes

U.S. Representative before election Fred Upton Republican Elected U.S. Representative Fred Upton Republican

The 6th district is located in Southwestern corner of Michigan, specifically the Michiana region. The district is anchored by Kalamazoo and the surrounding areas including Benton Harbor and Niles. This district has a PVI of R+4. The incumbent was Republican Fred Upton, who had represented the district since 1993 and previously represented the 4th district from 1987 to 1993. He was re-elected to a sixteenth term with 59% of the vote in 2016. The Cook Political Report rated this race as "likely Republican."^[4]

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Fred Upton, incumbent U.S. Representative

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Fred Upton (incumbent)	64,512	100.0
Total votes			64,512	100.0

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Matt Longjohn, physician and former National Health Officer for the YMCA^[23]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

• David Benac, professor^[24]
• Rich Eichholz, businessman and biologist^[25]
• George Franklin, former Kellogg Company executive^[26][27]

Failed to qualify

• Paul Clements, professor and nominee for this seat in 2014 and 2016^[28][8]
• Eponine Garrod, local activist and quality control chemist^[24]

Declined[edit]

• Mark Schauer, former U.S. Representative and nominee for governor in 2014^[29][26]

Endorsements[edit]

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Matt Longjohn	22,412	37.0
	Democratic	George Franklin	17,493	28.9
	Democratic	David Benac	12,867	21.3
	Democratic	Rich Eichholz	7,719	12.8
Total votes			60,491	100.0

General election[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Fred Upton (R)	Matt Longjohn (D)	Stephen Young (T)	Undecided
Change Research (D)	November 2–4, 2018	460	–	40%	42%	3%	14%
Change Research (D)	October 27–29, 2018	466	–	46%	43%	–	–
DCCC (D)	October 9–10, 2018	605	± 4.2%	49%	46%	–	–
Public Policy Polling (D)	September 4–5, 2018	750	–	45%	41%	–	–
Global Strategy Group (D-Longjohn)	August 24–29, 2018	500	± 4.4%	47%	41%	3%	9%

Predictions[edit]

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[13]	Lean R	November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[14]	Likely R	November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15]	Lean R	November 5, 2018
RCP[16]	Lean R	November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[17]	Lean R	November 5, 2018
538[18]	Likely R	November 7, 2018

Results[edit]

Michigan's 6th congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Fred Upton (incumbent)	147,436	50.2
	Democratic	Matt Longjohn	134,082	45.7
	Constitution	Stephen Young	11,920	4.1
Total votes			293,438	100.0
	Republican hold

District 7[edit]

2018 Michigan's 7th congressional district election

← 2016 2020 →

Nominee Tim Walberg Gretchen Driskell Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 158,730 136,330 Percentage 53.8% 46.2%

County results Precinct results Walberg:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% Driskell:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      No votes

U.S. Representative before election Tim Walberg Republican Elected U.S. Representative Tim Walberg Republican

The 7th district is located in Southern Michigan including downtown Lansing and the western suburbs of Ann Arbor including Lodi and Milan, other cities include Adrian, Coldwater, and Jackson. This district has a PVI of R+7. The incumbent was Republican Tim Walberg, who had represented the district since 2011 and previously represented the district from 2007 to 2009. He was re-elected to a fourth consecutive and fifth total term with 55% of the vote in 2016. The Cook Political Report rated this race as "likely Republican."^[4]

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Tim Walberg, incumbent U.S. Representative

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Tim Walberg (incumbent)	69,248	100.0
Total votes			69,248	100.0

Democratic primary[edit]

Michigan's 7th district was included on the initial list of Republican held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.^[32]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Gretchen Driskell, former state representative, former Saline Mayor and nominee for this seat in 2016^[33]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

• Steven Friday, social worker^[20]

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Gretchen Driskell	52,430	85.2
	Democratic	Steven Friday	9,083	14.8
Total votes			61,513	100.0

General election[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Gretchen Driskell (D)	Tim Walberg (R)	Undecided
DCCC (D)	February 19–21, 2018	400	–	37%	41%	–

Predictions[edit]

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[13]	Likely R	November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[14]	Likely R	November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15]	Likely R	November 5, 2018
RCP[16]	Lean R	November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[17]	Likely R	November 5, 2018
538[18]	Tossup	November 7, 2018

Results[edit]

Michigan's 7th congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Tim Walberg (incumbent)	158,730	53.8
	Democratic	Gretchen Driskell	136,330	46.2
Total votes			295,060	100.0
	Republican hold

District 8[edit]

2018 Michigan's 8th congressional district election

← 2016 2020 →

Nominee Elissa Slotkin Mike Bishop Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 172,880 159,782 Percentage 50.6% 46.8%

County results Precinct results Slotkin:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% Bishop:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      No votes

U.S. Representative before election Mike Bishop Republican Elected U.S. Representative Elissa Slotkin Democratic

The 8th district was centered on the state capital, Lansing, and stretches into the northern outskirts of Metro Detroit including Rochester Hills. This district has a PVI of R+4. The incumbent was Republican Mike Bishop, who had represented the district since 2015. He was re-elected to a second term with 56% of the vote in 2016. This race was considered competitive, with the Cook Political Report rating it as 'Tossup' in August 2018.^[36][4] With $28 million spent, it drew the most campaign spending for a U.S. House seat in Michigan's history.^[37] Elissa Slotkin defeated Bishop, flipping the district to the Democratic side.

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Mike Bishop, incumbent U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary[edit]

• Lokesh Kumar^[38]

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Mike Bishop (incumbent)	75,403	92.3
	Republican	Lokesh Kumar	6,254	7.7
Total votes			81,657	100.0

Democratic primary[edit]

Michigan's 8th district had been included on the initial list of Republican held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.^[32]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Elissa Slotkin, former Acting Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs and former United States National Security Council official^[39]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

• Christopher E. Smith, professor of criminal justice^[20]

Failed to qualify[edit]

• Darlene Domanik, attorney^[20]

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Elissa Slotkin	57,819	70.7
	Democratic	Christopher E. Smith	23,996	29.3
Total votes			81,815	100.0

Libertarian party[edit]

• Brian Ellison

Libertarian primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Libertarian	Brian Ellison	522	100.0
Total votes			522	100.0

General election[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Debates[edit]

• Complete video of debate, October 5, 2018

Polling[edit]

Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Mike Bishop (R)	Elissa Slotkin (D)	Other	Undecided
Change Research (D)	November 2–4, 2018	501	–	46%	47%	3%[41]	5%
NYT Upshot/Siena College	October 31 – November 4, 2018	447	± 5.0%	42%	49%	2%	6%
Target Insyght	October 15–17, 2018	500	± 4.5%	48%	45%	3%[42]	4%
NYT Upshot/Siena College	September 28 – October 3, 2018	501	± 4.8%	47%	44%	–	10%
GQR Research (D-Slotkin)	September 17–20, 2018	400	± 4.9%	43%	47%	–	10%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Bishop)	September 16–18, 2018	400	± 4.9%	45%	43%	–	–
Public Policy Polling (D)	April 16–17, 2018	668	± 3.8%	46%	41%	–	13%
Target Insyght	April 3–5, 2018	400	± 5.0%	45%	39%	–	16%

Predictions[edit]

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[13]	Tossup	November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[14]	Tilt D (flip)	November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15]	Lean D (flip)	November 5, 2018
RCP[16]	Tossup	November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[17]	Tossup	November 5, 2018
538[18]	Lean D (flip)	November 7, 2018

Results[edit]

Michigan's 8th congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Elissa Slotkin	172,880	50.6
	Republican	Mike Bishop (incumbent)	159,782	46.8
	Libertarian	Brian Ellison	6,302	1.8
	Constitution	David Lillis	2,629	0.8
Total votes			341,593	100.0
	Democratic gain from Republican

District 9[edit]

2018 Michigan's 9th congressional district election

← 2016 2020 →

Nominee Andy Levin Candius Stearns Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 181,734 112,123 Percentage 59.7% 36.8%

County results Precinct results Levin:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% Stearns:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      No votes

U.S. Representative before election Sander Levin Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Andy Levin Democratic

The 9th district is located in Metro Detroit including Roseville, Royal Oak, and Warren. This district has a PVI of D+4. The incumbent was Democrat Sander Levin, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 12th district from 1993 to 2013 and the 17th district from 1983 to 1993. He was re-elected to an eighteenth term with 58% of the vote in 2016. In December 2017, Levin announced his retirement, and that he would not seek re-election in 2018.^[43]

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Andy Levin, former head of the Michigan Department of Energy, Labor and Economic Growth, Sander Levin's son^[44]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

• Martin Brook, attorney
• Ellen Lipton, former state representative^[20]

Withdrawn[edit]

• Steve Bieda, state senator^[45]

Declined[edit]

• Sander Levin, incumbent representative
• Andy Meisner, Oakland County Treasurer^[46]

Endorsements[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Martin Brook	Andy Levin	Ellen Lipton	Undecided
EPIC-MRA	July 25–26, 2018	730	± 3.7%	4%	55%	31%	10%
Lake Research Partners (D-Levin)	July 9–12, 2018	400	± 4.9%	4%	51%	12%	30%

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Andy Levin	49,612	52.4
	Democratic	Ellen Lipton	40,174	42.5
	Democratic	Martin Brook	4,865	5.1
Total votes			94,651	100.0

Republican primary[edit]

Michigan's 9th district was included on the initial list of Democratic held seats being targeted by the National Republican Congressional Committee in 2018.^[22]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Candius Stearns, businesswoman^[20]

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Candius Stearns	47,410	100.0
Total votes			47,410	100.0

General election[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Results[edit]

Michigan's 9th congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Andy Levin	181,734	59.7
	Republican	Candius Stearns	112,123	36.8
	Working Class	Andrea Kirby	6,797	2.2
	Green	John McDermott	3,909	1.3
Total votes			304,563	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 10[edit]

2018 Michigan's 10th congressional district election

← 2016 2020 →

Nominee Paul Mitchell Kimberly Bizon Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 182,808 106,061 Percentage 60.8% 35.0%

County results Precinct results Mitchell:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% Bizon:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      No votes

U.S. Representative before election Paul Mitchell Republican Elected U.S. Representative Paul Mitchell Republican

The 10th district is located in an area of the Lower Peninsula of Michigan known as The Thumb and parts of the Metro Detroit area including Chesterfield, Macomb, and Port Huron. This is the most Republican friendly district with a PVI of R+13. The incumbent was Republican Paul Mitchell, who had represented the district since 2017. He was elected to replace retiring representative Candice Miller with 63% of the vote in 2016.

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Paul Mitchell, incumbent U.S. Representative

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Paul Mitchell (incumbent)	81,867	100.0
Total votes			81,867	100.0

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Kimberly Bizon

Eliminated in primary[edit]

• Frank Accavitti Jr.
• Michael McCarthy

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Kimberly Bizon	21,944	41.1
	Democratic	Frank Accavitti Jr.	17,047	32.0
	Democratic	Michael McCarthy	14,353	26.9
Total votes			53,344	100.0

General election[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Results[edit]

Michigan's 10th congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Paul Mitchell (incumbent)	182,808	60.8
	Democratic	Kimberly Bizon	106,061	35.0
	Independent	Jeremy Peruski	11,344	3.7
	Green	Harley Mikkelson	2,851	0.9
Total votes			303,064	100.0
	Republican hold

District 11[edit]

2018 Michigan's 11th congressional district election

← 2016 2020 →

Nominee Haley Stevens Lena Epstein Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 181,912 158,463 Percentage 51.8% 45.2%

County results Precinct results Stevens:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90% Epstein:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      No votes

U.S. Representative before election Dave Trott Republican Elected U.S. Representative Haley Stevens Democratic

The 11th district is located in Metro Detroit including Livonia, Novi, and Troy. This district had a PVI of R+4. The incumbent was Republican Dave Trott, who had represented the district since 2015. He was re-elected to a second term with 53% of the vote in 2016. Trott was not running for re-election in 2018.^[48][49] This race is considered to be competitive; the Cook Political Report rated this contest as a "toss up."^[4]

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Lena Epstein, businesswoman and Michigan co-chair of the 2016 Donald Trump presidential campaign^[50]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

• Kerry Bentivolio, former U.S. Representative^[51][52]
• Klint Kesto, state representative^[48]
• Mike Kowall, state senator^[53][54]
• Rocky Raczkowski, former state representative, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2002 and nominee for MI-09 in 2010^[50]

Withdrawn[edit]

• Kurt Heise, Plymouth Township Supervisor and former state representative^{[54][55][56][57]} (endorsed Kowall)

Failed to qualify[edit]

• Kristine Bonds, daughter of TV news anchor Bill Bonds.^[58] (endorsed Kowall)^[59]

Declined[edit]

• Ethan Baker, Troy City Councilman and former aide to President Ronald Reagan^[54]
• Mike Bouchard, Oakland County Sheriff and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2006^[48][53]
• Patrick Colbeck, state senator (running for Governor)^[55]
• Rory Cooper, former communications director to former House Majority Leader Eric Cantor^[60]
• Laura Cox, State Representative^[48][53]
• Marty Knollenberg, state senator^[54] (running for re-election)
• Mike McCready, State Representative^[54]
• Ronna Romney McDaniel, Chairwoman of the Republican National Committee^[53][54]
• Jeff Sawka, former vice chair of the Michigan Republican Party^[54]
• Dave Trott, incumbent U.S. Representative

Endorsements[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Kerry Bentivolio	Lena Epstein	Klint Kesto	Mike Kowall	Rocky Raczkowski	Undecided
Mitchell Research (R)	July 30, 2018	305	± 5.7%	14%	27%	11%	10%	18%	20%
EPIC-MRA	July 23–24, 2018	700	± 3.7%	7%	26%	12%	8%	19%	28%

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Lena Epstein	26,925	30.9
	Republican	Rocky Raczkowski	22,216	25.5
	Republican	Mike Kowall	16,011	18.4
	Republican	Klint Kesto	12,213	14.0
	Republican	Kerry Bentivolio	9,831	11.3
Total votes			87,196	100.0

Democratic primary[edit]

Michigan's 11th district was included on the initial list of Republican held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.^[32]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Haley Stevens, former chief of staff for the Presidential Task Force on the Auto Industry^[64]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

• Tim Greimel, state representative^[65]
• Suneel Gupta, businessman and attorney^[66]
• Fayrouz Saad, former Detroit director of immigration affairs^[67]
• Nancy Skinner, syndicated radio and TV commentator

Failed to qualify[edit]

• Daniel Haberman, businessman and attorney^[58]

Declined[edit]

• Dr. Anil Kumar, physician, candidate for this seat in 2014 and nominee in 2016^[68]
• Barbara McQuade, former United States Attorney for the Eastern District of Michigan^[69]

Endorsements[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tim Greimel	Suneel Gupta	Fayrouz Saad	Nancy Skinner	Haley Stevens	Other	Undecided
EPIC-MRA	July 23–24, 2018	700	± 3.7%	21%	14%	10%	4%	17%	—	34%
Target-Insyght	July 16–18, 2018	500	± 4.5%	14%	15%	7%	—	21%	4%[71]	39%

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Haley Stevens	24,309	27.0
	Democratic	Tim Greimel	19,673	21.8
	Democratic	Suneel Gupta	19,250	21.4
	Democratic	Fayrouz Saad	17,499	19.4
	Democratic	Nancy Skinner	9,407	10.5
Total votes			90,138	100.0

Libertarian party[edit]

• Leonard Schwartz, attorney

Libertarian primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Libertarian	Leonard Schwartz	536	100.0
Total votes			536	100.0

General election[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Lena Epstein (R)	Haley Stevens (D)	Other	Undecided
Target Insyght	October 15–17, 2018	513	± 4.3%	48%	48%	2%	3%
ALG Research (D-Stevens)	October 10–14, 2018	513	± 4.3%	34%	44%	4%[78]	16%
Harper Polling (R-Epstein)	October 10–13, 2018	465	± 5.0%	35%	36%	2%[79]	27%
NYT Upshot/Siena College	October 1–6, 2018	465	± 5.0%	38%	45%	–	17%

Predictions[edit]

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[13]	Lean D (flip)	November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[14]	Tilt D (flip)	November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15]	Lean D (flip)	November 5, 2018
RCP[16]	Tossup	November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[17]	Lean D (flip)	November 5, 2018
538[18]	Likely D (flip)	November 7, 2018

Results[edit]

Michigan's 11th congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Haley Stevens	181,912	51.8
	Republican	Lena Epstein	158,463	45.2
	Libertarian	Leonard Schwartz	5,799	1.7
	Independent	Cooper Nye	4,727	1.3
Total votes			350,901	100.0
	Democratic gain from Republican

District 12[edit]

2018 Michigan's 12th congressional district election

← 2016 2020 →

Nominee Debbie Dingell Jeff Jones Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 200,588 85,115 Percentage 68.1% 28.9%

County results Dingell:      50-60%      80-90%

Precinct results Dingell:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% Jones:      40–50%      50–60%      No votes

U.S. Representative before election Debbie Dingell Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Debbie Dingell Democratic

The 12th district is based in Ann Arbor and the surrounding cities including Ypsilanti, and the western suburbs of Detroit including Dearborn and Lincoln Park. This district has a PVI of D+14. The incumbent was Democrat Debbie Dingell, who had represented the district since 2015. She was re-elected with 64% of the vote in 2016.

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Debbie Dingell, incumbent U.S. Representative

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Debbie Dingell (incumbent)	103,278	100.0
Total votes			103,278	100.0

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Jeff Jones

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Jeff Jones	33,839	100.0
Total votes			33,839	100.0

General election[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Results[edit]

Michigan's 12th congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Debbie Dingell (incumbent)	200,588	68.1
	Republican	Jeff Jones	85,115	28.9
	Working Class	Gary Walkowicz	6,712	2.3
	Independent	Niles Niemuth	2,213	0.7
Total votes			294,628	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 13[edit]

2018 Michigan's 13th congressional district election

← 2018 (special) 2020 →

Nominee Rashida Tlaib Sam Johnson Party Democratic Working Class Popular vote 165,355 22,186 Percentage 84.2% 11.3%

Precinct results Tlaib:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%      No votes

U.S. Representative before election Brenda Jones Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Rashida Tlaib Democratic

The 13th district is located entirely within Wayne County and is centered on the city of the Detroit and the immediate surrounding suburbs including Dearborn Heights, Garden City, and Westland. This is the most Democratic-friendly district with a PVI of D+32. The seat was vacant for most of 2018, following the resignation of John Conyers in December 2017.^[80] A special primary and special general election were held in August and November 2018, on dates coinciding with the already scheduled primary and general elections in a money-saving move by Michigan Governor Rick Snyder.^[81]

Conyers represented the district from 2013 to 2017. He previously represented the 14th district from 1993 to 2013, and the 1st district from 1965 to 1993. He was Dean of the United States House of Representatives, and was re-elected to a twenty-seventh term with 77% of the vote in 2016.

Former state representative Rashida Tlaib, a member of Democratic Socialists of America, won the Democratic primary. Tlaib, however, lost the special primary to Brenda Jones, president of the Detroit City Council. Jones served for just over eight weeks before Tlaib was sworn in.

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Rashida Tlaib, former state representative^[82]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

• Ian Conyers, state senator^[83]
• Shanelle Jackson, former state representative and candidate for MI-13 in 2012^[84][85]
• Brenda Jones, president of the Detroit City Council^[86]
• Bill Wild, mayor of Westland^[87]
• Coleman Young II, state senator and candidate for Mayor of Detroit in 2017^[88][89]

Failed to qualify[edit]

• John Conyers III, hedge fund manager^[8]
• Sherry Gay-Dagnogo, state representative^[90][91]
• Kimberly Hill Knott, government relations, environmental justice^[92]

Withdrew

• Michael Gilmore, attorney and activist^[8]

Declined

• John Conyers, incumbent U.S. Representative

Endorsements[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Ian Conyers	Shanelle Jackson	Brenda Jones	Rashida Tlaib	Bill Wild	Coleman Young	Undecided
EPIC-MRA	July 25–26, 2018	700	± 3.7%	7%	5%	26%	22%	20%	9%	11%
Target-Insyght	July 16–18, 2018	600	± 4.0%	8%	4%	21%	19%	20%	14%	14%

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Rashida Tlaib	27,841	31.2
	Democratic	Brenda Jones	26,941	30.2
	Democratic	Bill Wild	12,613	14.1
	Democratic	Coleman Young II	11,172	12.5
	Democratic	Ian Conyers	5,866	6.6
	Democratic	Shanelle Jackson	4,853	5.4
	Democratic	Kimberly Hill Knott (write-in)	33	0.0
	Democratic	Royce Kinniebrew (write-in)	2	0.0
Total votes			89,321	100.0

Republican primary[edit]

David Dudenhoefer was the only Republican candidate to announce his run for the Republican nomination, but he failed to qualify. He did, however, run as a write-in candidate. As a result, Tlaib was opposed in the general election only by minor party candidates and write-in candidates.

Candidates[edit]

Failed to qualify[edit]

• David A. Dudenhoefer, District GOP Chair^[93]

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	David Anthony Dudenhoefer (write-in)	420	14.9
	Republican	Other write-ins	2,391	85.1
Total votes			2,811	100.0

General election[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Results[edit]

Michigan's 13th congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Rashida Tlaib	165,355	84.2
	Working Class	Sam Johnson	22,186	11.3
	Green	D. Etta Wilcoxon	7,980	4.1
	Independent	Brenda Jones (write-in)	633	0.3
	n/a	Other write-ins	145	0.1
Total votes			196,299	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 14[edit]

2018 Michigan's 14th congressional district election

← 2016 2020 →

Nominee Brenda Lawrence Marc Herschfus Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 214,334 45,899 Percentage 80.9% 17.3%

County results Lawrence:      70-80%      80-90%

Precinct results Lawrence:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90% Herschfus:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      No votes

U.S. Representative before election Brenda Lawrence Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Brenda Lawrence Democratic

The 14th district stretches from the northern Detroit suburbs including Farmington Hills, Southfield, and West Bloomfield, to eastern part of Detroit. This district has a PVI of D+30. The incumbent was Democrat Brenda Lawrence, who had represented the district since 2015. She was re-elected to a second term with 79% of the vote in 2016.

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Brenda Lawrence, incumbent U.S. Representative

Primary results[edit]

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Brenda Lawrence (incumbent)	106,464	100.0
Total votes			106,464	100.0

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

• Marc Herschfus

Primary results[edit]

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Marc Herschfus	18,546	100.0
Total votes			18,546	100.0

General election[edit]

Endorsements[edit]